The Forecast Card

ATP Tennis predictions Tue, Oct 27

Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. Methodology →

13 matches on this slate · 50–35 since Oct 20 (model V4) →

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Updated 2h ago

Basel

Bergs
40.1% 10.6
Hurkacz
59.9% 12.1
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.7
HurkaczModelMarket
Spread -1.5 -1.5
Win 59.9% 62.6%
Our bet Bergs +155 2.7% edge

Set at line Bergs 37.4% · model 40.1%

Rinderknech
54.8% 12.3
Kym
45.2% 10.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 23.1
RinderknechModelMarket
Spread -1.5 +1.0
Win 54.8% 45.0%
Our bet Rinderknech +112 9.8% edge

Set at line Rinderknech 45.0% · model 54.8%

Jodar
67.3% 12.2
Tabilo
32.7% 9.7
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.9
JodarModelMarket
Spread -2.5 -4.0
Win 67.3% 74.4%
Our bet Tabilo +272 7.0% edge

Set at line Tabilo 25.6% · model 32.7%

Van De Zandschulp
30.7% 9.5
Michelsen
69.3% 12.0
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.5
MichelsenModelMarket
Spread -2.5 -2.5
Win 69.3% 63.8%
Our bet Michelsen -202 5.6% edge

Set at line Michelsen 63.8% · model 69.3%

Fils
86.4% 12.8
Mpetshi Perricard
13.6% 9.3
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.1
FilsModelMarket
Spread -3.5 -3.0
Win 86.4% 74.8%
Our bet Fils -362 11.7% edge

Set at line Fils 74.8% · model 86.4%

Kovacevic
12.3% 8.9
Shelton
87.7% 12.4
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.3
SheltonModelMarket
Spread -3.5 -3.0
Win 87.7% 80.9%
Our bet Shelton -556 6.8% edge

Set at line Shelton 80.9% · model 87.7%

Lehecka
88.0% 12.1
Wawrinka
12.0% 8.6
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 20.7
LeheckaModelMarket
Spread -3.5 -3.5
Win 88.0% 80.7%
Our bet Lehecka -547 7.3% edge

Set at line Lehecka 80.7% · model 88.0%

Vienna

Rublev
44.9% 11.0
PT Paul
55.1% 11.5
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.5
PaulModelMarket
Spread -0.5 -1.5
Win 55.1% 57.6%
Our bet Rublev +125 2.4% edge

Set at line Rublev 42.4% · model 44.9%

Alcaraz
82.4% 12.3
Khachanov
17.6% 8.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.1
AlcarazModelMarket
Spread -3.5 -4.0
Win 82.4% 78.6%
Our bet Alcaraz -466 3.8% edge

Set at line Alcaraz 78.6% · model 82.4%

Buse
61.0% 12.2
Mannarino
39.0% 9.7
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.9
BuseModelMarket
Spread -2.5 +2.5
Win 61.0% 38.3%
Our bet Buse +149 22.8% edge

Set at line Buse 38.3% · model 61.0%

LM Landaluce
11.5% 7.9
Zverev
88.5% 12.4
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 20.3
ZverevModelMarket
Spread -4.5 -4.5
Win 88.5% 87.1%
Our bet Zverev -1040 1.5% edge

Set at line Zverev 87.1% · model 88.5%

Cerundolo
63.7% 12.2
Norrie
36.3% 9.7
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.9
CerundoloModelMarket
Spread -2.5 -3.0
Win 63.7% 64.4%
Our bet Norrie +168 0.8% edge

Set at line Norrie 35.6% · model 36.3%

Dimitrov
44.1% 10.9
Cobolli
55.9% 11.4
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.3
CobolliModelMarket
Spread -0.5 -2.5
Win 55.9% 64.0%
Our bet Dimitrov +164 8.0% edge

Set at line Dimitrov 36.0% · model 44.1%