WTA Tennis predictions Fri, Oct 16
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
3 matches on this slate · model went 2–1 · 35–16 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Ostapenko
Shnaider
Set at line Shnaider 67.5% · model 72.1%
Kartal
Svitolina
Set at line Kartal 33.1% · model 52.7%
Sakkari
Chwalinska
Set at line Chwalinska 45.6% · model 50.1%
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Ostapenko J. 13, Shnaider D. 7
- Result
- Shnaider D. lost by 6
- Why
- Model 72.1%, first price 67.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- -4.5
- First line
- -4.0
- Latest
- -4.0
Shnaider -4.0 at -103
- Model
- 72.1%
- First line
- 67.5%
- Latest
- 67.5%
Moneyline Shnaider D. -242 / Ostapenko J. +193 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Thu 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Thu 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Kartal S. 14, Svitolina E. 12
- Result
- Kartal S. won by 2
- Why
- Model 52.7%, first price 33.1%
Model vs market
- Model
- -0.5
- First line
- +3.5
- Latest
- +3.5
Kartal +3.5 at -103
- Model
- 52.7%
- First line
- 33.1%
- Latest
- 33.1%
Moneyline Svitolina E. -235 / Kartal S. +188 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Thu 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Thu 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Sakkari M. 11, Chwalinska M. 16
- Result
- Chwalinska M. won by 5
- Why
- Model 50.1%, first price 45.6%
Model vs market
- Model
- Pick 'em
- First line
- +1.5
- Latest
- +1.5
Chwalinska +1.5 at -107
- Model
- 50.1%
- First line
- 45.6%
- Latest
- 45.6%
Moneyline Chwalinska M. +109 / Sakkari M. -133 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Thu 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Thu 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →