The Forecast Card

College Football predictions Week 4, 2026

Win probabilities, projected scores, spreads and totals for every FBS game. FCS games are labeled and left out of the record. How it works →

71 games on this slate · model went 45–12 · 196–63 last 30 days →

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Updated 7h ago
✓ Favorite won
Liberty
34 51.2% · proj 29.2
Coastal Carolina
17 48.8% · proj 28.7
Projected total 57.9
Projected spread Liberty -0.5
✓ Favorite won
Army
21 54.0% · proj 24.8
Temple
17 46.0% · proj 23.3
Projected total 48.1
Projected spread Army -1.5
Not in record
Howard
7 5.4% · proj 13.4
Rutgers
58 94.6% · proj 42.1
Projected total 55.5
Projected spread Rutgers -28.7
✗ Favorite lost
Navy
20 71.2% · proj 27.7
UAB
24 28.8% · proj 19.0
Projected total 46.7
Projected spread Navy -8.7
✓ Favorite won
Northwestern
23 4.3% · proj 8.6
Indiana
29 95.7% · proj 34.6
Projected total 43.2
Projected spread Indiana -26.0
✓ Favorite won
Clemson
24 65.6% · proj 29.4
California
10 34.4% · proj 22.5
Projected total 51.9
Projected spread Clemson -6.9
✓ Favorite won
Texas
20 64.9% · proj 31.1
Tennessee
17 35.1% · proj 24.7
Projected total 55.8
Projected spread Texas -6.3
✓ Favorite won
Sam Houston
14 2.8% · proj 10.1
Texas Tech
49 97.2% · proj 41.5
Projected total 51.6
Projected spread Texas Tech -31.4
✓ Favorite won
Colorado
13 20.2% · proj 20.9
Baylor
23 79.8% · proj 35.1
Projected total 56.0
Projected spread Baylor -14.2
Not in record
Bucknell
0 0.7% · proj 6.2
Pittsburgh
59 99.3% · proj 50.0
Projected total 56.2
Projected spread Pittsburgh -43.8
✓ Favorite won
Virginia Tech
21 53.8% · proj 27.5
Boston College
14 46.2% · proj 26.0
Projected total 53.5
Projected spread Virginia Tech -1.5
✗ Favorite lost
Wake Forest
30 16.9% · proj 20.1
Louisville
27 83.1% · proj 35.8
Projected total 55.9
Projected spread Louisville -15.6
✓ Favorite won
Illinois
19 4.0% · proj 10.0
Ohio State
42 96.0% · proj 37.0
Projected total 47.0
Projected spread Ohio State -27.0
✓ Favorite won
San Diego State
16 31.6% · proj 19.9
Toledo
41 68.4% · proj 27.9
Projected total 47.8
Projected spread Toledo -8.0
✓ Favorite won
Colorado State
45 18.3% · proj 17.5
UTSA
59 81.7% · proj 32.0
Projected total 49.5
Projected spread UTSA -14.5
✓ Favorite won
UNLV
38 73.0% · proj 30.0
Akron
10 27.0% · proj 20.0
Projected total 50.0
Projected spread UNLV -10.0
✓ Favorite won
Ball State
13 47.0% · proj 24.3
Kent State
26 53.0% · proj 25.5
Projected total 49.8
Projected spread Kent State -1.2
✓ Favorite won
South Alabama
21 10.3% · proj 16.7
Kentucky
45 89.7% · proj 37.0
Projected total 53.7
Projected spread Kentucky -20.3
Not in record
Lindenwood
3 15.0% · proj 19.7
Eastern Michigan
29 85.0% · proj 38.2
Projected total 57.9
Projected spread Eastern Michigan -18.5
✓ Favorite won
UCLA
54 60.3% · proj 29.2
Maryland
3 39.7% · proj 25.0
Projected total 54.2
Projected spread UCLA -4.2
✓ Favorite won
Notre Dame
49 94.9% · proj 41.1
Purdue
10 5.1% · proj 15.0
Projected total 56.1
Projected spread Notre Dame -26.1
✓ Favorite won
Northern Illinois
14 18.7% · proj 20.8
Georgia State
35 81.3% · proj 35.3
Projected total 56.1
Projected spread Georgia State -14.6
Not in record
Central Arkansas
7 3.2% · proj 12.5
Florida State
34 96.8% · proj 45.5
Projected total 58.0
Projected spread Florida State -33.0
✗ Favorite lost
Hawai'i
10 53.4% · proj 24.2
Wyoming
27 46.6% · proj 22.8
Projected total 47.0
Projected spread Hawai'i -1.4
✗ Favorite lost
Ole Miss
28 59.1% · proj 34.7
Florida
52 40.9% · proj 30.9
Projected total 65.6
Projected spread Ole Miss -3.8
✓ Favorite won
Oklahoma
13 27.1% · proj 15.3
Georgia
41 72.9% · proj 24.7
Projected total 40.0
Projected spread Georgia -9.4
✗ Favorite lost
TCU
13 58.6% · proj 24.9
UCF
21 41.4% · proj 21.4
Projected total 46.3
Projected spread TCU -3.5
✓ Favorite won
Utah
31 67.3% · proj 28.9
Iowa State
17 32.7% · proj 21.6
Projected total 50.5
Projected spread Utah -7.3
Not in record
William & Mary
7 2.6% · proj 10.5
Duke
62 97.4% · proj 45.2
Projected total 55.7
Projected spread Duke -34.6
✗ Favorite lost
Iowa
20 39.7% · proj 17.2
Michigan
19 60.3% · proj 21.2
Projected total 38.4
Projected spread Michigan -4.0
✓ Favorite won
Boise State
32 76.9% · proj 29.2
Western Michigan
7 23.1% · proj 17.5
Projected total 46.7
Projected spread Boise State -11.7
✓ Favorite won
UConn
21 41.1% · proj 25.4
Miami (OH)
24 58.9% · proj 29.1
Projected total 54.5
Projected spread Miami (OH) -3.6
✓ Favorite won
New Mexico
42 68.4% · proj 27.9
New Mexico State
18 31.6% · proj 20.2
Projected total 48.1
Projected spread New Mexico -7.8
Not in record
Robert Morris
28 9.6% · proj 15.0
Buffalo
31 90.4% · proj 38.3
Projected total 53.3
Projected spread Buffalo -23.3
Not in record
Stonehill
7 3.0% · proj 11.2
Ohio
35 97.0% · proj 44.6
Projected total 55.8
Projected spread Ohio -33.5
Not in record
Gardner-Webb
35 9.3% · proj 16.4
Marshall
36 90.7% · proj 40.0
Projected total 56.4
Projected spread Marshall -23.6
✓ Favorite won
Houston
42 73.5% · proj 33.1
Georgia Southern
28 26.5% · proj 22.9
Projected total 56.0
Projected spread Houston -10.2
Not in record
North Carolina Central
9 9.4% · proj 16.5
East Carolina
42 90.6% · proj 39.9
Projected total 56.4
Projected spread East Carolina -23.4
✓ Favorite won
Vanderbilt
15 35.5% · proj 25.0
Auburn
21 64.5% · proj 31.1
Projected total 56.1
Projected spread Auburn -6.2
✓ Favorite won
Nebraska
31 54.8% · proj 27.0
Michigan State
13 45.2% · proj 25.1
Projected total 52.1
Projected spread Nebraska -1.9
✗ Favorite lost
Wisconsin
24 18.5% · proj 14.2
Penn State
20 81.5% · proj 27.8
Projected total 42.0
Projected spread Penn State -13.6
✓ Favorite won
South Florida
14 90.0% · proj 35.6
Bowling Green
6 10.0% · proj 15.0
Projected total 50.6
Projected spread South Florida -20.6
✓ Favorite won
Delaware
3 14.0% · proj 15.2
Virginia
42 86.0% · proj 32.9
Projected total 48.1
Projected spread Virginia -17.7
Not in record
Incarnate Word
10 7.4% · proj 17.8
Texas State
63 92.6% · proj 43.6
Projected total 61.4
Projected spread Texas State -25.8
Not in record
Long Island University
3 10.7% · proj 14.8
Florida International
20 89.3% · proj 36.9
Projected total 51.7
Projected spread Florida International -22.1
✓ Favorite won
James Madison
46 66.3% · proj 24.9
Old Dominion
20 33.7% · proj 18.0
Projected total 42.9
Projected spread James Madison -6.9
✓ Favorite won
Central Michigan
3 1.3% · proj 7.0
Miami
52 98.7% · proj 41.8
Projected total 48.8
Projected spread Miami -34.8
✓ Favorite won
Louisiana
34 76.2% · proj 28.1
Charlotte
7 23.8% · proj 16.7
Projected total 44.8
Projected spread Louisiana -11.3
✓ Favorite won
South Carolina
18 20.0% · proj 17.4
Alabama
49 80.0% · proj 30.6
Projected total 48.0
Projected spread Alabama -13.2
✗ Favorite lost
Kansas State
26 70.2% · proj 31.0
Cincinnati
31 29.8% · proj 22.5
Projected total 53.5
Projected spread Kansas State -8.5
✗ Favorite lost
Oklahoma State
41 40.5% · proj 23.4
West Virginia
24 59.5% · proj 27.3
Projected total 50.7
Projected spread West Virginia -3.9
✓ Favorite won
Southern Miss
21 10.9% · proj 15.8
Tulane
24 89.1% · proj 36.1
Projected total 51.9
Projected spread Tulane -20.2
✓ Favorite won
Kennesaw State
14 38.2% · proj 24.4
Arkansas State
17 61.8% · proj 29.3
Projected total 53.7
Projected spread Arkansas State -4.9
Not in record
Mercyhurst
7 10.4% · proj 16.4
Western Kentucky
52 89.6% · proj 38.9
Projected total 55.3
Projected spread Western Kentucky -22.5
✓ Favorite won
Middle Tennessee
13 35.2% · proj 24.6
Jacksonville State
23 64.8% · proj 30.7
Projected total 55.3
Projected spread Jacksonville State -6.2
✓ Favorite won
Texas A&M
6 33.8% · proj 19.4
LSU
35 66.2% · proj 26.1
Projected total 45.5
Projected spread LSU -6.7
✓ Favorite won
Arizona
34 58.5% · proj 24.4
Washington State
24 41.5% · proj 21.0
Projected total 45.4
Projected spread Arizona -3.3
✓ Favorite won
Oregon
41 60.3% · proj 29.9
USC
27 39.7% · proj 25.8
Projected total 55.7
Projected spread Oregon -4.2
✓ Favorite won
Troy
10 37.0% · proj 21.7
Utah State
21 63.0% · proj 27.1
Projected total 48.8
Projected spread Utah State -5.5
Not in record
Houston Christian
14 2.6% · proj 12.8
North Texas
63 97.4% · proj 47.4
Projected total 60.2
Projected spread North Texas -34.7
✓ Favorite won
App State
31 28.0% · proj 22.0
NC State
41 72.0% · proj 31.5
Projected total 53.5
Projected spread NC State -9.5
✓ Favorite won
Missouri
24 38.2% · proj 24.6
Mississippi State
31 61.8% · proj 29.6
Projected total 54.2
Projected spread Mississippi State -5.0
✓ Favorite won
Tulsa
6 10.7% · proj 18.0
Arkansas
34 89.3% · proj 38.6
Projected total 56.6
Projected spread Arkansas -20.6
✓ Favorite won
Florida Atlantic
45 70.4% · proj 32.8
UL Monroe
17 29.6% · proj 23.8
Projected total 56.6
Projected spread Florida Atlantic -9.0
✓ Favorite won
Missouri State
24 5.3% · proj 15.7
SMU
34 94.7% · proj 42.0
Projected total 57.7
Projected spread SMU -26.3
✓ Favorite won
Oregon State
33 75.9% · proj 31.3
UTEP
7 24.1% · proj 19.9
Projected total 51.2
Projected spread Oregon State -11.4
Not in record
Massachusetts
35 12.9% · proj 12.1
Sacramento State
6 87.1% · proj 30.3
Projected total 42.4
Projected spread Sacramento State -18.2
✓ Favorite won
Rice
24 11.5% · proj 11.8
Fresno State
38 88.5% · proj 30.3
Projected total 42.1
Projected spread Fresno State -18.5
✗ Favorite lost
Georgia Tech
27 65.7% · proj 30.3
Stanford
34 34.3% · proj 23.8
Projected total 54.1
Projected spread Georgia Tech -6.6
✗ Favorite lost
Air Force
36 43.1% · proj 24.6
Nevada
33 56.9% · proj 27.2
Projected total 51.8
Projected spread Nevada -2.6
✗ Favorite lost
Minnesota
27 7.3% · proj 9.6
Washington
24 92.7% · proj 32.1
Projected total 41.7
Projected spread Washington -22.6