College Football predictions Week 6, 2026
Win probabilities, projected scores, spreads and totals for every FBS game. FCS games are labeled and left out of the record. How it works →
58 games on this slate · model went 36–20 · 196–63 last 30 days →
Games
Southern Miss
Troy
Jacksonville State
Kennesaw State
New Mexico State
Florida International
Sam Houston
Liberty
Missouri State
Western Kentucky
South Florida
UTSA
South Alabama
Arkansas State
Florida State
Louisville
Iowa
Washington
Washington State
Utah State
Wyoming
San José State
Iowa State
BYU
Texas A&M
Missouri
Arizona
West Virginia
UCF
Oklahoma State
North Carolina
Pittsburgh
Wake Forest
NC State
Indiana
Nebraska
Tulane
Army
Sacramento State
Bowling Green
Ball State
Northwestern
South Carolina
Florida
Rice
East Carolina
Old Dominion
App State
Miami (OH)
Massachusetts
Texas
Oklahoma
Ole Miss
Vanderbilt
Houston
Kansas State
Duke
Georgia Tech
Stanford
Notre Dame
Virginia Tech
California
Illinois
Michigan State
UCLA
Oregon
Charlotte
North Texas
Tulsa
Navy
Eastern Michigan
Akron
Buffalo
Toledo
Central Michigan
Ohio
Kent State
Western Michigan
UConn
Temple
Tennessee
Arkansas
Maryland
Ohio State
San Diego State
Oregon State
LSU
Kentucky
UAB
Memphis
Nevada
UTEP
North Dakota State
UNLV
Coastal Carolina
Marshall
Georgia
Alabama
Syracuse
Virginia
USC
Penn State
Air Force
Northern Illinois
James Madison
Georgia Southern
Louisiana
Louisiana Tech
Kansas
Utah
Minnesota
Purdue
Hawai'i
Arizona State
Boise State
Fresno State
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Rice 12, East Carolina 28
- Result
- ECU won by 16, needed to win by 11+ (10 pushes)
- Why
- Model ECU -15.0, first line ECU -10.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- ECU -15.0
- First line
- ECU -10.0
- Close
- ECU -10.0
ECU -10.0 at -108
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Old Dominion 10, App State 3
- Result
- ODU won by 7, could lose by up to 8
- Why
- Model ODU -2.3, first line APP -8.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- ODU -2.3
- First line
- APP -8.5
- Close
- APP -8.5
APP -8.5 at -112
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Miami (OH) 20, Massachusetts 19
- Result
- MASS lost by 1, could lose by up to 6
- Why
- Model M-OH -5.9, first line M-OH -6.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- M-OH -5.9
- First line
- M-OH -6.5
- Latest
- M-OH -6.5
M-OH -6.5 at -108
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 12:58 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Texas 24, Oklahoma 27
- Result
- OU won by 3, could lose by up to 7
- Why
- Model TEX -5.2, first line TEX -7.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- TEX -5.2
- First line
- TEX -7.5
- Close
- TEX -7.5
TEX -7.5 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Ole Miss 52, Vanderbilt 17
- Result
- VAN lost by 35, could lose by up to 9
- Why
- Model MISS -4.1, first line MISS -9.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- MISS -4.1
- First line
- MISS -9.5
- Close
- MISS -8.5
MISS -8.5 at -112 · opened MISS -9.5
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Houston 35, Kansas State 16
- Result
- KSU lost by 19, needed to win by 3+
- Why
- Model KSU -9.2, first line KSU -2.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- KSU -9.2
- First line
- KSU -2.5
- Close
- KSU -2.5
KSU -2.5 at -115
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Duke 25, Georgia Tech 28
- Result
- GT won by 3, could lose by up to 4
- Why
- Model DUKE -2.0, first line DUKE -4.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- DUKE -2.0
- First line
- DUKE -4.5
- Close
- DUKE -4.5
DUKE -4.5 at -112
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Stanford 7, Notre Dame 58
- Result
- STAN lost by 51, could lose by up to 40
- Why
- Model ND -35.1, first line ND -40.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- ND -35.1
- First line
- ND -40.5
- Close
- ND -40.5
ND -40.5 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Virginia Tech 20, California 25
- Result
- CAL won by 5, could lose by up to 9 (10 pushes)
- Why
- Model VT -8.2, first line VT -10.0: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- VT -8.2
- First line
- VT -10.0
- Close
- VT -10.0
VT -10.0 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Illinois 38, Michigan State 37
- Result
- MSU lost by 1, could lose by up to 2
- Why
- Model MSU -0.2, first line ILL -2.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- MSU -0.2
- First line
- ILL -2.5
- Close
- ILL -2.5
ILL -2.5 at -115
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- UCLA 17, Oregon 15
- Result
- UCLA won by 2, could lose by up to 10
- Why
- Model ORE -7.0, first line ORE -10.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- ORE -7.0
- First line
- ORE -10.5
- Close
- ORE -10.0
ORE -10.0 at -112 · opened ORE -10.5
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Charlotte 10, North Texas 50
- Result
- UNT won by 40, needed to win by 28+
- Why
- Model UNT -30.1, first line UNT -27.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- UNT -30.1
- First line
- UNT -27.5
- Close
- UNT -27.5
UNT -27.5 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Tulsa 26, Navy 34
- Result
- NAVY won by 8, needed to win by 4+ (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model NAVY -8.9, first line NAVY -3.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- NAVY -8.9
- First line
- NAVY -3.0
- Close
- NAVY -3.0
NAVY -3.0 at -112
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Eastern Michigan 25, Akron 23
- Result
- EMU won by 2, needed to win by 6+
- Why
- Model EMU -7.3, first line EMU -5.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- EMU -7.3
- First line
- EMU -5.5
- Close
- EMU -5.5
EMU -5.5 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Buffalo 23, Toledo 8
- Result
- TOL lost by 15, needed to win by 19+
- Why
- Model TOL -20.4, first line TOL -18.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- TOL -20.4
- First line
- TOL -18.5
- Close
- TOL -18.5
TOL -18.5 at -112
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Central Michigan 14, Ohio 31
- Result
- OHIO won by 17, needed to win by 3+
- Why
- Model OHIO -5.1, first line OHIO -2.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- OHIO -5.1
- First line
- OHIO -2.5
- Close
- OHIO -2.5
OHIO -2.5 at -112
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Kent State 7, Western Michigan 38
- Result
- WMU won by 31, needed to win by 15+ (14 pushes)
- Why
- Model WMU -14.2, first line WMU -14.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- WMU -14.2
- First line
- WMU -14.0
- Close
- WMU -13.5
WMU -13.5 at -115 · opened WMU -14.0
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:14 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- UConn 34, Temple 20
- Result
- TEM lost by 14, needed to win by 4+
- Why
- Model TEM -6.5, first line TEM -3.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- TEM -6.5
- First line
- TEM -3.5
- Close
- TEM -3.5
TEM -3.5 at -112
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:39 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Tennessee 24, Arkansas 17
- Result
- ARK lost by 7, could lose by up to 13
- Why
- Model TENN -6.5, first line TENN -13.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- TENN -6.5
- First line
- TENN -13.5
- Close
- TENN -13.5
TENN -13.5 at -115
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:59 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Maryland 16, Ohio State 45
- Result
- OSU won by 29, needed to win by 34+
- Why
- Model OSU -35.6, first line OSU -33.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- OSU -35.6
- First line
- OSU -33.5
- Close
- OSU -31.5
OSU -31.5 at -105 · opened OSU -33.5
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 3:59 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- San Diego State 14, Oregon State 66
- Result
- SDSU lost by 52, could lose by up to 16
- Why
- Model ORST -11.9, first line ORST -16.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- ORST -11.9
- First line
- ORST -16.5
- Close
- ORST -14.5
ORST -14.5 at -110 · opened ORST -16.5
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 6:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- LSU 34, Kentucky 35
- Result
- UK won by 1, could lose by up to 9
- Why
- Model LSU -9.3, first line LSU -9.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- LSU -9.3
- First line
- LSU -9.5
- Close
- LSU -9.5
LSU -9.5 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- UAB 13, Memphis 38
- Result
- UAB lost by 25, could lose by up to 14
- Why
- Model MEM -11.3, first line MEM -14.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- MEM -11.3
- First line
- MEM -14.5
- Close
- MEM -15.5
MEM -15.5 at -112 · opened MEM -14.5
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Nevada 30, UTEP 13
- Result
- NEV won by 17, needed to win by 11+ (10 pushes)
- Why
- Model NEV -13.6, first line NEV -10.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- NEV -13.6
- First line
- NEV -10.0
- Close
- NEV -10.0
NEV -10.0 at -108
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 6:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- NDSU -3.9
- First line
- NDSU -2.5
- Close
- NDSU -2.5
NDSU -2.5 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 6:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Coastal Carolina 27, Marshall 21
- Result
- MRSH lost by 6, needed to win by 5+
- Why
- Model MRSH -9.1, first line MRSH -4.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- MRSH -9.1
- First line
- MRSH -4.5
- Close
- MRSH -4.5
MRSH -4.5 at -108
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 6:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Georgia 20, Alabama 17
- Result
- ALA lost by 3, needed to win by 3+
- Why
- Model ALA -5.2, first line ALA -2.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- ALA -5.2
- First line
- ALA -2.5
- Close
- ALA -2.5
ALA -2.5 at -112
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Syracuse 25, Virginia 28
- Result
- SYR lost by 3, could lose by up to 13
- Why
- Model UVA -11.5, first line UVA -13.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- UVA -11.5
- First line
- UVA -13.5
- Close
- UVA -13.5
UVA -13.5 at -115
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Model vs market
- Model
- PSU -1.5
- First line
- PSU -1.5
- Close
- USC -1.5
USC -1.5 at -108 · opened PSU -1.5
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Air Force 28, Northern Illinois 7
- Result
- AF won by 21, needed to win by 8+ (7 pushes)
- Why
- Model AF -12.2, first line AF -7.0: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- AF -12.2
- First line
- AF -7.0
- Close
- AF -7.0
AF -7.0 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- James Madison 27, Georgia Southern 24
- Result
- JMU won by 3, needed to win by 8+
- Why
- Model JMU -16.0, first line JMU -7.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- JMU -16.0
- First line
- JMU -7.5
- Close
- JMU -7.0
JMU -7.0 at -110 · opened JMU -7.5
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Louisiana 31, Louisiana Tech 32
- Result
- UL lost by 1, could lose by up to 2 (3 pushes)
- Why
- Model UL -3.1, first line LT -3.0: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- UL -3.1
- First line
- LT -3.0
- Close
- LT -3.0
LT -3.0 at -112
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Kansas 24, Utah 41
- Result
- KU lost by 17, could lose by up to 15
- Why
- Model UTAH -9.1, first line UTAH -15.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- UTAH -9.1
- First line
- UTAH -15.5
- Close
- UTAH -15.5
UTAH -15.5 at -110
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Minnesota 13, Purdue 41
- Result
- PUR won by 28, could lose by up to 2
- Why
- Model MINN -1.8, first line MINN -2.5: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- MINN -1.8
- First line
- MINN -2.5
- Close
- MINN -2.5
MINN -2.5 at -115
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 7:07 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Hawai'i 12, Arizona State 30
- Result
- HAW lost by 18, could lose by up to 20 (21 pushes)
- Why
- Model ASU -15.3, first line ASU -21.0: the underdog
Model vs market
- Model
- ASU -15.3
- First line
- ASU -21.0
- Close
- ASU -21.0
ASU -21.0 at -102
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 10:12 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Market
Against the first line
- Final
- Boise State 38, Fresno State 31
- Result
- BOIS won by 7, needed to win by 8+
- Why
- Model BOIS -8.6, first line BOIS -7.5: the favorite
Model vs market
- Model
- BOIS -8.6
- First line
- BOIS -7.5
- Close
- BOIS -8.5
BOIS -8.5 at -110 · opened BOIS -7.5
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:58 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sat 10:12 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →