WTA Tennis predictions Wed, Oct 28
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
9 matches on this slate · 41–25 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Guangzhou
Set at line Siniakova 65.3% · model 72.8%
Set at line Kraus 29.6% · model 34.0%
Set at line Yastremska 57.9% · model 58.5%
Tokyo
Set at line Rakhimova 28.2% · model 34.2%
Set at line Pohankova 24.7% · model 25.5%
Set at line Bucsa 45.2% · model 50.7%
Set at line Shnaider 75.6% · model 78.3%
Set at line Gibson 28.6% · model 31.2%
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.5
- First line
- -4.5
- Close
- -4.5
Alexandrova -4.5 at +106
- Model
- 65.8%
- First line
- 71.8%
- Close
- 71.8%
Moneyline Rakhimova K. +238 / Alexandrova E. -304 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:32 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 74.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 75.3%
Decimal odds 1.26 / 3.85, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -0.1
- First line
- +1.5
- Latest
- +1.5
Bucsa +1.5 at -106
- Model
- 50.7%
- First line
- 45.2%
- Latest
- 45.2%
Moneyline Bucsa C. +111 / Joint M. -135 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -4.5
- First line
- -4.5
- Latest
- -4.5
Shnaider -4.5 at -125
- Model
- 78.3%
- First line
- 75.6%
- Latest
- 75.6%
Moneyline Sasnovich A. +291 / Shnaider D. -381 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 72.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 65.3%
Decimal odds 1.45 / 2.73, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 70.4%
Decimal odds 1.34 / 3.18, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.5
- First line
- -4.0
- Latest
- -4.0
Eala -4.0 at -115
- Model
- 68.8%
- First line
- 71.4%
- Latest
- 71.4%
Moneyline Eala A. -298 / Gibson T. +234 (vig removed)
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 71.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Mon 8:34 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.7%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 64.8%
Decimal odds 2.69 / 1.46, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 57.9%
Decimal odds 2.24 / 1.63, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →