College Football predictions Week 9, 2026
Win probabilities, projected scores, spreads and totals for every FBS game. FCS games are labeled and left out of the record. Methodology →
56 games on this slate · 144–78 last 30 days →
Games
Delaware
Western Kentucky
Set at line DEL -2.5 · model WKU -4.9
Sam Houston
Missouri State
Set at line MOST -6.5 · model MOST -7.1
Kennesaw State
Middle Tennessee
Set at line MTSU -3.5 · model MTSU -3.8
Jacksonville State
New Mexico State
Set at line JXST -2.5 · model JXST -5.9
Florida Atlantic
North Texas
Set at line UNT -12.5 · model UNT -19.7
Troy
James Madison
Set at line JMU -17.5 · model JMU -19.1
Tulane
Charlotte
Set at line TULN -13.5 · model TULN -16.8
Baylor
UCF
Set at line UCF -2.5 · model BAY -0.2
Kent State
Sacramento State
Arizona
Texas Tech
Set at line TTU -7.5 · model TTU -4.2
California
NC State
Set at line NCSU -7.5 · model NCSU -11.9
SMU
Syracuse
Set at line SMU -9.5 · model SMU -11.7
Boston College
Duke
Set at line DUKE -7.5 · model DUKE -3.1
Wisconsin
Iowa
Set at line IOWA -4.5 · model IOWA -5.7
Model now IOWA -1.6, leans WIS
Illinois
Maryland
Set at line ILL -2.5 · model ILL -5.4
Notre Dame
Navy
Set at line ND -28.5 · model ND -22.0
UAB
South Florida
Set at line USF -8.5 · model USF -9.1
Bowling Green
Western Michigan
Set at line WMU -13.5 · model WMU -10.7
Michigan
Rutgers
Set at line MICH -14.0 · model MICH -19.6
Auburn
Ole Miss
Set at line MISS -10.5 · model MISS -10.9
Model now MISS -9.7, leans AUB
Marshall
Old Dominion
Set at line MRSH -3.0 · model MRSH -4.9
Kansas State
Colorado
Set at line KSU -3.5 · model KSU -4.6
Coastal Carolina
Georgia State
Set at line GAST -6.5 · model GAST -15.3
UConn
Air Force
Set at line AF -3.0 · model AF -5.3
Temple
East Carolina
Set at line ECU -6.0 · model ECU -9.1
Louisiana Tech
South Alabama
Set at line LT -5.5 · model LT -9.2
Stanford
Louisville
Set at line LOU -21.5 · model LOU -27.9
Florida
Georgia
Set at line UGA -10.5 · model UGA -14.4
Arizona State
BYU
Set at line BYU -16.5 · model BYU -20.7
Model now BYU -13.2, leans ASU
Kansas
TCU
Set at line TCU -5.5 · model TCU -1.7
Minnesota
Indiana
Set at line IU -22.5 · model IU -26.7
Northwestern
Oregon
Set at line ORE -7.5 · model ORE -8.2
Model now ORE -4.1, leans NU
Colorado State
Utah State
Set at line USU -7.0 · model USU -13.0
UTEP
North Dakota State
Florida International
Liberty
Set at line LIB -14.5 · model LIB -18.0
Southern Miss
UL Monroe
Set at line USM -3.5 · model USM -0.2
Utah
Cincinnati
Set at line UTAH -9.5 · model UTAH -13.5
Virginia
Wake Forest
Set at line WAKE -13.5 · model WAKE -16.4
New Mexico
San José State
Set at line UNM -14.5 · model UNM -9.4
South Carolina
Oklahoma
Set at line OU -5.5 · model OU -8.1
Purdue
Penn State
Set at line PSU -7.5 · model PSU -10.5
Nevada
UCLA
Set at line UCLA -23.5 · model UCLA -26.4
App State
Georgia Southern
Oklahoma State
Iowa State
Set at line OKST -9.5 · model OKST -3.7
Clemson
Florida State
Set at line FSU -5.5 · model FSU -6.1
Washington State
San Diego State
Set at line SDSU -2.5 · model WSU -2.9
Mississippi State
Texas
Set at line TEX -20.5 · model TEX -15.6
Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh
Set at line PITT -7.5 · model PITT -10.2
Miami
North Carolina
Set at line MIA -14.5 · model MIA -16.0
Ohio State
USC
Set at line OSU -6.5 · model OSU -9.5
Missouri
Arkansas
Set at line MIZ -10.5 · model MIZ -4.0
Washington
Nebraska
Set at line NEB -9.5 · model NEB -4.6
Army
Memphis
Set at line MEM -6.5 · model MEM -9.3
Texas State
Boise State
Set at line BOIS -11.5 · model BOIS -10.3
Northern Illinois
UNLV
Set at line UNLV -24.5 · model UNLV -24.0
Oregon State
Fresno State
Set at line ORST -6.5 · model ORST -5.6
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- WKU -5.3
- First line
- DEL -2.5
- Latest
- WKU -1.5
WKU -1.5 at -105 · opened DEL -2.5
- Model
- 62.5%
- First line
- 44.9%
- Latest
- 51.1%
Moneyline WKU -115 / DEL -105 (vig removed) · opened 44.9%
- Model
- 51.2
- First line
- 58.5
- Latest
- 56.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 58.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 45.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 9:41 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MOST -8.3
- First line
- MOST -6.0
- Latest
- MOST -5.5
MOST -5.5 at -110 · opened MOST -6.0
- Model
- 70.2%
- First line
- 66.4%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline MOST -218 / SHSU +180 (vig removed) · opened 66.4%
- Model
- 47.8
- First line
- 51.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 65.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 9:41 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MTSU -3.8
- First line
- MTSU -2.5
- Latest
- MTSU -3.0
MTSU -3.0 at -110 · opened MTSU -2.5
- Model
- 59.5%
- First line
- 55.1%
- Latest
- 58.3%
Moneyline MTSU -155 / KENN +130 (vig removed) · opened 55.1%
- Model
- 51.4
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -102 / Under -118 · opened 48.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 3 captures, first 58.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- JXST -5.2
- First line
- JXST -3.0
- Latest
- JXST -3.0
JXST -3.0 at -118
- Model
- 62.5%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 59.3%
Moneyline NMSU +136 / JXST -162 (vig removed) · opened 56.3%
- Model
- 48.3
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 56.9%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UNT -20.4
- First line
- UNT -12.5
- Latest
- UNT -13.5
UNT -13.5 at -108 · opened UNT -12.5
- Model
- 88.0%
- First line
- 79.1%
- Latest
- 79.6%
Moneyline UNT -485 / FAU +370 (vig removed) · opened 79.1%
- Model
- 72.5
- First line
- 70.5
- Latest
- 76.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 70.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 79.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- JMU -19.9
- First line
- JMU -17.5
- Latest
- JMU -21.0
JMU -21.0 at -112 · opened JMU -17.5
- Model
- 88.9%
- First line
- 85.2%
- Latest
- 90.4%
Moneyline JMU -1600 / TROY +900 (vig removed) · opened 85.2%
- Model
- 49.9
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 50.5
Over -118 / Under -102 · opened 52.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 85.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- TULN -16.8
- First line
- TULN -13.5
- Latest
- TULN -10.0
TULN -10.0 at -112 · opened TULN -13.5
- Model
- 85.7%
- First line
- 80.8%
- Latest
- 76.6%
Moneyline CLT +310 / TULN -395 (vig removed) · opened 80.8%
- Model
- 41.5
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 80.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- BAY -0.7
- First line
- UCF -2.5
- Latest
- UCF -1.5
UCF -1.5 at +100 · opened UCF -2.5
- Model
- 51.6%
- First line
- 47.4%
- Latest
- 50.0%
Moneyline UCF -110 / BAY -110 (vig removed) · opened 47.4%
- Model
- 54.9
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 47.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 48.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 47.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- SAC -2.3
- First line
- KENT -10.0
- Latest
- KENT -10.0
KENT -10.0 at -112
- Model
- 55.9%
- First line
- 24.0%
- Latest
- 22.8%
Moneyline SAC +320 / KENT -410 (vig removed) · opened 24.0%
- Model
- 38.3
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 24.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- ARIZ -1.6
- First line
- TTU -7.5
- Latest
- TTU -3.0
TTU -3.0 at -118 · opened TTU -7.5
- Model
- 53.8%
- First line
- 28.6%
- Latest
- 40.7%
Moneyline TTU -162 / ARIZ +136 (vig removed) · opened 28.6%
- Model
- 49.9
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 54.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 52.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 28.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- NCSU -11.9
- First line
- NCSU -7.0
- Latest
- NCSU -7.0
NCSU -7.0 at -115
- Model
- 76.9%
- First line
- 70.5%
- Latest
- 70.5%
Moneyline NCSU -278 / CAL +225 (vig removed)
- Model
- 53.5
- First line
- 56.5
- Latest
- 56.5
Over -112 / Under -108
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 72.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- SMU -11.7
- First line
- SMU -9.5
- Latest
- SMU -9.5
SMU -9.5 at -115
- Model
- 76.0%
- First line
- 74.1%
- Latest
- 74.1%
Moneyline SYR +270 / SMU -340 (vig removed)
- Model
- 54.8
- First line
- 56.5
- Latest
- 58.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 56.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 74.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- DUKE -3.1
- First line
- DUKE -7.0
- Latest
- DUKE -7.0
DUKE -7.0 at -110
- Model
- 57.5%
- First line
- 70.5%
- Latest
- 70.5%
Moneyline DUKE -278 / BC +225 (vig removed)
- Model
- 50.5
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 48.5
Over -108 / Under -112
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 71.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- IOWA -1.6
- First line
- IOWA -4.5
- Latest
- IOWA -3.5
IOWA -3.5 at -105 · opened IOWA -4.5
- Model
- 54.0%
- First line
- 62.2%
- Latest
- 61.6%
Moneyline IOWA -180 / WIS +150 (vig removed) · opened 62.2%
- Model
- 36.9
- First line
- 39.5
- Latest
- 36.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 39.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 62.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- ILL -5.4
- First line
- ILL -2.5
- Latest
- ILL -2.5
ILL -2.5 at -115
- Model
- 62.9%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline MD +120 / ILL -142 (vig removed)
- Model
- 53.3
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 52.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 56.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- ND -26.0
- First line
- ND -28.5
- Latest
- ND -30.5
ND -30.5 at -105 · opened ND -28.5
- Model
- 95.5%
- First line
- 95.8%
- Latest
- 95.4%
Moneyline NAVY +2000 / ND -6500 (vig removed) · opened 95.8%
- Model
- 47.7
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 54.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 95.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- USF -9.1
- First line
- USF -8.5
- Latest
- USF -8.5
USF -8.5 at -105
- Model
- 71.2%
- First line
- 72.2%
- Latest
- 72.2%
Moneyline USF -305 / UAB +245 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.7
- First line
- 42.5
- Latest
- 42.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- WMU -10.7
- First line
- WMU -13.5
- Latest
- WMU -13.5
WMU -13.5 at -110
- Model
- 75.9%
- First line
- 81.2%
- Latest
- 81.2%
Moneyline WMU -550 / BGSU +410 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.5
- First line
- 43.5
- Latest
- 43.5
Over -118 / Under -102
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MICH -19.2
- First line
- MICH -14.0
- Latest
- MICH -14.0
MICH -14.0 at -112
- Model
- 88.6%
- First line
- 82.7%
- Latest
- 82.2%
Moneyline RUTG +440 / MICH -600 (vig removed) · opened 82.7%
- Model
- 47.2
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Over -118 / Under -102 · opened 47.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 82.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MISS -9.7
- First line
- MISS -10.5
- Latest
- MISS -13.5
MISS -13.5 at -110 · opened MISS -10.5
- Model
- 71.4%
- First line
- 77.2%
- Latest
- 80.8%
Moneyline MISS -535 / AUB +400 (vig removed) · opened 77.2%
- Model
- 61.3
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 57.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 77.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MRSH -4.9
- First line
- MRSH -3.0
- Latest
- MRSH -3.0
MRSH -3.0 at -105
- Model
- 61.6%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline ODU +120 / MRSH -142 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.4
- First line
- 45.5
- Latest
- 45.5
Over -105 / Under -115
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- KSU -4.7
- First line
- KSU -2.5
- Latest
- KSU -2.5
KSU -2.5 at -112
- Model
- 61.2%
- First line
- 55.1%
- Latest
- 55.1%
Moneyline COLO +114 / KSU -135 (vig removed)
- Model
- 49.1
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 48.5
Over -105 / Under -115
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 57.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- GAST -15.3
- First line
- GAST -6.5
- Latest
- GAST -6.5
GAST -6.5 at -112
- Model
- 82.9%
- First line
- 68.1%
- Latest
- 68.1%
Moneyline GAST -245 / CCU +200 (vig removed)
- Model
- 54.4
- First line
- 59.5
- Latest
- 59.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- AF -5.3
- First line
- AF -3.0
- Latest
- AF -3.0
AF -3.0 at -110
- Model
- 63.0%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Latest
- 58.3%
Moneyline AF -155 / CONN +130 (vig removed)
- Model
- 57.2
- First line
- 54.5
- Latest
- 54.5
Over -105 / Under -115
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- ECU -9.1
- First line
- ECU -6.0
- Latest
- ECU -6.0
ECU -6.0 at -110
- Model
- 70.9%
- First line
- 66.9%
- Latest
- 66.9%
Moneyline ECU -230 / TEM +190 (vig removed)
- Model
- 54.2
- First line
- 49.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -115 / Under -105
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- LT -9.2
- First line
- LT -5.5
- Latest
- LT -5.5
LT -5.5 at -108
- Model
- 71.4%
- First line
- 65.7%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline USA +180 / LT -218 (vig removed)
- Model
- 54.2
- First line
- 57.5
- Latest
- 57.5
Over -105 / Under -115
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- LOU -27.9
- First line
- LOU -22.5
- Latest
- LOU -22.5
LOU -22.5 at -110
- Model
- 95.8%
- First line
- 91.2%
- Latest
- 91.2%
Moneyline LOU -1800 / STAN +1000 (vig removed)
- Model
- 56.9
- First line
- 61.5
- Latest
- 61.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 91.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UGA -14.4
- First line
- UGA -10.5
- Latest
- UGA -10.5
UGA -10.5 at -115
- Model
- 81.8%
- First line
- 77.2%
- Latest
- 78.2%
Moneyline UGA -440 / FLA +340 (vig removed) · opened 77.2%
- Model
- 54.3
- First line
- 56.5
- Latest
- 56.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 77.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- BYU -13.2
- First line
- BYU -17.5
- Latest
- BYU -16.5
BYU -16.5 at -108 · opened BYU -17.5
- Model
- 78.9%
- First line
- 85.8%
- Latest
- 84.7%
Moneyline BYU -750 / ASU +525 (vig removed) · opened 85.8%
- Model
- 50.5
- First line
- 51.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 85.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- TCU -2.2
- First line
- TCU -6.0
- Latest
- TCU -6.0
TCU -6.0 at -108
- Model
- 55.5%
- First line
- 65.7%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline TCU -218 / KU +180 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.3
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 48.5
Over -102 / Under -118
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 63.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- IU -22.9
- First line
- IU -22.5
- Latest
- IU -19.5
IU -19.5 at -110 · opened IU -22.5
- Model
- 93.2%
- First line
- 92.0%
- Latest
- 89.9%
Moneyline IU -1450 / MINN +850 (vig removed) · opened 92.0%
- Model
- 40.0
- First line
- 45.5
- Latest
- 42.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 45.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 92.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- ORE -4.1
- First line
- ORE -7.5
- Latest
- ORE -3.5
ORE -3.5 at -110 · opened ORE -7.5
- Model
- 60.0%
- First line
- 70.0%
- Latest
- 60.9%
Moneyline ORE -175 / NU +145 (vig removed) · opened 70.0%
- Model
- 47.0
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 70.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- USU -13.0
- First line
- USU -7.0
- Latest
- USU -7.0
USU -7.0 at -105
- Model
- 78.8%
- First line
- 66.9%
- Latest
- 66.9%
Moneyline USU -230 / CSU +190 (vig removed)
- Model
- 56.4
- First line
- 63.5
- Latest
- 63.5
Over -108 / Under -112
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- NDSU -25.4
- First line
- NDSU -25.5
- Latest
- NDSU -25.5
NDSU -25.5 at -105
- Model
- 94.7%
- First line
- 94.3%
- Latest
- 94.3%
Moneyline NDSU -4000 / UTEP +1600 (vig removed)
- Model
- 37.8
- First line
- 43.5
- Latest
- 43.5
Over -112 / Under -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- LIB -18.0
- First line
- LIB -14.5
- Latest
- LIB -14.5
LIB -14.5 at -105
- Model
- 87.4%
- First line
- 82.7%
- Latest
- 82.7%
Moneyline LIB -625 / FIU +455 (vig removed)
- Model
- 46.6
- First line
- 45.5
- Latest
- 45.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- USM -0.2
- First line
- USM -3.5
- Latest
- USM -3.5
USM -3.5 at -108
- Model
- 50.4%
- First line
- 60.4%
- Latest
- 60.4%
Moneyline ULM +142 / USM -170 (vig removed)
- Model
- 50.0
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 53.5
Over -112 / Under -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UTAH -12.6
- First line
- UTAH -9.5
- Latest
- UTAH -6.5
UTAH -6.5 at -115 · opened UTAH -9.5
- Model
- 78.1%
- First line
- 74.1%
- Latest
- 69.1%
Moneyline CIN +210 / UTAH -258 (vig removed) · opened 74.1%
- Model
- 56.2
- First line
- 56.5
- Latest
- 58.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 56.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 74.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- WAKE -16.4
- First line
- WAKE -13.5
- Latest
- WAKE -14.0
WAKE -14.0 at -110 · opened WAKE -13.5
- Model
- 84.5%
- First line
- 80.0%
- Latest
- 82.7%
Moneyline WAKE -625 / UVA +455 (vig removed) · opened 80.0%
- Model
- 50.1
- First line
- 49.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -108 / Under -112
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 80.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UNM -9.4
- First line
- UNM -14.5
- Latest
- UNM -14.5
UNM -14.5 at -110
- Model
- 72.1%
- First line
- 83.7%
- Latest
- 83.7%
Moneyline SJSU +490 / UNM -675 (vig removed)
- Model
- 45.4
- First line
- 41.5
- Latest
- 41.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- OU -6.5
- First line
- OU -5.5
- Latest
- OU -5.5
OU -5.5 at -108
- Model
- 65.9%
- First line
- 63.7%
- Latest
- 63.7%
Moneyline OU -198 / SC +164 (vig removed)
- Model
- 42.8
- First line
- 43.5
- Latest
- 44.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 43.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 63.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- PSU -10.5
- First line
- PSU -7.5
- Latest
- PSU -7.5
PSU -7.5 at -112
- Model
- 74.3%
- First line
- 72.2%
- Latest
- 72.2%
Moneyline PSU -305 / PUR +245 (vig removed)
- Model
- 52.6
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 53.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 70.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UCLA -26.4
- First line
- UCLA -23.5
- Latest
- UCLA -22.5
UCLA -22.5 at -105 · opened UCLA -23.5
- Model
- 95.4%
- First line
- 92.6%
- Latest
- 91.2%
Moneyline UCLA -1800 / NEV +1000 (vig removed) · opened 92.6%
- Model
- 41.3
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 44.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 48.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 92.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- OKST -3.9
- First line
- OKST -8.5
- Latest
- OKST -8.5
OKST -8.5 at -110
- Model
- 59.6%
- First line
- 74.1%
- Latest
- 74.1%
Moneyline ISU +270 / OKST -340 (vig removed)
- Model
- 52.8
- First line
- 56.5
- Latest
- 56.5
Over -115 / Under -105
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 73.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- FSU -6.6
- First line
- FSU -5.5
- Latest
- FSU -6.0
FSU -6.0 at -108 · opened FSU -5.5
- Model
- 65.5%
- First line
- 63.7%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline FSU -218 / CLEM +180 (vig removed) · opened 63.7%
- Model
- 51.6
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -115 / Under -105 · opened 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 63.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- WSU -2.9
- First line
- SDSU -2.5
- Latest
- SDSU -2.5
SDSU -2.5 at -110
- Model
- 57.1%
- First line
- 44.9%
- Latest
- 44.9%
Moneyline SDSU -135 / WSU +114 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.3
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 48.5
Over -110 / Under -110
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- TEX -15.6
- First line
- TEX -20.5
- Latest
- TEX -21.0
TEX -21.0 at -108 · opened TEX -20.5
- Model
- 82.3%
- First line
- 89.3%
- Latest
- 89.9%
Moneyline TEX -1450 / MSST +850 (vig removed) · opened 89.3%
- Model
- 52.7
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 89.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- PITT -10.2
- First line
- PITT -7.5
- Latest
- PITT -7.5
PITT -7.5 at -108
- Model
- 73.6%
- First line
- 72.2%
- Latest
- 72.2%
Moneyline PITT -305 / GT +245 (vig removed)
- Model
- 52.6
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 53.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 70.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MIA -14.9
- First line
- MIA -14.5
- Latest
- MIA -14.5
MIA -14.5 at -112
- Model
- 82.4%
- First line
- 82.7%
- Latest
- 83.7%
Moneyline UNC +490 / MIA -675 (vig removed) · opened 82.7%
- Model
- 53.4
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 52.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 82.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- OSU -10.5
- First line
- OSU -7.0
- Latest
- OSU -7.0
OSU -7.0 at -105
- Model
- 74.7%
- First line
- 68.5%
- Latest
- 69.6%
Moneyline USC +215 / OSU -265 (vig removed) · opened 68.5%
- Model
- 53.0
- First line
- 54.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 54.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 68.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MIZ -4.0
- First line
- MIZ -10.5
- Latest
- MIZ -10.0
MIZ -10.0 at -108 · opened MIZ -10.5
- Model
- 59.8%
- First line
- 75.7%
- Latest
- 76.0%
Moneyline ARK +300 / MIZ -380 (vig removed) · opened 75.7%
- Model
- 48.4
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 47.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 76.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- NEB -4.6
- First line
- NEB -9.5
- Latest
- NEB -8.5
NEB -8.5 at -108 · opened NEB -9.5
- Model
- 61.4%
- First line
- 73.4%
- Latest
- 73.4%
Moneyline NEB -325 / WASH +260 (vig removed)
- Model
- 47.1
- First line
- 49.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 74.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 9:41 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- MEM -9.3
- First line
- MEM -6.5
- Latest
- MEM -6.5
MEM -6.5 at -110
- Model
- 72.6%
- First line
- 68.1%
- Latest
- 68.1%
Moneyline MEM -245 / ARMY +200 (vig removed)
- Model
- 55.1
- First line
- 58.5
- Latest
- 58.5
Over -108 / Under -112
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- BOIS -10.3
- First line
- BOIS -11.5
- Latest
- BOIS -11.5
BOIS -11.5 at -108
- Model
- 73.2%
- First line
- 79.1%
- Latest
- 79.1%
Moneyline BOIS -470 / TXST +360 (vig removed)
- Model
- 60.4
- First line
- 63.5
- Latest
- 63.5
Over -112 / Under -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- UNLV -24.0
- First line
- UNLV -24.5
- Latest
- UNLV -24.5
UNLV -24.5 at -102
- Model
- 93.5%
- First line
- 92.6%
- Latest
- 92.6%
Moneyline UNLV -2400 / NIU +1200 (vig removed)
- Model
- 50.2
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 53.5
Over -112 / Under -108
- First line
- DraftKings · 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- ORST -5.6
- First line
- ORST -7.0
- Latest
- ORST -5.5
ORST -5.5 at -112 · opened ORST -7.0
- Model
- 63.4%
- First line
- 69.1%
- Latest
- 66.4%
Moneyline FRES +185 / ORST -225 (vig removed) · opened 69.1%
- Model
- 55.1
- First line
- 56.5
- Latest
- 56.5
Over -115 / Under -105
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 69.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →