WTA Tennis predictions Mon, Oct 12
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. How it works →
10 matches on this slate · model went 5–2 · 99–60 last 30 days →
Games
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 75.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 67.1%
Decimal odds 1.40 / 2.86, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Bouzkova M. -3.5
- First line
- Bouzkova M. -3.5
- Latest
- Bouzkova M. -3.5
Bouzkova M. -3.5 at -120
- Model
- 30.6%
- First line
- 30.8%
- Latest
- 32.8%
Moneyline Tauson C. +191 / Bouzkova M. -239 (vig removed) · opened 30.8%
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sat 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 82.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 81.9%
Decimal odds 1.15 / 5.20, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Kartal S. 13, Kalinina A. 8
- Result
- Kartal S. won by 5, needed to win by 4+ (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model Kartal S. -4.5, first line Kartal S. -3.0: the favorite
- Final
- Kartal S. 13, Kalinina A. 8
- Result
- Kartal S. won by 5
- Why
- Model 71%, first price 61%
Model vs market
- Model
- Kartal S. -4.5
- First line
- Kartal S. -3.0
- Latest
- Kartal S. -3.0
Kartal S. -3.0 at -109
- Model
- 28.8%
- First line
- 37.4%
- Latest
- 39.4%
Moneyline Kalinina A. +142 / Kartal S. -175 (vig removed) · opened 37.4%
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sat 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Ito A. 4, Tjen J. 12
- Result
- Tjen J. won by 8, needed to win by 5+ (4 pushes)
- Why
- Model Tjen J. -5.5, first line Tjen J. -4.0: the favorite
- Final
- Ito A. 4, Tjen J. 12
- Result
- Tjen J. won by 8
- Why
- Model 85%, first price 72%
Model vs market
- Model
- Tjen J. -5.5
- First line
- Tjen J. -4.0
- Latest
- Tjen J. -4.0
Tjen J. -4.0 at -121
- Model
- 84.6%
- First line
- 72.2%
- Latest
- 72.2%
Moneyline Tjen J. -311 / Ito A. +243 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sun 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Vekic D. 6, Sakkari M. 12
- Result
- Sakkari M. won by 6, needed to win by 4+ (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model Sakkari M. -3.5, first line Sakkari M. -3.0: the favorite
- Final
- Vekic D. 6, Sakkari M. 12
- Result
- Sakkari M. won by 6
- Why
- Model 63%, first price 59%
Model vs market
- Model
- Sakkari M. -3.5
- First line
- Sakkari M. -3.0
- Latest
- Sakkari M. -3.0
Sakkari M. -3.0 at -101
- Model
- 63.2%
- First line
- 62.1%
- Latest
- 59.4%
Moneyline Sakkari M. -165 / Vekic D. +135 (vig removed) · opened 62.1%
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sat 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- Bejlek S. -1.5
- First line
- Bejlek S. -1.5
- Latest
- Bejlek S. -1.5
Bejlek S. -1.5 at -107
- Model
- 45.7%
- First line
- 47.2%
- Latest
- 46.1%
Moneyline Paolini J. +107 / Bejlek S. -130 (vig removed) · opened 47.2%
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sat 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Frech M. 13, Sawangkaew M. 9
- Result
- Frech M. won by 4, needed to win by 3+ (2 pushes)
- Why
- Model Frech M. -2.5, first line Frech M. -2.0: the favorite
- Final
- Frech M. 13, Sawangkaew M. 9
- Result
- Frech M. won by 4
- Why
- Model 58%, first price 54%
Model vs market
- Model
- Frech M. -2.5
- First line
- Frech M. -2.0
- Latest
- Frech M. -2.0
Frech M. -2.0 at -111
- Model
- 41.6%
- First line
- 45.7%
- Latest
- 45.7%
Moneyline Sawangkaew M. +109 / Frech M. -132 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sun 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Starodubtseva Y. 16, McNally C. 15
- Result
- Starodubtseva Y. won by 1, could lose by up to 2 (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model McNally C. -1.5, first line McNally C. -3.0: the underdog
- Final
- Starodubtseva Y. 16, McNally C. 15
- Result
- Starodubtseva Y. won by 1
- Why
- Model 47%, first price 39%
Model vs market
- Model
- McNally C. -1.5
- First line
- McNally C. -3.0
- Latest
- McNally C. -3.0
McNally C. -3.0 at -107
- Model
- 53.1%
- First line
- 61.4%
- Latest
- 61.4%
Moneyline McNally C. -181 / Starodubtseva Y. +147 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sun 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Shi H. 16, Eala A. 12
- Result
- Eala A. lost by 4, needed to win by 6+ (5 pushes)
- Why
- Model Eala A. -6.5, first line Eala A. -5.0: the favorite
- Final
- Shi H. 16, Eala A. 12
- Result
- Eala A. lost by 4
- Why
- Model 90%, first price 76%
Model vs market
- Model
- Eala A. -6.5
- First line
- Eala A. -5.0
- Latest
- Eala A. -5.0
Eala A. -5.0 at -113
- Model
- 90.2%
- First line
- 76.4%
- Latest
- 76.4%
Moneyline Eala A. -401 / Shi H. +304 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sun 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →