The Forecast Card

ATP Tennis predictions Wed, Oct 21

Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. Methodology →

14 matches on this slate · model went 6–8 · 50–35 since Oct 20 (model V4) →

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Updated 5d ago

Almaty

✗ Favorite lost
Etcheverry
16 52.8% · proj 11.6
Bellucci
15 47.2% · proj 11.1
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.7
EtcheverryModelMarket
Win 52.8% 47.4%
Our bet Etcheverry -101 ✗ Lost

Set at line Etcheverry 47.3% · model 52.8%

✗ Favorite lost
Darderi
11 60.3% · proj 12.0
DJ Duckworth
14 39.7% · proj 10.5
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.5
DarderiModelMarket
Win 60.3% 51.6%
Our bet Darderi -120 ✗ Lost

Set at line Darderi 51.6% · model 60.3%

✗ Favorite lost
Basilashvili
12 47.5% · proj 10.9
Diaz Acosta
6 52.5% · proj 11.4
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.3
Diaz AcostaModelMarket
Win 52.5% 34.4%
Our bet Diaz Acosta +174 ✗ Lost

Set at line Diaz Acosta 34.5% · model 52.5%

✗ Favorite lost
Rublev
13 79.6% · proj 12.2
Mannarino
15 20.4% · proj 8.7
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 20.9
RublevModelMarket
Win 79.6% 73.9%
Our bet Rublev -357 ✗ Lost

Set at line Rublev 73.9% · model 79.6%

✓ Favorite won
Kukushkin
3 16.7% · proj 8.1
Tsitsipas
12 83.3% · proj 12.6
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 20.7
TsitsipasModelMarket
Win 83.3% 91.2%
Our bet Kukushkin +972 ✗ Lost

Set at line Kukushkin 8.8% · model 16.7%

Brussels

✗ Favorite lost
Dzumhur
15 21.6% · proj 8.0
Prizmic
14 78.4% · proj 12.5
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 20.5
PrizmicModelMarket
Win 78.4% 69.0%
Our bet Prizmic -270 ✗ Lost

Set at line Prizmic 69.0% · model 78.4%

✗ Favorite lost
Griekspoor
14 44.4% · proj 11.0
Navone
11 55.6% · proj 11.5
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.5
NavoneModelMarket
Win 55.6% 40.7%
Our bet Navone +132 ✗ Lost

Set at line Navone 40.7% · model 55.6%

✗ Favorite lost
Fearnley
8 58.9% · proj 11.6
Chidekh
13 41.1% · proj 10.1
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.7
FearnleyModelMarket
Win 58.9% 52.0%
Our bet Fearnley -123 ✗ Lost

Set at line Fearnley 52.0% · model 58.9%

✓ Favorite won
Bertola
13 45.0% · proj 10.7
Goffin
15 55.0% · proj 11.2
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.9
GoffinModelMarket
Win 55.0% 36.9%
Our bet Goffin +156 ✓ Won

Set at line Goffin 36.9% · model 55.0%

✓ Favorite won
Struff
12 72.5% · proj 12.3
Onclin
6 27.5% · proj 8.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.1
StruffModelMarket
Win 72.5% 73.7%
Our bet Onclin +258 ✗ Lost

Set at line Onclin 26.3% · model 27.5%

Lyon

✗ Favorite lost
LM Landaluce
16 64.0% · proj 12.3
Wawrinka
19 36.0% · proj 9.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 22.1
LandaluceModelMarket
Win 64.0% 60.5%
Our bet Landaluce -179 ✗ Lost

Set at line Landaluce 60.5% · model 64.0%

✓ Favorite won
BF Balshaw
8 34.0% · proj 9.6
Moutet
12 66.0% · proj 12.1
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.7
MoutetModelMarket
Win 66.0% 48.1%
Our bet Moutet -104 ✓ Won

Set at line Moutet 48.1% · model 66.0%

✓ Favorite won
Musetti
12 86.1% · proj 12.3
Kouame
8 13.9% · proj 7.8
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 20.1
MusettiModelMarket
Win 86.1% 73.8%
Our bet Musetti -357 ✓ Won

Set at line Musetti 73.8% · model 86.1%

✓ Favorite won
PT Paul
18 74.5% · proj 12.4
Bonzi
14 25.5% · proj 8.9
Hard Best of 3
Projected total games 21.3
PaulModelMarket
Win 74.5% 71.5%
Our bet Paul -312 ✓ Won

Set at line Paul 71.5% · model 74.5%