WTA Tennis predictions Mon, Oct 19
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
10 matches on this slate · model went 7–3 · 35–16 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Ningbo WTA
Cirstea
Set at line Cirstea 73.0% · model 83.3%
Sasnovich
Kasatkina
Set at line Sasnovich 56.1% · model 61.2%
Bouzkova
Rakhimova
Set at line Rakhimova 30.4% · model 30.6%
Parry
Eala
Set at line Parry 27.8% · model 29.3%
Osaka WTA
Samsonova
Tagger
Quevedo
Tararudee
Hontama
Golubic
Dart
Gibson
Kraus
McNally
Boulter
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 53.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 55.5%
Decimal odds 2.12 / 1.70, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.7%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 37.9%
Decimal odds 1.52 / 2.49, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 69.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 71.5%
Decimal odds 1.32 / 3.31, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 69.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 55.5%
Decimal odds 1.70 / 2.12, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 55.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 68.2%
Decimal odds 1.38 / 2.96, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Shi H. 5, Cirstea S. 12
- Result
- Cirstea S. won by 7
- Why
- Model 83.3%, first price 73.0%
Model vs market
- Model
- -5.5
- First line
- -4.5
- Latest
- -4.5
Cirstea -4.5 at -110
- Model
- 83.3%
- First line
- 73.0%
- Latest
- 73.0%
Moneyline Cirstea S. -325 / Shi H. +253 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sun 8:34 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 62.6%
Decimal odds 1.51 / 2.53, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Sasnovich A. 12, Kasatkina D. 6
- Result
- Sasnovich A. won by 6
- Why
- Model 61.2%, first price 56.1%
Model vs market
- Model
- -3.5
- First line
- -1.5
- Latest
- -1.5
Sasnovich -1.5 at -111
- Model
- 61.2%
- First line
- 56.1%
- Latest
- 56.1%
Moneyline Kasatkina D. +117 / Sasnovich A. -143 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sun 8:34 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bouzkova M. 12, Rakhimova K. 8
- Result
- Rakhimova K. lost by 4
- Why
- Model 30.6%, first price 30.4%
Model vs market
- Model
- -4.5
- First line
- -4.5
- Latest
- -4.5
Bouzkova -4.5 at +103
- Model
- 69.4%
- First line
- 69.6%
- Latest
- 69.6%
Moneyline Rakhimova K. +214 / Bouzkova M. -270 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sun 8:34 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Parry D. 4, Eala A. 12
- Result
- Parry D. lost by 8
- Why
- Model 29.3%, first price 27.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- -4.5
- First line
- -4.5
- Latest
- -4.5
Eala -4.5 at -121
- Model
- 70.7%
- First line
- 72.2%
- Latest
- 72.2%
Moneyline Eala A. -311 / Parry D. +243 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sun 8:34 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sun 8:34 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →