ATP Tennis predictions Sun, Oct 18
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. Methodology →
14 matches on this slate · model went 10–4 · 50–35 since Oct 20 (model V4) →
Games
Almaty
Brussels
Lyon
Shanghai
Set at line Davidovich Fokina 44.0% · model 53.3%
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 51.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 49.9%
Decimal odds 1.86 / 1.87, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 54.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 55.8%
Decimal odds 2.12 / 1.68, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 68.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 76.7%
Decimal odds 1.22 / 4.01, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Jodar R. 16, Davidovich Fokina A. 14
- Result
- Davidovich Fokina A. lost by 2
- Why
- Model 53.3%, first price 44.0%
Model vs market
- Model
- -0.5
- First line
- +1.5
- Latest
- +1.5
Davidovich Fokina +1.5 at -106
- Model
- 53.3%
- First line
- 44.0%
- Latest
- 44.0%
Moneyline Davidovich Fokina A. +117 / Jodar R. -142 (vig removed)
- First line
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · Sat 8:31 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings / Pinnacle · as of Sat 8:31 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 65.3%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 64.1%
Decimal odds 1.41 / 2.52, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 54.4%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 52.3%
Decimal odds 1.73 / 1.90, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 57.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 63.7%
Decimal odds 1.47 / 2.58, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 60.8%
Decimal odds 2.39 / 1.54, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 65.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 56.1%
Decimal odds 1.99 / 1.56, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 77.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 72.6%
Decimal odds 1.29 / 3.42, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 50.1%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 42.9%
Decimal odds 1.55 / 2.06, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 63.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 63.0%
Decimal odds 2.45 / 1.44, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 70.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 79.4%
Decimal odds 1.17 / 4.50, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 59.8%
Decimal odds 2.25 / 1.51, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →