ATP Tennis predictions Sat, Oct 24
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. Methodology →
8 matches on this slate · model went 3–5 · 50–35 since Oct 20 (model V4) →
Games
Almaty
Set at line Tsitsipas 68.8% · model 70.1%
Set at line Medvedev 64.2% · model 65.9%
Brussels
Set at line Cerundolo 59.3% · model 66.0%
Lyon
Set at line Musetti 49.3% · model 66.3%
Vienna
Set at line Tirante 59.6% · model 65.2%
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Tsitsipas S. 14, Basilashvili N. 18
- Result
- Tsitsipas S. lost by 4
- Why
- Model 70.1%, first price 68.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- 70.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 68.8%
Decimal odds 3.02 / 1.37, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Fritz T. 13, Paul T. 8
- Result
- Paul T. lost by 5
- Why
- Model 39.1%, first price 36.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 60.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 63.7%
Decimal odds 2.60 / 1.48, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bublik A. 3, Medvedev D. 6
- Result
- Medvedev D. won by 3
- Why
- Model 65.9%, first price 64.2%
Model vs market
- Model
- 65.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 64.1%
Decimal odds 1.47 / 2.63, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Musetti L. 17, Cobolli F. 13
- Result
- Musetti L. won by 4
- Why
- Model 66.3%, first price 49.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 49.2%
Decimal odds 1.86 / 1.92, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Griekspoor T. 15, Cerundolo F. 15
- Result
- Cerundolo F. tied
- Why
- Model 66.0%, first price 59.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 59.3%
Decimal odds 1.59 / 2.32, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 57.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 42.1%
Decimal odds 2.23 / 1.62, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Mannarino A. 13, Tirante T. 10
- Result
- Tirante T. lost by 3
- Why
- Model 65.2%, first price 59.6%
Model vs market
- Model
- 65.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 59.6%
Decimal odds 1.57 / 2.32, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Struff J. 19, Fils A. 17
- Result
- Fils A. lost by 2
- Why
- Model 85.3%, first price 79.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 85.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 79.3%
Decimal odds 1.19 / 4.57, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →