NFL predictions Week 6, 2026
Win probabilities, projected scores and totals for every NFL game, plus player stat lines. Methodology →
14 games on this slate · model went 6–8 · 43–29 last 30 days →
Games
Seahawks
Broncos
Set at line SEA -2.5 · model SEA -1.2
Texans
Jaguars
Set at line JAX -3.0 · model JAX -4.9
Ravens
Browns
Set at line BAL -4.5 · model BAL -8.1
Panthers
Eagles
Set at line PHI -1.5 · model PHI -3.8
Bears
Falcons
Set at line CHI -3.0 · model CHI -2.4
Saints
Giants
Set at line NO -1.5 · model NYG -4.2
Jets
Patriots
Set at line NE -7.5 · model NE -9.4
Steelers
Buccaneers
Set at line PIT -2.5 · model TB -1.2
Titans
Colts
Set at line IND -7.0 · model IND -9.8
Cardinals
Rams
Set at line LA -12.5 · model LA -10.2
Bills
Raiders
Set at line BUF -5.5 · model BUF -8.2
Chargers
Chiefs
Set at line KC -8.5 · model KC -7.5
Cowboys
Packers
Set at line GB -1.5 · model GB -5.8
Commanders
49ers
Set at line SF -7.5 · model SF -9.5
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Sam Darnold
|
29.3 | 19.1 | 215 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
|
Bo Nix
|
31.1 | 20.2 | 188 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Emanuel Wilson
|
17.2 | 73.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 15.3 | 45% |
|
J.K. Dobbins
|
14.2 | 63.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 8.2 | 44% |
|
George Holani
|
5.1 | 21.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 16.7 | 21% |
|
RJ Harvey
|
5.4 | 20.0 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 24.8 | 31% |
|
Tyler Badie
|
1.2 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 8.5 | 7% |
|
Adam Prentice
|
0.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1% |
|
Brady Russell
|
– | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
|
9.8 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 42% |
|
Jaylen Waddle
|
6.9 | 4.7 | 54.2 | 29% |
|
Courtland Sutton
|
5.4 | 3.2 | 38.3 | 23% |
|
Rashid Shaheed
|
4.0 | 2.5 | 29.4 | 18% |
|
Cooper Kupp
|
3.2 | 2.3 | 24.5 | 17% |
|
Marvin Mims Jr.
|
2.3 | 1.6 | 16.2 | 12% |
|
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
|
1.8 | 1.2 | 12.3 | 9% |
|
Troy Franklin
|
1.9 | 1.1 | 12.2 | 9% |
|
Tory Horton
|
1.2 | 0.7 | 8.7 | 7% |
|
Irvin Charles
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
AJ Barner
|
4.4 | 3.3 | 31.0 | 23% |
|
Evan Engram
|
4.0 | 2.7 | 25.1 | 13% |
|
Nate Adkins
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 5% |
|
Elijah Arroyo
|
0.7 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 3% |
|
Adam Trautman
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 3% |
|
Eric Saubert
|
0.5 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 2% |
|
Nick Kallerup
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
SEA
Dontae McMillanRBJacardia WrightRBJadarian PriceRBRobbie OuztsRBRobert Henry Jr.RBVelus Jones Jr.RBZach CharbonnetRBEmmanuel Henderson Jr.WRJake BoboWRMalick MeigaWRMontorie Foster JrWRRicky White IIIWR
DEN
Cody SchraderRBJonah ColemanRBCameron RossWRDane KeyWRKolbe KatsisWRMichael BandyWRPat BryantWRCaleb LohnerTEDallen BentleyTELucas KrullTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -1.0
- Special teamsBottom 1% -2.4
- QB history 0.0
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratingsBottom 8% -1.8
- Scoring output -0.4
- QB history +0.1
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Seahawks 14, Broncos 17
- Result
- DEN won by 3, could lose by up to 2
- Why
- Model SEA -1.2, first line SEA -2.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- SEA -1.2
- First line
- SEA -1.5
- Close
- SEA -2.5
- Model
- 54.1%
- First line
- 52.6%
- Close
- 56.3%
Moneyline DEN +120 / SEA -142 (vig removed)
- Model
- 42.0
- First line
- 42.5
- Close
- 40.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 52.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Thu 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
C.J. Stroud
|
32.3 | 20.7 | 229 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
|
Trevor Lawrence
|
29.7 | 19.2 | 203 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Bhayshul Tuten
|
15.0 | 58.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 11.3 | 46% |
|
Woody Marks
|
11.8 | 44.1 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 13.6 | 30% |
|
Jawhar Jordan
|
6.9 | 28.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 19% |
|
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
|
5.2 | 21.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 21% |
|
Ameer Abdullah
|
1.1 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 4% |
|
Dare Ogunbowale
|
0.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 2% |
|
LeQuint Allen Jr.
|
0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 3% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Nico Collins
|
6.9 | 4.4 | 60.9 | 31% |
|
Parker Washington
|
6.4 | 4.0 | 51.2 | 31% |
|
Xavier Hutchinson
|
5.4 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 20% |
|
Kayshon Boutte
|
3.8 | 2.4 | 31.3 | 18% |
|
Jakobi Meyers
|
4.1 | 2.8 | 31.2 | 15% |
|
Jaylin Noel
|
3.3 | 2.3 | 26.9 | 16% |
|
Brian Thomas Jr.
|
3.1 | 1.9 | 23.8 | 14% |
|
Josh Cameron
|
2.9 | 1.9 | 21.8 | 14% |
|
Marvin Harrison Jr.
|
2.9 | 1.6 | 21.6 | 15% |
|
Travis Hunter
|
1.0 | 0.6 | 6.9 | 4% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Brenton Strange
|
5.9 | 4.4 | 45.4 | 24% |
|
Dalton Schultz
|
4.2 | 2.9 | 29.4 | 17% |
|
Foster Moreau
|
2.2 | 1.6 | 15.9 | 13% |
|
Tanner Koziol
|
2.1 | 1.4 | 14.9 | 9% |
|
Nate Boerkircher
|
1.5 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 7% |
|
Brevin Jordan
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 2% |
|
Cade Stover
|
0.5 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 2% |
|
Quintin Morris
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 2% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
HOU
British BrooksRBDavid MontgomeryRBDeuce VaughnRBNoah WhittingtonRBBryce OliverWRDaniel SobkowiczWRJared WayneWRJayden HigginsWRJosh KellyWRLewis BondWRTank DellWRMarlin KleinTEZaire Mitchell-PadenTE
JAX
J'Mari TaylorRBAlex BullockWRAustin TrammellWRC.J. WilliamsWRMichael WorthamWRTim JonesWRTrebor PenaWRBrenden BatesTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +1.1
- Team ratings +3.1
- Special teams +1.1
- QB history -0.3
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.9
- Scoring output -1.3
- QB history +0.5
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Texans 34, Jaguars 31
- Result
- JAX lost by 3, needed to win by 4+ (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model JAX -4.9, first line JAX -3.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- JAX -4.9
- First line
- JAX -3.0
- Close
- JAX -2.5
- Model
- 63.2%
- First line
- 57.2%
- Close
- 57.2%
Moneyline JAX -148 / HOU +124 (vig removed)
- Model
- 42.5
- First line
- 43.5
- Close
- 42.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 57.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sat 10:46 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Deshaun Watson
|
30.2 | 19.6 | 216 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
|
Tyler Huntley
|
26.4 | 17.7 | 165 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Derrick Henry
|
21.4 | 105 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 64% |
|
Audric Estimé
|
18.1 | 73 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 19.6 | 46% |
|
Justice Hill
|
2.8 | 13 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 11.7 | 13% |
|
Jaleel McLaughlin
|
2.9 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 10% |
|
Michael Burton
|
0.1 | 0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1% |
|
Rasheen Ali
|
0.1 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Zay Flowers
|
7.9 | 5.5 | 69.9 | 31% |
|
Denzel Boston
|
6.3 | 3.7 | 53.9 | 28% |
|
KC Concepcion
|
5.7 | 3.5 | 39.4 | 23% |
|
Rashod Bateman
|
3.9 | 2.4 | 30.4 | 18% |
|
Jerry Jeudy
|
4.0 | 2.3 | 29.8 | 12% |
|
Ja'Kobi Lane
|
3.6 | 2.1 | 24.5 | 15% |
|
Isaiah Bond
|
2.6 | 1.4 | 20.1 | 10% |
|
Devontez Walker
|
1.6 | 1.0 | 12.1 | 9% |
|
LaJohntay Wester
|
0.4 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2% |
|
Malachi Corley
|
0.2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1% |
|
Tylan Wallace
|
0.1 | – | 0.6 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Mark Andrews
|
5.7 | 3.9 | 40.2 | 33% |
|
Harold Fannin Jr.
|
5.3 | 3.6 | 37.7 | 25% |
|
Carsen Ryan
|
2.4 | 1.7 | 18.3 | 11% |
|
Josh Cuevas
|
0.8 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 3% |
|
Blake Whiteheart
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2% |
|
Nick Vannett
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
BAL
Adam RandallRBJonathan WardRBLucas ScottRBChris MooreWRElijah SarrattWRGage LarvadainWRTy PezzaWRXavier GuilloryWRDurham SmytheTEMatthew HibnerTE
CLE
Dylan SampsonRBJaret PattersonRBQuinshon JudkinsRBRaheim SandersRBBub MeansWRJames ProcheWRJimmy Horn Jr.WRDevin CulpTEJoe RoyerTEJohn FitzPatrickTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsBottom 5% -8.4
- Special teams -0.6
- QB historyTop 3% +2.5
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -1.0
- Scoring output -0.9
- QB history -0.7
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Ravens 10, Browns 13
- Result
- BAL lost by 3, needed to win by 5+
- Why
- Model BAL -8.1, first line BAL -4.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- BAL -4.4
- First line
- BAL -3.0
- Close
- BAL -3.0
- Model
- 62.1%
- First line
- 62.2%
- Close
- 60.9%
Moneyline CLE +145 / BAL -175 (vig removed)
- Model
- 41.6
- First line
- 41.5
- Close
- 39.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 62.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Tanner McKee
|
29.9 | 19.2 | 219 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
|
Bryce Young
|
33.7 | 20.9 | 211 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Chuba Hubbard
|
20.2 | 84.0 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 15.8 | 48% |
|
Dameon Pierce
|
10.5 | 43.8 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 26% |
|
Jaydon Blue
|
8.9 | 38.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 24% |
|
Carson Steele
|
3.6 | 15.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 11% |
|
Trevor Etienne
|
0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Tetairoa McMillan
|
9.4 | 5.7 | 77.0 | 38% |
|
DeVonta Smith
|
7.5 | 5.2 | 66.6 | 32% |
|
Jalen Coker
|
6.2 | 4.4 | 51.8 | 27% |
|
Dontayvion Wicks
|
5.1 | 3.1 | 39.9 | 23% |
|
Makai Lemon
|
5.1 | 3.3 | 36.4 | 20% |
|
John Metchie III
|
3.7 | 2.3 | 24.6 | 14% |
|
Darius Cooper
|
2.9 | 1.8 | 23.3 | 15% |
|
Brycen Tremayne
|
2.2 | 1.5 | 17.2 | 9% |
|
David Moore
|
0.7 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 4% |
|
Elijah Moore
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2% |
|
Britain Covey
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Dallas Goedert
|
5.9 | 4.3 | 47.7 | 29% |
|
Darren Waller
|
4.5 | 3.2 | 34.6 | 20% |
|
Tommy Tremble
|
3.1 | 2.1 | 21.1 | 15% |
|
Mitchell Evans
|
1.5 | 1.1 | 11.4 | 7% |
|
Johnny Mundt
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.5 | 4% |
|
E.J. Jenkins
|
0.1 | – | 0.4 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
CAR
AJ DillonRBAhmani MarshallRBJonathon BrooksRBCasey WashingtonWRChris Brazzell IIWRIhmir Smith-MarsetteWRJa'Seem ReedWRXavier LegetteWRJa'Tavion SandersTE
PHI
Ian WheelerRBSaquon BarkleyRBTank BigsbyRBWill ShipleyRBErik EzukanmaWRJohnny WilsonWRMarquise BrownWRXavier GipsonWREli StowersTEGrant CalcaterraTEJosiah DeguaraTEZach ErtzTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +1.6
- Special teams +0.2
- QB changeTop 7% +0.7
- QB history +0.8
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.2
- Scoring output -1.5
- QB history +1.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Panthers 25, Eagles 14
- Result
- PHI lost by 11, needed to win by 2+
- Why
- Model PHI -3.8, first line PHI -1.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- PHI -5.3
- First line
- PHI -2.5
- Close
- CAR -3.0
- Model
- 64.4%
- First line
- 51.7%
- Close
- 40.7%
Moneyline PHI +136 / CAR -162 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.5
- First line
- 43.5
- Close
- 39.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 51.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Michael Penix Jr.
|
28.8 | 18.4 | 222 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
|
Caleb Williams
|
31.4 | 19.1 | 208 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Bijan Robinson
|
15.1 | 73.8 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 35.5 | 48% |
|
D'Andre Swift
|
15.4 | 66.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 20.0 | 47% |
|
Brian Robinson
|
7.2 | 30.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.2 | 22% |
|
Roschon Johnson
|
3.1 | 12.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 12.2 | 16% |
|
Zavier Scott
|
1.1 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 4% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Drake London
|
8.8 | 5.6 | 77.5 | 32% |
|
Luther Burden III
|
6.4 | 4.5 | 51.9 | 27% |
|
Rome Odunze
|
6.2 | 3.4 | 47.1 | 24% |
|
Kalif Raymond
|
4.1 | 3.0 | 33.8 | 16% |
|
Jahan Dotson
|
3.8 | 2.2 | 29.0 | 18% |
|
Zachariah Branch
|
1.8 | 1.2 | 13.4 | 8% |
|
Olamide Zaccheaus
|
1.4 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 7% |
|
Jahdae Walker
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 3% |
|
Zavion Thomas
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 3% |
|
Chris Blair
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Colston Loveland
|
5.4 | 3.7 | 39.3 | 23% |
|
Kyle Pitts
|
4.3 | 2.7 | 33.8 | 15% |
|
Cole Kmet
|
1.8 | 1.3 | 13.6 | 9% |
|
Austin Hooper
|
1.3 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 6% |
|
Charlie Woerner
|
1.0 | 0.7 | 7.4 | 4% |
|
Sam Roush
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
CHI
Brittain BrownRBKyle MonangaiRBSalvon AhmedRBJP RichardsonWRKaden DavisWRScott MillerWRSquirrel WhiteWRHayden LargeTENikola KalinicTEQadir IsmailTEStephen CarlsonTE
ATL
Jam MillerRBKhalil HerbertRBTrey SermonRBAntwane Wells Jr.WRBeaux CollinsWRDylan DrummondWRVinny Anthony IIWRJack VellingTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -1.2
- Special teamsBottom 9% -1.2
- QB changeBottom 2% -1.5
- QB history +1.3
- Injuries -2.5
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings 0.0
- Scoring output 0.0
- QB historyTop 5% +0.6
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from. A questionable QB is blended with his backup by his chance to play.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bears 31, Falcons 23
- Result
- ATL lost by 8, could lose by up to 2 (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model CHI -2.4, first line CHI -3.0: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- CHI -3.0
- First line
- CHI -1.5
- Close
- CHI -1.5
- Model
- 59.0%
- First line
- 52.6%
- Close
- 51.7%
Moneyline ATL -102 / CHI -118 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.8
- First line
- 47.5
- Close
- 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 52.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Tyler Shough
|
32.8 | 21.7 | 233 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
|
Jameis Winston
|
28.6 | 17.8 | 216 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Cam Skattebo
|
12.3 | 51.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 14.7 | 38% |
|
Kendre Miller
|
9.0 | 39.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 27% |
|
Alvin Kamara
|
7.4 | 34.0 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 20.1 | 32% |
|
Najee Harris
|
5.4 | 21.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 14% |
|
Devin Singletary
|
4.2 | 18.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 10.1 | 14% |
|
CJ Donaldson
|
3.6 | 16.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6.7 | 13% |
|
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
|
2.5 | 10.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 8% |
|
Patrick Ricard
|
– | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 3% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Chris Olave
|
8.3 | 5.4 | 69.1 | 29% |
|
Malik Nabers
|
8.3 | 5.2 | 60.9 | 31% |
|
Devaughn Vele
|
6.1 | 4.1 | 46.2 | 26% |
|
Darnell Mooney
|
3.3 | 1.9 | 25.0 | 12% |
|
Malachi Fields
|
3.1 | 1.9 | 23.6 | 14% |
|
Bryce Lance
|
2.9 | 1.6 | 20.3 | 12% |
|
Barion Brown
|
2.5 | 1.5 | 18.6 | 12% |
|
Cedric Tillman
|
1.0 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 4% |
|
Charlie Jones
|
– | – | 0.2 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Isaiah Likely
|
8.6 | 6.0 | 64.0 | 41% |
|
Juwan Johnson
|
5.4 | 3.7 | 42.8 | 27% |
|
Noah Fant
|
1.8 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 8% |
|
Oscar Delp
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2% |
|
Treyton Welch
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1% |
|
Chris Manhertz
|
– | – | 0.3 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
NO
Jarquez HunterRBTravis EtienneRBTy ChandlerRBUlysses Bentley IVRBZamir WhiteRBBrock RechsteinerWRJa'Lynn PolkWRJalen CropperWRJordyn TysonWRKevin Austin Jr.WRKyrese RowanWRMason TiptonWRTrey PalmerWRMoliki MatavaoTEStone SmarttTE
NYG
Grant FinleyRBPhil MafahRBBraxton BerriosWRCalvin Austin IIIWRDalen CambreWRDontae FlemingWRGunner OlszewskiWRJalin HyattWRTheo JohnsonTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +0.9
- Special teamsTop 5% +1.4
- QB history -0.3
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.5
- Scoring output -0.7
- QB history -0.2
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Saints 34, Giants 27
- Result
- NYG lost by 7, could lose by up to 1
- Why
- Model NYG -4.2, first line NO -1.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- NYG -4.2
- First line
- NO -1.5
- Close
- NO -1.5
- Model
- 60.9%
- First line
- 48.3%
- Close
- 50.4%
Moneyline NYG -112 / NO -108 (vig removed)
- Model
- 42.6
- First line
- 45.5
- Close
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 48.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Drake Maye
|
28.5 | 19.2 | 230 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
|
Geno Smith
|
29.9 | 20.5 | 216 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Braelon Allen
|
19.0 | 77.9 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 19.4 | 50% |
|
Rhamondre Stevenson
|
10.6 | 45.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 18.8 | 35% |
|
TreVeyon Henderson
|
9.2 | 40.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 32% |
|
Corey Kiner
|
4.0 | 16.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 12% |
|
Kene Nwangwu
|
1.5 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4% |
|
Isaiah Davis
|
1.2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 6% |
|
Andrew Beck
|
– | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Garrett Wilson
|
9.8 | 6.0 | 72.2 | 32% |
|
A.J. Brown
|
5.6 | 3.6 | 49.5 | 30% |
|
Romeo Doubs
|
4.5 | 2.8 | 36.3 | 23% |
|
DeMario Douglas
|
3.9 | 2.6 | 30.3 | 15% |
|
Isaiah Williams
|
3.6 | 2.5 | 26.9 | 15% |
|
Efton Chism III
|
3.1 | 2.1 | 24.8 | 16% |
|
Kyle Williams
|
2.2 | 1.3 | 18.9 | 12% |
|
Tim Patrick
|
1.7 | 1.1 | 13.3 | 9% |
|
Omar Cooper Jr.
|
1.4 | 0.9 | 10.9 | 6% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Kenyon Sadiq
|
5.0 | 3.4 | 36.6 | 21% |
|
Hunter Henry
|
3.6 | 2.5 | 29.2 | 21% |
|
Mason Taylor
|
2.9 | 2.0 | 19.4 | 11% |
|
Eli Raridon
|
2.2 | 1.6 | 17.4 | 10% |
|
Jeremy Ruckert
|
1.1 | 0.8 | 7.5 | 4% |
|
Jelani Woods
|
1.0 | 0.6 | 7.4 | 5% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
NYJ
Al-Jay HendersonRBBreece HallRBChip TrayanumRBAdonai MitchellWRArian SmithWRJamaal PritchettWRSterling ShepardWRTyler JohnsonWRCody HardyTE
NE
Hassan HaskinsRBLan LarisonRBMyles MontgomeryRBReggie GilliamRBCameron DornerWRChandler BrayboyWRJeremiah WebbWRKyle DixonWRMack HollinsWRJulian HillTETanner ArkinTETanner ConnerTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsTop 6% +8.3
- Special teams -0.8
- QB history -0.3
- Injuries -2.5
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.1
- Scoring output -1.8
- QB history +0.8
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Jets 19, Patriots 26
- Result
- NE won by 7, needed to win by 8+
- Why
- Model NE -9.4, first line NE -7.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- NE -6.8
- First line
- NE -7.0
- Close
- NE -7.5
- Model
- 67.9%
- First line
- 73.4%
- Close
- 74.4%
Moneyline NE -345 / NYJ +275 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.0
- First line
- 43.5
- Close
- 43.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 73.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Aaron Rodgers
|
33.1 | 21.5 | 233 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
|
Jalon Daniels
|
28.1 | 18.6 | 197 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Bucky Irving
|
17.8 | 78.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 16.7 | 42% |
|
Jaylen Warren
|
11.3 | 50.1 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 31.8 | 31% |
|
Rico Dowdle
|
5.9 | 24.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 16.8 | 20% |
|
Kenny Gainwell
|
4.2 | 17.8 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 19.0 | 22% |
|
Travis Homer
|
0.6 | 2.7 | – | – | – | 2% |
|
Josh Williams
|
0.4 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 1% |
|
Lew Nichols III
|
0.4 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
DK Metcalf
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 60.4 | 37% |
|
Emeka Egbuka
|
6.7 | 3.7 | 48.2 | 27% |
|
Germie Bernard
|
5.3 | 3.4 | 38.9 | 21% |
|
Chris Godwin Jr.
|
4.3 | 3.0 | 34.1 | 20% |
|
Kaden Wetjen
|
3.9 | 2.4 | 28.8 | 16% |
|
Ted Hurst III
|
2.5 | 1.5 | 19.0 | 11% |
|
Tez Johnson
|
1.7 | 1.0 | 13.5 | 10% |
|
Brandon Johnson
|
0.6 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 3% |
|
Kameron Johnson
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Pat Freiermuth
|
5.2 | 3.8 | 39.3 | 27% |
|
Cade Otton
|
5.0 | 3.5 | 35.8 | 18% |
|
Darnell Washington
|
3.2 | 2.3 | 25.0 | 13% |
|
Bauer Sharp
|
2.0 | 1.4 | 15.2 | 9% |
|
Payne Durham
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 2% |
|
Robert Tonyan
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
PIT
Eli HeidenreichRBBen SkowronekWRCole BurgessWRIsaiah HodginsWRMax HurlemanWRMichael PittmanWRRoman WilsonWRLake McReeTE
TB
Sean TuckerRBDavid SillsWRDean Patterson IVWREric Rivers Jr.WRGarrett GreeneWRJalen McMillanWRCJ DippreTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -0.6
- Special teams -0.4
- QB history 0.0
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.2
- Scoring output -0.9
- QB history +0.3
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Steelers 26, Buccaneers 19
- Result
- TB lost by 7, could lose by up to 2
- Why
- Model TB -1.2, first line PIT -2.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- TB -1.2
- First line
- PIT -3.0
- Close
- PIT -1.5
- Model
- 53.0%
- First line
- 41.7%
- Close
- 45.7%
Moneyline TB +110 / PIT -130 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.4
- First line
- 40.5
- Close
- 38.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 41.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:47 AM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Daniel Jones
|
29.2 | 18.7 | 206 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
|
Cam Ward
|
31.4 | 19.2 | 195 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Jonathan Taylor
|
18.2 | 86.3 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 22.1 | 60% |
|
Tony Pollard
|
12.9 | 59.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 11.8 | 32% |
|
Michael Carter
|
5.9 | 24.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 17% |
|
Seth McGowan
|
3.6 | 15.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 12% |
|
Tyjae Spears
|
2.7 | 11.6 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 21.2 | 15% |
|
DJ Giddens
|
2.1 | 8.8 | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 6% |
|
Julius Chestnut
|
– | 0.1 | – | – | – | 0% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Carnell Tate
|
7.7 | 4.8 | 57.7 | 27% |
|
Keenan Allen
|
7.2 | 4.9 | 51.3 | 27% |
|
Josh Downs
|
6.4 | 4.2 | 48.0 | 22% |
|
Wan'Dale Robinson
|
6.3 | 4.3 | 43.0 | 20% |
|
Laquon Treadwell
|
4.2 | 2.6 | 33.1 | 15% |
|
Elic Ayomanor
|
2.6 | 1.3 | 18.6 | 11% |
|
Calvin Ridley
|
2.1 | 1.3 | 17.1 | 11% |
|
Chimere Dike
|
2.0 | 1.3 | 13.9 | 9% |
|
Deion Burks
|
1.0 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 5% |
|
Anthony Gould
|
0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Mo Alie-Cox
|
2.1 | 1.4 | 15.9 | 12% |
|
Gunnar Helm
|
2.3 | 1.7 | 15.8 | 9% |
|
Daniel Bellinger
|
1.6 | 1.2 | 12.5 | 7% |
|
Andrew Ogletree
|
1.3 | 0.8 | 9.3 | 6% |
|
Will Mallory
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.9 | 4% |
|
Pharaoh Brown
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 2% |
|
David Martin-Robinson
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
TEN
Kalel MullingsRBNicholas SingletonRBK.J. OsbornWRTyren MontgomeryWRXavier RestrepoWRJaren KanakTEJoel WilsonTEKylen GransonTE
IND
Davon BoothRBAlec PierceWRAshton DulinWRD.J. MontgomeryWRDarius SlaytonWREli PancolWRNick Westbrook-IkhineWRQuez WatkinsWRCarson TowtTETyler WarrenTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +5.9
- Special teamsTop 3% +1.7
- QB history +0.2
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.3
- Scoring output +0.1
- QB history -0.2
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Titans 26, Colts 20
- Result
- IND lost by 6, needed to win by 8+ (7 pushes)
- Why
- Model IND -9.8, first line IND -7.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- IND -9.8
- First line
- IND -6.5
- Close
- IND -6.5
- Model
- 75.1%
- First line
- 71.4%
- Close
- 71.4%
Moneyline IND -290 / TEN +235 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.8
- First line
- 44.5
- Close
- 43.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 71.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Matthew Stafford
|
34.2 | 22.3 | 274 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
|
Jacoby Brissett
|
33.4 | 21.4 | 211 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Kyren Williams
|
13.0 | 57.7 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 27.2 | 51% |
|
Tyler Allgeier
|
12.5 | 51.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 15.4 | 34% |
|
Blake Corum
|
5.9 | 25.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 9.1 | 20% |
|
Evan Hull
|
3.6 | 14.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 10% |
|
Bam Knight
|
3.6 | 14.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 11% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Puka Nacua
|
9.8 | 7.0 | 90.2 | 37% |
|
Michael Wilson
|
8.8 | 5.5 | 63.7 | 34% |
|
Davante Adams
|
6.2 | 3.9 | 50.1 | 36% |
|
Reggie Virgil
|
4.0 | 2.4 | 28.3 | 16% |
|
Kendrick Bourne
|
3.5 | 2.4 | 28.1 | 14% |
|
Konata Mumpfield
|
1.8 | 0.9 | 12.9 | 8% |
|
Jalen Brooks
|
1.8 | 1.0 | 12.4 | 7% |
|
Jordan Whittington
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 2% |
|
Alex Bachman
|
0.1 | – | 0.6 | 0% |
|
Devin Duvernay
|
– | – | 0.2 | 0% |
|
Simi Fehoko
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Trey McBride
|
10.0 | 7.4 | 69.4 | 34% |
|
Tyler Higbee
|
4.0 | 2.7 | 30.9 | 17% |
|
Max Klare
|
3.3 | 2.2 | 25.1 | 14% |
|
Colby Parkinson
|
2.1 | 1.5 | 15.4 | 11% |
|
Elijah Higgins
|
1.9 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 8% |
|
Davis Allen
|
1.4 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 7% |
|
Teagan Quitoriano
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 3% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
ARI
James ConnerRBJeremiyah LoveRBJerome FordRBTrey BensonRBHarrison Wallace IIIWRShedrick JacksonWRHunter LongTEJameson GeersTEKenny YeboahTETip ReimanTE
LA
Jordan WatersRBRonnie RiversRBBrennan PresleyWRCJ DanielsWRTutu AtwellWRDan VillariTETerrance FergusonTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsTop 6% +8.1
- Special teams 0.0
- QB history -0.1
- Injuries -3.3
- League baseline 46.7
- Team ratings +1.0
- Scoring outputTop 8% +2.8
- QB history +0.2
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Cardinals 18, Rams 16
- Result
- ARI won by 2, could lose by up to 12
- Why
- Model LA -10.2, first line LA -12.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- LA -6.9
- First line
- LA -10.5
- Close
- LA -12.5
- Model
- 68.1%
- First line
- 83.2%
- Close
- 85.2%
Moneyline LA -800 / ARI +550 (vig removed)
- Model
- 50.7
- First line
- 51.5
- Close
- 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 83.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Kirk Cousins
|
33.6 | 22.5 | 259 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
|
Josh Allen
|
27.1 | 17.9 | 212 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
James Cook
|
21.4 | 102 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 11.2 | 59% |
|
Ashton Jeanty
|
12.9 | 52 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 33.0 | 38% |
|
Mike Washington Jr.
|
3.8 | 17 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 13% |
|
Ray Davis
|
1.8 | 8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 5.2 | 8% |
|
Ty Johnson
|
1.8 | 8 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 23.6 | 16% |
|
Dylan Laube
|
1.4 | 6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 7% |
|
Connor Heyward
|
0.6 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Khalil Shakir
|
5.7 | 4.2 | 45.8 | 21% |
|
Tre Tucker
|
5.4 | 3.3 | 43.7 | 24% |
|
Keon Coleman
|
4.0 | 2.5 | 33.1 | 20% |
|
Skyler Bell
|
3.4 | 2.0 | 24.8 | 14% |
|
Cody White
|
2.8 | 1.8 | 23.0 | 14% |
|
Jalen Nailor
|
2.5 | 1.5 | 19.8 | 14% |
|
Josh Palmer
|
2.4 | 1.5 | 18.9 | 9% |
|
Malik Benson
|
2.1 | 1.2 | 14.7 | 9% |
|
Dareke Young
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 2% |
|
Greg Dortch
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Brock Bowers
|
8.7 | 6.3 | 71.2 | 36% |
|
Michael Mayer
|
4.1 | 2.9 | 29.8 | 15% |
|
Dalton Kincaid
|
3.4 | 2.4 | 29.0 | 14% |
|
Dawson Knox
|
2.6 | 1.7 | 19.3 | 16% |
|
Ian Thomas
|
0.8 | 0.6 | 6.3 | 3% |
|
Jackson Hawes
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 2% |
|
Keleki Latu
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
BUF
Brock LampeRBFrank Gore Jr.RBDJ MooreWRJa'Mori MaclinWRStephen GosnellWRTrent SherfieldWRTyrell ShaversWR
LV
Chris CollierRBOwen WrightRBRoman HembyRBCorey RuckerWRDeven ThompkinsWRDont'e Thornton Jr.WRJack BechWRJamari ThrashWRPhillip DorsettWRTyler ScottWRCarter RunyonTEChris MyarickTEPatrick GurdTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsBottom 3% -10.0
- Special teams -1.2
- QB history +0.9
- League baseline 46.7
- Team ratings +0.9
- Scoring outputTop 8% +2.8
- QB history +1.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bills 33, Raiders 30
- Result
- BUF won by 3, needed to win by 6+
- Why
- Model BUF -8.2, first line BUF -5.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- BUF -8.2
- First line
- BUF -4.5
- Close
- BUF -5.5
- Model
- 70.8%
- First line
- 66.9%
- Close
- 68.1%
Moneyline LV +200 / BUF -245 (vig removed)
- Model
- 51.4
- First line
- 51.5
- Close
- 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 66.9%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Patrick Mahomes
|
29.3 | 19.7 | 213 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
|
Justin Herbert
|
28.4 | 19.1 | 205 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Kenneth Walker III
|
19.4 | 82.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 21.3 | 54% |
|
Omarion Hampton
|
12.6 | 51.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 38% |
|
Keaton Mitchell
|
6.0 | 28.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 20.2 | 23% |
|
Kimani Vidal
|
4.1 | 16.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 11.4 | 16% |
|
Emmett Johnson
|
4.0 | 16.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 15% |
|
Brashard Smith
|
0.8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 4% |
|
Ben VanSumeren
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0% |
|
Scott Matlock
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Xavier Worthy
|
8.4 | 5.1 | 57.9 | 32% |
|
Quentin Johnston
|
4.6 | 2.7 | 34.3 | 24% |
|
Ladd McConkey
|
4.0 | 2.7 | 32.5 | 19% |
|
Theo Wease Jr.
|
2.6 | 1.6 | 20.2 | 12% |
|
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
|
2.7 | 1.4 | 19.6 | 12% |
|
Jalen Royals
|
2.2 | 1.3 | 14.8 | 10% |
|
Justin Watson
|
1.5 | 0.9 | 11.7 | 7% |
|
Cyrus Allen
|
1.2 | 0.7 | 8.8 | 6% |
|
Brenen Thompson
|
1.1 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 5% |
|
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
|
0.9 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 4% |
|
Derius Davis
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2% |
|
Nikko Remigio
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Travis Kelce
|
5.4 | 3.9 | 41.9 | 25% |
|
Oronde Gadsden II
|
3.2 | 2.2 | 24.5 | 14% |
|
Charlie Kolar
|
2.5 | 1.8 | 19.8 | 12% |
|
Noah Gray
|
2.8 | 2.0 | 19.8 | 13% |
|
Jake Briningstool
|
0.8 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 4% |
|
Hayden Rucci
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
LAC
Alec IngoldRBAmar JohnsonRBGregory DesrosiersRBGary JenningsWRLuke GrimmWRTre HarrisWRDavid NjokuTEEvan SvobodaTEPatrick HerbertTE
KC
Jaydn OttRBNate CarterRBJeff CaldwellWRJimmy HolidayWROmari EvansWRRashee RiceWRTyquan ThorntonWRJared WileyTEJohn Michael GyllenborgTEThomas OdukoyaTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +3.4
- Special teamsTop 3% +1.7
- QB history +0.4
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -1.2
- Scoring output -1.9
- QB history +0.5
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Chargers 6, Chiefs 22
- Result
- LAC lost by 16, could lose by up to 8
- Why
- Model KC -7.5, first line KC -8.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- KC -7.5
- First line
- KC -7.5
- Close
- KC -7.5
- Model
- 69.5%
- First line
- 76.6%
- Close
- 77.2%
Moneyline KC -410 / LAC +320 (vig removed)
- Model
- 41.5
- First line
- 45.5
- Close
- 41.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 76.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Dak Prescott
|
35.9 | 24.0 | 269 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
|
Jordan Love
|
31.3 | 20.3 | 264 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Javonte Williams
|
16.6 | 68.1 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 16.7 | 45% |
|
MarShawn Lloyd
|
10.1 | 42.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 17.6 | 35% |
|
Kaleb Johnson
|
8.4 | 35.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 19% |
|
Pierre Strong
|
2.6 | 11.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 12.7 | 12% |
|
Tyler Goodson
|
1.6 | 6.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 5% |
|
Hunter Luepke
|
1.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 4% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
CeeDee Lamb
|
9.1 | 6.2 | 79.2 | 37% |
|
Christian Watson
|
7.4 | 4.4 | 75.6 | 41% |
|
George Pickens
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 73.0 | 31% |
|
Matthew Golden
|
7.6 | 4.6 | 65.8 | 27% |
|
Ryan Flournoy
|
5.0 | 3.3 | 38.1 | 20% |
|
Bo Melton
|
2.2 | 1.3 | 17.3 | 9% |
|
KaVontae Turpin
|
1.7 | 1.1 | 13.6 | 9% |
|
Jonathan Mingo
|
1.7 | 0.8 | 10.9 | 5% |
|
J. Michael Sturdivant
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 2% |
|
Savion Williams
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 3% |
|
Coleman Owen
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Tucker Kraft
|
5.6 | 4.0 | 50.7 | 31% |
|
Jake Ferguson
|
4.2 | 3.1 | 27.7 | 19% |
|
Brevyn Spann-Ford
|
1.3 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 6% |
|
Jonnu Smith
|
1.0 | 0.7 | 7.7 | 6% |
|
Luke Schoonmaker
|
0.7 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 3% |
|
Mark Redman
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 2% |
|
Josh Whyle
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
DAL
Emari DemercadoRBIsrael AbanikandaRBMalik DavisRBAnthony SmithWRCamden BrownWRJordan HudsonWRParris CampbellWRDJ RogersTEJames MitchellTEMichael TriggTEPrinceton FantTE
GB
Chris BrooksRBDamon BankstonRBJosh JacobsRBIsaiah NeyorWRJayden ReedWRQuincy Skinner Jr.WRSkyy MooreWRDrake DabneyTELuke MusgraveTEThomas YassminTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +3.9
- Special teams -0.4
- QB history +0.1
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratingsTop 1% +2.5
- Scoring output +2.3
- QB history +0.9
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Cowboys 13, Packers 23
- Result
- GB won by 10, needed to win by 2+
- Why
- Model GB -5.8, first line GB -1.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- GB -5.8
- First line
- GB -1.5
- Close
- DAL -1.5
- Model
- 65.5%
- First line
- 51.1%
- Close
- 51.1%
Moneyline GB -115 / DAL -105 (vig removed)
- Model
- 49.8
- First line
- 52.5
- Close
- 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 51.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:47 AM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Brock Purdy
|
29.5 | 19.9 | 258 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
|
Jayden Daniels
|
30.6 | 19.7 | 213 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Christian McCaffrey
|
14.3 | 65.5 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 34.2 | 53% |
|
Rachaad White
|
13.0 | 51.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 12.1 | 31% |
|
Austin Ekeler
|
9.3 | 39.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 10.6 | 35% |
|
Kaelon Black
|
8.5 | 36.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 21% |
|
Jordan James
|
0.7 | 3.0 | – | – | – | 2% |
|
Kyle Juszczyk
|
– | – | 1.9 | 1.5 | 12.9 | 8% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Mike Evans
|
9.5 | 5.6 | 80.8 | 49% |
|
Terry McLaurin
|
5.9 | 3.7 | 49.4 | 26% |
|
Stefon Diggs
|
6.1 | 4.3 | 48.5 | 28% |
|
Antonio Williams
|
4.2 | 2.7 | 30.8 | 18% |
|
Treylon Burks
|
3.4 | 1.9 | 24.5 | 13% |
|
Brandin Cooks
|
2.2 | 1.4 | 17.0 | 11% |
|
Dyami Brown
|
2.3 | 1.3 | 16.2 | 9% |
|
Jacob Cowing
|
1.6 | 0.9 | 11.7 | 7% |
|
Jordan Watkins
|
0.7 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 3% |
|
Luke McCaffrey
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
George Kittle
|
6.7 | 5.0 | 64.3 | 34% |
|
Chig Okonkwo
|
4.5 | 3.1 | 31.9 | 15% |
|
John Bates
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 4% |
|
Luke Farrell
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3% |
|
Colson Yankoff
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 2% |
|
Ben Sinnott
|
0.5 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 3% |
|
Brayden Willis
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
WAS
Craig ReynoldsRBDevin NealRBJacory Croskey-MerrittRBJeremy McNicholsRBJaden BradleyWRJaylin LaneWRNick DeGennaroWRVan JeffersonWRJack WestoverTE
SF
Isaac GuerendoRBSincere McCormickRBChristian KirkWRDe'Zhaun StriblingWRDeebo Samuel Sr.WRDemarcus RobinsonWRMalik TurnerWRRicky PearsallWRWesley GrimesWRWill PaulingWRXavier SmithWRJack StollTEJake TongesTEKhalil DinkinsTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsTop 10% +6.7
- Special teams +0.2
- QB history +0.4
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratingsTop 4% +1.8
- Scoring output +2.3
- QB history +0.4
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Commanders 17, 49ers 23
- Result
- SF won by 6, needed to win by 8+
- Why
- Model SF -9.5, first line SF -7.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- SF -9.5
- First line
- SF -7.5
- Close
- SF -7.5
- Model
- 74.5%
- First line
- 77.7%
- Close
- 77.2%
Moneyline SF -410 / WAS +320 (vig removed)
- Model
- 48.7
- First line
- 50.5
- Close
- 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 8 captures, first 77.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Players
Anytime TD board
- Derrick Henry64%
- Jonathan Taylor60%
- James Cook59%
- Kenneth Walker III54%
- Christian McCaffrey53%
Quarterbacks
| ARI @ LA | 34.2 | 22.3 | 274 | 1.81 | 0.68 | |
| DAL @ GB | 35.9 | 24.0 | 269 | 1.83 | 0.72 | |
| BUF @ LV | 33.6 | 22.5 | 259 | 1.72 | 0.75 | |
| DAL @ GB | 31.3 | 20.3 | 264 | 1.70 | 0.63 | |
| WAS @ SF | 29.5 | 19.9 | 258 | 1.87 | 0.75 | |
| PIT @ TB | 33.1 | 21.5 | 233 | 1.79 | 0.53 | |
| NO @ NYG | 32.8 | 21.7 | 233 | 1.26 | 0.71 | |
| HOU @ JAX | 32.3 | 20.7 | 229 | 1.34 | 0.53 | |
| NYJ @ NE | 28.5 | 19.2 | 230 | 1.52 | 0.71 | |
| CHI @ ATL | 28.8 | 18.4 | 222 | 1.07 | 0.53 | |
| CAR @ PHI | 29.9 | 19.2 | 219 | 1.43 | 0.63 | |
| NYJ @ NE | 29.9 | 20.5 | 216 | 1.28 | 0.70 | |
| CAR @ PHI | 33.7 | 20.9 | 211 | 1.37 | 0.70 | |
| BAL @ CLE | 30.2 | 19.6 | 216 | 1.41 | 0.60 | |
| ARI @ LA | 33.4 | 21.4 | 211 | 1.32 | 0.60 | |
| SEA @ DEN | 29.3 | 19.1 | 215 | 1.48 | 0.84 | |
| WAS @ SF | 30.6 | 19.7 | 213 | 1.42 | 0.54 | |
| NO @ NYG | 28.6 | 17.8 | 216 | 1.37 | 0.93 | |
| LAC @ KC | 29.3 | 19.7 | 213 | 1.59 | 0.59 | |
| CHI @ ATL | 31.4 | 19.1 | 208 | 1.31 | 0.46 | |
| BUF @ LV | 27.1 | 17.9 | 212 | 1.49 | 0.63 | |
| TEN @ IND | 29.2 | 18.7 | 206 | 0.95 | 0.61 | |
| LAC @ KC | 28.4 | 19.1 | 205 | 1.34 | 0.58 | |
| HOU @ JAX | 29.7 | 19.2 | 203 | 1.32 | 0.67 | |
| TEN @ IND | 31.4 | 19.2 | 195 | 0.91 | 0.54 | |
| PIT @ TB | 28.1 | 18.6 | 197 | 1.21 | 0.80 | |
| SEA @ DEN | 31.1 | 20.2 | 188 | 1.39 | 0.63 | |
| BAL @ CLE | 26.4 | 17.7 | 165 | 0.89 | 0.49 |
Running backs
| BAL @ CLE | 21.4 | 105 | 1.6 | 1.20 | 9.5 | 63.9% | |
| BUF @ LV | 21.4 | 102 | 1.8 | 1.40 | 11.2 | 58.7% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 15.1 | 74 | 5.3 | 4.00 | 35.5 | 48.1% | |
| TEN @ IND | 18.2 | 86 | 3.6 | 2.80 | 22.1 | 59.5% | |
| LAC @ KC | 19.4 | 82 | 3.7 | 2.90 | 21.3 | 54.4% | |
| CAR @ PHI | 20.2 | 84 | 2.9 | 2.30 | 15.8 | 48.2% | |
| WAS @ SF | 14.3 | 66 | 5.1 | 4.10 | 34.2 | 53.1% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 19.0 | 78 | 3.6 | 2.60 | 19.4 | 49.6% | |
| PIT @ TB | 17.8 | 78 | 2.7 | 2.30 | 16.7 | 42.4% | |
| BAL @ CLE | 18.1 | 73 | 3.2 | 2.60 | 19.6 | 45.6% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 17.2 | 74 | 2.7 | 2.20 | 15.3 | 44.9% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 15.4 | 66 | 3.4 | 2.60 | 20.0 | 47.4% | |
| DAL @ GB | 16.6 | 68 | 3.4 | 2.60 | 16.7 | 45.2% | |
| BUF @ LV | 12.9 | 52 | 5.5 | 4.10 | 33.0 | 38.3% | |
| ARI @ LA | 13.0 | 58 | 4.6 | 3.50 | 27.2 | 51.3% | |
| PIT @ TB | 11.3 | 50 | 4.8 | 3.90 | 31.8 | 30.9% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 15.0 | 59 | 1.9 | 1.50 | 11.3 | 45.8% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 14.2 | 63 | 1.7 | 1.30 | 8.2 | 44.3% | |
| TEN @ IND | 12.9 | 59 | 2.2 | 1.70 | 11.8 | 32.0% | |
| ARI @ LA | 12.5 | 52 | 2.7 | 2.30 | 15.4 | 34.5% | |
| NO @ NYG | 12.3 | 51 | 2.4 | 1.90 | 14.7 | 37.6% | |
| WAS @ SF | 13.0 | 52 | 2.0 | 1.80 | 12.1 | 30.9% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 10.6 | 45 | 3.1 | 2.40 | 18.8 | 34.6% | |
| LAC @ KC | 12.6 | 52 | 1.7 | 1.40 | 9.5 | 37.5% | |
| DAL @ GB | 10.1 | 42 | 2.9 | 2.20 | 17.6 | 35.1% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 11.8 | 44 | 2.5 | 1.80 | 13.6 | 30.2% | |
| CAR @ PHI | 10.5 | 44 | 2.3 | 1.70 | 13.0 | 25.8% | |
| NO @ NYG | 7.4 | 34 | 3.6 | 2.80 | 20.1 | 31.7% | |
| WAS @ SF | 9.3 | 40 | 1.7 | 1.30 | 10.6 | 34.8% | |
| LAC @ KC | 6.0 | 28 | 3.6 | 2.90 | 20.2 | 23.2% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 5.4 | 20 | 4.5 | 3.60 | 24.8 | 30.7% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 9.2 | 41 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.3 | 31.8% | |
| NO @ NYG | 9.0 | 40 | 1.0 | 0.80 | 6.1 | 26.9% | |
| PIT @ TB | 5.9 | 24 | 2.9 | 2.30 | 16.8 | 20.2% | |
| CAR @ PHI | 8.9 | 38 | 0.2 | 0.10 | 1.1 | 24.1% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 5.1 | 21 | 2.9 | 2.40 | 16.7 | 20.6% | |
| WAS @ SF | 8.5 | 36 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.5 | 20.9% | |
| PIT @ TB | 4.2 | 18 | 3.4 | 2.70 | 19.0 | 22.1% | |
| DAL @ GB | 8.4 | 36 | 0.3 | 0.20 | 2.1 | 19.2% | |
| TEN @ IND | 5.9 | 25 | 2.0 | 1.50 | 11.5 | 16.7% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 7.2 | 31 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.2 | 21.7% | |
| ARI @ LA | 5.9 | 26 | 1.5 | 1.10 | 9.1 | 19.6% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 6.9 | 28 | 1.1 | 0.80 | 6.0 | 18.7% | |
| TEN @ IND | 2.7 | 12 | 3.7 | 3.00 | 21.2 | 15.4% | |
| BUF @ LV | 1.8 | 8 | 3.4 | 2.40 | 23.6 | 15.5% | |
| NO @ NYG | 4.2 | 19 | 1.7 | 1.30 | 10.1 | 14.2% | |
| LAC @ KC | 4.1 | 17 | 2.0 | 1.40 | 11.4 | 15.9% | |
| LAC @ KC | 4.0 | 16 | 1.6 | 1.30 | 9.8 | 14.9% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 3.1 | 12 | 2.2 | 1.70 | 12.2 | 16.4% | |
| BAL @ CLE | 2.8 | 13 | 2.1 | 1.60 | 11.7 | 13.4% | |
| DAL @ GB | 2.6 | 12 | 2.1 | 1.50 | 12.7 | 11.6% | |
| NO @ NYG | 5.4 | 22 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.2 | 13.7% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 5.2 | 21 | 0.3 | 0.30 | 1.9 | 20.7% | |
| NO @ NYG | 3.6 | 16 | 1.2 | 0.90 | 6.7 | 13.0% | |
| TEN @ IND | 3.6 | 15 | 1.0 | 0.80 | 6.0 | 12.4% | |
| BUF @ LV | 3.8 | 17 | 0.7 | 0.50 | 4.2 | 13.3% | |
| CAR @ PHI | 3.6 | 15 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.3 | 10.7% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 4.0 | 17 | 0.5 | 0.40 | 3.0 | 11.5% | |
| BAL @ CLE | 2.9 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.00 | 6.4 | 10.5% | |
| NO @ NYG | 2.5 | 11 | 1.0 | 0.80 | 6.2 | 8.5% | |
| ARI @ LA | 3.6 | 14 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.2 | 11.2% | |
| ARI @ LA | 3.6 | 15 | 0.2 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 10.1% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 1.2 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.10 | 8.5 | 7.4% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 1.9 | 1.50 | 12.9 | 7.5% | |
| BUF @ LV | 1.8 | 8 | 0.8 | 0.60 | 5.2 | 7.7% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 1.2 | 6 | 1.0 | 0.80 | 6.3 | 6.5% | |
| BUF @ LV | 1.4 | 6 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.3 | 7.2% | |
| TEN @ IND | 2.1 | 9 | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 5.7% | |
| DAL @ GB | 1.6 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | 1.9 | 5.2% | |
| LAC @ KC | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.60 | 4.7 | 4.4% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 1.1 | 4 | 0.6 | 0.40 | 3.0 | 4.3% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 1.5 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.10 | 1.0 | 4.3% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 1.1 | 4 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.2 | 4.0% | |
| DAL @ GB | 1.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | 2.1 | 3.9% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 0.1 | 1 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.0 | 3.0% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 0.3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.30 | 2.6 | 2.0% | |
| BUF @ LV | 0.6 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.10 | 1.1 | 2.9% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 0.6 | 0.40 | 3.3 | 2.6% | |
| WAS @ SF | 0.7 | 3 | – | – | – | 2.1% | |
| BAL @ CLE | 0.1 | 0 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.3 | 1.4% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.6 | 3 | – | – | – | 1.5% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.1 | 1.1% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 0.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.8 | 1.4% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.4 | 2 | – | – | – | 1.3% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.4 | 2 | – | – | – | 1.1% | |
| BAL @ CLE | 0.1 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 1.1 | 0.9% | |
| CAR @ PHI | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.6 | 0.6% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | 0 | 0.2 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 0.7% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.8 | 0.5% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.7 | 0.4% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | 0 | – | – | – | 0.1% |
Receivers
| ARI @ LA | 0.90 | 4.1 | 9.8 | 7.0 | 90.2 | 37.1% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 0.20 | 0.8 | 9.8 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 42.3% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 9.5 | 5.6 | 80.8 | 49.4% | |
| DAL @ GB | 0.20 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 6.2 | 79.2 | 36.7% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 0.10 | 0.5 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 77.5 | 31.8% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 9.4 | 5.7 | 77.0 | 37.6% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 9.8 | 6.0 | 72.2 | 32.3% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 7.4 | 4.4 | 75.6 | 41.3% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 8.0 | 5.0 | 73.0 | 31.1% | |
| BAL @ CLE | 0.30 | 1.7 | 7.9 | 5.5 | 69.9 | 30.6% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 8.3 | 5.4 | 69.1 | 29.3% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 7.5 | 5.2 | 66.6 | 32.4% | |
| DAL @ GB | 0.20 | 0.9 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 65.8 | 26.9% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 8.8 | 5.5 | 63.7 | 34.4% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 8.3 | 5.2 | 60.9 | 31.2% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.30 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 60.4 | 36.9% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 0.10 | 0.4 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 60.9 | 30.9% | |
| LAC @ KC | 0.10 | 0.6 | 8.4 | 5.1 | 57.9 | 31.6% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 7.7 | 4.8 | 57.7 | 26.8% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 1.30 | 5.6 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 51.9 | 26.8% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 0.40 | 1.7 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 54.2 | 28.6% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 6.3 | 3.7 | 53.9 | 27.7% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 7.2 | 4.9 | 51.3 | 27.1% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 0.30 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 51.2 | 30.8% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 6.2 | 4.4 | 51.8 | 27.2% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.40 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 48.2 | 27.3% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 6.2 | 3.9 | 50.1 | 36.5% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 5.9 | 3.7 | 49.4 | 25.8% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 6.1 | 4.3 | 48.5 | 28.3% | |
| TEN @ IND | 0.10 | 0.2 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 48.0 | 22.5% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 5.6 | 3.6 | 49.5 | 29.6% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 6.2 | 3.4 | 47.1 | 24.0% | |
| BUF @ LV | 0.70 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 43.7 | 24.3% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 6.1 | 4.1 | 46.2 | 25.7% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 5.7 | 4.2 | 45.8 | 21.2% | |
| TEN @ IND | 0.20 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 43.0 | 19.9% | |
| BAL @ CLE | 0.60 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 39.4 | 22.8% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.20 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 38.9 | 21.1% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 5.1 | 3.1 | 39.9 | 22.9% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 0.30 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 19.5% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 5.4 | 3.2 | 38.3 | 23.4% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 5.0 | 3.3 | 38.1 | 20.0% | |
| CAR @ PHI | 0.10 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 36.4 | 19.7% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.50 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 34.1 | 19.6% | |
| LAC @ KC | 0.40 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 34.3 | 24.1% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 4.5 | 2.8 | 36.3 | 22.9% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 0.30 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 33.8 | 15.9% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 4.2 | 2.6 | 33.1 | 14.6% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 4.0 | 2.5 | 33.1 | 20.1% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 4.0 | 2.7 | 32.5 | 18.8% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 0.10 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 31.2 | 15.0% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 4.2 | 2.7 | 30.8 | 17.7% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 3.8 | 2.4 | 31.3 | 18.0% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 0.30 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 29.4 | 17.7% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | 0.1 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 30.3 | 14.8% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 3.9 | 2.4 | 30.4 | 18.4% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | 0.1 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 29.8 | 12.4% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 0.70 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 26.9 | 16.4% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 3.9 | 2.4 | 28.8 | 16.5% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 3.8 | 2.2 | 29.0 | 17.8% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 4.0 | 2.4 | 28.3 | 16.5% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 0.30 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 26.9 | 14.9% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 3.5 | 2.4 | 28.1 | 14.3% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 0.30 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 24.8 | 15.6% | |
| NO @ NYG | 0.10 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 25.0 | 11.6% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | 0.1 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 24.6 | 14.3% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 3.6 | 2.1 | 24.5 | 15.0% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 3.4 | 2.0 | 24.8 | 14.5% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 3.2 | 2.3 | 24.5 | 17.0% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 3.4 | 1.9 | 24.5 | 13.2% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | 0.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 23.8 | 14.5% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 3.1 | 1.9 | 23.6 | 13.5% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 2.9 | 1.8 | 23.3 | 14.9% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 2.8 | 1.8 | 23.0 | 14.4% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 2.9 | 1.9 | 21.8 | 14.0% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 2.9 | 1.6 | 21.6 | 14.6% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 2.9 | 1.6 | 20.3 | 12.1% | |
| NO @ NYG | 0.40 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 18.6 | 12.0% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 2.6 | 1.6 | 20.2 | 11.6% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | 0.2 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 20.1 | 9.8% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | 0.1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 19.8 | 13.7% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 2.7 | 1.4 | 19.6 | 11.9% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 2.5 | 1.5 | 19.0 | 11.2% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 2.4 | 1.5 | 18.9 | 9.2% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | 0.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 18.9 | 11.6% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 2.6 | 1.3 | 18.6 | 11.4% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 0.30 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 16.2 | 11.9% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 17.3 | 9.4% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 2.2 | 1.5 | 17.2 | 8.7% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 2.2 | 1.4 | 17.0 | 10.8% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 2.1 | 1.3 | 17.1 | 11.0% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | 0.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 16.2 | 9.1% | |
| BUF @ LV | 0.10 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 14.7 | 9.3% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 2.2 | 1.3 | 14.8 | 9.9% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.30 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 13.5 | 9.7% | |
| DAL @ GB | 0.20 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 13.6 | 9.0% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 13.9 | 9.1% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 1.8 | 1.2 | 13.4 | 7.8% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 1.7 | 1.1 | 13.3 | 8.6% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 12.2 | 8.8% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 1.8 | 0.9 | 12.9 | 8.0% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 1.8 | 1.2 | 12.3 | 9.3% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 1.8 | 1.0 | 12.4 | 7.4% | |
| WAS @ SF | 0.20 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 11.7 | 7.3% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 1.6 | 1.0 | 12.1 | 9.1% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 1.5 | 0.9 | 11.7 | 7.4% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 1.7 | 0.8 | 10.9 | 5.0% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 1.4 | 0.9 | 10.9 | 6.3% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 1.4 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 6.7% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8.8 | 5.6% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8.7 | 7.1% | |
| TEN @ IND | 0.20 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 5.2% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 5.1% | |
| HOU @ JAX | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 6.9 | 4.5% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 4.2% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 0.9 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 4.4% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 0.7 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 2.9% | |
| CAR @ PHI | 0.10 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 4.4% | |
| DAL @ GB | 0.30 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 3.3% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 2.5% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 3.2% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 0.6 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 3.1% | |
| CHI @ ATL | 0.30 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 2.7% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 2.5% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 2.1% | |
| CAR @ PHI | 0.10 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 1.9% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 1.8% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 2.3% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2.3% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 2.0% | |
| BUF @ LV | 0.10 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.8% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 1.7% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.5% | |
| BAL @ CLE | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.4% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0.9% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.5% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.6 | 0.3% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.6 | 0.3% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0.3% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | 0.0% |
Tight ends
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 10.0 | 7.4 | 69.4 | 33.7% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | 0.10 | 8.7 | 6.3 | 71.2 | 35.6% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 8.6 | 6.0 | 64.0 | 41.3% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 6.7 | 5.0 | 64.3 | 34.3% | |
| DAL @ GB | 0.40 | 1.90 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 50.7 | 30.7% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 5.9 | 4.3 | 47.7 | 29.2% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 5.9 | 4.4 | 45.4 | 24.0% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 5.4 | 3.7 | 42.8 | 26.8% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 5.4 | 3.9 | 41.9 | 25.4% | |
| PIT @ TB | 0.40 | 1.90 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 39.3 | 27.4% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | 0.10 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 40.2 | 32.8% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 5.4 | 3.7 | 39.3 | 23.3% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | 0.20 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 37.7 | 24.9% | |
| NYJ @ NE | 0.10 | 0.60 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 36.6 | 21.0% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 5.0 | 3.5 | 35.8 | 18.0% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 4.5 | 3.2 | 34.6 | 20.2% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 4.3 | 2.7 | 33.8 | 15.4% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 4.5 | 3.1 | 31.9 | 15.1% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 0.10 | 0.20 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 31.0 | 22.6% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 4.0 | 2.7 | 30.9 | 17.0% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 4.1 | 2.9 | 29.8 | 15.0% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 4.2 | 2.9 | 29.4 | 17.0% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 3.6 | 2.5 | 29.2 | 20.7% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 4.2 | 3.1 | 27.7 | 19.2% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 3.4 | 2.4 | 29.0 | 13.9% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 4.0 | 2.7 | 25.1 | 13.3% | |
| LAC @ KC | 0.20 | 0.80 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 24.5 | 14.2% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 3.3 | 2.2 | 25.1 | 14.0% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 3.2 | 2.3 | 25.0 | 12.9% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 3.1 | 2.1 | 21.1 | 14.8% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 2.8 | 2.0 | 19.8 | 12.6% | |
| BUF @ LV | 0.20 | 0.70 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 19.3 | 15.7% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 2.9 | 2.0 | 19.4 | 10.8% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 2.5 | 1.8 | 19.8 | 12.4% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 2.4 | 1.7 | 18.3 | 10.6% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 2.2 | 1.6 | 17.4 | 10.1% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 2.3 | 1.7 | 15.8 | 9.3% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 2.2 | 1.6 | 15.9 | 13.0% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 2.1 | 1.4 | 15.9 | 11.9% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 2.1 | 1.5 | 15.4 | 11.0% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 2.0 | 1.4 | 15.2 | 9.0% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 2.1 | 1.4 | 14.9 | 9.2% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 1.9 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 8.3% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 1.8 | 1.3 | 13.6 | 9.0% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 1.8 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 7.6% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 1.6 | 1.2 | 12.5 | 6.6% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | 0.10 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 11.4 | 7.2% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 1.5 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 6.6% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 1.4 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 6.8% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 1.3 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 6.5% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 1.3 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 5.6% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9.3 | 6.5% | |
| DAL @ GB | 0.10 | 0.40 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7.7 | 5.8% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7.5 | 4.4% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7.4 | 4.1% | |
| NYJ @ NE | – | – | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7.4 | 4.7% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.9 | 3.6% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.5 | 3.9% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 3.6% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 0.8 | 0.6 | 6.3 | 3.0% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 3.6% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 3.4% | |
| SEA @ DEN | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 4.6% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3.2% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3.0% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 0.7 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 3.0% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 0.7 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 2.9% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 2.5% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 2.8% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 2.6% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 2.2% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 2.5% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 2.2% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 1.9% | |
| ARI @ LA | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 2.7% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 2.4% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 2.4% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.1% | |
| LAC @ KC | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.1% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 1.6% | |
| HOU @ JAX | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.6% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.5% | |
| DAL @ GB | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.9% | |
| TEN @ IND | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.9% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.0% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.7% | |
| BUF @ LV | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.5% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 0.3% | |
| NO @ NYG | – | – | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2% | |
| WAS @ SF | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1% | |
| SEA @ DEN | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1% | |
| BAL @ CLE | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1% | |
| CAR @ PHI | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| PIT @ TB | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| CHI @ ATL | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% |