WTA Tennis predictions Thu, Oct 15
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
5 matches on this slate · model went 4–1 · 35–16 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Sakkari
Shnaider
Muchova
Set at line Shnaider 49.0% · model 59.2%
Chwalinska
Jovic
Guo
Svitolina
Set at line Guo 11.6% · model 13.7%
Kartal
Paolini
Set at line Kartal 45.8% · model 64.1%
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.4
- First line
- -4.0
- Latest
- -4.0
Sakkari -4.0 at -102
- Model
- 72.4%
- First line
- 66.8%
- Latest
- 68.7%
Moneyline Pohankova M. +205 / Sakkari M. -257 (vig removed) · opened 66.8%
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 66.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Tue 8:31 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Wed 8:30 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Shnaider D. 13, Muchova K. 8
- Result
- Shnaider D. won by 5
- Why
- Model 59.2%, first price 49.0%
Model vs market
- Model
- -2.5
- First line
- -0.5
- Latest
- -0.5
Shnaider -0.5 at -104
- Model
- 59.2%
- First line
- 49.0%
- Latest
- 49.0%
Moneyline Muchova K. -115 / Shnaider D. -106 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Wed 8:30 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Wed 8:30 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -2.5
- First line
- -4.5
- Latest
- -4.5
Jovic -4.5 at -117
- Model
- 57.9%
- First line
- 71.2%
- Latest
- 71.2%
Moneyline Jovic I. -294 / Chwalinska M. +231 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Wed 8:30 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Wed 8:30 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Guo H. 5, Svitolina E. 12
- Result
- Guo H. lost by 7
- Why
- Model 13.7%, first price 11.6%
Model vs market
- Model
- -6.5
- First line
- -6.5
- Latest
- -6.5
Svitolina -6.5 at -108
- Model
- 86.3%
- First line
- 88.4%
- Latest
- 88.4%
Moneyline Svitolina E. -1240 / Guo H. +720 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Wed 8:30 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Wed 8:30 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Kartal S. 12, Paolini J. 2
- Result
- Kartal S. won by 10
- Why
- Model 64.1%, first price 45.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.5
- First line
- +1.0
- Latest
- +1.0
Kartal +1.0 at -108
- Model
- 64.1%
- First line
- 45.8%
- Latest
- 45.8%
Moneyline Paolini J. -132 / Kartal S. +108 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Wed 8:30 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Wed 8:30 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →