NHL predictions Wed, Nov 4
Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →
4 games on this slate · 18–14 since Oct 30 (model V3) →
Games
Biggest factor: Home ice · BUF +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · FLA +0.7 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · LAK +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · SEA +0.3 goals
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Tage Thompson
|
42% | 0.54 | 64% | 3.23 | 82% | 19:14 | 3:26 |
Tim Stützle
|
35% | 0.43 | 68% | 2.33 | 66% | 21:29 | 3:59 |
Drake Batherson
|
33% | 0.40 | 59% | 2.13 | 62% | 17:07 | 3:40 |
Jack Quinn
|
32% | 0.38 | 57% | 2.46 | 69% | 18:04 | 3:32 |
Dylan Cozens
|
29% | 0.35 | 53% | 2.29 | 66% | 17:13 | 3:21 |
Shane Pinto
|
29% | 0.34 | 50% | 2.05 | 60% | 19:26 | 1:54 |
Zach Benson
|
27% | 0.31 | 56% | 2.06 | 60% | 19:23 | 3:07 |
Noah Ostlund
|
24% | 0.28 | 49% | 1.75 | 52% | 17:57 | 3:08 |
Jason Zucker
|
22% | 0.25 | 42% | 1.58 | 46% | 13:05 | 2:08 |
Josh Doan
|
21% | 0.24 | 39% | 1.66 | 49% | 14:51 | 1:08 |
Ridly Greig
|
20% | 0.23 | 38% | 1.57 | 46% | 17:37 | 0:59 |
Fabian Zetterlund
|
20% | 0.22 | 36% | 1.81 | 53% | 13:45 | 1:28 |
Claude Giroux
|
19% | 0.21 | 47% | 1.63 | 48% | 15:50 | 2:40 |
Josh Norris
|
17% | 0.19 | 35% | 1.21 | 34% | 14:06 | 1:21 |
Michael Amadio
|
17% | 0.18 | 33% | 1.28 | 36% | 16:30 | 0:03 |
Stephen Halliday
|
16% | 0.18 | 34% | 1.44 | 42% | 10:28 | 2:51 |
Ryan McLeod
|
13% | 0.14 | 37% | 1.00 | 26% | 15:27 | 0:57 |
Peyton Krebs
|
11% | 0.11 | 33% | 0.93 | 24% | 13:56 | 0:04 |
Nick Cousins
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.86 | 21% | 9:55 | 0:07 |
Beck Malenstyn
|
8% | 0.09 | 18% | 0.78 | 19% | 12:12 | 0:01 |
Tyson Kozak
|
8% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.69 | 15% | 11:25 | 0:02 |
Sam Carrick
|
8% | 0.08 | 16% | 0.81 | 20% | 8:38 | 0:01 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Rasmus Dahlin
|
18% | 0.20 | 59% | 2.41 | 68% | 24:32 | 3:25 |
Jake Sanderson
|
14% | 0.15 | 51% | 2.00 | 58% | 24:17 | 3:05 |
Thomas Chabot
|
12% | 0.13 | 43% | 1.82 | 54% | 21:48 | 2:32 |
Olen Zellweger
|
11% | 0.12 | 29% | 1.71 | 50% | 20:01 | 0:24 |
Owen Power
|
10% | 0.11 | 42% | 1.50 | 44% | 25:28 | 1:26 |
Jordan Spence
|
9% | 0.09 | 32% | 1.31 | 37% | 19:28 | 0:36 |
Mattias Samuelsson
|
8% | 0.08 | 34% | 1.32 | 38% | 24:34 | 0:04 |
Tyler Kleven
|
6% | 0.06 | 20% | 1.30 | 37% | 18:46 | 0:09 |
Artem Zub
|
5% | 0.05 | 27% | 1.05 | 28% | 19:59 | 0:04 |
Nikolas Matinpalo
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.81 | 20% | 15:32 | 0:00 |
Louis Crevier
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.82 | 20% | 12:11 | 0:02 |
Zach Metsa
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.57 | 11% | 11:56 | 0:02 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
OTT
Andre BurakovskyFHayden HodgsonFWarren FoegeleFWilliam EklundF
BUF
Jiri KulichFKonsta HeleniusFConor TimminsDMatt GrzelcykD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
OTT- Rating
- -0.33
- DailyFaceoff
- J. JohanssonUnconfirmed
BUF- Rating
- -0.10
- DailyFaceoff
- C. EllisUnconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 51.7%
- First line
- 54.3%
- Latest
- 54.3%
Moneyline BUF -130 / OTT +110 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.5
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -122 / Under +102
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 54.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 OTT +0.23
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals OTT +0.03
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net OTT +0.12
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it BUF +0.28
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances BUF +0.23
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score OTT +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.87
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.40
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.83
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.43
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
OTT |
BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.0717th of 32 | -0.2322nd of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.5116th of 32 | 2.5413th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.212nd of 32 | 2.5219th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.7924th of 32 | 7.0120th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.6917th of 32 | 8.2025th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.3332nd of 32 | -0.1020th of 32 |
Goaltending
| OTT | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Samuel Ersson | Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.33 (#32) | -0.10 (#20) |
Who is out
- Alex Lyon BUF Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Linus Ullmark OTT Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winBUF 40%, OTT 37%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutBUF 12%, OTT 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (OTT)No
- Back-to-back (BUF)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelBUF 4 days, OTT 3 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Sam Reinhart
|
40% | 0.52 | 66% | 2.80 | 75% | 20:05 | 4:26 |
Brady Tkachuk
|
38% | 0.47 | 64% | 3.42 | 84% | 16:38 | 3:55 |
Matthew Tkachuk
|
34% | 0.42 | 73% | 2.57 | 71% | 18:24 | 4:26 |
Carter Verhaeghe
|
34% | 0.42 | 60% | 2.59 | 72% | 18:20 | 3:37 |
Connor Bedard
|
31% | 0.37 | 62% | 2.85 | 76% | 20:37 | 4:19 |
Sam Bennett
|
30% | 0.36 | 53% | 2.62 | 72% | 17:21 | 2:21 |
Anton Lundell
|
25% | 0.29 | 48% | 2.29 | 66% | 17:54 | 1:58 |
Tyler Bertuzzi
|
23% | 0.27 | 43% | 1.67 | 49% | 16:53 | 3:52 |
Roman Kantserov
|
23% | 0.27 | 43% | 1.68 | 50% | 17:58 | 4:01 |
Patrick Kane
|
21% | 0.23 | 51% | 1.96 | 58% | 15:51 | 3:28 |
Frank Nazar
|
20% | 0.22 | 40% | 1.75 | 51% | 17:42 | 2:08 |
Anton Frondell
|
20% | 0.22 | 41% | 1.97 | 58% | 16:34 | 2:23 |
Lars Eller
|
17% | 0.18 | 37% | 1.49 | 43% | 16:20 | 0:57 |
Eetu Luostarinen
|
16% | 0.18 | 37% | 1.49 | 43% | 16:42 | 1:20 |
Sandis Vilmanis
|
15% | 0.16 | 31% | 1.39 | 40% | 13:06 | 0:12 |
Ryan Donato
|
14% | 0.15 | 29% | 1.29 | 37% | 13:06 | 1:17 |
Teuvo Teravainen
|
13% | 0.14 | 36% | 1.12 | 31% | 15:47 | 2:35 |
Ryan Greene
|
12% | 0.13 | 26% | 1.12 | 31% | 15:29 | 0:51 |
Oliver Moore
|
11% | 0.12 | 27% | 1.26 | 36% | 12:15 | 1:12 |
Cole Schwindt
|
9% | 0.10 | 22% | 0.97 | 25% | 8:46 | 0:13 |
Cole Smith
|
9% | 0.09 | 18% | 1.07 | 29% | 13:21 | 0:02 |
Andrew Mangiapane
|
9% | 0.09 | 20% | 0.88 | 22% | 10:35 | 0:00 |
Garnet Hathaway
|
7% | 0.07 | 16% | 0.64 | 14% | 9:37 | 0:02 |
Bokondji Imama
|
6% | 0.07 | 15% | 0.72 | 16% | 7:06 | 0:04 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Seth Jones
|
14% | 0.15 | 55% | 2.13 | 62% | 24:48 | 3:54 |
Aaron Ekblad
|
8% | 0.09 | 37% | 1.45 | 42% | 21:12 | 1:45 |
Gustav Forsling
|
7% | 0.07 | 30% | 1.54 | 45% | 21:01 | 0:24 |
Niko Mikkola
|
6% | 0.06 | 22% | 1.25 | 35% | 20:20 | 0:06 |
Artyom Levshunov
|
6% | 0.06 | 23% | 1.22 | 34% | 20:40 | 0:38 |
Sam Rinzel
|
5% | 0.06 | 21% | 1.15 | 32% | 16:17 | 1:04 |
Wyatt Kaiser
|
4% | 0.05 | 17% | 0.94 | 24% | 20:02 | 0:05 |
Alex Vlasic
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 1.00 | 26% | 21:08 | 0:11 |
Dmitry Kulikov
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.73 | 17% | 15:29 | 0:02 |
Ian Cole
|
3% | 0.03 | 17% | 0.73 | 17% | 19:00 | 0:03 |
Radko Gudas
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.89 | 22% | 13:50 | 0:02 |
Ethan Del Mastro
|
3% | 0.03 | 12% | 0.88 | 22% | 13:45 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
CHI
Bowen ByramD
FLA
Aleksander BarkovFBrad MarchandFJonah GadjovichF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
CHI- Rating
- -0.06
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
FLA- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- J. MarkstromUnconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 67.3%
- First line
- 68.5%
- Latest
- 68.5%
Moneyline FLA -250 / CHI +205 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.3
- First line
- 5.5
- Latest
- 5.5
Over -135 / Under +114
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 68.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 FLA +0.72
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals FLA +0.33
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net CHI +0.17
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it FLA +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances CHI +0.02
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score CHI +0.04
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.91
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.47
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.78
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.05
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.15
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.02
Team comparison
CHI |
FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.7731st of 32 | 0.1212th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.1630th of 32 | 2.4121st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.9732nd of 32 | 2.277th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.7227th of 32 | 9.242nd of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.2912th of 32 | 6.344th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.1 | 5.4 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0614th of 32 | -0.0917th of 32 |
Goaltending
| CHI | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Spencer Knight | Akira Schmid |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.06 (#14) | -0.09 (#17) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winFLA 55%, CHI 23%
- Goes to overtime22%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout9%
- Win in OT or shootoutFLA 12%, CHI 10%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (CHI)No
- Back-to-back (FLA)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelFLA 2 days, CHI 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Artemi Panarin
|
43% | 0.56 | 77% | 3.29 | 83% | 22:29 | 4:05 |
Macklin Celebrini
|
38% | 0.48 | 70% | 3.50 | 85% | 22:28 | 4:01 |
Alex Laferriere
|
37% | 0.45 | 60% | 2.99 | 78% | 20:42 | 3:23 |
Quinton Byfield
|
32% | 0.38 | 57% | 2.42 | 68% | 19:33 | 3:21 |
Martin Chromiak
|
32% | 0.38 | 59% | 2.21 | 64% | 17:31 | 4:27 |
Will Smith
|
28% | 0.32 | 53% | 2.35 | 67% | 18:32 | 3:55 |
Trevor Moore
|
25% | 0.29 | 47% | 2.29 | 66% | 17:19 | 1:18 |
Mason Marchment
|
23% | 0.26 | 46% | 1.78 | 52% | 17:12 | 3:21 |
Ivar Stenberg
|
20% | 0.23 | 46% | 1.60 | 47% | 16:54 | 3:53 |
Corey Perry
|
20% | 0.22 | 39% | 1.63 | 48% | 14:13 | 2:03 |
Erik Haula
|
20% | 0.22 | 40% | 1.67 | 49% | 14:46 | 1:53 |
Tyler Toffoli
|
19% | 0.22 | 38% | 2.02 | 59% | 14:23 | 2:19 |
Kiefer Sherwood
|
19% | 0.22 | 36% | 1.95 | 57% | 16:33 | 1:13 |
Scott Laughton
|
16% | 0.18 | 33% | 1.55 | 45% | 14:29 | 0:11 |
Michael Misa
|
16% | 0.17 | 36% | 1.31 | 38% | 14:33 | 1:39 |
Collin Graf
|
15% | 0.16 | 30% | 1.32 | 38% | 16:07 | 0:06 |
Joel Armia
|
14% | 0.16 | 31% | 1.39 | 40% | 13:22 | 0:06 |
Filip Bystedt
|
12% | 0.13 | 28% | 1.28 | 36% | 12:10 | 0:55 |
Andre Lee
|
12% | 0.13 | 27% | 1.02 | 27% | 10:05 | 0:21 |
Adam Gaudette
|
11% | 0.12 | 20% | 1.15 | 32% | 10:28 | 0:47 |
Samuel Helenius
|
7% | 0.08 | 16% | 0.74 | 17% | 7:34 | 0:00 |
Zack Ostapchuk
|
7% | 0.07 | 14% | 0.82 | 20% | 10:50 | 0:05 |
Barclay Goodrow
|
7% | 0.07 | 14% | 0.81 | 20% | 11:14 | 0:03 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Brandt Clarke
|
11% | 0.12 | 45% | 1.86 | 55% | 19:06 | 2:23 |
Erik Gustafsson
|
9% | 0.10 | 42% | 1.26 | 36% | 20:56 | 2:59 |
Jacob Trouba
|
9% | 0.09 | 33% | 1.86 | 55% | 23:50 | 1:22 |
Darnell Nurse
|
8% | 0.08 | 25% | 1.81 | 53% | 21:57 | 0:04 |
Drew Doughty
|
7% | 0.07 | 36% | 1.31 | 37% | 22:32 | 1:29 |
Dmitry Orlov
|
6% | 0.06 | 35% | 1.08 | 29% | 17:43 | 2:56 |
Michael Kesselring
|
6% | 0.06 | 23% | 1.43 | 41% | 19:08 | 0:17 |
Joel Edmundson
|
5% | 0.06 | 22% | 1.19 | 33% | 18:06 | 0:03 |
Sam Dickinson
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 0.99 | 26% | 18:21 | 0:08 |
Mikey Anderson
|
5% | 0.05 | 22% | 0.84 | 20% | 18:49 | 0:03 |
Brian Dumoulin
|
4% | 0.04 | 21% | 0.80 | 19% | 16:57 | 0:14 |
Nolan Allan
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.80 | 19% | 14:35 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
SJS
Alexander WennbergFIgor ChernyshovF
LAK
Adrian KempeFAlex TurcotteFKevin FialaFMats ZuccarelloF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
SJS- Rating
- +0.01
- DailyFaceoff
- Y. AskarovUnconfirmed
LAK- Rating
- -0.15
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 60.6%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Latest
- 58.3%
Moneyline LAK -155 / SJS +130 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.4
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +105 / Under -125
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 58.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 LAK +0.37
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals LAK +0.07
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net LAK +0.13
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it LAK +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances SJS +0.16
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score SJS +0.03
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.88
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.46
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.89
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.03
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.13
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
SJS |
LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.6430th of 32 | -0.1921st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.3026th of 32 | 2.3324th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.8130th of 32 | 2.3510th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.7326th of 32 | 7.1617th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 8.7230th of 32 | 8.5629th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.0110th of 32 | -0.1523rd of 32 |
Goaltending
| SJS | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Alex Nedeljkovic | Darcy Kuemper |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.01 (#10) | -0.15 (#23) |
Who is out
- Kyle Keyser SJS Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winLAK 48%, SJS 29%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutLAK 12%, SJS 11%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (SJS)No
- Back-to-back (LAK)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelLAK 4 days, SJS 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Bobby McMann
|
30% | 0.36 | 49% | 2.69 | 74% | 17:30 | 2:30 |
Jordan Eberle
|
27% | 0.31 | 52% | 2.13 | 62% | 17:13 | 2:47 |
Joel Farabee
|
26% | 0.30 | 50% | 2.16 | 63% | 18:33 | 2:15 |
Mackie Samoskevich
|
26% | 0.30 | 46% | 2.15 | 62% | 15:50 | 1:51 |
Matt Coronato
|
26% | 0.30 | 52% | 2.39 | 68% | 17:15 | 2:24 |
Matty Beniers
|
25% | 0.28 | 47% | 1.71 | 50% | 18:17 | 2:42 |
Matvei Gridin
|
24% | 0.28 | 51% | 2.23 | 64% | 16:14 | 2:22 |
Mikael Backlund
|
23% | 0.26 | 43% | 2.45 | 69% | 19:01 | 0:09 |
Berkly Catton
|
21% | 0.24 | 44% | 1.66 | 49% | 14:57 | 2:34 |
Morgan Frost
|
21% | 0.24 | 44% | 1.79 | 53% | 15:17 | 2:24 |
Yegor Sharangovich
|
20% | 0.23 | 37% | 1.75 | 51% | 16:39 | 0:58 |
Matthew Wood
|
19% | 0.21 | 36% | 1.57 | 46% | 12:58 | 1:38 |
Aydar Suniev
|
19% | 0.21 | 37% | 1.65 | 48% | 14:05 | 1:05 |
Kaapo Kakko
|
18% | 0.20 | 46% | 1.29 | 37% | 14:47 | 2:29 |
Ryan Strome
|
17% | 0.19 | 40% | 1.67 | 49% | 14:21 | 1:03 |
Chandler Stephenson
|
16% | 0.17 | 49% | 1.13 | 31% | 17:35 | 2:46 |
Adam Klapka
|
14% | 0.15 | 31% | 1.37 | 40% | 11:50 | 0:41 |
Frederick Gaudreau
|
14% | 0.15 | 32% | 1.23 | 35% | 16:04 | 0:02 |
Jani Nyman
|
14% | 0.15 | 27% | 1.24 | 35% | 10:32 | 0:41 |
Martin Pospisil
|
13% | 0.14 | 31% | 1.46 | 43% | 13:38 | 0:02 |
Ryan Winterton
|
13% | 0.14 | 30% | 1.44 | 42% | 12:32 | 0:01 |
Ben Meyers
|
13% | 0.14 | 29% | 1.21 | 34% | 12:41 | 0:02 |
Jonathan Castagna
|
12% | 0.13 | 30% | 1.06 | 29% | 12:21 | 0:00 |
William Stromgren
|
8% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.92 | 24% | 7:46 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Brandon Montour
|
19% | 0.21 | 46% | 2.56 | 71% | 24:14 | 2:31 |
Vince Dunn
|
14% | 0.15 | 48% | 2.14 | 62% | 22:14 | 2:55 |
Zayne Parekh
|
11% | 0.11 | 34% | 1.56 | 46% | 18:02 | 2:26 |
Simon Nemec
|
10% | 0.11 | 35% | 1.59 | 47% | 21:22 | 1:03 |
Ryker Evans
|
6% | 0.06 | 28% | 1.01 | 27% | 21:16 | 0:33 |
Adam Larsson
|
6% | 0.06 | 25% | 1.27 | 36% | 20:08 | 0:04 |
Jacob Middleton
|
5% | 0.06 | 22% | 1.05 | 28% | 19:02 | 0:01 |
Kevin Bahl
|
5% | 0.05 | 23% | 0.92 | 23% | 22:06 | 0:04 |
Yan Kuznetsov
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 1.09 | 30% | 18:05 | 0:01 |
Zach Whitecloud
|
4% | 0.04 | 21% | 0.99 | 26% | 21:19 | 0:02 |
Joshua Mahura
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 0.82 | 20% | 14:17 | 0:01 |
Cale Fleury
|
4% | 0.04 | 16% | 0.98 | 26% | 13:52 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
CGY
Brennan OthmannFJonathan HuberdeauFSamuel HonzekF
SEA
Jacob MelansonFJared McCannFRyan LindgrenD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
CGY- Rating
- -0.24
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
SEA- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 54.9%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline SEA -142 / CGY +120 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.2
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +105 / Under -125
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 56.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 CGY +0.10
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals SEA +0.07
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net CGY +0.07
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it SEA +0.27
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances SEA +0.15
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score CGY +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.01
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.16
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.72
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.00
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.33
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.01
Team comparison
CGY |
SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.6329th of 32 | -0.5928th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.3822nd of 32 | 2.2429th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.6928th of 32 | 2.6626th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.3031st of 32 | 6.5029th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.5916th of 32 | 8.2927th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.2430th of 32 | -0.0918th of 32 |
Goaltending
| CGY | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Dustin Wolf | Philipp Grubauer |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.24 (#30) | -0.09 (#18) |
Who is out
- Devin Cooley CGY Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winSEA 43%, CGY 33%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutSEA 12%, CGY 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (CGY)No
- Back-to-back (SEA)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelSEA 5 days, CGY 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
Players
Anytime goal board
- Artemi Panarin43%
- Tage Thompson42%
- Sam Reinhart40%
- Macklin Celebrini38%
- Brady Tkachuk38%
Forwards
| SJS @ LAK | 42.9% | 0.56 | 77.0% | 43.2% | 59.7% | 3.29 | 82.6% | 62.6% | 22:29 | 4:05 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 37.8% | 0.48 | 70.3% | 34.2% | 52.2% | 3.50 | 85.0% | 66.5% | 22:28 | 4:01 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 35.3% | 0.43 | 67.6% | 31.1% | 49.9% | 2.33 | 66.5% | 40.9% | 21:29 | 3:59 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 31.0% | 0.37 | 61.9% | 25.2% | 44.9% | 2.85 | 76.3% | 53.3% | 20:37 | 4:19 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 40.3% | 0.52 | 66.4% | 29.7% | 43.7% | 2.80 | 75.5% | 52.1% | 20:05 | 4:26 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 36.5% | 0.45 | 60.1% | 23.5% | 37.2% | 2.99 | 78.5% | 56.4% | 20:42 | 3:23 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 41.6% | 0.54 | 63.9% | 27.1% | 38.2% | 3.23 | 81.8% | 61.3% | 19:14 | 3:26 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 34.3% | 0.42 | 73.0% | 37.7% | 58.9% | 2.57 | 71.5% | 46.9% | 18:24 | 4:26 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 31.6% | 0.38 | 57.0% | 20.7% | 37.1% | 2.42 | 68.3% | 43.0% | 19:33 | 3:21 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 34.0% | 0.42 | 60.2% | 23.5% | 39.7% | 2.59 | 71.8% | 47.3% | 18:20 | 3:37 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 37.7% | 0.47 | 64.3% | 27.5% | 42.7% | 3.42 | 84.0% | 64.9% | 16:38 | 3:55 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 27.6% | 0.32 | 52.9% | 17.4% | 35.0% | 2.35 | 66.9% | 41.4% | 18:32 | 3:55 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 26.7% | 0.31 | 55.8% | 19.7% | 39.7% | 2.06 | 60.0% | 33.8% | 19:23 | 3:07 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 31.6% | 0.38 | 58.6% | 22.1% | 39.5% | 2.21 | 63.8% | 37.9% | 17:31 | 4:27 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 31.6% | 0.38 | 57.5% | 21.1% | 37.9% | 2.46 | 69.2% | 44.1% | 18:04 | 3:32 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 28.9% | 0.34 | 49.7% | 15.1% | 29.3% | 2.05 | 59.9% | 33.7% | 19:26 | 1:54 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 32.7% | 0.40 | 59.4% | 22.8% | 39.6% | 2.13 | 61.9% | 35.8% | 17:07 | 3:40 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 23.3% | 0.27 | 43.4% | 11.2% | 26.2% | 1.68 | 49.5% | 24.0% | 17:58 | 4:01 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 29.3% | 0.35 | 53.1% | 17.6% | 33.6% | 2.29 | 65.6% | 39.8% | 17:13 | 3:21 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 25.9% | 0.30 | 50.3% | 15.5% | 32.9% | 2.16 | 62.5% | 36.5% | 18:33 | 2:15 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 30.4% | 0.36 | 48.6% | 14.4% | 26.1% | 2.69 | 73.6% | 49.7% | 17:30 | 2:30 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 30.3% | 0.36 | 53.2% | 17.7% | 32.9% | 2.62 | 72.3% | 47.9% | 17:21 | 2:21 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 24.1% | 0.28 | 48.9% | 14.6% | 32.6% | 1.75 | 51.6% | 25.8% | 17:57 | 3:08 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 24.7% | 0.28 | 47.4% | 13.6% | 30.1% | 1.71 | 50.3% | 24.6% | 18:17 | 2:42 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 25.7% | 0.30 | 52.0% | 16.8% | 35.4% | 2.39 | 67.7% | 42.3% | 17:15 | 2:24 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 26.9% | 0.31 | 51.6% | 16.5% | 33.8% | 2.13 | 61.8% | 35.6% | 17:13 | 2:47 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 25.1% | 0.29 | 48.3% | 14.2% | 31.0% | 2.29 | 65.5% | 39.8% | 17:54 | 1:58 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 23.0% | 0.26 | 46.2% | 12.8% | 30.1% | 1.78 | 52.5% | 26.6% | 17:12 | 3:21 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 23.4% | 0.27 | 43.5% | 11.2% | 26.2% | 1.67 | 49.1% | 23.6% | 16:53 | 3:52 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 20.4% | 0.23 | 46.3% | 12.9% | 32.5% | 1.60 | 46.9% | 21.8% | 16:54 | 3:53 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 22.5% | 0.26 | 43.2% | 11.1% | 26.6% | 2.45 | 69.0% | 43.8% | 19:01 | 0:09 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 20.6% | 0.23 | 50.9% | 16.0% | 38.1% | 1.96 | 57.5% | 31.3% | 15:51 | 3:28 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 20.1% | 0.22 | 39.7% | 9.2% | 24.5% | 1.75 | 51.4% | 25.7% | 17:42 | 2:08 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 24.4% | 0.28 | 50.9% | 16.0% | 35.0% | 2.23 | 64.2% | 38.3% | 16:14 | 2:22 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 25.0% | 0.29 | 47.1% | 13.4% | 29.5% | 2.29 | 65.6% | 39.8% | 17:19 | 1:18 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 16.0% | 0.17 | 48.8% | 14.5% | 39.1% | 1.13 | 31.1% | 10.9% | 17:35 | 2:46 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 19.7% | 0.22 | 41.1% | 9.9% | 26.7% | 1.97 | 57.8% | 31.6% | 16:34 | 2:23 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 25.8% | 0.30 | 45.6% | 12.5% | 26.7% | 2.15 | 62.4% | 36.3% | 15:50 | 1:51 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 18.8% | 0.21 | 47.4% | 13.6% | 35.2% | 1.63 | 47.9% | 22.7% | 15:50 | 2:40 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 20.2% | 0.23 | 38.4% | 8.5% | 22.8% | 1.57 | 46.2% | 21.3% | 17:37 | 0:59 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 19.3% | 0.22 | 36.4% | 7.6% | 21.2% | 1.95 | 57.3% | 31.1% | 16:33 | 1:13 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 21.3% | 0.24 | 44.0% | 11.6% | 28.9% | 1.79 | 52.6% | 26.7% | 15:17 | 2:24 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 20.2% | 0.23 | 36.9% | 7.9% | 20.9% | 1.75 | 51.4% | 25.7% | 16:39 | 0:58 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 21.5% | 0.24 | 44.0% | 11.5% | 28.7% | 1.66 | 48.8% | 23.4% | 14:57 | 2:34 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 16.2% | 0.18 | 36.7% | 7.8% | 24.5% | 1.49 | 43.4% | 19.1% | 16:42 | 1:20 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 13.3% | 0.14 | 36.1% | 7.5% | 26.3% | 1.12 | 30.6% | 10.6% | 15:47 | 2:35 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 19.4% | 0.22 | 37.9% | 8.3% | 23.0% | 2.02 | 58.9% | 32.7% | 14:23 | 2:19 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 16.6% | 0.18 | 36.9% | 7.8% | 24.3% | 1.49 | 43.4% | 19.1% | 16:20 | 0:57 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 18.1% | 0.20 | 46.5% | 13.0% | 34.6% | 1.29 | 36.6% | 14.3% | 14:47 | 2:29 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 19.6% | 0.22 | 40.3% | 9.5% | 25.8% | 1.67 | 49.0% | 23.6% | 14:46 | 1:53 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 20.1% | 0.22 | 38.6% | 8.7% | 23.2% | 1.63 | 48.0% | 22.8% | 14:13 | 2:03 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 21.0% | 0.24 | 39.2% | 8.9% | 23.0% | 1.66 | 48.8% | 23.4% | 14:51 | 1:08 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 16.5% | 0.18 | 33.4% | 6.3% | 20.2% | 1.28 | 36.3% | 14.1% | 16:30 | 0:03 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 15.6% | 0.17 | 35.9% | 7.4% | 24.0% | 1.31 | 37.6% | 15.0% | 14:33 | 1:39 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 17.1% | 0.19 | 39.9% | 9.3% | 27.5% | 1.67 | 49.3% | 23.8% | 14:21 | 1:03 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 14.8% | 0.16 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 17.9% | 1.32 | 37.9% | 15.1% | 16:07 | 0:06 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 20.1% | 0.22 | 36.3% | 7.6% | 20.2% | 1.81 | 53.2% | 27.3% | 13:45 | 1:28 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 13.1% | 0.14 | 37.1% | 8.0% | 27.7% | 1.00 | 26.4% | 8.3% | 15:27 | 0:57 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 22.3% | 0.25 | 42.0% | 10.4% | 25.4% | 1.58 | 46.5% | 21.5% | 13:05 | 2:08 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 14.1% | 0.15 | 31.8% | 5.7% | 20.6% | 1.23 | 34.6% | 13.0% | 16:04 | 0:02 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 18.6% | 0.21 | 37.1% | 7.9% | 22.8% | 1.65 | 48.5% | 23.1% | 14:05 | 1:05 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 11.9% | 0.13 | 26.0% | 3.7% | 16.1% | 1.12 | 30.6% | 10.6% | 15:29 | 0:51 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 17.0% | 0.19 | 34.6% | 6.8% | 21.2% | 1.21 | 34.1% | 12.7% | 14:06 | 1:21 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 19.1% | 0.21 | 35.9% | 7.4% | 20.8% | 1.57 | 46.1% | 21.2% | 12:58 | 1:38 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 16.5% | 0.18 | 33.4% | 6.3% | 20.2% | 1.55 | 45.3% | 20.6% | 14:29 | 0:11 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 14.0% | 0.15 | 29.2% | 4.7% | 17.6% | 1.29 | 36.7% | 14.4% | 13:06 | 1:17 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 13.3% | 0.14 | 31.3% | 5.5% | 20.7% | 1.46 | 42.5% | 18.4% | 13:38 | 0:02 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 16.4% | 0.18 | 34.4% | 6.8% | 21.6% | 1.44 | 42.0% | 18.0% | 10:28 | 2:51 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 14.4% | 0.16 | 30.7% | 5.3% | 19.1% | 1.39 | 40.3% | 16.8% | 13:22 | 0:06 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 14.8% | 0.16 | 31.2% | 5.5% | 19.3% | 1.39 | 40.2% | 16.8% | 13:06 | 0:12 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 10.8% | 0.11 | 32.6% | 6.0% | 24.5% | 0.93 | 24.0% | 7.1% | 13:56 | 0:04 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 11.5% | 0.12 | 27.3% | 4.1% | 17.9% | 1.26 | 35.6% | 13.6% | 12:15 | 1:12 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 12.1% | 0.13 | 27.6% | 4.2% | 17.6% | 1.28 | 36.3% | 14.1% | 12:10 | 0:55 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 13.2% | 0.14 | 30.2% | 5.1% | 19.6% | 1.44 | 41.8% | 17.9% | 12:32 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 9.1% | 0.09 | 18.0% | 1.7% | 9.9% | 1.07 | 28.9% | 9.7% | 13:21 | 0:02 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 14.3% | 0.15 | 30.7% | 5.3% | 19.2% | 1.37 | 39.6% | 16.3% | 11:50 | 0:41 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 12.8% | 0.14 | 29.4% | 4.8% | 19.1% | 1.21 | 34.0% | 12.7% | 12:41 | 0:02 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 12.1% | 0.13 | 30.5% | 5.2% | 20.9% | 1.06 | 28.6% | 9.5% | 12:21 | 0:00 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 8.4% | 0.09 | 18.3% | 1.8% | 10.8% | 0.78 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 12:12 | 0:01 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 13.7% | 0.15 | 27.4% | 4.2% | 16.0% | 1.24 | 34.9% | 13.2% | 10:32 | 0:41 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 11.0% | 0.12 | 20.4% | 2.2% | 10.6% | 1.15 | 32.0% | 11.4% | 10:28 | 0:47 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 8.4% | 0.09 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 11.3% | 0.69 | 15.5% | 3.5% | 11:25 | 0:02 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 6.6% | 0.07 | 13.7% | 1.0% | 7.6% | 0.81 | 19.6% | 5.1% | 11:14 | 0:03 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 12.0% | 0.13 | 27.2% | 4.1% | 17.3% | 1.02 | 27.2% | 8.7% | 10:05 | 0:21 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 7.0% | 0.07 | 14.0% | 1.0% | 7.5% | 0.82 | 20.0% | 5.3% | 10:50 | 0:05 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 8.6% | 0.09 | 20.0% | 2.2% | 12.5% | 0.88 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 10:35 | 0:00 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 8.7% | 0.09 | 19.2% | 2.0% | 11.5% | 0.86 | 21.2% | 5.8% | 9:55 | 0:07 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 6.8% | 0.07 | 15.6% | 1.3% | 9.5% | 0.64 | 13.8% | 2.9% | 9:37 | 0:02 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 9.5% | 0.10 | 21.7% | 2.6% | 13.5% | 0.97 | 25.3% | 7.7% | 8:46 | 0:13 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 7.6% | 0.08 | 16.4% | 1.4% | 9.4% | 0.81 | 19.5% | 5.1% | 8:38 | 0:01 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 8.2% | 0.09 | 19.2% | 2.0% | 12.0% | 0.92 | 23.7% | 7.0% | 7:46 | 0:00 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 7.3% | 0.08 | 15.5% | 1.3% | 8.9% | 0.74 | 17.0% | 4.1% | 7:34 | 0:00 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 6.4% | 0.07 | 14.9% | 1.2% | 9.2% | 0.72 | 16.3% | 3.8% | 7:06 | 0:04 |
Defense
| CHI @ FLA | 14.4% | 0.15 | 55.5% | 19.5% | 48.0% | 2.13 | 61.9% | 35.8% | 24:48 | 3:54 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 18.1% | 0.20 | 59.2% | 22.7% | 50.2% | 2.41 | 68.3% | 43.0% | 24:32 | 3:25 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 18.9% | 0.21 | 46.1% | 12.8% | 33.6% | 2.56 | 71.2% | 46.6% | 24:14 | 2:31 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 14.1% | 0.15 | 51.0% | 16.0% | 42.9% | 2.00 | 58.4% | 32.2% | 24:17 | 3:05 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 10.4% | 0.11 | 41.9% | 10.4% | 35.2% | 1.50 | 43.8% | 19.4% | 25:28 | 1:26 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 13.6% | 0.15 | 48.4% | 14.2% | 40.3% | 2.14 | 62.0% | 35.9% | 22:14 | 2:55 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 8.6% | 0.09 | 33.3% | 6.3% | 27.0% | 1.86 | 54.8% | 28.7% | 23:50 | 1:22 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 12.0% | 0.13 | 43.1% | 11.0% | 35.3% | 1.82 | 53.7% | 27.7% | 21:48 | 2:32 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 8.0% | 0.08 | 33.5% | 6.4% | 27.8% | 1.32 | 37.7% | 15.1% | 24:34 | 0:04 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 9.4% | 0.10 | 42.3% | 10.6% | 36.3% | 1.26 | 35.6% | 13.7% | 20:56 | 2:59 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 7.2% | 0.07 | 35.7% | 7.3% | 30.7% | 1.31 | 37.3% | 14.8% | 22:32 | 1:29 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 8.5% | 0.09 | 36.8% | 7.8% | 30.9% | 1.45 | 42.2% | 18.2% | 21:12 | 1:45 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 10.2% | 0.11 | 34.8% | 6.9% | 27.4% | 1.59 | 46.6% | 21.6% | 21:22 | 1:03 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 11.0% | 0.12 | 44.6% | 11.9% | 37.8% | 1.86 | 54.7% | 28.6% | 19:06 | 2:23 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 7.7% | 0.08 | 24.5% | 3.3% | 18.2% | 1.81 | 53.2% | 27.2% | 21:57 | 0:04 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 6.9% | 0.07 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 24.9% | 1.54 | 45.0% | 20.3% | 21:01 | 0:24 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 4.6% | 0.05 | 22.7% | 2.8% | 18.9% | 0.92 | 23.4% | 6.8% | 22:06 | 0:04 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 5.9% | 0.06 | 27.6% | 4.2% | 23.0% | 1.01 | 26.9% | 8.6% | 21:16 | 0:33 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 11.2% | 0.12 | 28.6% | 4.5% | 19.6% | 1.71 | 50.3% | 24.7% | 20:01 | 0:24 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 10.7% | 0.11 | 33.8% | 6.5% | 25.8% | 1.56 | 45.9% | 21.0% | 18:02 | 2:26 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 6.0% | 0.06 | 23.4% | 3.0% | 18.5% | 1.22 | 34.2% | 12.8% | 20:40 | 0:38 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 4.0% | 0.04 | 20.5% | 2.3% | 17.2% | 0.99 | 26.1% | 8.2% | 21:19 | 0:02 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 3.6% | 0.04 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 15.7% | 1.00 | 26.4% | 8.3% | 21:08 | 0:11 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 5.9% | 0.06 | 34.6% | 6.8% | 30.5% | 1.08 | 29.3% | 9.9% | 17:43 | 2:56 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 6.3% | 0.06 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 16.6% | 1.25 | 35.4% | 13.5% | 20:20 | 0:06 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 8.6% | 0.09 | 32.1% | 5.8% | 25.7% | 1.31 | 37.3% | 14.7% | 19:28 | 0:36 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 5.8% | 0.06 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 20.0% | 1.27 | 36.1% | 14.0% | 20:08 | 0:04 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 4.8% | 0.05 | 26.5% | 3.9% | 22.8% | 1.05 | 28.2% | 9.3% | 19:59 | 0:04 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 5.8% | 0.06 | 22.5% | 2.7% | 17.8% | 1.43 | 41.4% | 17.6% | 19:08 | 0:17 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 4.4% | 0.05 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 13.5% | 0.94 | 24.2% | 7.2% | 20:02 | 0:05 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 5.9% | 0.06 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 15.2% | 1.30 | 37.1% | 14.6% | 18:46 | 0:09 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 5.4% | 0.06 | 21.8% | 2.6% | 17.3% | 1.05 | 28.1% | 9.2% | 19:02 | 0:01 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 4.5% | 0.05 | 22.1% | 2.6% | 18.4% | 0.84 | 20.5% | 5.5% | 18:49 | 0:03 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 3.3% | 0.03 | 16.8% | 1.5% | 14.0% | 0.73 | 16.7% | 4.0% | 19:00 | 0:03 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 5.4% | 0.06 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 17.4% | 1.19 | 33.3% | 12.2% | 18:06 | 0:03 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 4.8% | 0.05 | 19.8% | 2.1% | 15.7% | 0.99 | 26.1% | 8.2% | 18:21 | 0:08 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 4.2% | 0.04 | 18.5% | 1.8% | 14.9% | 1.09 | 29.8% | 10.2% | 18:05 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 5.4% | 0.06 | 20.9% | 2.3% | 16.3% | 1.15 | 31.7% | 11.2% | 16:17 | 1:04 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 4.0% | 0.04 | 21.4% | 2.5% | 18.1% | 0.80 | 19.3% | 5.0% | 16:57 | 0:14 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 3.8% | 0.04 | 14.9% | 1.2% | 11.6% | 0.81 | 19.5% | 5.1% | 15:32 | 0:00 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 3.3% | 0.03 | 16.1% | 1.4% | 13.3% | 0.73 | 16.6% | 3.9% | 15:29 | 0:02 | |
| SJS @ LAK | 3.4% | 0.03 | 15.3% | 1.2% | 12.3% | 0.80 | 19.3% | 5.0% | 14:35 | 0:01 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 3.8% | 0.04 | 18.3% | 1.8% | 15.0% | 0.82 | 20.0% | 5.3% | 14:17 | 0:01 | |
| CGY @ SEA | 3.7% | 0.04 | 16.0% | 1.3% | 12.8% | 0.98 | 25.7% | 8.0% | 13:52 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 3.1% | 0.03 | 16.5% | 1.4% | 13.8% | 0.89 | 22.4% | 6.4% | 13:50 | 0:02 | |
| CHI @ FLA | 3.0% | 0.03 | 12.1% | 0.8% | 9.3% | 0.88 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 13:45 | 0:00 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 3.2% | 0.03 | 13.5% | 1.0% | 10.6% | 0.82 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 12:11 | 0:02 | |
| OTT @ BUF | 2.6% | 0.03 | 13.5% | 1.0% | 11.3% | 0.57 | 11.4% | 2.2% | 11:56 | 0:02 |