NHL predictions Thu, Nov 5
Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →
11 games on this slate · model went 5–5 · 27–20 since Oct 30 (model V3) →
Games
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · COL +0.6 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · UTA +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · DET +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · TBL +1.1 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · NJD +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · CAR +0.7 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · NYR +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · PIT +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: Power play and kill · DAL +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · WPG +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · EDM +0.3 goals
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Nathan MacKinnon
|
44% | 0.58 | 79% | 3.88 | 88% | 20:14 | 4:11 |
Filip Forsberg
|
35% | 0.43 | 62% | 2.87 | 77% | 19:48 | 3:31 |
Martin Necas
|
33% | 0.39 | 66% | 2.39 | 68% | 19:21 | 3:27 |
Nazem Kadri
|
31% | 0.37 | 57% | 2.72 | 74% | 17:08 | 3:55 |
Artturi Lehkonen
|
30% | 0.36 | 50% | 2.05 | 60% | 18:10 | 1:29 |
Steven Stamkos
|
30% | 0.36 | 52% | 2.33 | 67% | 18:13 | 3:36 |
Brock Nelson
|
27% | 0.32 | 48% | 1.99 | 58% | 17:15 | 1:46 |
Ryan O'Reilly
|
25% | 0.29 | 55% | 1.85 | 54% | 20:35 | 3:16 |
T.J. Hughes
|
25% | 0.29 | 47% | 2.20 | 64% | 15:20 | 4:03 |
Gabriel Landeskog
|
22% | 0.25 | 43% | 1.66 | 49% | 14:50 | 1:47 |
Jaden Schwartz
|
20% | 0.23 | 39% | 1.78 | 52% | 13:58 | 2:07 |
Adam Edstrom
|
17% | 0.19 | 28% | 1.54 | 45% | 15:59 | 0:01 |
Mavrik Bourque
|
17% | 0.18 | 35% | 1.70 | 50% | 16:03 | 1:28 |
Ross Colton
|
17% | 0.18 | 33% | 1.77 | 52% | 13:56 | 0:32 |
Shane Wright
|
17% | 0.18 | 34% | 1.34 | 38% | 14:46 | 1:54 |
Jack Drury
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.36 | 39% | 17:54 | 0:01 |
Alex Kerfoot
|
13% | 0.14 | 33% | 1.13 | 31% | 16:05 | 1:24 |
Parker Kelly
|
13% | 0.14 | 26% | 1.22 | 34% | 12:56 | 0:00 |
Nicolas Roy
|
12% | 0.13 | 29% | 1.09 | 30% | 12:28 | 0:27 |
Logan O'Connor
|
12% | 0.13 | 23% | 1.21 | 34% | 12:16 | 0:01 |
Fedor Svechkov
|
10% | 0.11 | 26% | 0.98 | 26% | 11:26 | 0:03 |
Nils Hoglander
|
10% | 0.10 | 21% | 0.99 | 26% | 10:45 | 0:21 |
Reid Schaefer
|
8% | 0.09 | 17% | 0.96 | 25% | 10:39 | 0:01 |
Vitali Pinchuk
|
8% | 0.08 | 20% | 0.82 | 20% | 8:03 | 1:01 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Cale Makar
|
22% | 0.25 | 66% | 2.66 | 73% | 23:14 | 4:06 |
Roman Josi
|
17% | 0.19 | 57% | 2.53 | 71% | 25:29 | 3:35 |
Devon Toews
|
10% | 0.11 | 40% | 1.71 | 50% | 21:12 | 1:45 |
Sam Malinski
|
8% | 0.08 | 32% | 1.77 | 52% | 18:04 | 0:12 |
Brent Burns
|
7% | 0.07 | 26% | 1.68 | 49% | 17:15 | 0:05 |
Brady Skjei
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.20 | 34% | 21:03 | 1:00 |
Adam Wilsby
|
5% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.19 | 33% | 19:52 | 0:03 |
Brett Kulak
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.21 | 34% | 19:09 | 0:01 |
Nick Perbix
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 0.85 | 21% | 18:51 | 0:09 |
Daemon Hunt
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.71 | 16% | 13:34 | 0:02 |
Jayden Struble
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.55 | 11% | 15:22 | 0:01 |
Noah Juulsen
|
2% | 0.02 | 13% | 0.56 | 11% | 12:44 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
NSH
Jonathan MarchessaultFWilliam TrudeauD
COL
Zachary L'HeureuxFJosh MansonD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
NSH- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
COL- Rating
- -0.04
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Set at
- Pinnacle COL 66.0% · model 66.7% · best price DraftKings -218
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.7%
- First line
- 64.5%
- Close
- 65.7%
Moneyline COL -218 / NSH +180 (vig removed) · opened 64.5%
- Model
- 6.7
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over -122 / Under +102
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 64.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 9:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 COL +0.56
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals COL +0.02
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net COL +0.20
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it COL +0.31
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances COL +0.05
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score NSH +0.05
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.44
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.21
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.95
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.04
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.13
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.04
Team comparison
NSH |
COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.1718th of 32 | 0.643rd of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.4917th of 32 | 2.882nd of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.6828th of 32 | 2.4013th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 7.3118th of 32 | 7.3717th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.454th of 32 | 6.616th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0917th of 32 | -0.0412th of 32 |
Goaltending
| NSH | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Justus Annunen | Mackenzie Blackwood |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.09 (#17) | -0.04 (#12) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winCOL 55%, NSH 24%
- Goes to overtime21%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout9%
- Win in OT or shootoutCOL 12%, NSH 10%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (NSH)No
- Back-to-back (COL)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelCOL 2 days, NSH 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Dylan Guenther
|
39% | 0.49 | 62% | 2.97 | 78% | 17:50 | 3:41 |
Cole Caufield
|
38% | 0.47 | 58% | 2.86 | 77% | 17:38 | 3:47 |
Logan Cooley
|
31% | 0.38 | 60% | 1.94 | 57% | 18:20 | 3:39 |
Nick Suzuki
|
31% | 0.37 | 67% | 2.25 | 65% | 20:55 | 3:49 |
Clayton Keller
|
30% | 0.36 | 69% | 2.62 | 72% | 18:53 | 3:38 |
Nick Schmaltz
|
30% | 0.35 | 59% | 2.33 | 66% | 17:56 | 3:33 |
Juraj Slafkovsky
|
25% | 0.29 | 51% | 2.00 | 58% | 17:28 | 3:33 |
Anders Lee
|
24% | 0.27 | 41% | 2.03 | 59% | 14:07 | 0:59 |
Vincent Trocheck
|
22% | 0.24 | 49% | 1.67 | 49% | 18:06 | 1:15 |
Alex Newhook
|
20% | 0.22 | 36% | 1.41 | 41% | 16:47 | 2:03 |
Lawson Crouse
|
19% | 0.21 | 34% | 1.61 | 47% | 15:24 | 0:10 |
Michael Carcone
|
18% | 0.20 | 35% | 1.89 | 55% | 12:17 | 1:24 |
Barrett Hayton
|
18% | 0.20 | 38% | 1.73 | 51% | 15:00 | 1:03 |
Zack Bolduc
|
17% | 0.19 | 34% | 1.48 | 43% | 13:40 | 2:12 |
Chris Kreider
|
17% | 0.19 | 34% | 1.36 | 39% | 13:05 | 2:08 |
Josh Anderson
|
17% | 0.18 | 27% | 1.47 | 43% | 14:54 | 0:02 |
Oliver Kapanen
|
16% | 0.17 | 29% | 1.36 | 39% | 12:30 | 1:59 |
Alexandre Texier
|
15% | 0.16 | 32% | 1.38 | 40% | 13:33 | 1:40 |
Phillip Danault
|
13% | 0.14 | 32% | 1.36 | 39% | 17:16 | 0:18 |
Jack McBain
|
13% | 0.14 | 28% | 1.13 | 31% | 12:49 | 0:04 |
Jake Evans
|
12% | 0.12 | 27% | 1.04 | 28% | 16:11 | 0:02 |
Kirby Dach
|
11% | 0.11 | 24% | 0.97 | 25% | 12:18 | 1:01 |
Kevin Stenlund
|
10% | 0.10 | 24% | 0.97 | 25% | 13:43 | 0:03 |
Liam O'Brien
|
10% | 0.10 | 18% | 0.95 | 25% | 9:01 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Mikhail Sergachev
|
14% | 0.15 | 57% | 2.07 | 60% | 24:54 | 3:28 |
Lane Hutson
|
11% | 0.11 | 57% | 1.44 | 42% | 23:17 | 3:40 |
MacKenzie Weegar
|
10% | 0.10 | 33% | 1.89 | 55% | 22:39 | 0:50 |
Noah Dobson
|
9% | 0.10 | 37% | 1.78 | 53% | 20:26 | 1:55 |
Kaiden Guhle
|
6% | 0.06 | 24% | 1.17 | 32% | 22:21 | 0:10 |
Nate Schmidt
|
5% | 0.06 | 22% | 1.04 | 28% | 19:20 | 0:05 |
Dmitri Simashev
|
5% | 0.05 | 16% | 1.02 | 27% | 14:29 | 0:01 |
Alexandre Carrier
|
4% | 0.04 | 22% | 0.89 | 22% | 20:44 | 0:03 |
Andrew Peeke
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 1.05 | 28% | 18:35 | 0:01 |
Nick DeSimone
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.91 | 23% | 13:38 | 0:01 |
Adam Engstrom
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.82 | 20% | 12:02 | 0:09 |
Arber Xhekaj
|
2% | 0.02 | 9% | 0.64 | 14% | 11:54 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
UTA
Kailer YamamotoFJohn MarinoD
MTL
Ivan DemidovFMike MathesonDSam Montembeault
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
UTA- Rating
- -0.02
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
MTL- Rating
- -0.14
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Mammoth 4, Canadiens 5
- Result
- UTA lost by 1
- Why
- Model 58.0%, first price 53.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.0%
- First line
- 52.6%
- Close
- 52.6%
Moneyline MTL +102 / UTA -122 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.6
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over -118 / Under -102
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 52.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 UTA +0.40
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals UTA +0.29
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net MTL +0.01
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it MTL +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances UTA +0.12
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score 0.00
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.17
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.50
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.77
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.02
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.16
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
UTA |
MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.556th of 32 | -0.2219th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.805th of 32 | 2.609th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.244th of 32 | 2.5215th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.785th of 32 | 6.4230th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 8.0520th of 32 | 7.9419th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0210th of 32 | -0.1424th of 32 |
Goaltending
| UTA | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Sebastian Cossa | Jakub Dobes |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Likely | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.02 (#10) | -0.14 (#24) |
Who is out
- Sam Montembeault MTL Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winMTL 31%, UTA 46%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutMTL 11%, UTA 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (UTA)No
- Back-to-back (MTL)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelMTL 2 days, UTA 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Alex DeBrincat
|
41% | 0.53 | 66% | 3.12 | 80% | 20:13 | 3:35 |
Viktor Arvidsson
|
36% | 0.45 | 60% | 2.61 | 72% | 19:19 | 3:34 |
Lucas Raymond
|
31% | 0.38 | 66% | 2.25 | 65% | 19:47 | 3:38 |
Jack Eichel
|
31% | 0.38 | 65% | 2.75 | 75% | 20:24 | 3:07 |
Mark Stone
|
28% | 0.32 | 58% | 1.93 | 57% | 18:58 | 2:56 |
Tomas Hertl
|
25% | 0.28 | 44% | 2.05 | 60% | 14:59 | 2:58 |
Mitch Marner
|
25% | 0.28 | 62% | 1.99 | 58% | 20:09 | 3:33 |
Emmitt Finnie
|
24% | 0.28 | 45% | 1.77 | 52% | 18:32 | 2:25 |
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
|
22% | 0.25 | 44% | 1.66 | 49% | 15:22 | 1:46 |
Trevor Connelly
|
21% | 0.23 | 40% | 1.73 | 51% | 14:37 | 2:30 |
William Karlsson
|
20% | 0.22 | 38% | 1.76 | 52% | 17:16 | 1:09 |
Andrew Copp
|
19% | 0.22 | 46% | 1.50 | 44% | 18:21 | 1:57 |
Ivan Barbashev
|
18% | 0.19 | 41% | 1.40 | 41% | 15:04 | 1:02 |
Victor Olofsson
|
17% | 0.19 | 33% | 1.72 | 51% | 12:51 | 2:10 |
Michael Rasmussen
|
17% | 0.19 | 34% | 1.34 | 38% | 15:16 | 1:43 |
Brett Howden
|
16% | 0.17 | 29% | 1.31 | 37% | 14:50 | 0:21 |
J.T. Compher
|
14% | 0.15 | 34% | 1.18 | 33% | 16:11 | 0:51 |
Braeden Bowman
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.13 | 31% | 12:18 | 1:03 |
Nate Danielson
|
11% | 0.12 | 26% | 0.85 | 21% | 11:46 | 0:52 |
Marc Gatcomb
|
9% | 0.10 | 17% | 1.18 | 33% | 10:05 | 0:01 |
Carter Mazur
|
9% | 0.09 | 20% | 0.83 | 20% | 8:48 | 0:05 |
Sheldon Dries
|
8% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.76 | 18% | 10:14 | 0:03 |
Keegan Kolesar
|
7% | 0.08 | 18% | 0.64 | 14% | 10:13 | 0:06 |
Nic Dowd
|
7% | 0.08 | 18% | 0.65 | 14% | 10:53 | 0:01 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Moritz Seider
|
12% | 0.13 | 53% | 1.95 | 57% | 27:19 | 3:39 |
Rasmus Andersson
|
10% | 0.10 | 29% | 1.67 | 49% | 20:23 | 1:05 |
Shea Theodore
|
10% | 0.10 | 37% | 1.65 | 49% | 21:41 | 1:18 |
Justin Faulk
|
9% | 0.09 | 35% | 1.42 | 41% | 20:44 | 1:57 |
Noah Hanifin
|
7% | 0.08 | 26% | 1.56 | 46% | 21:18 | 0:12 |
Ben Chiarot
|
5% | 0.05 | 18% | 1.06 | 29% | 20:57 | 0:14 |
Brayden McNabb
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.09 | 30% | 20:13 | 0:02 |
William Wallinder
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 0.84 | 21% | 16:43 | 0:02 |
Jeremy Lauzon
|
4% | 0.04 | 14% | 1.09 | 30% | 17:08 | 0:01 |
Dylan Coghlan
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 1.22 | 34% | 13:53 | 0:01 |
Anton Johansson
|
3% | 0.03 | 17% | 0.79 | 19% | 13:02 | 0:01 |
Andreas Englund
|
2% | 0.02 | 12% | 0.54 | 10% | 14:13 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
VGK
Parker WotherspoonD
DET
Dylan LarkinFMarco KasperFMason AppletonFAlbert JohanssonDSimon EdvinssonD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
VGK- Rating
- -0.19
- DailyFaceoff
- C. HartUnconfirmed
DET- Rating
- +0.05
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.6%
- First line
- 43.7%
- Close
- 43.7%
Moneyline DET +120 / VGK -142 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.3
- First line
- 5.5
- Close
- 5.5
Over -135 / Under +114
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 43.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 VGK +0.17
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals VGK +0.17
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net DET +0.01
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it DET +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances DET +0.23
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score VGK +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.83
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.47
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.87
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.14
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.01
Team comparison
VGK |
DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.278th of 32 | 0.2010th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.5811th of 32 | 2.5312th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.223rd of 32 | 2.3912th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.598th of 32 | 8.459th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.333rd of 32 | 8.1522nd of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.1927th of 32 | 0.055th of 32 |
Goaltending
| VGK | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Adin Hill | Daniil Tarasov |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Likely |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.19 (#27) | +0.05 (#5) |
Who is out
- John Gibson DET Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winDET 41%, VGK 36%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutDET 12%, VGK 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (VGK)No
- Back-to-back (DET)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelDET 2 days, VGK 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jake Guentzel
|
47% | 0.64 | 74% | 2.96 | 78% | 20:43 | 4:35 |
Nikita Kucherov
|
46% | 0.61 | 86% | 3.10 | 80% | 20:24 | 4:26 |
Brandon Hagel
|
45% | 0.59 | 73% | 3.34 | 83% | 20:44 | 3:35 |
Brayden Point
|
41% | 0.52 | 68% | 2.39 | 68% | 19:03 | 4:24 |
Connor Bedard
|
30% | 0.36 | 62% | 2.86 | 76% | 21:13 | 4:24 |
Anthony Cirelli
|
29% | 0.34 | 53% | 1.84 | 54% | 17:32 | 1:44 |
Roman Kantserov
|
24% | 0.27 | 43% | 1.73 | 51% | 19:01 | 4:09 |
Tyler Bertuzzi
|
22% | 0.25 | 42% | 1.62 | 48% | 17:35 | 3:31 |
Frank Nazar
|
20% | 0.23 | 40% | 1.76 | 52% | 17:48 | 2:28 |
Anton Frondell
|
20% | 0.22 | 41% | 2.01 | 59% | 17:23 | 2:44 |
Pontus Holmberg
|
19% | 0.21 | 38% | 1.48 | 43% | 13:42 | 0:44 |
Gage Goncalves
|
18% | 0.20 | 41% | 1.28 | 36% | 14:42 | 1:07 |
Ilya Mikheyev
|
18% | 0.20 | 34% | 1.49 | 43% | 14:22 | 0:00 |
Dominic James
|
16% | 0.17 | 34% | 1.35 | 39% | 11:49 | 0:24 |
Conor Geekie
|
16% | 0.17 | 29% | 1.24 | 35% | 11:17 | 0:58 |
Ryan Donato
|
13% | 0.14 | 28% | 1.27 | 36% | 13:16 | 1:15 |
Jeffrey Viel
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.04 | 28% | 9:47 | 0:03 |
Teuvo Teravainen
|
12% | 0.13 | 33% | 1.04 | 28% | 14:54 | 2:21 |
Oliver Moore
|
11% | 0.12 | 27% | 1.26 | 36% | 12:28 | 1:11 |
Ryan Greene
|
11% | 0.12 | 25% | 1.07 | 29% | 15:20 | 0:45 |
Cole Smith
|
9% | 0.09 | 18% | 1.05 | 28% | 13:43 | 0:02 |
Jordan Greenway
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 1.01 | 27% | 13:19 | 0:03 |
Dillon Boucher
|
6% | 0.06 | 15% | 0.78 | 18% | 8:14 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
John Carlson
|
14% | 0.16 | 50% | 1.99 | 58% | 17:59 | 2:40 |
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
|
10% | 0.10 | 43% | 1.47 | 43% | 18:43 | 2:52 |
J.J. Moser
|
7% | 0.08 | 26% | 1.16 | 32% | 18:26 | 0:08 |
Victor Hedman
|
7% | 0.07 | 29% | 1.15 | 32% | 15:29 | 0:19 |
Maxwell Crozier
|
7% | 0.07 | 27% | 1.50 | 44% | 16:16 | 0:03 |
Artyom Levshunov
|
6% | 0.06 | 25% | 1.22 | 34% | 21:00 | 1:14 |
Sam Rinzel
|
5% | 0.05 | 21% | 1.16 | 32% | 17:05 | 1:01 |
Erik Cernak
|
5% | 0.05 | 22% | 1.02 | 27% | 18:17 | 0:04 |
Ryan McDonagh
|
5% | 0.05 | 27% | 0.79 | 19% | 17:42 | 0:03 |
Wyatt Kaiser
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.94 | 24% | 20:48 | 0:04 |
Alex Vlasic
|
3% | 0.03 | 18% | 0.98 | 26% | 21:23 | 0:11 |
Ian Cole
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.72 | 16% | 18:43 | 0:03 |
Ethan Del Mastro
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.82 | 20% | 13:47 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
CHI
Patrick KaneFBowen ByramD
TBL
Yanni GourdeFZemgus GirgensonsF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
CHI- Rating
- -0.26
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
TBL- Rating
- -0.01
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Blackhawks 1, Lightning 4
- Result
- CHI lost by 3
- Why
- Model 21.0%, first price 20.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 79.0%
- First line
- 77.2%
- Close
- 79.1%
Moneyline TBL -470 / CHI +360 (vig removed) · opened 77.2%
- Model
- 6.8
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over -108 / Under -112
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 77.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 TBL +1.05
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals TBL +0.15
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net TBL +0.14
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it TBL +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances TBL +0.25
- Back-to-back (CHI)CHI played yesterday TBL +0.22
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score CHI +0.08
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.33
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.35
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.85
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.07
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.27
- Back-to-backCHI played yesterday, plus a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects -0.01
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.09
Team comparison
CHI |
TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -1.0131st of 32 | 0.575th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.1531st of 32 | 2.834th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.9432nd of 32 | 2.3510th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.6427th of 32 | 7.6414th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.7217th of 32 | 7.3713th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.2630th of 32 | -0.019th of 32 |
Goaltending
| CHI | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Arvid Soderblom | Andrei Vasilevskiy |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Likely | Likely |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.26 (#30) | -0.01 (#9) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winTBL 69%, CHI 14%
- Goes to overtime17%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout7%
- Win in OT or shootoutTBL 10%, CHI 7%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (CHI)Yes-0.12 goals to CHI
- Back-to-back (TBL)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelTBL 2 days, CHI 1 daybeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jack Hughes
|
43% | 0.56 | 75% | 3.57 | 86% | 20:27 | 3:24 |
Nico Hischier
|
32% | 0.39 | 57% | 2.23 | 64% | 17:59 | 3:04 |
Timo Meier
|
31% | 0.38 | 50% | 2.87 | 77% | 17:02 | 1:33 |
Jesper Bratt
|
27% | 0.31 | 65% | 2.05 | 60% | 17:17 | 3:11 |
Luke Evangelista
|
26% | 0.30 | 58% | 2.33 | 67% | 17:08 | 3:06 |
Jimmy Snuggerud
|
26% | 0.30 | 47% | 2.19 | 63% | 17:59 | 3:04 |
Mason McTavish
|
25% | 0.29 | 44% | 2.17 | 63% | 16:43 | 2:52 |
Arseny Gritsyuk
|
24% | 0.28 | 45% | 2.23 | 64% | 15:27 | 1:15 |
Dylan Holloway
|
24% | 0.27 | 48% | 2.24 | 64% | 17:38 | 2:29 |
Robert Thomas
|
22% | 0.25 | 57% | 1.63 | 48% | 20:39 | 3:06 |
Anthony Mantha
|
20% | 0.23 | 42% | 1.47 | 43% | 13:18 | 1:33 |
Connor Brown
|
20% | 0.22 | 42% | 1.54 | 45% | 15:10 | 1:26 |
Evan Rodrigues
|
20% | 0.22 | 39% | 1.76 | 52% | 14:46 | 1:20 |
Pavel Buchnevich
|
19% | 0.21 | 39% | 1.60 | 47% | 17:32 | 2:13 |
Jake Neighbours
|
18% | 0.19 | 36% | 1.46 | 42% | 15:57 | 2:46 |
Connor McMichael
|
18% | 0.19 | 38% | 1.60 | 47% | 15:44 | 2:09 |
Amadeus Lombardi
|
15% | 0.16 | 33% | 1.54 | 45% | 10:57 | 0:11 |
Cody Glass
|
14% | 0.15 | 26% | 1.28 | 37% | 11:50 | 0:11 |
Jesper Boqvist
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.13 | 31% | 11:30 | 0:09 |
Pius Suter
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.15 | 32% | 13:24 | 0:08 |
Dalibor Dvorsky
|
11% | 0.11 | 20% | 1.12 | 31% | 12:10 | 0:40 |
Aleksanteri Kaskimaki
|
10% | 0.11 | 21% | 1.10 | 30% | 11:19 | 0:09 |
Alexey Toropchenko
|
8% | 0.08 | 17% | 0.94 | 24% | 11:26 | 0:02 |
Ross Johnston
|
5% | 0.05 | 13% | 0.52 | 10% | 8:06 | 0:01 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Luke Hughes
|
16% | 0.17 | 53% | 2.22 | 64% | 23:56 | 3:21 |
Dougie Hamilton
|
14% | 0.15 | 42% | 2.38 | 67% | 19:56 | 1:27 |
Philip Broberg
|
10% | 0.11 | 39% | 1.64 | 48% | 25:12 | 2:43 |
Adam Jiříček
|
7% | 0.07 | 22% | 1.26 | 36% | 16:57 | 1:23 |
Colton Parayko
|
6% | 0.06 | 21% | 1.28 | 36% | 20:30 | 0:06 |
Brett Pesce
|
6% | 0.06 | 25% | 1.22 | 34% | 20:10 | 0:06 |
Cam Fowler
|
5% | 0.05 | 29% | 1.06 | 29% | 20:51 | 1:58 |
Justin Barron
|
5% | 0.05 | 18% | 1.00 | 27% | 16:34 | 0:03 |
Jonas Siegenthaler
|
4% | 0.05 | 22% | 0.75 | 17% | 19:31 | 0:09 |
Johnathan Kovacevic
|
4% | 0.04 | 21% | 0.89 | 22% | 16:10 | 0:01 |
Declan Chisholm
|
3% | 0.03 | 19% | 0.72 | 16% | 14:24 | 0:20 |
Brandon Carlo
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.92 | 23% | 18:17 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
STL
Dillon DubeFTyler TuckerD
NJD
Seamus CaseyD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
STL- Rating
- -0.30
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
NJD- Rating
- -0.02
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Blues 4, Devils 5
- Result
- NJD won by 1
- Why
- Model 69.9%, first price 68.2%
Model vs market
- Model
- 69.9%
- First line
- 62.2%
- Close
- 67.5%
Moneyline NJD -238 / STL +195 (vig removed) · opened 62.2%
- Model
- 6.5
- First line
- 5.5
- Close
- 5.5
Over -130 / Under +110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 62.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 NJD +0.42
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals NJD +0.18
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net NJD +0.17
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it NJD +0.28
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances NJD +0.28
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score STL +0.05
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.95
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.21
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.98
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.04
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.33
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.03
Team comparison
STL |
NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.4824th of 32 | 0.604th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.4916th of 32 | 2.658th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.5519th of 32 | 2.181st of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.1032nd of 32 | 8.677th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.707th of 32 | 7.1411th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.3032nd of 32 | -0.0211th of 32 |
Goaltending
| STL | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Jordan Binnington | Connor Hellebuyck |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed | Likely |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.30 (#32) | -0.02 (#11) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winNJD 58%, STL 21%
- Goes to overtime21%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout9%
- Win in OT or shootoutNJD 12%, STL 9%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (STL)No
- Back-to-back (NJD)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelNJD 2 days, STL 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Sebastian Aho
|
36% | 0.44 | 68% | 2.46 | 69% | 19:58 | 3:29 |
Bo Horvat
|
35% | 0.44 | 59% | 2.71 | 74% | 21:32 | 3:46 |
Andrei Svechnikov
|
31% | 0.38 | 59% | 2.41 | 68% | 17:15 | 3:29 |
Seth Jarvis
|
30% | 0.36 | 55% | 2.40 | 68% | 17:59 | 1:57 |
Jackson Blake
|
30% | 0.35 | 56% | 2.23 | 64% | 17:21 | 3:23 |
Logan Stankoven
|
28% | 0.32 | 48% | 2.29 | 66% | 16:13 | 1:29 |
Nikolaj Ehlers
|
27% | 0.32 | 59% | 2.27 | 65% | 16:25 | 3:10 |
Kyle Palmieri
|
26% | 0.30 | 48% | 1.96 | 57% | 17:55 | 3:42 |
Brayden Schenn
|
22% | 0.24 | 46% | 1.51 | 44% | 17:06 | 3:16 |
Simon Holmstrom
|
22% | 0.24 | 46% | 1.39 | 40% | 19:35 | 2:51 |
Mark Jankowski
|
20% | 0.22 | 35% | 1.44 | 42% | 14:45 | 1:13 |
Victor Eklund
|
17% | 0.19 | 37% | 1.28 | 36% | 14:25 | 1:31 |
Jordan Martinook
|
16% | 0.17 | 34% | 1.41 | 41% | 15:03 | 0:01 |
Emil Heineman
|
16% | 0.17 | 29% | 1.32 | 38% | 13:39 | 0:43 |
William Carrier
|
15% | 0.16 | 32% | 1.38 | 40% | 12:28 | 0:00 |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau
|
15% | 0.16 | 37% | 1.08 | 29% | 16:24 | 0:41 |
Anthony Duclair
|
14% | 0.16 | 32% | 1.12 | 31% | 14:17 | 1:18 |
Eric Robinson
|
14% | 0.15 | 28% | 1.24 | 35% | 11:41 | 0:04 |
Ondrej Palat
|
13% | 0.13 | 28% | 1.02 | 27% | 14:28 | 0:54 |
Jesperi Kotkaniemi
|
13% | 0.13 | 30% | 1.12 | 31% | 11:49 | 0:57 |
Casey Cizikas
|
10% | 0.10 | 20% | 0.84 | 21% | 12:07 | 0:04 |
Nicolas Deslauriers
|
8% | 0.09 | 17% | 0.80 | 19% | 9:11 | 0:01 |
Mitchell Chaffee
|
7% | 0.08 | 17% | 0.68 | 15% | 9:32 | 0:07 |
Kyle MacLean
|
7% | 0.08 | 17% | 0.64 | 14% | 10:18 | 0:02 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Matthew Schaefer
|
23% | 0.26 | 59% | 2.67 | 73% | 27:17 | 4:06 |
Shayne Gostisbehere
|
12% | 0.13 | 52% | 1.65 | 49% | 18:02 | 3:27 |
Sean Walker
|
10% | 0.11 | 30% | 1.89 | 56% | 20:29 | 0:17 |
K'Andre Miller
|
9% | 0.09 | 34% | 1.47 | 43% | 21:54 | 0:42 |
Tony DeAngelo
|
7% | 0.07 | 33% | 1.33 | 38% | 19:05 | 1:15 |
Jalen Chatfield
|
7% | 0.07 | 24% | 1.34 | 39% | 19:52 | 0:05 |
Jaccob Slavin
|
7% | 0.07 | 29% | 1.52 | 44% | 21:16 | 0:04 |
Adam Pelech
|
6% | 0.06 | 24% | 1.18 | 33% | 20:53 | 0:12 |
Logan Stanley
|
6% | 0.06 | 29% | 0.96 | 25% | 21:44 | 0:07 |
Juuso Valimaki
|
5% | 0.05 | 21% | 0.97 | 25% | 15:18 | 0:56 |
Matthew Kessel
|
3% | 0.03 | 12% | 0.66 | 14% | 12:27 | 0:02 |
Scott Mayfield
|
2% | 0.02 | 12% | 0.59 | 12% | 14:14 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
CAR
Jordan StaalFTaylor HallF
NYI
Calum RitchieFMathew BarzalFMatias MaccelliFAlexander RomanovDRyan PulockD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
CAR- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
NYI- Rating
- +0.05
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Hurricanes 5, Islanders 3
- Result
- NYI lost by 2
- Why
- Model 37.1%, first price 34.9%
Model vs market
- Model
- 62.9%
- First line
- 60.0%
- Close
- 65.7%
Moneyline NYI +180 / CAR -218 (vig removed) · opened 60.0%
- Model
- 6.5
- First line
- 5.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over +114 / Under -135 · opened 5.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 60.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 CAR +0.72
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals CAR +0.33
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net CAR +0.22
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it NYI +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances NYI +0.14
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score NYI +0.01
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.38
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.50
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.65
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.05
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.04
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
CAR |
NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.842nd of 32 | -0.3021st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 3.041st of 32 | 2.5214th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.256th of 32 | 2.5920th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.686th of 32 | 6.8723rd of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.615th of 32 | 8.1623rd of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0917th of 32 | 0.054th of 32 |
Goaltending
| CAR | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Brandon Bussi | Semyon Varlamov |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.09 (#17) | +0.05 (#4) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winNYI 27%, CAR 51%
- Goes to overtime22%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout9%
- Win in OT or shootoutNYI 10%, CAR 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (CAR)No
- Back-to-back (NYI)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelNYI 5 days, CAR 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Pavel Dorofeyev
|
36% | 0.45 | 55% | 2.51 | 70% | 16:47 | 2:38 |
Mika Zibanejad
|
34% | 0.41 | 64% | 2.25 | 65% | 20:18 | 2:53 |
Alexis Lafrenière
|
32% | 0.39 | 58% | 2.10 | 61% | 18:04 | 2:52 |
J.T. Miller
|
30% | 0.36 | 64% | 1.86 | 55% | 19:43 | 2:45 |
Gabriel Perreault
|
25% | 0.29 | 46% | 1.68 | 49% | 16:41 | 1:28 |
Will Cuylle
|
25% | 0.29 | 43% | 1.83 | 54% | 16:56 | 1:18 |
Matvei Michkov
|
23% | 0.27 | 46% | 2.06 | 60% | 15:48 | 3:33 |
Trevor Zegras
|
23% | 0.26 | 50% | 2.05 | 60% | 18:22 | 3:35 |
Owen Tippett
|
21% | 0.24 | 37% | 2.36 | 67% | 15:06 | 1:39 |
Travis Konecny
|
21% | 0.23 | 48% | 1.96 | 57% | 17:30 | 2:37 |
Tyson Foerster
|
20% | 0.22 | 33% | 1.98 | 58% | 16:17 | 2:10 |
Tye Kartye
|
19% | 0.21 | 40% | 1.40 | 40% | 16:45 | 0:29 |
Porter Martone
|
18% | 0.19 | 39% | 1.74 | 51% | 14:10 | 3:02 |
Christian Dvorak
|
17% | 0.19 | 38% | 1.63 | 48% | 17:51 | 1:30 |
Oliver Bjorkstrand
|
17% | 0.18 | 35% | 1.29 | 37% | 11:57 | 1:11 |
Noah Laba
|
14% | 0.15 | 31% | 0.95 | 25% | 14:16 | 0:06 |
Denver Barkey
|
13% | 0.14 | 35% | 1.15 | 32% | 13:57 | 2:55 |
Eeli Tolvanen
|
13% | 0.14 | 28% | 1.20 | 34% | 12:23 | 0:42 |
Sean Couturier
|
13% | 0.13 | 30% | 1.39 | 40% | 15:24 | 0:14 |
Cole Knuble
|
12% | 0.13 | 24% | 1.59 | 47% | 11:49 | 0:10 |
Noah Cates
|
11% | 0.11 | 26% | 1.11 | 30% | 13:19 | 0:18 |
Jaroslav Chmelar
|
10% | 0.10 | 21% | 0.84 | 21% | 9:05 | 0:05 |
Noel Acciari
|
9% | 0.10 | 18% | 1.06 | 29% | 12:33 | 0:00 |
Matt Rempe
|
8% | 0.09 | 17% | 0.70 | 16% | 7:57 | 0:03 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Adam Fox
|
14% | 0.15 | 64% | 1.51 | 44% | 23:38 | 3:14 |
Travis Sanheim
|
10% | 0.10 | 31% | 1.49 | 43% | 23:50 | 0:45 |
Vladislav Gavrikov
|
8% | 0.08 | 30% | 1.28 | 36% | 22:11 | 0:20 |
Jamie Drysdale
|
8% | 0.08 | 31% | 1.34 | 39% | 22:48 | 3:14 |
Oliver Bonk
|
6% | 0.06 | 30% | 1.21 | 34% | 17:26 | 1:22 |
Cam York
|
6% | 0.06 | 21% | 1.03 | 27% | 20:03 | 0:31 |
Scott Morrow
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.08 | 29% | 15:08 | 0:59 |
Braden Schneider
|
5% | 0.06 | 22% | 1.16 | 32% | 19:40 | 0:06 |
Marcus Pettersson
|
4% | 0.05 | 25% | 0.79 | 19% | 21:11 | 0:04 |
Nick Seeler
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 1.05 | 28% | 16:57 | 0:01 |
Alberts Smits
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.55 | 11% | 14:20 | 0:02 |
Simon Benoit
|
2% | 0.02 | 8% | 0.68 | 15% | 13:48 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
PHI
Nikita GrebenkinFRasmus RistolainenD
NYR
Adam SykoraFJoe VelenoFSean DurziD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
PHI- Rating
- -0.08
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
NYR- Rating
- +0.02
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Flyers 2, Rangers 3
- Result
- NYR won by 1
- Why
- Model 64.4%, first price 57.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 64.4%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Close
- 57.2%
Moneyline NYR -148 / PHI +124 (vig removed) · opened 58.3%
- Model
- 6.2
- First line
- 5.5
- Close
- 5.5
Over -130 / Under +110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 58.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 NYR +0.45
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals NYR +0.12
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net PHI +0.02
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it NYR +0.28
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances NYR +0.10
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score PHI +0.04
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.80
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.39
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.89
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.03
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.05
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.00
Team comparison
PHI |
NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.5627th of 32 | 0.0912th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.1332nd of 32 | 2.4820th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.6424th of 32 | 2.4314th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 7.4716th of 32 | 9.043rd of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.808th of 32 | 6.899th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.9 | 5.0 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0815th of 32 | 0.027th of 32 |
Goaltending
| PHI | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Joseph Woll | Dylan Garand |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.08 (#15) | +0.02 (#7) |
Who is out
- Joonas Korpisalo NYR Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Igor Shesterkin NYR Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winNYR 52%, PHI 25%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutNYR 12%, PHI 10%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (PHI)No
- Back-to-back (NYR)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelNYR 2 days, PHI 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
David Pastrnak
|
40% | 0.52 | 73% | 3.48 | 85% | 20:48 | 4:05 |
Rickard Rakell
|
35% | 0.44 | 57% | 2.61 | 72% | 19:44 | 3:21 |
Sidney Crosby
|
33% | 0.39 | 64% | 2.36 | 67% | 19:18 | 3:27 |
Morgan Geekie
|
28% | 0.33 | 50% | 1.90 | 56% | 16:16 | 3:43 |
JJ Peterka
|
27% | 0.31 | 49% | 2.11 | 61% | 18:00 | 2:09 |
Pavel Zacha
|
27% | 0.31 | 54% | 1.84 | 54% | 19:00 | 3:30 |
Evgeni Malkin
|
25% | 0.29 | 55% | 2.15 | 62% | 16:37 | 2:27 |
Tommy Novak
|
25% | 0.29 | 49% | 1.98 | 58% | 16:35 | 2:37 |
Egor Chinakhov
|
23% | 0.27 | 43% | 2.00 | 59% | 14:42 | 1:45 |
Ben Kindel
|
23% | 0.26 | 42% | 2.06 | 60% | 15:45 | 2:11 |
Elias Lindholm
|
23% | 0.26 | 48% | 1.74 | 51% | 18:02 | 3:22 |
Fraser Minten
|
20% | 0.23 | 38% | 1.75 | 51% | 16:34 | 1:45 |
James Hagens
|
20% | 0.23 | 41% | 1.75 | 51% | 13:53 | 1:57 |
Nicholas Robertson
|
17% | 0.19 | 29% | 1.71 | 50% | 13:11 | 0:07 |
Ville Koivunen
|
16% | 0.18 | 37% | 1.22 | 34% | 14:49 | 2:28 |
Casey Mittelstadt
|
16% | 0.18 | 37% | 1.26 | 36% | 14:55 | 1:39 |
Justin Brazeau
|
15% | 0.16 | 30% | 1.39 | 40% | 11:56 | 0:35 |
Connor Dewar
|
13% | 0.14 | 27% | 1.40 | 41% | 13:32 | 0:02 |
Hendrix Lapierre
|
13% | 0.14 | 32% | 1.08 | 29% | 11:47 | 1:04 |
Blake Lizotte
|
11% | 0.12 | 26% | 1.07 | 29% | 14:07 | 0:02 |
Marat Khusnutdinov
|
11% | 0.11 | 24% | 0.93 | 24% | 13:42 | 0:02 |
Sean Kuraly
|
10% | 0.11 | 22% | 1.27 | 36% | 11:50 | 0:02 |
Mark Kastelic
|
10% | 0.11 | 20% | 1.03 | 27% | 10:04 | 0:05 |
Tanner Jeannot
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.80 | 19% | 9:55 | 0:06 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Erik Karlsson
|
15% | 0.17 | 56% | 2.22 | 64% | 23:32 | 3:34 |
Charlie McAvoy
|
14% | 0.15 | 52% | 1.75 | 52% | 24:26 | 3:40 |
Kris Letang
|
8% | 0.08 | 35% | 1.59 | 47% | 20:12 | 1:26 |
Mason Lohrei
|
7% | 0.07 | 27% | 1.02 | 27% | 16:58 | 1:32 |
Declan Carlile
|
6% | 0.07 | 18% | 1.19 | 33% | 18:13 | 0:03 |
Hampus Lindholm
|
6% | 0.07 | 26% | 1.34 | 38% | 20:38 | 0:30 |
Samuel Girard
|
5% | 0.05 | 27% | 1.03 | 28% | 18:40 | 0:08 |
Frederic Brunet
|
5% | 0.05 | 24% | 0.92 | 23% | 15:05 | 1:15 |
Nikita Zadorov
|
5% | 0.05 | 22% | 1.11 | 30% | 18:30 | 0:04 |
Kaedan Korczak
|
4% | 0.04 | 25% | 0.92 | 23% | 17:55 | 0:01 |
Spencer Stastney
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 1.07 | 29% | 16:25 | 0:00 |
Will Borgen
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.94 | 24% | 18:23 | 0:03 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
PIT
Bryan RustFRyan GravesDTrevor van RiemsdykD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
BOS- Rating
- +0.07
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
PIT- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Set at
- Pinnacle BOS 46.0% · model 48.2% · best price FanDuel +105
Model vs market
- Model
- 51.8%
- First line
- 50.4%
- Close
- 51.7%
Moneyline PIT -118 / BOS -102 (vig removed) · opened 50.4%
- Model
- 6.6
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over -112 / Under -108
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 50.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 PIT +0.10
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals BOS +0.05
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net BOS +0.06
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it PIT +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances BOS +0.16
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score BOS +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.44
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.23
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.91
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.02
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
BOS |
PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.0514th of 32 | -0.1217th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.5810th of 32 | 2.786th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.5216th of 32 | 2.5921st of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 7.1619th of 32 | 6.6926th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.3412th of 32 | 7.5015th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.072nd of 32 | -0.0919th of 32 |
Goaltending
| BOS | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Michael DiPietro | Arturs Silovs |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.07 (#2) | -0.09 (#19) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winPIT 40%, BOS 37%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutPIT 12%, BOS 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (BOS)No
- Back-to-back (PIT)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelPIT 2 days, BOS 3 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jason Robertson
|
40% | 0.52 | 70% | 3.06 | 79% | 19:17 | 3:22 |
Wyatt Johnston
|
38% | 0.47 | 65% | 2.44 | 69% | 19:30 | 3:10 |
Mikko Rantanen
|
33% | 0.41 | 69% | 2.12 | 62% | 19:51 | 3:29 |
Adam Fantilli
|
32% | 0.39 | 53% | 2.60 | 72% | 21:03 | 3:20 |
Roope Hintz
|
27% | 0.32 | 56% | 2.00 | 58% | 16:25 | 2:39 |
Charlie Coyle
|
24% | 0.28 | 51% | 1.75 | 51% | 20:00 | 3:18 |
Matthew Knies
|
22% | 0.25 | 48% | 1.55 | 45% | 17:55 | 3:10 |
Kent Johnson
|
22% | 0.25 | 44% | 1.72 | 51% | 16:59 | 2:55 |
Valeri Nichushkin
|
21% | 0.24 | 42% | 1.73 | 51% | 16:47 | 1:10 |
Tyler Seguin
|
21% | 0.23 | 44% | 1.61 | 47% | 15:30 | 0:51 |
Arttu Hyry
|
19% | 0.21 | 33% | 1.67 | 49% | 14:23 | 0:01 |
Sean Monahan
|
17% | 0.19 | 38% | 1.36 | 39% | 16:03 | 1:16 |
Mathieu Olivier
|
16% | 0.17 | 29% | 1.37 | 40% | 15:17 | 0:07 |
Cole Sillinger
|
15% | 0.16 | 34% | 1.50 | 44% | 15:44 | 0:16 |
Jamie Benn
|
15% | 0.16 | 37% | 1.22 | 34% | 12:57 | 0:25 |
Justin Hryckowian
|
15% | 0.16 | 31% | 1.14 | 32% | 14:19 | 0:51 |
Conor Garland
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.33 | 38% | 13:58 | 1:11 |
David Perron
|
13% | 0.14 | 29% | 1.15 | 32% | 12:08 | 0:19 |
Joel Kiviranta
|
11% | 0.12 | 22% | 1.10 | 30% | 11:58 | 0:00 |
Colin Blackwell
|
9% | 0.09 | 20% | 0.90 | 23% | 10:25 | 0:00 |
Radek Faksa
|
8% | 0.09 | 22% | 0.78 | 18% | 11:15 | 0:01 |
Luca Del Bel Belluz
|
7% | 0.07 | 16% | 0.63 | 13% | 8:43 | 0:10 |
Ryan Lomberg
|
7% | 0.07 | 13% | 0.82 | 20% | 8:25 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Zach Werenski
|
23% | 0.26 | 64% | 2.90 | 77% | 27:17 | 3:42 |
Thomas Harley
|
13% | 0.13 | 44% | 1.78 | 52% | 24:26 | 1:06 |
Denton Mateychuk
|
9% | 0.10 | 28% | 1.33 | 38% | 20:58 | 0:55 |
Damon Severson
|
9% | 0.10 | 32% | 1.07 | 29% | 21:29 | 0:38 |
Ivan Provorov
|
8% | 0.08 | 28% | 1.46 | 43% | 22:54 | 1:02 |
Esa Lindell
|
6% | 0.06 | 30% | 1.00 | 26% | 23:01 | 0:25 |
Nils Lundkvist
|
5% | 0.05 | 23% | 0.96 | 25% | 17:50 | 0:04 |
Tyler Myers
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.89 | 22% | 16:54 | 0:00 |
Dante Fabbro
|
3% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.86 | 21% | 16:11 | 0:04 |
Lian Bichsel
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.63 | 13% | 15:53 | 0:00 |
Jake Christiansen
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.71 | 16% | 13:17 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
DAL
Matt DucheneFOskar BackFKyle CapobiancoDMiro HeiskanenD
CBJ
Isac LundestromF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
DAL- Rating
- +0.00
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
CBJ- Rating
- -0.04
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Stars 1, Blue Jackets 2
- Result
- DAL lost by 1
- Why
- Model 57.0%, first price 54.2%
Model vs market
- Model
- 57.0%
- First line
- 54.3%
- Close
- 54.3%
Moneyline CBJ +110 / DAL -130 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.1
- First line
- 5.5
- Close
- 5.5
Over -122 / Under +102
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 54.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 DAL +0.08
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals DAL +0.31
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net DAL +0.27
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it CBJ +0.28
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances DAL +0.05
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score 0.00
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.69
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.38
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +1.03
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.02
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.04
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.02
Team comparison
DAL |
CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.347th of 32 | -0.3623rd of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.3125th of 32 | 2.4818th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.245th of 32 | 2.5217th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 9.492nd of 32 | 6.7525th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.091st of 32 | 8.1421st of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.008th of 32 | -0.0413th of 32 |
Goaltending
| DAL | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Casey DeSmith | Cam Talbot |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.00 (#8) | -0.04 (#13) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winCBJ 32%, DAL 44%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutCBJ 11%, DAL 13%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (DAL)No
- Back-to-back (CBJ)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelCBJ 2 days, DAL 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Kyle Connor
|
50% | 0.69 | 78% | 3.73 | 87% | 22:17 | 3:56 |
Mark Scheifele
|
39% | 0.49 | 78% | 2.45 | 69% | 22:39 | 3:58 |
Cole Perfetti
|
34% | 0.42 | 61% | 2.70 | 74% | 18:06 | 3:39 |
Gabriel Vilardi
|
33% | 0.41 | 64% | 2.07 | 60% | 19:26 | 3:52 |
Jake DeBrusk
|
30% | 0.35 | 48% | 2.48 | 70% | 17:43 | 3:32 |
Brock Boeser
|
27% | 0.32 | 52% | 1.99 | 58% | 19:46 | 3:40 |
Elias Pettersson
|
26% | 0.30 | 60% | 1.84 | 54% | 21:17 | 3:42 |
Dawson Mercer
|
23% | 0.26 | 44% | 1.94 | 57% | 17:06 | 1:42 |
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
|
21% | 0.24 | 45% | 1.72 | 51% | 15:59 | 3:12 |
Linus Karlsson
|
20% | 0.22 | 41% | 1.70 | 50% | 15:00 | 1:41 |
Marco Rossi
|
19% | 0.21 | 43% | 1.45 | 42% | 16:05 | 2:27 |
Brayden Yager
|
18% | 0.20 | 35% | 1.31 | 37% | 12:19 | 0:36 |
Drew O'Connor
|
18% | 0.20 | 32% | 1.54 | 45% | 16:02 | 0:13 |
Morgan Barron
|
17% | 0.19 | 33% | 1.56 | 46% | 14:04 | 0:03 |
Adam Lowry
|
17% | 0.19 | 38% | 1.17 | 33% | 15:12 | 0:10 |
Alex Iafallo
|
16% | 0.18 | 33% | 1.33 | 38% | 13:47 | 0:38 |
Liam Ohgren
|
16% | 0.17 | 32% | 1.47 | 43% | 14:52 | 1:17 |
Viggo Björck
|
15% | 0.17 | 34% | 1.15 | 32% | 13:12 | 1:22 |
Paul Cotter
|
15% | 0.16 | 30% | 1.08 | 29% | 13:07 | 1:38 |
Brendan Gallagher
|
12% | 0.13 | 24% | 1.26 | 36% | 10:59 | 0:02 |
Cole Koepke
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.10 | 30% | 9:29 | 0:02 |
Max Sasson
|
11% | 0.12 | 21% | 1.02 | 27% | 11:56 | 0:02 |
Jacob Quillan
|
9% | 0.10 | 22% | 0.97 | 26% | 11:32 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Neal Pionk
|
14% | 0.15 | 49% | 2.30 | 66% | 23:23 | 3:17 |
Filip Hronek
|
11% | 0.11 | 54% | 1.66 | 49% | 27:03 | 3:31 |
Elias Salomonsson
|
8% | 0.08 | 30% | 1.55 | 45% | 17:53 | 1:29 |
Dylan Samberg
|
7% | 0.07 | 31% | 1.36 | 39% | 21:04 | 0:14 |
Zeev Buium
|
6% | 0.06 | 29% | 0.98 | 26% | 21:27 | 1:50 |
Mario Ferraro
|
5% | 0.05 | 21% | 1.13 | 31% | 18:39 | 0:02 |
Elias Nils Pettersson
|
5% | 0.05 | 16% | 0.94 | 24% | 19:16 | 0:01 |
Haydn Fleury
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 0.85 | 21% | 13:58 | 0:24 |
Dylan DeMelo
|
4% | 0.04 | 27% | 0.91 | 23% | 19:51 | 0:06 |
Guillaume Brisebois
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 1.15 | 32% | 14:45 | 0:02 |
Jamie Oleksiak
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.91 | 23% | 17:26 | 0:00 |
Victor Mancini
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.58 | 12% | 12:43 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
VAN
Filip ChytilF
WPG
Vladislav NamestnikovFJosh MorrisseyDNick Bjugstad
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
VAN- Rating
- -0.16
- DailyFaceoff
- L. MerilainenLikely
WPG- Rating
- -0.12
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 63.8%
- First line
- 65.7%
- Close
- 65.7%
Moneyline WPG -218 / VAN +180 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.7
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over -105 / Under -115
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 65.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 WPG +0.38
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals WPG +0.12
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net WPG +0.09
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it WPG +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances WPG +0.05
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score VAN +0.04
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.02
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.71
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.71
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.03
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.28
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.03
Team comparison
VAN |
WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -1.1532nd of 32 | -0.5226th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.1630th of 32 | 2.3324th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.9231st of 32 | 2.6022nd of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.9821st of 32 | 7.8313th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 10.2132nd of 32 | 9.7531st of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.1625th of 32 | -0.1221st of 32 |
Goaltending
| VAN | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Leevi Merilinen | Stuart Skinner |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed/Likely | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.16 (#25) | -0.12 (#21) |
Who is out
- Thatcher Demko VAN Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winWPG 52%, VAN 26%
- Goes to overtime22%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout9%
- Win in OT or shootoutWPG 12%, VAN 10%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (VAN)No
- Back-to-back (WPG)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelWPG 2 days, VAN 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Leon Draisaitl
|
46% | 0.61 | 75% | 3.06 | 79% | 20:51 | 4:05 |
Connor McDavid
|
45% | 0.59 | 83% | 3.21 | 81% | 22:46 | 4:03 |
Cutter Gauthier
|
35% | 0.43 | 55% | 3.51 | 85% | 18:30 | 3:31 |
Beckett Sennecke
|
30% | 0.36 | 56% | 2.45 | 69% | 20:16 | 3:22 |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
|
29% | 0.35 | 56% | 2.04 | 60% | 19:00 | 4:02 |
Leo Carlsson
|
27% | 0.31 | 56% | 2.14 | 62% | 20:02 | 3:37 |
Vasily Podkolzin
|
25% | 0.29 | 43% | 1.99 | 58% | 16:54 | 1:45 |
Mikael Granlund
|
23% | 0.26 | 52% | 1.91 | 56% | 20:54 | 3:33 |
Kasperi Kapanen
|
22% | 0.25 | 42% | 1.74 | 51% | 17:44 | 2:43 |
Colton Dach
|
16% | 0.18 | 29% | 1.45 | 42% | 13:32 | 0:42 |
Alex Killorn
|
15% | 0.17 | 30% | 1.60 | 47% | 16:59 | 0:58 |
Judd Caulfield
|
14% | 0.16 | 31% | 1.27 | 36% | 13:28 | 1:18 |
Tim Washe
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.12 | 31% | 15:33 | 0:09 |
Filip Hallander
|
12% | 0.13 | 23% | 1.08 | 29% | 9:53 | 0:19 |
Alex Formenton
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.17 | 32% | 12:18 | 0:04 |
Roger McQueen
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.25 | 35% | 11:19 | 0:39 |
Mathieu Joseph
|
11% | 0.12 | 25% | 0.96 | 25% | 12:26 | 0:04 |
Jason Dickinson
|
11% | 0.11 | 21% | 0.98 | 26% | 12:44 | 0:03 |
Sam Colangelo
|
10% | 0.11 | 23% | 1.10 | 30% | 11:22 | 0:28 |
Owen Michaels
|
10% | 0.10 | 22% | 0.93 | 24% | 12:11 | 0:03 |
Max Jones
|
9% | 0.10 | 18% | 0.94 | 24% | 8:58 | 0:05 |
Jeff Malott
|
9% | 0.10 | 20% | 1.08 | 29% | 10:10 | 0:00 |
Nikita Nesterenko
|
9% | 0.10 | 21% | 1.08 | 29% | 10:53 | 0:16 |
Nico Myatovic
|
9% | 0.09 | 21% | 1.01 | 27% | 10:47 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Evan Bouchard
|
23% | 0.26 | 67% | 2.82 | 76% | 25:06 | 4:11 |
Jackson Lacombe
|
12% | 0.13 | 49% | 1.53 | 45% | 26:26 | 3:29 |
Mattias Ekholm
|
9% | 0.09 | 33% | 1.49 | 44% | 20:21 | 0:26 |
Ryan Shea
|
7% | 0.07 | 31% | 0.98 | 26% | 22:18 | 0:54 |
Tristan Luneau
|
7% | 0.07 | 29% | 1.17 | 33% | 19:52 | 0:51 |
Jake Walman
|
6% | 0.06 | 20% | 1.30 | 37% | 14:42 | 0:30 |
Pavel Mintyukov
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 0.96 | 25% | 19:31 | 0:11 |
Connor Murphy
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 1.07 | 29% | 20:05 | 0:05 |
Shakir Mukhamadullin
|
4% | 0.04 | 14% | 0.83 | 20% | 15:09 | 0:08 |
Drew Helleson
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.81 | 20% | 18:46 | 0:00 |
Travis Mitchell
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.65 | 14% | 15:31 | 0:03 |
Noah Warren
|
3% | 0.03 | 19% | 0.74 | 17% | 16:38 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
ANA
A.J. GreerFRyan PoehlingFTroy TerryFIan MooreD
EDM
Isaac HowardFMatthew SavoieFMattias JanmarkFZach HymanFAlec RegulaD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
ANA- Rating
- -0.12
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
EDM- Rating
- +0.05
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Set at
- Pinnacle EDM 63.2% · model 63.3% · best price BetMGM -190
Model vs market
- Model
- 63.3%
- First line
- 62.2%
- Latest
- 63.1%
Moneyline EDM -192 / ANA +160 (vig removed) · opened 62.2%
- Model
- 6.3
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -148 / Under +124
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 62.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:24 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 6:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 EDM +0.18
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals EDM +0.15
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net EDM +0.09
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it EDM +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances EDM +0.17
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score ANA +0.04
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.94
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.56
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.70
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.03
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.06
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
ANA |
EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.3622nd of 32 | 0.259th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.4819th of 32 | 2.3026th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.7629th of 32 | 2.348th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 7.8312th of 32 | 9.044th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.7418th of 32 | 8.2125th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.1223rd of 32 | 0.053rd of 32 |
Goaltending
| ANA | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Laurent Brossoit | Matt Tomkins |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Likely | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.12 (#23) | +0.05 (#3) |
Who is out
- Devon Levi EDM Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Frederik Andersen EDM Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winEDM 51%, ANA 26%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutEDM 12%, ANA 10%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (ANA)No
- Back-to-back (EDM)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelEDM 2 days, ANA 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
Players
Anytime goal board
- Kyle Connor50%
- Jake Guentzel47%
- Nikita Kucherov46%
- Leon Draisaitl46%
- Brandon Hagel45%
Forwards
| ANA @ EDM | 44.5% | 0.59 | 83.1% | 53.0% | 69.5% | 3.21 | 81.5% | 60.9% | 22:46 | 4:03 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 50.1% | 0.69 | 77.6% | 44.1% | 55.1% | 3.73 | 87.2% | 70.2% | 22:17 | 3:56 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 38.9% | 0.49 | 77.7% | 44.2% | 63.4% | 2.45 | 69.0% | 43.8% | 22:39 | 3:58 | |
| NSH @ COL | 44.0% | 0.58 | 79.3% | 46.7% | 63.0% | 3.88 | 88.5% | 72.6% | 20:14 | 4:11 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 45.9% | 0.61 | 85.6% | 57.7% | 73.4% | 3.10 | 80.0% | 58.6% | 20:24 | 4:26 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 40.3% | 0.52 | 73.4% | 38.1% | 55.4% | 3.48 | 84.7% | 66.1% | 20:48 | 4:05 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 47.1% | 0.64 | 73.8% | 38.7% | 50.5% | 2.96 | 78.0% | 55.7% | 20:43 | 4:35 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 45.6% | 0.61 | 75.4% | 41.0% | 54.8% | 3.06 | 79.5% | 57.8% | 20:51 | 4:05 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 44.7% | 0.59 | 73.0% | 37.6% | 51.1% | 3.34 | 83.1% | 63.5% | 20:44 | 3:35 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 30.1% | 0.36 | 61.7% | 24.9% | 45.2% | 2.86 | 76.4% | 53.5% | 21:13 | 4:24 | |
| STL @ NJD | 43.0% | 0.56 | 75.5% | 41.0% | 57.0% | 3.57 | 85.6% | 67.6% | 20:27 | 3:24 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 35.5% | 0.44 | 59.4% | 22.8% | 37.1% | 2.71 | 74.0% | 50.1% | 21:32 | 3:46 | |
| VGK @ DET | 41.1% | 0.53 | 66.2% | 29.6% | 42.6% | 3.12 | 80.3% | 59.0% | 20:13 | 3:35 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 31.2% | 0.37 | 66.6% | 29.9% | 51.4% | 2.25 | 64.6% | 38.8% | 20:55 | 3:49 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 32.1% | 0.39 | 53.4% | 17.8% | 31.4% | 2.60 | 72.0% | 47.6% | 21:03 | 3:20 | |
| VGK @ DET | 31.3% | 0.38 | 64.5% | 27.8% | 48.4% | 2.75 | 74.7% | 51.1% | 20:24 | 3:07 | |
| NSH @ COL | 34.8% | 0.43 | 62.3% | 25.5% | 42.1% | 2.87 | 76.6% | 53.7% | 19:48 | 3:31 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 40.4% | 0.52 | 69.6% | 33.4% | 49.0% | 3.06 | 79.5% | 57.8% | 19:17 | 3:22 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 26.1% | 0.30 | 59.8% | 23.2% | 45.6% | 1.84 | 54.1% | 28.0% | 21:17 | 3:42 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 35.5% | 0.44 | 67.9% | 31.4% | 50.2% | 2.46 | 69.2% | 44.1% | 19:58 | 3:29 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 40.6% | 0.52 | 68.0% | 31.6% | 46.2% | 2.39 | 67.7% | 42.3% | 19:03 | 4:24 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 30.5% | 0.36 | 56.1% | 19.9% | 36.8% | 2.45 | 69.0% | 43.8% | 20:16 | 3:22 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 35.2% | 0.43 | 54.6% | 18.7% | 29.9% | 3.51 | 85.0% | 66.6% | 18:30 | 3:31 | |
| VGK @ DET | 31.4% | 0.38 | 65.6% | 28.9% | 49.9% | 2.25 | 64.6% | 38.7% | 19:47 | 3:38 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 35.3% | 0.44 | 57.2% | 20.9% | 33.9% | 2.61 | 72.2% | 47.9% | 19:44 | 3:21 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 23.1% | 0.26 | 51.9% | 16.7% | 37.5% | 1.91 | 56.2% | 30.0% | 20:54 | 3:33 | |
| VGK @ DET | 36.1% | 0.45 | 60.4% | 23.7% | 38.0% | 2.61 | 72.2% | 47.9% | 19:19 | 3:34 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 33.3% | 0.41 | 69.3% | 33.0% | 53.9% | 2.12 | 61.6% | 35.5% | 19:51 | 3:29 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 33.5% | 0.41 | 64.0% | 27.2% | 45.8% | 2.25 | 64.7% | 38.9% | 20:18 | 2:53 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 30.2% | 0.36 | 69.4% | 33.2% | 56.2% | 2.62 | 72.3% | 47.9% | 18:53 | 3:38 | |
| VGK @ DET | 24.7% | 0.28 | 62.4% | 25.6% | 50.0% | 1.99 | 58.4% | 32.2% | 20:09 | 3:33 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 26.5% | 0.31 | 55.6% | 19.5% | 39.5% | 2.14 | 62.1% | 36.0% | 20:02 | 3:37 | |
| NSH @ COL | 32.6% | 0.39 | 66.2% | 29.6% | 49.9% | 2.39 | 67.9% | 42.5% | 19:21 | 3:27 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 37.5% | 0.47 | 65.1% | 28.4% | 44.1% | 2.44 | 68.9% | 43.7% | 19:30 | 3:10 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 33.4% | 0.41 | 64.1% | 27.3% | 46.1% | 2.07 | 60.4% | 34.2% | 19:26 | 3:52 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 32.6% | 0.39 | 64.2% | 27.4% | 46.9% | 2.36 | 67.0% | 41.5% | 19:18 | 3:27 | |
| NSH @ COL | 25.3% | 0.29 | 55.0% | 19.0% | 39.7% | 1.85 | 54.5% | 28.4% | 20:35 | 3:16 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 27.5% | 0.32 | 52.1% | 16.8% | 34.0% | 1.99 | 58.4% | 32.2% | 19:46 | 3:40 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 38.5% | 0.49 | 62.1% | 25.3% | 38.3% | 2.97 | 78.2% | 56.0% | 17:50 | 3:41 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 29.2% | 0.35 | 56.2% | 20.0% | 38.1% | 2.04 | 59.6% | 33.4% | 19:00 | 4:02 | |
| STL @ NJD | 22.3% | 0.25 | 56.9% | 20.6% | 44.5% | 1.63 | 47.8% | 22.6% | 20:39 | 3:06 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 34.1% | 0.42 | 61.4% | 24.7% | 41.5% | 2.70 | 73.8% | 49.9% | 18:06 | 3:39 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 37.8% | 0.47 | 57.7% | 21.3% | 32.0% | 2.86 | 76.5% | 53.6% | 17:38 | 3:47 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 24.3% | 0.28 | 51.2% | 16.2% | 35.5% | 1.75 | 51.4% | 25.7% | 20:00 | 3:18 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 30.4% | 0.36 | 64.0% | 27.2% | 48.2% | 1.86 | 54.8% | 28.7% | 19:43 | 2:45 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 23.5% | 0.27 | 43.3% | 11.1% | 25.8% | 1.73 | 51.1% | 25.4% | 19:01 | 4:09 | |
| NSH @ COL | 30.1% | 0.36 | 51.8% | 16.6% | 31.0% | 2.33 | 66.6% | 41.0% | 18:13 | 3:36 | |
| NSH @ COL | 30.6% | 0.37 | 57.4% | 21.0% | 38.5% | 2.72 | 74.1% | 50.3% | 17:08 | 3:55 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 26.6% | 0.31 | 53.7% | 18.1% | 37.0% | 1.84 | 54.1% | 28.1% | 19:00 | 3:30 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 29.6% | 0.35 | 58.6% | 22.1% | 41.1% | 2.33 | 66.4% | 40.8% | 17:56 | 3:33 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 31.5% | 0.38 | 59.9% | 23.3% | 41.5% | 1.94 | 57.0% | 30.8% | 18:20 | 3:39 | |
| VGK @ DET | 27.7% | 0.32 | 58.2% | 21.7% | 42.2% | 1.93 | 56.8% | 30.6% | 18:58 | 2:56 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 22.9% | 0.26 | 49.6% | 15.1% | 34.6% | 2.05 | 59.9% | 33.7% | 18:22 | 3:35 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 29.8% | 0.35 | 48.4% | 14.3% | 26.5% | 2.48 | 69.5% | 44.5% | 17:43 | 3:32 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 31.4% | 0.38 | 59.5% | 22.9% | 40.9% | 2.41 | 68.2% | 42.9% | 17:15 | 3:29 | |
| STL @ NJD | 32.0% | 0.39 | 57.4% | 21.1% | 37.4% | 2.23 | 64.1% | 38.2% | 17:59 | 3:04 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 25.7% | 0.30 | 47.7% | 13.8% | 29.6% | 1.96 | 57.5% | 31.3% | 17:55 | 3:42 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 32.1% | 0.39 | 57.9% | 21.5% | 38.0% | 2.10 | 61.0% | 34.8% | 18:04 | 2:52 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 29.7% | 0.35 | 56.5% | 20.2% | 38.0% | 2.23 | 64.2% | 38.3% | 17:21 | 3:23 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 21.6% | 0.24 | 45.6% | 12.5% | 30.5% | 1.39 | 40.1% | 16.7% | 19:35 | 2:51 | |
| STL @ NJD | 25.8% | 0.30 | 47.0% | 13.4% | 28.6% | 2.19 | 63.3% | 37.3% | 17:59 | 3:04 | |
| STL @ NJD | 26.9% | 0.31 | 64.9% | 28.2% | 52.0% | 2.05 | 59.8% | 33.6% | 17:17 | 3:11 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 24.8% | 0.29 | 51.0% | 16.1% | 34.8% | 2.00 | 58.5% | 32.3% | 17:28 | 3:33 | |
| STL @ NJD | 26.0% | 0.30 | 57.8% | 21.4% | 42.9% | 2.33 | 66.6% | 41.0% | 17:08 | 3:06 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 22.9% | 0.26 | 48.1% | 14.1% | 32.6% | 1.74 | 51.2% | 25.5% | 18:02 | 3:22 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 30.2% | 0.36 | 55.2% | 19.3% | 35.9% | 2.40 | 67.9% | 42.6% | 17:59 | 1:57 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 36.2% | 0.45 | 54.5% | 18.7% | 28.8% | 2.51 | 70.2% | 45.4% | 16:47 | 2:38 | |
| VGK @ DET | 24.2% | 0.28 | 44.6% | 11.9% | 26.9% | 1.77 | 52.2% | 26.3% | 18:32 | 2:25 | |
| STL @ NJD | 23.6% | 0.27 | 48.5% | 14.3% | 32.5% | 2.24 | 64.5% | 38.6% | 17:38 | 2:29 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 27.1% | 0.32 | 59.2% | 22.6% | 43.9% | 2.27 | 65.1% | 39.3% | 16:25 | 3:10 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 26.7% | 0.31 | 48.8% | 14.5% | 30.2% | 2.11 | 61.4% | 35.3% | 18:00 | 2:09 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 22.4% | 0.25 | 48.0% | 14.0% | 33.0% | 1.55 | 45.5% | 20.7% | 17:55 | 3:10 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 22.1% | 0.25 | 41.7% | 10.3% | 25.2% | 1.62 | 47.6% | 22.4% | 17:35 | 3:31 | |
| STL @ NJD | 31.3% | 0.38 | 50.1% | 15.4% | 27.3% | 2.87 | 76.7% | 53.8% | 17:02 | 1:33 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 20.9% | 0.23 | 47.9% | 13.9% | 34.1% | 1.96 | 57.4% | 31.3% | 17:30 | 2:37 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 28.0% | 0.33 | 50.0% | 15.3% | 30.5% | 1.90 | 55.8% | 29.7% | 16:16 | 3:43 | |
| NSH @ COL | 30.2% | 0.36 | 49.9% | 15.2% | 28.2% | 2.05 | 59.9% | 33.8% | 18:10 | 1:29 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 19.5% | 0.22 | 41.1% | 9.9% | 26.8% | 2.01 | 58.9% | 32.7% | 17:23 | 2:44 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 22.4% | 0.25 | 42.4% | 10.6% | 25.8% | 1.74 | 51.1% | 25.4% | 17:44 | 2:43 | |
| STL @ NJD | 24.8% | 0.29 | 44.1% | 11.6% | 25.6% | 2.17 | 62.9% | 36.8% | 16:43 | 2:52 | |
| NSH @ COL | 25.0% | 0.29 | 46.9% | 13.3% | 29.3% | 2.20 | 63.5% | 37.6% | 15:20 | 4:03 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 20.4% | 0.23 | 39.8% | 9.3% | 24.4% | 1.76 | 51.9% | 26.1% | 17:48 | 2:28 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 25.5% | 0.29 | 54.9% | 19.0% | 39.5% | 2.15 | 62.3% | 36.2% | 16:37 | 2:27 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 21.7% | 0.24 | 46.1% | 12.8% | 31.1% | 1.51 | 44.0% | 19.6% | 17:06 | 3:16 | |
| VGK @ DET | 19.4% | 0.22 | 45.6% | 12.5% | 32.6% | 1.50 | 43.7% | 19.3% | 18:21 | 1:57 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 23.3% | 0.27 | 45.6% | 12.5% | 29.0% | 2.06 | 60.1% | 34.0% | 15:48 | 3:33 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 27.2% | 0.32 | 56.2% | 20.0% | 39.8% | 2.00 | 58.5% | 32.3% | 16:25 | 2:39 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 21.8% | 0.25 | 43.7% | 11.4% | 28.0% | 1.72 | 50.6% | 24.9% | 16:59 | 2:55 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 28.8% | 0.34 | 52.7% | 17.3% | 33.5% | 1.84 | 54.3% | 28.2% | 17:32 | 1:44 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 25.0% | 0.29 | 49.2% | 14.8% | 32.4% | 1.98 | 58.1% | 31.9% | 16:35 | 2:37 | |
| NSH @ COL | 27.2% | 0.32 | 47.8% | 13.9% | 28.3% | 1.99 | 58.3% | 32.1% | 17:15 | 1:46 | |
| STL @ NJD | 18.6% | 0.21 | 39.4% | 9.1% | 25.6% | 1.60 | 47.1% | 22.0% | 17:32 | 2:13 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 21.7% | 0.24 | 48.7% | 14.5% | 34.5% | 1.67 | 49.3% | 23.8% | 18:06 | 1:15 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 21.3% | 0.24 | 44.6% | 11.9% | 29.6% | 1.72 | 50.7% | 25.0% | 15:59 | 3:12 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 22.7% | 0.26 | 44.2% | 11.6% | 27.7% | 1.94 | 57.0% | 30.8% | 17:06 | 1:42 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 25.0% | 0.29 | 43.2% | 11.1% | 24.3% | 1.99 | 58.2% | 32.0% | 16:54 | 1:45 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 17.3% | 0.19 | 38.3% | 8.5% | 25.3% | 1.63 | 48.0% | 22.7% | 17:51 | 1:30 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 27.5% | 0.32 | 48.1% | 14.1% | 28.4% | 2.29 | 65.6% | 39.8% | 16:13 | 1:29 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 20.0% | 0.22 | 32.9% | 6.1% | 16.2% | 1.98 | 57.9% | 31.7% | 16:17 | 2:10 | |
| VGK @ DET | 24.8% | 0.28 | 43.9% | 11.5% | 25.5% | 2.05 | 59.7% | 33.5% | 14:59 | 2:58 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 24.8% | 0.29 | 43.3% | 11.2% | 24.6% | 1.83 | 54.0% | 27.9% | 16:56 | 1:18 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 23.0% | 0.26 | 41.6% | 10.2% | 24.1% | 2.06 | 60.0% | 33.8% | 15:45 | 2:11 | |
| VGK @ DET | 19.6% | 0.22 | 37.6% | 8.2% | 22.4% | 1.76 | 51.9% | 26.1% | 17:16 | 1:09 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 25.2% | 0.29 | 45.6% | 12.5% | 27.3% | 1.68 | 49.4% | 23.9% | 16:41 | 1:28 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 20.4% | 0.23 | 38.4% | 8.5% | 22.6% | 1.75 | 51.5% | 25.7% | 16:34 | 1:45 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 19.6% | 0.22 | 36.1% | 7.5% | 20.6% | 1.41 | 40.8% | 17.2% | 16:47 | 2:03 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 19.0% | 0.21 | 42.7% | 10.8% | 29.3% | 1.45 | 42.2% | 18.2% | 16:05 | 2:27 | |
| STL @ NJD | 17.7% | 0.19 | 35.8% | 7.3% | 21.9% | 1.46 | 42.4% | 18.4% | 15:57 | 2:46 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 21.1% | 0.24 | 42.5% | 10.7% | 27.2% | 1.73 | 50.8% | 25.1% | 16:47 | 1:10 | |
| STL @ NJD | 24.5% | 0.28 | 44.9% | 12.0% | 27.0% | 2.23 | 64.2% | 38.3% | 15:27 | 1:15 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 21.2% | 0.24 | 37.3% | 8.0% | 20.5% | 2.36 | 67.1% | 41.6% | 15:06 | 1:39 | |
| STL @ NJD | 17.6% | 0.19 | 38.1% | 8.4% | 24.9% | 1.60 | 47.1% | 22.0% | 15:44 | 2:09 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 15.4% | 0.17 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 17.4% | 1.60 | 46.9% | 21.8% | 16:59 | 0:58 | |
| NSH @ COL | 16.8% | 0.18 | 35.4% | 7.2% | 22.3% | 1.70 | 50.2% | 24.6% | 16:03 | 1:28 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 17.7% | 0.19 | 39.3% | 9.0% | 26.3% | 1.74 | 51.3% | 25.5% | 14:10 | 3:02 | |
| VGK @ DET | 22.2% | 0.25 | 44.0% | 11.5% | 28.1% | 1.66 | 48.9% | 23.5% | 15:22 | 1:46 | |
| VGK @ DET | 20.9% | 0.23 | 39.9% | 9.3% | 24.0% | 1.73 | 51.0% | 25.3% | 14:37 | 2:30 | |
| NSH @ COL | 13.9% | 0.15 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 18.8% | 1.36 | 39.1% | 16.0% | 17:54 | 0:01 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 23.3% | 0.27 | 42.6% | 10.8% | 25.2% | 2.00 | 58.6% | 32.4% | 14:42 | 1:45 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 18.6% | 0.21 | 40.3% | 9.5% | 26.7% | 1.40 | 40.4% | 16.9% | 16:45 | 0:29 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 13.1% | 0.14 | 32.3% | 5.9% | 22.1% | 1.36 | 39.2% | 16.1% | 17:16 | 0:18 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 20.1% | 0.22 | 40.9% | 9.8% | 26.0% | 1.70 | 50.1% | 24.5% | 15:00 | 1:41 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 17.1% | 0.19 | 38.0% | 8.4% | 25.2% | 1.36 | 39.2% | 16.0% | 16:03 | 1:16 | |
| NSH @ COL | 22.0% | 0.25 | 43.1% | 11.0% | 27.0% | 1.66 | 48.8% | 23.4% | 14:50 | 1:47 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 16.2% | 0.18 | 37.5% | 8.1% | 25.4% | 1.22 | 34.2% | 12.8% | 14:49 | 2:28 | |
| STL @ NJD | 20.1% | 0.22 | 41.7% | 10.2% | 27.0% | 1.54 | 45.2% | 20.4% | 15:10 | 1:26 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 20.9% | 0.23 | 43.8% | 11.4% | 29.0% | 1.61 | 47.3% | 22.2% | 15:30 | 0:51 | |
| NSH @ COL | 13.4% | 0.14 | 33.1% | 6.2% | 22.8% | 1.13 | 30.9% | 10.8% | 16:05 | 1:24 | |
| VGK @ DET | 17.2% | 0.19 | 34.3% | 6.7% | 20.7% | 1.34 | 38.3% | 15.4% | 15:16 | 1:43 | |
| STL @ NJD | 20.0% | 0.22 | 39.3% | 9.0% | 24.2% | 1.76 | 51.9% | 26.1% | 14:46 | 1:20 | |
| NSH @ COL | 20.3% | 0.23 | 39.3% | 9.0% | 23.8% | 1.78 | 52.5% | 26.6% | 13:58 | 2:07 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 18.3% | 0.20 | 38.4% | 8.6% | 24.6% | 1.73 | 51.1% | 25.4% | 15:00 | 1:03 | |
| VGK @ DET | 14.4% | 0.15 | 34.3% | 6.7% | 23.2% | 1.18 | 32.8% | 11.9% | 16:11 | 0:51 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 14.6% | 0.16 | 37.2% | 8.0% | 26.4% | 1.08 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 16:24 | 0:41 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 20.2% | 0.23 | 40.5% | 9.6% | 25.4% | 1.75 | 51.4% | 25.7% | 13:53 | 1:57 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 11.8% | 0.13 | 33.2% | 6.2% | 24.3% | 1.04 | 27.9% | 9.1% | 14:54 | 2:21 | |
| NSH @ COL | 16.6% | 0.18 | 33.6% | 6.4% | 20.5% | 1.34 | 38.4% | 15.5% | 14:46 | 1:54 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 13.5% | 0.14 | 35.1% | 7.1% | 25.0% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.4% | 13:57 | 2:55 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 18.2% | 0.20 | 32.4% | 5.9% | 17.4% | 1.54 | 45.2% | 20.5% | 16:02 | 0:13 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 16.1% | 0.18 | 37.5% | 8.1% | 25.5% | 1.26 | 35.8% | 13.8% | 14:55 | 1:39 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 23.9% | 0.27 | 41.0% | 9.9% | 22.5% | 2.03 | 59.2% | 33.0% | 14:07 | 0:59 | |
| VGK @ DET | 17.7% | 0.19 | 41.3% | 10.0% | 28.6% | 1.40 | 40.6% | 17.1% | 15:04 | 1:02 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 15.9% | 0.17 | 32.2% | 5.8% | 19.3% | 1.47 | 42.9% | 18.7% | 14:52 | 1:17 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 15.2% | 0.16 | 34.4% | 6.7% | 22.6% | 1.50 | 43.9% | 19.5% | 15:44 | 0:16 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 19.8% | 0.22 | 35.2% | 7.1% | 19.3% | 1.44 | 41.7% | 17.8% | 14:45 | 1:13 | |
| NSH @ COL | 17.2% | 0.19 | 28.1% | 4.4% | 13.2% | 1.54 | 45.2% | 20.5% | 15:59 | 0:01 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 17.4% | 0.19 | 33.8% | 6.5% | 19.8% | 1.48 | 43.1% | 18.9% | 13:40 | 2:12 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 18.5% | 0.21 | 33.7% | 6.5% | 18.6% | 1.61 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 15:24 | 0:10 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 18.2% | 0.20 | 41.2% | 10.0% | 28.1% | 1.28 | 36.5% | 14.2% | 14:42 | 1:07 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 17.4% | 0.19 | 37.4% | 8.1% | 24.2% | 1.28 | 36.4% | 14.2% | 14:25 | 1:31 | |
| VGK @ DET | 17.4% | 0.19 | 32.8% | 6.1% | 18.7% | 1.72 | 50.6% | 24.9% | 12:51 | 2:10 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 12.6% | 0.13 | 30.4% | 5.2% | 20.4% | 1.39 | 40.1% | 16.7% | 15:24 | 0:14 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 11.5% | 0.12 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 17.3% | 1.04 | 27.8% | 9.1% | 16:11 | 0:02 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 11.0% | 0.12 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 15.4% | 1.07 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 15:20 | 0:45 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 16.0% | 0.17 | 29.2% | 4.8% | 15.7% | 1.37 | 39.5% | 16.3% | 15:17 | 0:07 | |
| STL @ NJD | 20.4% | 0.23 | 42.2% | 10.5% | 27.4% | 1.47 | 42.7% | 18.6% | 13:18 | 1:33 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 17.1% | 0.19 | 34.2% | 6.6% | 20.5% | 1.36 | 39.1% | 16.0% | 13:05 | 2:08 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 17.0% | 0.19 | 38.3% | 8.5% | 25.7% | 1.17 | 32.6% | 11.8% | 15:12 | 0:10 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 14.7% | 0.16 | 31.7% | 5.6% | 19.9% | 1.38 | 39.7% | 16.4% | 13:33 | 1:40 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 16.0% | 0.17 | 34.2% | 6.7% | 21.7% | 1.41 | 40.8% | 17.2% | 15:03 | 0:01 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 14.4% | 0.16 | 31.5% | 5.6% | 20.0% | 1.12 | 30.8% | 10.7% | 14:17 | 1:18 | |
| NSH @ COL | 16.8% | 0.18 | 32.8% | 6.1% | 19.3% | 1.77 | 52.1% | 26.2% | 13:56 | 0:32 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 12.2% | 0.13 | 25.0% | 3.4% | 14.6% | 1.12 | 30.6% | 10.6% | 15:33 | 0:09 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 14.2% | 0.15 | 30.5% | 5.2% | 19.0% | 1.33 | 38.2% | 15.4% | 13:58 | 1:11 | |
| VGK @ DET | 15.9% | 0.17 | 29.0% | 4.7% | 15.6% | 1.31 | 37.4% | 14.8% | 14:50 | 0:21 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 16.6% | 0.18 | 27.3% | 4.1% | 12.8% | 1.47 | 42.9% | 18.7% | 14:54 | 0:02 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 18.7% | 0.21 | 32.9% | 6.1% | 17.4% | 1.67 | 49.2% | 23.7% | 14:23 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 18.7% | 0.21 | 37.6% | 8.2% | 23.3% | 1.48 | 43.0% | 18.8% | 13:42 | 0:44 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 14.5% | 0.16 | 30.8% | 5.3% | 19.0% | 1.14 | 31.6% | 11.2% | 14:19 | 0:51 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 12.6% | 0.13 | 28.2% | 4.4% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 27.0% | 8.6% | 14:28 | 0:54 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 18.0% | 0.20 | 33.6% | 6.4% | 19.1% | 1.49 | 43.4% | 19.1% | 14:22 | 0:00 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 18.5% | 0.20 | 35.0% | 7.0% | 20.3% | 1.89 | 55.5% | 29.3% | 12:17 | 1:24 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 14.4% | 0.16 | 31.3% | 5.5% | 19.8% | 1.27 | 36.0% | 13.9% | 13:28 | 1:18 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 17.4% | 0.19 | 32.6% | 6.0% | 18.4% | 1.56 | 45.6% | 20.8% | 14:04 | 0:03 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 16.1% | 0.18 | 32.8% | 6.1% | 19.9% | 1.33 | 38.1% | 15.3% | 13:47 | 0:38 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 15.6% | 0.17 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 15.5% | 1.36 | 39.0% | 15.9% | 12:30 | 1:59 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 16.2% | 0.18 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 14.9% | 1.45 | 42.2% | 18.2% | 13:32 | 0:42 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 15.3% | 0.17 | 33.6% | 6.4% | 21.6% | 1.15 | 31.7% | 11.2% | 13:12 | 1:22 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 14.7% | 0.16 | 29.8% | 5.0% | 17.7% | 1.08 | 29.4% | 9.9% | 13:07 | 1:38 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 13.3% | 0.14 | 28.2% | 4.4% | 17.1% | 1.27 | 36.0% | 13.9% | 13:16 | 1:15 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 15.9% | 0.17 | 28.6% | 4.5% | 15.0% | 1.32 | 37.9% | 15.1% | 13:39 | 0:43 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 16.9% | 0.19 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 14.2% | 1.71 | 50.4% | 24.8% | 13:11 | 0:07 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 13.7% | 0.15 | 31.3% | 5.5% | 20.4% | 0.95 | 24.6% | 7.4% | 14:16 | 0:06 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 11.0% | 0.12 | 26.2% | 3.8% | 17.2% | 1.07 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 14:07 | 0:02 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 13.1% | 0.14 | 27.0% | 4.0% | 16.0% | 1.40 | 40.6% | 17.0% | 13:32 | 0:02 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 11.1% | 0.12 | 26.6% | 3.9% | 17.4% | 1.26 | 35.7% | 13.7% | 12:28 | 1:11 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 15.1% | 0.16 | 37.2% | 8.0% | 26.1% | 1.22 | 34.2% | 12.8% | 12:57 | 0:25 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 16.7% | 0.18 | 34.5% | 6.8% | 21.4% | 1.29 | 36.7% | 14.3% | 11:57 | 1:11 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 10.6% | 0.11 | 25.5% | 3.6% | 16.7% | 1.11 | 30.3% | 10.5% | 13:19 | 0:18 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 18.4% | 0.20 | 35.2% | 7.1% | 20.5% | 1.31 | 37.4% | 14.8% | 12:19 | 0:36 | |
| STL @ NJD | 11.5% | 0.12 | 23.5% | 3.0% | 13.5% | 1.15 | 31.6% | 11.2% | 13:24 | 0:08 | |
| VGK @ DET | 13.9% | 0.15 | 30.0% | 5.0% | 18.7% | 1.13 | 31.1% | 10.9% | 12:18 | 1:03 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 9.8% | 0.10 | 24.1% | 3.2% | 15.8% | 0.97 | 25.2% | 7.7% | 13:43 | 0:03 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 8.8% | 0.09 | 18.2% | 1.8% | 10.3% | 1.05 | 28.3% | 9.3% | 13:43 | 0:02 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 10.8% | 0.11 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 14.5% | 0.93 | 23.8% | 7.0% | 13:42 | 0:02 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 13.4% | 0.14 | 27.9% | 4.3% | 16.7% | 1.20 | 33.7% | 12.5% | 12:23 | 0:42 | |
| NSH @ COL | 12.7% | 0.14 | 25.8% | 3.7% | 15.0% | 1.22 | 34.3% | 12.8% | 12:56 | 0:00 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 14.8% | 0.16 | 32.5% | 6.0% | 20.8% | 1.38 | 39.8% | 16.5% | 12:28 | 0:00 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 15.1% | 0.16 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 17.7% | 1.39 | 40.1% | 16.7% | 11:56 | 0:35 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 10.8% | 0.11 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 14.5% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 12:18 | 1:01 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 8.8% | 0.09 | 19.4% | 2.0% | 11.6% | 1.01 | 26.8% | 8.5% | 13:19 | 0:03 | |
| NSH @ COL | 12.2% | 0.13 | 29.3% | 4.8% | 19.5% | 1.09 | 29.8% | 10.2% | 12:28 | 0:27 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 12.7% | 0.14 | 32.4% | 5.9% | 22.5% | 1.08 | 29.4% | 9.9% | 11:47 | 1:04 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 12.7% | 0.14 | 27.6% | 4.2% | 17.1% | 1.13 | 31.0% | 10.8% | 12:49 | 0:04 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 12.5% | 0.13 | 29.7% | 4.9% | 19.6% | 1.12 | 30.6% | 10.6% | 11:49 | 0:57 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 16.0% | 0.17 | 33.9% | 6.5% | 21.3% | 1.35 | 38.8% | 15.8% | 11:49 | 0:24 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 11.9% | 0.13 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 13.6% | 1.59 | 46.8% | 21.7% | 11:49 | 0:10 | |
| STL @ NJD | 10.7% | 0.11 | 19.9% | 2.1% | 10.3% | 1.12 | 30.7% | 10.6% | 12:10 | 0:40 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 13.4% | 0.14 | 28.6% | 4.5% | 17.5% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.4% | 12:08 | 0:19 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 15.6% | 0.17 | 28.9% | 4.7% | 15.8% | 1.24 | 34.9% | 13.2% | 11:17 | 0:58 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 10.6% | 0.11 | 21.5% | 2.5% | 12.2% | 0.98 | 25.6% | 7.9% | 12:44 | 0:03 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 11.9% | 0.13 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 14.5% | 1.17 | 32.4% | 11.7% | 12:18 | 0:04 | |
| NSH @ COL | 12.0% | 0.13 | 23.4% | 3.0% | 12.9% | 1.21 | 34.0% | 12.6% | 12:16 | 0:01 | |
| STL @ NJD | 13.9% | 0.15 | 26.0% | 3.7% | 14.1% | 1.28 | 36.5% | 14.3% | 11:50 | 0:11 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 9.2% | 0.10 | 17.9% | 1.7% | 9.5% | 1.06 | 28.7% | 9.6% | 12:33 | 0:00 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 11.1% | 0.12 | 25.1% | 3.4% | 15.7% | 0.96 | 25.1% | 7.6% | 12:26 | 0:04 | |
| VGK @ DET | 11.0% | 0.12 | 26.4% | 3.8% | 17.4% | 0.85 | 21.2% | 5.8% | 11:46 | 0:52 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 11.4% | 0.12 | 23.2% | 2.9% | 13.4% | 1.25 | 35.4% | 13.5% | 11:19 | 0:39 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 13.7% | 0.15 | 27.6% | 4.2% | 16.1% | 1.24 | 35.0% | 13.3% | 11:41 | 0:04 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 10.2% | 0.11 | 22.1% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 1.27 | 36.1% | 14.0% | 11:50 | 0:02 | |
| STL @ NJD | 14.6% | 0.16 | 32.5% | 6.0% | 21.0% | 1.54 | 45.0% | 20.3% | 10:57 | 0:11 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 11.3% | 0.12 | 22.1% | 2.6% | 12.1% | 1.10 | 30.0% | 10.3% | 11:58 | 0:00 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 9.9% | 0.10 | 22.0% | 2.6% | 13.5% | 0.93 | 24.0% | 7.1% | 12:11 | 0:03 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 10.2% | 0.11 | 22.8% | 2.8% | 14.0% | 1.10 | 30.0% | 10.3% | 11:22 | 0:28 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 11.0% | 0.12 | 21.4% | 2.5% | 11.6% | 1.02 | 27.1% | 8.7% | 11:56 | 0:02 | |
| STL @ NJD | 12.1% | 0.13 | 25.1% | 3.5% | 14.8% | 1.13 | 31.0% | 10.8% | 11:30 | 0:09 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 9.8% | 0.10 | 20.3% | 2.2% | 11.6% | 0.84 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 12:07 | 0:04 | |
| STL @ NJD | 10.0% | 0.11 | 21.3% | 2.5% | 12.6% | 1.10 | 29.9% | 10.2% | 11:19 | 0:09 | |
| NSH @ COL | 10.5% | 0.11 | 25.6% | 3.6% | 16.9% | 0.98 | 25.8% | 8.0% | 11:26 | 0:03 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 9.5% | 0.10 | 22.0% | 2.6% | 13.8% | 0.97 | 25.5% | 7.9% | 11:32 | 0:00 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 12.0% | 0.13 | 23.7% | 3.1% | 13.3% | 1.26 | 35.7% | 13.7% | 10:59 | 0:02 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 9.1% | 0.10 | 21.3% | 2.5% | 13.4% | 1.08 | 29.4% | 9.9% | 10:53 | 0:16 | |
| STL @ NJD | 7.6% | 0.08 | 16.9% | 1.5% | 10.0% | 0.94 | 24.3% | 7.3% | 11:26 | 0:02 | |
| NSH @ COL | 9.7% | 0.10 | 21.2% | 2.4% | 12.8% | 0.99 | 26.2% | 8.2% | 10:45 | 0:21 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 8.4% | 0.09 | 22.4% | 2.7% | 15.4% | 0.78 | 18.4% | 4.6% | 11:15 | 0:01 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 8.6% | 0.09 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 13.1% | 1.01 | 26.7% | 8.5% | 10:47 | 0:00 | |
| NSH @ COL | 8.2% | 0.09 | 16.6% | 1.5% | 9.1% | 0.96 | 25.0% | 7.6% | 10:39 | 0:01 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 11.9% | 0.13 | 23.4% | 3.0% | 13.1% | 1.08 | 29.4% | 9.9% | 9:53 | 0:19 | |
| VGK @ DET | 7.3% | 0.08 | 18.3% | 1.8% | 11.9% | 0.65 | 14.0% | 3.0% | 10:53 | 0:01 | |
| VGK @ DET | 9.2% | 0.10 | 17.0% | 1.5% | 8.5% | 1.18 | 32.9% | 12.0% | 10:05 | 0:01 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 9.2% | 0.10 | 19.6% | 2.1% | 11.4% | 1.08 | 29.2% | 9.8% | 10:10 | 0:00 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 8.6% | 0.09 | 19.8% | 2.1% | 12.3% | 0.90 | 23.0% | 6.6% | 10:25 | 0:00 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 10.1% | 0.11 | 19.7% | 2.1% | 10.7% | 1.03 | 27.4% | 8.8% | 10:04 | 0:05 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 12.1% | 0.13 | 24.9% | 3.4% | 14.6% | 1.04 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 9:47 | 0:03 | |
| VGK @ DET | 8.5% | 0.09 | 18.6% | 1.8% | 11.0% | 0.76 | 17.8% | 4.4% | 10:14 | 0:03 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 11.4% | 0.12 | 23.1% | 2.9% | 13.2% | 1.10 | 29.9% | 10.2% | 9:29 | 0:02 | |
| VGK @ DET | 7.3% | 0.08 | 17.7% | 1.7% | 11.2% | 0.64 | 13.6% | 2.9% | 10:13 | 0:06 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 7.2% | 0.08 | 17.0% | 1.5% | 10.5% | 0.64 | 13.5% | 2.8% | 10:18 | 0:02 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 8.6% | 0.09 | 18.8% | 1.9% | 11.1% | 0.80 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 9:55 | 0:06 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 7.3% | 0.08 | 17.1% | 1.6% | 10.6% | 0.68 | 15.1% | 3.4% | 9:32 | 0:07 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 9.7% | 0.10 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 12.1% | 0.84 | 20.6% | 5.5% | 9:05 | 0:05 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 9.5% | 0.10 | 18.4% | 1.8% | 9.8% | 0.95 | 24.6% | 7.4% | 9:01 | 0:00 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 9.3% | 0.10 | 17.7% | 1.7% | 9.3% | 0.94 | 24.2% | 7.2% | 8:58 | 0:05 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 8.2% | 0.09 | 17.3% | 1.6% | 10.0% | 0.80 | 19.1% | 4.9% | 9:11 | 0:01 | |
| NSH @ COL | 7.5% | 0.08 | 19.6% | 2.1% | 13.1% | 0.82 | 20.0% | 5.3% | 8:03 | 1:01 | |
| VGK @ DET | 8.8% | 0.09 | 20.4% | 2.2% | 12.7% | 0.83 | 20.2% | 5.4% | 8:48 | 0:05 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 6.7% | 0.07 | 16.4% | 1.4% | 10.4% | 0.63 | 13.4% | 2.8% | 8:43 | 0:10 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 6.6% | 0.07 | 13.5% | 1.0% | 7.3% | 0.82 | 20.1% | 5.3% | 8:25 | 0:00 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 5.9% | 0.06 | 15.3% | 1.2% | 10.0% | 0.78 | 18.5% | 4.7% | 8:14 | 0:00 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 8.3% | 0.09 | 17.3% | 1.6% | 9.8% | 0.70 | 15.7% | 3.6% | 7:57 | 0:03 | |
| STL @ NJD | 4.7% | 0.05 | 12.7% | 0.8% | 8.4% | 0.52 | 9.8% | 1.7% | 8:06 | 0:01 |
Defense
| DAL @ CBJ | 23.0% | 0.26 | 63.9% | 27.1% | 53.2% | 2.90 | 77.2% | 54.5% | 27:17 | 3:42 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 22.6% | 0.26 | 58.7% | 22.2% | 46.7% | 2.67 | 73.3% | 49.2% | 27:17 | 4:06 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 22.9% | 0.26 | 66.9% | 30.3% | 57.1% | 2.82 | 75.8% | 52.6% | 25:06 | 4:11 | |
| VGK @ DET | 11.9% | 0.13 | 53.2% | 17.7% | 46.8% | 1.95 | 57.2% | 31.0% | 27:19 | 3:39 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 10.7% | 0.11 | 53.8% | 18.1% | 48.2% | 1.66 | 49.0% | 23.6% | 27:03 | 3:31 | |
| NSH @ COL | 17.3% | 0.19 | 56.9% | 20.6% | 47.8% | 2.53 | 70.7% | 45.9% | 25:29 | 3:35 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 11.9% | 0.13 | 49.4% | 14.9% | 42.5% | 1.53 | 44.7% | 20.1% | 26:26 | 3:29 | |
| NSH @ COL | 22.4% | 0.25 | 65.8% | 29.1% | 56.0% | 2.66 | 73.0% | 48.9% | 23:14 | 4:06 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 13.8% | 0.15 | 57.2% | 20.9% | 50.3% | 2.07 | 60.4% | 34.2% | 24:54 | 3:28 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 13.9% | 0.15 | 51.6% | 16.5% | 43.8% | 1.75 | 51.6% | 25.8% | 24:26 | 3:40 | |
| STL @ NJD | 15.6% | 0.17 | 53.0% | 17.5% | 44.3% | 2.22 | 64.0% | 38.1% | 23:56 | 3:21 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 15.4% | 0.17 | 56.3% | 20.2% | 48.4% | 2.22 | 64.1% | 38.1% | 23:32 | 3:34 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 14.0% | 0.15 | 49.4% | 14.9% | 41.2% | 2.30 | 65.8% | 40.1% | 23:23 | 3:17 | |
| STL @ NJD | 10.3% | 0.11 | 38.6% | 8.6% | 31.6% | 1.64 | 48.2% | 22.9% | 25:12 | 2:43 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 14.1% | 0.15 | 64.4% | 27.6% | 58.5% | 1.51 | 44.0% | 19.6% | 23:38 | 3:14 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 10.6% | 0.11 | 56.6% | 20.4% | 51.5% | 1.44 | 41.7% | 17.9% | 23:17 | 3:40 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 12.6% | 0.13 | 44.0% | 11.5% | 36.0% | 1.78 | 52.4% | 26.5% | 24:26 | 1:06 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 7.8% | 0.08 | 31.1% | 5.4% | 25.3% | 1.34 | 38.5% | 15.6% | 22:48 | 3:14 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 9.6% | 0.10 | 31.4% | 5.6% | 24.1% | 1.49 | 43.4% | 19.1% | 23:50 | 0:45 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 9.8% | 0.10 | 33.1% | 6.2% | 25.9% | 1.89 | 55.5% | 29.3% | 22:39 | 0:50 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 7.5% | 0.08 | 28.4% | 4.5% | 22.5% | 1.46 | 42.5% | 18.4% | 22:54 | 1:02 | |
| NSH @ COL | 10.3% | 0.11 | 40.2% | 9.5% | 33.4% | 1.71 | 50.4% | 24.7% | 21:12 | 1:45 | |
| VGK @ DET | 9.5% | 0.10 | 36.9% | 7.9% | 30.3% | 1.65 | 48.7% | 23.3% | 21:41 | 1:18 | |
| STL @ NJD | 14.1% | 0.15 | 42.1% | 10.5% | 32.6% | 2.38 | 67.5% | 42.0% | 19:56 | 1:27 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 9.5% | 0.10 | 37.0% | 7.9% | 30.5% | 1.78 | 52.6% | 26.7% | 20:26 | 1:55 | |
| VGK @ DET | 8.9% | 0.09 | 35.3% | 7.1% | 29.0% | 1.42 | 41.2% | 17.4% | 20:44 | 1:57 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 8.6% | 0.09 | 34.2% | 6.7% | 28.0% | 1.47 | 42.8% | 18.6% | 21:54 | 0:42 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 5.7% | 0.06 | 29.6% | 4.9% | 25.4% | 1.00 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 23:01 | 0:25 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 6.2% | 0.06 | 29.2% | 4.8% | 24.5% | 0.98 | 25.9% | 8.0% | 21:27 | 1:50 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 6.8% | 0.07 | 30.8% | 5.3% | 25.7% | 0.98 | 25.6% | 7.9% | 22:18 | 0:54 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 12.2% | 0.13 | 52.0% | 16.8% | 45.3% | 1.65 | 48.7% | 23.3% | 18:02 | 3:27 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 7.9% | 0.08 | 30.4% | 5.2% | 24.4% | 1.28 | 36.4% | 14.1% | 22:11 | 0:20 | |
| STL @ NJD | 5.1% | 0.05 | 28.9% | 4.6% | 25.1% | 1.06 | 28.6% | 9.5% | 20:51 | 1:58 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 14.4% | 0.16 | 49.8% | 15.2% | 41.3% | 1.99 | 58.4% | 32.2% | 17:59 | 2:40 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 7.9% | 0.08 | 35.2% | 7.1% | 29.6% | 1.59 | 46.8% | 21.8% | 20:12 | 1:26 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 9.8% | 0.10 | 43.4% | 11.2% | 37.3% | 1.47 | 42.8% | 18.7% | 18:43 | 2:52 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 6.0% | 0.06 | 24.5% | 3.3% | 19.7% | 1.17 | 32.4% | 11.7% | 22:21 | 0:10 | |
| VGK @ DET | 9.8% | 0.10 | 28.6% | 4.5% | 20.8% | 1.67 | 49.2% | 23.7% | 20:23 | 1:05 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 6.0% | 0.06 | 24.9% | 3.4% | 20.1% | 1.22 | 34.4% | 12.9% | 21:00 | 1:14 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 9.1% | 0.10 | 28.0% | 4.3% | 20.8% | 1.33 | 38.0% | 15.2% | 20:58 | 0:55 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 9.1% | 0.10 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 24.9% | 1.07 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 21:29 | 0:38 | |
| VGK @ DET | 7.4% | 0.08 | 26.4% | 3.8% | 20.5% | 1.56 | 45.6% | 20.8% | 21:18 | 0:12 | |
| NSH @ COL | 6.0% | 0.06 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 22.2% | 1.20 | 33.5% | 12.4% | 21:03 | 1:00 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 10.2% | 0.11 | 30.3% | 5.1% | 22.4% | 1.89 | 55.6% | 29.5% | 20:29 | 0:17 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 6.9% | 0.07 | 28.9% | 4.6% | 23.6% | 1.52 | 44.5% | 19.9% | 21:16 | 0:04 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 7.0% | 0.07 | 30.6% | 5.2% | 25.3% | 1.36 | 39.0% | 15.9% | 21:04 | 0:14 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 5.8% | 0.06 | 28.5% | 4.5% | 24.1% | 0.96 | 24.9% | 7.6% | 21:44 | 0:07 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 9.0% | 0.09 | 33.1% | 6.2% | 26.5% | 1.49 | 43.6% | 19.3% | 20:21 | 0:26 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 6.3% | 0.07 | 25.7% | 3.6% | 20.7% | 1.34 | 38.3% | 15.4% | 20:38 | 0:30 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 3.4% | 0.03 | 18.3% | 1.8% | 15.4% | 0.98 | 25.7% | 8.0% | 21:23 | 0:11 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 6.0% | 0.06 | 23.9% | 3.1% | 19.0% | 1.18 | 32.8% | 11.9% | 20:53 | 0:12 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 6.5% | 0.07 | 29.4% | 4.8% | 24.4% | 1.17 | 32.5% | 11.7% | 19:52 | 0:51 | |
| VGK @ DET | 5.1% | 0.05 | 17.6% | 1.6% | 13.2% | 1.06 | 28.6% | 9.5% | 20:57 | 0:14 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 7.2% | 0.07 | 33.2% | 6.3% | 28.0% | 1.33 | 38.2% | 15.4% | 19:05 | 1:15 | |
| STL @ NJD | 6.3% | 0.06 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 15.3% | 1.28 | 36.2% | 14.1% | 20:30 | 0:06 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 4.5% | 0.05 | 25.5% | 3.6% | 22.0% | 0.79 | 18.7% | 4.8% | 21:11 | 0:04 | |
| STL @ NJD | 6.3% | 0.06 | 25.0% | 3.4% | 19.9% | 1.22 | 34.2% | 12.8% | 20:10 | 0:06 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 4.3% | 0.04 | 17.1% | 1.5% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 24.3% | 7.3% | 20:48 | 0:04 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 4.2% | 0.04 | 22.5% | 2.7% | 19.1% | 0.89 | 22.4% | 6.4% | 20:44 | 0:03 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 5.7% | 0.06 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 15.8% | 1.03 | 27.4% | 8.9% | 20:03 | 0:31 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 7.0% | 0.07 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 18.1% | 1.34 | 38.5% | 15.6% | 19:52 | 0:05 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 8.1% | 0.08 | 29.7% | 4.9% | 23.5% | 1.55 | 45.4% | 20.7% | 17:53 | 1:29 | |
| VGK @ DET | 5.1% | 0.05 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 15.9% | 1.09 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 20:13 | 0:02 | |
| NSH @ COL | 5.4% | 0.06 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 22.5% | 1.19 | 33.2% | 12.1% | 19:52 | 0:03 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 4.3% | 0.04 | 18.2% | 1.8% | 14.5% | 1.07 | 28.9% | 9.6% | 20:05 | 0:05 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 5.4% | 0.06 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 17.5% | 1.16 | 32.1% | 11.5% | 19:40 | 0:06 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 4.3% | 0.04 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 23.3% | 0.91 | 23.2% | 6.8% | 19:51 | 0:06 | |
| NSH @ COL | 7.5% | 0.08 | 32.2% | 5.8% | 26.6% | 1.77 | 52.1% | 26.3% | 18:04 | 0:12 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 5.3% | 0.05 | 20.5% | 2.3% | 16.0% | 0.96 | 25.1% | 7.7% | 19:31 | 0:11 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 5.4% | 0.06 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 17.4% | 1.04 | 27.8% | 9.1% | 19:20 | 0:05 | |
| NSH @ COL | 4.7% | 0.05 | 20.1% | 2.2% | 16.1% | 1.21 | 34.1% | 12.7% | 19:09 | 0:01 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 6.0% | 0.06 | 29.9% | 5.0% | 25.3% | 1.21 | 33.9% | 12.6% | 17:26 | 1:22 | |
| STL @ NJD | 4.5% | 0.05 | 22.2% | 2.7% | 18.5% | 0.75 | 17.4% | 4.2% | 19:31 | 0:09 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 4.9% | 0.05 | 16.5% | 1.4% | 12.2% | 0.94 | 24.2% | 7.2% | 19:16 | 0:01 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 5.3% | 0.05 | 27.4% | 4.2% | 23.4% | 1.03 | 27.5% | 8.9% | 18:40 | 0:08 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 7.5% | 0.08 | 25.9% | 3.7% | 19.9% | 1.16 | 32.1% | 11.5% | 18:26 | 0:08 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 5.2% | 0.05 | 21.3% | 2.4% | 17.0% | 1.13 | 31.0% | 10.8% | 18:39 | 0:02 | |
| STL @ NJD | 6.6% | 0.07 | 21.6% | 2.5% | 16.0% | 1.26 | 35.6% | 13.7% | 16:57 | 1:23 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 4.8% | 0.05 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 17.9% | 1.11 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 18:30 | 0:04 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 6.8% | 0.07 | 27.1% | 4.1% | 21.8% | 1.02 | 27.3% | 8.8% | 16:58 | 1:32 | |
| NSH @ COL | 3.9% | 0.04 | 18.0% | 1.7% | 14.6% | 0.85 | 20.9% | 5.7% | 18:51 | 0:09 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 4.2% | 0.04 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 16.8% | 1.05 | 28.2% | 9.3% | 18:35 | 0:01 | |
| NSH @ COL | 7.2% | 0.07 | 26.2% | 3.8% | 20.5% | 1.68 | 49.5% | 24.0% | 17:15 | 0:05 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 6.5% | 0.07 | 17.9% | 1.7% | 12.3% | 1.19 | 33.2% | 12.2% | 18:13 | 0:03 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 4.8% | 0.05 | 22.1% | 2.7% | 18.2% | 1.02 | 27.0% | 8.6% | 18:17 | 0:04 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 3.6% | 0.04 | 17.0% | 1.5% | 13.8% | 0.81 | 19.7% | 5.2% | 18:46 | 0:00 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 5.3% | 0.05 | 21.2% | 2.4% | 16.8% | 1.16 | 32.2% | 11.6% | 17:05 | 1:01 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 3.7% | 0.04 | 16.7% | 1.5% | 13.5% | 0.94 | 24.4% | 7.3% | 18:23 | 0:03 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 3.1% | 0.03 | 16.2% | 1.4% | 13.5% | 0.72 | 16.3% | 3.8% | 18:43 | 0:03 | |
| STL @ NJD | 3.3% | 0.03 | 12.6% | 0.8% | 9.7% | 0.92 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 18:17 | 0:01 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 4.8% | 0.05 | 22.9% | 2.9% | 19.0% | 0.96 | 24.9% | 7.6% | 17:50 | 0:04 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 4.3% | 0.04 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 21.4% | 0.92 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 17:55 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 4.6% | 0.05 | 26.6% | 3.9% | 23.1% | 0.79 | 18.9% | 4.8% | 17:42 | 0:03 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 7.1% | 0.07 | 27.4% | 4.2% | 21.9% | 1.50 | 43.8% | 19.4% | 16:16 | 0:03 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 3.9% | 0.04 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 14.0% | 0.91 | 23.1% | 6.7% | 17:26 | 0:00 | |
| VGK @ DET | 4.1% | 0.04 | 14.2% | 1.1% | 10.5% | 1.09 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 17:08 | 0:01 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 3.9% | 0.04 | 15.4% | 1.2% | 11.9% | 1.05 | 28.1% | 9.2% | 16:57 | 0:01 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 4.3% | 0.04 | 19.3% | 2.0% | 15.7% | 0.89 | 22.4% | 6.4% | 16:54 | 0:00 | |
| STL @ NJD | 4.7% | 0.05 | 17.9% | 1.7% | 13.9% | 1.00 | 26.6% | 8.4% | 16:34 | 0:03 | |
| VGK @ DET | 4.1% | 0.04 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 16.7% | 0.84 | 20.6% | 5.5% | 16:43 | 0:02 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 3.9% | 0.04 | 18.1% | 1.8% | 14.8% | 1.07 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 16:25 | 0:00 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 5.7% | 0.06 | 27.4% | 4.1% | 23.0% | 1.08 | 29.2% | 9.8% | 15:08 | 0:59 | |
| BOS @ PIT | 4.8% | 0.05 | 24.0% | 3.1% | 20.1% | 0.92 | 23.4% | 6.8% | 15:05 | 1:15 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 7.2% | 0.07 | 29.1% | 4.7% | 23.6% | 1.15 | 31.7% | 11.3% | 15:29 | 0:19 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 5.1% | 0.05 | 20.9% | 2.3% | 16.6% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 15:18 | 0:56 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 2.7% | 0.03 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 16.5% | 0.74 | 17.2% | 4.2% | 16:38 | 0:01 | |
| STL @ NJD | 4.1% | 0.04 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 17.2% | 0.89 | 22.3% | 6.3% | 16:10 | 0:01 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 3.5% | 0.04 | 14.8% | 1.2% | 11.7% | 0.86 | 21.3% | 5.9% | 16:11 | 0:04 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 6.1% | 0.06 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 15.0% | 1.30 | 37.0% | 14.6% | 14:42 | 0:30 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 3.2% | 0.03 | 14.3% | 1.1% | 11.5% | 0.63 | 13.4% | 2.8% | 15:53 | 0:00 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 4.2% | 0.04 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 13.8% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.4% | 14:45 | 0:02 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 3.0% | 0.03 | 13.5% | 1.0% | 10.9% | 0.65 | 14.0% | 3.0% | 15:31 | 0:03 | |
| ANA @ EDM | 3.7% | 0.04 | 13.8% | 1.0% | 10.5% | 0.83 | 20.3% | 5.4% | 15:09 | 0:08 | |
| NSH @ COL | 2.7% | 0.03 | 14.9% | 1.2% | 12.6% | 0.55 | 10.8% | 2.0% | 15:22 | 0:01 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 5.2% | 0.05 | 16.2% | 1.4% | 11.7% | 1.02 | 27.0% | 8.7% | 14:29 | 0:01 | |
| STL @ NJD | 3.4% | 0.03 | 18.9% | 1.9% | 16.1% | 0.72 | 16.3% | 3.8% | 14:24 | 0:20 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 4.4% | 0.04 | 19.7% | 2.1% | 16.1% | 0.85 | 21.0% | 5.8% | 13:58 | 0:24 | |
| VGK @ DET | 4.1% | 0.04 | 14.7% | 1.1% | 11.0% | 1.22 | 34.1% | 12.7% | 13:53 | 0:01 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 3.7% | 0.04 | 15.1% | 1.2% | 11.8% | 0.55 | 10.6% | 1.9% | 14:20 | 0:02 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 3.9% | 0.04 | 17.3% | 1.6% | 14.0% | 0.91 | 23.1% | 6.7% | 13:38 | 0:01 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 2.3% | 0.02 | 11.8% | 0.7% | 9.7% | 0.59 | 11.9% | 2.3% | 14:14 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ TBL | 2.8% | 0.03 | 12.7% | 0.8% | 10.2% | 0.82 | 20.0% | 5.3% | 13:47 | 0:00 | |
| VGK @ DET | 2.3% | 0.02 | 11.6% | 0.7% | 9.5% | 0.54 | 10.4% | 1.9% | 14:13 | 0:00 | |
| PHI @ NYR | 1.9% | 0.02 | 8.1% | 0.3% | 6.2% | 0.68 | 15.0% | 3.4% | 13:48 | 0:00 | |
| NSH @ COL | 2.8% | 0.03 | 14.7% | 1.1% | 12.3% | 0.71 | 15.9% | 3.7% | 13:34 | 0:02 | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 2.8% | 0.03 | 12.6% | 0.8% | 10.1% | 0.71 | 16.0% | 3.7% | 13:17 | 0:00 | |
| VGK @ DET | 3.3% | 0.03 | 16.7% | 1.5% | 13.9% | 0.79 | 18.8% | 4.8% | 13:02 | 0:01 | |
| VAN @ WPG | 2.6% | 0.03 | 13.1% | 0.9% | 10.9% | 0.58 | 11.5% | 2.2% | 12:43 | 0:01 | |
| NSH @ COL | 2.3% | 0.02 | 12.5% | 0.8% | 10.5% | 0.56 | 10.9% | 2.0% | 12:44 | 0:01 | |
| CAR @ NYI | 2.9% | 0.03 | 12.3% | 0.8% | 9.6% | 0.66 | 14.5% | 3.2% | 12:27 | 0:02 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 3.2% | 0.03 | 13.0% | 0.9% | 10.2% | 0.82 | 19.9% | 5.3% | 12:02 | 0:09 | |
| UTA @ MTL | 2.3% | 0.02 | 8.9% | 0.4% | 6.7% | 0.64 | 13.6% | 2.9% | 11:54 | 0:01 |
Tims Hockey Challenge
Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 1.05 expected scorers, 3.5% that all three score.
Group 1
-
Kyle Connor
Best50%
-
Jake Guentzel
47%
-
Brandon Hagel
45%
-
Connor McDavid
45%
-
Nathan MacKinnon
44%
-
Jack Hughes
43%
-
David Pastrnak
40%
-
Mark Scheifele
39%
-
Viktor Arvidsson
36%
-
Rickard Rakell
35%
-
Mika Zibanejad
34%
-
Martin Necas
33%
-
Artturi Lehkonen
30%
-
Nick Schmaltz
30%
-
Anthony Cirelli
29%
Group 2
-
Filip Forsberg
Best35%
-
Nazem Kadri
31%
-
Clayton Keller
30%
-
Seth Jarvis
30%
-
Steven Stamkos
30%
-
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
29%
-
Morgan Geekie
28%
-
Logan Stankoven
28%
-
Brock Boeser
27%
-
Tomas Hertl
25%
-
Fraser Minten
20%
-
Connor Brown
20%
-
Pontus Holmberg
19%
-
Tye Kartye
19%
-
Mavrik Bourque
17%
Group 3
-
Evan Rodrigues
Best20%
-
Erik Karlsson
15%
-
Judd Caulfield
14%
-
Connor Dewar
13%
-
Parker Kelly
13%
-
Nicolas Roy
12%
-
Tim Washe
12%
-
Jason Dickinson
11%
-
Nils Hoglander
10%
Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.