WTA

Model record

Every game since Oct 10, 2026, settled against the first line we captured (games spread and moneyline). Simulated 1 unit a game, not real bets.

The model's side is the favorite when its margin is bigger than the line's, the underdog when smaller. Lines are DraftKings first. Pushes return the stake; postponed, cancelled, walkover and retired games are no action.

5–1 on the games spread · since Oct 10

83.3% hit rate · break-even 52.5% at the prices taken

+3.6 units at 1 a game · ROI +59.2%

6 settled games: at this size the hit rate could be off by about ±30 points either way, far too few to separate skill from luck.

0 no action · 0 pending · 3 with no position (the model matched the market, or no price was posted).

Model's side vs the line	Result	Units
Mon, Oct 12 →
Eala A. -5.0Shi H. 16, Eala A. 12	✗ didn't cover	-1.00
Starodubtseva Y. +3.0Starodubtseva Y. 16, McNally C. 15	✓ covered	+0.92
Sakkari M. -3.0Vekic D. 6, Sakkari M. 12	✓ covered	+0.99
Frech M. -2.0Frech M. 13, Sawangkaew M. 9	✓ covered	+0.90
Tjen J. -4.0Ito A. 4, Tjen J. 12	✓ covered	+0.83
Kartal S. -3.0Kartal S. 13, Kalinina A. 8	✓ covered	+0.92

Games spread