NHL predictions Thu, Nov 5

Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →

11 games on this slate · model went 5–5 · 27–20 since Oct 30 (model V3) →

Power rankings: every team's model rating →

‹ ›
Updated 1h ago

Games

#18 Predators
33.3% 2.8
#3 Avalanche
66.7% 3.9
ModelClose
COL win 66.7% 65.7%
Total 6.7 6.5
Our bet Pass

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · COL +0.6 goals

✗ Favorite lost
#7 Mammoth
4 58.0% · 3.5
#16 Canadiens
5 42.0% · 3.0
ModelClose
UTA win 58.0% 52.6%
Total 6.6 6.5
Our bet UTA -122 ✗ Lost

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · UTA +0.4 goals

✗ Favorite lost
#8 Golden Knights
2 47.4% · 3.1
#10 Red Wings
1 52.6% · 3.2
ModelClose
DET win 52.6% 43.7%
Total 6.3 5.5

Biggest factor: Home ice · DET +0.3 goals

✓ Favorite won
#31 Blackhawks
1 21.0% · 2.4
#4 Lightning
4 79.0% · 4.4
ModelClose
TBL win 79.0% 79.1%
Total 6.8 6.5
Our bet CHI +390 ✗ Lost

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · TBL +1.1 goals

✓ Favorite won
#19 Blues
4 30.1% · 2.6
#5 Devils
5 69.9% · 3.9
ModelClose
NJD win 69.9% 67.5%
Total 6.5 5.5
Our bet NJD -215 ✓ Won

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · NJD +0.4 goals

✓ Favorite won
#1 Hurricanes
5 62.9% · 3.7
#22 Islanders
3 37.1% · 2.8
ModelClose
CAR win 62.9% 65.7%
Total 6.5 6.5
Our bet NYI +180 ✗ Lost

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · CAR +0.7 goals

✓ Favorite won
#28 Flyers
2 35.6% · 2.6
#13 Rangers
3 64.4% · 3.5
ModelClose
NYR win 64.4% 57.2%
Total 6.2 5.5
Our bet NYR -145 ✓ Won

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · NYR +0.4 goals

✗ Favorite lost
#12 Bruins
6 48.2% · 3.2
#20 Penguins
2 51.8% · 3.4
ModelClose
PIT win 51.8% 51.7%
Total 6.6 6.5
Our bet Pass

Biggest factor: Home ice · PIT +0.3 goals

✗ Favorite lost
#6 Stars
1 57.0% · 3.3
#23 Blue Jackets
2 43.0% · 2.9
ModelClose
DAL win 57.0% 54.3%
Total 6.1 5.5
Our bet DAL -126 ✗ Lost

Biggest factor: Power play and kill · DAL +0.3 goals

✓ Favorite won
#32 Canucks
2 36.2% · 2.9
#27 Jets
6 63.8% · 3.8
ModelClose
WPG win 63.8% 65.7%
Total 6.7 6.5

Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · WPG +0.4 goals

✗ Favorite lost
#24 Ducks
5 36.7% · 2.7
#9 Oilers
4 63.3% · 3.6
ModelMarket
EDM win 63.3% 63.1%
Total 6.3 6.5
Our bet Pass

Biggest factor: Home ice · EDM +0.3 goals