WTA Tennis predictions Tue, Nov 3
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every WTA match. Methodology →
16 matches on this slate · 75–41 since Oct 20 (model V2) →
Games
Chennai WTA
Biggest factor: Return edge: Teichmann breaks 38% vs 34% · Teichmann +3.5 pts
Biggest factor: Return edge: Montgomery breaks 35% vs 25% · Udvardy +10.1 pts
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Kostovic holds 67% vs 62% · Selekhmeteva +4.4 pts
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Zakharova holds 67% vs 61% · Zakharova +5.8 pts
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Burrage holds 68% vs 56% · Burrage +12.1 pts
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Tjen holds 91% vs 50% · Tjen +41.5 pts
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Kudermetova holds 78% vs 52% · Morvayova +26.0 pts
Biggest factor: Return edge: Kawa breaks 49% vs 29% · Rajeshwaran Revathi +19.5 pts
Biggest factor: Return edge: Stefanini breaks 54% vs 31% · Zolotareva +23.7 pts
Hong Kong WTA
Biggest factor: Return edge: Sonmez breaks 35% vs 31% · Yastremska +4.2 pts
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Gibson holds 69% vs 57% · Gibson +11.8 pts
Biggest factor: Return edge: Joint breaks 41% vs 31% · Inglis +9.7 pts
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Samsonova holds 68% vs 61% · Shubladze +7.2 pts
Biggest factor: Return edge: Valentova breaks 41% vs 30% · Sakatsume +10.5 pts
Biggest factor: Return edge: Eala breaks 41% vs 18% · Parks +23.8 pts
Biggest factor: Serve edge: Badosa holds 72% vs 54% · Pridankina +17.3 pts
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 55.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 52.9%
Decimal odds 1.78 / 2.00, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Garland | Teichmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 55.598th of 766 | 54.5 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 41.7171st of 766 | 44.7 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 48.61128th of 766 | 49.59 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 48.27140th of 887 | 49.9774th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Matches, 12 months | 15 | 18 |
| Matches rated | 392 | 558 |
Serve and return
| Garland | Teichmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 54.9% | 56.4% |
| Return pts won | 43.6% | 45.1% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 62.0% | 65.5% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setTeichmann 55%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setTeichmann 58%set by set, before calibration; published 55% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set38%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeTeichmann 29.3, Garland 25.3small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelTeichmann 8, Garland 43counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 65.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 69.7%
Decimal odds 3.10 / 1.35, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Montgomery | Udvardy | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 55.4 | 56.282nd of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 43.7 | 39.0314th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 49.55 | 47.61163rd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 49.5985th of 887 | 48.01148th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 4 | 2 |
| Matches, 12 months | 18 | 57 |
| Matches rated | 250 | 573 |
Serve and return
| Montgomery | Udvardy | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 60.7% | 56.1% |
| Return pts won | 43.9% | 39.3% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 75.0% | 64.9% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setMontgomery 66%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setMontgomery 73%set by set, before calibration; published 66% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set36%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeUdvardy 28.1, Montgomery 22.2small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelUdvardy 8, Montgomery 34counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 56.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 55.6%
Decimal odds 2.13 / 1.70, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Kostovic | Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 53.6146th of 766 | 52.7176th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 41.9163rd of 766 | 41.5176th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 47.75157th of 766 | 47.07191st of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 47.93153rd of 887 | 47.19192nd of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 4 | 3 |
| Matches, 12 months | 37 | 34 |
| Matches rated | 128 | 349 |
Serve and return
| Kostovic | Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 56.9% | 55.0% |
| Return pts won | 45.0% | 43.1% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 66.7% | 62.3% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setKostovic 57%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setKostovic 60%set by set, before calibration; published 57% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set38%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeSelekhmeteva 23.8, Kostovic 19.4small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelSelekhmeteva 65, Kostovic 8counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 56.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 51.1%
Decimal odds 1.93 / 1.85, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Sonmez | Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 55.794th of 766 | 56.377th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 44.273rd of 766 | 41.9159th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 49.9174th of 766 | 49.10103rd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 49.8578th of 887 | 49.10106th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 3 | 4 |
| Matches, 12 months | 54 | 43 |
| Matches rated | 424 | 456 |
Serve and return
| Sonmez | Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 57.9% | 56.0% |
| Return pts won | 44.0% | 42.1% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 68.9% | 64.7% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setSonmez 56%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setSonmez 60%set by set, before calibration; published 56% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set38%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeYastremska 26.5, Sonmez 24.5small age adjustment to serve
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 67.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 79.6%
Decimal odds 1.19 / 4.65, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Oliynykova | Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 50.4277th of 766 | 57.552nd of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 44.078th of 766 | 41.5178th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 47.21183rd of 766 | 49.5091st of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 47.69165th of 887 | 49.26101st of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Matches, 12 months | 54 | 69 |
| Matches rated | 422 | 347 |
Serve and return
| Oliynykova | Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 52.9% | 57.9% |
| Return pts won | 42.1% | 47.1% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 57.2% | 69.0% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setGibson 67%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setGibson 75%set by set, before calibration; published 67% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set35%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeGibson 22.4, Oliynykova 25.8small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelGibson 8, Oliynykova 15counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 61.1%
Decimal odds 1.54 / 2.42, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Iatcenko | Zakharova | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 52.9166th of 766 | 54.8117th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 42.0155th of 766 | 42.8122nd of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 47.44174th of 766 | 48.78117th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 47.55173rd of 887 | 48.52134th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 6 | 3 |
| Matches, 12 months | 27 | 52 |
| Matches rated | 292 | 479 |
Serve and return
| Iatcenko | Zakharova | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 54.4% | 56.9% |
| Return pts won | 43.1% | 45.6% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 60.9% | 66.8% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setZakharova 59%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setZakharova 63%set by set, before calibration; published 59% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set37%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeZakharova 24.8, Iatcenko 22.9small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelZakharova 8, Iatcenko 65counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 64.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 73.5%
Decimal odds 3.58 / 1.29, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Joint | Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 55.5101st of 766 | 55.1109th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 45.149th of 766 | 42.3142nd of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 50.2668th of 766 | 48.68122nd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 50.0471st of 887 | 48.61127th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 2 |
| Matches, 12 months | 37 | 26 |
| Matches rated | 232 | 460 |
Serve and return
| Joint | Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 57.7% | 53.6% |
| Return pts won | 46.4% | 42.3% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 68.7% | 58.9% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setJoint 64%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setJoint 71%set by set, before calibration; published 64% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set36%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeInglis 28.8, Joint 20.6small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelInglis 34, Joint 8counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 67.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 73.3%
Decimal odds 1.29 / 3.55, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Adkar | Burrage | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 48.8377th of 766 | 52.4 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 38.5350th of 766 | 40.7 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 43.68359th of 766 | 46.56 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 43.27422nd of 887 | 46.20 |
| Wins, last 10 | 4 | 2 |
| Matches, 12 months | 30 | 1 |
| Matches rated | 167 | 434 |
Serve and return
| Adkar | Burrage | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 52.5% | 57.6% |
| Return pts won | 42.4% | 47.5% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 56.3% | 68.4% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setBurrage 67%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setBurrage 75%set by set, before calibration; published 67% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set36%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeBurrage 27.3, Adkar 21.8small age adjustment to serve
- Surface switchBurrage from grassgames projection only, not the win chance
- Days since last event Not in the modelBurrage 155, Adkar 162counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 97.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 93.7%
Decimal odds 1.02 / 15.11, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Hui | Tjen | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 45.1 | 60.625th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 33.7 | 39.6268th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 39.38 | 50.0972nd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 38.74 | 49.9175th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 2 | 5 |
| Matches, 12 months | 5 | 46 |
| Matches rated | 76 | 184 |
Serve and return
| Hui | Tjen | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 49.9% | 70.9% |
| Return pts won | 29.1% | 50.1% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 49.7% | 91.2% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setTjen 96%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setTjen 100%set by set, before calibration; published 98% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set11%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeTjen 24.5, Hui 21.7small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelTjen 8, Hui 155counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 85.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 80.7%
Decimal odds 4.88 / 1.17, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Kudermetova | Morvayova | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 55.891st of 766 | 50.2294th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 43.395th of 766 | 37.8397th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 49.5487th of 766 | 43.97340th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 49.3397th of 887 | 43.62393rd of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 4 | 4 |
| Matches, 12 months | 46 | 39 |
| Matches rated | 377 | 481 |
Serve and return
| Kudermetova | Morvayova | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 62.2% | 50.8% |
| Return pts won | 49.2% | 37.8% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 78.0% | 52.0% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setKudermetova 84%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setKudermetova 93%set by set, before calibration; published 85% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set26%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeMorvayova 25.7, Kudermetova 23.4small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelMorvayova 43, Kudermetova 8counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 60.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 56.0%
Decimal odds 2.15 / 1.69, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Samsonova | Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 58.741st of 766 | 53.9142nd of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 43.0112th of 766 | 44.858th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 50.8555th of 766 | 49.3294th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 50.8554th of 887 | 49.17103rd of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 9 |
| Matches, 12 months | 46 | 50 |
| Matches rated | 529 | 224 |
Serve and return
| Samsonova | Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 57.6% | 54.6% |
| Return pts won | 45.4% | 42.4% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 68.5% | 61.3% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setSamsonova 61%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setSamsonova 66%set by set, before calibration; published 61% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set37%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- Days since last event Not in the modelShubladze 155, Samsonova 15counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 65.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 77.4%
Decimal odds 4.19 / 1.22, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Valentova | Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 55.696th of 766 | 54.7120th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 44.954th of 766 | 42.0157th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 50.2469th of 766 | 48.33135th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 49.8977th of 887 | 48.17144th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 2 |
| Matches, 12 months | 41 | 44 |
| Matches rated | 167 | 410 |
Serve and return
| Valentova | Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 58.3% | 53.8% |
| Return pts won | 46.2% | 41.7% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 70.0% | 59.5% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setValentova 65%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setValentova 72%set by set, before calibration; published 65% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set36%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeSakatsume 25.3, Valentova 19.7small age adjustment to serve
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 77.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 73.5%
Decimal odds 3.55 / 1.28, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Kawa | Rajeshwaran Revathi | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 52.8172nd of 766 | 48.9 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 43.494th of 766 | 37.0 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 48.06144th of 766 | 42.97 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 48.34138th of 887 | 42.74 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 2 |
| Matches, 12 months | 33 | 7 |
| Matches rated | 677 | 30 |
Serve and return
| Kawa | Rajeshwaran Revathi | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 58.7% | 50.5% |
| Return pts won | 49.5% | 41.3% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 70.8% | 51.3% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setKawa 77%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setKawa 86%set by set, before calibration; published 77% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set31%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeRajeshwaran Revathi 17.3, Kawa 34.0small age adjustment to serve
- Days since last event Not in the modelRajeshwaran Revathi 260, Kawa 15counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 81.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 72.4%
Decimal odds 3.36 / 1.28, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Stefanini | Zolotareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 53.4158th of 766 | 49.2 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 44.660th of 766 | 38.9 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 48.97107th of 766 | 44.06 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 48.73123rd of 887 | 44.75306th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 1 | 7 |
| Matches, 12 months | 26 | 17 |
| Matches rated | 602 | 107 |
Serve and return
| Stefanini | Zolotareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 58.0% | 48.3% |
| Return pts won | 51.7% | 42.0% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 69.4% | 45.7% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setStefanini 81%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setStefanini 90%set by set, before calibration; published 81% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set29%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- Days since last event Not in the modelZolotareva 190, Stefanini 49counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 84.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 80.6%
Decimal odds 4.85 / 1.17, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Eala | Parks | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 59.635th of 766 | 56.572nd of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 47.018th of 766 | 39.5278th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 53.3027th of 766 | 47.97145th of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 53.2229th of 887 | 47.77159th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 5 | 4 |
| Matches, 12 months | 65 | 65 |
| Matches rated | 363 | 438 |
Serve and return
| Eala | Parks | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 64.6% | 53.4% |
| Return pts won | 46.6% | 35.4% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 82.4% | 58.5% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setEala 83%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setEala 93%set by set, before calibration; published 84% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set28%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgeParks 25.9, Eala 21.5small age adjustment to serve
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →
How we got this
Model vs market
- Model
- 74.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 73.3%
Decimal odds 3.54 / 1.29, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Model vs market record →
Head to head
| Badosa | Pridankina | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts won, hard% | 57.949th of 766 | 52.1205th of 766 |
| Return pts won, hard% | 44.855th of 766 | 42.4139th of 766 |
| Hard rating% pts vs avg | 51.3551st of 766 | 47.21182nd of 766 |
| All-surface rating% pts vs avg | 51.4347th of 887 | 47.01199th of 887 |
| Wins, last 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Matches, 12 months | 44 | 36 |
| Matches rated | 561 | 283 |
Serve and return
| Badosa | Pridankina | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve pts wonthis match, hard | 59.1% | 51.7% |
| Return pts won | 48.3% | 40.9% |
| Hold servechance to win a service game | 71.6% | 54.3% |
What moves this game
- SurfaceHardratings blend this surface with all surfaces
- FormatBest of 3
- LevelTour
- DrawMain draw
- Chance to win a setBadosa 74%from both hold chances
- Match, set by setBadosa 84%set by set, before calibration; published 74% after tempering toward 50%
- Deciding set31%chance the match goes the distance
Conditions
- AgePridankina 21.2, Badosa 29.0small age adjustment to serve
- Surface switchPridankina from claygames projection only, not the win chance
- Days since last event Not in the modelPridankina 106, Badosa 8counted from event start dates
Model V2 · data as of · Sources: TennisMyLife (TML) WTA results, Jeff Sackmann WTA archive, tennisexplorer.com schedule. How the models work →