ATP Tennis predictions Sun, Oct 25
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. Methodology →
11 matches on this slate · model went 6–4 · 50–35 since Oct 20 (model V4) →
Games
Almaty
Set at line Medvedev 76.8% · model 81.4%
Basel
Set at line Hanfmann 59.3% · model 64.0%
Set at line Cerundolo 48.5% · model 53.0%
Set at line Mpetshi Perricard 43.1% · model 54.1%
Set at line Brunold 57.7% · model 59.4%
Brussels
Set at line Griekspoor 52.8% · model 54.9%
Lyon
Vienna
Set at line Sonego 42.8% · model 43.4%
Set at line Droguet 69.1% · model 71.0%
Set at line Marozsan 30.7% · model 52.9%
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Basilashvili N. 11, Medvedev D. 18
- Result
- Medvedev D. won by 7
- Why
- Model 81.4%, first price 76.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- 81.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 76.8%
Decimal odds 1.23 / 4.08, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Hanfmann Y. 13, Hijikata R. 13
- Result
- Hanfmann Y. tied
- Why
- Model 64.0%, first price 59.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 64.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 59.3%
Decimal odds 2.30 / 1.58, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Fearnley J. 18, Sonego L. 12
- Result
- Sonego L. lost by 6
- Why
- Model 43.4%, first price 42.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- 56.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 57.2%
Decimal odds 2.19 / 1.64, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Droguet T. 9, Neumayer L. 13
- Result
- Droguet T. lost by 4
- Why
- Model 71.0%, first price 69.1%
Model vs market
- Model
- 71.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 69.1%
Decimal odds 3.04 / 1.36, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Altmaier D. 9, Cerundolo J. 13
- Result
- Cerundolo J. won by 4
- Why
- Model 53.0%, first price 48.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- 53.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 48.4%
Decimal odds 1.93 / 1.81, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Kovacevic A. 12, Mpetshi Perricard G. 14
- Result
- Mpetshi Perricard G. won by 2
- Why
- Model 54.1%, first price 43.1%
Model vs market
- Model
- 54.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 43.0%
Decimal odds 2.17 / 1.64, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Fritz T. 7, Musetti L. 12
- Result
- Musetti L. won by 5
- Why
- Model 36.6%, first price 36.4%
Model vs market
- Model
- 63.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 63.6%
Decimal odds 2.60 / 1.49, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Machac T. –, Marozsan F. –
- Result
- walkover
- Why
- Model 52.9%, first price 30.7%
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 30.8%
Decimal odds 3.04 / 1.35, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Molcan A. 7, Mannarino A. 13
- Result
- Molcan A. lost by 6
- Why
- Model 59.3%, first price 55.6%
Model vs market
- Model
- 59.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 55.6%
Decimal odds 2.08 / 1.66, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bertola R. 13, Brunold M. 10
- Result
- Brunold M. lost by 3
- Why
- Model 59.4%, first price 57.7%
Model vs market
- Model
- 59.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 57.7%
Decimal odds 1.62 / 2.21, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Griekspoor T. 16, Struff J. 13
- Result
- Griekspoor T. won by 3
- Why
- Model 54.9%, first price 52.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- 54.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 52.8%
Decimal odds 2.00 / 1.79, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →