WTA Tennis predictions Mon, Oct 26
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
8 matches on this slate · model went 4–3 · 35–16 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Guangzhou
Set at line Udvardy 36.5% · model 50.0%
Set at line Ibragimova 38.4% · model 41.4%
Set at line Prozorova 51.0% · model 71.8%
Tokyo
Set at line Eala 87.1% · model 91.1%
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 67.7%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 62.6%
Decimal odds 2.53 / 1.51, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Kraus S. 12, Udvardy P. 6
- Result
- Udvardy P. lost by 6
- Why
- Model 50.0%, first price 36.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- 50.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 36.5%
Decimal odds 2.59 / 1.49, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Gibson T. 13, Kasatkina D. 5
- Result
- Gibson T. won by 8
- Why
- Model 63.0%, first price 45.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 63.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 45.3%
Decimal odds 1.73 / 2.09, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bondar A. 12, Snigur D. 6
- Result
- Snigur D. lost by 6
- Why
- Model 69.1%, first price 65.1%
Model vs market
- Model
- 69.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 65.1%
Decimal odds 1.45 / 2.70, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Ibragimova A. 8, Shi H. 12
- Result
- Ibragimova A. lost by 4
- Why
- Model 41.4%, first price 38.4%
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 61.6%
Decimal odds 1.53 / 2.45, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Stojsavljevic M. 3, Eala A. 12
- Result
- Eala A. won by 9
- Why
- Model 91.1%, first price 87.1%
Model vs market
- Model
- -6.5
- First line
- -6.5
- Latest
- -6.5
Eala -6.5 at +100
- Model
- 91.1%
- First line
- 87.1%
- Latest
- 87.1%
Moneyline Eala A. -922 / Stojsavljevic M. +651 (vig removed)
- First line
- Pinnacle · 12:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Pinnacle · as of 12:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Lee C. 5, Badosa P. 12
- Result
- Badosa P. won by 7
- Why
- Model 74.0%, first price 66.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- 74.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 66.8%
Decimal odds 1.41 / 2.84, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Prozorova T. 12, Dart H. 14
- Result
- Prozorova T. lost by 2
- Why
- Model 71.8%, first price 51.0%
Model vs market
- Model
- 71.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 51.1%
Decimal odds 1.93 / 1.85, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →