WTA Tennis predictions Sat, Oct 31
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
16 matches on this slate · 54–33 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Chennai WTA
#139
Falei
Set at line Falei 92.1% · model 97.2%
Biggest factor: Return edge: Falei breaks 57% vs 14% · Falei +43.5 pts
Set at line Tkacheva 45.9% · model 59.7%
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Tkacheva holds 66% vs 60% · Tkacheva +6.6 pts
#279
Okamura
Set at line Okamura 93.5% · model 99.9%
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Okamura holds 86% vs 19% · Okamura +66.4 pts
#360
Kobori
Set at line Kobori 44.3% · model 64.0%
Biggest factor: Return edge: Kobori breaks 46% vs 36% · Matsuda +9.9 pts
Set at line Bhamidipaty 28.5% · model 47.1%
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Morvayova holds 69% vs 67% · Morvayova +1.9 pts
Set at line Dipakbhai Kanabar 13.6% · model 23.7%
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Falkowska holds 68% vs 48% · Dipakbhai Kanabar +19.2 pts
#362
Yamaguchi
Set at line Desai 11.6% · model 34.6%
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Yamaguchi holds 67% vs 56% · Yamaguchi +10.7 pts
Set at line Kulambayeva 41.2% · model 46.5%
Biggest factor: Return edge: Kotliar breaks 47% vs 45% · Kulambayeva +2.5 pts
Guangzhou
#124
Dart
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Sun holds 63% vs 61% · Sun +1.6 pts
#43
Tagger
#66
Quevedo
Set at line Quevedo 34.0% · model 36.3%
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Tagger holds 82% vs 75% · Quevedo +7.8 pts
Hong Kong WTA
#182
Sakatsume
Set at line Sakatsume 81.5% · model 85.2%
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Sakatsume holds 83% vs 58% · Sakatsume +24.6 pts
#71
Prozorova
Set at line Kinoshita 18.7% · model 32.0%
Biggest factor: Return edge: Prozorova breaks 36% vs 24% · Prozorova +11.8 pts
#234
Ibragimova
#289
Stojsavljevic
Set at line Ibragimova 55.0% · model 55.2%
Biggest factor: Return edge: Ibragimova breaks 33% vs 29% · Stojsavljevic +3.4 pts
#372
Gorgodze
#237
Pridankina
Set at line Pridankina 69.2% · model 69.4%
Biggest factor: Return edge: Pridankina breaks 49% vs 35% · Pridankina +13.8 pts
#46
Sasnovich
Set at line Sasnovich 91.8% · model 97.2%
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Sasnovich holds 78% vs 32% · Sasnovich +45.9 pts
Tokyo
#53
Pohankova
#10
Shnaider
Set at line Shnaider 69.7% · model 73.3%
Biggest factor: Return edge: Shnaider breaks 35% vs 20% · Shnaider +15.0 pts
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 85.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 81.5%
Decimal odds 1.15 / 5.05, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Wong | Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 49.5352nd of 766 | 55.5113th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 34.2628th of 766 | 39.9267th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 41.86506th of 766 | 47.72156th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 41.80557th of 887 | 47.34182nd of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 6 | 2 |
| Matches, 12 months | 13 | 44 |
| Matches rated | 260 | 389 |
Serve and return
| Wong | Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 53.4% | 65.0% |
| Return pts won | 35.0% | 46.6% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 58.5% | 83.0% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setSakatsume 84%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setSakatsume 93%set by set, before calibration; published 85% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set27%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeSakatsume 25.2, Wong 24.6small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelSakatsume 5, Wong 152counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 68.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 81.3%
Decimal odds 1.15 / 5.00, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Kinoshita | Prozorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 54.6142nd of 766 | 57.169th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 40.1256th of 766 | 43.3104th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 47.36179th of 766 | 50.2268th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 47.13188th of 887 | 50.1971st of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Matches, 12 months | 41 | 34 |
| Matches rated | 163 | 273 |
Serve and return
| Kinoshita | Prozorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 55.7% | 61.0% |
| Return pts won | 39.0% | 44.3% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 63.9% | 75.7% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setProzorova 68%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setProzorova 76%set by set, before calibration; published 68% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set36%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeProzorova 23.1, Kinoshita 20.0small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelProzorova 5, Kinoshita 46counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 55.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 55.0%
Decimal odds 2.08 / 1.70, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Ibragimova | Stojsavljevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 51.0272nd of 766 | 53.8162nd of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 41.3191st of 766 | 36.5497th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 46.18233rd of 766 | 45.19285th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 46.37234th of 887 | 45.28289th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 4 | 3 |
| Matches, 12 months | 34 | 22 |
| Matches rated | 181 | 72 |
Serve and return
| Ibragimova | Stojsavljevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 58.6% | 57.1% |
| Return pts won | 42.9% | 41.4% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 70.7% | 67.3% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setIbragimova 55%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setIbragimova 58%set by set, before calibration; published 55% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set38%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeStojsavljevic 17.9, Ibragimova 21.8small age adjustment to serve
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 69.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 69.2%
Decimal odds 1.35 / 3.03, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Gorgodze | Pridankina | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 49.7337th of 766 | 51.4261st of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 39.5291st of 766 | 41.9156th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 44.61317th of 766 | 46.62210th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 44.01372nd of 887 | 46.27237th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 3 | 5 |
| Matches, 12 months | 30 | 36 |
| Matches rated | 882 | 259 |
Serve and return
| Gorgodze | Pridankina | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 50.4% | 56.1% |
| Return pts won | 43.9% | 49.6% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 51.0% | 64.8% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setPridankina 69%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setPridankina 78%set by set, before calibration; published 69% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set35%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgePridankina 21.2, Gorgodze 34.9small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelPridankina 103, Gorgodze 152counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 97.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 91.8%
Decimal odds 1.03 / 11.50, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Shek | Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 45.4570th of 766 | 57.363rd of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 38.0404th of 766 | 46.228th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 41.69520th of 766 | 51.7644th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 41.40587th of 887 | 51.6246th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 6 | 4 |
| Matches, 12 months | 24 | 43 |
| Matches rated | 51 | 735 |
Serve and return
| Shek | Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 42.6% | 62.2% |
| Return pts won | 37.8% | 57.4% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 32.0% | 77.9% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setSasnovich 96%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setSasnovich 100%set by set, before calibration; published 97% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set12%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- Days since last event Not in the modelSasnovich 5, Shek 159counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.6
- First line
- -4.5
- Latest
- -4.5
Shnaider -4.5 at -102
- Model
- 73.3%
- First line
- 69.7%
- Latest
- 69.7%
Moneyline Shnaider D. -272 / Pohankova M. +215 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · 8:32 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of 8:32 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Pohankova | Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 59.638th of 766 | 62.017th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 42.9116th of 766 | 48.210th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 51.2550th of 766 | 55.108th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 51.0253rd of 887 | 54.9510th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 7 | 8 |
| Matches, 12 months | 26 | 59 |
| Matches rated | 54 | 319 |
Serve and return
| Pohankova | Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 56.0% | 63.1% |
| Return pts won | 36.9% | 44.0% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 64.6% | 79.7% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setShnaider 73%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setShnaider 82%set by set, before calibration; published 73% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set49%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeShnaider 22.6, Pohankova 18.0small age adjustment to serve
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 50.0%
Decimal odds 1.89 / 1.89, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Dart | Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 53.7166th of 766 | 53.8163rd of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 43.593rd of 766 | 42.4137th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 48.63116th of 766 | 48.12135th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 48.49124th of 887 | 47.55169th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 7 |
| Matches, 12 months | 47 | 16 |
| Matches rated | 635 | 31 |
Serve and return
| Dart | Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 54.5% | 55.1% |
| Return pts won | 44.9% | 45.5% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 61.0% | 62.6% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setSun 52%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setSun 54%set by set, before calibration; published 52% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set38%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeSun 16.3, Dart 30.3small age adjustment to serve
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 97.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 92.1%
Decimal odds 1.02 / 11.96, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Yashina | Falei | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 47.6466th of 766 | 53.7170th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 30.6734th of 766 | 43.3105th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 39.10637th of 766 | 48.50124th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 38.75734th of 887 | 48.24139th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Matches, 12 months | 32 | 33 |
| Matches rated | 732 | 261 |
Serve and return
| Yashina | Falei | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 47.1% | 67.2% |
| Return pts won | 32.8% | 52.9% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 42.8% | 86.4% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setFalei 96%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setFalei 100%set by set, before calibration; published 97% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set12%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeFalei 22.5, Yashina 33.2small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelFalei 173, Yashina 159counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 59.7%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 45.9%
Decimal odds 2.04 / 1.73, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Zolotareva | Tkacheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 49.2 | 52.4208th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 39.6 | 38.7353rd of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 44.39 | 45.60263rd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 45.33285th of 887 | 45.22296th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Matches, 12 months | 17 | 15 |
| Matches rated | 91 | 223 |
Serve and return
| Zolotareva | Tkacheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 53.8% | 56.6% |
| Return pts won | 43.4% | 46.2% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 59.5% | 66.2% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setTkacheva 60%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setTkacheva 65%set by set, before calibration; published 60% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set37%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- Days since last event Not in the modelTkacheva 250, Zolotareva 187counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 99.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 93.5%
Decimal odds 1.02 / 14.74, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Ramesh | Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 32.5 | 51.7242nd of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 28.0 | 39.6285th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 30.29 | 45.66258th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 30.03 | 45.42279th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 0 | 5 |
| Matches, 12 months | 0 | 26 |
| Matches rated | 2 | 605 |
Serve and return
| Ramesh | Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 36.3% | 66.7% |
| Return pts won | 33.3% | 63.7% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 19.3% | 85.6% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setOkamura 100%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setOkamura 100%set by set, before calibration; published 100% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set3%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- Days since last event Not in the modelOkamura 40, Ramesh 369counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 63.7%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 66.0%
Decimal odds 2.77 / 1.43, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Tagger | Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 62.414th of 766 | 58.056th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 41.7169th of 766 | 42.2147th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 52.0440th of 766 | 50.0673rd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 51.8043rd of 887 | 50.2866th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 6 | 8 |
| Matches, 12 months | 52 | 39 |
| Matches rated | 129 | 207 |
Serve and return
| Tagger | Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 64.7% | 60.5% |
| Return pts won | 39.5% | 35.3% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 82.5% | 74.7% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setTagger 64%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setTagger 70%set by set, before calibration; published 64% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set38%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeQuevedo 20.7, Tagger 18.7small age adjustment to serve
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 64.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 44.3%
Decimal odds 1.68 / 2.11, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Kobori | Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 49.7339th of 766 | 48.3415th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 40.1253rd of 766 | 37.4433rd of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 44.88300th of 766 | 42.86432nd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 44.28360th of 887 | 42.49496th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Matches, 12 months | 15 | 40 |
| Matches rated | 365 | 207 |
Serve and return
| Kobori | Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 55.6% | 51.6% |
| Return pts won | 48.4% | 44.4% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 63.7% | 53.9% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setKobori 64%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setKobori 71%set by set, before calibration; published 64% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set36%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- Days since last event Not in the modelMatsuda 159, Kobori 166counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 71.5%
Decimal odds 1.31 / 3.29, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Bhamidipaty | Morvayova | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 50.1 | 52.0229th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 37.8 | 36.7485th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 43.92 | 44.38330th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 43.67 | 43.81384th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 4 |
| Matches, 12 months | 9 | 39 |
| Matches rated | 207 | 455 |
Serve and return
| Bhamidipaty | Morvayova | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 57.1% | 57.9% |
| Return pts won | 42.1% | 42.9% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 67.2% | 69.1% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setMorvayova 53%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setMorvayova 54%set by set, before calibration; published 53% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set38%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeMorvayova 25.7, Bhamidipaty 24.8small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelMorvayova 40, Bhamidipaty 257counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 76.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 86.4%
Decimal odds 6.95 / 1.09, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Falkowska | Dipakbhai Kanabar | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 50.7290th of 766 | 44.3 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 38.3383rd of 766 | 37.0 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 44.51321st of 766 | 40.65 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 44.58339th of 887 | 40.36 |
| Wins, last 10 | 6 | 4 |
| Matches, 12 months | 29 | 6 |
| Matches rated | 356 | 6 |
Serve and return
| Falkowska | Dipakbhai Kanabar | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 57.3% | 49.4% |
| Return pts won | 50.6% | 42.7% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 67.7% | 48.5% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setFalkowska 76%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setFalkowska 86%set by set, before calibration; published 76% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set32%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- Days since last event Not in the modelDipakbhai Kanabar 187, Falkowska 159counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 65.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 88.4%
Decimal odds 1.06 / 8.07, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Desai | Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 47.5478th of 766 | 50.6294th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 37.1457th of 766 | 38.3381st of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 42.27472nd of 766 | 44.47323rd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 41.98541st of 887 | 44.26362nd of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 8 | 5 |
| Matches, 12 months | 28 | 36 |
| Matches rated | 382 | 341 |
Serve and return
| Desai | Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 52.6% | 57.0% |
| Return pts won | 43.0% | 47.4% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 56.4% | 67.1% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setYamaguchi 65%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setYamaguchi 72%set by set, before calibration; published 65% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set36%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- Days since last event Not in the modelYamaguchi 40, Desai 152counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 53.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 58.8%
Decimal odds 2.27 / 1.59, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Head to head
| Kotliar | Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 46.6515th of 766 | 48.4 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 40.8209th of 766 | 38.9 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 43.73373rd of 766 | 43.65 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 44.52342nd of 887 | 44.47346th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 4 |
| Matches, 12 months | 32 | 17 |
| Matches rated | 122 | 420 |
Serve and return
| Kotliar | Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 52.2% | 51.2% |
| Return pts won | 48.8% | 47.8% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 55.4% | 53.0% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawQualifying
- Chance to win a setKotliar 54%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setKotliar 55%set by set, before calibration; published 53% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set38%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeKulambayeva 26.6, Kotliar 19.7small age adjustment to serve
- Surface switchKotliar from claygames projection only, not the win chance
- Days since last event Not in the modelKulambayeva 159, Kotliar 159counted from event start dates
Model wta_chal_v2_c7 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →