The models Changelog
What changed in each model and when. A version goes up only when a published number changes; work in testing runs alongside the live model without changing it.
October 2026
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Player props graded
Every NBA player prop is now graded against the box score after the game, including this season's earlier games. A player who did not play is left out, not counted as a miss.
September 2026
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Projections from opening night
Player projections are available for every team's first game, before anyone has played.
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Injuries and back-to-backs
Each night's official injury report and back-to-back schedules now move the projected margin.