The models Changelog
What changed in each model and when. A version goes up only when a published number changes; work in testing runs alongside the live model without changing it.
October 2026
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Transfer portal layer in testing
An adjustment for players arriving through the transfer portal is logged on every game but not shown.
September 2026
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Next model in testing
A new version with ratings that reset more sensibly between seasons runs alongside the live model. It replaces it only after a live record.
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One rating engine for every game
The current model serves every game it can forecast, FCS opponents get their own rating, and games with a first-year FBS team are shown but left out of the record.