The Forecast Card

College Football predictions Week 3, 2026

Win probabilities, projected scores, spreads and totals for every FBS game. FCS games are labeled and left out of the record. How it works →

57 games on this slate · model went 46–10 · 196–63 last 30 days →

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Updated 7h ago
✓ Favorite won
Syracuse
13 12.0% · proj 12.4
Pittsburgh
27 88.0% · proj 31.2
Projected total 43.6
Projected spread Pittsburgh -18.8
✓ Favorite won
Miami
33 84.7% · proj 37.0
Wake Forest
20 15.3% · proj 20.3
Projected total 57.3
Projected spread Miami -16.8
✓ Favorite won
Houston
26 19.5% · proj 20.1
Texas Tech
28 80.5% · proj 34.5
Projected total 54.6
Projected spread Texas Tech -14.5
✓ Favorite won
Coastal Carolina
14 37.1% · proj 24.0
Delaware
22 62.9% · proj 29.5
Projected total 53.5
Projected spread Delaware -5.5
✓ Favorite won
Georgia
45 74.2% · proj 31.4
Arkansas
17 25.8% · proj 21.2
Projected total 52.6
Projected spread Georgia -10.2
✓ Favorite won
Tulane
20 16.9% · proj 16.8
Kansas State
31 83.1% · proj 32.1
Projected total 48.9
Projected spread Kansas State -15.3
✓ Favorite won
Bowling Green
7 1.9% · proj 7.3
Iowa State
55 98.1% · proj 39.4
Projected total 46.7
Projected spread Iowa State -32.1
✓ Favorite won
Arizona State
24 54.3% · proj 26.7
Kansas
17 45.7% · proj 24.9
Projected total 51.6
Projected spread Arizona State -1.7
✓ Favorite won
North Carolina
20 36.9% · proj 21.5
Clemson
28 63.1% · proj 27.0
Projected total 48.5
Projected spread Clemson -5.4
✓ Favorite won
Akron
7 14.8% · proj 16.4
Minnesota
41 85.2% · proj 33.1
Projected total 49.5
Projected spread Minnesota -16.7
✓ Favorite won
Kent State
3 0.0% · proj 3.0
Ohio State
59 100.0% · proj 48.3
Projected total 51.3
Projected spread Ohio State -45.3
✓ Favorite won
Buffalo
13 1.4% · proj 7.0
Penn State
55 98.6% · proj 42.6
Projected total 49.6
Projected spread Penn State -35.6
✓ Favorite won
North Texas
35 50.0% · proj 35.0
Texas State
49 50.0% · proj 35.0
Projected total 70.0
Projected spread Pick 'em
✓ Favorite won
Eastern Michigan
10 16.4% · proj 16.1
Wisconsin
54 83.6% · proj 31.3
Projected total 47.4
Projected spread Wisconsin -15.2
✓ Favorite won
NC State
31 22.8% · proj 21.4
Vanderbilt
35 77.2% · proj 33.1
Projected total 54.5
Projected spread Vanderbilt -11.7
✓ Favorite won
Wyoming
10 46.1% · proj 20.0
Central Michigan
24 53.9% · proj 21.5
Projected total 41.5
Projected spread Central Michigan -1.5
✓ Favorite won
Temple
48 17.9% · proj 16.5
Toledo
49 82.1% · proj 31.0
Projected total 47.5
Projected spread Toledo -14.5
✓ Favorite won
Florida State
36 7.4% · proj 13.8
Alabama
50 92.6% · proj 36.6
Projected total 50.4
Projected spread Alabama -22.8
✗ Favorite lost
Kentucky
31 6.8% · proj 10.0
Texas A&M
21 93.2% · proj 33.6
Projected total 43.6
Projected spread Texas A&M -23.6
✓ Favorite won
Miami (OH)
31 12.7% · proj 17.3
Cincinnati
35 87.3% · proj 35.4
Projected total 52.7
Projected spread Cincinnati -18.1
✓ Favorite won
Utah State
0 6.1% · proj 16.2
Utah
33 93.9% · proj 42.7
Projected total 58.9
Projected spread Utah -26.5
✓ Favorite won
SMU
31 46.2% · proj 27.1
Louisville
41 53.8% · proj 28.7
Projected total 55.8
Projected spread Louisville -1.6
✓ Favorite won
UTEP
17 2.3% · proj 7.8
Michigan
52 97.7% · proj 39.9
Projected total 47.7
Projected spread Michigan -32.1
✓ Favorite won
USC
42 82.2% · proj 34.3
Rutgers
35 17.8% · proj 19.9
Projected total 54.2
Projected spread USC -14.4
✓ Favorite won
Stanford
7 30.5% · proj 24.5
Duke
35 69.5% · proj 32.9
Projected total 57.4
Projected spread Duke -8.4
✓ Favorite won
Western Kentucky
0 1.2% · proj 9.2
Indiana
38 98.8% · proj 45.1
Projected total 54.3
Projected spread Indiana -35.9
✓ Favorite won
Ball State
15 12.0% · proj 17.7
Liberty
51 88.0% · proj 36.5
Projected total 54.2
Projected spread Liberty -18.8
✓ Favorite won
Louisiana Tech
19 8.4% · proj 15.4
Baylor
36 91.6% · proj 38.9
Projected total 54.3
Projected spread Baylor -23.5
✗ Favorite lost
Mississippi State
41 40.1% · proj 26.3
South Carolina
34 59.9% · proj 30.5
Projected total 56.8
Projected spread South Carolina -4.2
✗ Favorite lost
East Carolina
20 35.7% · proj 23.6
Old Dominion
17 64.3% · proj 29.8
Projected total 53.4
Projected spread Old Dominion -6.2
✓ Favorite won
Florida International
10 40.9% · proj 27.9
Florida Atlantic
16 59.1% · proj 31.9
Projected total 59.8
Projected spread Florida Atlantic -4.0
✓ Favorite won
Charlotte
21 19.0% · proj 18.6
App State
26 81.0% · proj 32.9
Projected total 51.5
Projected spread App State -14.3
✓ Favorite won
Marshall
30 58.9% · proj 27.2
Missouri State
24 41.1% · proj 23.6
Projected total 50.8
Projected spread Marshall -3.6
✗ Favorite lost
Florida
44 36.3% · proj 24.3
Auburn
39 63.7% · proj 30.1
Projected total 54.4
Projected spread Auburn -5.8
✓ Favorite won
Troy
17 5.1% · proj 9.0
Missouri
27 94.9% · proj 35.4
Projected total 44.4
Projected spread Missouri -26.5
✓ Favorite won
Georgia State
30 23.0% · proj 19.9
UCF
44 77.0% · proj 31.9
Projected total 51.8
Projected spread UCF -12.0
✗ Favorite lost
UConn
48 46.3% · proj 27.9
Southern Miss
20 53.7% · proj 29.4
Projected total 57.3
Projected spread Southern Miss -1.6
✓ Favorite won
Western Michigan
28 80.7% · proj 27.0
Rice
21 19.3% · proj 13.8
Projected total 40.8
Projected spread Western Michigan -13.2
✗ Favorite lost
Nevada
20 55.6% · proj 27.8
Middle Tennessee
27 44.4% · proj 25.6
Projected total 53.4
Projected spread Nevada -2.2
✓ Favorite won
Ohio
36 42.5% · proj 27.1
South Alabama
41 57.5% · proj 30.1
Projected total 57.2
Projected spread South Alabama -3.1
✓ Favorite won
Georgia Southern
27 41.1% · proj 26.1
Jacksonville State
31 58.9% · proj 29.7
Projected total 55.8
Projected spread Jacksonville State -3.7
✗ Favorite lost
LSU
24 51.0% · proj 27.8
Ole Miss
32 49.0% · proj 27.4
Projected total 55.2
Projected spread LSU -0.4
✓ Favorite won
New Mexico
6 5.7% · proj 7.9
Oklahoma
14 94.3% · proj 32.7
Projected total 40.6
Projected spread Oklahoma -24.8
✓ Favorite won
BYU
41 90.8% · proj 36.6
Colorado State
23 9.2% · proj 15.8
Projected total 52.4
Projected spread BYU -20.8
✓ Favorite won
Colorado
7 40.7% · proj 21.4
Northwestern
41 59.3% · proj 25.1
Projected total 46.5
Projected spread Northwestern -3.7
✗ Favorite lost
West Virginia
38 20.8% · proj 19.0
Virginia
27 79.2% · proj 32.4
Projected total 51.4
Projected spread Virginia -13.4
✗ Favorite lost
Virginia Tech
35 47.1% · proj 27.3
Maryland
26 52.9% · proj 28.5
Projected total 55.8
Projected spread Maryland -1.2
✓ Favorite won
Michigan State
10 5.3% · proj 12.2
Notre Dame
27 94.7% · proj 37.5
Projected total 49.7
Projected spread Notre Dame -25.3
✓ Favorite won
Kennesaw State
9 2.4% · proj 12.2
Tennessee
42 97.6% · proj 44.7
Projected total 56.9
Projected spread Tennessee -32.5
✓ Favorite won
UTSA
6 10.2% · proj 17.0
Texas
30 89.8% · proj 38.1
Projected total 55.1
Projected spread Texas -21.1
✓ Favorite won
Arkansas State
7 9.6% · proj 16.8
TCU
31 90.4% · proj 38.6
Projected total 55.4
Projected spread TCU -21.8
✓ Favorite won
UAB
14 47.3% · proj 26.8
Louisiana
21 52.7% · proj 27.9
Projected total 54.7
Projected spread Louisiana -1.1
✓ Favorite won
James Madison
26 72.9% · proj 25.6
San Diego State
13 27.1% · proj 15.9
Projected total 41.5
Projected spread James Madison -9.7
✓ Favorite won
Northern Illinois
17 3.6% · proj 11.0
Arizona
42 96.4% · proj 39.8
Projected total 50.8
Projected spread Arizona -28.8
Not in record
North Dakota State
31 63.2% · proj 24.3
Sacramento State
10 36.8% · proj 18.8
Projected total 43.1
Projected spread North Dakota State -5.5
✓ Favorite won
Purdue
38 16.6% · proj 19.1
UCLA
52 83.4% · proj 34.5
Projected total 53.6
Projected spread UCLA -15.4
✗ Favorite lost
Fresno State
26 47.1% · proj 22.8
San José State
10 52.9% · proj 24.0
Projected total 46.8
Projected spread San José State -1.2