MLB predictions Tue, Sep 29

Win probabilities, projected runs and totals for every MLB game, plus batter and pitcher projections. How it works →

4 games on this slate · model went 3–1 · 140–96 last 30 days →

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Updated 12d ago

✓ Favorite won Final · Tue, Sep 29

Phillies

3 46.5% · proj 3.7

Braves

5 53.5% · proj 4.0

Postseason

Projected total 7.7

✗ Favorite lost Final · Tue, Sep 29

White Sox

6 49.8% · proj 4.3

Astros

3 50.2% · proj 4.3

Postseason

Projected total 8.6

✓ Favorite won Final · Tue, Sep 29

Red Sox

0 45.6% · proj 3.6

Yankees

9 54.4% · proj 4.0

Postseason

Projected total 7.6

✓ Favorite won Final · Tue, Sep 29

Cubs

0 48.5% · proj 4.4

Padres

8 51.5% · proj 4.5

Postseason

Projected total 8.9

	Hitting	Discipline	Running
Alec Bohm	0.10	1.09	1.65	0.47	0.19	0.06	0.79	0.02
Trea Turner	0.12	1.04	1.61	0.42	0.20	0.04	1.21	0.12
Ronald Acuña	0.15	0.93	1.57	0.44	0.51	0.04	1.18	0.16
Mauricio Dubón	0.09	1.02	1.52	0.44	0.25	0.02	0.61	0.03
Drake Baldwin	0.11	0.99	1.49	0.38	0.27	0.06	1.30	0.01
Michael Harris	0.12	0.93	1.45	0.44	0.10	0.03	1.12	0.08
Edmundo Sosa	0.11	0.88	1.40	0.43	0.08	0.09	1.06	0.04
Bryce Harper	0.12	0.83	1.35	0.41	0.44	0.03	1.37	0.05
Bryan De La Cruz	0.09	0.89	1.35	0.38	0.18	0.05	1.19	0.02
Matt Olson	0.11	0.77	1.30	0.40	0.25	0.03	1.50	0.00
Ozzie Albies	0.09	0.83	1.29	0.37	0.27	0.04	0.82	0.06
Austin Riley	0.12	0.76	1.28	0.42	0.28	0.05	1.31	0.01
Bryson Stott	0.08	0.82	1.25	0.32	0.26	0.04	0.95	0.12
Derek Hill	0.11	0.74	1.24	0.36	0.17	0.04	1.58	0.08
Kyle Schwarber	0.13	0.69	1.24	0.36	0.39	0.10	1.89	0.03
J. T. Realmuto	0.08	0.77	1.20	0.36	0.19	0.08	0.92	0.05
Ha-Seong Kim	0.06	0.70	1.04	0.29	0.31	0.01	0.90	0.12
Mike Yastrzemski	0.06	0.63	1.01	0.32	0.25	0.03	1.17	0.02

	Workload	Results
Chris Sale	100%	5.7	23.2	7.6	1.14	4.9	0.41	2.00
Jesús Luzardo	100%	5.8	24.0	7.0	1.55	5.1	0.21	2.14
Danny Young	4%	0.9	4.2	1.3	0.38	1.0	0.12	0.45
Jhoan Durán	32%	1.0	3.9	1.2	0.24	0.9	0.02	0.41
Raisel Iglesias	38%	1.0	3.9	1.2	0.22	0.8	0.02	0.38
Didier Fuentes	51%	0.9	3.8	1.1	0.28	0.8	0.03	0.47
Dylan Lee	50%	0.9	3.6	1.1	0.18	0.8	0.01	0.41
José Alvarado	55%	0.9	3.9	1.1	0.37	0.9	0.03	0.48
Blake Burkhalter	4%	0.9	4.0	1.1	0.40	0.9	0.00	0.62
Duncan Davitt	10%	0.9	3.8	1.0	0.28	0.9	0.04	0.51
Jonathan Bowlan	51%	0.9	3.6	1.0	0.29	0.8	0.05	0.44
Owen Murphy	10%	0.9	3.9	1.0	0.30	0.9	0.02	0.53
Ray Kerr	31%	0.9	3.7	1.0	0.21	0.8	0.06	0.43
Robert Suarez	13%	0.9	3.7	0.9	0.24	0.7	0.03	0.34
Victor Mederos	56%	0.9	4.0	0.9	0.44	0.9	0.05	0.50
José Urquidy	4%	0.9	4.3	0.9	0.39	1.2	0.03	0.75
Tim Mayza	25%	0.9	3.7	0.9	0.24	0.8	0.02	0.38
Tanner Banks	7%	0.9	3.7	0.9	0.21	1.0	0.00	0.59
Dylan Dodd	46%	0.9	3.6	0.9	0.21	0.7	0.03	0.35
Orion Kerkering	29%	0.9	3.8	0.9	0.47	0.7	0.04	0.49
Alex Mcfarlane	22%	0.9	3.8	0.9	0.31	0.9	0.03	0.50
Brooks Raley	46%	0.9	3.6	0.9	0.28	0.7	0.04	0.43
Chase Shugart	49%	0.9	3.8	0.9	0.33	0.9	0.04	0.50
Tyler Kinley	4%	0.9	3.7	0.9	0.31	0.8	0.03	0.43
Elieser Hernández	5%	0.9	3.9	0.8	0.30	0.7	0.07	0.30
Brent Suter	38%	0.9	3.9	0.8	0.27	0.9	0.01	0.49
Aj Smith-Shawver	9%	0.9	4.2	0.8	0.52	0.9	0.02	0.51
Grant Holmes	3%	0.9	4.1	0.8	0.41	0.9	0.00	0.32
Bailey Falter	12%	1.0	4.3	0.7	0.32	1.3	0.02	0.62
Max Lazar	4%	0.8	3.6	0.6	0.28	0.9	0.03	0.69
Grant Holman	3%	0.9	4.4	0.6	0.46	1.1	0.04	0.86
Garrett Stubbs	2%	0.9	4.9	0.6	0.52	1.7	0.10	1.05

	1B	2B	HR	BB	K
Park	+2%	-1%	-8%	-3%	+6%
Weather	+1%	+2%	+4%	-1%	-1%
Umpire				-1%	+1%
Home field (ATL batting)	0%	+3%	+4%	+4%	-4%

	PHI	ATL
Hitters
Lineup	Confirmed	Confirmed
K%	22.7%	21.0%
BB%	8.3%	8.2%
HR%	2.9%	3.3%
Starting pitcher
K%	30.6%	29.9%
BB%	7.2%	5.3%
HR%	2.7%	2.8%
Innings	6.3	6.1
Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters
K%	-2%	+1%
BB%	+2%	-1%

	Hitting	Discipline	Running
Sam Antonacci	0.13	1.04	1.67	0.47	0.41	0.17	0.84	–
Yordan Álvarez	0.18	0.93	1.67	0.46	0.66	0.07	0.99	0.02
Jeremy Peña	0.14	0.94	1.55	0.41	0.30	0.07	1.29	0.08
Miguel Vargas	0.16	0.82	1.50	0.55	0.72	0.05	0.93	0.04
Yainer Diaz	0.12	0.92	1.49	0.49	0.19	0.02	0.79	0.01
Tristan Peters	0.13	0.86	1.46	0.52	0.42	0.06	0.91	–
Andrew Benintendi	0.14	0.79	1.42	0.56	0.43	0.02	1.15	0.03
Isaac Paredes	0.13	0.83	1.41	0.51	0.64	0.10	0.73	0.01
Christian Walker	0.15	0.78	1.40	0.43	0.39	0.06	1.03	0.02
Braden Montgomery	0.08	0.82	1.27	0.43	0.46	0.03	0.89	–
José Altuve	0.09	0.81	1.26	0.47	0.39	0.02	0.99	0.07
Cam Smith	0.11	0.73	1.24	0.45	0.33	0.04	1.02	0.04
Munetaka Murakami	0.14	0.60	1.18	0.47	0.75	0.04	1.65	–
Kyle Teel	0.12	0.65	1.16	0.38	0.71	0.08	1.60	0.03
Lucas Spence	0.11	0.65	1.12	0.37	0.34	0.05	1.28	–
Colson Montgomery	0.13	0.55	1.09	0.41	0.37	0.06	1.39	0.01
Chase Meidroth	0.08	0.72	1.09	0.37	0.40	0.03	0.94	0.06
Taylor Trammell	0.09	0.55	0.94	0.32	0.43	0.03	1.14	0.05

	Workload	Results
Hagen Smith	100%	4.85	20.3	5.8	2.09	3.86	0.22	2.01
Aj Blubaugh	100%	4.48	19.2	5.0	2.47	3.47	0.20	2.05
Josh Hader	37%	0.99	3.9	1.5	0.38	0.51	0.04	0.25
Bryan Abreu	81%	0.91	4.1	1.3	0.68	0.65	0.08	0.53
Josh Hendrickson	10%	0.93	3.9	1.2	0.40	0.73	0.02	0.45
Grant Taylor	35%	0.97	4.0	1.2	0.37	0.80	0.04	0.40
Cristian Javier	4%	0.96	4.4	1.2	0.58	0.93	0.04	0.69
Bennett Sousa	79%	0.91	3.9	1.2	0.51	0.74	0.04	0.49
Steven Okert	64%	0.94	3.8	1.1	0.29	0.68	0.07	0.40
Tatsuya Imai	21%	0.95	4.1	1.1	0.60	0.78	0.04	0.45
Sean Burke	4%	0.90	3.7	1.1	0.46	0.69	0.00	0.34
Logan Vanwey	10%	0.96	3.9	1.1	0.22	0.75	0.13	0.41
Jordan Hicks	65%	0.88	4.1	1.1	0.56	0.85	0.09	0.60
Lamonte Wade	4%	0.90	3.6	1.0	0.21	0.74	0.07	0.19
Bryan King	37%	0.94	4.0	1.0	0.33	0.80	0.11	0.46
Miguel Ullola	21%	0.96	4.0	1.0	0.44	0.70	0.09	0.40
Ronel Blanco	26%	0.95	4.2	1.0	0.64	0.75	0.06	0.62
Kai-Wei Teng	36%	0.96	4.2	1.0	0.52	0.80	0.14	0.46
Chris Murphy	7%	0.93	4.0	0.9	0.39	0.76	0.09	0.45
Enyel De Los Santos	73%	0.93	3.9	0.9	0.38	0.77	0.05	0.47
Luisangel Acuña	3%	0.94	4.6	0.9	0.44	1.38	0.03	1.09
Sean Newcomb	18%	0.93	3.9	0.9	0.35	0.83	0.07	0.45
Trevor Richards	50%	0.93	3.9	0.9	0.35	0.73	0.04	0.44
Ethan Pecko	6%	0.96	4.1	0.9	0.56	0.77	0.10	0.53
Bryan Hudson	65%	0.89	3.8	0.9	0.31	0.79	0.06	0.46
Tyler Gilbert	3%	0.92	4.1	0.8	0.61	0.85	0.12	0.55
Noah Schultz	12%	0.88	3.9	0.8	0.39	0.83	0.09	0.63
Tyler Davis	46%	0.93	4.0	0.8	0.42	0.83	0.05	0.49
Huascar Brazobán	54%	0.91	3.9	0.8	0.42	0.83	0.06	0.53
Davis Martin	4%	0.92	3.9	0.7	0.38	0.89	0.19	0.51
José Urquidy	14%	0.90	4.1	0.6	0.43	0.99	0.06	0.70
Luis Castillo	11%	0.92	3.9	0.6	0.31	0.83	0.05	0.48
Erick Fedde	14%	0.90	3.7	0.6	0.30	0.78	0.03	0.46
Jonathan Cannon	3%	0.88	3.5	0.6	0.32	0.68	0.00	0.39
Tyler Schweitzer	26%	0.91	3.8	0.5	0.32	0.82	0.02	0.46

	1B	2B	HR	BB	K
Park	-2%	0%	-6%	+2%	+2%
Weather	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Umpire				-2%	+1%
Home field (HOU batting)	0%	+3%	+4%	+4%	-4%

	CWS	HOU
Hitters
Lineup	Confirmed	Confirmed
K%	24.5%	22.1%
BB%	10.2%	7.8%
HR%	2.9%	3.3%
Starting pitcher
K%	31.9%	23.7%
BB%	10.5%	9.9%
HR%	2.9%	3.3%
Innings	5.2	4.9
Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters
K%	-3%	-1%
BB%	+3%	+1%

	Hitting	Discipline	Running
Paul Goldschmidt	0.17	0.91	1.60	0.41	0.38	0.03	1.12	0.04
Wilyer Abreu	0.17	0.85	1.57	0.54	0.38	0.01	1.13	0.06
Cody Bellinger	0.13	0.93	1.50	0.45	0.39	0.01	0.77	0.07
Amed Rosario	0.14	0.85	1.48	0.47	0.20	0.01	1.01	0.05
Adley Rutschman	0.13	0.88	1.47	0.36	0.43	0.01	0.92	0.01
Heliot Ramos	0.16	0.82	1.47	0.42	0.35	0.04	1.35	0.03
Ben Rice	0.16	0.76	1.42	0.41	0.50	0.04	1.30	0.02
Roman Anthony	0.14	0.80	1.37	0.34	0.52	0.04	1.39	0.03
George Lombard	0.12	0.75	1.28	0.43	0.31	0.02	1.17	–
Willson Contreras	0.14	0.71	1.28	0.44	0.42	0.16	1.47	0.03
Jarren Duran	0.13	0.70	1.28	0.38	0.25	0.03	1.19	0.09
Ceddanne Rafaela	0.08	0.82	1.25	0.39	0.14	0.07	1.08	0.10
Nick Sogard	0.08	0.73	1.14	0.32	0.38	0.03	1.02	0.06
Anthony Volpe	0.08	0.68	1.09	0.30	0.36	0.01	1.02	0.10
Spencer Jones	0.11	0.61	1.07	0.34	0.28	0.02	1.44	–
Caleb Durbin	0.08	0.61	0.98	0.25	0.27	0.09	0.64	0.09
Austin Wells	0.10	0.54	0.95	0.29	0.35	0.03	1.09	0.02
Trevor Story	0.07	0.61	0.91	0.26	0.16	0.02	1.48	0.08

	Workload	Results
Cam Schlittler	100%	5.8	23.3	7.3	1.75	4.15	0.31	1.87
Payton Tolle	100%	5.5	22.7	6.8	1.90	4.37	0.10	2.18
Aroldis Chapman	32%	1.0	3.9	1.4	0.42	0.61	0.02	0.28
Erik Miller	64%	0.9	3.9	1.3	0.59	0.69	0.04	0.43
Brent Headrick	62%	0.9	3.5	1.2	0.28	0.65	0.02	0.33
Fernando Cruz	12%	0.9	3.8	1.1	0.43	0.61	0.06	0.43
Clarke Schmidt	3%	0.9	3.4	1.1	0.22	0.53	0.00	0.22
Jovani Morán	15%	0.9	3.9	1.1	0.52	0.68	0.02	0.44
David Bednar	35%	1.0	4.1	1.1	0.32	0.85	0.06	0.50
Wyatt Olds	17%	0.9	3.8	1.1	0.34	0.74	0.06	0.42
Alexander Cornielle	2%	1.0	4.2	1.1	0.48	0.88	0.08	0.52
Garrett Whitlock	51%	0.9	3.5	1.1	0.19	0.65	0.03	0.32
Michael Fulmer	51%	0.9	3.9	1.1	0.52	0.67	0.03	0.43
Will Warren	4%	1.0	4.4	1.0	0.42	1.11	0.02	0.67
Patrick Sandoval	6%	0.9	4.0	1.0	0.42	1.00	0.02	0.68
Greg Weissert	62%	0.9	3.8	0.9	0.33	0.84	0.02	0.51
Jake Bennett	5%	0.9	3.7	0.9	0.19	0.88	0.00	0.50
Tyron Guerrero	50%	0.9	3.6	0.9	0.25	0.71	0.03	0.38
Andruw Monasterio	6%	0.8	3.6	0.9	0.34	0.79	0.05	0.46
Bradley Hanner	7%	0.9	3.9	0.9	0.34	0.74	0.07	0.42
Brendan Beck	3%	1.0	4.4	0.9	0.64	0.96	0.04	0.46
Raymond Burgos	18%	0.9	3.6	0.8	0.25	0.84	0.02	0.45
Paul Blackburn	61%	0.9	3.7	0.8	0.32	0.76	0.03	0.44
Yerry De Los Santos	21%	0.9	4.0	0.8	0.41	0.87	0.02	0.58
Jedixson Paez	7%	0.9	4.1	0.8	0.39	0.87	0.03	0.49
John Schreiber	26%	0.9	3.9	0.8	0.40	0.70	0.07	0.40
Alec Gamboa	23%	0.9	3.9	0.8	0.42	0.82	0.03	0.53
Brayan Bello	14%	0.9	3.8	0.8	0.31	0.82	0.03	0.47
Luis Gil	15%	0.9	4.1	0.7	0.58	0.83	0.02	0.59
Ryan Yarbrough	20%	0.9	3.9	0.7	0.28	0.74	0.09	0.44
Justin Topa	4%	0.9	4.1	0.7	0.35	0.95	0.16	0.62
Tim Hill	54%	0.9	3.8	0.5	0.22	0.82	0.06	0.45

	1B	2B	HR	BB	K
Park	-5%	-9%	+8%	+2%	-1%
Weather	-1%	-2%	-4%	0%	+1%
Umpire				+2%	-1%
Home field (NYY batting)	0%	+3%	+4%	+4%	-4%

	BOS	NYY
Hitters
Lineup	Confirmed	Confirmed
K%	22.8%	24.5%
BB%	8.3%	8.5%
HR%	2.9%	3.2%
Starting pitcher
K%	28.8%	31.0%
BB%	7.1%	6.9%
HR%	3.2%	2.9%
Innings	5.8	6.0
Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters
K%	+1%	+2%
BB%	-1%	-3%

	Hitting	Discipline	Running
Fernando Tatís	0.18	1.08	1.83	0.47	0.46	0.04	0.73	0.14
Manny Machado	0.19	0.96	1.72	0.57	0.48	0.01	0.77	0.05
Jackson Merrill	0.19	0.92	1.68	0.58	0.23	0.03	0.88	0.04
Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.21	0.81	1.64	0.54	0.63	0.09	1.29	0.27
Austin Hays	0.14	1.00	1.63	0.49	0.25	0.03	0.99	0.04
Alex Bregman	0.15	0.93	1.58	0.58	0.53	0.07	0.68	0.02
Ty France	0.15	0.87	1.48	0.50	0.33	0.14	0.86	0.01
Seiya Suzuki	0.14	0.85	1.45	0.46	0.62	0.05	1.27	0.07
Nico Hoerner	0.07	0.98	1.38	0.51	0.26	0.06	0.38	0.13
Xander Bogaerts	0.11	0.89	1.38	0.39	0.46	0.02	0.62	0.09
Michael Busch	0.16	0.75	1.36	0.47	0.69	0.10	1.09	0.02
Michael Conforto	0.16	0.71	1.34	0.50	0.56	0.06	1.13	0.01
Luis Campusano	0.12	0.77	1.26	0.43	0.42	0.04	0.68	0.00
Carson Kelly	0.09	0.83	1.24	0.40	0.37	0.05	0.70	0.01
Ian Happ	0.15	0.65	1.24	0.46	0.64	0.04	1.27	0.05
Dansby Swanson	0.10	0.69	1.15	0.43	0.41	0.02	0.90	0.07
Samad Taylor	0.07	0.72	1.07	0.34	0.41	0.01	0.86	0.14
Jake Cronenworth	0.07	0.64	0.96	0.34	0.27	0.05	0.71	0.02

	Workload	Results
Mike King	100%	5.4	23.3	4.90	2.92	4.4	0.37	2.60
Matt Boyd	100%	5.5	23.2	4.28	2.00	5.2	0.23	2.58
Mason Miller	37%	1.0	3.9	1.69	0.48	0.6	0.02	0.31
Braxton Garrett	2%	0.9	3.8	1.18	0.47	0.8	0.06	0.53
Tyler Ferguson	4%	0.9	3.6	1.17	0.39	0.6	0.03	0.33
Jeremiah Estrada	12%	0.9	4.0	1.15	0.62	0.7	0.03	0.42
Ryan Zeferjahn	49%	0.9	3.9	1.13	0.52	0.7	0.08	0.43
Adrián Morejón	74%	0.9	3.8	1.09	0.33	0.7	0.04	0.44
Griffin Canning	18%	1.0	4.5	1.06	0.61	1.1	0.06	0.71
Bradgley Rodriguez	73%	0.9	4.0	1.01	0.41	0.8	0.04	0.53
Jacob Webb	29%	0.9	4.1	0.99	0.42	0.8	0.04	0.49
David Morgan	34%	0.9	4.1	0.99	0.62	0.8	0.06	0.53
Yuki Matsui	73%	0.9	4.0	0.98	0.62	0.7	0.04	0.51
Caleb Thielbar	49%	0.9	3.7	0.97	0.40	0.7	0.02	0.44
Daniel Palencia	42%	0.9	3.7	0.90	0.34	0.8	0.05	0.50
Edward Cabrera	11%	0.9	4.1	0.89	0.54	0.9	0.02	0.54
Kyle Hart	38%	0.9	4.0	0.87	0.46	0.7	0.05	0.55
Carson Kelly	8%	0.9	4.1	0.87	0.35	0.9	0.04	0.38
Jason Adam	9%	1.0	4.0	0.84	0.33	0.8	0.10	0.57
Jhony Brito	7%	0.9	4.1	0.77	0.49	0.8	0.03	0.67
Javier Assad	19%	0.9	3.8	0.74	0.28	0.8	0.06	0.48
Ryan Rolison	50%	0.9	3.9	0.72	0.47	0.9	0.02	0.52
Aaron Civale	32%	0.9	3.8	0.69	0.31	0.9	0.05	0.53
Gavin Hollowell	4%	0.9	3.8	0.69	0.49	0.8	0.05	0.49
Trent Thornton	44%	0.9	3.9	0.68	0.39	0.9	0.08	0.58
Colin Rea	16%	0.9	3.8	0.66	0.25	0.9	0.03	0.50
Wandy Peralta	28%	1.0	4.2	0.66	0.51	0.8	0.08	0.54
David Peterson	4%	0.9	4.2	0.66	0.55	0.9	0.00	0.47
Randy Vásquez	7%	0.9	3.9	0.54	0.35	0.7	0.04	0.44

	1B	2B	HR	BB	K
Park	-4%	-9%	+6%	+6%	-1%
Umpire				0%	0%
Home field (SD batting)	0%	+3%	+4%	+4%	-4%

	CHC	SD
Hitters
Lineup	Projected	Projected
K%	21.0%	22.0%
BB%	10.2%	8.2%
HR%	3.0%	2.9%
Starting pitcher
K%	19.0%	21.7%
BB%	7.2%	8.8%
HR%	3.5%	3.2%
Innings	6.0	5.9
Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters
K%	+1%	0%
BB%	-1%	0%

HR watch

Pete Crow-Armstrong0.21 HR
Manny Machado0.19 HR
Jackson Merrill0.19 HR
Yordan Álvarez0.18 HR
Fernando Tatís0.18 HR

Batters

Rank by


CHC @ SD	0.21	0.81	1.64	0.54	0.63	0.27	0.09	1.29
PHI @ ATL	0.15	0.93	1.57	0.44	0.51	0.16	0.04	1.18
CWS @ HOU	0.18	0.93	1.67	0.46	0.66	0.02	0.07	0.99
CHC @ SD	0.18	1.08	1.83	0.47	0.46	0.14	0.04	0.73
CHC @ SD	0.14	0.85	1.45	0.46	0.62	0.07	0.05	1.27
PHI @ ATL	0.13	0.69	1.24	0.36	0.39	0.03	0.10	1.89
CWS @ HOU	0.14	0.60	1.18	0.47	0.75	–	0.04	1.65
CWS @ HOU	0.14	0.94	1.55	0.41	0.30	0.08	0.07	1.29
CWS @ HOU	0.16	0.82	1.50	0.55	0.72	0.04	0.05	0.93
PHI @ ATL	0.12	1.04	1.61	0.42	0.20	0.12	0.04	1.21
CHC @ SD	0.19	0.96	1.72	0.57	0.48	0.05	0.01	0.77
CWS @ HOU	0.13	1.04	1.67	0.47	0.41	–	0.17	0.84
CWS @ HOU	0.12	0.65	1.16	0.38	0.71	0.03	0.08	1.60
BOS @ NYY	0.17	0.85	1.57	0.54	0.38	0.06	0.01	1.13
BOS @ NYY	0.14	0.71	1.28	0.44	0.42	0.03	0.16	1.47
BOS @ NYY	0.17	0.91	1.60	0.41	0.38	0.04	0.03	1.12
BOS @ NYY	0.14	0.80	1.37	0.34	0.52	0.03	0.04	1.39
BOS @ NYY	0.16	0.82	1.47	0.42	0.35	0.03	0.04	1.35
CHC @ SD	0.16	0.75	1.36	0.47	0.69	0.02	0.10	1.09
PHI @ ATL	0.11	0.99	1.49	0.38	0.27	0.01	0.06	1.30
BOS @ NYY	0.16	0.76	1.42	0.41	0.50	0.02	0.04	1.30
PHI @ ATL	0.12	0.83	1.35	0.41	0.44	0.05	0.03	1.37
CHC @ SD	0.14	1.00	1.63	0.49	0.25	0.04	0.03	0.99
CHC @ SD	0.19	0.92	1.68	0.58	0.23	0.04	0.03	0.88
CWS @ HOU	0.14	0.79	1.42	0.56	0.43	0.03	0.02	1.15
CHC @ SD	0.15	0.93	1.58	0.58	0.53	0.02	0.07	0.68
CHC @ SD	0.15	0.65	1.24	0.46	0.64	0.05	0.04	1.27
CHC @ SD	0.16	0.71	1.34	0.50	0.56	0.01	0.06	1.13
PHI @ ATL	0.11	0.77	1.30	0.40	0.25	0.00	0.03	1.50
PHI @ ATL	0.10	1.09	1.65	0.47	0.19	0.02	0.06	0.79
CWS @ HOU	0.13	0.83	1.41	0.51	0.64	0.01	0.10	0.73
CHC @ SD	0.15	0.87	1.48	0.50	0.33	0.01	0.14	0.86
CWS @ HOU	0.13	0.86	1.46	0.52	0.42	–	0.06	0.91
PHI @ ATL	0.11	0.74	1.24	0.36	0.17	0.08	0.04	1.58
CWS @ HOU	0.15	0.78	1.40	0.43	0.39	0.02	0.06	1.03
PHI @ ATL	0.12	0.93	1.45	0.44	0.10	0.08	0.03	1.12
BOS @ NYY	0.13	0.93	1.50	0.45	0.39	0.07	0.01	0.77
PHI @ ATL	0.12	0.76	1.28	0.42	0.28	0.01	0.05	1.31
BOS @ NYY	0.14	0.85	1.48	0.47	0.20	0.05	0.01	1.01
BOS @ NYY	0.13	0.88	1.47	0.36	0.43	0.01	0.01	0.92
PHI @ ATL	0.09	0.89	1.35	0.38	0.18	0.02	0.05	1.19
CWS @ HOU	0.09	0.81	1.26	0.47	0.39	0.07	0.02	0.99
BOS @ NYY	0.12	0.75	1.28	0.43	0.31	–	0.02	1.17
PHI @ ATL	0.11	0.88	1.40	0.43	0.08	0.04	0.09	1.06
BOS @ NYY	0.13	0.70	1.28	0.38	0.25	0.09	0.03	1.19
CWS @ HOU	0.12	0.92	1.49	0.49	0.19	0.01	0.02	0.79
CWS @ HOU	0.13	0.55	1.09	0.41	0.37	0.01	0.06	1.39
CWS @ HOU	0.08	0.82	1.27	0.43	0.46	–	0.03	0.89
PHI @ ATL	0.09	1.02	1.52	0.44	0.25	0.03	0.02	0.61
CHC @ SD	0.11	0.89	1.38	0.39	0.46	0.09	0.02	0.62
CWS @ HOU	0.11	0.73	1.24	0.45	0.33	0.04	0.04	1.02
CWS @ HOU	0.11	0.65	1.12	0.37	0.34	–	0.05	1.28
BOS @ NYY	0.08	0.82	1.25	0.39	0.14	0.10	0.07	1.08
BOS @ NYY	0.11	0.61	1.07	0.34	0.28	–	0.02	1.44
PHI @ ATL	0.08	0.82	1.25	0.32	0.26	0.12	0.04	0.95
CHC @ SD	0.10	0.69	1.15	0.43	0.41	0.07	0.02	0.90
CHC @ SD	0.07	0.98	1.38	0.51	0.26	0.13	0.06	0.38
PHI @ ATL	0.09	0.83	1.29	0.37	0.27	0.06	0.04	0.82
BOS @ NYY	0.08	0.73	1.14	0.32	0.38	0.06	0.03	1.02
CHC @ SD	0.12	0.77	1.26	0.43	0.42	0.00	0.04	0.68
CHC @ SD	0.09	0.83	1.24	0.40	0.37	0.01	0.05	0.70
CWS @ HOU	0.08	0.72	1.09	0.37	0.40	0.06	0.03	0.94
BOS @ NYY	0.08	0.68	1.09	0.30	0.36	0.10	0.01	1.02
PHI @ ATL	0.08	0.77	1.20	0.36	0.19	0.05	0.08	0.92
CHC @ SD	0.07	0.72	1.07	0.34	0.41	0.14	0.01	0.86
BOS @ NYY	0.07	0.61	0.91	0.26	0.16	0.08	0.02	1.48
CWS @ HOU	0.09	0.55	0.94	0.32	0.43	0.05	0.03	1.14
PHI @ ATL	0.06	0.63	1.01	0.32	0.25	0.02	0.03	1.17
PHI @ ATL	0.06	0.70	1.04	0.29	0.31	0.12	0.01	0.90
BOS @ NYY	0.10	0.54	0.95	0.29	0.35	0.02	0.03	1.09
CHC @ SD	0.07	0.64	0.96	0.34	0.27	0.02	0.05	0.71
BOS @ NYY	0.08	0.61	0.98	0.25	0.27	0.09	0.09	0.64

Pitchers

Rank by


PHI @ ATL	100.0%	5.8	7.0	1.55	5.1	0.21	2.14	24.0
PHI @ ATL	100.0%	5.7	7.6	1.14	4.9	0.41	2.00	23.2
BOS @ NYY	100.0%	5.8	7.3	1.75	4.1	0.31	1.87	23.3
CHC @ SD	100.0%	5.4	4.9	2.92	4.4	0.37	2.60	23.3
BOS @ NYY	100.0%	5.5	6.8	1.90	4.4	0.10	2.18	22.7
CHC @ SD	100.0%	5.5	4.3	2.00	5.2	0.23	2.58	23.2
CWS @ HOU	100.0%	4.8	5.8	2.09	3.9	0.22	2.01	20.3
CWS @ HOU	100.0%	4.5	5.0	2.47	3.5	0.20	2.05	19.2
CWS @ HOU	81.2%	0.9	1.3	0.68	0.7	0.08	0.53	4.1
CWS @ HOU	78.7%	0.9	1.2	0.51	0.7	0.04	0.49	3.9
CHC @ SD	73.8%	0.9	1.1	0.33	0.7	0.04	0.44	3.8
CHC @ SD	73.3%	0.9	1.0	0.62	0.7	0.04	0.51	4.0
CWS @ HOU	73.2%	0.9	0.9	0.38	0.8	0.05	0.47	3.9
CHC @ SD	73.1%	0.9	1.0	0.41	0.8	0.04	0.53	4.0
CWS @ HOU	64.8%	0.9	1.1	0.56	0.9	0.09	0.60	4.1
CWS @ HOU	64.8%	0.9	0.9	0.31	0.8	0.06	0.46	3.8
CWS @ HOU	64.3%	0.9	1.1	0.29	0.7	0.07	0.40	3.8
BOS @ NYY	63.6%	0.9	1.3	0.59	0.7	0.04	0.43	3.9
BOS @ NYY	62.0%	0.9	1.2	0.28	0.6	0.02	0.33	3.5
BOS @ NYY	61.5%	0.9	0.9	0.33	0.8	0.02	0.51	3.8
BOS @ NYY	61.2%	0.9	0.8	0.32	0.8	0.03	0.44	3.7
PHI @ ATL	55.8%	0.9	0.9	0.44	0.9	0.05	0.50	4.0
PHI @ ATL	54.7%	0.9	1.1	0.37	0.9	0.03	0.48	3.9
BOS @ NYY	54.3%	0.9	0.5	0.22	0.8	0.06	0.45	3.8
CWS @ HOU	53.5%	0.9	0.8	0.42	0.8	0.06	0.53	3.9
BOS @ NYY	51.0%	0.9	1.1	0.52	0.7	0.03	0.43	3.9
PHI @ ATL	51.0%	0.9	1.0	0.29	0.8	0.05	0.44	3.6
BOS @ NYY	50.9%	0.9	1.1	0.19	0.6	0.03	0.32	3.5
PHI @ ATL	50.8%	0.9	1.1	0.28	0.8	0.03	0.47	3.8
PHI @ ATL	50.5%	0.9	1.1	0.18	0.8	0.01	0.41	3.6
CHC @ SD	49.9%	0.9	0.7	0.47	0.9	0.02	0.52	3.9
CWS @ HOU	49.6%	0.9	0.9	0.35	0.7	0.04	0.44	3.9
BOS @ NYY	49.5%	0.9	0.9	0.25	0.7	0.03	0.38	3.6
CHC @ SD	49.2%	0.9	1.1	0.52	0.7	0.08	0.43	3.9
CHC @ SD	49.2%	0.9	1.0	0.40	0.7	0.02	0.44	3.7
PHI @ ATL	49.0%	0.9	0.9	0.33	0.9	0.04	0.50	3.8
CWS @ HOU	46.5%	0.9	0.8	0.42	0.8	0.05	0.49	4.0
PHI @ ATL	46.3%	0.9	0.9	0.28	0.7	0.04	0.43	3.6
PHI @ ATL	45.8%	0.9	0.9	0.21	0.7	0.03	0.35	3.6
CHC @ SD	43.5%	0.9	0.7	0.39	0.9	0.08	0.58	3.9
CHC @ SD	42.3%	0.9	0.9	0.34	0.8	0.05	0.50	3.7
PHI @ ATL	37.9%	0.9	0.8	0.27	0.9	0.01	0.49	3.9
PHI @ ATL	37.6%	1.0	1.2	0.22	0.8	0.02	0.38	3.9
CHC @ SD	37.5%	0.9	0.9	0.46	0.7	0.05	0.55	4.0
CHC @ SD	37.4%	1.0	1.7	0.48	0.6	0.02	0.31	3.9
CWS @ HOU	37.3%	0.9	1.0	0.33	0.8	0.11	0.46	4.0
CWS @ HOU	36.6%	1.0	1.5	0.38	0.5	0.04	0.25	3.9
CWS @ HOU	35.8%	1.0	1.0	0.52	0.8	0.14	0.46	4.2
CWS @ HOU	35.3%	1.0	1.2	0.37	0.8	0.04	0.40	4.0
BOS @ NYY	35.1%	1.0	1.1	0.32	0.9	0.06	0.50	4.1
CHC @ SD	34.1%	0.9	1.0	0.62	0.8	0.06	0.53	4.1
CHC @ SD	32.4%	0.9	0.7	0.31	0.9	0.05	0.53	3.8
PHI @ ATL	32.2%	1.0	1.2	0.24	0.9	0.02	0.41	3.9
BOS @ NYY	31.9%	1.0	1.4	0.42	0.6	0.02	0.28	3.9
PHI @ ATL	31.0%	0.9	1.0	0.21	0.8	0.06	0.43	3.7
CHC @ SD	29.3%	0.9	1.0	0.42	0.8	0.04	0.49	4.1
PHI @ ATL	29.0%	0.9	0.9	0.47	0.7	0.04	0.49	3.8
CHC @ SD	28.5%	1.0	0.7	0.51	0.8	0.08	0.54	4.2
BOS @ NYY	26.3%	0.9	0.8	0.40	0.7	0.07	0.40	3.9
CWS @ HOU	25.7%	1.0	1.0	0.64	0.8	0.06	0.62	4.2
CWS @ HOU	25.6%	0.9	0.5	0.32	0.8	0.02	0.46	3.8
PHI @ ATL	25.1%	0.9	0.9	0.24	0.8	0.02	0.38	3.7
BOS @ NYY	23.3%	0.9	0.8	0.42	0.8	0.03	0.53	3.9
PHI @ ATL	22.4%	0.9	0.9	0.31	0.9	0.03	0.50	3.8
CWS @ HOU	21.4%	1.0	1.1	0.60	0.8	0.04	0.45	4.1
CWS @ HOU	21.0%	1.0	1.0	0.44	0.7	0.09	0.40	4.0
BOS @ NYY	20.7%	0.9	0.8	0.41	0.9	0.02	0.58	4.0
BOS @ NYY	20.5%	0.9	0.7	0.28	0.7	0.09	0.44	3.9
CHC @ SD	18.7%	0.9	0.7	0.28	0.8	0.06	0.48	3.8
BOS @ NYY	18.4%	0.9	0.8	0.25	0.8	0.02	0.45	3.6
CHC @ SD	17.8%	1.0	1.1	0.61	1.1	0.06	0.71	4.5
CWS @ HOU	17.6%	0.9	0.9	0.35	0.8	0.07	0.45	3.9
BOS @ NYY	17.2%	0.9	1.1	0.34	0.7	0.06	0.42	3.8
CHC @ SD	15.7%	0.9	0.7	0.25	0.9	0.03	0.50	3.8
BOS @ NYY	14.9%	0.9	0.7	0.58	0.8	0.02	0.59	4.1
BOS @ NYY	14.9%	0.9	1.1	0.52	0.7	0.02	0.44	3.9
BOS @ NYY	14.4%	0.9	0.8	0.31	0.8	0.03	0.47	3.8
CWS @ HOU	13.8%	0.9	0.6	0.43	1.0	0.06	0.70	4.1
CWS @ HOU	13.6%	0.9	0.6	0.30	0.8	0.03	0.46	3.7
PHI @ ATL	13.3%	0.9	0.9	0.24	0.7	0.03	0.34	3.7
CWS @ HOU	12.5%	0.9	0.8	0.39	0.8	0.09	0.63	3.9
BOS @ NYY	12.4%	0.9	1.1	0.43	0.6	0.06	0.43	3.8
PHI @ ATL	11.7%	1.0	0.7	0.32	1.3	0.02	0.62	4.3
CHC @ SD	11.5%	0.9	1.1	0.62	0.7	0.03	0.42	4.0
CHC @ SD	11.4%	0.9	0.9	0.54	0.9	0.02	0.54	4.1
CWS @ HOU	11.0%	0.9	0.6	0.31	0.8	0.05	0.48	3.9
PHI @ ATL	10.2%	0.9	1.0	0.28	0.9	0.04	0.51	3.8
PHI @ ATL	10.0%	0.9	1.0	0.30	0.9	0.02	0.53	3.9
CWS @ HOU	9.9%	0.9	1.2	0.40	0.7	0.02	0.45	3.9
CWS @ HOU	9.9%	1.0	1.1	0.22	0.7	0.13	0.41	3.9
PHI @ ATL	9.3%	0.9	0.8	0.52	0.9	0.02	0.51	4.2
CHC @ SD	8.9%	1.0	0.8	0.33	0.8	0.10	0.57	4.0
CHC @ SD	7.8%	0.9	0.9	0.35	0.9	0.04	0.38	4.1
CWS @ HOU	7.4%	0.9	0.9	0.39	0.8	0.09	0.45	4.0
BOS @ NYY	7.3%	0.9	0.9	0.34	0.7	0.07	0.42	3.9
PHI @ ATL	7.3%	0.9	0.9	0.21	1.0	0.00	0.59	3.7
CHC @ SD	7.1%	0.9	0.5	0.35	0.7	0.04	0.44	3.9
BOS @ NYY	7.0%	0.9	0.8	0.39	0.9	0.03	0.49	4.1
CHC @ SD	6.9%	0.9	0.8	0.49	0.8	0.03	0.67	4.1
CWS @ HOU	6.2%	1.0	0.9	0.56	0.8	0.10	0.53	4.1
BOS @ NYY	6.2%	0.9	1.0	0.42	1.0	0.02	0.68	4.0
BOS @ NYY	5.6%	0.8	0.9	0.34	0.8	0.05	0.46	3.6
BOS @ NYY	5.2%	0.9	0.9	0.19	0.9	0.00	0.50	3.7
PHI @ ATL	4.6%	0.9	0.8	0.30	0.7	0.07	0.30	3.9
CWS @ HOU	4.5%	1.0	1.2	0.58	0.9	0.04	0.69	4.4
BOS @ NYY	4.5%	1.0	1.0	0.42	1.1	0.02	0.67	4.4
CWS @ HOU	4.2%	0.9	1.0	0.21	0.7	0.07	0.19	3.6
PHI @ ATL	4.0%	0.9	1.3	0.38	1.0	0.12	0.45	4.2
PHI @ ATL	4.0%	0.9	1.1	0.40	0.9	0.00	0.62	4.0
CHC @ SD	3.9%	0.9	0.7	0.49	0.8	0.05	0.49	3.8
PHI @ ATL	3.9%	0.8	0.6	0.28	0.9	0.03	0.69	3.6
CHC @ SD	3.8%	0.9	0.7	0.55	0.9	0.00	0.47	4.2
BOS @ NYY	3.7%	0.9	0.7	0.35	0.9	0.16	0.62	4.1
CWS @ HOU	3.7%	0.9	0.7	0.38	0.9	0.19	0.51	3.9
PHI @ ATL	3.6%	0.9	0.9	0.39	1.2	0.03	0.75	4.3
CHC @ SD	3.6%	0.9	1.2	0.39	0.6	0.03	0.33	3.6
CWS @ HOU	3.5%	0.9	1.1	0.46	0.7	0.00	0.34	3.7
PHI @ ATL	3.5%	0.9	0.9	0.31	0.8	0.03	0.43	3.7
CWS @ HOU	3.4%	0.9	0.9	0.44	1.4	0.03	1.09	4.6
PHI @ ATL	3.4%	0.9	0.8	0.41	0.9	0.00	0.32	4.1
CWS @ HOU	3.3%	0.9	0.8	0.61	0.8	0.12	0.55	4.1
BOS @ NYY	3.2%	0.9	1.1	0.22	0.5	0.00	0.22	3.4
BOS @ NYY	2.8%	1.0	0.9	0.64	1.0	0.04	0.46	4.4
PHI @ ATL	2.8%	0.9	0.6	0.46	1.1	0.04	0.86	4.4
CWS @ HOU	2.8%	0.9	0.6	0.32	0.7	0.00	0.39	3.5
BOS @ NYY	2.5%	1.0	1.1	0.48	0.9	0.08	0.52	4.2
PHI @ ATL	2.1%	0.9	0.6	0.52	1.7	0.10	1.05	4.9
CHC @ SD	1.7%	0.9	1.2	0.47	0.8	0.06	0.53	3.8

Batters

Not yet included: Runs Scored

Estimated, not directly simulated: SB


1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC @ SD	8.3	1.64	0.54	0.63	0.27	0.09
2	Fernando Tatís	CHC @ SD	7.5	1.83	0.47	0.46	0.14	0.04
3	Yordan Álvarez	CWS @ HOU	7.2	1.67	0.46	0.66	0.02	0.07
4	Miguel Vargas	CWS @ HOU	7.1	1.50	0.55	0.72	0.04	0.05
5	Manny Machado	CHC @ SD	7.0	1.72	0.57	0.48	0.05	0.01
6	Ronald Acuña	PHI @ ATL	7.0	1.57	0.44	0.51	0.16	0.04
7	Alex Bregman	CHC @ SD	6.8	1.58	0.58	0.53	0.02	0.07
8	Sam Antonacci	CWS @ HOU	6.7	1.67	0.47	0.41	–	0.17
9	Seiya Suzuki	CHC @ SD	6.7	1.45	0.46	0.62	0.07	0.05
10	Isaac Paredes	CWS @ HOU	6.6	1.41	0.51	0.64	0.01	0.10
11	Michael Busch	CHC @ SD	6.6	1.36	0.47	0.69	0.02	0.10
12	Wilyer Abreu	BOS @ NYY	6.4	1.57	0.54	0.38	0.06	0.01
13	Jackson Merrill	CHC @ SD	6.3	1.68	0.58	0.23	0.04	0.03
14	Paul Goldschmidt	BOS @ NYY	6.1	1.60	0.41	0.38	0.04	0.03
15	Jeremy Peña	CWS @ HOU	6.1	1.55	0.41	0.30	0.08	0.07
16	Trea Turner	PHI @ ATL	6.1	1.61	0.42	0.20	0.12	0.04
17	Cody Bellinger	BOS @ NYY	6.1	1.50	0.45	0.39	0.07	0.01
18	Michael Conforto	CHC @ SD	6.1	1.34	0.50	0.56	0.01	0.06
19	Ty France	CHC @ SD	6.1	1.48	0.50	0.33	0.01	0.14
20	Austin Hays	CHC @ SD	6.0	1.63	0.49	0.25	0.04	0.03
21	Andrew Benintendi	CWS @ HOU	6.0	1.42	0.56	0.43	0.03	0.02
22	Ian Happ	CHC @ SD	6.0	1.24	0.46	0.64	0.05	0.04
23	Munetaka Murakami	CWS @ HOU	6.0	1.18	0.47	0.75	–	0.04
24	Tristan Peters	CWS @ HOU	6.0	1.46	0.52	0.42	–	0.06
25	Xander Bogaerts	CHC @ SD	6.0	1.38	0.39	0.46	0.09	0.02
26	Ben Rice	BOS @ NYY	6.0	1.42	0.41	0.50	0.02	0.04
27	Nico Hoerner	CHC @ SD	5.9	1.38	0.51	0.26	0.13	0.06
28	Kyle Teel	CWS @ HOU	5.9	1.16	0.38	0.71	0.03	0.08
29	Alec Bohm	PHI @ ATL	5.9	1.65	0.47	0.19	0.02	0.06
30	Roman Anthony	BOS @ NYY	5.8	1.37	0.34	0.52	0.03	0.04
31	Willson Contreras	BOS @ NYY	5.8	1.28	0.44	0.42	0.03	0.16
32	Heliot Ramos	BOS @ NYY	5.7	1.47	0.42	0.35	0.03	0.04
33	Bryce Harper	PHI @ ATL	5.7	1.35	0.41	0.44	0.05	0.03
34	Christian Walker	CWS @ HOU	5.7	1.40	0.43	0.39	0.02	0.06
35	Adley Rutschman	BOS @ NYY	5.7	1.47	0.36	0.43	0.01	0.01
36	Mauricio Dubón	PHI @ ATL	5.6	1.52	0.44	0.25	0.03	0.02
37	José Altuve	CWS @ HOU	5.6	1.26	0.47	0.39	0.07	0.02
38	Amed Rosario	BOS @ NYY	5.5	1.48	0.47	0.20	0.05	0.01
39	Drake Baldwin	PHI @ ATL	5.5	1.49	0.38	0.27	0.01	0.06
40	Braden Montgomery	CWS @ HOU	5.4	1.27	0.43	0.46	–	0.03
41	Yainer Diaz	CWS @ HOU	5.4	1.49	0.49	0.19	0.01	0.02
42	Luis Campusano	CHC @ SD	5.3	1.26	0.43	0.42	0.00	0.04
43	Kyle Schwarber	PHI @ ATL	5.3	1.24	0.36	0.39	0.03	0.10
44	Michael Harris	PHI @ ATL	5.3	1.45	0.44	0.10	0.08	0.03
45	Dansby Swanson	CHC @ SD	5.2	1.15	0.43	0.41	0.07	0.02
46	Cam Smith	CWS @ HOU	5.2	1.24	0.45	0.33	0.04	0.04
47	Jarren Duran	BOS @ NYY	5.1	1.28	0.38	0.25	0.09	0.03
48	Bryson Stott	PHI @ ATL	5.1	1.25	0.32	0.26	0.12	0.04
49	Carson Kelly	CHC @ SD	5.1	1.24	0.40	0.37	0.01	0.05
50	Ozzie Albies	PHI @ ATL	5.1	1.29	0.37	0.27	0.06	0.04
51	Samad Taylor	CHC @ SD	5.1	1.07	0.34	0.41	0.14	0.01
52	Edmundo Sosa	PHI @ ATL	5.0	1.40	0.43	0.08	0.04	0.09
53	Austin Riley	PHI @ ATL	5.0	1.28	0.42	0.28	0.01	0.05
54	George Lombard	BOS @ NYY	5.0	1.28	0.43	0.31	–	0.02
55	Bryan De La Cruz	PHI @ ATL	4.9	1.35	0.38	0.18	0.02	0.05
56	Ceddanne Rafaela	BOS @ NYY	4.9	1.25	0.39	0.14	0.10	0.07
57	Chase Meidroth	CWS @ HOU	4.9	1.09	0.37	0.40	0.06	0.03
58	Matt Olson	PHI @ ATL	4.9	1.30	0.40	0.25	0.00	0.03
59	Nick Sogard	BOS @ NYY	4.9	1.14	0.32	0.38	0.06	0.03
60	Anthony Volpe	BOS @ NYY	4.8	1.09	0.30	0.36	0.10	0.01
61	Derek Hill	PHI @ ATL	4.8	1.24	0.36	0.17	0.08	0.04
62	Colson Montgomery	CWS @ HOU	4.7	1.09	0.41	0.37	0.01	0.06
63	J. T. Realmuto	PHI @ ATL	4.7	1.20	0.36	0.19	0.05	0.08
64	Lucas Spence	CWS @ HOU	4.7	1.12	0.37	0.34	–	0.05
65	Ha-Seong Kim	PHI @ ATL	4.6	1.04	0.29	0.31	0.12	0.01
66	Taylor Trammell	CWS @ HOU	4.4	0.94	0.32	0.43	0.05	0.03
67	Caleb Durbin	BOS @ NYY	4.3	0.98	0.25	0.27	0.09	0.09
68	Spencer Jones	BOS @ NYY	4.2	1.07	0.34	0.28	–	0.02
69	Austin Wells	BOS @ NYY	4.1	0.95	0.29	0.35	0.02	0.03
70	Mike Yastrzemski	PHI @ ATL	4.1	1.01	0.32	0.25	0.02	0.03
71	Jake Cronenworth	CHC @ SD	4.1	0.96	0.34	0.27	0.02	0.05
72	Trevor Story	BOS @ NYY	3.7	0.91	0.26	0.16	0.08	0.02

Pitchers

Not yet included: Wins, Losses, Saves

Points are expected points: the line if he pitches, times his chance to pitch.


1	Chris Sale	PHI @ ATL	25.6	5.75	7.56	1.14	4.86	0.41	2.00
2	Cam Schlittler	BOS @ NYY	25.5	5.80	7.26	1.75	4.15	0.31	1.87
3	Jesús Luzardo	PHI @ ATL	23.4	5.85	7.05	1.55	5.07	0.21	2.14
4	Payton Tolle	BOS @ NYY	22.1	5.51	6.81	1.90	4.37	0.10	2.18
5	Hagen Smith	CWS @ HOU	18.0	4.85	5.83	2.09	3.86	0.22	2.01
6	Aj Blubaugh	CWS @ HOU	14.3	4.48	5.01	2.47	3.47	0.20	2.05
7	Mike King	CHC @ SD	13.0	5.39	4.90	2.92	4.44	0.37	2.60
8	Matt Boyd	CHC @ SD	11.8	5.45	4.28	2.00	5.17	0.23	2.58
9	Bryan Abreu	CWS @ HOU	2.7	0.91	1.33	0.68	0.65	0.08	0.53
10	Brent Headrick	BOS @ NYY	2.4	0.89	1.16	0.28	0.65	0.02	0.33
11	Adrián Morejón	CHC @ SD	2.4	0.91	1.09	0.33	0.73	0.04	0.44
12	Bennett Sousa	CWS @ HOU	2.4	0.91	1.16	0.51	0.74	0.04	0.49
13	Steven Okert	CWS @ HOU	2.4	0.94	1.15	0.29	0.68	0.07	0.40
14	Erik Miller	BOS @ NYY	2.2	0.87	1.29	0.59	0.69	0.04	0.43
15	Mason Miller	CHC @ SD	2.1	0.98	1.69	0.48	0.58	0.02	0.31
16	Josh Hader	CWS @ HOU	2.0	0.99	1.49	0.38	0.51	0.04	0.25
17	Garrett Whitlock	BOS @ NYY	1.9	0.89	1.07	0.19	0.65	0.03	0.32
18	Enyel De Los Santos	CWS @ HOU	1.9	0.93	0.92	0.38	0.77	0.05	0.47
19	Bradgley Rodriguez	CHC @ SD	1.8	0.92	1.01	0.41	0.82	0.04	0.53
20	Dylan Lee	PHI @ ATL	1.8	0.90	1.12	0.18	0.81	0.01	0.41
21	Yuki Matsui	CHC @ SD	1.8	0.90	0.98	0.62	0.66	0.04	0.51
22	Didier Fuentes	PHI @ ATL	1.6	0.90	1.13	0.28	0.82	0.03	0.47
23	Aroldis Chapman	BOS @ NYY	1.6	0.95	1.44	0.42	0.61	0.02	0.28
24	José Alvarado	PHI @ ATL	1.6	0.89	1.11	0.37	0.89	0.03	0.48
25	Michael Fulmer	BOS @ NYY	1.6	0.92	1.06	0.52	0.67	0.03	0.43
26	Bryan Hudson	CWS @ HOU	1.5	0.89	0.86	0.31	0.79	0.06	0.46
27	Ryan Zeferjahn	CHC @ SD	1.5	0.89	1.13	0.52	0.68	0.08	0.43
28	Tyron Guerrero	BOS @ NYY	1.5	0.89	0.94	0.25	0.71	0.03	0.38
29	Greg Weissert	BOS @ NYY	1.5	0.89	0.95	0.33	0.84	0.02	0.51
30	Raisel Iglesias	PHI @ ATL	1.5	0.98	1.17	0.22	0.81	0.02	0.38
31	Paul Blackburn	BOS @ NYY	1.5	0.89	0.83	0.32	0.76	0.03	0.44
32	Dylan Dodd	PHI @ ATL	1.4	0.91	0.90	0.21	0.73	0.03	0.35
33	Jonathan Bowlan	PHI @ ATL	1.4	0.86	0.98	0.29	0.77	0.05	0.44
34	Jordan Hicks	CWS @ HOU	1.3	0.88	1.06	0.56	0.85	0.09	0.60
35	Trevor Richards	CWS @ HOU	1.3	0.93	0.89	0.35	0.73	0.04	0.44
36	Grant Taylor	CWS @ HOU	1.3	0.97	1.21	0.37	0.80	0.04	0.40
37	Caleb Thielbar	CHC @ SD	1.3	0.87	0.97	0.40	0.75	0.02	0.44
38	Victor Mederos	PHI @ ATL	1.3	0.92	0.94	0.44	0.86	0.05	0.50
39	Jhoan Durán	PHI @ ATL	1.2	0.96	1.20	0.24	0.87	0.02	0.41
40	Brooks Raley	PHI @ ATL	1.2	0.88	0.86	0.28	0.74	0.04	0.43
41	David Bednar	BOS @ NYY	1.1	0.98	1.11	0.32	0.85	0.06	0.50
42	Bryan King	CWS @ HOU	1.1	0.94	1.03	0.33	0.80	0.11	0.46
43	Chase Shugart	PHI @ ATL	1.0	0.89	0.86	0.33	0.86	0.04	0.50
44	Daniel Palencia	CHC @ SD	1.0	0.88	0.90	0.34	0.76	0.05	0.50
45	Huascar Brazobán	CWS @ HOU	1.0	0.91	0.79	0.42	0.83	0.06	0.53
46	Tyler Davis	CWS @ HOU	1.0	0.93	0.82	0.42	0.83	0.05	0.49
47	Kai-Wei Teng	CWS @ HOU	0.9	0.96	1.00	0.52	0.80	0.14	0.46
48	Ray Kerr	PHI @ ATL	0.9	0.90	0.97	0.21	0.79	0.06	0.43
49	Brent Suter	PHI @ ATL	0.9	0.92	0.84	0.27	0.88	0.01	0.49
50	Tim Hill	BOS @ NYY	0.8	0.92	0.50	0.22	0.82	0.06	0.45
51	Kyle Hart	CHC @ SD	0.8	0.92	0.87	0.46	0.75	0.05	0.55
52	Jacob Webb	CHC @ SD	0.8	0.95	0.99	0.42	0.85	0.04	0.49
53	David Morgan	CHC @ SD	0.8	0.92	0.99	0.62	0.77	0.06	0.53
54	Ryan Rolison	CHC @ SD	0.8	0.90	0.72	0.47	0.88	0.02	0.52
55	Tim Mayza	PHI @ ATL	0.7	0.89	0.90	0.24	0.78	0.02	0.38
56	Tatsuya Imai	CWS @ HOU	0.7	0.95	1.14	0.60	0.78	0.04	0.45
57	Miguel Ullola	CWS @ HOU	0.7	0.96	1.03	0.44	0.70	0.09	0.40
58	Orion Kerkering	PHI @ ATL	0.7	0.88	0.89	0.47	0.72	0.04	0.49
59	John Schreiber	BOS @ NYY	0.6	0.93	0.76	0.40	0.70	0.07	0.40
60	Wyatt Olds	BOS @ NYY	0.5	0.89	1.09	0.34	0.74	0.06	0.42
61	Ronel Blanco	CWS @ HOU	0.5	0.95	1.01	0.64	0.75	0.06	0.62
62	Trent Thornton	CHC @ SD	0.5	0.90	0.68	0.39	0.90	0.08	0.58
63	Aaron Civale	CHC @ SD	0.5	0.89	0.69	0.31	0.89	0.05	0.53
64	Alex Mcfarlane	PHI @ ATL	0.5	0.88	0.88	0.31	0.88	0.03	0.50
65	Jovani Morán	BOS @ NYY	0.5	0.89	1.12	0.52	0.68	0.02	0.44
66	Ryan Yarbrough	BOS @ NYY	0.5	0.93	0.74	0.28	0.74	0.09	0.44
67	Robert Suarez	PHI @ ATL	0.4	0.91	0.95	0.24	0.71	0.03	0.34
68	Sean Newcomb	CWS @ HOU	0.4	0.93	0.89	0.35	0.83	0.07	0.45
69	Fernando Cruz	BOS @ NYY	0.4	0.92	1.14	0.43	0.61	0.06	0.43
70	Raymond Burgos	BOS @ NYY	0.4	0.87	0.83	0.25	0.84	0.02	0.45
71	Wandy Peralta	CHC @ SD	0.4	0.96	0.66	0.51	0.80	0.08	0.54
72	Alec Gamboa	BOS @ NYY	0.4	0.91	0.75	0.42	0.82	0.03	0.53
73	Javier Assad	CHC @ SD	0.4	0.90	0.74	0.28	0.80	0.06	0.48
74	Yerry De Los Santos	BOS @ NYY	0.4	0.94	0.81	0.41	0.87	0.02	0.58
75	Jeremiah Estrada	CHC @ SD	0.4	0.92	1.15	0.62	0.73	0.03	0.42
76	Josh Hendrickson	CWS @ HOU	0.4	0.93	1.21	0.40	0.73	0.02	0.45
77	Logan Vanwey	CWS @ HOU	0.3	0.96	1.09	0.22	0.75	0.13	0.41
78	Tyler Schweitzer	CWS @ HOU	0.3	0.91	0.46	0.32	0.82	0.02	0.46
79	Griffin Canning	CHC @ SD	0.3	0.96	1.06	0.61	1.05	0.06	0.71
80	Brayan Bello	BOS @ NYY	0.3	0.89	0.75	0.31	0.82	0.03	0.47
81	Colin Rea	CHC @ SD	0.3	0.91	0.66	0.25	0.89	0.03	0.50
82	Duncan Davitt	PHI @ ATL	0.3	0.89	1.01	0.28	0.89	0.04	0.51
83	Owen Murphy	PHI @ ATL	0.3	0.91	0.98	0.30	0.90	0.02	0.53
84	Edward Cabrera	CHC @ SD	0.2	0.94	0.89	0.54	0.85	0.02	0.54
85	Erick Fedde	CWS @ HOU	0.2	0.90	0.58	0.30	0.78	0.03	0.46
86	Luis Gil	BOS @ NYY	0.2	0.93	0.74	0.58	0.83	0.02	0.59
87	Bradley Hanner	BOS @ NYY	0.2	0.93	0.92	0.34	0.74	0.07	0.42
88	Carson Kelly	CHC @ SD	0.2	0.94	0.87	0.35	0.92	0.04	0.38
89	Noah Schultz	CWS @ HOU	0.2	0.88	0.83	0.39	0.83	0.09	0.63
90	Chris Murphy	CWS @ HOU	0.2	0.93	0.92	0.39	0.76	0.09	0.45
91	Jason Adam	CHC @ SD	0.2	0.95	0.84	0.33	0.84	0.10	0.57
92	Luis Castillo	CWS @ HOU	0.2	0.92	0.62	0.31	0.83	0.05	0.48
93	Aj Smith-Shawver	PHI @ ATL	0.2	0.93	0.82	0.52	0.88	0.02	0.51
94	Lamonte Wade	CWS @ HOU	0.2	0.90	1.05	0.21	0.74	0.07	0.19
95	Jedixson Paez	BOS @ NYY	0.1	0.94	0.80	0.39	0.87	0.03	0.49
96	Clarke Schmidt	BOS @ NYY	0.1	0.94	1.12	0.22	0.53	0.00	0.22
97	Tanner Banks	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.85	0.90	0.21	0.99	0.00	0.59
98	Elieser Hernández	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.95	0.85	0.30	0.70	0.07	0.30
99	Jake Bennett	BOS @ NYY	0.1	0.90	0.94	0.19	0.88	0.00	0.50
100	Tyler Ferguson	CHC @ SD	0.1	0.87	1.17	0.39	0.61	0.03	0.33
101	Danny Young	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.94	1.27	0.38	0.97	0.12	0.45
102	Andruw Monasterio	BOS @ NYY	0.1	0.84	0.93	0.34	0.79	0.05	0.46
103	Ethan Pecko	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.96	0.89	0.56	0.77	0.10	0.53
104	Sean Burke	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.90	1.11	0.46	0.69	0.00	0.34
105	Randy Vásquez	CHC @ SD	0.1	0.93	0.54	0.35	0.72	0.04	0.44
106	Bailey Falter	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.96	0.69	0.32	1.29	0.02	0.62
107	Cristian Javier	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.96	1.18	0.58	0.93	0.04	0.69
108	Patrick Sandoval	BOS @ NYY	0.1	0.89	0.95	0.42	1.00	0.02	0.68
109	Blake Burkhalter	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.92	1.10	0.40	0.95	0.00	0.62
110	Jhony Brito	CHC @ SD	0.1	0.94	0.77	0.49	0.80	0.03	0.67
111	Will Warren	BOS @ NYY	0.1	0.96	1.04	0.42	1.11	0.02	0.67
112	Tyler Kinley	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.90	0.86	0.31	0.83	0.03	0.43
113	Grant Holmes	PHI @ ATL	0.1	0.93	0.79	0.41	0.88	0.00	0.32
114	José Urquidy	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.90	0.64	0.43	0.99	0.06	0.70
115	Alexander Cornielle	BOS @ NYY	0.1	1.00	1.08	0.48	0.88	0.08	0.52
116	Gavin Hollowell	CHC @ SD	0.1	0.88	0.69	0.49	0.82	0.05	0.49
117	Brendan Beck	BOS @ NYY	0.1	0.96	0.86	0.64	0.96	0.04	0.46
118	Tyler Gilbert	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.92	0.85	0.61	0.85	0.12	0.55
119	Davis Martin	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.92	0.70	0.38	0.89	0.19	0.51
120	Jonathan Cannon	CWS @ HOU	0.1	0.88	0.57	0.32	0.68	0.00	0.39
121	David Peterson	CHC @ SD	0.1	0.92	0.66	0.55	0.95	0.00	0.47
122	Braxton Garrett	CHC @ SD	0.0	0.86	1.18	0.47	0.76	0.06	0.53
123	Justin Topa	BOS @ NYY	0.0	0.95	0.73	0.35	0.95	0.16	0.62
124	José Urquidy	PHI @ ATL	0.0	0.91	0.92	0.39	1.22	0.03	0.75
125	Max Lazar	PHI @ ATL	0.0	0.83	0.62	0.28	0.92	0.03	0.69
126	Luisangel Acuña	CWS @ HOU	-0.0	0.94	0.91	0.44	1.38	0.03	1.09
127	Grant Holman	PHI @ ATL	-0.0	0.89	0.61	0.46	1.14	0.04	0.86
128	Garrett Stubbs	PHI @ ATL	-0.0	0.90	0.57	0.52	1.71	0.10	1.05

MLB predictions Tue, Sep 29

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