ATP Tennis predictions
Fri, Oct 2
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. How it works →
7 matches on this slate · model went 5–2 · 152–82 last 30 days →
‹
›
Games
✓ Favorite won
KK
Khachanov K.
13
73.2% · proj 12.4
MA
Molcan A.
8
26.8% · proj 8.9
Hard
Best of 3
Projected total games
21.3
ModelMarket
Molcan win
26.8%
23.3%
✓ Favorite won
CP
Carreno-Busta P.
6
29.8% · proj 8.9
MD
Medvedev D.
12
70.2% · proj 12.4
Hard
Best of 3
Projected total games
21.3
ModelMarket
Medvedev win
70.2%
78.5%
✓ Favorite won
GA
Gea A.
15
41.5% · proj 10.3
HH
Hurkacz H.
19
58.5% · proj 12.8
Hard
Best of 3
Projected total games
23.1
ModelMarket
Hurkacz win
58.5%
57.0%
✓ Favorite won
FJ
Faria J.
2
37.5% · proj 10.1
MJ
Munar J.
12
62.5% · proj 12.6
Hard
Best of 3
Projected total games
22.7
ModelMarket
Munar win
62.5%
58.4%
✗ Favorite lost
TS
Tsitsipas S.
16
53.4% · proj 12.3
VV
Vacherot V.
17
46.6% · proj 11.8
Hard
Best of 3
Projected total games
24.1
ModelMarket
Vacherot win
46.6%
40.2%
✗ Favorite lost
DL
Darderi L.
9
56.8% · proj 12.3
JK
Jacquet K.
13
43.2% · proj 10.8
Hard
Best of 3
Projected total games
23.1
ModelMarket
Jacquet win
43.2%
44.1%
✓ Favorite won
TF
Tiafoe F.
8
31.1% · proj 9.5
FA
Fils A.
13
68.9% · proj 13.0
Hard
Best of 3
Projected total games
22.5
ModelMarket
Fils win
68.9%
69.2%
Market
Faria J.
37.5% to win
2proj 10.1
@
Munar J.
62.5% to win
12proj 12.6
Model vs market
Munar win
4.1 pp toward Munar
- Model
- 62.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 58.4%
Decimal odds 1.62 / 2.27, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Tsitsipas S.
53.4% to win
16proj 12.3
@
Vacherot V.
46.6% to win
17proj 11.8
Model vs market
Vacherot win
6.4 pp toward Vacherot
- Model
- 46.6%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 40.2%
Decimal odds 2.35 / 1.58, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Khachanov K.
73.2% to win
13proj 12.4
@
Molcan A.
26.8% to win
8proj 8.9
Model vs market
Molcan win
3.5 pp toward Molcan
- Model
- 26.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 23.3%
Decimal odds 4.05 / 1.23, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Carreno-Busta P.
29.8% to win
6proj 8.9
@
Medvedev D.
70.2% to win
12proj 12.4
Model vs market
Medvedev win
8.3 pp toward Carreno-Busta
- Model
- 70.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 78.5%
Decimal odds 1.21 / 4.41, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Darderi L.
56.8% to win
9proj 12.3
@
Jacquet K.
43.2% to win
13proj 10.8
Model vs market
Jacquet win
1.0 pp toward Darderi
- Model
- 43.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 44.1%
Decimal odds 2.14 / 1.69, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Tiafoe F.
31.1% to win
8proj 9.5
@
Fils A.
68.9% to win
13proj 13.0
Model vs market
Fils win
0.3 pp toward Tiafoe
- Model
- 68.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 69.2%
Decimal odds 1.37 / 3.08, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Gea A.
41.5% to win
15proj 10.3
@
Hurkacz H.
58.5% to win
19proj 12.8
Model vs market
Hurkacz win
1.6 pp toward Hurkacz
- Model
- 58.5%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 57.0%
Decimal odds 1.66 / 2.20, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made