MLB predictions Wed, Sep 30

Win probabilities, projected runs and totals for every MLB game, plus batter and pitcher projections. How it works →

4 games on this slate · model went 3–1 · 140–96 last 30 days →

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Updated 11d ago

✓ Favorite won Final · Wed, Sep 30

Phillies

4 51.3% · proj 4.3

Braves

3 48.7% · proj 4.2

Postseason

Projected total 8.5

✗ Favorite lost Final · Wed, Sep 30

White Sox

7 45.3% · proj 4.1

Astros

3 54.7% · proj 4.7

Postseason

Projected total 8.8

✓ Favorite won Final · Wed, Sep 30

Red Sox

2 45.0% · proj 3.8

Yankees

9 55.0% · proj 4.3

Postseason

Projected total 8.1

✓ Favorite won Final · Wed, Sep 30

Cubs

1 42.4% · proj 3.9

Padres

4 57.6% · proj 4.7

Postseason

Projected total 8.6

	Hitting	Discipline	Running
Ronald Acuña	0.15	1.10	1.72	0.46	0.42	0.03	1.16	0.18
Trea Turner	0.12	1.09	1.69	0.43	0.27	0.02	1.03	0.13
Alec Bohm	0.11	1.09	1.64	0.50	0.25	0.04	0.69	0.02
Ozzie Albies	0.10	1.08	1.59	0.50	0.25	0.03	0.74	0.07
Bryson Stott	0.12	0.97	1.56	0.51	0.38	0.02	0.78	0.14
Mauricio Dubón	0.07	1.10	1.56	0.41	0.21	0.02	0.60	0.03
Edmundo Sosa	0.12	0.98	1.54	0.51	0.11	0.05	0.93	0.04
Drake Baldwin	0.11	1.02	1.50	0.41	0.25	0.07	1.16	0.01
Brandon Marsh	0.13	0.90	1.50	0.49	0.27	0.01	1.18	0.06
Austin Riley	0.14	0.88	1.48	0.51	0.23	0.05	1.29	0.01
Kyle Schwarber	0.17	0.76	1.43	0.44	0.59	0.04	1.63	0.03
Bryce Harper	0.12	0.87	1.43	0.45	0.58	0.01	1.17	0.06
Michael Harris	0.10	0.93	1.41	0.43	0.11	0.02	0.95	0.08
Justin Crawford	0.08	0.94	1.38	0.39	0.20	0.02	0.81	–
Matt Olson	0.10	0.85	1.36	0.44	0.25	0.03	1.33	0.00
J. T. Realmuto	0.08	0.85	1.30	0.40	0.25	0.06	0.79	0.05
Sean Murphy	0.10	0.77	1.24	0.37	0.28	0.03	1.14	0.00
Ha-Seong Kim	0.06	0.82	1.16	0.31	0.26	0.01	0.85	0.12

	Workload	Results
Cristopher Sánchez	100%	5.7	24.0	6.2	1.30	5.9	0.14	2.43
Tyler Mahle	100%	5.4	22.4	5.3	1.80	5.1	0.13	2.35
Jhoan Durán	31%	0.9	3.9	1.2	0.21	0.9	0.06	0.38
Didier Fuentes	47%	1.0	4.1	1.2	0.26	1.0	0.05	0.51
Dylan Lee	22%	1.0	3.8	1.2	0.24	0.8	0.01	0.35
Jonathan Bowlan	64%	0.9	3.7	1.0	0.28	0.8	0.04	0.45
Raisel Iglesias	37%	1.0	4.1	1.0	0.27	0.9	0.03	0.46
José Alvarado	70%	0.9	3.8	1.0	0.36	0.9	0.05	0.49
Jesús Luzardo	4%	0.9	4.0	1.0	0.27	0.9	0.00	0.34
Ray Kerr	60%	0.9	3.8	1.0	0.21	0.8	0.06	0.44
Chase Shugart	64%	0.9	3.8	0.9	0.36	0.8	0.04	0.52
Tanner Banks	20%	0.9	3.9	0.9	0.28	1.0	0.02	0.58
Dylan Dodd	78%	0.9	3.6	0.9	0.23	0.8	0.03	0.37
Alex Mcfarlane	36%	0.9	3.9	0.9	0.30	0.9	0.05	0.49
Robert Suarez	16%	1.0	3.8	0.9	0.20	0.8	0.02	0.39
Victor Mederos	78%	0.9	4.0	0.9	0.47	0.9	0.05	0.55
Grant Holmes	10%	1.0	4.5	0.8	0.44	1.2	0.04	0.69
Brent Suter	72%	0.9	4.0	0.8	0.26	1.0	0.03	0.55
Tim Mayza	47%	0.9	3.7	0.8	0.27	0.8	0.04	0.40
Garrett Stubbs	10%	0.9	3.9	0.4	0.40	0.9	0.01	0.51

	1B	2B	HR	BB	K
Park	+2%	-1%	-8%	-3%	+6%
Weather	+1%	+2%	+4%	-1%	-1%
Umpire				-2%	+1%
Home field (ATL batting)	0%	+3%	+4%	+4%	-4%

	PHI	ATL	League
Hitters
Lineup	Confirmed	Confirmed
K%	21.5%	21.5%	22.5%
BB%	8.4%	8.1%	8.1%
HR%	2.8%	3.3%	3.1%
Starting pitcher
Starter	C. Sánchez	T. Mahle
K%	26.8%	22.6%	22.5%
BB%	5.4%	7.8%	8.1%
HR%	2.4%	3.1%	3.1%
Innings	6.4	5.7
Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters
K%	-2%	+1%
BB%	+2%	-1%

	Hitting	Discipline	Running
Yordan Álvarez	0.21	0.89	1.73	0.53	0.83	0.07	0.83	0.02
Sam Antonacci	0.10	1.12	1.66	0.46	0.53	0.13	0.88	–
Miguel Vargas	0.17	0.87	1.58	0.61	0.71	0.05	1.00	0.04
Isaac Paredes	0.15	0.88	1.52	0.56	0.60	0.12	0.62	0.01
Yainer Diaz	0.12	0.98	1.52	0.58	0.18	0.04	0.71	0.01
Jeremy Peña	0.10	0.95	1.49	0.39	0.28	0.09	1.18	0.08
Christian Walker	0.14	0.79	1.44	0.47	0.31	0.06	0.99	0.02
Tristan Peters	0.11	0.83	1.39	0.53	0.45	0.07	1.02	–
José Altuve	0.12	0.83	1.37	0.56	0.38	0.03	0.92	0.07
Andrew Benintendi	0.11	0.79	1.28	0.53	0.50	0.01	1.22	0.03
Braden Montgomery	0.08	0.83	1.27	0.41	0.50	0.03	0.91	–
Cam Smith	0.11	0.74	1.24	0.40	0.32	0.05	0.96	0.04
Lucas Spence	0.11	0.67	1.18	0.42	0.37	0.05	1.18	–
Munetaka Murakami	0.13	0.60	1.15	0.47	0.82	0.04	1.78	–
Taylor Trammell	0.10	0.58	1.05	0.32	0.44	0.04	1.10	0.05
Chase Meidroth	0.07	0.71	1.04	0.36	0.51	0.04	1.06	0.07
Kyle Teel	0.08	0.65	1.02	0.37	0.78	0.07	1.83	0.03
Colson Montgomery	0.11	0.52	0.97	0.37	0.44	0.04	1.55	0.01

	Workload	Results
Hunter Brown	100%	5.2	22.8	6.8	3.25	4.09	0.23	2.25
Sean Burke	100%	5.2	22.4	5.4	2.29	4.48	0.33	2.52
Josh Hader	37%	1.0	3.8	1.4	0.37	0.52	0.03	0.27
Bryan Abreu	77%	0.9	3.9	1.3	0.65	0.59	0.07	0.48
Grant Taylor	29%	1.0	4.0	1.2	0.37	0.83	0.04	0.45
Tatsuya Imai	80%	0.9	4.1	1.2	0.63	0.78	0.06	0.57
Bennett Sousa	77%	0.9	4.0	1.2	0.50	0.82	0.05	0.54
Hagen Smith	61%	0.9	4.0	1.1	0.45	0.80	0.05	0.53
Miguel Ullola	20%	1.0	4.1	1.1	0.39	0.77	0.09	0.51
Jordan Hicks	25%	0.9	4.0	1.1	0.54	0.73	0.05	0.42
Aj Blubaugh	58%	0.9	4.1	1.1	0.53	0.76	0.06	0.58
Josh Hendrickson	12%	1.0	4.1	1.0	0.38	0.84	0.07	0.52
Bryan King	49%	0.9	3.8	1.0	0.29	0.73	0.10	0.41
Logan Vanwey	17%	1.0	4.4	1.0	0.40	1.05	0.10	0.68
Sean Newcomb	27%	0.9	4.1	0.8	0.45	0.95	0.09	0.60
Bryan Hudson	83%	0.9	3.7	0.8	0.31	0.81	0.07	0.55
Davis Martin	11%	0.9	3.7	0.8	0.19	0.73	0.08	0.30
Noah Schultz	30%	0.9	3.9	0.8	0.42	0.75	0.05	0.50
David Sandlin	4%	0.9	4.3	0.8	0.50	1.00	0.05	0.62
Huascar Brazobán	76%	0.9	3.8	0.8	0.45	0.72	0.06	0.45
Luisangel Acuña	12%	0.9	4.1	0.7	0.40	1.03	0.05	0.68
Erick Fedde	30%	0.9	3.8	0.6	0.39	0.75	0.04	0.42

	1B	2B	HR	BB	K
Park	-2%	0%	-6%	+2%	+2%
Weather	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Umpire				0%	0%
Home field (HOU batting)	0%	+3%	+4%	+4%	-4%

	CWS	HOU	League
Hitters
Lineup	Confirmed	Projected
K%	24.5%	22.1%	22.5%
BB%	10.2%	7.8%	8.1%
HR%	2.9%	3.3%	3.1%
Starting pitcher
Starter	S. Burke	H. Brown
K%	25.5%	27.7%	22.5%
BB%	9.2%	10.8%	8.1%
HR%	3.3%	2.5%	3.1%
Innings	5.5	5.6
Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters
K%	-3%	-1%
BB%	+3%	+1%

	Hitting	Discipline	Running
Luis García	0.18	1.01	1.74	0.55	0.20	0.00	0.81	0.09
Cody Bellinger	0.15	0.97	1.63	0.43	0.48	0.00	0.72	0.08
George Lombard	0.16	0.93	1.61	0.51	0.26	0.01	1.02	–
Ben Rice	0.18	0.84	1.57	0.45	0.55	0.04	1.08	0.03
Adley Rutschman	0.14	0.94	1.55	0.44	0.43	0.02	0.77	0.01
Willson Contreras	0.17	0.80	1.48	0.48	0.49	0.10	1.20	0.03
Wilyer Abreu	0.15	0.83	1.45	0.50	0.32	0.02	1.05	0.05
Trent Grisham	0.14	0.79	1.44	0.46	0.48	0.00	0.70	0.03
Jahmai Jones	0.13	0.77	1.36	0.34	0.41	0.06	1.43	0.03
Spencer Jones	0.14	0.77	1.36	0.47	0.33	0.03	1.41	–
Ceddanne Rafaela	0.09	0.83	1.27	0.38	0.15	0.03	0.94	0.09
Caleb Durbin	0.08	0.84	1.25	0.33	0.35	0.07	0.57	0.11
Nick Sogard	0.11	0.73	1.18	0.40	0.42	0.03	0.84	0.06
Jazz Chisholm	0.11	0.69	1.16	0.34	0.40	0.02	1.14	0.18
Austin Wells	0.11	0.64	1.13	0.40	0.37	0.03	0.94	0.02
Ryan Mcmahon	0.10	0.65	1.12	0.36	0.30	0.02	1.07	0.02
Trevor Story	0.09	0.71	1.12	0.34	0.18	0.01	1.22	0.09
Nate Eaton	0.08	0.66	1.04	0.34	0.32	0.04	0.90	0.09

	Workload	Results
Max Fried	100%	5.7	23.2	5.8	1.89	4.45	0.20	2.03
Sonny Gray	100%	5.6	23.4	5.4	2.08	4.89	0.10	2.55
Aroldis Chapman	27%	0.9	3.9	1.4	0.47	0.63	0.02	0.36
Erik Miller	76%	0.9	4.0	1.4	0.61	0.69	0.03	0.44
David Bednar	38%	1.0	4.1	1.2	0.31	0.78	0.06	0.33
Andruw Monasterio	12%	1.0	4.4	1.1	0.46	1.11	0.01	0.68
Wyatt Olds	43%	0.9	3.9	1.1	0.38	0.78	0.03	0.50
Will Warren	40%	1.0	4.2	1.1	0.35	0.96	0.02	0.50
Greg Weissert	42%	0.9	3.9	1.0	0.37	0.81	0.01	0.49
Brent Headrick	93%	0.8	3.1	1.0	0.26	0.61	0.03	0.44
Garrett Whitlock	84%	0.8	3.4	1.0	0.25	0.70	0.01	0.43
Jake Bennett	13%	0.9	3.8	0.9	0.19	0.83	0.02	0.42
Paul Blackburn	72%	1.0	4.1	0.9	0.41	0.84	0.04	0.48
Alec Gamboa	37%	0.9	4.0	0.8	0.42	0.80	0.02	0.43
John Schreiber	44%	1.0	4.1	0.8	0.41	0.71	0.08	0.46
Ryan Yarbrough	79%	0.9	4.1	0.7	0.33	0.85	0.09	0.52
Brayan Bello	16%	0.9	4.0	0.7	0.42	0.95	0.03	0.62

	1B	2B	HR	BB	K
Park	-5%	-9%	+8%	+2%	-1%
Weather	0%	+4%	0%	-1%	0%
Umpire				+2%	-1%
Home field (NYY batting)	0%	+3%	+4%	+4%	-4%

	BOS	NYY	League
Hitters
Lineup	Confirmed	Confirmed
K%	23.0%	24.4%	22.5%
BB%	8.3%	9.3%	8.1%
HR%	2.8%	3.4%	3.1%
Starting pitcher
Starter	S. Gray	M. Fried
K%	22.9%	24.3%	22.5%
BB%	6.6%	7.4%	8.1%
HR%	3.0%	2.9%	3.1%
Innings	5.9	6.0
Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters
K%	+1%	+2%
BB%	-1%	-3%

	Hitting	Discipline	Running
Jackson Merrill	0.20	1.02	1.87	0.63	0.27	0.01	0.99	0.05
Fernando Tatís	0.18	1.06	1.80	0.54	0.38	0.02	0.94	0.13
Dustin Harris	0.12	1.01	1.62	0.46	0.34	0.03	0.79	0.09
Manny Machado	0.15	0.94	1.59	0.49	0.44	0.01	0.93	0.05
Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.19	0.76	1.56	0.45	0.49	0.05	1.48	0.22
Ty France	0.13	0.89	1.45	0.48	0.28	0.10	0.98	0.01
Michael Busch	0.15	0.80	1.45	0.46	0.56	0.04	1.27	0.02
Seiya Suzuki	0.17	0.76	1.44	0.46	0.48	0.02	1.37	0.05
Gavin Sheets	0.13	0.82	1.41	0.44	0.43	0.02	0.80	0.02
Alex Bregman	0.13	0.83	1.39	0.44	0.45	0.06	0.84	0.01
Nico Hoerner	0.07	0.97	1.36	0.39	0.27	0.04	0.44	0.12
Michael Conforto	0.14	0.68	1.27	0.44	0.43	0.04	1.27	0.01
Xander Bogaerts	0.09	0.83	1.23	0.39	0.41	0.01	0.70	0.09
Ethan Salas	0.10	0.71	1.17	0.42	0.20	0.01	0.79	–
Carson Kelly	0.10	0.72	1.15	0.38	0.39	0.03	0.77	0.01
Jake Cronenworth	0.10	0.68	1.12	0.38	0.37	0.02	0.82	0.02
Ian Happ	0.12	0.60	1.12	0.40	0.53	0.02	1.46	0.04
Dansby Swanson	0.11	0.63	1.11	0.41	0.35	0.01	1.03	0.06

	Workload	Results
Nick Pivetta	100%	5.0	20.3	5.6	1.93	3.5	0.10	1.83
Kevin Gausman	100%	5.4	23.0	5.1	1.75	5.3	0.09	2.64
Mason Miller	37%	1.0	4.0	1.7	0.46	0.6	0.04	0.28
Yuki Matsui	60%	1.0	4.3	1.1	0.65	0.8	0.04	0.55
David Morgan	86%	1.0	4.5	1.1	0.72	0.9	0.08	0.67
Ryan Zeferjahn	73%	0.9	3.8	1.0	0.55	0.7	0.08	0.54
Bradgley Rodriguez	89%	1.0	4.1	1.0	0.42	0.8	0.05	0.47
Joe Musgrove	23%	1.0	4.2	1.0	0.38	0.9	0.07	0.51
David Peterson	8%	0.9	3.8	0.9	0.26	0.7	0.06	0.31
Daniel Palencia	69%	0.9	3.7	0.9	0.35	0.7	0.03	0.41
Adrián Morejón	98%	0.8	3.3	0.9	0.30	0.7	0.03	0.44
Jacob Webb	28%	0.9	4.0	0.9	0.44	0.8	0.03	0.41
Jason Adam	46%	1.0	4.1	0.8	0.42	0.8	0.04	0.42
Aaron Civale	44%	0.9	4.0	0.7	0.37	0.9	0.05	0.53
Ryan Rolison	50%	0.9	3.8	0.7	0.42	0.8	0.02	0.48
Carson Kelly	13%	0.9	3.9	0.6	0.36	0.8	0.03	0.49
Colin Rea	65%	0.9	4.1	0.6	0.39	1.0	0.04	0.63
Javier Assad	12%	0.9	3.8	0.5	0.37	0.8	0.06	0.47

	1B	2B	HR	BB	K
Park	-4%	-9%	+6%	+6%	-1%
Umpire				0%	0%
Home field (SD batting)	0%	+3%	+4%	+4%	-4%

	CHC	SD	League
Hitters
Lineup	Projected	Projected
K%	21.0%	20.9%	22.5%
BB%	10.2%	8.4%	8.1%
HR%	3.0%	3.0%	3.1%
Starting pitcher
Starter	K. Gausman	N. Pivetta
K%	24.1%	29.0%	22.5%
BB%	6.4%	6.3%	8.1%
HR%	3.2%	3.5%	3.1%
Innings	5.8	5.1
Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters
K%	+1%	0%
BB%	-1%	0%

HR watch

Yordan Álvarez0.21 HR
Jackson Merrill0.20 HR
Pete Crow-Armstrong0.19 HR
Fernando Tatís0.18 HR
Luis García0.18 HR

Batters

Rank by


PHI @ ATL	0.15	1.10	1.72	0.46	0.42	0.18	0.03	1.16
CHC @ SD	0.19	0.76	1.56	0.45	0.49	0.22	0.05	1.48
CWS @ HOU	0.21	0.89	1.73	0.53	0.83	0.02	0.07	0.83
PHI @ ATL	0.17	0.76	1.43	0.44	0.59	0.03	0.04	1.63
CHC @ SD	0.18	1.06	1.80	0.54	0.38	0.13	0.02	0.94
CHC @ SD	0.20	1.02	1.87	0.63	0.27	0.05	0.01	0.99
CWS @ HOU	0.17	0.87	1.58	0.61	0.71	0.04	0.05	1.00
CWS @ HOU	0.13	0.60	1.15	0.47	0.82	–	0.04	1.78
CWS @ HOU	0.10	1.12	1.66	0.46	0.53	–	0.13	0.88
CWS @ HOU	0.08	0.65	1.02	0.37	0.78	0.03	0.07	1.83
PHI @ ATL	0.12	1.09	1.69	0.43	0.27	0.13	0.02	1.03
BOS @ NYY	0.17	0.80	1.48	0.48	0.49	0.03	0.10	1.20
CHC @ SD	0.17	0.76	1.44	0.46	0.48	0.05	0.02	1.37
CHC @ SD	0.15	0.80	1.45	0.46	0.56	0.02	0.04	1.27
BOS @ NYY	0.18	0.84	1.57	0.45	0.55	0.03	0.04	1.08
PHI @ ATL	0.12	0.87	1.43	0.45	0.58	0.06	0.01	1.17
CHC @ SD	0.15	0.94	1.59	0.49	0.44	0.05	0.01	0.93
PHI @ ATL	0.14	0.88	1.48	0.51	0.23	0.01	0.05	1.29
BOS @ NYY	0.18	1.01	1.74	0.55	0.20	0.09	0.00	0.81
CWS @ HOU	0.10	0.95	1.49	0.39	0.28	0.08	0.09	1.18
PHI @ ATL	0.13	0.90	1.50	0.49	0.27	0.06	0.01	1.18
BOS @ NYY	0.13	0.77	1.36	0.34	0.41	0.03	0.06	1.43
PHI @ ATL	0.11	1.02	1.50	0.41	0.25	0.01	0.07	1.16
BOS @ NYY	0.14	0.77	1.36	0.47	0.33	–	0.03	1.41
BOS @ NYY	0.16	0.93	1.61	0.51	0.26	–	0.01	1.02
PHI @ ATL	0.12	0.97	1.56	0.51	0.38	0.14	0.02	0.78
CWS @ HOU	0.11	0.79	1.28	0.53	0.50	0.03	0.01	1.22
BOS @ NYY	0.15	0.97	1.63	0.43	0.48	0.08	0.00	0.72
CHC @ SD	0.12	1.01	1.62	0.46	0.34	0.09	0.03	0.79
CWS @ HOU	0.15	0.88	1.52	0.56	0.60	0.01	0.12	0.62
CWS @ HOU	0.11	0.83	1.39	0.53	0.45	–	0.07	1.02
BOS @ NYY	0.15	0.83	1.45	0.50	0.32	0.05	0.02	1.05
PHI @ ATL	0.10	1.08	1.59	0.50	0.25	0.07	0.03	0.74
PHI @ ATL	0.10	0.85	1.36	0.44	0.25	0.00	0.03	1.33
PHI @ ATL	0.11	1.09	1.64	0.50	0.25	0.02	0.04	0.69
CHC @ SD	0.13	0.89	1.45	0.48	0.28	0.01	0.10	0.98
CHC @ SD	0.12	0.60	1.12	0.40	0.53	0.04	0.02	1.46
BOS @ NYY	0.14	0.94	1.55	0.44	0.43	0.01	0.02	0.77
PHI @ ATL	0.12	0.98	1.54	0.51	0.11	0.04	0.05	0.93
CWS @ HOU	0.12	0.83	1.37	0.56	0.38	0.07	0.03	0.92
CHC @ SD	0.14	0.68	1.27	0.44	0.43	0.01	0.04	1.27
CWS @ HOU	0.14	0.79	1.44	0.47	0.31	0.02	0.06	0.99
CHC @ SD	0.13	0.83	1.39	0.44	0.45	0.01	0.06	0.84
CWS @ HOU	0.12	0.98	1.52	0.58	0.18	0.01	0.04	0.71
CHC @ SD	0.13	0.82	1.41	0.44	0.43	0.02	0.02	0.80
BOS @ NYY	0.14	0.79	1.44	0.46	0.48	0.03	0.00	0.70
BOS @ NYY	0.11	0.69	1.16	0.34	0.40	0.18	0.02	1.14
CWS @ HOU	0.08	0.83	1.27	0.41	0.50	–	0.03	0.91
PHI @ ATL	0.10	0.93	1.41	0.43	0.11	0.08	0.02	0.95
CWS @ HOU	0.11	0.52	0.97	0.37	0.44	0.01	0.04	1.55
PHI @ ATL	0.07	1.10	1.56	0.41	0.21	0.03	0.02	0.60
CWS @ HOU	0.11	0.67	1.18	0.42	0.37	–	0.05	1.18
PHI @ ATL	0.10	0.77	1.24	0.37	0.28	0.00	0.03	1.14
CWS @ HOU	0.07	0.71	1.04	0.36	0.51	0.07	0.04	1.06
CWS @ HOU	0.11	0.74	1.24	0.40	0.32	0.04	0.05	0.96
PHI @ ATL	0.08	0.94	1.38	0.39	0.20	–	0.02	0.81
BOS @ NYY	0.09	0.83	1.27	0.38	0.15	0.09	0.03	0.94
PHI @ ATL	0.08	0.85	1.30	0.40	0.25	0.05	0.06	0.79
BOS @ NYY	0.11	0.73	1.18	0.40	0.42	0.06	0.03	0.84
BOS @ NYY	0.09	0.71	1.12	0.34	0.18	0.09	0.01	1.22
CHC @ SD	0.09	0.83	1.23	0.39	0.41	0.09	0.01	0.70
CHC @ SD	0.11	0.63	1.11	0.41	0.35	0.06	0.01	1.03
CWS @ HOU	0.10	0.58	1.05	0.32	0.44	0.05	0.04	1.10
CHC @ SD	0.07	0.97	1.36	0.39	0.27	0.12	0.04	0.44
BOS @ NYY	0.11	0.64	1.13	0.40	0.37	0.02	0.03	0.94
BOS @ NYY	0.10	0.65	1.12	0.36	0.30	0.02	0.02	1.07
BOS @ NYY	0.08	0.84	1.25	0.33	0.35	0.11	0.07	0.57
PHI @ ATL	0.06	0.82	1.16	0.31	0.26	0.12	0.01	0.85
CHC @ SD	0.10	0.72	1.15	0.38	0.39	0.01	0.03	0.77
CHC @ SD	0.10	0.68	1.12	0.38	0.37	0.02	0.02	0.82
BOS @ NYY	0.08	0.66	1.04	0.34	0.32	0.09	0.04	0.90
CHC @ SD	0.10	0.71	1.17	0.42	0.20	–	0.01	0.79

Pitchers

Rank by


PHI @ ATL	100.0%	5.7	6.2	1.30	5.9	0.14	2.43	24.0
CWS @ HOU	100.0%	5.2	6.8	3.25	4.1	0.23	2.25	22.8
BOS @ NYY	100.0%	5.6	5.4	2.08	4.9	0.10	2.55	23.4
CHC @ SD	100.0%	5.4	5.1	1.75	5.3	0.09	2.64	23.0
BOS @ NYY	100.0%	5.7	5.8	1.89	4.5	0.20	2.03	23.2
CWS @ HOU	100.0%	5.2	5.4	2.29	4.5	0.33	2.52	22.4
PHI @ ATL	100.0%	5.4	5.3	1.80	5.1	0.13	2.35	22.4
CHC @ SD	100.0%	5.0	5.6	1.93	3.5	0.10	1.83	20.3
CHC @ SD	98.5%	0.8	0.9	0.30	0.7	0.03	0.44	3.3
BOS @ NYY	93.1%	0.8	1.0	0.26	0.6	0.03	0.44	3.1
CHC @ SD	89.1%	1.0	1.0	0.42	0.8	0.05	0.47	4.1
CHC @ SD	86.5%	1.0	1.1	0.72	0.9	0.08	0.67	4.5
BOS @ NYY	84.4%	0.8	1.0	0.25	0.7	0.01	0.43	3.4
CWS @ HOU	82.6%	0.9	0.8	0.31	0.8	0.07	0.55	3.7
CWS @ HOU	79.7%	0.9	1.2	0.63	0.8	0.06	0.57	4.1
BOS @ NYY	79.1%	0.9	0.7	0.33	0.8	0.09	0.52	4.1
PHI @ ATL	78.5%	0.9	0.9	0.23	0.8	0.03	0.37	3.6
PHI @ ATL	77.6%	0.9	0.9	0.47	0.9	0.05	0.55	4.0
CWS @ HOU	77.1%	0.9	1.3	0.65	0.6	0.07	0.48	3.9
CWS @ HOU	76.9%	0.9	1.2	0.50	0.8	0.05	0.54	4.0
CWS @ HOU	76.5%	0.9	0.8	0.45	0.7	0.06	0.45	3.8
BOS @ NYY	75.5%	0.9	1.4	0.61	0.7	0.03	0.44	4.0
CHC @ SD	72.6%	0.9	1.0	0.55	0.7	0.08	0.54	3.8
PHI @ ATL	72.1%	0.9	0.8	0.26	1.0	0.03	0.55	4.0
BOS @ NYY	71.7%	1.0	0.9	0.41	0.8	0.04	0.48	4.1
PHI @ ATL	69.6%	0.9	1.0	0.36	0.9	0.05	0.49	3.8
CHC @ SD	69.1%	0.9	0.9	0.35	0.7	0.03	0.41	3.7
CHC @ SD	65.2%	0.9	0.6	0.39	1.0	0.04	0.63	4.1
PHI @ ATL	64.2%	0.9	1.0	0.28	0.8	0.04	0.45	3.7
PHI @ ATL	63.9%	0.9	0.9	0.36	0.8	0.04	0.52	3.8
CWS @ HOU	60.9%	0.9	1.1	0.45	0.8	0.05	0.53	4.0
PHI @ ATL	60.4%	0.9	1.0	0.21	0.8	0.06	0.44	3.8
CHC @ SD	60.0%	1.0	1.1	0.65	0.8	0.04	0.55	4.3
CWS @ HOU	58.3%	0.9	1.1	0.53	0.8	0.06	0.58	4.1
CHC @ SD	49.7%	0.9	0.7	0.42	0.8	0.02	0.48	3.8
CWS @ HOU	48.9%	0.9	1.0	0.29	0.7	0.10	0.41	3.8
PHI @ ATL	47.2%	0.9	0.8	0.27	0.8	0.04	0.40	3.7
PHI @ ATL	47.0%	1.0	1.2	0.26	1.0	0.05	0.51	4.1
CHC @ SD	45.5%	1.0	0.8	0.42	0.8	0.04	0.42	4.1
BOS @ NYY	44.2%	1.0	0.8	0.41	0.7	0.08	0.46	4.1
CHC @ SD	43.6%	0.9	0.7	0.37	0.9	0.05	0.53	4.0
BOS @ NYY	42.8%	0.9	1.1	0.38	0.8	0.03	0.50	3.9
BOS @ NYY	41.5%	0.9	1.0	0.37	0.8	0.01	0.49	3.9
BOS @ NYY	40.1%	1.0	1.1	0.35	1.0	0.02	0.50	4.2
BOS @ NYY	38.0%	1.0	1.2	0.31	0.8	0.06	0.33	4.1
CWS @ HOU	37.4%	1.0	1.4	0.37	0.5	0.03	0.27	3.8
CHC @ SD	36.9%	1.0	1.7	0.46	0.6	0.04	0.28	4.0
PHI @ ATL	36.6%	1.0	1.0	0.27	0.9	0.03	0.46	4.1
BOS @ NYY	36.6%	0.9	0.8	0.42	0.8	0.02	0.43	4.0
PHI @ ATL	35.5%	0.9	0.9	0.30	0.9	0.05	0.49	3.9
PHI @ ATL	31.0%	0.9	1.2	0.21	0.9	0.06	0.38	3.9
CWS @ HOU	30.5%	0.9	0.6	0.39	0.7	0.04	0.42	3.8
CWS @ HOU	29.5%	0.9	0.8	0.42	0.8	0.05	0.50	3.9
CWS @ HOU	28.8%	1.0	1.2	0.37	0.8	0.04	0.45	4.0
CHC @ SD	28.3%	0.9	0.9	0.44	0.8	0.03	0.41	4.0
BOS @ NYY	27.1%	0.9	1.4	0.47	0.6	0.02	0.36	3.9
CWS @ HOU	27.0%	0.9	0.8	0.45	0.9	0.09	0.60	4.1
CWS @ HOU	24.7%	0.9	1.1	0.54	0.7	0.05	0.42	4.0
CHC @ SD	22.7%	1.0	1.0	0.38	0.9	0.07	0.51	4.2
PHI @ ATL	21.6%	1.0	1.2	0.24	0.8	0.01	0.35	3.8
PHI @ ATL	20.4%	0.9	0.9	0.28	1.0	0.02	0.58	3.9
CWS @ HOU	19.8%	1.0	1.1	0.39	0.8	0.09	0.51	4.1
CWS @ HOU	17.2%	1.0	1.0	0.40	1.1	0.10	0.68	4.4
PHI @ ATL	16.5%	1.0	0.9	0.20	0.8	0.02	0.39	3.8
BOS @ NYY	16.3%	0.9	0.7	0.42	1.0	0.03	0.62	4.0
CHC @ SD	13.2%	0.9	0.6	0.36	0.8	0.03	0.49	3.9
BOS @ NYY	13.2%	0.9	0.9	0.19	0.8	0.02	0.42	3.8
CHC @ SD	12.3%	0.9	0.5	0.37	0.8	0.06	0.47	3.8
CWS @ HOU	12.2%	1.0	1.0	0.38	0.8	0.07	0.52	4.1
CWS @ HOU	12.1%	0.9	0.7	0.40	1.0	0.05	0.68	4.1
BOS @ NYY	11.7%	1.0	1.1	0.46	1.1	0.01	0.68	4.4
CWS @ HOU	11.3%	0.9	0.8	0.19	0.7	0.08	0.30	3.7
PHI @ ATL	10.0%	0.9	0.4	0.40	0.9	0.01	0.51	3.9
PHI @ ATL	9.8%	1.0	0.8	0.44	1.2	0.04	0.69	4.5
CHC @ SD	7.8%	0.9	0.9	0.26	0.7	0.06	0.31	3.8
CWS @ HOU	4.2%	0.9	0.8	0.50	1.0	0.05	0.62	4.3
PHI @ ATL	4.1%	0.9	1.0	0.27	0.9	0.00	0.34	4.0

Batters

Not yet included: Runs Scored

Estimated, not directly simulated: SB


1	Yordan Álvarez	CWS @ HOU	7.9	1.73	0.53	0.83	0.02	0.07
2	Miguel Vargas	CWS @ HOU	7.4	1.58	0.61	0.71	0.04	0.05
3	Fernando Tatís	CHC @ SD	7.3	1.80	0.54	0.38	0.13	0.02
4	Ronald Acuña	PHI @ ATL	7.3	1.72	0.46	0.42	0.18	0.03
5	Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC @ SD	7.2	1.56	0.45	0.49	0.22	0.05
6	Jackson Merrill	CHC @ SD	7.0	1.87	0.63	0.27	0.05	0.01
7	Isaac Paredes	CWS @ HOU	6.9	1.52	0.56	0.60	0.01	0.12
8	Sam Antonacci	CWS @ HOU	6.9	1.66	0.46	0.53	–	0.13
9	Bryson Stott	PHI @ ATL	6.7	1.56	0.51	0.38	0.14	0.02
10	Cody Bellinger	BOS @ NYY	6.7	1.63	0.43	0.48	0.08	0.00
11	Ben Rice	BOS @ NYY	6.6	1.57	0.45	0.55	0.03	0.04
12	Trea Turner	PHI @ ATL	6.5	1.69	0.43	0.27	0.13	0.02
13	Manny Machado	CHC @ SD	6.5	1.59	0.49	0.44	0.05	0.01
14	Luis García	BOS @ NYY	6.5	1.74	0.55	0.20	0.09	0.00
15	Dustin Harris	CHC @ SD	6.5	1.62	0.46	0.34	0.09	0.03
16	Willson Contreras	BOS @ NYY	6.4	1.48	0.48	0.49	0.03	0.10
17	Bryce Harper	PHI @ ATL	6.4	1.43	0.45	0.58	0.06	0.01
18	Kyle Schwarber	PHI @ ATL	6.3	1.43	0.44	0.59	0.03	0.04
19	Michael Busch	CHC @ SD	6.3	1.45	0.46	0.56	0.02	0.04
20	Seiya Suzuki	CHC @ SD	6.1	1.44	0.46	0.48	0.05	0.02
21	Munetaka Murakami	CWS @ HOU	6.1	1.15	0.47	0.82	–	0.04
22	Ozzie Albies	PHI @ ATL	6.1	1.59	0.50	0.25	0.07	0.03
23	Alec Bohm	PHI @ ATL	6.1	1.64	0.50	0.25	0.02	0.04
24	Adley Rutschman	BOS @ NYY	6.0	1.55	0.44	0.43	0.01	0.02
25	Trent Grisham	BOS @ NYY	6.0	1.44	0.46	0.48	0.03	0.00
26	José Altuve	CWS @ HOU	6.0	1.37	0.56	0.38	0.07	0.03
27	Tristan Peters	CWS @ HOU	5.9	1.39	0.53	0.45	–	0.07
28	Jeremy Peña	CWS @ HOU	5.9	1.49	0.39	0.28	0.08	0.09
29	Alex Bregman	CHC @ SD	5.8	1.39	0.44	0.45	0.01	0.06
30	George Lombard	BOS @ NYY	5.8	1.61	0.51	0.26	–	0.01
31	Brandon Marsh	PHI @ ATL	5.8	1.50	0.49	0.27	0.06	0.01
32	Wilyer Abreu	BOS @ NYY	5.8	1.45	0.50	0.32	0.05	0.02
33	Andrew Benintendi	CWS @ HOU	5.8	1.28	0.53	0.50	0.03	0.01
34	Gavin Sheets	CHC @ SD	5.7	1.41	0.44	0.43	0.02	0.02
35	Kyle Teel	CWS @ HOU	5.7	1.02	0.37	0.78	0.03	0.07
36	Christian Walker	CWS @ HOU	5.7	1.44	0.47	0.31	0.02	0.06
37	Ty France	CHC @ SD	5.7	1.45	0.48	0.28	0.01	0.10
38	Yainer Diaz	CWS @ HOU	5.6	1.52	0.58	0.18	0.01	0.04
39	Nico Hoerner	CHC @ SD	5.6	1.36	0.39	0.27	0.12	0.04
40	Austin Riley	PHI @ ATL	5.6	1.48	0.51	0.23	0.01	0.05
41	Mauricio Dubón	PHI @ ATL	5.5	1.56	0.41	0.21	0.03	0.02
42	Edmundo Sosa	PHI @ ATL	5.5	1.54	0.51	0.11	0.04	0.05
43	Drake Baldwin	PHI @ ATL	5.5	1.50	0.41	0.25	0.01	0.07
44	Jahmai Jones	BOS @ NYY	5.5	1.36	0.34	0.41	0.03	0.06
45	Jazz Chisholm	BOS @ NYY	5.5	1.16	0.34	0.40	0.18	0.02
46	Caleb Durbin	BOS @ NYY	5.5	1.25	0.33	0.35	0.11	0.07
47	Braden Montgomery	CWS @ HOU	5.5	1.27	0.41	0.50	–	0.03
48	Xander Bogaerts	CHC @ SD	5.4	1.23	0.39	0.41	0.09	0.01
49	Michael Conforto	CHC @ SD	5.4	1.27	0.44	0.43	0.01	0.04
50	Spencer Jones	BOS @ NYY	5.4	1.36	0.47	0.33	–	0.03
51	Ian Happ	CHC @ SD	5.3	1.12	0.40	0.53	0.04	0.02
52	Nick Sogard	BOS @ NYY	5.3	1.18	0.40	0.42	0.06	0.03
53	J. T. Realmuto	PHI @ ATL	5.2	1.30	0.40	0.25	0.05	0.06
54	Michael Harris	PHI @ ATL	5.1	1.41	0.43	0.11	0.08	0.02
55	Chase Meidroth	CWS @ HOU	5.1	1.04	0.36	0.51	0.07	0.04
56	Matt Olson	PHI @ ATL	5.1	1.36	0.44	0.25	0.00	0.03
57	Cam Smith	CWS @ HOU	5.1	1.24	0.40	0.32	0.04	0.05
58	Lucas Spence	CWS @ HOU	5.0	1.18	0.42	0.37	–	0.05
59	Ceddanne Rafaela	BOS @ NYY	4.9	1.27	0.38	0.15	0.09	0.03
60	Justin Crawford	PHI @ ATL	4.9	1.38	0.39	0.20	–	0.02
61	Dansby Swanson	CHC @ SD	4.9	1.11	0.41	0.35	0.06	0.01
62	Carson Kelly	CHC @ SD	4.8	1.15	0.38	0.39	0.01	0.03
63	Ha-Seong Kim	PHI @ ATL	4.8	1.16	0.31	0.26	0.12	0.01
64	Austin Wells	BOS @ NYY	4.8	1.13	0.40	0.37	0.02	0.03
65	Taylor Trammell	CWS @ HOU	4.8	1.05	0.32	0.44	0.05	0.04
66	Sean Murphy	PHI @ ATL	4.7	1.24	0.37	0.28	0.00	0.03
67	Jake Cronenworth	CHC @ SD	4.7	1.12	0.38	0.37	0.02	0.02
68	Nate Eaton	BOS @ NYY	4.7	1.04	0.34	0.32	0.09	0.04
69	Ryan Mcmahon	BOS @ NYY	4.5	1.12	0.36	0.30	0.02	0.02
70	Colson Montgomery	CWS @ HOU	4.5	0.97	0.37	0.44	0.01	0.04
71	Trevor Story	BOS @ NYY	4.4	1.12	0.34	0.18	0.09	0.01
72	Ethan Salas	CHC @ SD	4.4	1.17	0.42	0.20	–	0.01

Pitchers

Not yet included: Wins, Losses, Saves

Points are expected points: the line if he pitches, times his chance to pitch.


1	Max Fried	BOS @ NYY	19.7	5.67	5.75	1.89	4.45	0.20	2.03
2	Hunter Brown	CWS @ HOU	19.5	5.24	6.77	3.25	4.09	0.23	2.25
3	Cristopher Sánchez	PHI @ ATL	19.1	5.73	6.23	1.30	5.89	0.14	2.43
4	Nick Pivetta	CHC @ SD	19.1	4.98	5.61	1.93	3.53	0.10	1.83
5	Sonny Gray	BOS @ NYY	16.2	5.59	5.44	2.08	4.89	0.10	2.55
6	Tyler Mahle	PHI @ ATL	15.9	5.35	5.34	1.80	5.07	0.13	2.35
7	Sean Burke	CWS @ HOU	15.0	5.20	5.39	2.29	4.48	0.33	2.52
8	Kevin Gausman	CHC @ SD	14.4	5.42	5.09	1.75	5.26	0.09	2.64
9	Erik Miller	BOS @ NYY	2.8	0.91	1.36	0.61	0.69	0.03	0.44
10	Bryan Abreu	CWS @ HOU	2.6	0.90	1.29	0.65	0.59	0.07	0.48
11	Bradgley Rodriguez	CHC @ SD	2.5	0.95	1.02	0.42	0.82	0.05	0.47
12	Brent Headrick	BOS @ NYY	2.5	0.75	0.97	0.26	0.61	0.03	0.44
13	Dylan Dodd	PHI @ ATL	2.4	0.89	0.94	0.23	0.75	0.03	0.37
14	Garrett Whitlock	BOS @ NYY	2.4	0.82	0.97	0.25	0.70	0.01	0.43
15	Adrián Morejón	CHC @ SD	2.2	0.76	0.87	0.30	0.67	0.03	0.44
16	Mason Miller	CHC @ SD	2.2	0.99	1.72	0.46	0.58	0.04	0.28
17	Tatsuya Imai	CWS @ HOU	2.1	0.91	1.19	0.63	0.78	0.06	0.57
18	Bennett Sousa	CWS @ HOU	2.1	0.90	1.15	0.50	0.82	0.05	0.54
19	Josh Hader	CWS @ HOU	2.0	0.98	1.42	0.37	0.52	0.03	0.27
20	Jonathan Bowlan	PHI @ ATL	1.9	0.88	1.04	0.28	0.82	0.04	0.45
21	Daniel Palencia	CHC @ SD	1.8	0.88	0.88	0.35	0.74	0.03	0.41
22	Hagen Smith	CWS @ HOU	1.8	0.94	1.13	0.45	0.80	0.05	0.53
23	Ray Kerr	PHI @ ATL	1.8	0.92	0.97	0.21	0.84	0.06	0.44
24	José Alvarado	PHI @ ATL	1.8	0.87	1.01	0.36	0.86	0.05	0.49
25	Paul Blackburn	BOS @ NYY	1.7	0.97	0.86	0.41	0.84	0.04	0.48
26	Ryan Zeferjahn	CHC @ SD	1.7	0.86	1.03	0.55	0.73	0.08	0.54
27	David Morgan	CHC @ SD	1.6	0.97	1.08	0.72	0.93	0.08	0.67
28	Huascar Brazobán	CWS @ HOU	1.6	0.90	0.79	0.45	0.72	0.06	0.45
29	Yuki Matsui	CHC @ SD	1.6	0.98	1.08	0.65	0.76	0.04	0.55
30	David Bednar	BOS @ NYY	1.5	0.99	1.18	0.31	0.78	0.06	0.33
31	Aj Blubaugh	CWS @ HOU	1.5	0.93	1.10	0.53	0.76	0.06	0.58
32	Bryan Hudson	CWS @ HOU	1.5	0.86	0.82	0.31	0.81	0.07	0.55
33	Chase Shugart	PHI @ ATL	1.5	0.89	0.94	0.36	0.81	0.04	0.52
34	Didier Fuentes	PHI @ ATL	1.5	0.95	1.19	0.26	0.99	0.05	0.51
35	Bryan King	CWS @ HOU	1.5	0.93	0.98	0.29	0.73	0.10	0.41
36	Ryan Yarbrough	BOS @ NYY	1.5	0.94	0.74	0.33	0.85	0.09	0.52
37	Victor Mederos	PHI @ ATL	1.4	0.89	0.87	0.47	0.86	0.05	0.55
38	Brent Suter	PHI @ ATL	1.3	0.93	0.81	0.26	1.02	0.03	0.55
39	Wyatt Olds	BOS @ NYY	1.2	0.91	1.07	0.38	0.78	0.03	0.50
40	Aroldis Chapman	BOS @ NYY	1.2	0.94	1.44	0.47	0.63	0.02	0.36
41	Jhoan Durán	PHI @ ATL	1.2	0.94	1.22	0.21	0.87	0.06	0.38
42	Will Warren	BOS @ NYY	1.2	0.99	1.06	0.35	0.96	0.02	0.50
43	Raisel Iglesias	PHI @ ATL	1.1	0.99	1.02	0.27	0.93	0.03	0.46
44	Tim Mayza	PHI @ ATL	1.1	0.89	0.78	0.27	0.85	0.04	0.40
45	Greg Weissert	BOS @ NYY	1.1	0.92	0.97	0.37	0.81	0.01	0.49
46	Jason Adam	CHC @ SD	1.1	0.99	0.76	0.42	0.75	0.04	0.42
47	John Schreiber	BOS @ NYY	1.1	0.98	0.81	0.41	0.71	0.08	0.46
48	Grant Taylor	CWS @ HOU	1.0	0.95	1.22	0.37	0.83	0.04	0.45
49	Dylan Lee	PHI @ ATL	0.9	0.96	1.19	0.24	0.75	0.01	0.35
50	Alec Gamboa	BOS @ NYY	0.9	0.93	0.84	0.42	0.80	0.02	0.43
51	Ryan Rolison	CHC @ SD	0.9	0.89	0.72	0.42	0.82	0.02	0.48
52	Alex Mcfarlane	PHI @ ATL	0.9	0.91	0.92	0.30	0.87	0.05	0.49
53	Jordan Hicks	CWS @ HOU	0.8	0.93	1.11	0.54	0.73	0.05	0.42
54	Aaron Civale	CHC @ SD	0.8	0.92	0.74	0.37	0.88	0.05	0.53
55	Jacob Webb	CHC @ SD	0.7	0.92	0.87	0.44	0.80	0.03	0.41
56	Joe Musgrove	CHC @ SD	0.6	0.99	1.02	0.38	0.91	0.07	0.51
57	Miguel Ullola	CWS @ HOU	0.6	0.96	1.12	0.39	0.77	0.09	0.51
58	Noah Schultz	CWS @ HOU	0.6	0.90	0.82	0.42	0.75	0.05	0.50
59	Erick Fedde	CWS @ HOU	0.5	0.93	0.56	0.39	0.75	0.04	0.42
60	Robert Suarez	PHI @ ATL	0.5	0.96	0.91	0.20	0.83	0.02	0.39
61	Colin Rea	CHC @ SD	0.5	0.92	0.59	0.39	0.99	0.04	0.63
62	Tanner Banks	PHI @ ATL	0.4	0.90	0.94	0.28	0.99	0.02	0.58
63	Sean Newcomb	CWS @ HOU	0.4	0.91	0.84	0.45	0.95	0.09	0.60
64	Jake Bennett	BOS @ NYY	0.4	0.94	0.88	0.19	0.83	0.02	0.42
65	Davis Martin	CWS @ HOU	0.3	0.94	0.82	0.19	0.73	0.08	0.30
66	Josh Hendrickson	CWS @ HOU	0.3	0.97	1.00	0.38	0.84	0.07	0.52
67	Logan Vanwey	CWS @ HOU	0.3	0.96	0.98	0.40	1.05	0.10	0.68
68	David Peterson	CHC @ SD	0.3	0.94	0.90	0.26	0.74	0.06	0.31
69	Andruw Monasterio	BOS @ NYY	0.2	0.96	1.09	0.46	1.11	0.01	0.68
70	Carson Kelly	CHC @ SD	0.2	0.90	0.61	0.36	0.85	0.03	0.49
71	Brayan Bello	BOS @ NYY	0.2	0.92	0.69	0.42	0.95	0.03	0.62
72	Javier Assad	CHC @ SD	0.2	0.90	0.54	0.37	0.80	0.06	0.47
73	Jesús Luzardo	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.93	0.98	0.27	0.90	0.00	0.34
74	Grant Holmes	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.98	0.84	0.44	1.19	0.04	0.69
75	Luisangel Acuña	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.90	0.69	0.40	1.03	0.05	0.68
76	Garrett Stubbs	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.91	0.40	0.40	0.86	0.01	0.51
77	David Sandlin	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.93	0.81	0.50	1.00	0.05	0.62

MLB predictions Wed, Sep 30

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