NHL predictions Sat, Nov 7
Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →
12 games on this slate · 2–1 since Nov 6 (model V4) →
Games
Biggest factor: Power play and kill · FLA +0.5 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · NSH +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · NYR +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: Goaltending · MTL +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · OTT +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · NJD +0.5 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · CAR +1.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · DAL +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · MIN +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · COL +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice · LAK +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play · EDM +0.6 goals
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Sam Reinhart
|
35% | 0.44 | 61% | 2.65 | 73% | 19:40 | 4:17 |
Brady Tkachuk
|
34% | 0.41 | 59% | 3.24 | 82% | 16:36 | 3:55 |
Alex Tuch
|
32% | 0.39 | 54% | 2.27 | 65% | 18:30 | 1:50 |
Carter Verhaeghe
|
30% | 0.36 | 55% | 2.45 | 69% | 18:00 | 3:39 |
Matthew Tkachuk
|
29% | 0.35 | 66% | 2.39 | 68% | 17:43 | 4:12 |
Sam Bennett
|
26% | 0.30 | 46% | 2.36 | 67% | 16:41 | 2:03 |
Alex Ovechkin
|
25% | 0.28 | 45% | 2.10 | 61% | 14:36 | 3:05 |
Tom Wilson
|
24% | 0.28 | 47% | 1.85 | 54% | 18:10 | 2:18 |
Dylan Strome
|
23% | 0.26 | 55% | 1.74 | 51% | 17:23 | 2:35 |
Jordan Kyrou
|
23% | 0.26 | 48% | 1.99 | 58% | 14:58 | 2:10 |
Anton Lundell
|
22% | 0.25 | 42% | 2.10 | 61% | 17:40 | 1:46 |
Ryan Leonard
|
21% | 0.23 | 42% | 1.92 | 56% | 13:43 | 1:57 |
Pierre-Luc Dubois
|
20% | 0.22 | 49% | 1.53 | 45% | 16:37 | 1:59 |
Aliaksei Protas
|
20% | 0.22 | 43% | 1.59 | 47% | 16:39 | 0:02 |
Boone Jenner
|
19% | 0.22 | 37% | 1.78 | 52% | 15:32 | 0:02 |
Lars Eller
|
15% | 0.16 | 33% | 1.41 | 41% | 16:36 | 0:53 |
Justin Sourdif
|
14% | 0.16 | 32% | 1.20 | 34% | 13:49 | 0:24 |
Eetu Luostarinen
|
14% | 0.15 | 32% | 1.36 | 39% | 16:29 | 1:13 |
Sandis Vilmanis
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.34 | 38% | 13:01 | 0:11 |
Anthony Beauvillier
|
13% | 0.14 | 24% | 1.25 | 35% | 12:06 | 0:05 |
Ilya Protas
|
12% | 0.13 | 34% | 1.05 | 28% | 11:27 | 1:36 |
Cole Schwindt
|
8% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.88 | 22% | 8:51 | 0:17 |
Garnet Hathaway
|
6% | 0.06 | 14% | 0.61 | 13% | 10:05 | 0:02 |
Bokondji Imama
|
6% | 0.06 | 13% | 0.71 | 16% | 7:37 | 0:03 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jakob Chychrun
|
21% | 0.24 | 49% | 2.59 | 72% | 24:17 | 2:27 |
Seth Jones
|
13% | 0.14 | 50% | 2.02 | 59% | 24:02 | 3:54 |
Cole Hutson
|
12% | 0.12 | 38% | 1.66 | 49% | 19:23 | 1:52 |
Aaron Ekblad
|
8% | 0.08 | 32% | 1.38 | 40% | 21:33 | 1:35 |
Gustav Forsling
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.47 | 43% | 21:28 | 0:24 |
Matt Roy
|
5% | 0.06 | 25% | 1.08 | 29% | 20:31 | 0:04 |
Uvis Balinskis
|
5% | 0.05 | 23% | 1.12 | 31% | 16:02 | 1:35 |
Niko Mikkola
|
5% | 0.05 | 18% | 1.13 | 31% | 19:03 | 0:06 |
Martin Fehervary
|
5% | 0.05 | 27% | 0.84 | 21% | 20:00 | 0:05 |
Timothy Liljegren
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.70 | 16% | 15:25 | 0:01 |
Jack St. Ivany
|
3% | 0.03 | 21% | 0.70 | 16% | 13:54 | 0:00 |
Dmitry Kulikov
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.68 | 15% | 15:51 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
FLA
Aleksander BarkovFBrad MarchandFJonah GadjovichF
WSH
Rasmus SandinDVincent DesharnaisD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
FLA- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- J. MarkstromUnconfirmed
WSH- Rating
- +0.04
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 54.0%
- First line
- 52.6%
- Latest
- 52.6%
Moneyline WSH -122 / FLA +102 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.5
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +100 / Under -120
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 52.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 WSH +0.01
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals FLA +0.48
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net WSH +0.21
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it WSH +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances WSH +0.12
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual WSH +0.11
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score FLA +0.03
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.13
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.57
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.87
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.04
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.07
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual -0.07
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.00
Team comparison
FLA |
WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.1810th of 32 | 0.0913th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.4021st of 32 | 2.833rd of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.256th of 32 | 2.6524th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 9.551st of 32 | 6.4829th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.292nd of 32 | 8.2726th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0915th of 32 | 0.047th of 32 |
Goaltending
| FLA | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Akira Schmid | Logan Thompson |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.09 (#15) | +0.04 (#7) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winWSH 42%, FLA 34%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutWSH 12%, FLA 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (FLA)No
- Back-to-back (WSH)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelWSH 4 days, FLA 3 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: WSH +0.6%, FLA -2.9% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Filip Forsberg
|
39% | 0.49 | 67% | 3.03 | 79% | 19:53 | 3:46 |
Steven Stamkos
|
34% | 0.42 | 57% | 2.51 | 70% | 18:25 | 3:53 |
Jimmy Snuggerud
|
30% | 0.35 | 53% | 2.48 | 70% | 18:18 | 3:13 |
Ryan O'Reilly
|
29% | 0.34 | 61% | 2.00 | 59% | 21:24 | 3:35 |
Mason McTavish
|
29% | 0.34 | 50% | 2.47 | 69% | 16:50 | 2:56 |
Dylan Holloway
|
26% | 0.31 | 53% | 2.48 | 70% | 17:22 | 2:17 |
Robert Thomas
|
26% | 0.30 | 63% | 1.87 | 55% | 20:36 | 3:11 |
Pavel Buchnevich
|
21% | 0.23 | 43% | 1.76 | 52% | 17:16 | 2:06 |
Jake Neighbours
|
20% | 0.22 | 40% | 1.59 | 47% | 15:43 | 2:45 |
Adam Edstrom
|
20% | 0.22 | 32% | 1.62 | 48% | 16:08 | 0:01 |
Mavrik Bourque
|
20% | 0.22 | 41% | 1.88 | 55% | 16:20 | 1:55 |
Connor McMichael
|
19% | 0.22 | 42% | 1.72 | 51% | 15:17 | 1:59 |
Ross Colton
|
19% | 0.21 | 36% | 1.84 | 54% | 13:40 | 0:30 |
Shane Wright
|
17% | 0.19 | 35% | 1.31 | 37% | 13:53 | 1:49 |
Jack Drury
|
15% | 0.17 | 33% | 1.40 | 40% | 17:55 | 0:01 |
Alex Kerfoot
|
15% | 0.16 | 36% | 1.14 | 31% | 15:58 | 1:17 |
Pius Suter
|
13% | 0.14 | 26% | 1.25 | 35% | 13:21 | 0:07 |
Dalibor Dvorsky
|
13% | 0.14 | 23% | 1.27 | 36% | 12:22 | 0:44 |
Aleksanteri Kaskimaki
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.24 | 35% | 11:59 | 0:08 |
Nils Hoglander
|
10% | 0.11 | 22% | 0.97 | 25% | 9:49 | 0:19 |
Vitali Pinchuk
|
9% | 0.10 | 23% | 0.97 | 25% | 8:26 | 0:54 |
Reid Schaefer
|
9% | 0.10 | 19% | 0.98 | 26% | 10:25 | 0:01 |
Alexey Toropchenko
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 1.05 | 28% | 11:34 | 0:02 |
Ross Johnston
|
6% | 0.06 | 15% | 0.66 | 14% | 8:28 | 0:01 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Roman Josi
|
20% | 0.22 | 63% | 2.69 | 74% | 26:01 | 3:52 |
Philip Broberg
|
12% | 0.13 | 45% | 1.89 | 56% | 25:38 | 2:53 |
Adam Jiříček
|
7% | 0.08 | 25% | 1.40 | 41% | 16:09 | 1:16 |
Colton Parayko
|
7% | 0.08 | 24% | 1.44 | 42% | 20:27 | 0:05 |
Brady Skjei
|
7% | 0.07 | 30% | 1.27 | 36% | 21:24 | 0:57 |
Adam Wilsby
|
6% | 0.07 | 30% | 1.28 | 37% | 20:18 | 0:06 |
Cam Fowler
|
6% | 0.06 | 32% | 1.15 | 32% | 20:41 | 1:48 |
Justin Barron
|
5% | 0.06 | 21% | 1.14 | 32% | 16:28 | 0:04 |
Nick Perbix
|
4% | 0.05 | 20% | 0.91 | 23% | 19:10 | 0:09 |
Brandon Carlo
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 1.02 | 27% | 18:30 | 0:01 |
Daemon Hunt
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.75 | 18% | 13:02 | 0:02 |
Jayden Struble
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.56 | 11% | 14:46 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
STL
Dillon DubeFTyler TuckerD
NSH
Jonathan MarchessaultFWilliam TrudeauD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
STL- Rating
- +0.13
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
NSH- Rating
- -0.06
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.5%
- First line
- 50.0%
- Latest
- 50.0%
Moneyline NSH -110 / STL -110 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.3
- First line
- 5.5
- Latest
- 5.5
Over -130 / Under +110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 50.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 STL +0.09
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals NSH +0.11
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net NSH +0.10
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it NSH +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances STL +0.19
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual STL +0.04
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score STL +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.23
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.15
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.91
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances -0.07
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept +0.06
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual -0.02
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.01
Team comparison
STL |
NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.0617th of 32 | -0.1219th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.5115th of 32 | 2.4819th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.5720th of 32 | 2.6525th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.1932nd of 32 | 7.5216th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.847th of 32 | 6.554th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.135th of 32 | -0.0613th of 32 |
Goaltending
| STL | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Joel Hofer | Juuse Saros |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.13 (#5) | -0.06 (#13) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winNSH 40%, STL 36%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutNSH 12%, STL 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (STL)No
- Back-to-back (NSH)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelNSH 2 days, STL 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: NSH -1.0%, STL +0.3% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Pavel Dorofeyev
|
34% | 0.42 | 52% | 2.72 | 74% | 16:28 | 2:31 |
Mika Zibanejad
|
32% | 0.38 | 62% | 2.45 | 69% | 20:39 | 2:46 |
Alexis Lafrenière
|
30% | 0.36 | 55% | 2.26 | 65% | 18:02 | 2:43 |
J.T. Miller
|
29% | 0.34 | 61% | 2.04 | 60% | 19:23 | 2:31 |
Bobby McMann
|
28% | 0.33 | 45% | 2.59 | 72% | 17:54 | 2:37 |
Gabriel Perreault
|
25% | 0.29 | 45% | 1.91 | 56% | 16:59 | 1:30 |
Jordan Eberle
|
24% | 0.28 | 48% | 1.98 | 58% | 17:15 | 2:52 |
Will Cuylle
|
24% | 0.27 | 42% | 2.00 | 58% | 17:02 | 1:15 |
Mackie Samoskevich
|
23% | 0.26 | 42% | 2.03 | 59% | 15:36 | 1:52 |
Matty Beniers
|
23% | 0.26 | 44% | 1.60 | 47% | 18:25 | 2:48 |
Matthew Wood
|
21% | 0.23 | 38% | 1.71 | 50% | 15:31 | 1:48 |
Berkly Catton
|
19% | 0.21 | 40% | 1.54 | 45% | 14:58 | 2:30 |
Tye Kartye
|
19% | 0.21 | 40% | 1.59 | 47% | 17:14 | 0:31 |
Oliver Bjorkstrand
|
17% | 0.18 | 35% | 1.49 | 43% | 12:43 | 1:08 |
Kaapo Kakko
|
16% | 0.17 | 42% | 1.20 | 34% | 14:29 | 2:23 |
Chandler Stephenson
|
15% | 0.16 | 46% | 1.09 | 30% | 18:10 | 2:53 |
Frederick Gaudreau
|
13% | 0.14 | 29% | 1.19 | 33% | 16:14 | 0:04 |
Noah Laba
|
12% | 0.13 | 29% | 0.99 | 26% | 13:48 | 0:06 |
Eeli Tolvanen
|
12% | 0.13 | 26% | 1.30 | 37% | 12:10 | 0:36 |
Jani Nyman
|
12% | 0.13 | 24% | 1.17 | 33% | 10:21 | 0:36 |
Ryan Winterton
|
11% | 0.12 | 27% | 1.32 | 38% | 12:15 | 0:02 |
Ben Meyers
|
11% | 0.12 | 26% | 1.12 | 31% | 12:14 | 0:04 |
Jaroslav Chmelar
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.87 | 22% | 8:41 | 0:04 |
Matt Rempe
|
7% | 0.08 | 16% | 0.72 | 16% | 7:33 | 0:02 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Brandon Montour
|
17% | 0.18 | 42% | 2.36 | 67% | 24:03 | 2:18 |
Adam Fox
|
13% | 0.14 | 63% | 1.65 | 49% | 23:55 | 3:09 |
Vince Dunn
|
12% | 0.13 | 45% | 2.06 | 60% | 22:27 | 3:03 |
Vladislav Gavrikov
|
8% | 0.08 | 29% | 1.42 | 41% | 22:38 | 0:17 |
Ryker Evans
|
5% | 0.06 | 25% | 0.94 | 24% | 21:27 | 0:38 |
Adam Larsson
|
5% | 0.05 | 22% | 1.19 | 33% | 20:28 | 0:03 |
Braden Schneider
|
5% | 0.05 | 21% | 1.30 | 37% | 19:34 | 0:06 |
Scott Morrow
|
5% | 0.05 | 25% | 1.15 | 32% | 14:49 | 0:51 |
Marcus Pettersson
|
4% | 0.04 | 25% | 0.87 | 22% | 21:11 | 0:03 |
Alberts Smits
|
4% | 0.04 | 14% | 0.65 | 14% | 14:09 | 0:01 |
Joshua Mahura
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.74 | 17% | 14:08 | 0:00 |
Ville Ottavainen
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 1.04 | 28% | 11:03 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
NYR
Adam SykoraFJoe VelenoFSean DurziD
SEA
Jacob MelansonFJared McCannFRyan LindgrenD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
NYR- Rating
- +0.02
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
SEA- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- J. DaccordUnconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 55.0%
- First line
- 54.3%
- Latest
- 54.3%
Moneyline SEA +110 / NYR -130 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.3
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +110 / Under -130
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 54.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 NYR +0.37
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals NYR +0.23
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net SEA +0.03
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it SEA +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances NYR +0.11
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual SEA +0.09
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score NYR +0.01
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.93
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.31
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.97
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.02
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.07
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.01
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual -0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.01
Team comparison
NYR |
SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.1112th of 32 | -0.5728th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.5017th of 32 | 2.2528th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.4514th of 32 | 2.6526th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.934th of 32 | 6.4430th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.889th of 32 | 8.3327th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.028th of 32 | -0.0916th of 32 |
Goaltending
| NYR | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Dylan Garand | Philipp Grubauer |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.02 (#8) | -0.09 (#16) |
Who is out
- Igor Shesterkin NYR Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winSEA 33%, NYR 43%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutSEA 12%, NYR 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (NYR)No
- Back-to-back (SEA)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelSEA 3 days, NYR 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: SEA +1.4%, NYR -1.3% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Cole Caufield
|
42% | 0.55 | 62% | 3.37 | 83% | 17:53 | 3:54 |
Auston Matthews
|
39% | 0.50 | 64% | 3.31 | 83% | 19:42 | 3:02 |
Nick Suzuki
|
35% | 0.43 | 71% | 2.62 | 72% | 20:49 | 4:02 |
William Nylander
|
34% | 0.41 | 64% | 2.78 | 75% | 19:50 | 2:54 |
John Tavares
|
28% | 0.33 | 54% | 2.39 | 68% | 16:28 | 2:58 |
Juraj Slafkovsky
|
28% | 0.33 | 56% | 2.38 | 68% | 18:03 | 3:48 |
Jack Roslovic
|
25% | 0.28 | 45% | 2.29 | 66% | 16:55 | 1:35 |
Alex Newhook
|
21% | 0.23 | 39% | 1.55 | 45% | 15:51 | 2:03 |
Zack Bolduc
|
20% | 0.23 | 38% | 1.83 | 54% | 14:06 | 2:38 |
Chris Kreider
|
19% | 0.21 | 37% | 1.54 | 45% | 12:53 | 2:07 |
Josh Anderson
|
18% | 0.20 | 29% | 1.66 | 49% | 14:23 | 0:02 |
Gavin McKenna
|
18% | 0.20 | 39% | 1.80 | 53% | 13:49 | 2:33 |
Easton Cowan
|
18% | 0.19 | 39% | 1.78 | 53% | 16:00 | 0:57 |
Oliver Kapanen
|
17% | 0.18 | 30% | 1.51 | 44% | 11:59 | 1:58 |
Alexandre Texier
|
16% | 0.18 | 35% | 1.57 | 46% | 13:32 | 1:43 |
Nick Paul
|
16% | 0.17 | 32% | 1.42 | 41% | 16:01 | 0:33 |
Phillip Danault
|
14% | 0.15 | 34% | 1.54 | 45% | 16:57 | 0:16 |
Jake Evans
|
13% | 0.14 | 30% | 1.21 | 34% | 16:49 | 0:01 |
Kirby Dach
|
12% | 0.13 | 27% | 1.14 | 32% | 12:14 | 0:59 |
Dakota Joshua
|
12% | 0.12 | 25% | 1.15 | 32% | 11:36 | 0:39 |
Colton Sissons
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.21 | 34% | 14:32 | 0:03 |
Teddy Blueger
|
10% | 0.11 | 24% | 1.21 | 34% | 13:52 | 0:01 |
Brandon Duhaime
|
8% | 0.09 | 18% | 0.91 | 23% | 12:04 | 0:01 |
Zack MacEwen
|
8% | 0.09 | 18% | 1.10 | 30% | 8:34 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Darren Raddysh
|
14% | 0.15 | 50% | 2.47 | 69% | 22:52 | 3:02 |
Lane Hutson
|
12% | 0.13 | 62% | 1.71 | 50% | 24:08 | 3:55 |
Noah Dobson
|
11% | 0.11 | 41% | 2.05 | 60% | 20:38 | 1:55 |
Morgan Rielly
|
7% | 0.08 | 34% | 1.45 | 42% | 19:07 | 0:55 |
Kaiden Guhle
|
7% | 0.07 | 27% | 1.33 | 38% | 22:26 | 0:10 |
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
|
5% | 0.05 | 24% | 1.12 | 31% | 18:15 | 0:45 |
Alexandre Carrier
|
5% | 0.05 | 24% | 1.02 | 27% | 20:52 | 0:03 |
Troy Stecher
|
4% | 0.04 | 16% | 1.01 | 27% | 18:37 | 0:03 |
Jake McCabe
|
4% | 0.04 | 22% | 0.94 | 24% | 20:59 | 0:04 |
Adam Engstrom
|
4% | 0.04 | 14% | 0.98 | 26% | 11:51 | 0:08 |
Arber Xhekaj
|
3% | 0.03 | 10% | 0.74 | 17% | 11:33 | 0:01 |
Chris Tanev
|
2% | 0.02 | 17% | 0.65 | 14% | 17:47 | 0:02 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
MTL
Ivan DemidovFMike MathesonDSam Montembeault
TOR
Kirill MarchenkoFMax DomiFMarshall RifaiD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
MTL- Rating
- +0.22
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
TOR- Rating
- -0.17
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 60.5%
- First line
- 51.1%
- Latest
- 51.1%
Moneyline TOR -105 / MTL -115 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.5
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -115 / Under -105
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 51.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 MTL +0.39
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals TOR +0.11
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net 0.00
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it TOR +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances MTL +0.40
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual MTL +0.28
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score 0.00
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.04
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.60
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.88
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances -0.04
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.03
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual +0.02
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
MTL |
TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.189th of 32 | -0.5126th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.609th of 32 | 2.2329th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.5217th of 32 | 2.6423rd of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 7.1720th of 32 | 8.3311th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 8.2024th of 32 | 8.1923rd of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.222nd of 32 | -0.1722nd of 32 |
Goaltending
| MTL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Jacob Fowler | Sergei Bobrovsky |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.22 (#2) | -0.17 (#22) |
Who is out
- Elvis Merzlikins TOR Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Sam Montembeault MTL Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winTOR 29%, MTL 48%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutTOR 11%, MTL 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (MTL)No
- Back-to-back (TOR)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelTOR 4 days, MTL 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: TOR -4.3%, MTL +4.3% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Tim Stützle
|
38% | 0.48 | 71% | 2.29 | 66% | 21:42 | 3:51 |
Dylan Guenther
|
37% | 0.46 | 60% | 2.72 | 74% | 17:46 | 3:58 |
Drake Batherson
|
36% | 0.44 | 63% | 2.08 | 60% | 17:43 | 3:32 |
Shane Pinto
|
32% | 0.38 | 53% | 2.00 | 59% | 19:50 | 1:50 |
Logan Cooley
|
31% | 0.38 | 59% | 1.82 | 54% | 18:33 | 3:58 |
Dylan Cozens
|
31% | 0.37 | 55% | 2.14 | 62% | 17:01 | 3:16 |
Clayton Keller
|
29% | 0.35 | 69% | 2.44 | 69% | 19:36 | 3:58 |
Nick Schmaltz
|
29% | 0.34 | 57% | 2.17 | 63% | 18:00 | 3:51 |
Anders Lee
|
23% | 0.26 | 39% | 1.85 | 55% | 14:14 | 0:57 |
Fabian Zetterlund
|
22% | 0.25 | 40% | 1.77 | 52% | 14:09 | 1:27 |
Claude Giroux
|
21% | 0.23 | 50% | 1.59 | 47% | 15:56 | 2:40 |
Vincent Trocheck
|
20% | 0.23 | 46% | 1.53 | 45% | 18:14 | 1:14 |
Michael Amadio
|
18% | 0.20 | 36% | 1.23 | 35% | 16:22 | 0:02 |
Stephen Halliday
|
18% | 0.19 | 36% | 1.33 | 38% | 10:26 | 2:37 |
Barrett Hayton
|
17% | 0.19 | 36% | 1.59 | 47% | 15:03 | 1:01 |
Lawson Crouse
|
17% | 0.19 | 31% | 1.46 | 42% | 15:14 | 0:09 |
Michael Carcone
|
17% | 0.18 | 32% | 1.66 | 49% | 11:58 | 1:21 |
Jack McBain
|
12% | 0.13 | 26% | 1.04 | 28% | 13:03 | 0:04 |
Nick Cousins
|
10% | 0.11 | 21% | 0.86 | 21% | 10:40 | 0:06 |
Kevin Stenlund
|
9% | 0.09 | 21% | 0.85 | 21% | 13:00 | 0:03 |
Liam O'Brien
|
8% | 0.09 | 16% | 0.86 | 22% | 8:25 | 0:00 |
Hayden Hodgson
|
6% | 0.06 | 13% | 0.53 | 10% | 5:43 | 0:01 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jake Sanderson
|
15% | 0.17 | 53% | 1.90 | 56% | 24:31 | 3:01 |
Mikhail Sergachev
|
13% | 0.14 | 56% | 1.90 | 56% | 25:23 | 3:48 |
Thomas Chabot
|
13% | 0.14 | 46% | 1.74 | 51% | 22:26 | 2:23 |
Jordan Spence
|
9% | 0.10 | 34% | 1.24 | 35% | 20:01 | 0:32 |
MacKenzie Weegar
|
9% | 0.10 | 31% | 1.72 | 51% | 23:03 | 0:50 |
Carter Yakemchuk
|
9% | 0.09 | 32% | 1.35 | 39% | 16:32 | 2:29 |
Artem Zub
|
5% | 0.05 | 28% | 1.02 | 27% | 20:16 | 0:03 |
Dmitri Simashev
|
5% | 0.05 | 16% | 0.95 | 25% | 15:29 | 0:01 |
Nate Schmidt
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.85 | 21% | 16:29 | 0:05 |
Andrew Peeke
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.98 | 26% | 19:31 | 0:01 |
Nikolas Matinpalo
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.75 | 17% | 14:54 | 0:00 |
Nick DeSimone
|
4% | 0.04 | 16% | 0.81 | 20% | 13:59 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
UTA
Kailer YamamotoFJohn MarinoD
OTT
Andre BurakovskyFWarren FoegeleFWilliam EklundFTyler KlevenD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
UTA- Rating
- -0.26
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
OTT- Rating
- -0.28
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.3%
- First line
- 51.1%
- Latest
- 51.1%
Moneyline OTT -105 / UTA -115 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.4
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -108 / Under -112
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 51.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 UTA +0.15
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals UTA +0.12
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net OTT +0.05
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it OTT +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances UTA +0.02
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual UTA +0.17
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score UTA +0.01
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.83
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.59
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.75
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.00
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.55
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.15
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual -0.17
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.00
Team comparison
UTA |
OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.258th of 32 | 0.0114th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.805th of 32 | 2.5313th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.254th of 32 | 2.201st of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 9.033rd of 32 | 6.8923rd of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 8.7129th of 32 | 7.7017th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.2631st of 32 | -0.2832nd of 32 |
Goaltending
| UTA | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Karel Vejmelka | Samuel Ersson |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.26 (#31) | -0.28 (#32) |
Who is out
- Linus Ullmark OTT Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winOTT 36%, UTA 40%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutOTT 12%, UTA 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (UTA)No
- Back-to-back (OTT)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelOTT 3 days, UTA 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: OTT -5.3%, UTA +0.0% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jack Hughes
|
38% | 0.48 | 71% | 3.54 | 85% | 20:21 | 3:23 |
Bo Horvat
|
36% | 0.45 | 60% | 2.97 | 78% | 21:20 | 3:53 |
Nico Hischier
|
28% | 0.33 | 52% | 2.17 | 63% | 18:03 | 3:04 |
Timo Meier
|
27% | 0.32 | 44% | 2.82 | 76% | 16:19 | 1:41 |
Kyle Palmieri
|
27% | 0.31 | 49% | 2.17 | 63% | 18:07 | 3:48 |
Jesper Bratt
|
24% | 0.27 | 60% | 2.01 | 59% | 17:20 | 3:10 |
Luke Evangelista
|
23% | 0.26 | 52% | 2.29 | 66% | 16:36 | 3:01 |
Brayden Schenn
|
22% | 0.25 | 47% | 1.65 | 49% | 17:18 | 3:20 |
Simon Holmstrom
|
22% | 0.25 | 46% | 1.53 | 45% | 19:24 | 2:59 |
Arseny Gritsyuk
|
22% | 0.25 | 41% | 2.21 | 64% | 15:42 | 1:18 |
Anthony Mantha
|
19% | 0.21 | 39% | 1.47 | 43% | 13:19 | 1:40 |
Victor Eklund
|
18% | 0.20 | 39% | 1.47 | 43% | 14:33 | 1:34 |
Connor Brown
|
18% | 0.20 | 38% | 1.54 | 45% | 15:47 | 1:39 |
Evan Rodrigues
|
17% | 0.19 | 35% | 1.71 | 50% | 14:50 | 1:18 |
Emil Heineman
|
17% | 0.18 | 30% | 1.47 | 43% | 14:13 | 0:55 |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau
|
15% | 0.16 | 37% | 1.21 | 34% | 16:11 | 0:37 |
Anthony Duclair
|
15% | 0.16 | 32% | 1.24 | 35% | 14:04 | 1:22 |
Ondrej Palat
|
13% | 0.14 | 29% | 1.14 | 31% | 14:24 | 1:02 |
Amadeus Lombardi
|
13% | 0.14 | 28% | 1.44 | 42% | 10:55 | 0:09 |
Cody Glass
|
12% | 0.13 | 23% | 1.24 | 35% | 12:00 | 0:12 |
Jesper Boqvist
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.11 | 30% | 11:35 | 0:11 |
Casey Cizikas
|
10% | 0.10 | 20% | 0.91 | 23% | 11:43 | 0:03 |
Mitchell Chaffee
|
8% | 0.08 | 18% | 0.82 | 20% | 9:46 | 0:05 |
Kyle MacLean
|
7% | 0.08 | 17% | 0.69 | 15% | 10:19 | 0:02 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Matthew Schaefer
|
23% | 0.26 | 60% | 2.94 | 78% | 27:39 | 4:06 |
Luke Hughes
|
14% | 0.15 | 49% | 2.18 | 63% | 24:16 | 3:21 |
Dougie Hamilton
|
13% | 0.13 | 39% | 2.33 | 66% | 20:07 | 1:36 |
Tony DeAngelo
|
7% | 0.08 | 34% | 1.47 | 43% | 19:13 | 1:23 |
Adam Pelech
|
6% | 0.06 | 24% | 1.27 | 36% | 20:04 | 0:15 |
Logan Stanley
|
6% | 0.06 | 29% | 1.05 | 28% | 22:04 | 0:09 |
Brett Pesce
|
5% | 0.06 | 23% | 1.19 | 33% | 20:31 | 0:07 |
Ben Hutton
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 1.05 | 28% | 13:45 | 0:05 |
Jonas Siegenthaler
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.72 | 16% | 19:08 | 0:09 |
Johnathan Kovacevic
|
3% | 0.04 | 18% | 0.87 | 22% | 15:58 | 0:01 |
Matthew Kessel
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.73 | 17% | 12:52 | 0:05 |
Declan Chisholm
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.72 | 16% | 14:12 | 0:17 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
NJD
Seamus CaseyD
NYI
Calum RitchieFMathew BarzalFMatias MaccelliFAlexander RomanovDRyan PulockD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
NJD- Rating
- -0.10
- DailyFaceoff
- C. HellebuyckUnconfirmed
NYI- Rating
- +0.17
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 56.8%
- First line
- 57.2%
- Latest
- 57.2%
Moneyline NYI +124 / NJD -148 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.3
- First line
- 5.5
- Latest
- 5.5
Over -130 / Under +110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 57.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 NJD +0.45
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals NJD +0.30
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net NJD +0.25
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it NYI +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances NYI +0.27
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual NYI +0.02
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score 0.00
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.10
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.47
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.89
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.04
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances -0.07
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept +0.01
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual -0.03
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.01
Team comparison
NJD |
NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.524th of 32 | -0.1920th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.668th of 32 | 2.5412th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.212nd of 32 | 2.6322nd of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.726th of 32 | 6.7525th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.2011th of 32 | 8.1322nd of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.1018th of 32 | 0.174th of 32 |
Goaltending
| NJD | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Jake Allen | Ilya Sorokin |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Likely |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.10 (#18) | +0.17 (#4) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winNYI 32%, NJD 44%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutNYI 11%, NJD 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (NJD)No
- Back-to-back (NYI)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelNYI 2 days, NJD 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: NYI -0.1%, NJD -0.8% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Sebastian Aho
|
40% | 0.51 | 73% | 2.75 | 75% | 20:13 | 3:21 |
Andrei Svechnikov
|
36% | 0.44 | 65% | 2.72 | 74% | 17:19 | 3:21 |
Jackson Blake
|
33% | 0.40 | 61% | 2.42 | 68% | 17:02 | 3:16 |
Seth Jarvis
|
33% | 0.40 | 59% | 2.53 | 71% | 17:22 | 1:42 |
Logan Stankoven
|
30% | 0.36 | 52% | 2.48 | 70% | 15:44 | 1:18 |
Nikolaj Ehlers
|
30% | 0.36 | 64% | 2.52 | 70% | 16:11 | 3:01 |
Connor Bedard
|
26% | 0.31 | 56% | 2.56 | 71% | 20:45 | 3:55 |
Mark Jankowski
|
22% | 0.25 | 38% | 1.53 | 45% | 14:11 | 1:03 |
Roman Kantserov
|
21% | 0.23 | 38% | 1.58 | 47% | 18:49 | 3:38 |
Taylor Hall
|
20% | 0.22 | 43% | 1.69 | 50% | 12:26 | 1:15 |
Tyler Bertuzzi
|
19% | 0.21 | 37% | 1.44 | 42% | 17:38 | 3:04 |
Jordan Martinook
|
18% | 0.20 | 38% | 1.56 | 46% | 14:57 | 0:01 |
Frank Nazar
|
18% | 0.20 | 35% | 1.58 | 46% | 17:33 | 2:12 |
William Carrier
|
17% | 0.19 | 38% | 1.54 | 45% | 12:34 | 0:00 |
Anton Frondell
|
17% | 0.19 | 37% | 1.81 | 53% | 17:37 | 2:26 |
Eric Robinson
|
15% | 0.16 | 30% | 1.32 | 38% | 11:22 | 0:03 |
Jesperi Kotkaniemi
|
14% | 0.15 | 32% | 1.22 | 34% | 11:13 | 0:49 |
Ryan Donato
|
12% | 0.13 | 26% | 1.19 | 33% | 13:35 | 1:05 |
Oliver Moore
|
10% | 0.11 | 24% | 1.21 | 34% | 12:50 | 1:01 |
Teuvo Teravainen
|
10% | 0.11 | 29% | 0.92 | 24% | 14:52 | 2:02 |
Ryan Greene
|
10% | 0.10 | 22% | 0.96 | 25% | 15:03 | 0:39 |
Cole Smith
|
8% | 0.08 | 16% | 0.97 | 25% | 13:37 | 0:02 |
Andrew Mangiapane
|
8% | 0.08 | 18% | 0.82 | 20% | 11:15 | 0:00 |
Dillon Boucher
|
5% | 0.05 | 14% | 0.68 | 15% | 8:18 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Shayne Gostisbehere
|
14% | 0.15 | 56% | 1.82 | 54% | 17:44 | 3:19 |
Sean Walker
|
12% | 0.12 | 34% | 2.07 | 60% | 20:23 | 0:18 |
K'Andre Miller
|
10% | 0.10 | 38% | 1.59 | 47% | 21:18 | 0:37 |
Jalen Chatfield
|
8% | 0.09 | 28% | 1.49 | 43% | 20:21 | 0:04 |
Jaccob Slavin
|
8% | 0.08 | 33% | 1.68 | 50% | 22:01 | 0:03 |
Juuso Valimaki
|
5% | 0.06 | 22% | 1.00 | 26% | 14:35 | 0:45 |
Artyom Levshunov
|
5% | 0.05 | 22% | 1.12 | 31% | 21:05 | 1:06 |
Sam Rinzel
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.15 | 32% | 18:02 | 0:57 |
Wyatt Kaiser
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.87 | 22% | 20:43 | 0:04 |
Alex Vlasic
|
3% | 0.03 | 17% | 0.94 | 24% | 22:12 | 0:12 |
Ian Cole
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.66 | 14% | 18:57 | 0:02 |
Ethan Del Mastro
|
2% | 0.02 | 12% | 0.74 | 17% | 14:06 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
CHI
Patrick KaneFBowen ByramD
CAR
Jordan StaalF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
CHI- Rating
- -0.08
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
CAR- Rating
- +0.22
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 84.5%
- First line
- 77.2%
- Latest
- 77.2%
Moneyline CAR -410 / CHI +320 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.4
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +105 / Under -125
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 77.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 CAR +1.31
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals CAR +0.28
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net CAR +0.10
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it CAR +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances CAR +0.31
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual CAR +0.28
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score CHI +0.10
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.47
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.35
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.65
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.09
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances -0.14
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.03
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual +0.09
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.10
Team comparison
CHI |
CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.8330th of 32 | 1.141st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.1432nd of 32 | 3.061st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.9231st of 32 | 2.287th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.6428th of 32 | 8.647th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.8018th of 32 | 6.513rd of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0814th of 32 | 0.221st of 32 |
Goaltending
| CHI | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Spencer Knight | Pyotr Kochetkov |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.08 (#14) | +0.22 (#1) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winCAR 75%, CHI 10%
- Goes to overtime15%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout6%
- Win in OT or shootoutCAR 9%, CHI 6%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (CHI)No
- Back-to-back (CAR)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelCAR 2 days, CHI 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: CAR +4.3%, CHI -4.6% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jason Robertson
|
47% | 0.64 | 77% | 3.23 | 82% | 19:36 | 3:05 |
Wyatt Johnston
|
44% | 0.57 | 72% | 2.54 | 71% | 19:30 | 2:55 |
Mikko Rantanen
|
39% | 0.50 | 76% | 2.20 | 64% | 19:45 | 3:11 |
Roope Hintz
|
32% | 0.39 | 64% | 2.08 | 61% | 16:43 | 2:27 |
Macklin Celebrini
|
32% | 0.38 | 61% | 3.29 | 83% | 22:14 | 4:30 |
Tyler Seguin
|
25% | 0.29 | 51% | 1.75 | 51% | 15:31 | 0:50 |
Arttu Hyry
|
23% | 0.26 | 40% | 1.83 | 54% | 14:43 | 0:01 |
Will Smith
|
23% | 0.26 | 44% | 2.15 | 62% | 18:49 | 4:13 |
Jamie Benn
|
19% | 0.21 | 45% | 1.30 | 37% | 13:25 | 0:28 |
Mason Marchment
|
19% | 0.21 | 39% | 1.70 | 50% | 17:09 | 3:47 |
Justin Hryckowian
|
18% | 0.20 | 37% | 1.20 | 34% | 14:41 | 0:51 |
Ivar Stenberg
|
16% | 0.18 | 37% | 1.53 | 45% | 15:54 | 4:03 |
David Perron
|
16% | 0.18 | 34% | 1.20 | 34% | 11:59 | 0:27 |
Tyler Toffoli
|
16% | 0.18 | 32% | 1.90 | 56% | 14:27 | 2:45 |
Kiefer Sherwood
|
16% | 0.17 | 30% | 1.82 | 54% | 16:34 | 1:32 |
Joel Kiviranta
|
14% | 0.15 | 27% | 1.15 | 32% | 12:03 | 0:00 |
Michael Misa
|
12% | 0.13 | 30% | 1.23 | 35% | 14:30 | 1:43 |
Collin Graf
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.25 | 35% | 16:07 | 0:25 |
Colin Blackwell
|
10% | 0.11 | 24% | 0.97 | 25% | 10:16 | 0:00 |
Radek Faksa
|
10% | 0.11 | 27% | 0.82 | 20% | 11:23 | 0:00 |
Adam Gaudette
|
9% | 0.09 | 16% | 1.06 | 29% | 10:20 | 0:47 |
Ty Dellandrea
|
7% | 0.07 | 17% | 0.89 | 22% | 13:16 | 0:06 |
Zack Ostapchuk
|
5% | 0.06 | 11% | 0.75 | 18% | 10:40 | 0:04 |
Barclay Goodrow
|
5% | 0.05 | 11% | 0.77 | 18% | 11:20 | 0:02 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Thomas Harley
|
16% | 0.18 | 52% | 1.98 | 58% | 25:09 | 1:07 |
Eric Pohlkamp
|
8% | 0.09 | 32% | 1.63 | 48% | 17:37 | 4:21 |
Esa Lindell
|
7% | 0.08 | 36% | 1.15 | 32% | 23:32 | 0:28 |
Jacob Trouba
|
6% | 0.06 | 25% | 1.60 | 47% | 22:12 | 1:10 |
Nils Lundkvist
|
6% | 0.06 | 28% | 1.04 | 28% | 18:21 | 0:04 |
Darnell Nurse
|
6% | 0.06 | 19% | 1.61 | 47% | 21:16 | 0:04 |
Tyler Myers
|
6% | 0.06 | 24% | 0.97 | 25% | 17:26 | 0:00 |
Dmitry Orlov
|
5% | 0.05 | 28% | 0.97 | 25% | 17:35 | 2:58 |
Michael Kesselring
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 1.27 | 36% | 18:50 | 0:15 |
Lian Bichsel
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 0.71 | 16% | 16:18 | 0:00 |
Sam Dickinson
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.88 | 22% | 18:07 | 0:07 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
SJS
Alexander WennbergFIgor ChernyshovF
DAL
Matt DucheneFOskar BackFKyle CapobiancoDMiro HeiskanenD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
SJS- Rating
- -0.23
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
DAL- Rating
- +0.13
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 75.3%
- First line
- 71.4%
- Latest
- 71.4%
Moneyline DAL -290 / SJS +235 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.2
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +105 / Under -125
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 71.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 DAL +0.43
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals DAL +0.38
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net DAL +0.17
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it DAL +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances DAL +0.36
- Back-to-back (SJS)SJS played yesterday DAL +0.22
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual SJS +0.12
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score SJS +0.07
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.77
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.52
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.96
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.05
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.09
- Back-to-backSJS played yesterday, plus a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects -0.01
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual -0.12
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.04
Team comparison
SJS |
DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.9131st of 32 | 0.456th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.2927th of 32 | 2.3026th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.8230th of 32 | 2.255th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.7624th of 32 | 9.452nd of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 8.9930th of 32 | 6.101st of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.2329th of 32 | 0.136th of 32 |
Goaltending
| SJS | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Yaroslav Askarov | Jake Oettinger |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.23 (#29) | +0.13 (#6) |
Who is out
- Kyle Keyser SJS Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winDAL 64%, SJS 16%
- Goes to overtime20%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout8%
- Win in OT or shootoutDAL 11%, SJS 8%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (SJS)Yes-0.12 goals to SJS
- Back-to-back (DAL)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelDAL 2 days, SJS 1 daybeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: DAL -2.9%, SJS +0.0% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation; SJS: tonight's lineup not used (a recent game not yet in play
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Kirill Kaprizov
|
44% | 0.58 | 71% | 3.10 | 80% | 22:07 | 4:28 |
Matt Boldy
|
40% | 0.52 | 67% | 3.35 | 83% | 21:14 | 4:25 |
Jake Guentzel
|
39% | 0.49 | 65% | 2.69 | 74% | 20:32 | 4:22 |
Nikita Kucherov
|
38% | 0.48 | 78% | 2.85 | 76% | 20:17 | 4:19 |
Brandon Hagel
|
36% | 0.45 | 63% | 3.03 | 79% | 19:52 | 3:20 |
Brayden Point
|
33% | 0.40 | 59% | 2.16 | 62% | 18:57 | 4:11 |
Joel Eriksson Ek
|
32% | 0.39 | 58% | 2.79 | 75% | 19:35 | 4:04 |
Anthony Cirelli
|
23% | 0.26 | 44% | 1.69 | 50% | 16:55 | 1:43 |
Blake Coleman
|
21% | 0.24 | 38% | 2.01 | 59% | 15:57 | 1:24 |
Maxim Shabanov
|
20% | 0.22 | 46% | 1.40 | 41% | 15:42 | 3:51 |
Danila Yurov
|
18% | 0.19 | 34% | 1.37 | 40% | 15:09 | 1:26 |
Ryan Hartman
|
17% | 0.19 | 33% | 1.53 | 45% | 13:54 | 1:22 |
Bobby Brink
|
15% | 0.17 | 36% | 1.37 | 39% | 14:18 | 1:37 |
Ilya Mikheyev
|
15% | 0.17 | 29% | 1.42 | 41% | 14:44 | 0:00 |
Pontus Holmberg
|
15% | 0.17 | 32% | 1.39 | 40% | 14:08 | 0:38 |
Gage Goncalves
|
15% | 0.16 | 35% | 1.20 | 34% | 15:09 | 1:11 |
Conor Geekie
|
12% | 0.13 | 23% | 1.14 | 31% | 11:11 | 0:57 |
Zemgus Girgensons
|
12% | 0.13 | 22% | 1.23 | 35% | 13:41 | 0:01 |
Michael McCarron
|
12% | 0.13 | 24% | 1.34 | 38% | 13:30 | 0:03 |
Yakov Trenin
|
12% | 0.12 | 24% | 1.11 | 30% | 13:36 | 0:03 |
Jeffrey Viel
|
10% | 0.10 | 20% | 0.96 | 25% | 9:44 | 0:03 |
Nico Sturm
|
8% | 0.08 | 18% | 0.77 | 18% | 10:38 | 0:03 |
Tyler Pitlick
|
7% | 0.07 | 14% | 0.82 | 20% | 7:49 | 0:03 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Quinn Hughes
|
19% | 0.21 | 72% | 2.55 | 71% | 29:15 | 4:40 |
John Carlson
|
12% | 0.12 | 42% | 1.85 | 54% | 18:33 | 2:42 |
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
|
8% | 0.08 | 36% | 1.34 | 38% | 18:13 | 2:55 |
Victor Hedman
|
6% | 0.06 | 25% | 1.11 | 30% | 15:46 | 0:25 |
Maxwell Crozier
|
6% | 0.06 | 23% | 1.41 | 41% | 17:02 | 0:02 |
J.J. Moser
|
6% | 0.06 | 20% | 1.05 | 28% | 17:28 | 0:07 |
Jonas Brodin
|
5% | 0.05 | 28% | 1.18 | 33% | 22:17 | 0:12 |
Olli Maatta
|
4% | 0.04 | 24% | 0.81 | 19% | 19:37 | 0:01 |
Erik Cernak
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.97 | 25% | 17:43 | 0:03 |
Ryan McDonagh
|
4% | 0.04 | 21% | 0.76 | 18% | 17:06 | 0:03 |
David Spacek
|
3% | 0.03 | 17% | 0.80 | 19% | 12:33 | 0:52 |
Zach Bogosian
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.89 | 23% | 16:47 | 0:02 |
Matt Kiersted
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.78 | 18% | 12:58 | 0:05 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
TBL
Yanni GourdeF
MIN
Marcus FolignoFNick FolignoFBrock FaberDJared SpurgeonD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
TBL- Rating
- +0.02
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
MIN- Rating
- -0.19
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.2%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline MIN +120 / TBL -142 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.6
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +105 / Under -125
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 56.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 TBL +0.12
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals MIN +0.04
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net MIN +0.18
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it MIN +0.31
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances TBL +0.20
- Back-to-back (MIN)MIN played yesterday TBL +0.30
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual TBL +0.02
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score TBL +0.01
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.18
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.41
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +1.02
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.17
- Back-to-backMIN played yesterday, plus a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.01
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.20
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual +0.02
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
TBL |
MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.603rd of 32 | 0.505th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.804th of 32 | 2.687th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.348th of 32 | 2.3611th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 7.7313th of 32 | 8.3710th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.3613th of 32 | 7.0110th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.029th of 32 | -0.1925th of 32 |
Goaltending
| TBL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Andrei Vasilevskiy | Calvin Pickard |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Confirmed |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.02 (#9) | -0.19 (#25) |
Who is out
- Filip Gustavsson MIN Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winMIN 36%, TBL 40%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutMIN 11%, TBL 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (TBL)No
- Back-to-back (MIN)YesMIN scores and defends worse on the second night
- Days since last game Not in the modelMIN 1 day, TBL 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: MIN +0.0%, TBL +0.7% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation; MIN: tonight's lineup not used (a recent game not yet in play
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Nathan MacKinnon
|
44% | 0.58 | 79% | 3.61 | 86% | 20:59 | 4:18 |
Alex DeBrincat
|
38% | 0.48 | 62% | 3.27 | 82% | 20:08 | 3:28 |
Martin Necas
|
33% | 0.40 | 67% | 2.28 | 65% | 20:13 | 3:42 |
Viktor Arvidsson
|
33% | 0.40 | 56% | 2.73 | 74% | 18:57 | 3:26 |
Nazem Kadri
|
30% | 0.35 | 56% | 2.50 | 70% | 16:57 | 4:06 |
Lucas Raymond
|
29% | 0.34 | 62% | 2.37 | 67% | 20:18 | 3:30 |
Artturi Lehkonen
|
29% | 0.34 | 48% | 1.88 | 55% | 18:10 | 1:21 |
Brock Nelson
|
26% | 0.30 | 47% | 1.81 | 53% | 17:15 | 1:39 |
T.J. Hughes
|
25% | 0.29 | 46% | 2.16 | 63% | 15:06 | 4:14 |
Emmitt Finnie
|
23% | 0.26 | 43% | 1.89 | 55% | 18:59 | 2:27 |
Gabriel Landeskog
|
21% | 0.24 | 42% | 1.57 | 46% | 14:46 | 1:38 |
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
|
20% | 0.23 | 41% | 1.70 | 50% | 15:38 | 1:42 |
Jaden Schwartz
|
20% | 0.22 | 38% | 1.61 | 47% | 13:42 | 1:56 |
Andrew Copp
|
18% | 0.20 | 43% | 1.60 | 47% | 18:55 | 1:53 |
Michael Rasmussen
|
15% | 0.17 | 31% | 1.35 | 39% | 14:56 | 1:41 |
J.T. Compher
|
13% | 0.14 | 32% | 1.21 | 34% | 15:59 | 0:55 |
Parker Kelly
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.12 | 31% | 12:38 | 0:00 |
Logan O'Connor
|
12% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.08 | 29% | 12:10 | 0:01 |
Nicolas Roy
|
11% | 0.12 | 28% | 0.98 | 26% | 11:51 | 0:24 |
Nate Danielson
|
10% | 0.10 | 24% | 0.86 | 21% | 11:34 | 0:45 |
Fedor Svechkov
|
10% | 0.10 | 24% | 0.86 | 21% | 10:54 | 0:03 |
Carter Mazur
|
8% | 0.08 | 19% | 0.85 | 21% | 8:28 | 0:04 |
Sheldon Dries
|
7% | 0.08 | 17% | 0.78 | 19% | 9:53 | 0:03 |
Keegan Kolesar
|
6% | 0.07 | 16% | 0.64 | 14% | 9:52 | 0:05 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Cale Makar
|
22% | 0.25 | 66% | 2.45 | 69% | 23:53 | 4:17 |
Moritz Seider
|
11% | 0.11 | 49% | 2.03 | 59% | 27:23 | 3:30 |
Devon Toews
|
11% | 0.11 | 40% | 1.61 | 47% | 21:40 | 1:36 |
Justin Faulk
|
8% | 0.09 | 33% | 1.48 | 43% | 21:10 | 1:53 |
Sam Malinski
|
7% | 0.08 | 32% | 1.66 | 49% | 18:25 | 0:10 |
Brent Burns
|
7% | 0.07 | 25% | 1.54 | 45% | 16:55 | 0:04 |
Ben Chiarot
|
5% | 0.05 | 16% | 1.13 | 31% | 21:17 | 0:13 |
Brett Kulak
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.11 | 30% | 19:00 | 0:01 |
William Wallinder
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.90 | 23% | 17:27 | 0:01 |
Anton Johansson
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.84 | 21% | 12:24 | 0:01 |
Noah Juulsen
|
2% | 0.02 | 13% | 0.50 | 9% | 12:24 | 0:01 |
Andreas Englund
|
2% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.57 | 11% | 13:40 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
DET
Dylan LarkinFMarco KasperFMason AppletonFAlbert JohanssonDSimon EdvinssonD
COL
Zachary L'HeureuxFJosh MansonD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
DET- Rating
- -0.17
- DailyFaceoff
- D. TarasovUnconfirmed
COL- Rating
- -0.04
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 63.3%
- First line
- 66.4%
- Latest
- 66.4%
Moneyline COL -225 / DET +185 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.5
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -108 / Under -112
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 66.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 COL +0.24
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals COL +0.01
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net COL +0.27
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it COL +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances COL +0.13
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual DET +0.06
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score DET +0.04
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.17
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.49
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.90
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.03
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.21
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.18
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual -0.10
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.02
Team comparison
DET |
COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.0416th of 32 | 0.612nd of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.5314th of 32 | 2.842nd of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.3912th of 32 | 2.4013th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.608th of 32 | 7.4318th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 8.1120th of 32 | 6.858th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.1721st of 32 | -0.0412th of 32 |
Goaltending
| DET | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | John Gibson | Mackenzie Blackwood |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.17 (#21) | -0.04 (#12) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winCOL 51%, DET 26%
- Goes to overtime22%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout9%
- Win in OT or shootoutCOL 12%, DET 10%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (DET)No
- Back-to-back (COL)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelCOL 2 days, DET 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: COL -2.2%, DET -0.7% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Artemi Panarin
|
38% | 0.48 | 73% | 3.06 | 79% | 21:04 | 4:10 |
Adrian Kempe
|
37% | 0.46 | 64% | 2.93 | 78% | 19:24 | 3:38 |
Alex Laferriere
|
32% | 0.39 | 55% | 2.80 | 76% | 19:28 | 3:32 |
Rickard Rakell
|
32% | 0.39 | 53% | 2.48 | 70% | 19:12 | 3:09 |
Sidney Crosby
|
30% | 0.35 | 60% | 2.22 | 64% | 18:52 | 3:14 |
Quinton Byfield
|
29% | 0.35 | 53% | 2.32 | 66% | 19:23 | 3:28 |
Evgeni Malkin
|
23% | 0.27 | 51% | 2.04 | 60% | 16:35 | 2:10 |
Tommy Novak
|
23% | 0.26 | 46% | 1.89 | 56% | 16:33 | 2:29 |
Ben Kindel
|
22% | 0.24 | 39% | 1.98 | 58% | 16:08 | 2:07 |
Trevor Moore
|
22% | 0.24 | 42% | 2.11 | 61% | 16:22 | 1:09 |
Egor Chinakhov
|
22% | 0.24 | 40% | 1.93 | 57% | 14:58 | 1:35 |
Martin Chromiak
|
19% | 0.21 | 40% | 1.63 | 48% | 12:33 | 3:00 |
Corey Perry
|
18% | 0.20 | 35% | 1.56 | 46% | 13:41 | 2:00 |
Erik Haula
|
17% | 0.19 | 37% | 1.56 | 46% | 14:28 | 1:51 |
Nicholas Robertson
|
16% | 0.18 | 28% | 1.70 | 50% | 13:30 | 0:06 |
Justin Brazeau
|
14% | 0.15 | 28% | 1.40 | 41% | 11:55 | 0:30 |
Scott Laughton
|
14% | 0.15 | 29% | 1.41 | 41% | 13:52 | 0:11 |
Ville Koivunen
|
14% | 0.15 | 33% | 1.10 | 30% | 13:35 | 2:11 |
Joel Armia
|
13% | 0.14 | 27% | 1.30 | 37% | 13:02 | 0:06 |
Connor Dewar
|
13% | 0.13 | 26% | 1.39 | 40% | 14:04 | 0:02 |
Hendrix Lapierre
|
12% | 0.12 | 30% | 1.03 | 28% | 11:53 | 0:54 |
Andre Lee
|
10% | 0.11 | 24% | 0.94 | 24% | 10:14 | 0:18 |
Blake Lizotte
|
10% | 0.11 | 25% | 1.03 | 27% | 13:57 | 0:01 |
Kenny Connors
|
10% | 0.10 | 23% | 1.01 | 27% | 9:28 | 0:12 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Erik Karlsson
|
14% | 0.15 | 52% | 2.09 | 61% | 23:02 | 3:19 |
Brandt Clarke
|
10% | 0.10 | 41% | 1.71 | 50% | 18:37 | 2:19 |
Erik Gustafsson
|
8% | 0.09 | 41% | 1.14 | 31% | 20:13 | 3:13 |
Kris Letang
|
7% | 0.08 | 33% | 1.53 | 45% | 20:18 | 1:18 |
Drew Doughty
|
6% | 0.07 | 33% | 1.22 | 34% | 21:59 | 1:34 |
Declan Carlile
|
6% | 0.06 | 17% | 1.18 | 33% | 18:02 | 0:05 |
Samuel Girard
|
5% | 0.05 | 26% | 1.05 | 28% | 18:57 | 0:07 |
Joel Edmundson
|
5% | 0.05 | 19% | 1.11 | 30% | 17:37 | 0:02 |
Kaedan Korczak
|
4% | 0.04 | 25% | 0.89 | 22% | 18:13 | 0:01 |
Mikey Anderson
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 0.77 | 18% | 18:48 | 0:03 |
Spencer Stastney
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 1.09 | 30% | 17:15 | 0:00 |
Brian Dumoulin
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.75 | 17% | 16:46 | 0:13 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
PIT
Bryan RustFRyan GravesDTrevor van RiemsdykD
LAK
Alex TurcotteFKevin FialaFMats ZuccarelloF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
PIT- Rating
- -0.18
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
LAK- Rating
- -0.13
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 59.2%
- First line
- 54.3%
- Latest
- 54.3%
Moneyline LAK -130 / PIT +110 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.7
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +102 / Under -122
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 54.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 PIT +0.12
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals LAK +0.02
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net LAK +0.16
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it LAK +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances LAK +0.04
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual LAK +0.23
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score PIT +0.04
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.09
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.32
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.80
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.31
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.11
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual +0.25
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.02
Team comparison
PIT |
LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.2321st of 32 | -0.1218th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.776th of 32 | 2.3624th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.6021st of 32 | 2.3410th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.6527th of 32 | 7.5515th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.5315th of 32 | 8.4528th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.1823rd of 32 | -0.1320th of 32 |
Goaltending
| PIT | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Arturs Silovs | Darcy Kuemper |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.18 (#23) | -0.13 (#20) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winLAK 47%, PIT 30%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutLAK 12%, PIT 11%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (PIT)No
- Back-to-back (LAK)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelLAK 3 days, PIT 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: LAK +7.0%, PIT +0.4% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Leon Draisaitl
|
52% | 0.72 | 81% | 3.39 | 84% | 21:35 | 4:17 |
Connor McDavid
|
50% | 0.69 | 88% | 3.48 | 85% | 23:13 | 4:15 |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
|
32% | 0.39 | 61% | 2.17 | 63% | 19:11 | 4:00 |
Jake DeBrusk
|
27% | 0.31 | 44% | 2.30 | 66% | 17:34 | 3:13 |
Kasperi Kapanen
|
26% | 0.30 | 47% | 1.93 | 57% | 18:04 | 2:50 |
Brock Boeser
|
25% | 0.29 | 48% | 1.90 | 56% | 19:50 | 3:19 |
Vasily Podkolzin
|
24% | 0.28 | 43% | 1.93 | 57% | 14:16 | 1:32 |
Elias Pettersson
|
23% | 0.26 | 55% | 1.68 | 50% | 20:45 | 3:20 |
Colton Dach
|
19% | 0.22 | 34% | 1.66 | 49% | 14:14 | 1:00 |
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
|
19% | 0.21 | 41% | 1.61 | 47% | 15:25 | 2:54 |
Linus Karlsson
|
18% | 0.20 | 37% | 1.59 | 47% | 14:45 | 1:35 |
Marco Rossi
|
17% | 0.19 | 39% | 1.44 | 42% | 15:43 | 2:14 |
Drew O'Connor
|
16% | 0.18 | 30% | 1.45 | 42% | 15:51 | 0:12 |
Liam Ohgren
|
15% | 0.16 | 29% | 1.42 | 41% | 14:31 | 1:13 |
Filip Hallander
|
14% | 0.15 | 27% | 1.14 | 32% | 10:06 | 0:45 |
Paul Cotter
|
13% | 0.14 | 27% | 1.00 | 26% | 12:58 | 1:32 |
Alex Formenton
|
13% | 0.13 | 26% | 1.21 | 34% | 12:07 | 0:03 |
Mathieu Joseph
|
12% | 0.13 | 27% | 0.99 | 26% | 12:19 | 0:04 |
Jason Dickinson
|
12% | 0.13 | 24% | 1.03 | 27% | 13:08 | 0:08 |
Owen Michaels
|
12% | 0.12 | 25% | 1.03 | 27% | 12:20 | 0:22 |
Brendan Gallagher
|
11% | 0.12 | 22% | 1.24 | 35% | 11:08 | 0:03 |
Max Sasson
|
10% | 0.11 | 20% | 0.98 | 26% | 12:36 | 0:03 |
Max Jones
|
10% | 0.10 | 19% | 0.95 | 24% | 8:29 | 0:04 |
Jacob Quillan
|
9% | 0.09 | 22% | 0.92 | 23% | 11:55 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Evan Bouchard
|
26% | 0.30 | 72% | 3.02 | 79% | 25:03 | 4:25 |
Mattias Ekholm
|
10% | 0.11 | 37% | 1.58 | 46% | 20:36 | 0:29 |
Filip Hronek
|
9% | 0.10 | 49% | 1.54 | 45% | 26:46 | 3:13 |
Ryan Shea
|
8% | 0.08 | 34% | 1.03 | 28% | 22:42 | 1:03 |
Jake Walman
|
7% | 0.07 | 22% | 1.35 | 39% | 14:33 | 0:26 |
Zeev Buium
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 0.96 | 25% | 21:35 | 1:42 |
Connor Murphy
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.11 | 30% | 20:06 | 0:04 |
Elias Nils Pettersson
|
5% | 0.05 | 15% | 0.89 | 22% | 19:36 | 0:01 |
Shakir Mukhamadullin
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.87 | 22% | 14:57 | 0:07 |
Guillaume Brisebois
|
4% | 0.04 | 16% | 1.11 | 30% | 15:41 | 0:04 |
Jamie Oleksiak
|
4% | 0.04 | 16% | 0.85 | 21% | 17:08 | 0:00 |
Victor Mancini
|
2% | 0.02 | 12% | 0.57 | 11% | 13:14 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
VAN
Filip ChytilF
EDM
Isaac HowardFMatthew SavoieFMattias JanmarkFZach HymanFAlec RegulaD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
VAN- Rating
- -0.25
- DailyFaceoff
- L. MerilainenUnconfirmed
EDM- Rating
- -0.19
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 72.4%
- First line
- 74.1%
- Latest
- 74.1%
Moneyline EDM -340 / VAN +270 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.6
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -148 / Under +124
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 2 captures, first 74.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · 6:53 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 EDM +0.58
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals EDM +0.37
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net EDM +0.21
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it EDM +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances EDM +0.05
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept 0.00
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual EDM +0.04
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score VAN +0.06
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.83
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.69
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.68
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.06
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.44
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Total shrinkgame total pulled toward a league-average matchup's; the margin is kept -0.18
- Lineupprojected skaters tonight and last game's dressed skaters vs each team's usual +0.07
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.05
Team comparison
VAN |
EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -1.2632nd of 32 | 0.0015th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.1431st of 32 | 2.3225th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.9332nd of 32 | 2.349th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.9822nd of 32 | 8.895th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 10.0632nd of 32 | 7.9819th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.2530th of 32 | -0.1926th of 32 |
Goaltending
| VAN | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Leevi Merilinen | Tristan Jarry |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.25 (#30) | -0.19 (#26) |
Who is out
- Devon Levi EDM Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Frederik Andersen EDM Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Thatcher Demko VAN Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winEDM 61%, VAN 19%
- Goes to overtime20%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout8%
- Win in OT or shootoutEDM 11%, VAN 9%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (VAN)No
- Back-to-back (EDM)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelEDM 2 days, VAN 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater lineupsProjected: EDM +1.4%, VAN +0.7% goalsDailyFaceoff projected lines, not confirmed participation
Model V4 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries), DailyFaceoff (projected lineups), NHL API (player box scores), MoneyPuck (player expected goals). How the models work →
Players
Anytime goal board
- Leon Draisaitl52%
- Connor McDavid50%
- Jason Robertson47%
- Nathan MacKinnon44%
- Kirill Kaprizov44%
Forwards
| VAN @ EDM | 49.7% | 0.69 | 87.6% | 61.7% | 75.4% | 3.48 | 84.7% | 66.0% | 23:13 | 4:15 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 51.5% | 0.72 | 80.6% | 48.9% | 60.1% | 3.39 | 83.7% | 64.5% | 21:35 | 4:17 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 43.9% | 0.58 | 70.7% | 34.7% | 47.8% | 3.10 | 80.0% | 58.7% | 22:07 | 4:28 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 31.5% | 0.38 | 61.3% | 24.6% | 43.5% | 3.29 | 82.5% | 62.5% | 22:14 | 4:30 | |
| DET @ COL | 44.0% | 0.58 | 79.2% | 46.6% | 62.9% | 3.61 | 86.1% | 68.4% | 20:59 | 4:18 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 40.3% | 0.52 | 67.5% | 31.0% | 45.5% | 3.35 | 83.2% | 63.7% | 21:14 | 4:25 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 38.0% | 0.48 | 73.0% | 37.6% | 56.3% | 3.06 | 79.5% | 57.8% | 21:04 | 4:10 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 36.0% | 0.45 | 59.9% | 23.2% | 37.3% | 2.97 | 78.3% | 56.1% | 21:20 | 3:53 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 38.1% | 0.48 | 77.9% | 44.5% | 64.2% | 2.85 | 76.4% | 53.4% | 20:17 | 4:19 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 38.1% | 0.48 | 70.6% | 34.6% | 52.6% | 2.29 | 65.5% | 39.8% | 21:42 | 3:51 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 38.4% | 0.48 | 70.6% | 34.7% | 52.3% | 3.54 | 85.3% | 67.0% | 20:21 | 3:23 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 34.7% | 0.43 | 71.5% | 35.7% | 56.3% | 2.62 | 72.4% | 48.1% | 20:49 | 4:02 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 38.9% | 0.49 | 64.8% | 28.1% | 42.4% | 2.69 | 73.7% | 49.7% | 20:32 | 4:22 | |
| DET @ COL | 38.0% | 0.48 | 62.5% | 25.7% | 39.5% | 3.27 | 82.3% | 62.1% | 20:08 | 3:28 | |
| STL @ NSH | 38.6% | 0.49 | 67.1% | 30.6% | 46.5% | 3.03 | 79.0% | 57.2% | 19:53 | 3:46 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 47.2% | 0.64 | 76.7% | 42.8% | 55.9% | 3.23 | 81.7% | 61.3% | 19:36 | 3:05 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 39.9% | 0.51 | 73.5% | 38.2% | 55.8% | 2.75 | 74.6% | 51.0% | 20:13 | 3:21 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 26.4% | 0.31 | 55.6% | 19.6% | 39.7% | 2.56 | 71.3% | 46.6% | 20:45 | 3:55 | |
| STL @ NSH | 29.1% | 0.34 | 61.5% | 24.7% | 45.6% | 2.00 | 58.6% | 32.4% | 21:24 | 3:35 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 35.5% | 0.44 | 60.6% | 23.9% | 39.0% | 2.65 | 72.9% | 48.7% | 19:40 | 4:17 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 39.2% | 0.50 | 64.5% | 27.7% | 41.6% | 3.31 | 82.8% | 62.9% | 19:42 | 3:02 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 36.1% | 0.45 | 63.3% | 26.5% | 42.6% | 3.03 | 79.1% | 57.2% | 19:52 | 3:20 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 32.2% | 0.39 | 57.9% | 21.4% | 37.9% | 2.79 | 75.3% | 52.0% | 19:35 | 4:04 | |
| DET @ COL | 33.0% | 0.40 | 66.8% | 30.2% | 50.5% | 2.28 | 65.4% | 39.6% | 20:13 | 3:42 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 36.7% | 0.46 | 63.7% | 26.9% | 42.6% | 2.93 | 77.5% | 55.0% | 19:24 | 3:38 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 29.5% | 0.35 | 68.5% | 32.2% | 55.4% | 2.44 | 68.8% | 43.6% | 19:36 | 3:58 | |
| DET @ COL | 29.1% | 0.34 | 62.1% | 25.3% | 46.5% | 2.37 | 67.4% | 42.0% | 20:18 | 3:30 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 31.9% | 0.38 | 61.9% | 25.2% | 44.1% | 2.45 | 69.1% | 44.0% | 20:39 | 2:46 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 32.4% | 0.39 | 55.4% | 19.4% | 34.1% | 2.80 | 75.6% | 52.3% | 19:28 | 3:32 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 33.8% | 0.41 | 63.8% | 27.0% | 45.3% | 2.78 | 75.1% | 51.7% | 19:50 | 2:54 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 39.1% | 0.50 | 76.1% | 41.9% | 60.7% | 2.20 | 63.6% | 37.6% | 19:45 | 3:11 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 42.1% | 0.55 | 62.4% | 25.6% | 35.1% | 3.37 | 83.5% | 64.0% | 17:53 | 3:54 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 43.5% | 0.57 | 72.4% | 36.9% | 51.2% | 2.54 | 70.9% | 46.1% | 19:30 | 2:55 | |
| STL @ NSH | 26.1% | 0.30 | 62.8% | 26.0% | 49.7% | 1.87 | 54.9% | 28.9% | 20:36 | 3:11 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 32.5% | 0.39 | 61.4% | 24.7% | 42.8% | 2.17 | 62.7% | 36.7% | 19:11 | 4:00 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 33.1% | 0.40 | 59.0% | 22.4% | 38.7% | 2.16 | 62.5% | 36.4% | 18:57 | 4:11 | |
| DET @ COL | 32.8% | 0.40 | 56.1% | 20.0% | 34.7% | 2.73 | 74.3% | 50.5% | 18:57 | 3:26 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 23.2% | 0.26 | 54.8% | 18.9% | 41.2% | 1.68 | 49.5% | 24.0% | 20:45 | 3:20 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 29.3% | 0.35 | 53.0% | 17.5% | 33.5% | 2.32 | 66.2% | 40.6% | 19:23 | 3:28 | |
| STL @ NSH | 34.1% | 0.42 | 57.1% | 20.8% | 34.9% | 2.51 | 70.2% | 45.3% | 18:25 | 3:53 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 36.7% | 0.46 | 60.2% | 23.5% | 37.1% | 2.72 | 74.1% | 50.3% | 17:46 | 3:58 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 32.2% | 0.39 | 53.2% | 17.6% | 30.9% | 2.48 | 69.7% | 44.7% | 19:12 | 3:09 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 29.4% | 0.35 | 66.3% | 29.7% | 52.3% | 2.39 | 67.7% | 42.3% | 17:43 | 4:12 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 22.5% | 0.26 | 44.3% | 11.7% | 28.1% | 2.15 | 62.4% | 36.4% | 18:49 | 4:13 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 25.1% | 0.29 | 47.8% | 13.9% | 30.3% | 1.90 | 56.0% | 29.8% | 19:50 | 3:19 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 29.6% | 0.35 | 60.2% | 23.5% | 43.4% | 2.22 | 63.9% | 37.9% | 18:52 | 3:14 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 33.7% | 0.41 | 59.2% | 22.6% | 38.4% | 3.24 | 81.9% | 61.6% | 16:36 | 3:55 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 28.3% | 0.33 | 56.2% | 20.1% | 38.9% | 2.38 | 67.6% | 42.2% | 18:03 | 3:48 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 31.4% | 0.38 | 59.3% | 22.7% | 40.7% | 1.82 | 53.7% | 27.7% | 18:33 | 3:58 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 30.4% | 0.36 | 54.9% | 19.0% | 35.2% | 2.45 | 69.1% | 43.9% | 18:00 | 3:39 | |
| STL @ NSH | 29.9% | 0.35 | 52.8% | 17.3% | 32.7% | 2.48 | 69.6% | 44.6% | 18:18 | 3:13 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 28.7% | 0.34 | 57.2% | 20.9% | 40.0% | 2.17 | 62.8% | 36.8% | 18:00 | 3:51 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 35.8% | 0.44 | 65.0% | 28.2% | 45.5% | 2.72 | 74.2% | 50.4% | 17:19 | 3:21 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 28.7% | 0.34 | 61.3% | 24.6% | 45.8% | 2.04 | 59.7% | 33.5% | 19:23 | 2:31 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 26.6% | 0.31 | 48.6% | 14.4% | 30.0% | 2.17 | 62.8% | 36.8% | 18:07 | 3:48 | |
| DET @ COL | 29.8% | 0.35 | 56.3% | 20.2% | 37.8% | 2.50 | 69.9% | 45.0% | 16:57 | 4:06 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 35.7% | 0.44 | 62.5% | 25.7% | 41.7% | 2.08 | 60.5% | 34.3% | 17:43 | 3:32 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 31.9% | 0.38 | 53.2% | 17.6% | 31.2% | 2.00 | 58.6% | 32.4% | 19:50 | 1:50 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 22.2% | 0.25 | 46.2% | 12.9% | 30.8% | 1.53 | 44.9% | 20.2% | 19:24 | 2:59 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 28.3% | 0.33 | 52.0% | 16.8% | 33.0% | 2.17 | 62.9% | 36.8% | 18:03 | 3:04 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 20.7% | 0.23 | 38.4% | 8.6% | 22.3% | 1.58 | 46.5% | 21.5% | 18:49 | 3:38 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 32.9% | 0.40 | 61.2% | 24.5% | 42.2% | 2.42 | 68.4% | 43.1% | 17:02 | 3:16 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 30.0% | 0.36 | 55.0% | 19.1% | 35.7% | 2.26 | 64.8% | 39.0% | 18:02 | 2:43 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 28.2% | 0.33 | 45.5% | 12.4% | 24.1% | 2.59 | 71.8% | 47.3% | 17:54 | 2:37 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 26.9% | 0.31 | 44.4% | 11.8% | 24.0% | 2.30 | 65.8% | 40.1% | 17:34 | 3:13 | |
| DET @ COL | 23.2% | 0.26 | 42.5% | 10.7% | 25.1% | 1.89 | 55.4% | 29.3% | 18:59 | 2:27 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 32.3% | 0.39 | 53.9% | 18.2% | 32.0% | 2.27 | 65.2% | 39.4% | 18:30 | 1:50 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 23.7% | 0.27 | 59.8% | 23.1% | 47.3% | 2.01 | 58.8% | 32.6% | 17:20 | 3:10 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 31.0% | 0.37 | 55.1% | 19.2% | 35.0% | 2.14 | 62.1% | 36.1% | 17:01 | 3:16 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 25.9% | 0.30 | 47.2% | 13.5% | 28.8% | 1.93 | 56.8% | 30.6% | 18:04 | 2:50 | |
| STL @ NSH | 28.9% | 0.34 | 50.1% | 15.4% | 29.8% | 2.47 | 69.4% | 44.3% | 16:50 | 2:56 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 30.3% | 0.36 | 63.6% | 26.9% | 47.8% | 2.52 | 70.3% | 45.5% | 16:11 | 3:01 | |
| STL @ NSH | 26.4% | 0.31 | 52.8% | 17.4% | 35.9% | 2.48 | 69.5% | 44.5% | 17:22 | 2:17 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 22.7% | 0.26 | 44.0% | 11.6% | 27.6% | 1.60 | 47.1% | 22.0% | 18:25 | 2:48 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 32.7% | 0.40 | 58.6% | 22.1% | 38.5% | 2.53 | 70.6% | 45.8% | 17:22 | 1:42 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 34.0% | 0.42 | 51.6% | 16.5% | 26.7% | 2.72 | 74.1% | 50.3% | 16:28 | 2:31 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 28.4% | 0.33 | 54.1% | 18.4% | 35.9% | 2.39 | 67.8% | 42.4% | 16:28 | 2:58 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 24.4% | 0.28 | 47.4% | 13.6% | 30.3% | 1.85 | 54.5% | 28.4% | 18:10 | 2:18 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 18.9% | 0.21 | 38.5% | 8.6% | 24.2% | 1.70 | 50.2% | 24.6% | 17:09 | 3:47 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 22.5% | 0.26 | 51.6% | 16.4% | 37.5% | 2.29 | 65.6% | 39.9% | 16:36 | 3:01 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 24.1% | 0.28 | 47.6% | 13.7% | 31.0% | 1.98 | 58.0% | 31.8% | 17:15 | 2:52 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 22.5% | 0.25 | 47.2% | 13.5% | 31.9% | 1.65 | 48.7% | 23.3% | 17:18 | 3:20 | |
| DET @ COL | 18.1% | 0.20 | 43.0% | 11.0% | 30.4% | 1.60 | 47.0% | 21.9% | 18:55 | 1:53 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 32.2% | 0.39 | 63.7% | 27.0% | 46.5% | 2.08 | 60.7% | 34.5% | 16:43 | 2:27 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 22.8% | 0.26 | 54.8% | 18.9% | 41.4% | 1.74 | 51.2% | 25.4% | 17:23 | 2:35 | |
| DET @ COL | 25.1% | 0.29 | 46.3% | 12.9% | 28.3% | 2.16 | 62.6% | 36.6% | 15:06 | 4:14 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 19.3% | 0.21 | 37.0% | 7.9% | 21.9% | 1.44 | 42.0% | 18.1% | 17:38 | 3:04 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 14.7% | 0.16 | 45.7% | 12.6% | 36.4% | 1.09 | 29.8% | 10.2% | 18:10 | 2:53 | |
| DET @ COL | 29.1% | 0.34 | 48.4% | 14.2% | 27.2% | 1.88 | 55.3% | 29.2% | 18:10 | 1:21 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 21.8% | 0.25 | 42.4% | 10.7% | 26.4% | 2.10 | 61.0% | 34.8% | 17:40 | 1:46 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 17.3% | 0.19 | 36.9% | 7.9% | 23.7% | 1.81 | 53.3% | 27.3% | 17:37 | 2:26 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 25.6% | 0.30 | 46.2% | 12.9% | 27.8% | 2.36 | 67.0% | 41.5% | 16:41 | 2:03 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 27.2% | 0.32 | 44.4% | 11.8% | 23.7% | 2.82 | 75.8% | 52.6% | 16:19 | 1:41 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 23.5% | 0.27 | 51.2% | 16.2% | 36.2% | 2.04 | 59.7% | 33.5% | 16:35 | 2:10 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 24.6% | 0.28 | 45.1% | 12.2% | 27.2% | 2.29 | 65.5% | 39.8% | 16:55 | 1:35 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 16.2% | 0.18 | 37.3% | 8.0% | 25.2% | 1.53 | 44.9% | 20.3% | 15:54 | 4:03 | |
| STL @ NSH | 20.8% | 0.23 | 43.3% | 11.1% | 28.4% | 1.76 | 51.8% | 26.0% | 17:16 | 2:06 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 23.2% | 0.26 | 46.2% | 12.9% | 30.0% | 1.89 | 55.5% | 29.4% | 16:33 | 2:29 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 17.8% | 0.20 | 35.3% | 7.1% | 21.3% | 1.58 | 46.4% | 21.4% | 17:33 | 2:12 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 20.4% | 0.23 | 46.2% | 12.8% | 32.3% | 1.53 | 44.7% | 20.1% | 18:14 | 1:14 | |
| DET @ COL | 26.2% | 0.30 | 46.6% | 13.1% | 27.6% | 1.81 | 53.2% | 27.2% | 17:15 | 1:39 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 19.7% | 0.22 | 45.5% | 12.4% | 32.1% | 1.40 | 40.6% | 17.1% | 15:42 | 3:51 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 25.0% | 0.29 | 44.5% | 11.9% | 26.1% | 1.91 | 56.1% | 30.0% | 16:59 | 1:30 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 23.7% | 0.27 | 41.7% | 10.2% | 23.5% | 2.00 | 58.5% | 32.3% | 17:02 | 1:15 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 23.1% | 0.26 | 44.3% | 11.7% | 27.6% | 1.69 | 49.7% | 24.1% | 16:55 | 1:43 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 20.6% | 0.23 | 50.0% | 15.4% | 37.1% | 1.59 | 46.6% | 21.6% | 15:56 | 2:40 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 30.5% | 0.36 | 51.9% | 16.7% | 30.8% | 2.48 | 69.7% | 44.7% | 15:44 | 1:18 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 21.6% | 0.24 | 39.3% | 9.0% | 22.6% | 1.98 | 58.1% | 31.9% | 16:08 | 2:07 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 19.9% | 0.22 | 49.4% | 15.0% | 36.9% | 1.53 | 44.6% | 20.0% | 16:37 | 1:59 | |
| STL @ NSH | 19.7% | 0.22 | 40.5% | 9.6% | 26.0% | 1.88 | 55.2% | 29.1% | 16:20 | 1:55 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 24.8% | 0.28 | 45.3% | 12.3% | 27.2% | 2.10 | 61.0% | 34.8% | 14:36 | 3:05 | |
| STL @ NSH | 20.0% | 0.22 | 40.2% | 9.4% | 25.2% | 1.59 | 46.7% | 21.7% | 15:43 | 2:45 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 21.6% | 0.24 | 41.6% | 10.2% | 25.5% | 2.11 | 61.3% | 35.2% | 16:22 | 1:09 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 18.8% | 0.21 | 40.8% | 9.7% | 27.1% | 1.61 | 47.5% | 22.3% | 15:25 | 2:54 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 23.1% | 0.26 | 42.1% | 10.4% | 24.6% | 2.03 | 59.4% | 33.2% | 15:36 | 1:52 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 15.7% | 0.17 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 17.1% | 1.82 | 53.6% | 27.6% | 16:34 | 1:32 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 22.8% | 0.26 | 47.5% | 13.7% | 32.1% | 1.99 | 58.3% | 32.1% | 14:58 | 2:10 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 21.8% | 0.25 | 40.6% | 9.6% | 24.0% | 2.21 | 63.6% | 37.7% | 15:42 | 1:18 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 21.0% | 0.24 | 37.9% | 8.3% | 21.4% | 2.01 | 58.8% | 32.6% | 15:57 | 1:24 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 20.7% | 0.23 | 38.6% | 8.6% | 22.5% | 1.55 | 45.5% | 20.7% | 15:51 | 2:03 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 18.7% | 0.21 | 40.0% | 9.3% | 26.2% | 1.59 | 46.7% | 21.6% | 17:14 | 0:31 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 17.1% | 0.19 | 39.2% | 8.9% | 26.6% | 1.44 | 41.9% | 18.0% | 15:43 | 2:14 | |
| DET @ COL | 20.4% | 0.23 | 40.9% | 9.8% | 25.8% | 1.70 | 49.9% | 24.4% | 15:38 | 1:42 | |
| STL @ NSH | 19.4% | 0.22 | 41.8% | 10.3% | 27.8% | 1.72 | 50.7% | 25.0% | 15:17 | 1:59 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 20.7% | 0.23 | 38.1% | 8.4% | 21.9% | 1.71 | 50.4% | 24.8% | 15:31 | 1:48 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 16.1% | 0.18 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 18.6% | 1.90 | 55.9% | 29.8% | 14:27 | 2:45 | |
| STL @ NSH | 15.3% | 0.17 | 32.9% | 6.1% | 20.7% | 1.40 | 40.5% | 17.0% | 17:55 | 0:01 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 19.3% | 0.21 | 40.1% | 9.4% | 25.8% | 1.54 | 45.0% | 20.4% | 14:58 | 2:30 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 18.3% | 0.20 | 38.2% | 8.5% | 24.4% | 1.54 | 45.0% | 20.3% | 15:47 | 1:39 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 17.5% | 0.19 | 39.2% | 9.0% | 26.3% | 1.78 | 52.6% | 26.7% | 16:00 | 0:57 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 21.5% | 0.24 | 39.8% | 9.2% | 23.3% | 1.93 | 56.7% | 30.5% | 14:58 | 1:35 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 20.4% | 0.23 | 38.4% | 8.5% | 22.6% | 1.83 | 54.0% | 28.0% | 14:06 | 2:38 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 13.9% | 0.15 | 32.1% | 5.8% | 21.1% | 1.36 | 39.2% | 16.1% | 16:29 | 1:13 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 25.4% | 0.29 | 51.2% | 16.2% | 34.6% | 1.75 | 51.4% | 25.7% | 15:31 | 0:50 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 14.7% | 0.16 | 32.9% | 6.1% | 21.3% | 1.41 | 40.7% | 17.1% | 16:36 | 0:53 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 14.1% | 0.15 | 34.4% | 6.8% | 23.6% | 1.54 | 45.0% | 20.3% | 16:57 | 0:16 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 19.8% | 0.22 | 42.9% | 10.9% | 28.8% | 1.59 | 46.7% | 21.7% | 16:39 | 0:02 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 17.8% | 0.20 | 39.1% | 8.9% | 26.0% | 1.80 | 52.9% | 27.0% | 13:49 | 2:33 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 24.3% | 0.28 | 42.5% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 1.93 | 56.6% | 30.4% | 14:16 | 1:32 | |
| DET @ COL | 21.3% | 0.24 | 41.8% | 10.3% | 26.0% | 1.57 | 45.9% | 21.0% | 14:46 | 1:38 | |
| STL @ NSH | 14.5% | 0.16 | 35.5% | 7.2% | 24.5% | 1.14 | 31.5% | 11.1% | 15:58 | 1:17 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 15.9% | 0.17 | 42.4% | 10.6% | 31.5% | 1.20 | 33.7% | 12.5% | 14:29 | 2:23 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 20.9% | 0.23 | 41.6% | 10.2% | 26.2% | 1.92 | 56.4% | 30.2% | 13:43 | 1:57 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 18.1% | 0.20 | 37.4% | 8.1% | 23.6% | 1.59 | 46.7% | 21.7% | 14:45 | 1:35 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 17.4% | 0.19 | 35.1% | 7.0% | 21.4% | 1.71 | 50.3% | 24.6% | 14:50 | 1:18 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 17.5% | 0.19 | 36.7% | 7.7% | 23.3% | 1.56 | 45.6% | 20.8% | 14:28 | 1:51 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 17.7% | 0.19 | 34.3% | 6.7% | 20.1% | 1.37 | 39.5% | 16.3% | 15:09 | 1:26 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 14.8% | 0.16 | 37.2% | 8.0% | 26.2% | 1.21 | 33.8% | 12.5% | 16:11 | 0:37 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 15.9% | 0.17 | 31.6% | 5.6% | 18.7% | 1.42 | 41.3% | 17.5% | 16:01 | 0:33 | |
| DET @ COL | 13.0% | 0.14 | 31.6% | 5.6% | 21.3% | 1.21 | 33.9% | 12.6% | 15:59 | 0:55 | |
| STL @ NSH | 19.9% | 0.22 | 31.7% | 5.6% | 14.7% | 1.62 | 47.5% | 22.3% | 16:08 | 0:01 | |
| DET @ COL | 15.3% | 0.17 | 31.1% | 5.4% | 18.7% | 1.35 | 38.8% | 15.8% | 14:56 | 1:41 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 17.2% | 0.19 | 36.1% | 7.5% | 22.9% | 1.59 | 46.6% | 21.6% | 15:03 | 1:01 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 22.5% | 0.25 | 39.8% | 9.2% | 22.3% | 1.77 | 52.1% | 26.3% | 14:09 | 1:27 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 13.1% | 0.14 | 30.4% | 5.2% | 19.9% | 1.21 | 34.0% | 12.6% | 16:49 | 0:01 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 18.5% | 0.20 | 39.4% | 9.1% | 25.7% | 1.47 | 42.9% | 18.7% | 14:33 | 1:34 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 19.5% | 0.22 | 37.3% | 8.0% | 22.1% | 1.78 | 52.3% | 26.4% | 15:32 | 0:02 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 18.3% | 0.20 | 35.8% | 7.3% | 21.4% | 1.23 | 34.8% | 13.1% | 16:22 | 0:02 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 18.8% | 0.21 | 40.0% | 9.3% | 26.1% | 1.63 | 48.0% | 22.7% | 12:33 | 3:00 | |
| DET @ COL | 19.6% | 0.22 | 37.9% | 8.3% | 22.7% | 1.61 | 47.3% | 22.2% | 13:42 | 1:56 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 22.6% | 0.26 | 38.8% | 8.7% | 20.9% | 1.85 | 54.6% | 28.5% | 14:14 | 0:57 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 15.0% | 0.16 | 34.8% | 6.9% | 23.3% | 1.20 | 33.7% | 12.4% | 15:09 | 1:11 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 12.0% | 0.13 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 14.4% | 1.25 | 35.3% | 13.5% | 16:07 | 0:25 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 16.4% | 0.18 | 29.6% | 4.9% | 15.8% | 1.45 | 42.3% | 18.3% | 15:51 | 0:12 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 18.0% | 0.20 | 35.0% | 7.0% | 20.7% | 1.56 | 45.8% | 20.9% | 13:41 | 2:00 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 10.0% | 0.11 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 20.8% | 0.92 | 23.6% | 6.9% | 14:52 | 2:02 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 15.4% | 0.17 | 35.8% | 7.4% | 24.1% | 1.37 | 39.4% | 16.2% | 14:18 | 1:37 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 12.4% | 0.13 | 29.9% | 5.0% | 20.0% | 1.23 | 34.8% | 13.2% | 14:30 | 1:43 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 12.9% | 0.14 | 29.5% | 4.8% | 19.0% | 1.19 | 33.1% | 12.1% | 16:14 | 0:04 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 19.4% | 0.22 | 33.9% | 6.5% | 17.9% | 1.66 | 48.8% | 23.4% | 14:14 | 1:00 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 23.0% | 0.26 | 39.6% | 9.2% | 21.5% | 1.83 | 54.0% | 27.9% | 14:43 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 21.7% | 0.25 | 38.1% | 8.4% | 20.9% | 1.53 | 44.8% | 20.2% | 14:11 | 1:03 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 14.6% | 0.16 | 29.4% | 4.8% | 17.3% | 1.42 | 41.0% | 17.3% | 14:31 | 1:13 | |
| STL @ NSH | 17.1% | 0.19 | 34.8% | 6.9% | 21.4% | 1.31 | 37.4% | 14.8% | 13:53 | 1:49 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 16.3% | 0.18 | 34.5% | 6.8% | 21.8% | 1.57 | 46.2% | 21.3% | 13:32 | 1:43 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 17.1% | 0.19 | 33.3% | 6.3% | 19.5% | 1.53 | 44.8% | 20.2% | 13:54 | 1:22 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 17.0% | 0.19 | 31.0% | 5.4% | 16.8% | 1.46 | 42.5% | 18.4% | 15:14 | 0:09 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 18.1% | 0.20 | 38.5% | 8.6% | 24.8% | 1.56 | 45.6% | 20.8% | 14:57 | 0:01 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 17.8% | 0.20 | 36.8% | 7.8% | 23.2% | 1.20 | 33.7% | 12.4% | 14:41 | 0:51 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 18.6% | 0.21 | 36.6% | 7.7% | 22.1% | 1.54 | 45.1% | 20.4% | 12:53 | 2:07 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 19.2% | 0.21 | 39.2% | 9.0% | 24.8% | 1.47 | 42.9% | 18.7% | 13:19 | 1:40 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 13.8% | 0.15 | 32.8% | 6.1% | 22.1% | 1.10 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 13:35 | 2:11 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 16.6% | 0.18 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 16.2% | 1.47 | 42.9% | 18.7% | 14:13 | 0:55 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 14.7% | 0.16 | 31.8% | 5.7% | 20.1% | 1.24 | 35.1% | 13.3% | 14:04 | 1:22 | |
| STL @ NSH | 18.8% | 0.21 | 35.9% | 7.4% | 21.1% | 1.84 | 54.3% | 28.2% | 13:40 | 0:30 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 13.1% | 0.14 | 29.0% | 4.7% | 18.3% | 1.14 | 31.4% | 11.1% | 14:24 | 1:02 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 18.0% | 0.20 | 29.4% | 4.8% | 13.8% | 1.66 | 49.0% | 23.5% | 14:23 | 0:02 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 15.3% | 0.17 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 19.4% | 1.39 | 40.3% | 16.8% | 14:08 | 0:38 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 9.6% | 0.10 | 21.6% | 2.5% | 13.3% | 0.96 | 25.2% | 7.7% | 15:03 | 0:39 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 15.4% | 0.17 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 15.8% | 1.42 | 41.2% | 17.5% | 14:44 | 0:00 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 20.0% | 0.22 | 43.4% | 11.2% | 29.3% | 1.69 | 49.7% | 24.2% | 12:26 | 1:15 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 12.1% | 0.13 | 25.6% | 3.6% | 15.4% | 1.19 | 33.4% | 12.3% | 13:35 | 1:05 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 19.0% | 0.21 | 45.0% | 12.1% | 32.1% | 1.30 | 37.1% | 14.6% | 13:25 | 0:28 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 16.5% | 0.18 | 30.3% | 5.1% | 16.5% | 1.51 | 44.0% | 19.5% | 11:59 | 1:58 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 16.6% | 0.18 | 34.6% | 6.8% | 21.6% | 1.49 | 43.5% | 19.1% | 12:43 | 1:08 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 11.3% | 0.12 | 22.9% | 2.8% | 13.1% | 1.21 | 33.8% | 12.5% | 14:32 | 0:03 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 16.5% | 0.18 | 27.8% | 4.3% | 13.5% | 1.70 | 50.2% | 24.5% | 13:30 | 0:06 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 14.1% | 0.15 | 29.3% | 4.8% | 17.6% | 1.41 | 40.8% | 17.2% | 13:52 | 0:11 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 12.6% | 0.13 | 26.0% | 3.7% | 15.4% | 1.39 | 40.3% | 16.8% | 14:04 | 0:02 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 14.4% | 0.16 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 20.2% | 1.20 | 33.8% | 12.5% | 13:49 | 0:24 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 16.7% | 0.18 | 31.9% | 5.7% | 18.2% | 1.66 | 48.8% | 23.4% | 11:58 | 1:21 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 13.0% | 0.14 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 15.7% | 1.00 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 12:58 | 1:32 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 10.1% | 0.11 | 24.5% | 3.3% | 16.0% | 1.21 | 34.1% | 12.7% | 13:52 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 10.1% | 0.11 | 24.1% | 3.2% | 15.6% | 1.21 | 33.9% | 12.6% | 12:50 | 1:01 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 11.8% | 0.13 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 13.6% | 1.34 | 38.5% | 15.5% | 13:30 | 0:03 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 10.2% | 0.11 | 25.1% | 3.5% | 16.6% | 1.03 | 27.3% | 8.8% | 13:57 | 0:01 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 12.4% | 0.13 | 28.9% | 4.7% | 18.9% | 0.99 | 26.2% | 8.2% | 13:48 | 0:06 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 11.9% | 0.13 | 21.7% | 2.6% | 11.2% | 1.23 | 34.8% | 13.1% | 13:41 | 0:01 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 17.5% | 0.19 | 35.7% | 7.3% | 22.0% | 1.33 | 38.1% | 15.3% | 10:26 | 2:37 | |
| STL @ NSH | 13.0% | 0.14 | 26.2% | 3.8% | 15.2% | 1.25 | 35.3% | 13.5% | 13:21 | 0:07 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 13.7% | 0.15 | 30.0% | 5.0% | 18.9% | 1.34 | 38.3% | 15.4% | 13:01 | 0:11 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 17.4% | 0.19 | 37.5% | 8.1% | 24.4% | 1.54 | 45.0% | 20.4% | 12:34 | 0:00 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 11.6% | 0.12 | 24.0% | 3.1% | 14.0% | 1.11 | 30.4% | 10.5% | 13:36 | 0:03 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 12.8% | 0.14 | 27.5% | 4.2% | 16.8% | 1.30 | 37.1% | 14.6% | 13:02 | 0:06 | |
| STL @ NSH | 12.8% | 0.14 | 23.2% | 2.9% | 12.0% | 1.27 | 36.1% | 14.0% | 12:22 | 0:44 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 12.2% | 0.13 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 16.6% | 1.14 | 31.5% | 11.1% | 12:14 | 0:59 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 7.8% | 0.08 | 16.2% | 1.4% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 13:37 | 0:02 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 12.2% | 0.13 | 33.6% | 6.4% | 24.3% | 1.05 | 28.2% | 9.2% | 11:27 | 1:36 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 11.8% | 0.13 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 13.6% | 1.03 | 27.5% | 8.9% | 13:08 | 0:08 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 12.4% | 0.13 | 25.9% | 3.7% | 15.4% | 1.30 | 37.0% | 14.6% | 12:10 | 0:36 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 11.9% | 0.13 | 25.8% | 3.7% | 15.7% | 1.04 | 27.8% | 9.1% | 13:03 | 0:04 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 14.3% | 0.15 | 28.3% | 4.4% | 16.3% | 1.40 | 40.6% | 17.0% | 11:55 | 0:30 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 16.2% | 0.18 | 34.2% | 6.6% | 21.4% | 1.20 | 33.6% | 12.4% | 11:59 | 0:27 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 11.6% | 0.12 | 30.4% | 5.2% | 21.2% | 1.03 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 11:53 | 0:54 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 7.0% | 0.07 | 16.7% | 1.5% | 10.4% | 0.89 | 22.3% | 6.3% | 13:16 | 0:06 | |
| DET @ COL | 12.4% | 0.13 | 25.0% | 3.4% | 14.3% | 1.12 | 30.8% | 10.7% | 12:38 | 0:00 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 11.4% | 0.12 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 17.3% | 1.32 | 37.7% | 15.0% | 12:15 | 0:02 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 11.6% | 0.12 | 25.4% | 3.5% | 15.6% | 1.03 | 27.5% | 8.9% | 12:20 | 0:22 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 8.7% | 0.09 | 21.3% | 2.5% | 13.9% | 0.85 | 21.0% | 5.7% | 13:00 | 0:03 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 13.9% | 0.15 | 32.2% | 5.9% | 21.3% | 1.22 | 34.2% | 12.8% | 11:13 | 0:49 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 12.6% | 0.13 | 26.1% | 3.7% | 15.4% | 1.21 | 34.1% | 12.7% | 12:07 | 0:03 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 12.7% | 0.14 | 23.9% | 3.1% | 12.8% | 1.25 | 35.2% | 13.4% | 12:06 | 0:05 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 12.1% | 0.13 | 22.9% | 2.8% | 12.3% | 1.24 | 35.0% | 13.3% | 12:00 | 0:12 | |
| STL @ NSH | 11.9% | 0.13 | 24.9% | 3.4% | 14.7% | 1.24 | 35.2% | 13.4% | 11:59 | 0:08 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 10.4% | 0.11 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 11.0% | 0.98 | 25.7% | 8.0% | 12:36 | 0:03 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 11.1% | 0.12 | 26.1% | 3.7% | 16.9% | 1.12 | 30.6% | 10.6% | 12:14 | 0:04 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 11.7% | 0.12 | 24.9% | 3.4% | 14.9% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.4% | 11:36 | 0:39 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 12.0% | 0.13 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 16.8% | 0.99 | 26.0% | 8.1% | 12:19 | 0:04 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 13.9% | 0.15 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 15.0% | 1.15 | 32.0% | 11.4% | 12:03 | 0:00 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 12.4% | 0.13 | 23.3% | 3.0% | 12.5% | 1.14 | 31.3% | 11.0% | 11:11 | 0:57 | |
| DET @ COL | 11.4% | 0.12 | 27.7% | 4.3% | 18.4% | 0.98 | 25.6% | 7.9% | 11:51 | 0:24 | |
| DET @ COL | 11.6% | 0.12 | 23.2% | 2.9% | 13.1% | 1.08 | 29.4% | 9.9% | 12:10 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 15.0% | 0.16 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 17.8% | 1.32 | 37.6% | 15.0% | 11:22 | 0:03 | |
| DET @ COL | 9.8% | 0.10 | 23.7% | 3.1% | 15.5% | 0.86 | 21.3% | 5.9% | 11:34 | 0:45 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 12.7% | 0.14 | 28.4% | 4.5% | 18.1% | 1.44 | 41.9% | 18.0% | 10:55 | 0:09 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 11.0% | 0.12 | 22.6% | 2.8% | 13.0% | 1.11 | 30.3% | 10.4% | 11:35 | 0:11 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 8.4% | 0.09 | 18.0% | 1.7% | 10.5% | 0.91 | 23.0% | 6.6% | 12:04 | 0:01 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 8.9% | 0.09 | 22.0% | 2.6% | 14.4% | 0.92 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 11:55 | 0:00 | |
| STL @ NSH | 8.8% | 0.09 | 19.2% | 2.0% | 11.5% | 1.05 | 28.3% | 9.3% | 11:34 | 0:02 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 9.7% | 0.10 | 20.5% | 2.3% | 12.0% | 0.91 | 23.1% | 6.7% | 11:43 | 0:03 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 11.1% | 0.12 | 22.1% | 2.6% | 12.3% | 1.24 | 35.0% | 13.3% | 11:08 | 0:03 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 11.9% | 0.13 | 24.2% | 3.2% | 13.9% | 1.17 | 32.6% | 11.8% | 10:21 | 0:36 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 13.8% | 0.15 | 27.4% | 4.1% | 15.7% | 1.14 | 31.6% | 11.2% | 10:06 | 0:45 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 10.3% | 0.11 | 27.3% | 4.1% | 18.9% | 0.82 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 11:23 | 0:00 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 8.6% | 0.09 | 16.0% | 1.4% | 8.1% | 1.06 | 28.5% | 9.4% | 10:20 | 0:47 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 7.7% | 0.08 | 18.1% | 1.7% | 11.3% | 0.82 | 20.0% | 5.3% | 11:15 | 0:00 | |
| DET @ COL | 9.7% | 0.10 | 23.9% | 3.1% | 15.8% | 0.86 | 21.4% | 5.9% | 10:54 | 0:03 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 5.2% | 0.05 | 10.6% | 0.6% | 5.7% | 0.77 | 18.2% | 4.5% | 11:20 | 0:02 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 10.0% | 0.11 | 21.3% | 2.5% | 12.6% | 0.86 | 21.5% | 5.9% | 10:40 | 0:06 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 10.5% | 0.11 | 24.0% | 3.1% | 15.1% | 0.94 | 24.4% | 7.3% | 10:14 | 0:18 | |
| STL @ NSH | 9.1% | 0.10 | 19.1% | 1.9% | 11.0% | 0.98 | 25.7% | 8.0% | 10:25 | 0:01 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 10.5% | 0.11 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 14.8% | 0.97 | 25.2% | 7.7% | 10:16 | 0:00 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 8.0% | 0.08 | 18.4% | 1.8% | 11.4% | 0.77 | 18.0% | 4.5% | 10:38 | 0:03 | |
| STL @ NSH | 10.0% | 0.11 | 22.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 9:49 | 0:19 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 5.4% | 0.06 | 10.7% | 0.6% | 5.6% | 0.75 | 17.5% | 4.3% | 10:40 | 0:04 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 7.3% | 0.08 | 17.1% | 1.5% | 10.5% | 0.69 | 15.2% | 3.4% | 10:19 | 0:02 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 9.5% | 0.10 | 23.2% | 2.9% | 15.2% | 1.01 | 26.9% | 8.6% | 9:28 | 0:12 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 9.5% | 0.10 | 20.0% | 2.2% | 11.6% | 0.96 | 24.8% | 7.5% | 9:44 | 0:03 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 7.8% | 0.08 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 10.8% | 0.82 | 20.0% | 5.3% | 9:46 | 0:05 | |
| DET @ COL | 7.4% | 0.08 | 17.3% | 1.6% | 10.6% | 0.78 | 18.5% | 4.7% | 9:53 | 0:03 | |
| STL @ NSH | 9.4% | 0.10 | 22.7% | 2.8% | 14.7% | 0.97 | 25.3% | 7.8% | 8:26 | 0:54 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 6.1% | 0.06 | 14.0% | 1.0% | 8.4% | 0.61 | 12.8% | 2.6% | 10:05 | 0:02 | |
| DET @ COL | 6.5% | 0.07 | 15.7% | 1.3% | 9.9% | 0.64 | 13.7% | 2.9% | 9:52 | 0:05 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 8.3% | 0.09 | 19.0% | 1.9% | 11.7% | 0.88 | 22.2% | 6.3% | 8:51 | 0:17 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 8.3% | 0.09 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 10.4% | 1.10 | 29.9% | 10.2% | 8:34 | 0:00 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 8.7% | 0.09 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 11.0% | 0.87 | 21.6% | 6.0% | 8:41 | 0:04 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 9.8% | 0.10 | 18.8% | 1.9% | 10.0% | 0.95 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 8:29 | 0:04 | |
| DET @ COL | 7.6% | 0.08 | 18.9% | 1.9% | 12.2% | 0.85 | 21.0% | 5.7% | 8:28 | 0:04 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 8.5% | 0.09 | 16.3% | 1.4% | 8.5% | 0.86 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 8:25 | 0:00 | |
| STL @ NSH | 5.8% | 0.06 | 15.2% | 1.2% | 9.9% | 0.66 | 14.4% | 3.1% | 8:28 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 5.3% | 0.05 | 13.7% | 1.0% | 8.9% | 0.68 | 14.9% | 3.3% | 8:18 | 0:00 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 7.1% | 0.07 | 13.9% | 1.0% | 7.3% | 0.82 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 7:49 | 0:03 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 7.4% | 0.08 | 15.6% | 1.3% | 8.8% | 0.72 | 16.4% | 3.9% | 7:33 | 0:02 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 5.8% | 0.06 | 13.4% | 0.9% | 8.1% | 0.71 | 15.9% | 3.7% | 7:37 | 0:03 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 6.2% | 0.06 | 13.3% | 0.9% | 7.6% | 0.53 | 10.1% | 1.8% | 5:43 | 0:01 |
Defense
| TBL @ MIN | 18.6% | 0.21 | 72.0% | 36.4% | 65.6% | 2.55 | 70.9% | 46.2% | 29:15 | 4:40 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 23.1% | 0.26 | 59.8% | 23.2% | 47.7% | 2.94 | 77.7% | 55.3% | 27:39 | 4:06 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 26.2% | 0.30 | 72.1% | 36.5% | 62.2% | 3.02 | 78.9% | 57.0% | 25:03 | 4:25 | |
| STL @ NSH | 19.8% | 0.22 | 62.9% | 26.1% | 53.7% | 2.69 | 73.6% | 49.6% | 26:01 | 3:52 | |
| DET @ COL | 10.8% | 0.11 | 49.3% | 14.8% | 43.1% | 2.03 | 59.2% | 33.0% | 27:23 | 3:30 | |
| DET @ COL | 22.5% | 0.25 | 65.8% | 29.1% | 55.8% | 2.45 | 69.1% | 44.0% | 23:53 | 4:17 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 13.4% | 0.14 | 56.2% | 20.0% | 49.4% | 1.90 | 55.8% | 29.7% | 25:23 | 3:48 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 9.4% | 0.10 | 48.8% | 14.5% | 43.5% | 1.54 | 45.2% | 20.5% | 26:46 | 3:13 | |
| STL @ NSH | 12.4% | 0.13 | 44.9% | 12.0% | 37.1% | 1.89 | 55.6% | 29.4% | 25:38 | 2:53 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 12.3% | 0.13 | 62.4% | 25.6% | 57.1% | 1.71 | 50.5% | 24.8% | 24:08 | 3:55 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 12.7% | 0.14 | 49.5% | 15.0% | 42.2% | 2.02 | 59.0% | 32.8% | 24:02 | 3:54 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 14.3% | 0.15 | 48.7% | 14.4% | 40.1% | 2.18 | 63.0% | 37.0% | 24:16 | 3:21 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 21.1% | 0.24 | 49.4% | 14.9% | 35.9% | 2.59 | 71.8% | 47.3% | 24:17 | 2:27 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 15.3% | 0.17 | 53.3% | 17.8% | 44.9% | 1.90 | 55.9% | 29.8% | 24:31 | 3:01 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 13.4% | 0.14 | 62.9% | 26.1% | 57.1% | 1.65 | 48.5% | 23.2% | 23:55 | 3:09 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 16.6% | 0.18 | 42.1% | 10.4% | 30.5% | 2.36 | 67.1% | 41.6% | 24:03 | 2:18 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 13.6% | 0.15 | 50.4% | 15.6% | 42.6% | 2.47 | 69.4% | 44.4% | 22:52 | 3:02 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 13.9% | 0.15 | 52.2% | 16.9% | 44.6% | 2.09 | 60.9% | 34.7% | 23:02 | 3:19 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 16.2% | 0.18 | 52.4% | 17.1% | 43.2% | 1.98 | 58.0% | 31.8% | 25:09 | 1:07 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 12.4% | 0.13 | 45.2% | 12.2% | 37.5% | 2.06 | 60.1% | 33.9% | 22:27 | 3:03 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 13.0% | 0.14 | 45.8% | 12.6% | 37.7% | 1.74 | 51.3% | 25.6% | 22:26 | 2:23 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 9.1% | 0.10 | 31.2% | 5.5% | 24.2% | 1.72 | 50.5% | 24.9% | 23:03 | 0:50 | |
| DET @ COL | 10.6% | 0.11 | 39.7% | 9.2% | 32.5% | 1.61 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 21:40 | 1:36 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 10.5% | 0.11 | 41.0% | 9.9% | 34.1% | 2.05 | 59.8% | 33.7% | 20:38 | 1:55 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 7.4% | 0.08 | 36.5% | 7.7% | 31.4% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.4% | 23:32 | 0:28 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 6.2% | 0.06 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 19.7% | 1.60 | 47.1% | 22.0% | 22:12 | 1:10 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 12.5% | 0.13 | 38.8% | 8.7% | 30.0% | 2.33 | 66.5% | 40.9% | 20:07 | 1:36 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 8.4% | 0.09 | 40.9% | 9.8% | 35.5% | 1.14 | 31.5% | 11.1% | 20:13 | 3:13 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 6.3% | 0.07 | 32.7% | 6.0% | 28.1% | 1.22 | 34.4% | 12.9% | 21:59 | 1:34 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 7.7% | 0.08 | 33.8% | 6.5% | 28.2% | 1.03 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 22:42 | 1:03 | |
| DET @ COL | 8.2% | 0.09 | 32.8% | 6.1% | 26.8% | 1.48 | 43.1% | 18.9% | 21:10 | 1:53 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 7.5% | 0.08 | 32.3% | 5.9% | 26.8% | 1.38 | 40.0% | 16.6% | 21:33 | 1:35 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 7.6% | 0.08 | 29.3% | 4.8% | 23.5% | 1.42 | 41.2% | 17.5% | 22:38 | 0:17 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 8.1% | 0.08 | 33.0% | 6.2% | 27.2% | 1.68 | 49.5% | 24.0% | 22:01 | 0:03 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 13.7% | 0.15 | 56.1% | 20.0% | 49.2% | 1.82 | 53.7% | 27.7% | 17:44 | 3:19 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 5.6% | 0.06 | 26.6% | 3.9% | 22.2% | 0.96 | 25.0% | 7.6% | 21:35 | 1:42 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 9.6% | 0.10 | 37.7% | 8.2% | 31.2% | 1.59 | 46.6% | 21.6% | 21:18 | 0:37 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 6.7% | 0.07 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 21.5% | 1.33 | 38.3% | 15.4% | 22:26 | 0:10 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 8.3% | 0.09 | 31.6% | 5.6% | 25.4% | 1.63 | 48.0% | 22.7% | 17:37 | 4:21 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 11.7% | 0.12 | 42.3% | 10.6% | 34.7% | 1.85 | 54.3% | 28.3% | 18:33 | 2:42 | |
| STL @ NSH | 5.7% | 0.06 | 31.8% | 5.7% | 27.7% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.3% | 20:41 | 1:48 | |
| STL @ NSH | 6.8% | 0.07 | 29.6% | 4.9% | 24.5% | 1.27 | 35.9% | 13.9% | 21:24 | 0:57 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 5.0% | 0.05 | 27.6% | 4.2% | 23.8% | 1.18 | 32.7% | 11.9% | 22:17 | 0:12 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 11.6% | 0.12 | 38.2% | 8.5% | 30.1% | 1.66 | 48.8% | 23.4% | 19:23 | 1:52 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 6.1% | 0.06 | 26.9% | 4.0% | 22.1% | 1.47 | 42.7% | 18.6% | 21:28 | 0:24 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 11.6% | 0.12 | 33.8% | 6.5% | 25.1% | 2.07 | 60.3% | 34.1% | 20:23 | 0:18 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 7.3% | 0.08 | 32.6% | 6.0% | 27.3% | 1.53 | 44.6% | 20.1% | 20:18 | 1:18 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 9.6% | 0.10 | 40.6% | 9.7% | 34.4% | 1.71 | 50.4% | 24.8% | 18:37 | 2:19 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 6.0% | 0.06 | 29.1% | 4.7% | 24.6% | 1.05 | 28.3% | 9.3% | 22:04 | 0:09 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 10.0% | 0.11 | 36.7% | 7.8% | 29.7% | 1.58 | 46.4% | 21.4% | 20:36 | 0:29 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 5.2% | 0.05 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 17.6% | 1.12 | 30.8% | 10.7% | 21:05 | 1:06 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 5.8% | 0.06 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 13.7% | 1.61 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 21:16 | 0:04 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 3.2% | 0.03 | 16.9% | 1.5% | 14.2% | 0.94 | 24.2% | 7.2% | 22:12 | 0:12 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 5.4% | 0.06 | 25.5% | 3.6% | 21.2% | 0.94 | 24.3% | 7.3% | 21:27 | 0:38 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 7.7% | 0.08 | 35.8% | 7.4% | 30.4% | 1.34 | 38.4% | 15.5% | 18:13 | 2:55 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 7.5% | 0.08 | 34.0% | 6.6% | 28.7% | 1.47 | 42.9% | 18.7% | 19:13 | 1:23 | |
| DET @ COL | 4.7% | 0.05 | 16.3% | 1.4% | 12.2% | 1.13 | 31.1% | 10.9% | 21:17 | 0:13 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 8.3% | 0.09 | 28.0% | 4.3% | 21.4% | 1.49 | 43.5% | 19.2% | 20:21 | 0:04 | |
| STL @ NSH | 7.3% | 0.08 | 23.9% | 3.1% | 17.8% | 1.44 | 41.7% | 17.8% | 20:27 | 0:05 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 9.4% | 0.10 | 34.0% | 6.6% | 27.1% | 1.24 | 35.0% | 13.3% | 20:01 | 0:32 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 4.2% | 0.04 | 24.8% | 3.4% | 21.5% | 0.87 | 21.7% | 6.1% | 21:11 | 0:03 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 7.4% | 0.08 | 33.9% | 6.5% | 28.6% | 1.45 | 42.2% | 18.2% | 19:07 | 0:55 | |
| STL @ NSH | 6.3% | 0.07 | 30.0% | 5.0% | 25.3% | 1.28 | 36.6% | 14.3% | 20:18 | 0:06 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 4.7% | 0.05 | 24.4% | 3.3% | 20.7% | 1.02 | 27.2% | 8.7% | 20:52 | 0:03 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 5.5% | 0.06 | 23.4% | 3.0% | 18.9% | 1.19 | 33.3% | 12.2% | 20:31 | 0:07 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 3.6% | 0.04 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 18.9% | 0.94 | 24.4% | 7.3% | 20:59 | 0:04 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 5.2% | 0.05 | 22.4% | 2.7% | 18.2% | 1.19 | 33.4% | 12.2% | 20:28 | 0:03 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 6.0% | 0.06 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 19.0% | 1.27 | 36.1% | 14.0% | 20:04 | 0:15 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 5.4% | 0.06 | 24.5% | 3.3% | 20.2% | 1.08 | 29.4% | 9.9% | 20:31 | 0:04 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 4.5% | 0.05 | 28.4% | 4.5% | 25.1% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 17:35 | 2:58 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 5.3% | 0.05 | 28.3% | 4.5% | 24.3% | 1.02 | 27.0% | 8.6% | 20:16 | 0:03 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 3.8% | 0.04 | 15.3% | 1.2% | 11.9% | 0.87 | 21.6% | 6.0% | 20:43 | 0:04 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 4.7% | 0.05 | 19.6% | 2.1% | 15.7% | 1.11 | 30.3% | 10.4% | 20:06 | 0:04 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 5.2% | 0.05 | 21.1% | 2.4% | 16.8% | 1.30 | 37.1% | 14.6% | 19:34 | 0:06 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 4.9% | 0.05 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 22.9% | 0.84 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 20:00 | 0:05 | |
| DET @ COL | 7.5% | 0.08 | 31.5% | 5.6% | 26.0% | 1.66 | 48.8% | 23.4% | 18:25 | 0:10 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 8.9% | 0.09 | 31.8% | 5.7% | 25.1% | 1.35 | 38.8% | 15.8% | 16:32 | 2:29 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 4.0% | 0.04 | 19.4% | 2.0% | 16.0% | 0.98 | 25.6% | 7.9% | 19:31 | 0:01 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 4.4% | 0.04 | 17.2% | 1.6% | 13.4% | 1.27 | 36.0% | 13.9% | 18:50 | 0:15 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 4.3% | 0.04 | 23.6% | 3.0% | 20.2% | 0.81 | 19.4% | 5.1% | 19:37 | 0:01 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 4.5% | 0.05 | 15.2% | 1.2% | 11.2% | 0.89 | 22.3% | 6.3% | 19:36 | 0:01 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 5.1% | 0.05 | 18.0% | 1.7% | 13.6% | 1.13 | 31.0% | 10.8% | 19:03 | 0:06 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 5.0% | 0.05 | 24.3% | 3.2% | 20.4% | 1.12 | 30.7% | 10.6% | 18:15 | 0:45 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 5.1% | 0.05 | 26.0% | 3.7% | 22.0% | 1.05 | 28.3% | 9.3% | 18:57 | 0:07 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 5.0% | 0.05 | 20.3% | 2.2% | 16.0% | 1.15 | 31.8% | 11.3% | 18:02 | 0:57 | |
| STL @ NSH | 4.5% | 0.05 | 20.3% | 2.2% | 16.6% | 0.91 | 23.2% | 6.7% | 19:10 | 0:09 | |
| DET @ COL | 4.6% | 0.05 | 19.6% | 2.1% | 15.7% | 1.11 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 19:00 | 0:01 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 3.8% | 0.04 | 19.2% | 2.0% | 16.0% | 0.72 | 16.2% | 3.8% | 19:08 | 0:09 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 6.1% | 0.06 | 28.0% | 4.4% | 23.4% | 1.04 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 18:21 | 0:04 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 4.1% | 0.04 | 16.3% | 1.4% | 12.8% | 1.01 | 26.8% | 8.5% | 18:37 | 0:03 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 3.9% | 0.04 | 19.6% | 2.1% | 16.3% | 0.77 | 18.0% | 4.5% | 18:48 | 0:03 | |
| STL @ NSH | 3.8% | 0.04 | 14.5% | 1.1% | 11.2% | 1.02 | 27.0% | 8.6% | 18:30 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 2.8% | 0.03 | 14.5% | 1.1% | 12.1% | 0.66 | 14.2% | 3.1% | 18:57 | 0:02 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 6.0% | 0.06 | 16.7% | 1.5% | 11.3% | 1.18 | 32.7% | 11.8% | 18:02 | 0:05 | |
| STL @ NSH | 7.5% | 0.08 | 25.0% | 3.4% | 18.9% | 1.40 | 40.5% | 17.0% | 16:09 | 1:16 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 4.0% | 0.04 | 24.6% | 3.3% | 21.5% | 0.89 | 22.4% | 6.4% | 18:13 | 0:01 | |
| DET @ COL | 6.9% | 0.07 | 25.2% | 3.5% | 19.7% | 1.54 | 45.0% | 20.3% | 16:55 | 0:04 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 3.7% | 0.04 | 15.2% | 1.2% | 11.9% | 0.88 | 22.3% | 6.3% | 18:07 | 0:07 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 5.2% | 0.05 | 23.3% | 3.0% | 19.1% | 1.12 | 30.6% | 10.6% | 16:02 | 1:35 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 4.7% | 0.05 | 19.2% | 2.0% | 15.3% | 1.11 | 30.3% | 10.4% | 17:37 | 0:02 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 5.8% | 0.06 | 22.8% | 2.8% | 18.1% | 1.41 | 40.8% | 17.2% | 17:02 | 0:02 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 3.8% | 0.04 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 15.5% | 0.97 | 25.2% | 7.7% | 17:43 | 0:03 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 5.7% | 0.06 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 15.4% | 1.05 | 28.4% | 9.4% | 17:28 | 0:07 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 5.5% | 0.06 | 24.1% | 3.2% | 19.7% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 17:26 | 0:00 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 3.9% | 0.04 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 14.1% | 1.09 | 29.7% | 10.1% | 17:15 | 0:00 | |
| DET @ COL | 3.9% | 0.04 | 18.9% | 1.9% | 15.5% | 0.90 | 22.9% | 6.6% | 17:27 | 0:01 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 2.2% | 0.02 | 16.5% | 1.5% | 14.7% | 0.65 | 13.9% | 3.0% | 17:47 | 0:02 | |
| STL @ NSH | 5.4% | 0.06 | 21.3% | 2.4% | 16.7% | 1.14 | 31.6% | 11.2% | 16:28 | 0:04 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 3.6% | 0.04 | 15.9% | 1.3% | 12.7% | 0.85 | 20.8% | 5.7% | 17:08 | 0:00 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 3.7% | 0.04 | 21.4% | 2.5% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 17.8% | 4.4% | 17:06 | 0:03 | |
| PIT @ LAK | 3.5% | 0.04 | 19.4% | 2.0% | 16.4% | 0.75 | 17.3% | 4.2% | 16:46 | 0:13 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 3.1% | 0.03 | 14.4% | 1.1% | 11.6% | 0.89 | 22.5% | 6.4% | 16:47 | 0:02 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 6.0% | 0.06 | 25.1% | 3.4% | 20.3% | 1.11 | 30.3% | 10.5% | 15:46 | 0:25 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 4.3% | 0.04 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 15.0% | 0.85 | 21.2% | 5.8% | 16:29 | 0:05 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 5.1% | 0.05 | 24.9% | 3.4% | 20.8% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.4% | 14:49 | 0:51 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 3.9% | 0.04 | 16.4% | 1.4% | 12.9% | 1.11 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 15:41 | 0:04 | |
| SJS @ DAL | 4.0% | 0.04 | 17.7% | 1.7% | 14.2% | 0.71 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 16:18 | 0:00 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 3.5% | 0.04 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 14.8% | 0.87 | 21.6% | 6.0% | 15:58 | 0:01 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 6.7% | 0.07 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 16.3% | 1.35 | 38.7% | 15.7% | 14:33 | 0:26 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 5.4% | 0.06 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 17.4% | 1.00 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 14:35 | 0:45 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 5.1% | 0.05 | 15.5% | 1.3% | 11.0% | 0.95 | 24.7% | 7.5% | 15:29 | 0:01 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 2.9% | 0.03 | 14.2% | 1.1% | 11.6% | 0.68 | 14.9% | 3.3% | 15:51 | 0:01 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 3.5% | 0.04 | 15.2% | 1.2% | 12.1% | 0.70 | 15.6% | 3.6% | 15:25 | 0:01 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 4.0% | 0.04 | 14.8% | 1.1% | 11.2% | 0.87 | 21.6% | 6.0% | 14:57 | 0:07 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 4.0% | 0.04 | 15.5% | 1.3% | 12.0% | 0.75 | 17.4% | 4.2% | 14:54 | 0:00 | |
| STL @ NSH | 2.9% | 0.03 | 16.1% | 1.4% | 13.6% | 0.56 | 10.9% | 2.0% | 14:46 | 0:00 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 2.9% | 0.03 | 16.2% | 1.4% | 13.6% | 0.72 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 14:12 | 0:17 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 3.8% | 0.04 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 14.6% | 1.05 | 28.3% | 9.3% | 13:45 | 0:05 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 3.3% | 0.03 | 16.1% | 1.4% | 13.2% | 0.74 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 14:08 | 0:00 | |
| UTA @ OTT | 3.6% | 0.04 | 16.0% | 1.4% | 12.9% | 0.81 | 19.7% | 5.2% | 13:59 | 0:01 | |
| CHI @ CAR | 2.5% | 0.02 | 12.2% | 0.8% | 10.0% | 0.74 | 17.0% | 4.1% | 14:06 | 0:01 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 3.8% | 0.04 | 14.2% | 1.1% | 10.9% | 0.65 | 13.9% | 3.0% | 14:09 | 0:01 | |
| FLA @ WSH | 3.4% | 0.03 | 21.4% | 2.5% | 18.6% | 0.70 | 15.8% | 3.6% | 13:54 | 0:00 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 3.2% | 0.03 | 16.9% | 1.5% | 14.2% | 0.80 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 12:33 | 0:52 | |
| DET @ COL | 2.0% | 0.02 | 10.3% | 0.6% | 8.5% | 0.57 | 11.3% | 2.1% | 13:40 | 0:00 | |
| TBL @ MIN | 2.9% | 0.03 | 14.8% | 1.2% | 12.3% | 0.78 | 18.5% | 4.7% | 12:58 | 0:05 | |
| STL @ NSH | 3.2% | 0.03 | 15.9% | 1.3% | 13.2% | 0.75 | 17.6% | 4.3% | 13:02 | 0:02 | |
| VAN @ EDM | 2.4% | 0.02 | 12.2% | 0.8% | 10.1% | 0.57 | 11.3% | 2.1% | 13:14 | 0:01 | |
| NJD @ NYI | 3.0% | 0.03 | 13.7% | 1.0% | 11.0% | 0.73 | 16.7% | 4.0% | 12:52 | 0:05 | |
| DET @ COL | 3.1% | 0.03 | 14.9% | 1.2% | 12.1% | 0.84 | 20.6% | 5.6% | 12:24 | 0:01 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 3.6% | 0.04 | 14.0% | 1.0% | 10.9% | 0.98 | 25.7% | 8.0% | 11:51 | 0:08 | |
| DET @ COL | 2.2% | 0.02 | 12.7% | 0.8% | 10.8% | 0.50 | 9.1% | 1.5% | 12:24 | 0:01 | |
| NYR @ SEA | 3.1% | 0.03 | 12.9% | 0.9% | 10.0% | 1.04 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 11:03 | 0:00 | |
| MTL @ TOR | 2.6% | 0.03 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 7.2% | 0.74 | 17.2% | 4.2% | 11:33 | 0:01 |