NHL predictions Tue, Nov 10

Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →

7 games on this slate · model went 3–3 · 21–9 since Nov 6 (model V4) →

Power rankings: every team's model rating →

‹ ›

Updated 1h ago

Tue, Nov 10 · 10:00 PM ET

#18 Predators

42.0% 2.9

#17 Kings

58.0% 3.4

ModelClose

LAK win 58.0% 53.2%

Total 6.4 6.5

Biggest factor: Home ice · LAK +0.3 goals

✓ Favorite won Final · Tue, Nov 10

#3 Avalanche

6 64.8% · 3.6

#28 Maple Leafs

3 35.2% · 2.7

ModelClose

COL win 64.8% 60.9%

Total 6.4 6.5

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · COL +0.6 goals

✓ Favorite won Final · Tue, Nov 10

#2 Wild

2 57.8% · 3.5

#13 Canadiens

1 42.2% · 3.0

ModelClose

MIN win 57.8% 54.3%

Total 6.4 6.5

Biggest factor: Home ice · MTL +0.3 goals

✗ Favorite lost Final · Tue, Nov 10

#12 Capitals

3 49.0% · 3.2

#16 Senators

2 51.0% · 3.2

ModelClose

OTT win 51.0% 48.3%

Total 6.4 6.5

Biggest factor: Goaltending · WSH +0.3 goals

✗ Favorite lost Final · Tue, Nov 10

#4 Devils

2 56.7% · 3.5

#24 Jets

4 43.3% · 3.1

ModelClose

NJD win 56.7% 56.3%

Total 6.5 6.5

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · NJD +0.5 goals

✗ Favorite lost Final · Tue, Nov 10

#11 Panthers

4 49.7% · 3.3

#23 Blue Jackets

1 50.3% · 3.3

ModelClose

CBJ win 50.3% 46.8%

Total 6.5 5.5

Biggest factor: Power play and kill · FLA +0.4 goals

✓ Favorite won Final · Tue, Nov 10

#15 Red Wings

2 45.6% · 3.0

#20 Blues

3 54.4% · 3.3

ModelClose

STL win 54.4% 56.3%

Total 6.3 5.5

Biggest factor: Goaltending · STL +0.3 goals

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Artemi Panarin	37%	0.46	72%	3.22	82%	21:05	4:08
Filip Forsberg	35%	0.44	63%	2.97	78%	20:02	3:44
Adrian Kempe	35%	0.44	63%	3.07	80%	19:24	3:40
Alex Laferriere	32%	0.38	54%	3.05	79%	19:18	3:35
Steven Stamkos	32%	0.38	54%	2.49	70%	18:37	3:50
Quinton Byfield	28%	0.33	52%	2.44	69%	19:25	3:31
Ryan O'Reilly	26%	0.30	57%	1.93	57%	21:04	3:35
Trevor Moore	21%	0.23	40%	2.21	64%	16:25	1:00
Mats Zuccarello	19%	0.21	50%	1.73	51%	15:42	2:50
Mavrik Bourque	18%	0.20	39%	1.89	56%	16:49	2:10
Corey Perry	18%	0.19	34%	1.68	49%	13:51	1:42
Adam Edstrom	17%	0.19	28%	1.51	44%	15:36	0:00
Ross Colton	17%	0.18	32%	1.77	52%	13:10	0:26
Erik Haula	16%	0.18	35%	1.61	47%	14:41	1:35
Shane Wright	16%	0.17	32%	1.29	37%	14:18	1:44
Jack Drury	13%	0.14	30%	1.32	38%	17:15	0:01
Scott Laughton	13%	0.14	28%	1.44	42%	13:36	0:09
Alex Kerfoot	13%	0.14	32%	1.08	29%	15:36	1:20
Joel Armia	12%	0.13	26%	1.35	39%	12:52	0:05
Andre Lee	10%	0.11	23%	1.04	28%	10:20	0:16
Nils Hoglander	10%	0.10	21%	1.04	28%	10:37	0:30
Kenny Connors	10%	0.10	24%	1.05	28%	10:03	0:08
Vitali Pinchuk	9%	0.10	22%	1.06	29%	8:47	1:02
Reid Schaefer	8%	0.08	17%	0.93	24%	10:20	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Roman Josi	18%	0.20	59%	2.62	72%	25:54	3:49
Brandt Clarke	9%	0.09	38%	1.78	53%	18:42	2:01
Brady Skjei	6%	0.06	27%	1.25	35%	21:15	1:02
Drew Doughty	6%	0.06	31%	1.27	36%	21:57	1:22
Adam Wilsby	6%	0.06	27%	1.25	35%	19:57	0:05
Joel Edmundson	4%	0.05	19%	1.16	32%	17:33	0:02
Nick Perbix	4%	0.04	18%	0.93	24%	19:06	0:08
Mikey Anderson	4%	0.04	19%	0.79	19%	18:51	0:03
Brian Dumoulin	3%	0.03	19%	0.81	20%	16:57	0:11
Cody Ceci	3%	0.03	16%	0.83	20%	16:17	0:01
Daemon Hunt	3%	0.03	14%	0.78	18%	13:18	0:01
Jayden Struble	3%	0.03	15%	0.54	10%	15:17	0:00

	NSH	LAK
Power ratinggoals/gm	-0.0417th of 32	0.0614th of 32
5-on-5 offensexGF/60	2.4720th of 32	2.3922nd of 32
5-on-5 defensexGA/60	2.6324th of 32	2.349th of 32
Power playxGF/60	7.7015th of 32	7.5716th of 32
Penalty killxGA/60	6.574th of 32	8.2223rd of 32
Power-play minutesmin	4.7	5.0
Starting goalieGSAx/gm	-0.0314th of 32	0.0012th of 32

	NSH	LAK
Starter	Juuse Saros	Anton Forsberg
StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10	Projected	Confirmed
Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last	-0.03 (#14)	+0.00 (#12)

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Nathan MacKinnon	44%	0.58	79%	4.10	90%	20:54	4:30
Auston Matthews	39%	0.49	64%	3.17	81%	20:30	3:05
Martin Necas	33%	0.41	67%	2.58	72%	19:58	3:59
William Nylander	33%	0.40	63%	2.63	72%	19:58	2:59
Nazem Kadri	30%	0.35	56%	2.84	76%	17:07	4:10
Artturi Lehkonen	28%	0.33	47%	2.11	61%	17:49	1:21
John Tavares	28%	0.33	54%	2.28	65%	17:48	2:56
T.J. Hughes	26%	0.29	48%	2.58	72%	15:30	4:27
Brock Nelson	25%	0.29	45%	2.02	59%	17:01	1:33
Jack Roslovic	25%	0.29	46%	2.23	64%	17:50	2:05
Gabriel Landeskog	20%	0.23	40%	1.73	51%	14:31	1:33
Jaden Schwartz	19%	0.21	36%	1.75	52%	13:17	1:48
Gavin McKenna	18%	0.20	39%	1.75	51%	15:02	2:25
Easton Cowan	16%	0.18	38%	1.65	48%	16:23	0:48
Nick Paul	15%	0.16	30%	1.34	38%	16:13	0:26
Parker Kelly	13%	0.14	25%	1.31	38%	13:03	0:04
Logan O'Connor	11%	0.12	23%	1.22	34%	12:14	0:01
Nicolas Roy	11%	0.12	27%	1.08	29%	12:05	0:21
Dakota Joshua	11%	0.11	24%	1.03	28%	11:41	0:29
Teddy Blueger	10%	0.10	24%	1.14	31%	13:55	0:02
Fedor Svechkov	9%	0.10	23%	0.96	25%	11:07	0:02
Ryan Tverberg	8%	0.09	20%	1.00	26%	10:00	0:00
Zack MacEwen	8%	0.09	18%	1.04	28%	9:13	0:01
Brandon Duhaime	8%	0.08	17%	0.86	21%	12:01	0:02

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Cale Makar	23%	0.26	66%	2.79	75%	23:38	4:30
Darren Raddysh	14%	0.15	51%	2.37	67%	24:44	3:06
Devon Toews	10%	0.11	39%	1.83	54%	22:06	1:30
Sam Malinski	7%	0.08	31%	1.84	54%	18:23	0:09
Brent Burns	7%	0.07	24%	1.72	51%	16:46	0:04
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	5%	0.05	24%	1.04	28%	19:19	0:35
Brett Kulak	5%	0.05	19%	1.27	36%	19:14	0:03
Troy Stecher	4%	0.04	16%	0.97	25%	18:56	0:02
Jake McCabe	4%	0.04	22%	0.92	23%	21:45	0:03
Dakota Mermis	3%	0.03	12%	0.72	16%	13:24	0:01
Noah Juulsen	2%	0.02	12%	0.57	11%	12:16	0:00
Chris Tanev	2%	0.02	16%	0.60	12%	18:17	0:03

	COL	TOR
Power ratinggoals/gm	0.693rd of 32	-0.5227th of 32
5-on-5 offensexGF/60	2.813rd of 32	2.2429th of 32
5-on-5 defensexGA/60	2.4013th of 32	2.6022nd of 32
Power playxGF/60	7.7913th of 32	8.4810th of 32
Penalty killxGA/60	6.696th of 32	8.2122nd of 32
Power-play minutesmin	5.3	4.6
Starting goalieGSAx/gm	0.029th of 32	-0.2126th of 32

	COL	TOR
Starter	Mackenzie Blackwood	Sergei Bobrovsky
StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10	Confirmed	Confirmed
Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last	+0.02 (#9)	-0.21 (#26)

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Kirill Kaprizov	42%	0.54	69%	3.31	83%	20:40	4:27
Matt Boldy	38%	0.48	65%	3.61	86%	20:20	4:27
Cole Caufield	36%	0.44	55%	2.97	78%	17:40	3:36
Joel Eriksson Ek	30%	0.36	56%	2.93	78%	18:41	4:06
Nick Suzuki	29%	0.34	64%	2.28	65%	20:23	3:44
Juraj Slafkovsky	24%	0.27	49%	2.09	61%	17:49	3:32
Blake Coleman	21%	0.23	37%	2.19	63%	15:59	1:36
Maxim Shabanov	20%	0.22	44%	1.62	47%	14:47	4:02
Zack Bolduc	18%	0.20	34%	1.67	49%	14:27	2:31
Alex Newhook	18%	0.19	33%	1.36	39%	15:31	1:55
Danila Yurov	17%	0.18	33%	1.44	42%	14:57	1:31
Ryan Hartman	16%	0.18	32%	1.63	48%	13:39	1:30
Chris Kreider	16%	0.17	31%	1.37	40%	12:43	1:57
Josh Anderson	15%	0.17	25%	1.49	43%	14:26	0:02
Bobby Brink	15%	0.16	35%	1.48	43%	14:01	1:38
Alexandre Texier	14%	0.15	30%	1.47	43%	13:42	1:37
Oliver Kapanen	14%	0.15	26%	1.31	37%	12:01	1:50
Phillip Danault	12%	0.13	30%	1.35	39%	16:53	0:14
Michael McCarron	11%	0.12	22%	1.42	41%	13:06	0:03
Jake Evans	11%	0.12	26%	1.07	29%	16:23	0:01
Yakov Trenin	11%	0.11	22%	1.17	32%	12:53	0:03
Kirby Dach	10%	0.11	23%	1.02	27%	12:30	0:52
Marcus Foligno	9%	0.10	20%	1.02	27%	11:09	0:05
Nick Foligno	8%	0.09	20%	0.94	24%	10:20	0:20

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Quinn Hughes	18%	0.20	71%	2.73	74%	28:21	4:54
Lane Hutson	10%	0.11	55%	1.52	45%	23:56	3:38
Noah Dobson	9%	0.09	35%	1.84	54%	20:53	1:48
Kaiden Guhle	6%	0.06	24%	1.23	35%	22:59	0:08
Jared Spurgeon	5%	0.05	23%	1.18	33%	18:01	0:50
Jonas Brodin	5%	0.05	27%	1.31	37%	22:25	0:09
Olli Maatta	4%	0.04	22%	0.83	20%	19:22	0:01
Alexandre Carrier	4%	0.04	21%	0.92	23%	21:20	0:02
Matt Kiersted	3%	0.03	14%	0.93	24%	12:54	0:04
Adam Engstrom	3%	0.03	11%	0.83	20%	11:40	0:07
Zach Bogosian	3%	0.03	13%	0.94	24%	15:24	0:02
Arber Xhekaj	2%	0.02	8%	0.67	15%	11:44	0:00

	MIN	MTL
Power ratinggoals/gm	0.902nd of 32	0.1811th of 32
5-on-5 offensexGF/60	2.609th of 32	2.6011th of 32
5-on-5 defensexGA/60	2.3611th of 32	2.5316th of 32
Power playxGF/60	8.549th of 32	7.1220th of 32
Penalty killxGA/60	7.0710th of 32	8.3224th of 32
Power-play minutesmin	5.3	4.9
Starting goalieGSAx/gm	0.261st of 32	0.243rd of 32

	MIN	MTL
Starter	Jesper Wallstedt	Jacob Fowler
StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10	Confirmed	Confirmed
Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last	+0.26 (#1)	+0.24 (#3)

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Tim Stützle	36%	0.45	69%	2.36	67%	21:21	3:33
Drake Batherson	34%	0.41	61%	2.12	62%	17:28	3:16
Alex Tuch	32%	0.39	54%	2.35	67%	19:44	1:54
Shane Pinto	31%	0.37	53%	2.06	60%	19:44	1:43
Dylan Cozens	29%	0.35	53%	2.18	63%	16:36	3:02
Alex Ovechkin	24%	0.27	44%	2.11	61%	14:43	3:11
Fabian Zetterlund	22%	0.25	40%	1.85	54%	14:20	1:23
Jordan Kyrou	22%	0.25	47%	2.01	59%	15:20	2:23
Dylan Strome	22%	0.25	53%	1.76	52%	17:34	2:42
Ridly Greig	21%	0.24	40%	1.57	46%	17:37	0:59
Claude Giroux	20%	0.23	50%	1.67	49%	16:32	2:31
Tom Wilson	20%	0.23	41%	1.64	48%	15:19	2:05
Ryan Leonard	20%	0.22	41%	1.94	57%	13:59	1:55
Pierre-Luc Dubois	19%	0.21	48%	1.54	45%	16:27	1:58
Aliaksei Protas	19%	0.21	41%	1.58	46%	16:36	0:02
Michael Amadio	19%	0.21	37%	1.32	38%	16:49	0:02
Boone Jenner	18%	0.20	35%	1.77	52%	15:26	0:02
Stephen Halliday	17%	0.19	36%	1.39	40%	11:01	2:23
Justin Sourdif	14%	0.15	31%	1.22	34%	14:24	0:40
Anthony Beauvillier	12%	0.13	23%	1.24	35%	12:40	0:04
Ilya Protas	11%	0.12	30%	1.01	27%	10:32	1:36
Nick Cousins	11%	0.11	23%	0.95	25%	11:27	0:05

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Jakob Chychrun	20%	0.22	47%	2.53	71%	23:52	2:31
Jake Sanderson	14%	0.16	52%	1.93	57%	24:02	2:49
Thomas Chabot	12%	0.13	46%	1.81	53%	22:32	2:12
Cole Hutson	11%	0.12	36%	1.64	48%	18:47	1:57
Jordan Spence	9%	0.10	34%	1.29	37%	20:10	0:28
Tyler Kleven	6%	0.06	21%	1.25	35%	18:10	0:08
Matt Roy	5%	0.05	24%	1.10	30%	21:21	0:04
Artem Zub	5%	0.05	28%	1.04	28%	20:18	0:03
Martin Fehervary	5%	0.05	25%	0.82	20%	20:35	0:05
Nikolas Matinpalo	4%	0.04	16%	0.82	20%	15:17	0:00
Jack St. Ivany	3%	0.03	20%	0.74	17%	13:56	0:00
Timothy Liljegren	3%	0.03	14%	0.66	14%	15:43	0:01

	WSH	OTT
Power ratinggoals/gm	0.1312th of 32	0.0415th of 32
5-on-5 offensexGF/60	2.882nd of 32	2.5414th of 32
5-on-5 defensexGA/60	2.6325th of 32	2.211st of 32
Power playxGF/60	6.6926th of 32	6.8423rd of 32
Penalty killxGA/60	8.4828th of 32	7.6715th of 32
Power-play minutesmin	4.8	5.2
Starting goalieGSAx/gm	0.058th of 32	-0.2631st of 32

	WSH	OTT
Starter	Logan Thompson	Samuel Ersson
StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10	Confirmed	Confirmed
Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last	+0.05 (#8)	-0.26 (#31)

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Jack Hughes	43%	0.57	76%	3.67	87%	20:29	3:39
Kyle Connor	41%	0.52	67%	3.29	82%	21:40	4:01
Nico Hischier	32%	0.39	58%	2.30	66%	18:07	3:17
Timo Meier	32%	0.38	50%	3.05	79%	16:50	1:44
Mark Scheifele	31%	0.37	66%	2.14	62%	21:21	4:03
Cole Perfetti	27%	0.31	50%	2.40	68%	16:49	3:48
Gabriel Vilardi	27%	0.31	54%	1.87	55%	18:58	3:58
Jesper Bratt	26%	0.31	65%	2.11	61%	17:12	3:20
Luke Evangelista	25%	0.29	54%	2.34	67%	16:21	2:41
Arseny Gritsyuk	24%	0.28	44%	2.27	65%	15:18	1:20
Connor Brown	21%	0.24	43%	1.59	47%	15:58	2:02
Evan Rodrigues	19%	0.21	38%	1.76	52%	14:31	1:14
Dawson Mercer	17%	0.19	34%	1.63	48%	15:46	1:42
Amadeus Lombardi	15%	0.16	32%	1.50	44%	11:51	0:09
Brayden Yager	14%	0.15	28%	1.19	33%	11:51	1:04
Cody Glass	14%	0.15	26%	1.26	36%	12:12	0:11
Morgan Barron	14%	0.15	26%	1.38	40%	13:47	0:07
Alex Iafallo	13%	0.14	27%	1.20	33%	13:59	0:54
Jesper Boqvist	13%	0.14	25%	1.15	32%	12:13	0:10
Adam Lowry	13%	0.14	29%	0.99	26%	14:38	0:08
Viggo Björck	12%	0.13	29%	1.00	26%	13:31	1:28
Isak Rosen	11%	0.12	23%	1.03	28%	10:49	1:07
Cole Koepke	9%	0.09	18%	1.01	27%	9:31	0:05

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Luke Hughes	16%	0.17	51%	2.20	64%	23:31	3:10
Dougie Hamilton	15%	0.16	43%	2.41	68%	19:51	1:55
Neal Pionk	12%	0.12	40%	2.06	60%	23:47	3:33
Josh Morrissey	11%	0.11	46%	1.75	51%	20:59	2:52
Brett Pesce	6%	0.07	27%	1.26	36%	20:30	0:10
Dylan Samberg	6%	0.06	24%	1.21	34%	21:55	0:21
Jonas Siegenthaler	4%	0.05	21%	0.74	17%	19:04	0:12
Mario Ferraro	4%	0.04	16%	1.02	27%	18:54	0:05
Johnathan Kovacevic	4%	0.04	18%	0.84	21%	15:09	0:01
Dylan DeMelo	3%	0.03	20%	0.81	20%	19:11	0:04
Declan Chisholm	3%	0.03	17%	0.70	16%	12:53	0:12
Brenden Dillon	3%	0.03	15%	0.60	12%	14:57	0:00
Tyrel Bauer	2%	0.02	10%	0.54	11%	9:33	0:00

	NJD	WPG
Power ratinggoals/gm	0.554th of 32	-0.3725th of 32
5-on-5 offensexGF/60	2.687th of 32	2.3624th of 32
5-on-5 defensexGA/60	2.252nd of 32	2.5520th of 32
Power playxGF/60	8.865th of 32	7.9412th of 32
Penalty killxGA/60	7.2111th of 32	9.2130th of 32
Power-play minutesmin	4.8	4.4
Starting goalieGSAx/gm	-0.1219th of 32	-0.1421st of 32

	NJD	WPG
Starter	Jake Allen	Nico Daws
StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10	Confirmed	Confirmed
Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last	-0.12 (#19)	-0.14 (#21)

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Sam Reinhart	38%	0.48	64%	2.76	75%	20:41	5:04
Brady Tkachuk	36%	0.45	63%	3.47	85%	16:56	4:36
Adam Fantilli	34%	0.41	56%	2.72	74%	20:09	3:12
Carter Verhaeghe	33%	0.40	58%	2.52	70%	18:41	4:29
Matthew Tkachuk	32%	0.38	71%	2.55	71%	19:00	4:54
Sam Bennett	27%	0.32	48%	2.42	68%	17:47	2:19
Charlie Coyle	26%	0.30	54%	1.85	55%	19:46	3:09
Kent Johnson	25%	0.28	49%	1.95	57%	16:44	3:06
Matthew Knies	25%	0.28	53%	1.67	49%	18:16	3:17
Valeri Nichushkin	23%	0.26	46%	1.83	54%	17:18	1:12
Anton Lundell	22%	0.25	43%	2.10	61%	17:51	1:53
Mathieu Olivier	18%	0.20	33%	1.57	46%	15:36	0:05
Sean Monahan	18%	0.20	40%	1.40	40%	15:22	1:21
Cole Sillinger	17%	0.18	37%	1.60	47%	15:22	0:19
Lars Eller	15%	0.16	34%	1.39	40%	16:50	1:07
Eetu Luostarinen	13%	0.14	31%	1.28	37%	15:46	1:18
Dmitri Voronkov	11%	0.12	24%	0.99	26%	9:31	0:42
Jack Williams	10%	0.11	23%	0.99	26%	10:21	0:00
Steven Lorentz	9%	0.09	19%	0.86	21%	9:57	0:00
Cole Schwindt	8%	0.08	18%	0.84	21%	9:04	0:13
Jack Devine	8%	0.08	18%	0.89	22%	8:19	0:05
Ryan Lomberg	7%	0.07	14%	0.85	21%	7:40	0:00
Garnet Hathaway	6%	0.07	15%	0.64	14%	10:51	0:02
Bokondji Imama	6%	0.06	13%	0.71	16%	7:35	0:03

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Zach Werenski	25%	0.29	67%	3.11	80%	26:49	3:40
Seth Jones	14%	0.15	54%	2.09	61%	25:08	4:52
Denton Mateychuk	10%	0.10	31%	1.38	40%	20:47	1:09
Damon Severson	9%	0.10	33%	1.07	29%	20:28	0:29
Ivan Provorov	9%	0.09	31%	1.60	47%	22:50	1:07
Aaron Ekblad	8%	0.08	33%	1.39	40%	22:06	1:39
Gustav Forsling	6%	0.06	27%	1.41	41%	21:43	0:22
Niko Mikkola	5%	0.05	17%	1.05	28%	19:14	0:05
Dante Fabbro	4%	0.04	16%	0.89	23%	15:49	0:05
Dmitry Kulikov	3%	0.03	14%	0.65	14%	15:31	0:01
Erik Gudbranson	3%	0.03	14%	0.73	17%	14:12	0:01
Radko Gudas	3%	0.03	14%	0.82	20%	13:55	0:01

	FLA	CBJ
Power ratinggoals/gm	0.0913th of 32	-0.3324th of 32
5-on-5 offensexGF/60	2.4021st of 32	2.5117th of 32
5-on-5 defensexGA/60	2.3510th of 32	2.5519th of 32
Power playxGF/60	9.831st of 32	6.7625th of 32
Penalty killxGA/60	6.282nd of 32	8.0719th of 32
Power-play minutesmin	5.4	5.3
Starting goalieGSAx/gm	-0.1422nd of 32	-0.0113th of 32

	FLA	CBJ
Starter	Jacob Markstrom	Cam Talbot
StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10	Confirmed	Confirmed
Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last	-0.14 (#22)	-0.01 (#13)

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Alex DeBrincat	37%	0.47	62%	3.35	83%	18:59	3:28
Viktor Arvidsson	32%	0.39	56%	2.83	76%	18:10	3:25
Jimmy Snuggerud	32%	0.38	55%	2.33	66%	17:48	3:01
Mason McTavish	29%	0.34	51%	2.16	63%	15:33	2:46
Lucas Raymond	29%	0.34	62%	2.46	69%	19:34	3:26
Dylan Holloway	28%	0.33	55%	2.29	66%	17:21	2:07
Robert Thomas	28%	0.32	65%	1.69	50%	20:18	3:00
Emmitt Finnie	23%	0.27	43%	1.97	58%	18:31	2:36
Pavel Buchnevich	22%	0.24	44%	1.60	47%	16:41	1:57
Jake Neighbours	21%	0.24	42%	1.45	42%	15:18	2:36
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård	20%	0.23	41%	1.82	54%	15:19	1:41
Connor McMichael	20%	0.22	43%	1.56	46%	14:29	1:49
Andrew Copp	18%	0.20	44%	1.68	49%	18:36	1:53
Jonatan Berggren	15%	0.17	33%	1.27	36%	13:23	0:50
Michael Rasmussen	15%	0.16	31%	1.39	40%	14:21	1:40
Pius Suter	14%	0.15	28%	1.19	33%	13:36	0:06
Marco Kasper	14%	0.15	27%	1.54	45%	13:16	0:37
Dalibor Dvorsky	13%	0.14	24%	1.15	32%	11:48	0:45
J.T. Compher	13%	0.14	32%	1.29	37%	15:48	1:03
Alexey Toropchenko	10%	0.10	21%	1.01	27%	11:43	0:02
Mason Appleton	9%	0.09	21%	1.06	29%	12:20	0:03
Sheldon Dries	8%	0.08	18%	0.89	23%	10:18	0:03
Ross Johnston	7%	0.07	17%	0.63	13%	8:58	0:01
Keegan Kolesar	6%	0.07	16%	0.67	15%	9:44	0:05

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Philip Broberg	13%	0.14	48%	1.73	51%	25:24	2:46
Moritz Seider	10%	0.11	48%	2.01	59%	25:22	3:12
Logan Mailloux	9%	0.09	30%	1.43	42%	20:11	1:36
Justin Faulk	9%	0.09	35%	1.60	47%	21:23	2:04
Colton Parayko	8%	0.08	25%	1.32	38%	20:06	0:05
Justin Barron	6%	0.06	23%	1.07	29%	16:39	0:05
Cam Fowler	6%	0.06	33%	1.08	29%	20:06	1:40
Ben Chiarot	5%	0.05	17%	1.18	33%	20:45	0:21
William Wallinder	4%	0.04	20%	0.93	24%	17:57	0:03
Brandon Carlo	4%	0.04	15%	0.91	23%	17:37	0:01
Anton Johansson	3%	0.03	15%	0.89	23%	12:25	0:01
Andreas Englund	2%	0.02	11%	0.59	12%	14:09	0:00

	DET	STL
Power ratinggoals/gm	-0.0918th of 32	-0.1019th of 32
5-on-5 offensexGF/60	2.5116th of 32	2.5018th of 32
5-on-5 defensexGA/60	2.3712th of 32	2.5518th of 32
Power playxGF/60	8.4011th of 32	6.2232nd of 32
Penalty killxGA/60	8.4627th of 32	7.049th of 32
Power-play minutesmin	5.1	4.9
Starting goalieGSAx/gm	-0.1723rd of 32	0.146th of 32

	DET	STL
Starter	John Gibson	Joel Hofer
StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10	Confirmed	Confirmed
Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last	-0.17 (#23)	+0.14 (#6)

Anytime goal board

Nathan MacKinnon44%
Jack Hughes43%
Kirill Kaprizov42%
Kyle Connor41%
Auston Matthews39%

Forwards

Rank by


COL @ TOR	43.8%	0.58	79.0%	46.3%	62.7%	4.10	90.1%	75.7%	20:54	4:30
NJD @ WPG	40.8%	0.52	66.9%	30.3%	44.0%	3.29	82.5%	62.5%	21:40	4:01
NSH @ LAK	36.8%	0.46	71.8%	36.1%	55.4%	3.22	81.7%	61.2%	21:05	4:08
MIN @ MTL	41.7%	0.54	68.7%	32.4%	46.4%	3.31	82.8%	62.9%	20:40	4:27
MIN @ MTL	38.3%	0.48	64.9%	28.2%	43.2%	3.61	86.0%	68.2%	20:20	4:27
NJD @ WPG	43.2%	0.57	76.0%	41.8%	57.8%	3.67	86.6%	69.2%	20:29	3:39
FLA @ CBJ	38.3%	0.48	64.0%	27.2%	41.6%	2.76	74.9%	51.4%	20:41	5:04
WSH @ OTT	36.3%	0.45	69.3%	33.1%	51.8%	2.36	67.2%	41.7%	21:21	3:33
NJD @ WPG	31.0%	0.37	66.3%	29.6%	51.1%	2.14	62.1%	36.0%	21:21	4:03
COL @ TOR	38.5%	0.49	64.2%	27.4%	41.8%	3.17	81.0%	60.1%	20:30	3:05
NSH @ LAK	35.5%	0.44	63.2%	26.4%	43.0%	2.97	78.2%	55.9%	20:02	3:44
FLA @ CBJ	31.9%	0.38	71.3%	35.4%	57.8%	2.55	71.0%	46.3%	19:00	4:54
COL @ TOR	33.4%	0.41	67.0%	30.5%	50.5%	2.58	71.6%	47.0%	19:58	3:59
NSH @ LAK	35.4%	0.44	62.6%	25.8%	42.1%	3.07	79.7%	58.2%	19:24	3:40
MIN @ MTL	29.1%	0.34	63.6%	26.8%	48.6%	2.28	65.3%	39.5%	20:23	3:44
DET @ STL	37.3%	0.47	62.1%	25.4%	39.7%	3.35	83.2%	63.6%	18:59	3:28
NSH @ LAK	26.3%	0.30	57.0%	20.7%	41.7%	1.93	56.7%	30.5%	21:04	3:35
FLA @ CBJ	33.7%	0.41	55.7%	19.6%	33.2%	2.72	74.2%	50.4%	20:09	3:12
NSH @ LAK	31.9%	0.38	54.4%	18.6%	33.0%	3.05	79.3%	57.6%	19:18	3:35
COL @ TOR	32.7%	0.40	62.6%	25.9%	44.5%	2.63	72.4%	48.1%	19:58	2:59
MIN @ MTL	30.2%	0.36	55.5%	19.5%	36.2%	2.93	77.6%	55.2%	18:41	4:06
FLA @ CBJ	32.8%	0.40	57.8%	21.4%	37.2%	2.52	70.5%	45.6%	18:41	4:29
FLA @ CBJ	36.5%	0.45	62.9%	26.1%	41.6%	3.47	84.6%	65.8%	16:56	4:36
DET @ STL	29.0%	0.34	62.4%	25.6%	47.0%	2.46	69.3%	44.1%	19:34	3:26
NSH @ LAK	28.3%	0.33	51.8%	16.6%	32.7%	2.44	68.9%	43.7%	19:25	3:31
NSH @ LAK	31.7%	0.38	53.6%	18.0%	32.1%	2.49	69.9%	44.9%	18:37	3:50
DET @ STL	27.5%	0.32	65.0%	28.3%	51.8%	1.69	49.8%	24.2%	20:18	3:00
DET @ STL	32.5%	0.39	56.1%	19.9%	35.0%	2.83	76.0%	52.8%	18:10	3:25
MIN @ MTL	35.9%	0.44	55.1%	19.2%	30.0%	2.97	78.1%	55.9%	17:40	3:36
NJD @ WPG	26.6%	0.31	53.5%	17.9%	36.7%	1.87	55.0%	28.9%	18:58	3:58
FLA @ CBJ	26.2%	0.30	54.4%	18.6%	38.2%	1.85	54.5%	28.5%	19:46	3:09
COL @ TOR	29.5%	0.35	55.7%	19.6%	37.1%	2.84	76.2%	53.1%	17:07	4:10
WSH @ OTT	32.5%	0.39	53.6%	18.0%	31.3%	2.35	66.9%	41.4%	19:44	1:54
NJD @ WPG	32.3%	0.39	57.5%	21.2%	37.2%	2.30	65.8%	40.1%	18:07	3:17
WSH @ OTT	30.8%	0.37	52.6%	17.2%	31.5%	2.06	60.1%	33.9%	19:44	1:43
DET @ STL	31.8%	0.38	54.9%	19.0%	33.9%	2.33	66.5%	40.9%	17:48	3:01
MIN @ MTL	23.6%	0.27	48.9%	14.6%	33.1%	2.09	60.7%	34.6%	17:49	3:32
WSH @ OTT	33.9%	0.41	60.7%	24.0%	40.6%	2.12	61.5%	35.4%	17:28	3:16
COL @ TOR	27.7%	0.33	53.6%	18.0%	35.8%	2.28	65.3%	39.5%	17:48	2:56
NJD @ WPG	26.8%	0.31	50.3%	15.5%	32.1%	2.40	68.0%	42.6%	16:49	3:48
NJD @ WPG	26.5%	0.31	64.6%	27.9%	51.9%	2.11	61.3%	35.2%	17:12	3:20
FLA @ CBJ	24.7%	0.28	52.8%	17.4%	37.4%	1.67	49.3%	23.8%	18:16	3:17
DET @ STL	23.4%	0.27	43.4%	11.2%	26.0%	1.97	57.6%	31.4%	18:31	2:36
COL @ TOR	25.5%	0.29	47.7%	13.8%	29.8%	2.58	71.6%	47.1%	15:30	4:27
FLA @ CBJ	27.2%	0.32	48.4%	14.2%	29.1%	2.42	68.4%	43.2%	17:47	2:19
NJD @ WPG	31.9%	0.38	49.7%	15.1%	26.2%	3.05	79.3%	57.6%	16:50	1:44
COL @ TOR	25.0%	0.29	46.1%	12.8%	28.1%	2.23	64.3%	38.4%	17:50	2:05
DET @ STL	27.9%	0.33	55.0%	19.1%	37.7%	2.29	65.5%	39.8%	17:21	2:07
WSH @ OTT	29.3%	0.35	53.2%	17.6%	33.8%	2.18	63.0%	37.0%	16:36	3:02
WSH @ OTT	22.0%	0.25	53.4%	17.9%	40.3%	1.76	51.9%	26.1%	17:34	2:42
FLA @ CBJ	24.7%	0.28	49.0%	14.6%	32.2%	1.95	57.2%	31.0%	16:44	3:06
DET @ STL	18.3%	0.20	43.8%	11.4%	31.2%	1.68	49.4%	23.9%	18:36	1:53
NJD @ WPG	24.9%	0.29	54.4%	18.6%	39.3%	2.34	66.7%	41.1%	16:21	2:41
FLA @ CBJ	22.0%	0.25	42.8%	10.8%	26.7%	2.10	61.1%	34.9%	17:51	1:53
COL @ TOR	28.4%	0.33	47.3%	13.6%	26.4%	2.11	61.4%	35.3%	17:49	1:21
DET @ STL	29.1%	0.34	50.5%	15.7%	30.2%	2.16	62.6%	36.6%	15:33	2:46
COL @ TOR	25.3%	0.29	45.1%	12.2%	26.6%	2.02	59.1%	32.9%	17:01	1:33
WSH @ OTT	20.3%	0.23	50.1%	15.4%	37.4%	1.67	49.1%	23.6%	16:32	2:31
NSH @ LAK	18.5%	0.20	38.9%	8.8%	25.1%	1.89	55.6%	29.5%	16:49	2:10
FLA @ CBJ	23.2%	0.26	46.1%	12.8%	29.9%	1.83	54.0%	28.0%	17:18	1:12
NSH @ LAK	19.2%	0.21	50.2%	15.5%	38.4%	1.73	51.1%	25.4%	15:42	2:50
MIN @ MTL	20.1%	0.22	44.2%	11.6%	30.1%	1.62	47.5%	22.3%	14:47	4:02
WSH @ OTT	24.0%	0.27	43.9%	11.4%	26.2%	2.11	61.2%	35.1%	14:43	3:11
DET @ STL	21.6%	0.24	44.4%	11.8%	29.1%	1.60	46.9%	21.9%	16:41	1:57
WSH @ OTT	21.4%	0.24	40.4%	9.6%	24.2%	1.57	46.2%	21.3%	17:37	0:59
WSH @ OTT	22.2%	0.25	46.9%	13.3%	31.7%	2.01	58.8%	32.6%	15:20	2:23
WSH @ OTT	19.0%	0.21	47.8%	13.9%	35.6%	1.54	45.1%	20.4%	16:27	1:58
MIN @ MTL	20.9%	0.23	37.1%	7.9%	20.4%	2.19	63.2%	37.1%	15:59	1:36
NSH @ LAK	20.6%	0.23	39.9%	9.3%	24.3%	2.21	63.7%	37.7%	16:25	1:00
NJD @ WPG	21.3%	0.24	42.9%	10.9%	27.5%	1.59	46.6%	21.6%	15:58	2:02
NJD @ WPG	24.3%	0.28	44.3%	11.7%	26.5%	2.27	65.2%	39.4%	15:18	1:20
DET @ STL	21.0%	0.24	41.6%	10.2%	26.2%	1.45	42.1%	18.1%	15:18	2:36
COL @ TOR	17.9%	0.20	38.9%	8.8%	25.6%	1.75	51.4%	25.7%	15:02	2:25
WSH @ OTT	20.2%	0.23	40.9%	9.8%	26.0%	1.64	48.4%	23.0%	15:19	2:05
FLA @ CBJ	15.1%	0.16	33.6%	6.4%	21.7%	1.39	40.1%	16.7%	16:50	1:07
DET @ STL	20.5%	0.23	41.4%	10.1%	26.3%	1.82	53.6%	27.6%	15:19	1:41
NJD @ WPG	16.9%	0.19	33.6%	6.4%	20.1%	1.63	48.1%	22.8%	15:46	1:42
COL @ TOR	16.5%	0.18	37.7%	8.2%	25.4%	1.65	48.4%	23.1%	16:23	0:48
MIN @ MTL	17.8%	0.20	33.7%	6.5%	19.3%	1.67	49.2%	23.8%	14:27	2:31
MIN @ MTL	17.7%	0.19	32.9%	6.1%	18.6%	1.36	39.3%	16.1%	15:31	1:55
WSH @ OTT	18.9%	0.21	41.2%	10.0%	27.6%	1.58	46.5%	21.5%	16:36	0:02
NSH @ LAK	13.3%	0.14	29.7%	4.9%	18.8%	1.32	37.7%	15.0%	17:15	0:01
WSH @ OTT	20.1%	0.22	40.6%	9.6%	25.7%	1.94	56.8%	30.7%	13:59	1:55
FLA @ CBJ	17.8%	0.20	40.3%	9.5%	27.4%	1.40	40.4%	16.9%	15:22	1:21
MIN @ MTL	11.8%	0.13	29.5%	4.9%	20.1%	1.35	38.7%	15.7%	16:53	0:14
DET @ STL	19.9%	0.22	42.6%	10.8%	28.4%	1.56	45.9%	21.0%	14:29	1:49
WSH @ OTT	18.6%	0.21	36.7%	7.8%	22.3%	1.32	37.8%	15.1%	16:49	0:02
COL @ TOR	20.5%	0.23	40.2%	9.4%	24.8%	1.73	51.0%	25.3%	14:31	1:33
FLA @ CBJ	13.4%	0.14	31.1%	5.4%	20.4%	1.28	36.5%	14.2%	15:46	1:18
WSH @ OTT	22.4%	0.25	39.7%	9.2%	22.4%	1.85	54.4%	28.3%	14:20	1:23
NSH @ LAK	16.5%	0.18	34.7%	6.9%	21.9%	1.61	47.2%	22.1%	14:41	1:35
DET @ STL	13.3%	0.14	32.3%	5.9%	21.9%	1.29	36.7%	14.4%	15:48	1:03
MIN @ MTL	16.8%	0.18	32.5%	6.0%	18.9%	1.44	41.7%	17.8%	14:57	1:31
NJD @ WPG	19.3%	0.21	37.9%	8.3%	23.0%	1.76	51.9%	26.1%	14:31	1:14
COL @ TOR	15.0%	0.16	30.2%	5.1%	17.9%	1.34	38.4%	15.5%	16:13	0:26
NSH @ LAK	12.9%	0.14	32.0%	5.8%	22.0%	1.08	29.4%	9.9%	15:36	1:20
WSH @ OTT	17.9%	0.20	34.6%	6.8%	20.3%	1.77	52.2%	26.3%	15:26	0:02
FLA @ CBJ	16.6%	0.18	37.2%	8.0%	24.8%	1.60	46.9%	21.8%	15:22	0:19
NSH @ LAK	17.7%	0.19	33.9%	6.5%	19.7%	1.68	49.4%	23.9%	13:51	1:42
FLA @ CBJ	18.5%	0.20	32.8%	6.1%	17.6%	1.57	46.1%	21.2%	15:36	0:05
DET @ STL	15.1%	0.16	31.1%	5.4%	18.8%	1.39	40.0%	16.7%	14:21	1:40
NSH @ LAK	15.7%	0.17	32.2%	5.8%	19.5%	1.29	36.6%	14.3%	14:18	1:44
MIN @ MTL	14.9%	0.16	34.5%	6.8%	23.0%	1.48	43.2%	18.9%	14:01	1:38
COL @ TOR	18.6%	0.21	36.2%	7.5%	21.6%	1.75	51.7%	25.9%	13:17	1:48
NSH @ LAK	17.5%	0.19	28.2%	4.4%	12.9%	1.51	44.1%	19.6%	15:36	0:00
MIN @ MTL	11.1%	0.12	25.9%	3.7%	16.7%	1.07	29.0%	9.7%	16:23	0:01
MIN @ MTL	16.4%	0.18	31.9%	5.7%	18.5%	1.63	48.0%	22.7%	13:39	1:30
MIN @ MTL	14.0%	0.15	29.9%	5.0%	18.5%	1.47	42.9%	18.7%	13:42	1:37
WSH @ OTT	14.2%	0.15	31.0%	5.4%	19.6%	1.22	34.1%	12.7%	14:24	0:40
MIN @ MTL	15.7%	0.17	31.2%	5.5%	18.4%	1.37	39.5%	16.3%	12:43	1:57
MIN @ MTL	15.4%	0.17	25.4%	3.5%	11.8%	1.49	43.4%	19.1%	14:26	0:02
NJD @ WPG	13.1%	0.14	26.5%	3.9%	15.5%	1.20	33.5%	12.3%	13:59	0:54
NJD @ WPG	12.3%	0.13	29.2%	4.8%	19.3%	1.00	26.3%	8.2%	13:31	1:28
NSH @ LAK	16.7%	0.18	32.0%	5.8%	18.5%	1.77	52.0%	26.2%	13:10	0:26
DET @ STL	15.4%	0.17	33.1%	6.2%	21.0%	1.27	36.0%	13.9%	13:23	0:50
NJD @ WPG	12.6%	0.14	28.8%	4.6%	18.5%	0.99	26.0%	8.1%	14:38	0:08
DET @ STL	14.0%	0.15	26.7%	3.9%	14.8%	1.54	45.1%	20.4%	13:16	0:37
NSH @ LAK	13.2%	0.14	27.7%	4.3%	16.8%	1.44	41.9%	18.0%	13:36	0:09
NJD @ WPG	13.6%	0.15	25.7%	3.6%	14.0%	1.38	39.7%	16.4%	13:47	0:07
MIN @ MTL	13.8%	0.15	26.0%	3.7%	14.2%	1.31	37.4%	14.8%	12:01	1:50
WSH @ OTT	17.2%	0.19	36.0%	7.4%	22.7%	1.39	40.2%	16.7%	11:01	2:23
COL @ TOR	9.7%	0.10	23.9%	3.1%	15.7%	1.14	31.5%	11.1%	13:55	0:02
DET @ STL	14.3%	0.15	28.5%	4.5%	16.5%	1.19	33.1%	12.1%	13:36	0:06
MIN @ MTL	11.2%	0.12	22.5%	2.7%	12.7%	1.42	41.1%	17.4%	13:06	0:03
COL @ TOR	12.8%	0.14	25.3%	3.5%	14.3%	1.31	37.6%	14.9%	13:03	0:04
NSH @ LAK	12.1%	0.13	26.3%	3.8%	16.1%	1.35	39.0%	15.9%	12:52	0:05
MIN @ MTL	10.3%	0.11	23.2%	2.9%	14.4%	1.02	27.3%	8.8%	12:30	0:52
NJD @ WPG	13.9%	0.15	28.0%	4.4%	16.4%	1.19	33.1%	12.1%	11:51	1:04
MIN @ MTL	10.8%	0.11	22.1%	2.6%	12.7%	1.17	32.4%	11.7%	12:53	0:03
WSH @ OTT	12.2%	0.13	23.1%	2.9%	12.4%	1.24	35.0%	13.3%	12:40	0:04
NJD @ WPG	14.7%	0.16	31.9%	5.8%	20.2%	1.50	43.6%	19.3%	11:51	0:09
NJD @ WPG	13.7%	0.15	25.9%	3.7%	14.2%	1.26	35.8%	13.8%	12:12	0:11
DET @ STL	13.4%	0.14	24.1%	3.2%	12.4%	1.15	31.8%	11.3%	11:48	0:45
NJD @ WPG	12.7%	0.14	25.5%	3.6%	14.6%	1.15	31.8%	11.3%	12:13	0:10
COL @ TOR	11.1%	0.12	27.1%	4.0%	17.9%	1.08	29.5%	10.0%	12:05	0:21
COL @ TOR	11.4%	0.12	22.8%	2.8%	12.8%	1.22	34.4%	12.9%	12:14	0:01
DET @ STL	8.9%	0.09	20.9%	2.4%	13.2%	1.06	28.6%	9.5%	12:20	0:03
WSH @ OTT	11.0%	0.12	30.5%	5.2%	21.9%	1.01	26.6%	8.4%	10:32	1:36
COL @ TOR	10.7%	0.11	23.7%	3.1%	14.6%	1.03	27.6%	8.9%	11:41	0:29
NJD @ WPG	11.1%	0.12	22.7%	2.8%	13.1%	1.03	27.6%	9.0%	10:49	1:07
DET @ STL	9.7%	0.10	21.0%	2.4%	12.4%	1.01	26.7%	8.5%	11:43	0:02
COL @ TOR	8.0%	0.08	17.3%	1.6%	10.2%	0.86	21.4%	5.9%	12:01	0:02
WSH @ OTT	10.7%	0.11	22.6%	2.8%	13.3%	0.95	24.7%	7.4%	11:27	0:05
MIN @ MTL	9.4%	0.10	20.1%	2.2%	11.8%	1.02	27.1%	8.7%	11:09	0:05
NSH @ LAK	9.7%	0.10	21.3%	2.4%	12.8%	1.04	27.9%	9.1%	10:37	0:30
COL @ TOR	9.5%	0.10	23.4%	3.0%	15.4%	0.96	25.0%	7.6%	11:07	0:02
NSH @ LAK	10.3%	0.11	23.3%	3.0%	14.5%	1.04	27.7%	9.0%	10:20	0:16
MIN @ MTL	8.4%	0.09	20.4%	2.2%	13.1%	0.94	24.2%	7.2%	10:20	0:20
FLA @ CBJ	10.2%	0.11	23.1%	2.9%	14.4%	0.99	26.0%	8.1%	10:21	0:00
NSH @ LAK	9.6%	0.10	23.5%	3.0%	15.4%	1.05	28.2%	9.3%	10:03	0:08
FLA @ CBJ	11.5%	0.12	23.8%	3.1%	14.0%	0.99	26.0%	8.1%	9:31	0:42
FLA @ CBJ	6.4%	0.07	14.6%	1.1%	8.8%	0.64	13.6%	2.9%	10:51	0:02
NSH @ LAK	8.0%	0.08	17.0%	1.5%	9.7%	0.93	23.9%	7.1%	10:20	0:00
DET @ STL	8.1%	0.08	18.3%	1.8%	11.2%	0.89	22.5%	6.4%	10:18	0:03
COL @ TOR	8.3%	0.09	20.3%	2.2%	13.0%	1.00	26.3%	8.2%	10:00	0:00
NSH @ LAK	9.2%	0.10	21.7%	2.5%	13.8%	1.06	28.6%	9.5%	8:47	1:02
FLA @ CBJ	8.8%	0.09	19.3%	2.0%	11.5%	0.86	21.5%	5.9%	9:57	0:00
NJD @ WPG	9.0%	0.09	18.0%	1.7%	9.9%	1.01	26.8%	8.5%	9:31	0:05
COL @ TOR	8.3%	0.09	18.1%	1.7%	10.7%	1.04	27.9%	9.1%	9:13	0:01
DET @ STL	6.5%	0.07	16.0%	1.4%	10.2%	0.67	14.6%	3.2%	9:44	0:05
FLA @ CBJ	8.1%	0.08	18.5%	1.8%	11.3%	0.84	20.6%	5.6%	9:04	0:13
DET @ STL	6.6%	0.07	17.1%	1.5%	11.2%	0.63	13.4%	2.8%	8:58	0:01
FLA @ CBJ	7.7%	0.08	18.3%	1.8%	11.5%	0.89	22.3%	6.3%	8:19	0:05
FLA @ CBJ	6.8%	0.07	13.9%	1.0%	7.6%	0.85	21.0%	5.7%	7:40	0:00
FLA @ CBJ	5.7%	0.06	13.2%	0.9%	8.0%	0.71	15.9%	3.7%	7:35	0:03

Defense

Rank by


MIN @ MTL	18.3%	0.20	71.2%	35.3%	64.7%	2.73	74.3%	50.6%	28:21	4:54
FLA @ CBJ	25.4%	0.29	67.3%	30.8%	56.2%	3.11	80.2%	58.9%	26:49	3:40
NSH @ LAK	17.8%	0.20	59.1%	22.5%	50.2%	2.62	72.3%	47.9%	25:54	3:49
FLA @ CBJ	14.2%	0.15	54.5%	18.7%	46.9%	2.09	60.9%	34.8%	25:08	4:52
COL @ TOR	22.5%	0.26	66.2%	29.5%	56.4%	2.79	75.3%	51.9%	23:38	4:30
DET @ STL	10.2%	0.11	47.7%	13.8%	41.8%	2.01	58.7%	32.5%	25:22	3:12
COL @ TOR	13.7%	0.15	51.0%	16.1%	43.3%	2.37	67.3%	41.8%	24:44	3:06
DET @ STL	13.3%	0.14	47.6%	13.7%	39.5%	1.73	51.1%	25.4%	25:24	2:46
WSH @ OTT	19.7%	0.22	47.0%	13.3%	34.0%	2.53	70.6%	45.8%	23:52	2:31
NJD @ WPG	11.6%	0.12	40.5%	9.6%	32.7%	2.06	60.1%	34.0%	23:47	3:33
NJD @ WPG	15.8%	0.17	51.5%	16.4%	42.4%	2.20	63.5%	37.5%	23:31	3:10
MIN @ MTL	10.2%	0.11	55.2%	19.3%	50.1%	1.52	44.5%	20.0%	23:56	3:38
WSH @ OTT	14.5%	0.16	51.9%	16.7%	43.7%	1.93	56.8%	30.6%	24:02	2:49
WSH @ OTT	12.5%	0.13	45.5%	12.4%	37.8%	1.81	53.3%	27.3%	22:32	2:12
NJD @ WPG	10.7%	0.11	46.0%	12.7%	39.5%	1.75	51.4%	25.7%	20:59	2:52
COL @ TOR	10.5%	0.11	39.4%	9.0%	32.3%	1.83	53.9%	27.9%	22:06	1:30
FLA @ CBJ	8.6%	0.09	31.2%	5.5%	24.8%	1.60	47.1%	22.0%	22:50	1:07
DET @ STL	8.6%	0.09	34.7%	6.9%	28.6%	1.60	47.0%	21.9%	21:23	2:04
FLA @ CBJ	7.7%	0.08	32.8%	6.1%	27.2%	1.39	40.3%	16.8%	22:06	1:39
NJD @ WPG	14.6%	0.16	43.0%	11.0%	33.2%	2.41	68.2%	42.9%	19:51	1:55
MIN @ MTL	8.8%	0.09	35.4%	7.2%	29.1%	1.84	54.2%	28.1%	20:53	1:48
NSH @ LAK	5.8%	0.06	31.0%	5.4%	26.7%	1.27	36.0%	13.9%	21:57	1:22
MIN @ MTL	5.8%	0.06	23.8%	3.1%	19.2%	1.23	34.6%	13.0%	22:59	0:08
MIN @ MTL	4.9%	0.05	26.7%	3.9%	22.9%	1.31	37.3%	14.8%	22:25	0:09
FLA @ CBJ	6.1%	0.06	26.5%	3.9%	21.8%	1.41	40.9%	17.2%	21:43	0:22
NSH @ LAK	6.1%	0.06	27.3%	4.1%	22.5%	1.25	35.5%	13.6%	21:15	1:02
FLA @ CBJ	10.0%	0.10	31.4%	5.6%	23.8%	1.38	39.7%	16.4%	20:47	1:09
DET @ STL	8.8%	0.09	29.8%	4.9%	23.0%	1.43	41.6%	17.8%	20:11	1:36
NJD @ WPG	5.6%	0.06	24.1%	3.2%	19.6%	1.21	34.0%	12.6%	21:55	0:21
NSH @ LAK	8.9%	0.09	38.3%	8.5%	32.2%	1.78	52.5%	26.7%	18:42	2:01
DET @ STL	6.0%	0.06	32.8%	6.1%	28.5%	1.08	29.3%	9.9%	20:06	1:40
WSH @ OTT	11.0%	0.12	36.4%	7.6%	28.5%	1.64	48.1%	22.8%	18:47	1:57
COL @ TOR	3.6%	0.04	22.1%	2.6%	19.1%	0.92	23.5%	6.9%	21:45	0:03
WSH @ OTT	5.3%	0.05	23.9%	3.1%	19.6%	1.10	29.9%	10.2%	21:21	0:04
WSH @ OTT	9.1%	0.10	33.5%	6.4%	26.9%	1.29	36.7%	14.4%	20:10	0:28
FLA @ CBJ	9.2%	0.10	32.6%	6.0%	25.8%	1.07	28.8%	9.6%	20:28	0:29
DET @ STL	4.8%	0.05	17.1%	1.6%	13.0%	1.18	33.0%	12.0%	20:45	0:21
MIN @ MTL	4.0%	0.04	21.3%	2.4%	18.0%	0.92	23.4%	6.8%	21:20	0:02
NJD @ WPG	6.4%	0.07	26.7%	3.9%	21.8%	1.26	35.5%	13.6%	20:30	0:10
DET @ STL	7.9%	0.08	25.2%	3.5%	18.8%	1.32	37.7%	15.0%	20:06	0:05
WSH @ OTT	5.1%	0.05	28.2%	4.4%	24.3%	1.04	28.0%	9.2%	20:18	0:03
NSH @ LAK	5.7%	0.06	27.0%	4.0%	22.6%	1.25	35.3%	13.5%	19:57	0:05
WSH @ OTT	4.6%	0.05	25.2%	3.5%	21.6%	0.82	19.9%	5.2%	20:35	0:05
COL @ TOR	7.3%	0.08	30.7%	5.3%	25.2%	1.84	54.2%	28.2%	18:23	0:09
COL @ TOR	4.8%	0.05	23.7%	3.1%	19.9%	1.04	27.9%	9.1%	19:19	0:35
COL @ TOR	4.6%	0.05	19.5%	2.0%	15.6%	1.27	36.2%	14.0%	19:14	0:03
FLA @ CBJ	4.9%	0.05	17.4%	1.6%	13.2%	1.05	28.1%	9.2%	19:14	0:05
MIN @ MTL	5.3%	0.05	23.3%	2.9%	19.0%	1.18	32.9%	12.0%	18:01	0:50
MIN @ MTL	4.3%	0.04	22.3%	2.7%	18.9%	0.83	20.3%	5.4%	19:22	0:01
NSH @ LAK	4.1%	0.04	18.4%	1.8%	14.9%	0.93	23.8%	7.0%	19:06	0:08
NJD @ WPG	3.3%	0.03	20.5%	2.3%	17.8%	0.81	19.7%	5.2%	19:11	0:04
NJD @ WPG	4.1%	0.04	16.4%	1.4%	12.8%	1.02	27.1%	8.7%	18:54	0:05
NJD @ WPG	4.4%	0.05	21.2%	2.4%	17.6%	0.74	16.9%	4.1%	19:04	0:12
COL @ TOR	3.9%	0.04	15.8%	1.3%	12.4%	0.97	25.2%	7.7%	18:56	0:02
WSH @ OTT	6.0%	0.06	21.4%	2.5%	16.3%	1.25	35.4%	13.5%	18:10	0:08
NSH @ LAK	3.7%	0.04	19.3%	2.0%	16.2%	0.79	18.9%	4.8%	18:51	0:03
COL @ TOR	6.6%	0.07	24.3%	3.2%	18.9%	1.72	50.7%	25.0%	16:46	0:04
DET @ STL	4.1%	0.04	19.8%	2.1%	16.4%	0.93	23.8%	7.0%	17:57	0:03
NSH @ LAK	4.5%	0.05	18.7%	1.9%	14.8%	1.16	32.1%	11.5%	17:33	0:02
COL @ TOR	2.1%	0.02	16.4%	1.4%	14.7%	0.60	12.4%	2.5%	18:17	0:03
DET @ STL	4.0%	0.04	15.1%	1.2%	11.6%	0.91	23.1%	6.7%	17:37	0:01
DET @ STL	6.1%	0.06	22.9%	2.8%	17.9%	1.07	28.9%	9.6%	16:39	0:05
NSH @ LAK	3.4%	0.03	18.8%	1.9%	16.0%	0.81	19.6%	5.1%	16:57	0:11
NSH @ LAK	3.0%	0.03	16.0%	1.4%	13.4%	0.83	20.3%	5.4%	16:17	0:01
FLA @ CBJ	3.6%	0.04	15.6%	1.3%	12.4%	0.89	22.6%	6.4%	15:49	0:05
MIN @ MTL	2.9%	0.03	12.8%	0.9%	10.2%	0.94	24.3%	7.3%	15:24	0:02
WSH @ OTT	3.2%	0.03	14.0%	1.0%	11.1%	0.66	14.4%	3.1%	15:43	0:01
WSH @ OTT	3.9%	0.04	15.6%	1.3%	12.1%	0.82	19.9%	5.3%	15:17	0:00
NJD @ WPG	3.6%	0.04	18.5%	1.8%	15.4%	0.84	20.6%	5.5%	15:09	0:01
FLA @ CBJ	2.8%	0.03	14.1%	1.0%	11.6%	0.65	13.9%	3.0%	15:31	0:01
NSH @ LAK	2.7%	0.03	14.7%	1.1%	12.3%	0.54	10.4%	1.9%	15:17	0:00
NJD @ WPG	2.8%	0.03	15.0%	1.2%	12.6%	0.60	12.2%	2.4%	14:57	0:00
FLA @ CBJ	2.8%	0.03	14.0%	1.0%	11.5%	0.73	16.8%	4.0%	14:12	0:01
WSH @ OTT	3.3%	0.03	20.3%	2.2%	17.6%	0.74	17.1%	4.1%	13:56	0:00
FLA @ CBJ	2.6%	0.03	14.2%	1.1%	11.9%	0.82	19.9%	5.3%	13:55	0:01
DET @ STL	2.1%	0.02	10.8%	0.6%	8.9%	0.59	12.0%	2.3%	14:09	0:00
NSH @ LAK	3.0%	0.03	14.5%	1.1%	11.9%	0.78	18.5%	4.7%	13:18	0:01
COL @ TOR	3.0%	0.03	12.4%	0.8%	9.7%	0.72	16.4%	3.9%	13:24	0:01
MIN @ MTL	3.0%	0.03	13.8%	1.0%	11.2%	0.93	23.9%	7.1%	12:54	0:04
NJD @ WPG	3.0%	0.03	16.9%	1.5%	14.3%	0.70	15.7%	3.6%	12:53	0:12
DET @ STL	3.1%	0.03	15.2%	1.2%	12.5%	0.89	22.6%	6.4%	12:25	0:01
COL @ TOR	2.1%	0.02	12.4%	0.8%	10.5%	0.57	11.4%	2.2%	12:16	0:00
MIN @ MTL	2.9%	0.03	11.5%	0.7%	8.8%	0.83	20.3%	5.4%	11:40	0:07
MIN @ MTL	2.1%	0.02	8.1%	0.3%	6.1%	0.67	14.6%	3.2%	11:44	0:00
NJD @ WPG	1.9%	0.02	10.2%	0.5%	8.4%	0.54	10.5%	1.9%	9:33	0:00

Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.97 expected scorers, 2.9% that all three score.

Group 1

Nathan MacKinnon COL @ TOR · 4.1 SOG · 20:54 TOI Best44%
Jack Hughes NJD @ WPG · 3.7 SOG · 20:29 TOI 43%
Kirill Kaprizov MIN @ MTL · 3.3 SOG · 20:40 TOI 42%
Kyle Connor WPG vs NJD · 3.3 SOG · 21:40 TOI 41%
Matt Boldy MIN @ MTL · 3.6 SOG · 20:20 TOI 38%
Sam Reinhart FLA @ CBJ · 2.8 SOG · 20:41 TOI 38%
Alex DeBrincat DET @ STL · 3.3 SOG · 18:59 TOI 37%
Artemi Panarin LAK vs NSH · 3.2 SOG · 21:05 TOI 37%
Brady Tkachuk FLA @ CBJ · 3.5 SOG · 16:56 TOI 36%
Cole Caufield MTL vs MIN · 3.0 SOG · 17:40 TOI 36%
Filip Forsberg NSH @ LAK · 3.0 SOG · 20:02 TOI 35%
Adrian Kempe LAK vs NSH · 3.1 SOG · 19:24 TOI 35%
Martin Necas COL @ TOR · 2.6 SOG · 19:58 TOI 33%
Carter Verhaeghe FLA @ CBJ · 2.5 SOG · 18:41 TOI 33%
William Nylander TOR vs COL · 2.6 SOG · 19:58 TOI 33%
Nico Hischier NJD @ WPG · 2.3 SOG · 18:07 TOI 32%
Matthew Tkachuk FLA @ CBJ · 2.5 SOG · 19:00 TOI 32%
Steven Stamkos NSH @ LAK · 2.5 SOG · 18:37 TOI 32%
Mason McTavish STL vs DET · 2.2 SOG · 15:33 TOI 29%
Artturi Lehkonen COL @ TOR · 2.1 SOG · 17:49 TOI 28%

Group 2

Adam Fantilli CBJ vs FLA · 2.7 SOG · 20:09 TOI Best34%
Viktor Arvidsson DET @ STL · 2.8 SOG · 18:10 TOI 32%
Alex Laferriere LAK vs NSH · 3.0 SOG · 19:18 TOI 32%
Mark Scheifele WPG vs NJD · 2.1 SOG · 21:21 TOI 31%
Shane Pinto OTT vs WSH · 2.1 SOG · 19:44 TOI 31%
Lucas Raymond DET @ STL · 2.5 SOG · 19:34 TOI 29%
Quinton Byfield LAK vs NSH · 2.4 SOG · 19:25 TOI 28%
Dylan Holloway STL vs DET · 2.3 SOG · 17:21 TOI 28%
Jesper Bratt NJD @ WPG · 2.1 SOG · 17:12 TOI 26%
Zach Werenski CBJ vs FLA · 3.1 SOG · 26:49 TOI 25%
Jordan Kyrou WSH @ OTT · 2.0 SOG · 15:20 TOI 22%
Gabriel Landeskog COL @ TOR · 1.7 SOG · 14:31 TOI 20%
Ryan Leonard WSH @ OTT · 1.9 SOG · 13:59 TOI 20%
Michael Amadio OTT vs WSH · 1.3 SOG · 16:49 TOI 19%
Jaden Schwartz COL @ TOR · 1.8 SOG · 13:17 TOI 19%
Corey Perry LAK vs NSH · 1.7 SOG · 13:51 TOI 18%
Dawson Mercer WPG vs NJD · 1.6 SOG · 15:46 TOI 17%

Group 3

Jakob Chychrun WSH @ OTT · 2.5 SOG · 23:52 TOI Best20%
Evan Rodrigues NJD @ WPG · 1.8 SOG · 14:31 TOI 19%
Andrew Copp DET @ STL · 1.7 SOG · 18:36 TOI 18%
Stephen Halliday OTT vs WSH · 1.4 SOG · 11:01 TOI 17%
Erik Haula LAK vs NSH · 1.6 SOG · 14:41 TOI 16%
Jonatan Berggren STL vs DET · 1.3 SOG · 13:23 TOI 15%
Lars Eller FLA @ CBJ · 1.4 SOG · 16:50 TOI 15%
Bobby Brink MIN @ MTL · 1.5 SOG · 14:01 TOI 15%
Seth Jones FLA @ CBJ · 2.1 SOG · 25:08 TOI 14%
Darren Raddysh TOR vs COL · 2.4 SOG · 24:44 TOI 14%
Morgan Barron WPG vs NJD · 1.4 SOG · 13:47 TOI 14%
Anthony Beauvillier WSH @ OTT · 1.2 SOG · 12:40 TOI 12%
Denton Mateychuk CBJ vs FLA · 1.4 SOG · 20:47 TOI 10%
Noah Dobson MTL vs MIN · 1.8 SOG · 20:53 TOI 9%
Alex Turcotte LAK vs NSH Not in projected lineup

Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.

Games

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Model vs market

Movement

How the numbers are built

Team comparison

Goaltending

What moves this game

Conditions

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Model vs market

Movement

How the numbers are built

Team comparison

Goaltending

Who is out

What moves this game

Conditions

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Model vs market

Movement

How the numbers are built

Team comparison

Goaltending

Who is out

What moves this game

Conditions

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Model vs market

Movement

How the numbers are built

Team comparison

Goaltending

Who is out

What moves this game

Conditions

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Model vs market

Movement

How the numbers are built

Team comparison

Goaltending

What moves this game

Conditions

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Model vs market

Movement

How the numbers are built

Team comparison

Goaltending

What moves this game

Conditions

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Model vs market

Movement

How the numbers are built

Team comparison

Goaltending

What moves this game