NFL predictions Week 5, 2026

Win probabilities, projected scores and totals for every NFL game, plus player stat lines. How it works →

15 games on this slate · model went 10–3 · 48–27 last 30 days →

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Updated 32m ago

Games

Bills
46.3% 25.5
Rams
53.7% 26.7
ModelMarket
Spread LA -1.2 LA -3.5
LA win 53.7% 61.6%
Total 52.2 54.5
Giants
41.9% 20.4
Commanders
58.1% 23.2
ModelClose
Spread WAS -2.8 WAS -3.5
WAS win 58.1% 63.1%
Total 43.6 41.5
✗ Favorite lost
Buccaneers
24 37.2% · proj 22.1
Cowboys
16 62.8% · proj 26.8
ModelClose
Spread DAL -4.7 DAL -8.5
Total 48.9 48.5
✓ Favorite won
Eagles
17 36.0% · proj 18.6
Jaguars
19 64.0% · proj 24.1
ModelClose
Spread JAX -5.5 JAX -7.5
Total 42.7 41.5
First line PHI +7.5 ✓ Covered
✓ Favorite won
Bears
7 42.0% · proj 20.3
Packers
31 58.0% · proj 23.0
ModelClose
Spread GB -2.7 CHI -1.5
GB win 58.0% 46.8%
Total 43.3 47.5
First line GB +1.5 ✓ Covered
✓ Favorite won
Bengals
31 60.7% · proj 24.7
Dolphins
24 39.3% · proj 20.8
ModelClose
Spread CIN -3.9 CIN -7.0
CIN win 60.7% 74.4%
Total 45.5 44.5
First line MIA +7.0 Push
✓ Favorite won
Browns
12 41.4% · proj 19.0
Jets
17 58.6% · proj 21.9
ModelClose
Spread NYJ -2.9 NYJ -2.5
NYJ win 58.6% 55.1%
Total 40.9 38.5
First line NYJ -2.5 ✓ Covered
✓ Favorite won
Texans
26 63.3% · proj 23.0
Titans
3 36.7% · proj 17.8
ModelClose
Spread HOU -5.2 HOU -6.5
HOU win 63.3% 74.4%
Total 40.8 37.5
First line TEN +7.0 ✗ Didn't cover
✓ Favorite won
Colts
22 47.4% · proj 22.0
Steelers
34 52.6% · proj 23.3
ModelClose
Spread PIT -1.3 PIT -3.0
PIT win 52.6% 58.3%
Total 45.3 41.5
First line IND +3.0 ✗ Didn't cover
✓ Favorite won
Raiders
17 31.3% · proj 17.7
Patriots
45 68.7% · proj 24.8
ModelClose
Spread NE -7.1 NE -3.5
NE win 68.7% 62.2%
Total 42.5 45.5
First line NE -3.5 ✓ Covered
✓ Favorite won
Vikings
23 54.4% · proj 21.7
Saints
13 45.6% · proj 20.4
ModelClose
Spread MIN -1.3 MIN -2.5
MIN win 54.4% 55.1%
Total 42.1 41.5
First line NO +2.5 ✗ Didn't cover
✓ Favorite won
Broncos
23 56.4% · proj 23.2
Chargers
17 43.6% · proj 20.9
ModelClose
Spread DEN -2.3 DEN -3.5
DEN win 56.4% 62.2%
Total 44.1 42.5
First line LAC +3.5 ✗ Didn't cover
✓ Favorite won
Lions
45 61.7% · proj 28.7
Cardinals
21 38.3% · proj 24.2
ModelClose
Spread DET -4.5 DET -5.5
DET win 61.7% 68.5%
Total 52.9 55.5
First line ARI +5.5 ✗ Didn't cover
✗ Favorite lost
49ers
32 34.4% · proj 20.5
Seahawks
29 65.6% · proj 26.1
ModelClose
Spread SEA -5.6 SEA -3.0
SEA win 65.6% 60.0%
Total 46.6 46.5
First line SEA -3.0 ✗ Didn't cover
✗ Favorite lost
Ravens
30 47.0% · proj 23.4
Falcons
23 53.0% · proj 24.7
ModelClose
Spread ATL -1.3 ATL -3.0
ATL win 53.0% 60.9%
Total 48.1 43.5
First line BAL +3.0 ✓ Covered