MLB predictions Mon, Oct 12
Win probabilities, projected runs and totals for every MLB game, plus batter and pitcher projections. How it works →
2 games on this slate · 141–96 last 30 days →
Games
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Mookie Betts
|
0.20 | 1.08 | 1.92 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.72 | 0.06 |
Shohei Ohtani
|
0.23 | 0.83 | 1.72 | 0.58 | 0.48 | 0.04 | 1.42 | 0.12 |
William Contreras
|
0.17 | 0.98 | 1.71 | 0.58 | 0.40 | 0.03 | 0.74 | 0.03 |
Will Smith
|
0.18 | 0.93 | 1.67 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.02 |
Jackson Chourio
|
0.18 | 0.90 | 1.63 | 0.44 | 0.33 | 0.01 | 1.19 | 0.10 |
Freddie Freeman
|
0.16 | 0.94 | 1.62 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.04 | 1.11 | 0.05 |
Teoscar Hernández
|
0.17 | 0.80 | 1.48 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 1.50 | 0.04 |
Andy Pages
|
0.16 | 0.80 | 1.45 | 0.43 | 0.28 | 0.05 | 1.03 | 0.05 |
Kyle Tucker
|
0.15 | 0.76 | 1.39 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.02 | 0.80 | 0.10 |
Max Muncy
|
0.17 | 0.66 | 1.32 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.03 | 1.35 | 0.02 |
Jake Bauers
|
0.16 | 0.67 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 0.70 | 0.03 | 1.40 | 0.10 |
Cooper Pratt
|
0.11 | 0.78 | 1.26 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.04 | 0.85 | – |
Luis Lara
|
0.10 | 0.71 | 1.19 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 0.89 | – |
Christian Yelich
|
0.11 | 0.68 | 1.18 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.03 | 1.20 | 0.08 |
Garrett Mitchell
|
0.11 | 0.66 | 1.18 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.04 | 1.47 | 0.14 |
Brice Turang
|
0.10 | 0.67 | 1.12 | 0.32 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.37 | 0.14 |
Enrique Hernández
|
0.11 | 0.61 | 1.06 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 1.24 | 0.01 |
Joey Ortiz
|
0.07 | 0.67 | 1.04 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.01 | 0.80 | 0.06 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
|
100% | 5.9 | 24.1 | 6.6 | 2.26 | 4.46 | 0.11 | 2.28 |
Logan Henderson
|
100% | 5.4 | 21.7 | 6.5 | 1.60 | 4.21 | 0.13 | 2.21 |
Edwin Díaz
|
60% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.60 | 0.84 | 0.05 | 0.61 |
Tanner Scott
|
30% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.35 | 0.74 | 0.03 | 0.39 |
Alex Vesia
|
28% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.49 | 0.65 | 0.02 | 0.42 |
Aaron Ashby
|
41% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.49 | 0.86 | 0.04 | 0.56 |
Evan Phillips
|
9% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.27 | 0.81 | 0.02 | 0.41 |
Kris Bubic
|
30% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 0.44 |
Trevor Megill
|
35% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.43 |
Kyle Harrison
|
15% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.36 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.48 |
Edgardo Henriquez
|
62% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.52 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 0.55 |
Dl Hall
|
38% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.57 | 0.70 | 0.03 | 0.50 |
Abner Uribe
|
38% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.04 | 0.47 |
Brock Stewart
|
66% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.49 | 0.79 | 0.03 | 0.53 |
Shane Drohan
|
15% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.40 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.48 |
Andrew Vaughn
|
6% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.28 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
Roki Sasaki
|
12% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.59 | 0.87 | 0.03 | 0.74 |
Jojo Romero
|
75% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.35 | 0.77 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
Justin Wrobleski
|
26% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.32 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.50 |
Chad Patrick
|
74% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.51 | 0.87 | 0.05 | 0.62 |
Antonio Senzatela
|
78% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.39 | 1.01 | 0.02 | 0.65 |
Enrique Hernández
|
4% | 0.9 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 0.06 | 0.81 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | -8% | -5% | +8% | +3% | +9% |
| Umpire | 0% | 0% | |||
| Home field (MIL batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
LAD |
MIL |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Projected | Projected | |
| K% | 21.1% | 22.4% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | Y. Yamamoto | L. Henderson | |
| K% | 26.9% | 29.7% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 6.5 | 5.6 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | -2% | +2% | |
| BB% | +3% | -2% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Model vs market
- Model
- 39.1%
- First line
- 42.1%
- Latest
- 42.1%
Chance to cover. LAD -1.5 +127 / MIL +1.5 -154 (vig removed)
- Model
- 52.0%
- First line
- 56.1%
- Latest
- 56.1%
Moneyline MIL +118 / LAD -142 (vig removed)
- Model
- 8.5
- First line
- 7.0
- Latest
- 7.0
Over -109 / Under -111
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:47 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Junior Caminero
|
0.21 | 0.96 | 1.78 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0.03 | 0.84 | 0.04 |
José Ramírez
|
0.14 | 1.01 | 1.67 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.03 | 0.59 | 0.21 |
Yandy Díaz
|
0.13 | 1.01 | 1.60 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.07 | 0.64 | 0.01 |
Chase Delauter
|
0.12 | 0.96 | 1.54 | 0.47 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 0.77 | – |
Jo Adell
|
0.13 | 0.92 | 1.47 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1.08 | 0.07 |
Nathaniel Lowe
|
0.14 | 0.83 | 1.44 | 0.49 | 0.29 | 0.02 | 1.06 | 0.01 |
Ryan Vilade
|
0.11 | 0.84 | 1.40 | 0.45 | 0.33 | 0.05 | 1.04 | 0.02 |
Angel Martínez
|
0.13 | 0.81 | 1.38 | 0.43 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.91 | 0.04 |
Steven Kwan
|
0.07 | 0.97 | 1.36 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.03 | 0.51 | 0.07 |
Nick Fortes
|
0.08 | 0.89 | 1.35 | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.58 | 0.02 |
Jonny Deluca
|
0.08 | 0.86 | 1.32 | 0.39 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 0.95 | 0.14 |
Jonathan Aranda
|
0.11 | 0.83 | 1.31 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.11 | 1.16 | 0.01 |
Patrick Bailey
|
0.10 | 0.75 | 1.22 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 0.01 |
Travis Bazzana
|
0.09 | 0.72 | 1.18 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.85 | – |
Brayan Rocchio
|
0.08 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.58 | 0.06 |
Jorge Mateo
|
0.08 | 0.69 | 1.14 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 1.09 | 0.16 |
Chandler Simpson
|
0.01 | 0.90 | 1.10 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.36 | 0.20 |
Taylor Walls
|
0.06 | 0.65 | 1.02 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.02 | 0.89 | 0.13 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Drew Rasmussen
|
100% | 5.5 | 22.6 | 4.62 | 1.31 | 4.83 | 0.24 | 2.09 |
Foster Griffin
|
100% | 5.5 | 22.7 | 4.60 | 1.50 | 4.97 | 0.28 | 2.25 |
Erik Sabrowski
|
26% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.32 | 0.45 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.37 |
Cade Smith
|
31% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.20 | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0.03 | 0.30 |
Gavin Williams
|
2% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.10 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.05 | 0.30 |
Ian Seymour
|
17% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 1.07 | 0.30 | 0.88 | 0.07 | 0.51 |
Daniel Espino
|
26% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 1.01 | 0.26 | 0.82 | 0.02 | 0.42 |
Joey Cantillo
|
15% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.89 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
Bryan Baker
|
37% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 0.88 | 0.39 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.49 |
Matt Festa
|
66% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.86 | 0.23 | 0.85 | 0.08 | 0.46 |
Brody Hopkins
|
24% | 1.0 | 4.2 | 0.85 | 0.49 | 0.81 | 0.05 | 0.49 |
Tyler Wells
|
40% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 0.82 | 0.29 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
Tim Herrin
|
73% | 0.8 | 3.6 | 0.81 | 0.37 | 0.76 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
Shawn Armstrong
|
26% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.81 | 0.33 | 0.83 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
Cam Booser
|
86% | 0.9 | 3.5 | 0.80 | 0.26 | 0.68 | 0.02 | 0.39 |
Cole Sulser
|
51% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 0.30 | 0.93 | 0.04 | 0.49 |
Griffin Jax
|
6% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 0.76 | 0.43 | 0.95 | 0.02 | 0.52 |
Hunter Gaddis
|
66% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 0.76 | 0.26 | 0.77 | 0.04 | 0.39 |
Slade Cecconi
|
21% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.71 | 0.22 | 1.10 | 0.04 | 0.58 |
Kevin Kelly
|
87% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 0.64 | 0.18 | 0.80 | 0.06 | 0.46 |
Austin Hedges
|
5% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
Tanner Bibee
|
6% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.58 | 0.20 | 0.93 | 0.05 | 0.55 |
Steven Matz
|
53% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.57 | 0.25 | 0.88 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | -4% | -1% | -5% | -1% | +4% |
| Umpire | 0% | 0% | |||
| Home field (TB batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
CLE |
TB |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Projected | Projected | |
| K% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | F. Griffin | D. Rasmussen | |
| K% | 21.9% | 24.4% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 5.7 | 5.6 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | +4% | -2% | |
| BB% | -5% | +2% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Model vs market
- Model
- 34.8%
- First line
- 41.5%
- Latest
- 41.5%
Chance to cover. TB -1.5 +130 / CLE +1.5 -158 (vig removed)
- Model
- 51.1%
- First line
- 61.5%
- Latest
- 60.0%
Moneyline TB -169 / CLE +139 (vig removed) · opened 61.5%
- Model
- 7.9
- First line
- 7.0
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -120 / Under +100 · opened 7.0
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:46 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:47 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Players
HR watch
- Shohei Ohtani0.23 HR
- Junior Caminero0.21 HR
- Mookie Betts0.20 HR
- Will Smith0.18 HR
- Jackson Chourio0.18 HR
Batters
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.23 | 0.83 | 1.72 | 0.58 | 0.48 | 0.12 | 0.04 | 1.42 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.21 | 0.96 | 1.78 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.84 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.17 | 0.80 | 1.48 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.50 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.18 | 0.93 | 1.67 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 1.00 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.20 | 1.08 | 1.92 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.72 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.16 | 0.67 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 1.40 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.18 | 0.90 | 1.63 | 0.44 | 0.33 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 1.19 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.16 | 0.94 | 1.62 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 1.11 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.17 | 0.98 | 1.71 | 0.58 | 0.40 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.74 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.14 | 1.01 | 1.67 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.21 | 0.03 | 0.59 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.11 | 0.66 | 1.18 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.14 | 0.04 | 1.47 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.13 | 0.92 | 1.47 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 1.08 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.17 | 0.66 | 1.32 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 1.35 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.11 | 0.83 | 1.31 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 1.16 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.14 | 0.83 | 1.44 | 0.49 | 0.29 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.06 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.10 | 0.67 | 1.12 | 0.32 | 0.54 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 1.37 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.16 | 0.80 | 1.45 | 0.43 | 0.28 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.03 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.11 | 0.84 | 1.40 | 0.45 | 0.33 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 1.04 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.13 | 1.01 | 1.60 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.64 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.12 | 0.96 | 1.54 | 0.47 | 0.34 | – | 0.02 | 0.77 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.11 | 0.68 | 1.18 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 1.20 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.15 | 0.76 | 1.39 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.80 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.08 | 0.86 | 1.32 | 0.39 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.95 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.13 | 0.81 | 1.38 | 0.43 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.91 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.11 | 0.78 | 1.26 | 0.42 | 0.37 | – | 0.04 | 0.85 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.07 | 0.97 | 1.36 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.08 | 0.69 | 1.14 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 1.09 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.10 | 0.75 | 1.22 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.03 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.10 | 0.71 | 1.19 | 0.39 | 0.29 | – | 0.03 | 0.89 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.08 | 0.89 | 1.35 | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.58 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.11 | 0.61 | 1.06 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.24 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.09 | 0.72 | 1.18 | 0.33 | 0.30 | – | 0.05 | 0.85 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.06 | 0.65 | 1.02 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.89 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 0.07 | 0.67 | 1.04 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.80 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.08 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.58 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 0.01 | 0.90 | 1.10 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
Pitchers
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 100.0% | 5.9 | 6.6 | 2.26 | 4.46 | 0.11 | 2.28 | 24.1 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 100.0% | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.50 | 4.97 | 0.28 | 2.25 | 22.7 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 100.0% | 5.4 | 6.5 | 1.60 | 4.21 | 0.13 | 2.21 | 21.7 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 100.0% | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.31 | 4.83 | 0.24 | 2.09 | 22.6 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 87.1% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.18 | 0.80 | 0.06 | 0.46 | 3.6 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 86.0% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.26 | 0.68 | 0.02 | 0.39 | 3.5 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 77.9% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.39 | 1.01 | 0.02 | 0.65 | 4.0 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 74.8% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.35 | 0.77 | 0.04 | 0.44 | 3.8 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 74.0% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.51 | 0.87 | 0.05 | 0.62 | 4.0 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 72.9% | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.37 | 0.76 | 0.04 | 0.44 | 3.6 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 66.5% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.23 | 0.85 | 0.08 | 0.46 | 3.8 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 66.4% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.49 | 0.79 | 0.03 | 0.53 | 3.8 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 65.7% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.26 | 0.77 | 0.04 | 0.39 | 3.6 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 61.5% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.52 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 0.55 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 60.0% | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.60 | 0.84 | 0.05 | 0.61 | 4.1 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 53.1% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.25 | 0.88 | 0.04 | 0.44 | 4.0 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 51.1% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.30 | 0.93 | 0.04 | 0.49 | 4.0 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 40.9% | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.49 | 0.86 | 0.04 | 0.56 | 4.1 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 39.5% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.29 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 0.40 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 38.4% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.04 | 0.47 | 4.0 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 37.9% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.57 | 0.70 | 0.03 | 0.50 | 4.0 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 36.9% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.39 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.49 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 34.8% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.43 | 4.0 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 31.0% | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0.03 | 0.30 | 3.8 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 30.5% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 0.44 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 29.9% | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.35 | 0.74 | 0.03 | 0.39 | 3.8 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 28.0% | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.49 | 0.65 | 0.02 | 0.42 | 3.8 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 26.4% | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.45 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.37 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 26.4% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.32 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.50 | 3.9 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 26.3% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.33 | 0.83 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 3.9 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 25.7% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.26 | 0.82 | 0.02 | 0.42 | 3.7 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 24.3% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.49 | 0.81 | 0.05 | 0.49 | 4.2 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 21.0% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.22 | 1.10 | 0.04 | 0.58 | 4.0 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 16.6% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.30 | 0.88 | 0.07 | 0.51 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 15.2% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.36 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.48 | 4.1 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 15.0% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.37 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 14.6% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.40 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.48 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 11.9% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.59 | 0.87 | 0.03 | 0.74 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 8.6% | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.27 | 0.81 | 0.02 | 0.41 | 3.9 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 6.3% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.43 | 0.95 | 0.02 | 0.52 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 6.0% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.28 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 3.9 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 5.5% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.20 | 0.93 | 0.05 | 0.55 | 3.8 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 4.7% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.30 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ MIL | 3.6% | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 0.06 | 0.81 | 4.5 |
|
|
CLE @ TB | 2.0% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 4.0 |
Fantasy
Batters
Not yet included: Runs Scored
Estimated, not directly simulated: SB
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD @ MIL | 7.4 | 1.72 | 0.58 | 0.48 | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| 2 | José Ramírez | CLE @ TB | 7.2 | 1.67 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.21 | 0.03 |
| 3 | Mookie Betts | LAD @ MIL | 7.1 | 1.92 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| 4 | Junior Caminero | CLE @ TB | 7.1 | 1.78 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| 5 | William Contreras | LAD @ MIL | 6.8 | 1.71 | 0.58 | 0.40 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| 6 | Will Smith | LAD @ MIL | 6.7 | 1.67 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| 7 | Jake Bauers | LAD @ MIL | 6.5 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| 8 | Jackson Chourio | LAD @ MIL | 6.4 | 1.63 | 0.44 | 0.33 | 0.10 | 0.01 |
| 9 | Freddie Freeman | LAD @ MIL | 6.3 | 1.62 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| 10 | Yandy Díaz | CLE @ TB | 6.1 | 1.60 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.01 | 0.07 |
| 11 | Teoscar Hernández | LAD @ MIL | 5.9 | 1.48 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| 12 | Chase Delauter | CLE @ TB | 5.8 | 1.54 | 0.47 | 0.34 | – | 0.02 |
| 13 | Kyle Tucker | LAD @ MIL | 5.8 | 1.39 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| 14 | Jo Adell | CLE @ TB | 5.8 | 1.47 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| 15 | Garrett Mitchell | LAD @ MIL | 5.7 | 1.18 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| 16 | Andy Pages | LAD @ MIL | 5.7 | 1.45 | 0.43 | 0.28 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| 17 | Steven Kwan | CLE @ TB | 5.6 | 1.36 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| 18 | Ryan Vilade | CLE @ TB | 5.6 | 1.40 | 0.45 | 0.33 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| 19 | Nathaniel Lowe | CLE @ TB | 5.5 | 1.44 | 0.49 | 0.29 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| 20 | Max Muncy | LAD @ MIL | 5.5 | 1.32 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| 21 | Brice Turang | LAD @ MIL | 5.5 | 1.12 | 0.32 | 0.54 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| 22 | Jonathan Aranda | CLE @ TB | 5.5 | 1.31 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| 23 | Jonny Deluca | CLE @ TB | 5.3 | 1.32 | 0.39 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 0.02 |
| 24 | Christian Yelich | LAD @ MIL | 5.2 | 1.18 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| 25 | Cooper Pratt | LAD @ MIL | 5.2 | 1.26 | 0.42 | 0.37 | – | 0.04 |
| 26 | Angel Martínez | CLE @ TB | 5.0 | 1.38 | 0.43 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| 27 | Nick Fortes | CLE @ TB | 5.0 | 1.35 | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| 28 | Jorge Mateo | CLE @ TB | 4.8 | 1.14 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| 29 | Chandler Simpson | CLE @ TB | 4.7 | 1.10 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.01 |
| 30 | Taylor Walls | CLE @ TB | 4.7 | 1.02 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| 31 | Luis Lara | LAD @ MIL | 4.7 | 1.19 | 0.39 | 0.29 | – | 0.03 |
| 32 | Travis Bazzana | CLE @ TB | 4.6 | 1.18 | 0.33 | 0.30 | – | 0.05 |
| 33 | Brayan Rocchio | CLE @ TB | 4.5 | 1.17 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| 34 | Patrick Bailey | CLE @ TB | 4.4 | 1.22 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| 35 | Joey Ortiz | LAD @ MIL | 4.4 | 1.04 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| 36 | Enrique Hernández | LAD @ MIL | 3.9 | 1.06 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Pitchers
Not yet included: Wins, Losses, Saves
Points are expected points: the line if he pitches, times his chance to pitch.
| 1 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD @ MIL | 21.6 | 5.89 | 6.57 | 2.26 | 4.46 | 0.11 | 2.28 |
| 2 | Logan Henderson | LAD @ MIL | 21.2 | 5.39 | 6.46 | 1.60 | 4.21 | 0.13 | 2.21 |
| 3 | Drew Rasmussen | CLE @ TB | 15.9 | 5.53 | 4.62 | 1.31 | 4.83 | 0.24 | 2.09 |
| 4 | Foster Griffin | CLE @ TB | 14.8 | 5.48 | 4.60 | 1.50 | 4.97 | 0.28 | 2.25 |
| 5 | Cam Booser | CLE @ TB | 2.2 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.26 | 0.68 | 0.02 | 0.39 |
| 6 | Jojo Romero | LAD @ MIL | 2.0 | 0.90 | 0.94 | 0.35 | 0.77 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
| 7 | Edwin Díaz | LAD @ MIL | 1.7 | 0.89 | 1.33 | 0.60 | 0.84 | 0.05 | 0.61 |
| 8 | Hunter Gaddis | CLE @ TB | 1.6 | 0.89 | 0.76 | 0.26 | 0.77 | 0.04 | 0.39 |
| 9 | Brock Stewart | LAD @ MIL | 1.6 | 0.86 | 1.03 | 0.49 | 0.79 | 0.03 | 0.53 |
| 10 | Matt Festa | CLE @ TB | 1.6 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.23 | 0.85 | 0.08 | 0.46 |
| 11 | Tim Herrin | CLE @ TB | 1.6 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 0.37 | 0.76 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
| 12 | Edgardo Henriquez | LAD @ MIL | 1.6 | 0.88 | 1.08 | 0.52 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 0.55 |
| 13 | Kevin Kelly | CLE @ TB | 1.6 | 0.86 | 0.64 | 0.18 | 0.80 | 0.06 | 0.46 |
| 14 | Cade Smith | CLE @ TB | 1.3 | 0.94 | 1.20 | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0.03 | 0.30 |
| 15 | Aaron Ashby | LAD @ MIL | 1.2 | 0.94 | 1.22 | 0.49 | 0.86 | 0.04 | 0.56 |
| 16 | Trevor Megill | LAD @ MIL | 1.2 | 0.97 | 1.11 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.43 |
| 17 | Tanner Scott | LAD @ MIL | 1.2 | 0.92 | 1.25 | 0.35 | 0.74 | 0.03 | 0.39 |
| 18 | Chad Patrick | LAD @ MIL | 1.1 | 0.90 | 0.85 | 0.51 | 0.87 | 0.05 | 0.62 |
| 19 | Abner Uribe | LAD @ MIL | 1.1 | 0.94 | 1.05 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.04 | 0.47 |
| 20 | Tyler Wells | CLE @ TB | 1.1 | 0.97 | 0.82 | 0.29 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
| 21 | Antonio Senzatela | LAD @ MIL | 1.1 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 0.39 | 1.01 | 0.02 | 0.65 |
| 22 | Dl Hall | LAD @ MIL | 1.1 | 0.94 | 1.08 | 0.57 | 0.70 | 0.03 | 0.50 |
| 23 | Erik Sabrowski | CLE @ TB | 1.0 | 0.92 | 1.32 | 0.45 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.37 |
| 24 | Cole Sulser | CLE @ TB | 1.0 | 0.94 | 0.77 | 0.30 | 0.93 | 0.04 | 0.49 |
| 25 | Alex Vesia | LAD @ MIL | 1.0 | 0.89 | 1.23 | 0.49 | 0.65 | 0.02 | 0.42 |
| 26 | Kris Bubic | LAD @ MIL | 0.9 | 0.90 | 1.12 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 0.44 |
| 27 | Steven Matz | CLE @ TB | 0.9 | 0.95 | 0.57 | 0.25 | 0.88 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
| 28 | Bryan Baker | CLE @ TB | 0.9 | 0.97 | 0.88 | 0.39 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.49 |
| 29 | Daniel Espino | CLE @ TB | 0.8 | 0.91 | 1.01 | 0.26 | 0.82 | 0.02 | 0.42 |
| 30 | Justin Wrobleski | LAD @ MIL | 0.6 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.32 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.50 |
| 31 | Shawn Armstrong | CLE @ TB | 0.6 | 0.93 | 0.81 | 0.33 | 0.83 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| 32 | Brody Hopkins | CLE @ TB | 0.5 | 0.97 | 0.85 | 0.49 | 0.81 | 0.05 | 0.49 |
| 33 | Ian Seymour | CLE @ TB | 0.5 | 0.97 | 1.07 | 0.30 | 0.88 | 0.07 | 0.51 |
| 34 | Kyle Harrison | LAD @ MIL | 0.4 | 0.94 | 1.09 | 0.36 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.48 |
| 35 | Shane Drohan | LAD @ MIL | 0.4 | 0.98 | 1.02 | 0.40 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.48 |
| 36 | Joey Cantillo | CLE @ TB | 0.4 | 0.92 | 0.89 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
| 37 | Evan Phillips | LAD @ MIL | 0.3 | 0.93 | 1.15 | 0.27 | 0.81 | 0.02 | 0.41 |
| 38 | Slade Cecconi | CLE @ TB | 0.3 | 0.90 | 0.71 | 0.22 | 1.10 | 0.04 | 0.58 |
| 39 | Andrew Vaughn | LAD @ MIL | 0.2 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| 40 | Roki Sasaki | LAD @ MIL | 0.2 | 0.91 | 0.98 | 0.59 | 0.87 | 0.03 | 0.74 |
| 41 | Griffin Jax | CLE @ TB | 0.1 | 0.97 | 0.76 | 0.43 | 0.95 | 0.02 | 0.52 |
| 42 | Gavin Williams | CLE @ TB | 0.1 | 0.97 | 1.10 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| 43 | Austin Hedges | CLE @ TB | 0.1 | 0.93 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| 44 | Tanner Bibee | CLE @ TB | 0.1 | 0.90 | 0.58 | 0.20 | 0.93 | 0.05 | 0.55 |
| 45 | Enrique Hernández | LAD @ MIL | -0.0 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 0.06 | 0.81 |