The models Changelog
What changed in each model and when. A version goes up only when a published number changes; work in testing runs alongside the live model without changing it.
October 2026
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Hockey bets wait for the goalies
A hockey bet is set at the morning line only if both starting goalies are already confirmed. Otherwise it is set at the closing line, with the forecast published by then.
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Steadier goalie ratings in testing
A goalie rating that reacts less to a handful of starts passed a test on the last two seasons and now runs alongside the live model. It is judged on this season before it can replace it.
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Power play units in testing
Power play deployment from DailyFaceoff's lines is logged on every run but not used yet.
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Shots, points and the Tims tab
Shots on goal, points and assists join the player projections, and a Tims tab ranks the day's Tims Hockey Challenge groups by goal chance.
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Confirmed starting goalies
The model now uses DailyFaceoff's confirmed or likely starter instead of a guess, and hourly afternoon runs pick up confirmations as they land.
September 2026
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NHL player projections
An anytime goal model built on each night's lines, with player projections in every game sheet.
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Goalies at the start of the season
Goalie ratings, starters and the goalie feed now carry correctly from one season into the next.