College Football predictions Week 8, 2026
Win probabilities, projected scores, spreads and totals for every FBS game. FCS games are labeled and left out of the record. Methodology →
56 games on this slate · model went 32–22 · 144–79 last 30 days →
Games
Middle Tennessee
Florida International
Set at line FIU -10.5 · model FIU -10.9
Missouri State
Delaware
Set at line DEL -2.5 · model DEL -4.8
South Alabama
Marshall
Set at line USA -2.5 · model MRSH -9.0
New Mexico State
Sam Houston
Set at line NMSU -2.5 · model NMSU -6.6
James Madison
App State
Set at line JMU -10.5 · model JMU -16.9
Liberty
Kennesaw State
Set at line LIB -8.5 · model LIB -14.2
East Carolina
Memphis
Set at line MEM -9.5 · model MEM -8.8
Duke
Virginia
Set at line UVA -2.5 · model UVA -1.1
Massachusetts
UConn
Set at line CONN -16.5 · model CONN -12.8
Army
Tulsa
Set at line TLSA -1.5 · model ARMY -3.3
Air Force
Wyoming
Set at line AF -7.0 · model AF -7.7
NC State
Stanford
Set at line NCSU -7.5 · model NCSU -9.9
LSU
Auburn
Set at line LSU -6.5 · model LSU -6.6
Texas Tech
Cincinnati
Set at line TTU -11.5 · model TTU -6.1
West Virginia
TCU
Set at line TCU -6.5 · model TCU -18.3
California
SMU
Set at line SMU -17.5 · model SMU -20.3
Pittsburgh
Miami
Set at line MIA -23.5 · model MIA -19.4
Indiana
Michigan
Set at line IU -8.5 · model IU -7.0
Rutgers
Northwestern
Set at line NU -16.5 · model NU -14.9
Rice
Florida Atlantic
Set at line FAU -10.0 · model FAU -7.4
Western Michigan
Toledo
Set at line TOL -3.0 · model TOL -10.4
Baylor
Kansas
Set at line BAY -2.5 · model KU -6.8
Akron
Kent State
Set at line KENT -3.0 · model KENT -2.8
Miami (OH)
Central Michigan
Set at line M-OH -2.5 · model CMU -1.7
Oregon
Illinois
Set at line ORE -11.5 · model ORE -9.2
Texas A&M
Alabama
Set at line ALA -15.5 · model ALA -19.1
Oklahoma
Mississippi State
Set at line OU -2.5 · model OU -5.1
Tennessee
South Carolina
Set at line TENN -1.5 · model TENN -2.1
BYU
UCF
Set at line BYU -7.5 · model BYU -13.0
Boston College
Georgia Tech
Set at line GT -4.5 · model GT -5.7
Iowa
Minnesota
Set at line IOWA -4.5 · model IOWA -13.1
Michigan State
UCLA
Set at line UCLA -13.5 · model UCLA -18.1
North Texas
Navy
Set at line UNT -1.5 · model NAVY -3.3
Hawai'i
Northern Illinois
Set at line HAW -4.5 · model HAW -8.4
Sacramento State
Ball State
Bowling Green
Buffalo
Set at line BUF -3.5 · model BUF -4.3
Kansas State
Arizona State
Set at line KSU -3.5 · model KSU -8.7
Eastern Michigan
Ohio
Set at line OHIO -11.5 · model OHIO -18.7
UL Monroe
Troy
Set at line TROY -16.5 · model TROY -13.9
San José State
Nevada
Set at line NEV -5.5 · model NEV -3.9
Louisiana
Southern Miss
Set at line UL -10.0 · model UL -10.0
Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech
Set at line LT -11.5 · model LT -4.4
Boise State
Washington State
Set at line BOIS -13.5 · model BOIS -12.6
San Diego State
Colorado State
Set at line SDSU -3.5 · model SDSU -0.3
Colorado
Oklahoma State
Set at line OKST -13.5 · model OKST -2.1
Virginia Tech
Clemson
Set at line VT -1.5 · model CLEM -3.9
Georgia State
Arkansas State
Set at line GAST -2.5 · model GAST -5.6
Vanderbilt
Kentucky
Set at line UK -9.5 · model UK -9.1
Ole Miss
Texas
Set at line TEX -6.5 · model TEX -4.9
Iowa State
Arizona
Set at line ARIZ -10.0 · model ARIZ -12.3
Syracuse
North Carolina
Set at line UNC -9.5 · model UNC -11.0
USC
Wisconsin
Set at line USC -1.5 · model WIS -1.3
Utah State
Texas State
Set at line TXST -8.5 · model TXST -13.0
UTSA
Tulane
Set at line UTSA -2.5 · model UTSA -3.1
North Dakota State
New Mexico
Houston
Utah
Set at line UTAH -6.5 · model UTAH -17.5
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Middle Tennessee 26, Florida International 23
- Result
- FIU lost by 3, needed to win by 11+
- Why
- Model FIU -10.9, first line FIU -10.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- FIU -10.9
- First line
- FIU -10.0
- Latest
- FIU -10.0
FIU -10.0 at -115
- Model
- 75.3%
- First line
- 77.2%
- Latest
- 76.0%
Moneyline FIU -380 / MTSU +300 (vig removed) · opened 77.2%
- Model
- 48.9
- First line
- 45.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 45.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 78.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Tue 6:41 PM ET · moneyline from Tue 10:45 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Missouri State 38, Delaware 61
- Result
- DEL won by 23, needed to win by 3+
- Why
- Model DEL -4.8, first line DEL -2.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- DEL -4.9
- First line
- DEL -3.0
- Latest
- DEL -3.5
DEL -3.5 at -105 · opened DEL -3.0
- Model
- 61.8%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline DEL -142 / MOST +120 (vig removed)
- Model
- 50.4
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 54.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 52.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 4 captures, first 55.9%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Tue 6:41 PM ET · moneyline from Tue 10:45 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- South Alabama 13, Marshall 20
- Result
- MRSH won by 7, could lose by up to 2
- Why
- Model MRSH -9.0, first line USA -2.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- MRSH -9.0
- First line
- USA -3.0
- Latest
- USA -2.5
USA -2.5 at -110 · opened USA -3.0
- Model
- 70.6%
- First line
- 40.7%
- Latest
- 43.7%
Moneyline MRSH +120 / USA -142 (vig removed) · opened 40.7%
- Model
- 61.9
- First line
- 62.5
- Latest
- 66.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 62.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 44.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Tue 6:41 PM ET · moneyline from Tue 10:45 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- New Mexico State 30, Sam Houston 24
- Result
- NMSU won by 6, needed to win by 3+
- Why
- Model NMSU -6.6, first line NMSU -2.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- NMSU -6.4
- First line
- NMSU -2.5
- Latest
- NMSU -3.0
NMSU -3.0 at -120 · opened NMSU -2.5
- Model
- 65.6%
- First line
- 55.1%
- Latest
- 55.1%
Moneyline SHSU +114 / NMSU -135 (vig removed)
- Model
- 41.8
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Over -118 / Under -102 · opened 47.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 56.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Wed 7:42 PM ET · moneyline from Wed 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- James Madison 31, App State 34
- Result
- JMU lost by 3, needed to win by 11+
- Why
- Model JMU -16.9, first line JMU -10.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- JMU -16.9
- First line
- JMU -10.5
- Latest
- JMU -12.5
JMU -12.5 at -112 · opened JMU -10.5
- Model
- 84.5%
- First line
- 77.7%
- Latest
- 78.7%
Moneyline APP +350 / JMU -455 (vig removed) · opened 77.7%
- Model
- 54.0
- First line
- 57.5
- Latest
- 56.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 57.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 77.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Thu 6:43 PM ET · moneyline from Thu 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Liberty 34, Kennesaw State 6
- Result
- LIB won by 28, needed to win by 9+
- Why
- Model LIB -14.2, first line LIB -8.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- LIB -14.1
- First line
- LIB -8.5
- Latest
- LIB -8.5
LIB -8.5 at -108
- Model
- 81.3%
- First line
- 74.1%
- Latest
- 76.0%
Moneyline KENN +300 / LIB -380 (vig removed) · opened 74.1%
- Model
- 51.2
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 50.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 47.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 74.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Fri 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Thu 6:43 PM ET · moneyline from Thu 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- East Carolina 34, Memphis 41
- Result
- ECU lost by 7, could lose by up to 9
- Why
- Model MEM -8.8, first line MEM -9.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- MEM -8.9
- First line
- MEM -9.5
- Latest
- MEM -10.5
MEM -10.5 at -105 · opened MEM -9.5
- Model
- 70.3%
- First line
- 76.6%
- Latest
- 77.7%
Moneyline MEM -425 / ECU +330 (vig removed) · opened 76.6%
- Model
- 48.1
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 55.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 76.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Thu 6:43 PM ET · moneyline from Thu 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Duke 19, Virginia 16
- Result
- DUKE won by 3, could lose by up to 2
- Why
- Model UVA -1.1, first line UVA -2.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- UVA -1.1
- First line
- UVA -2.5
- Latest
- UVA -2.5
UVA -2.5 at -110
- Model
- 52.6%
- First line
- 54.3%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline UVA -142 / DUKE +120 (vig removed) · opened 54.3%
- Model
- 51.3
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 47.5
Over -108 / Under -112
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 54.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Fri 6:44 PM ET · moneyline from Fri 10:48 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Massachusetts 16, UConn 35
- Result
- MASS lost by 19, could lose by up to 16
- Why
- Model CONN -12.8, first line CONN -16.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- CONN -12.8
- First line
- CONN -16.5
- Latest
- CONN -12.5
CONN -12.5 at -112 · opened CONN -16.5
- Model
- 78.3%
- First line
- 85.2%
- Latest
- 83.7%
Moneyline CONN -675 / MASS +490 (vig removed) · opened 85.2%
- Model
- 54.3
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 53.5
Over -115 / Under -105 · opened 47.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 85.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Fri 6:44 PM ET · moneyline from Fri 10:48 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Army 38, Tulsa 35
- Result
- ARMY won by 3, could lose by up to 1
- Why
- Model ARMY -3.3, first line TLSA -1.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- ARMY -2.9
- First line
- TLSA -1.5
- Latest
- ARMY -1.5
ARMY -1.5 at -105 · opened TLSA -1.5
- Model
- 57.2%
- First line
- 51.1%
- Latest
- 47.8%
Moneyline TLSA -120 / ARMY +100 (vig removed) · opened 51.1%
- Model
- 54.7
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 53.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 52.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 51.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Fri 8:14 PM ET · moneyline from Fri 10:48 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Air Force 14, Wyoming 28
- Result
- AF lost by 14, needed to win by 8+ (7 pushes)
- Why
- Model AF -7.7, first line AF -7.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- AF -7.7
- First line
- AF -7.0
- Latest
- AF -6.5
AF -6.5 at -110 · opened AF -7.0
- Model
- 68.8%
- First line
- 69.6%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline WYO +180 / AF -218 (vig removed) · opened 69.6%
- Model
- 54.4
- First line
- 43.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 43.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 69.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Fri 8:14 PM ET · moneyline from Fri 10:48 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- NC State 28, Stanford 31
- Result
- NCSU lost by 3, needed to win by 8+
- Why
- Model NCSU -9.9, first line NCSU -7.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- NCSU -9.9
- First line
- NCSU -7.5
- Latest
- NCSU -7.5
NCSU -7.5 at -105
- Model
- 73.1%
- First line
- 70.5%
- Latest
- 71.8%
Moneyline STAN +240 / NCSU -298 (vig removed) · opened 70.5%
- Model
- 54.0
- First line
- 55.5
- Latest
- 54.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 55.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 70.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Fri 10:14 PM ET · moneyline from Fri 10:48 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- LSU 38, Auburn 17
- Result
- LSU won by 21, needed to win by 7+
- Why
- Model LSU -6.6, first line LSU -6.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- LSU -7.8
- First line
- LSU -6.5
- Latest
- LSU -7.0
LSU -7.0 at -115 · opened LSU -6.5
- Model
- 68.2%
- First line
- 66.4%
- Latest
- 71.0%
Moneyline AUB +230 / LSU -285 (vig removed) · opened 66.4%
- Model
- 44.1
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 52.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 66.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Texas Tech 24, Cincinnati 37
- Result
- CIN won by 13, could lose by up to 11
- Why
- Model TTU -6.1, first line TTU -11.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- TTU -7.1
- First line
- TTU -11.5
- Latest
- TTU -10.5
TTU -10.5 at -112 · opened TTU -11.5
- Model
- 66.8%
- First line
- 77.7%
- Latest
- 78.2%
Moneyline CIN +340 / TTU -440 (vig removed) · opened 77.7%
- Model
- 55.8
- First line
- 56.5
- Latest
- 57.5
Over -115 / Under -105 · opened 56.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 8 captures, first 78.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- West Virginia 24, TCU 20
- Result
- TCU lost by 4, needed to win by 7+
- Why
- Model TCU -18.3, first line TCU -6.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- TCU -18.2
- First line
- TCU -8.5
- Latest
- TCU -10.0
TCU -10.0 at -112 · opened TCU -8.5
- Model
- 86.3%
- First line
- 72.6%
- Latest
- 77.2%
Moneyline TCU -410 / WVU +320 (vig removed) · opened 72.6%
- Model
- 54.6
- First line
- 56.5
- Latest
- 58.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 56.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 68.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- California 20, SMU 59
- Result
- SMU won by 39, needed to win by 18+
- Why
- Model SMU -20.3, first line SMU -17.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- SMU -20.0
- First line
- SMU -18.5
- Latest
- SMU -18.5
SMU -18.5 at -110
- Model
- 88.8%
- First line
- 88.0%
- Latest
- 88.0%
Moneyline SMU -1100 / CAL +700 (vig removed)
- Model
- 52.2
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 55.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 85.9%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Pittsburgh 23, Miami 52
- Result
- PITT lost by 29, could lose by up to 23
- Why
- Model MIA -19.4, first line MIA -23.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- MIA -19.5
- First line
- MIA -23.5
- Latest
- MIA -20.5
MIA -20.5 at -115 · opened MIA -23.5
- Model
- 88.6%
- First line
- 93.1%
- Latest
- 90.8%
Moneyline MIA -1650 / PITT +950 (vig removed) · opened 93.1%
- Model
- 47.3
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 50.5
Over -118 / Under -102 · opened 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 93.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Indiana 13, Michigan 6
- Result
- MICH lost by 7, could lose by up to 8
- Why
- Model IU -7.0, first line IU -8.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- IU -7.1
- First line
- IU -9.5
- Latest
- IU -7.5
IU -7.5 at -105 · opened IU -9.5
- Model
- 67.6%
- First line
- 76.6%
- Latest
- 71.8%
Moneyline MICH +240 / IU -298 (vig removed) · opened 76.6%
- Model
- 43.7
- First line
- 44.5
- Latest
- 43.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 44.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 76.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Rutgers 14, Northwestern 42
- Result
- RUTG lost by 28, could lose by up to 16
- Why
- Model NU -14.9, first line NU -16.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- NU -15.1
- First line
- NU -16.5
- Latest
- NU -15.5
NU -15.5 at -108 · opened NU -16.5
- Model
- 82.7%
- First line
- 87.2%
- Latest
- 84.7%
Moneyline NU -750 / RUTG +525 (vig removed) · opened 87.2%
- Model
- 55.0
- First line
- 58.5
- Latest
- 59.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 58.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 87.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Rice 49, Florida Atlantic 51
- Result
- RICE lost by 2, could lose by up to 9 (10 pushes)
- Why
- Model FAU -7.4, first line FAU -10.0: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- FAU -7.9
- First line
- FAU -10.0
- Latest
- FAU -10.0
FAU -10.0 at -105
- Model
- 68.2%
- First line
- 75.7%
- Latest
- 74.1%
Moneyline FAU -340 / RICE +270 (vig removed) · opened 75.7%
- Model
- 56.9
- First line
- 54.5
- Latest
- 54.5
Over -118 / Under -102
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 75.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Western Michigan 38, Toledo 45
- Result
- TOL won by 7, needed to win by 4+ (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model TOL -10.4, first line TOL -3.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- TOL -10.6
- First line
- TOL -3.0
- Latest
- TOL -2.5
TOL -2.5 at -118 · opened TOL -3.0
- Model
- 74.4%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline TOL -142 / WMU +120 (vig removed) · opened 58.3%
- Model
- 48.4
- First line
- 45.5
- Latest
- 48.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 45.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 58.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 11:42 AM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Baylor 24, Kansas 25
- Result
- KU won by 1, could lose by up to 2
- Why
- Model KU -6.8, first line BAY -2.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- KU -6.8
- First line
- BAY -3.0
- Latest
- KU -1.5
KU -1.5 at -108 · opened BAY -3.0
- Model
- 65.7%
- First line
- 43.7%
- Latest
- 49.6%
Moneyline KU -108 / BAY -112 (vig removed) · opened 43.7%
- Model
- 55.9
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 54.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 46.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 12:57 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Akron 20, Kent State 35
- Result
- AKR lost by 15, could lose by up to 2 (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model KENT -2.8, first line KENT -3.0: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- KENT -3.3
- First line
- KENT -3.0
- Latest
- KENT -3.0
KENT -3.0 at -102
- Model
- 58.2%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Latest
- 57.2%
Moneyline KENT -148 / AKR +124 (vig removed) · opened 58.3%
- Model
- 47.2
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 48.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 58.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 12:57 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Miami (OH) 28, Central Michigan 27
- Result
- CMU lost by 1, could lose by up to 2
- Why
- Model CMU -1.7, first line M-OH -2.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- CMU -1.7
- First line
- M-OH -2.5
- Latest
- M-OH -3.5
M-OH -3.5 at -105 · opened M-OH -2.5
- Model
- 54.3%
- First line
- 45.7%
- Latest
- 40.0%
Moneyline CMU +140 / M-OH -166 (vig removed) · opened 45.7%
- Model
- 46.3
- First line
- 42.5
- Latest
- 40.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 42.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 45.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 12:57 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Oregon 10, Illinois 21
- Result
- ILL won by 11, could lose by up to 11
- Why
- Model ORE -9.2, first line ORE -11.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- ORE -9.2
- First line
- ORE -8.5
- Latest
- ORE -10.5
ORE -10.5 at -110 · opened ORE -8.5
- Model
- 71.4%
- First line
- 75.7%
- Latest
- 76.6%
Moneyline ILL +310 / ORE -395 (vig removed) · opened 75.7%
- Model
- 52.3
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 48.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 78.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Texas A&M 20, Alabama 31
- Result
- ALA won by 11, needed to win by 16+
- Why
- Model ALA -19.1, first line ALA -15.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- ALA -13.8
- First line
- ALA -15.5
- Latest
- ALA -13.5
ALA -13.5 at -108 · opened ALA -15.5
- Model
- 81.2%
- First line
- 84.0%
- Latest
- 81.7%
Moneyline ALA -575 / TA&M +425 (vig removed) · opened 84.0%
- Model
- 42.7
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -115 / Under -105 · opened 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 84.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Oklahoma 23, Mississippi State 15
- Result
- OU won by 8, needed to win by 3+
- Why
- Model OU -5.1, first line OU -2.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- OU -5.1
- First line
- OU -4.0
- Latest
- OU -1.5
OU -1.5 at -112 · opened OU -4.0
- Model
- 62.3%
- First line
- 62.2%
- Latest
- 52.6%
Moneyline MSST +102 / OU -122 (vig removed) · opened 62.2%
- Model
- 46.2
- First line
- 45.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 45.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 55.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Tennessee 24, South Carolina 27
- Result
- TENN lost by 3, needed to win by 2+
- Why
- Model TENN -2.1, first line TENN -1.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- TENN -7.4
- First line
- TENN -2.5
- Latest
- SC -2.5
SC -2.5 at -110 · opened TENN -2.5
- Model
- 67.4%
- First line
- 54.3%
- Latest
- 44.9%
Moneyline SC -135 / TENN +114 (vig removed) · opened 54.3%
- Model
- 49.9
- First line
- 51.5
- Latest
- 50.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 54.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- BYU 31, UCF 39
- Result
- BYU lost by 8, needed to win by 8+
- Why
- Model BYU -13.0, first line BYU -7.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- BYU -14.7
- First line
- BYU -9.5
- Latest
- BYU -7.5
BYU -7.5 at -112 · opened BYU -9.5
- Model
- 82.3%
- First line
- 75.7%
- Latest
- 71.4%
Moneyline UCF +235 / BYU -290 (vig removed) · opened 75.7%
- Model
- 46.9
- First line
- 45.5
- Latest
- 43.5
Over -115 / Under -105 · opened 45.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 75.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Boston College 49, Georgia Tech 27
- Result
- GT lost by 22, needed to win by 5+
- Why
- Model GT -5.7, first line GT -4.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- GT -5.9
- First line
- GT -4.0
- Latest
- GT -6.5
GT -6.5 at -108 · opened GT -4.0
- Model
- 64.2%
- First line
- 63.1%
- Latest
- 67.5%
Moneyline GT -238 / BC +195 (vig removed) · opened 63.1%
- Model
- 52.1
- First line
- 49.5
- Latest
- 50.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 49.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 63.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Iowa 10, Minnesota 13
- Result
- IOWA lost by 3, needed to win by 5+
- Why
- Model IOWA -13.1, first line IOWA -4.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- IOWA -13.1
- First line
- IOWA -4.5
- Latest
- IOWA -7.5
IOWA -7.5 at -105 · opened IOWA -4.5
- Model
- 80.4%
- First line
- 61.6%
- Latest
- 71.4%
Moneyline MINN +235 / IOWA -290 (vig removed) · opened 61.6%
- Model
- 39.7
- First line
- 42.5
- Latest
- 40.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 42.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 61.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Michigan State 10, UCLA 28
- Result
- UCLA won by 18, needed to win by 14+
- Why
- Model UCLA -18.1, first line UCLA -13.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- UCLA -18.1
- First line
- UCLA -13.5
- Latest
- UCLA -16.5
UCLA -16.5 at -108 · opened UCLA -13.5
- Model
- 87.5%
- First line
- 80.8%
- Latest
- 85.2%
Moneyline UCLA -800 / MSU +550 (vig removed) · opened 80.8%
- Model
- 44.0
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 42.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 47.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 80.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 10:49 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- North Texas 49, Navy 39
- Result
- NAVY lost by 10, could lose by up to 1
- Why
- Model NAVY -3.3, first line UNT -1.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- NAVY -3.2
- First line
- UNT -1.5
- Latest
- UNT -3.0
UNT -3.0 at -108 · opened UNT -1.5
- Model
- 57.7%
- First line
- 46.8%
- Latest
- 41.7%
Moneyline NAVY +130 / UNT -155 (vig removed) · opened 46.8%
- Model
- 59.1
- First line
- 61.5
- Latest
- 60.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 61.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 46.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Hawai'i 56, Northern Illinois 21
- Result
- HAW won by 35, needed to win by 5+
- Why
- Model HAW -8.4, first line HAW -4.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- HAW -8.4
- First line
- HAW -4.5
- Latest
- HAW -3.0
HAW -3.0 at -105 · opened HAW -4.5
- Model
- 70.3%
- First line
- 63.7%
- Latest
- 62.2%
Moneyline NIU +154 / HAW -185 (vig removed) · opened 63.7%
- Model
- 49.5
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 48.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 63.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- BALL -5.0
- First line
- BALL -14.0
- Latest
- BALL -14.5
BALL -14.5 at -108 · opened BALL -14.0
- Model
- 62.3%
- First line
- 81.7%
- Latest
- 82.2%
Moneyline BALL -600 / SAC +440 (vig removed) · opened 81.7%
- Model
- 45.6
- First line
- 51.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -102 / Under -118
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 81.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Bowling Green 24, Buffalo 31
- Result
- BUF won by 7, needed to win by 4+
- Why
- Model BUF -4.3, first line BUF -3.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- BUF -4.8
- First line
- BUF -3.5
- Latest
- BUF -3.0
BUF -3.0 at -108 · opened BUF -3.5
- Model
- 61.9%
- First line
- 62.2%
- Latest
- 58.3%
Moneyline BUF -155 / BGSU +130 (vig removed) · opened 62.2%
- Model
- 45.2
- First line
- 44.5
- Latest
- 45.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 44.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 62.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 2:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Kansas State 17, Arizona State 28
- Result
- KSU lost by 11, needed to win by 4+
- Why
- Model KSU -8.7, first line KSU -3.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- KSU -8.6
- First line
- KSU -3.5
- Latest
- KSU -1.5
KSU -1.5 at -105 · opened KSU -3.5
- Model
- 69.8%
- First line
- 60.0%
- Latest
- 51.7%
Moneyline ASU -102 / KSU -118 (vig removed) · opened 60.0%
- Model
- 52.9
- First line
- 57.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 57.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 59.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 2:41 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Eastern Michigan 20, Ohio 24
- Result
- OHIO won by 4, needed to win by 12+
- Why
- Model OHIO -18.7, first line OHIO -11.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- OHIO -18.6
- First line
- OHIO -11.5
- Latest
- OHIO -10.5
OHIO -10.5 at -105 · opened OHIO -11.5
- Model
- 87.9%
- First line
- 78.2%
- Latest
- 76.0%
Moneyline OHIO -380 / EMU +300 (vig removed) · opened 78.2%
- Model
- 51.8
- First line
- 49.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -108 / Under -112
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 78.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 2:41 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- UL Monroe 21, Troy 14
- Result
- ULM won by 7, could lose by up to 16
- Why
- Model TROY -13.9, first line TROY -16.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- TROY -14.2
- First line
- TROY -16.5
- Latest
- TROY -13.5
TROY -13.5 at -108 · opened TROY -16.5
- Model
- 81.6%
- First line
- 85.8%
- Latest
- 82.7%
Moneyline TROY -625 / ULM +455 (vig removed) · opened 85.8%
- Model
- 45.2
- First line
- 51.5
- Latest
- 50.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 85.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 2:41 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- San José State 13, Nevada 28
- Result
- SJSU lost by 15, could lose by up to 5
- Why
- Model NEV -3.9, first line NEV -5.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- NEV -3.5
- First line
- NEV -5.5
- Latest
- NEV -5.5
NEV -5.5 at -112
- Model
- 58.3%
- First line
- 65.7%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline NEV -218 / SJSU +180 (vig removed)
- Model
- 52.4
- First line
- 45.5
- Latest
- 45.5
Over -112 / Under -108
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 65.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 4:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Louisiana 31, Southern Miss 35
- Result
- UL lost by 4, needed to win by 11+ (10 pushes)
- Why
- Model UL -10.0, first line UL -10.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- UL -10.3
- First line
- UL -10.0
- Latest
- UL -11.5
UL -11.5 at -108 · opened UL -10.0
- Model
- 73.3%
- First line
- 77.2%
- Latest
- 76.0%
Moneyline USM +300 / UL -380 (vig removed) · opened 77.2%
- Model
- 50.4
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 52.5
Over -112 / Under -108
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 77.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 4:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Old Dominion 0, Louisiana Tech 26
- Result
- ODU lost by 26, could lose by up to 11
- Why
- Model LT -4.4, first line LT -11.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- LT -4.8
- First line
- LT -11.5
- Latest
- LT -13.5
LT -13.5 at -115 · opened LT -11.5
- Model
- 61.6%
- First line
- 78.2%
- Latest
- 82.2%
Moneyline LT -600 / ODU +440 (vig removed) · opened 78.2%
- Model
- 39.5
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 43.5
Over -115 / Under -105 · opened 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 78.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 4:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Boise State 31, Washington State 10
- Result
- WSU lost by 21, could lose by up to 13
- Why
- Model BOIS -12.6, first line BOIS -13.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- BOIS -12.7
- First line
- BOIS -13.5
- Latest
- BOIS -14.5
BOIS -14.5 at -110 · opened BOIS -13.5
- Model
- 78.9%
- First line
- 80.4%
- Latest
- 82.7%
Moneyline WSU +455 / BOIS -625 (vig removed) · opened 80.4%
- Model
- 47.8
- First line
- 51.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -115 / Under -105
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 83.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 4:41 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- San Diego State 49, Colorado State 56
- Result
- CSU won by 7, could lose by up to 3
- Why
- Model SDSU -0.3, first line SDSU -3.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- SDSU -0.8
- First line
- SDSU -2.5
- Latest
- CSU -1.5
CSU -1.5 at -105 · opened SDSU -2.5
- Model
- 51.8%
- First line
- 55.1%
- Latest
- 51.1%
Moneyline CSU -105 / SDSU -115 (vig removed) · opened 55.1%
- Model
- 51.5
- First line
- 60.5
- Latest
- 57.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 60.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 60.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 6:11 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Colorado 24, Oklahoma State 57
- Result
- COLO lost by 33, could lose by up to 13
- Why
- Model OKST -2.1, first line OKST -13.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- OKST -2.4
- First line
- OKST -13.5
- Latest
- OKST -13.5
OKST -13.5 at -105
- Model
- 55.7%
- First line
- 81.2%
- Latest
- 81.2%
Moneyline OKST -550 / COLO +410 (vig removed)
- Model
- 47.6
- First line
- 55.5
- Latest
- 55.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 82.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 6:11 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Virginia Tech 20, Clemson 16
- Result
- CLEM lost by 4, could lose by up to 1
- Why
- Model CLEM -3.9, first line VT -1.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- CLEM -4.2
- First line
- VT -1.5
- Latest
- CLEM -3.0
CLEM -3.0 at -108 · opened VT -1.5
- Model
- 60.2%
- First line
- 49.6%
- Latest
- 58.3%
Moneyline CLEM -155 / VT +130 (vig removed) · opened 49.6%
- Model
- 49.4
- First line
- 49.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -115 / Under -105
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 49.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 6:11 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Georgia State 32, Arkansas State 38
- Result
- GAST lost by 6, needed to win by 3+
- Why
- Model GAST -5.6, first line GAST -2.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- GAST -5.4
- First line
- GAST -2.5
- Latest
- GAST -2.5
GAST -2.5 at -110
- Model
- 63.1%
- First line
- 53.2%
- Latest
- 55.1%
Moneyline ARST +114 / GAST -135 (vig removed) · opened 53.2%
- Model
- 52.2
- First line
- 58.5
- Latest
- 58.5
Over -108 / Under -112
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 53.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 6:11 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Vanderbilt 17, Kentucky 34
- Result
- VAN lost by 17, could lose by up to 9
- Why
- Model UK -9.1, first line UK -9.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- UK -11.4
- First line
- UK -9.5
- Latest
- UK -10.0
UK -10.0 at -112 · opened UK -9.5
- Model
- 75.9%
- First line
- 75.1%
- Latest
- 78.2%
Moneyline UK -440 / VAN +340 (vig removed) · opened 75.1%
- Model
- 53.4
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -108 / Under -112 · opened 52.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 75.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:21 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Ole Miss 27, Texas 34
- Result
- MISS lost by 7, could lose by up to 6
- Why
- Model TEX -4.9, first line TEX -6.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- MISS -0.8
- First line
- TEX -6.5
- Latest
- TEX -3.0
TEX -3.0 at -115 · opened TEX -6.5
- Model
- 51.9%
- First line
- 33.1%
- Latest
- 41.7%
Moneyline TEX -155 / MISS +130 (vig removed) · opened 33.1%
- Model
- 55.1
- First line
- 53.5
- Latest
- 55.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 33.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:21 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Iowa State 3, Arizona 39
- Result
- ARIZ won by 36, needed to win by 11+ (10 pushes)
- Why
- Model ARIZ -12.3, first line ARIZ -10.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- ARIZ -12.3
- First line
- ARIZ -10.0
- Latest
- ARIZ -11.5
ARIZ -11.5 at -112 · opened ARIZ -10.0
- Model
- 77.6%
- First line
- 76.6%
- Latest
- 74.4%
Moneyline ARIZ -345 / ISU +275 (vig removed) · opened 76.6%
- Model
- 50.9
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -105 / Under -115 · opened 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 76.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:21 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Syracuse 31, North Carolina 30
- Result
- UNC lost by 1, needed to win by 10+
- Why
- Model UNC -11.0, first line UNC -9.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- UNC -11.0
- First line
- UNC -8.5
- Latest
- UNC -8.5
UNC -8.5 at -112
- Model
- 75.2%
- First line
- 74.4%
- Latest
- 74.4%
Moneyline UNC -345 / SYR +275 (vig removed)
- Model
- 47.4
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 49.5
Over -112 / Under -108 · opened 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 74.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:21 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- USC 7, Wisconsin 24
- Result
- WIS won by 17, could lose by up to 1
- Why
- Model WIS -1.3, first line USC -1.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- WIS -0.4
- First line
- USC -1.5
- Latest
- USC -2.5
USC -2.5 at -112 · opened USC -1.5
- Model
- 51.0%
- First line
- 47.8%
- Latest
- 42.8%
Moneyline WIS +124 / USC -148 (vig removed) · opened 47.8%
- Model
- 50.5
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -102 / Under -118 · opened 52.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 47.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:21 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Utah State 17, Texas State 20
- Result
- TXST won by 3, needed to win by 9+
- Why
- Model TXST -13.0, first line TXST -8.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- TXST -13.4
- First line
- TXST -12.5
- Latest
- TXST -14.5
TXST -14.5 at -108 · opened TXST -12.5
- Model
- 78.6%
- First line
- 78.7%
- Latest
- 80.8%
Moneyline TXST -535 / USU +400 (vig removed) · opened 78.7%
- Model
- 59.7
- First line
- 59.5
- Latest
- 59.5
Over -105 / Under -115
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 74.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:21 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- UTSA 42, Tulane 19
- Result
- UTSA won by 23, needed to win by 3+
- Why
- Model UTSA -3.1, first line UTSA -2.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- UTSA -3.2
- First line
- UTSA -2.5
- Latest
- UTSA -3.0
UTSA -3.0 at -108 · opened UTSA -2.5
- Model
- 57.8%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 57.2%
Moneyline TULN +124 / UTSA -148 (vig removed) · opened 56.3%
- Model
- 51.3
- First line
- 51.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Over -115 / Under -105
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 56.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Mon 10:48 AM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:21 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- NDSU -0.9
- First line
- UNM -3.5
- Latest
- UNM -4.5
UNM -4.5 at -112 · opened UNM -3.5
- Model
- 52.2%
- First line
- 39.1%
- Latest
- 36.9%
Moneyline UNM -192 / NDSU +160 (vig removed) · opened 39.1%
- Model
- 32.2
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 39.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 9 captures, first 39.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 9:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Recommended bet
- Final
- Houston 13, Utah 21
- Result
- UTAH won by 8, needed to win by 7+
- Why
- Model UTAH -17.5, first line UTAH -6.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- UTAH -14.4
- First line
- UTAH -7.0
- Latest
- UTAH -6.5
UTAH -6.5 at -108 · opened UTAH -7.0
- Model
- 81.1%
- First line
- 69.1%
- Latest
- 68.5%
Moneyline UTAH -250 / HOU +205 (vig removed) · opened 69.1%
- Model
- 57.5
- First line
- 55.5
- Latest
- 57.5
Over -110 / Under -110 · opened 55.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 69.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Wed 7:10 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 9:41 PM ET · moneyline from Sat 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →