WTA Tennis predictions Tue, Oct 27
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
14 matches on this slate · 35–16 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Guangzhou
Kenin
Quevedo
Set at line Quevedo 53.0% · model 63.5%
Teichmann
Waltert
Set at line Teichmann 47.3% · model 53.9%
Linette
Zakharova
Set at line Zakharova 48.0% · model 60.1%
Sonmez
Sorribes Tormo
Set at line Sorribes Tormo 32.6% · model 39.4%
Volynets
Yastremska
Set at line Volynets 55.2% · model 65.3%
Liu
Ruzic
Set at line Ruzic 46.3% · model 58.8%
Kudermetova
Set at line Kudermetova 40.2% · model 53.8%
Williams
Tagger
Set at line Tagger 90.7% · model 95.1%
Sawangkaew
Set at line Sawangkaew 55.0% · model 61.9%
Tokyo
Cirstea
Joint
Set at line Cirstea 67.9% · model 75.0%
Sakkari
Putintseva
Set at line Putintseva 39.4% · model 40.7%
Bucsa
Parry
Set at line Bucsa 51.6% · model 53.1%
Pohankova
Valentova
Set at line Pohankova 34.0% · model 43.4%
Paolini
Osaka
Set at line Osaka 70.4% · model 79.0%
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -4.5
- First line
- -4.0
- Close
- -4.0
Cirstea -4.0 at -108
- Model
- 75.0%
- First line
- 67.9%
- Close
- 67.9%
Moneyline Joint M. +197 / Cirstea S. -246 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:34 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 63.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 53.0%
Decimal odds 1.78 / 2.01, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 53.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 47.4%
Decimal odds 1.79 / 1.99, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -2.5
- First line
- -3.0
- Latest
- -3.0
Sakkari -3.0 at -103
- Model
- 59.3%
- First line
- 60.6%
- Latest
- 60.6%
Moneyline Putintseva Y. +142 / Sakkari M. -175 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:34 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 60.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 48.0%
Decimal odds 1.97 / 1.82, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -0.5
- First line
- -0.5
- Latest
- -0.5
Bucsa -0.5 at -111
- Model
- 53.1%
- First line
- 51.6%
- Latest
- 51.6%
Moneyline Parry D. -103 / Bucsa C. -118 (vig removed)
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 51.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 12:48 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 60.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 67.4%
Decimal odds 2.90 / 1.40, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 65.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 55.2%
Decimal odds 2.11 / 1.71, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 46.3%
Decimal odds 2.04 / 1.76, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 53.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 40.2%
Decimal odds 2.35 / 1.58, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -1.5
- First line
- -4.0
- Latest
- -4.0
Valentova -4.0 at +101
- Model
- 56.6%
- First line
- 66.0%
- Latest
- 66.0%
Moneyline Valentova T. -225 / Pohankova M. +180 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:34 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 95.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 90.7%
Decimal odds 1.05 / 10.19, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- -4.5
- First line
- -4.5
- Latest
- -4.0
Osaka -4.0 at -115 · opened -4.5
- Model
- 79.0%
- First line
- 70.4%
- Latest
- 70.4%
Moneyline Osaka N. -282 / Paolini J. +222 (vig removed)
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 73.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 12:48 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 61.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 55.0%
Decimal odds 2.10 / 1.72, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →