ATP Tennis predictions
Sun, Sep 6
Win probabilities, expected games and total games for every ATP match. How it works →
7 matches on this slate · model went 6–1 · 152–82 last 30 days →
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Games
✓ Favorite won
TL
Tien L.
25
58.1% · proj 19.3
MJ
Mensik J.
23
41.9% · proj 17.9
Hard
Best of 5
Projected total games
37.2
ModelMarket
Mensik win
41.9%
44.7%
✓ Favorite won
TA
Tabilo A.
10
17.8% · proj 14.0
ZA
Zverev A.
19
82.2% · proj 19.7
Hard
Best of 5
Projected total games
33.7
ModelMarket
Zverev win
82.2%
81.4%
✓ Favorite won
AC
Alcaraz C.
18
84.1% · proj 19.1
PT
Paul T.
11
15.9% · proj 12.3
Hard
Best of 5
Projected total games
31.4
ModelMarket
Paul win
15.9%
19.5%
✓ Favorite won
ET
Etcheverry T.
14
36.0% · proj 17.1
MA
Michelsen A.
19
64.0% · proj 19.8
Hard
Best of 5
Projected total games
36.9
ModelMarket
Michelsen win
64.0%
72.0%
✓ Favorite won
TF
Tiafoe F.
20
50.2% · proj 18.4
MD
Medvedev D.
16
49.8% · proj 18.4
Hard
Best of 5
Projected total games
36.8
ModelMarket
Medvedev win
49.8%
58.3%
✗ Favorite lost
GA
Gea A.
26
45.2% · proj 17.5
ZM
Zheng M.
23
54.8% · proj 18.8
Hard
Best of 5
Projected total games
36.3
ModelMarket
Zheng win
54.8%
57.1%
✓ Favorite won
VB
Van De Zandschulp B.
27
64.0% · proj 19.3
BZ
Bergs Z.
27
36.0% · proj 16.1
Hard
Best of 5
Projected total games
35.4
ModelMarket
Bergs win
36.0%
36.3%
Market
Tien L.
58.1% to win
25proj 19.3
@
Mensik J.
41.9% to win
23proj 17.9
Model vs market
Mensik win
2.8 pp toward Tien
- Model
- 41.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 44.7%
Decimal odds 2.13 / 1.72, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Tabilo A.
17.8% to win
10proj 14.0
@
Zverev A.
82.2% to win
19proj 19.7
Model vs market
Zverev win
0.8 pp toward Zverev
- Model
- 82.2%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 81.4%
Decimal odds 1.17 / 5.12, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Alcaraz C.
84.1% to win
18proj 19.1
@
Paul T.
15.9% to win
11proj 12.3
Model vs market
Paul win
3.7 pp toward Alcaraz
- Model
- 15.9%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 19.5%
Decimal odds 4.87 / 1.18, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Etcheverry T.
36.0% to win
14proj 17.1
@
Michelsen A.
64.0% to win
19proj 19.8
Model vs market
Michelsen win
8.0 pp toward Etcheverry
- Model
- 64.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 72.0%
Decimal odds 1.32 / 3.39, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Tiafoe F.
50.2% to win
20proj 18.4
@
Medvedev D.
49.8% to win
16proj 18.4
Model vs market
Medvedev win
8.5 pp toward Tiafoe
- Model
- 49.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 58.3%
Decimal odds 1.63 / 2.28, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Gea A.
45.2% to win
26proj 17.5
@
Zheng M.
54.8% to win
23proj 18.8
Model vs market
Zheng win
2.3 pp toward Gea
- Model
- 54.8%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 57.1%
Decimal odds 1.66 / 2.21, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made
Market
Van De Zandschulp B.
64.0% to win
27proj 19.3
@
Bergs Z.
36.0% to win
27proj 16.1
Model vs market
Bergs win
0.3 pp toward Van De Zandschulp
- Model
- 36.0%
- First line
- –
- Latest
- 36.3%
Decimal odds 2.62 / 1.49, bookmaker margin removed
- Latest
- Tennis Explorer odds when the prediction was made