The Forecast Card

ATP Tennis predictions Mon, Oct 26

Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. Methodology →

11 matches on this slate · model went 8–2 · 50–35 since Oct 20 (model V4) →

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Updated 7h ago

Basel

✗ Favorite lost
Navone
9 50.3% · proj 11.2
Vacherot
13 49.7% · proj 11.2
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.4
NavoneModelMarket
Win 50.3% 36.7%
Our bet Navone +157 ✗ Lost

Set at line Navone 36.7% · model 50.3%

✓ Favorite won
BN Borges
12 76.8% · proj 12.4
Brunold
4 23.2% · proj 8.9
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.3
BorgesModelMarket
Win 76.8% 64.5%
Our bet Borges -213 ✓ Won

Set at line Borges 64.5% · model 76.8%

✓ Favorite won
Halys
17 43.4% · proj 11.3
Rune
19 56.6% · proj 11.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 23.1
RuneModelMarket
Win 56.6% 50.9%
Our bet Rune -116 ✓ Won

Set at line Rune 50.8% · model 56.6%

✗ Favorite lost
Cerundolo
17 53.1% · proj 11.5
Altmaier
19 46.9% · proj 11.0
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.5
CerundoloModelMarket
Win 53.1% 58.3%
Our bet Altmaier +125 ✓ Won

Set at line Altmaier 41.7% · model 46.9%

✓ Favorite won
Ruud
17 79.5% · proj 12.3
Stricker
14 20.5% · proj 8.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.1
RuudModelMarket
Win 79.5% 70.6%
Our bet Ruud -294 ✓ Won

Set at line Ruud 70.6% · model 79.5%

Vienna

Fearnley
51.9% 11.3
Fery
48.1% 10.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.1
FearnleyModelMarket
Win 51.9% 47.9%
Our bet Fearnley -103 4.0% edge

Set at line Fearnley 47.9% · model 51.9%

✓ Favorite won
Etcheverry
7 44.0% · proj 11.4
Berrettini
12 56.0% · proj 11.9
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 23.3
BerrettiniModelMarket
Win 56.0% 61.3%
Our bet Etcheverry +144 ✗ Lost

Set at line Etcheverry 38.7% · model 44.0%

✓ Favorite won
De Minaur
13 76.4% · proj 12.3
Machac
13 23.6% · proj 8.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.1
De MinaurModelMarket
Win 76.4% 69.8%
Our bet De Minaur -286 ✓ Won

Set at line De Minaur 69.8% · model 76.4%

✓ Favorite won
Neumayer
4 10.6% · proj 7.6
Mensik
12 89.4% · proj 12.1
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 19.7
MensikModelMarket
Win 89.4% 83.6%
Our bet Mensik -769 ✓ Won

Set at line Mensik 83.6% · model 89.4%

✓ Favorite won
Arnaldi
7 49.3% · proj 11.1
Darderi
13 50.7% · proj 11.1
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.2
DarderiModelMarket
Win 50.7% 47.0%
Our bet Darderi +101 ✓ Won

Set at line Darderi 47.0% · model 50.7%

✓ Favorite won
Tien
12 71.0% · proj 12.4
Van Assche
4 29.0% · proj 8.9
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.3
TienModelMarket
Win 71.0% 64.8%
Our bet Tien -217 ✓ Won

Set at line Tien 64.8% · model 71.0%