WTA Tennis predictions Wed, Oct 21
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
6 matches on this slate · model went 2–4 · 35–16 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Ningbo WTA
Set at line Zakharova 21.7% · model 28.2%
Set at line Bejlek 32.9% · model 36.5%
Set at line Kostyuk 57.8% · model 68.0%
Osaka WTA
Set at line Valentova 48.3% · model 52.6%
Set at line Golubic 49.6% · model 55.4%
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Kraus S. 3, Gibson T. 12
- Result
- Gibson T. won by 9
- Why
- Model 62.1%, first price 57.9%
Model vs market
- Model
- 62.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 57.9%
Decimal odds 1.63 / 2.24, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Tagger L. 13, Valentova T. 8
- Result
- Valentova T. lost by 5
- Why
- Model 52.6%, first price 48.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 48.3%
Decimal odds 1.96 / 1.83, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Zakharova A. 7, Bouzkova M. 13
- Result
- Zakharova A. lost by 6
- Why
- Model 28.2%, first price 21.7%
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.5
- First line
- -5.0
- Latest
- -5.0
Bouzkova -5.0 at -116
- Model
- 71.8%
- First line
- 78.3%
- Latest
- 78.3%
Moneyline Bouzkova M. -458 / Zakharova A. +340 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Tue 8:31 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Tue 8:31 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Golubic V. 3, Boulter K. 12
- Result
- Golubic V. lost by 9
- Why
- Model 55.4%, first price 49.6%
Model vs market
- Model
- 55.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 49.6%
Decimal odds 1.88 / 1.91, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bejlek S. 13, Cirstea S. 10
- Result
- Bejlek S. won by 3
- Why
- Model 36.5%, first price 32.9%
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.5
- First line
- -3.5
- Latest
- -3.5
Cirstea -3.5 at -137
- Model
- 63.5%
- First line
- 67.1%
- Latest
- 67.1%
Moneyline Cirstea S. -238 / Bejlek S. +190 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / BetRivers · Tue 8:31 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / BetRivers · as of Tue 8:31 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Kostyuk M. 4, Alexandrova E. 6
- Result
- Kostyuk M. lost by 2
- Why
- Model 68.0%, first price 57.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.5
- First line
- -2.5
- Latest
- -2.5
Kostyuk -2.5 at -102
- Model
- 68.0%
- First line
- 57.8%
- Latest
- 57.8%
Moneyline Alexandrova E. +126 / Kostyuk M. -154 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Tue 8:31 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Tue 8:31 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →