ATP Tennis predictions Tue, Oct 20
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. Methodology →
20 matches on this slate · model went 11–9 · 50–35 since Oct 20 (model V4) →
Games
Almaty
Set at line Shimabukuro 17.8% · model 18.4%
Set at line Kovacevic 22.5% · model 22.9%
Set at line Marozsan 73.1% · model 74.5%
Set at line Khachanov 67.5% · model 72.2%
Brussels
Set at line Schoenhaus 24.4% · model 25.2%
Set at line Van De Zandschulp 57.5% · model 61.3%
Set at line Fearnley 59.9% · model 68.1%
Set at line Collignon 42.7% · model 54.0%
Lyon
Set at line Altmaier 35.3% · model 39.0%
Set at line Tabur 39.9% · model 40.6%
Set at line Berrettini 56.4% · model 68.0%
Set at line Nakashima 69.3% · model 74.1%
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Hijikata R. 8, Atmane T. 13
- Result
- Atmane T. won by 5
- Why
- Model 59.0%, first price 47.9%
Model vs market
- Model
- 59.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 47.9%
Decimal odds 1.97 / 1.81, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Safiullin R. 15, Shimabukuro S. 18
- Result
- Shimabukuro S. won by 3
- Why
- Model 18.4%, first price 17.8%
Model vs market
- Model
- 81.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 82.2%
Decimal odds 5.31 / 1.15, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Kovacevic A. 15, Tsitsipas S. 16
- Result
- Kovacevic A. lost by 1
- Why
- Model 22.9%, first price 22.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- 77.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 77.5%
Decimal odds 1.22 / 4.21, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Cerundolo J. 8, Navone M. 13
- Result
- Navone M. won by 5
- Why
- Model 64.0%, first price 59.4%
Model vs market
- Model
- 64.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 59.4%
Decimal odds 1.59 / 2.33, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Schoenhaus M. 18, Griekspoor T. 20
- Result
- Schoenhaus M. lost by 2
- Why
- Model 25.2%, first price 24.4%
Model vs market
- Model
- 74.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 75.6%
Decimal odds 1.25 / 3.88, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Skatov T. 11, Marozsan F. 14
- Result
- Marozsan F. won by 3
- Why
- Model 74.5%, first price 73.1%
Model vs market
- Model
- 74.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 73.1%
Decimal odds 1.29 / 3.51, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Baez S. 7, Herbert P. 12
- Result
- Baez S. lost by 5
- Why
- Model 71.5%, first price 43.4%
Model vs market
- Model
- 71.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 43.4%
Decimal odds 1.67 / 2.18, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Giron M. 12, Struff J. 14
- Result
- Giron M. lost by 2
- Why
- Model 50.5%, first price 41.4%
Model vs market
- Model
- 50.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 41.4%
Decimal odds 1.61 / 2.28, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Chidekh C. 12, Van De Zandschulp B. 5
- Result
- Van De Zandschulp B. lost by 7
- Why
- Model 61.3%, first price 57.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- 61.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 57.5%
Decimal odds 1.64 / 2.22, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Gojo B. 13, Fery A. 9
- Result
- Fery A. lost by 4
- Why
- Model 66.6%, first price 60.1%
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 60.2%
Decimal odds 1.57 / 2.37, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Moutet C. 19, Humbert U. 15
- Result
- Moutet C. won by 4
- Why
- Model 40.5%, first price 29.6%
Model vs market
- Model
- 59.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 70.4%
Decimal odds 1.34 / 3.19, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Droguet T. 19, Altmaier D. 19
- Result
- Altmaier D. tied
- Why
- Model 39.0%, first price 35.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 61.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 64.7%
Decimal odds 2.68 / 1.46, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Norrie C. 12, Bonzi B. 15
- Result
- Norrie C. lost by 3
- Why
- Model 61.1%, first price 53.0%
Model vs market
- Model
- 61.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 53.0%
Decimal odds 2.01 / 1.78, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Gaston H. 3, Fearnley J. 12
- Result
- Fearnley J. won by 9
- Why
- Model 68.1%, first price 59.9%
Model vs market
- Model
- 68.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 59.9%
Decimal odds 1.57 / 2.35, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Khachanov K. 12, Sakamoto R. 6
- Result
- Khachanov K. won by 6
- Why
- Model 72.2%, first price 67.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- 72.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 67.5%
Decimal odds 2.91 / 1.40, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Tabur C. 9, Van Assche L. 13
- Result
- Tabur C. lost by 4
- Why
- Model 40.6%, first price 39.9%
Model vs market
- Model
- 59.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 60.2%
Decimal odds 1.57 / 2.37, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bergs Z. 13, Samuel T. 9
- Result
- Samuel T. lost by 4
- Why
- Model 47.9%, first price 32.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 67.7%
Decimal odds 2.91 / 1.39, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Jacquet K. 14, Berrettini M. 11
- Result
- Berrettini M. lost by 3
- Why
- Model 68.0%, first price 56.4%
Model vs market
- Model
- 68.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 56.4%
Decimal odds 1.68 / 2.17, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Collignon R. 15, Basavareddy N. 13
- Result
- Collignon R. won by 2
- Why
- Model 54.0%, first price 42.7%
Model vs market
- Model
- 54.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 42.7%
Decimal odds 1.65 / 2.21, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Nakashima B. 19, Medjedovic H. 15
- Result
- Nakashima B. won by 4
- Why
- Model 74.1%, first price 69.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 74.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 69.3%
Decimal odds 3.07 / 1.36, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →