NHL predictions Mon, Nov 2
Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →
4 games on this slate · 10–8 since Oct 30 (model V3) →
Games
Biggest factor: Goaltending (BOS) · BOS +0.4 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice (FLA) · FLA +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play (COL) · COL +1.1 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice (SJS) · SJS +0.3 goals
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
David Pastrnak
|
40% | 0.51 | 73% | 3.14 | 81% | 21:04 | 3:43 |
Jack Eichel
|
31% | 0.37 | 63% | 2.90 | 77% | 19:11 | 3:00 |
Morgan Geekie
|
27% | 0.32 | 49% | 1.73 | 51% | 16:18 | 3:18 |
Mark Stone
|
27% | 0.31 | 57% | 1.99 | 58% | 18:01 | 2:46 |
JJ Peterka
|
27% | 0.31 | 49% | 1.97 | 58% | 18:03 | 2:02 |
Pavel Zacha
|
26% | 0.30 | 53% | 1.67 | 49% | 18:54 | 3:06 |
Tomas Hertl
|
25% | 0.29 | 44% | 2.16 | 63% | 15:05 | 2:52 |
Mitch Marner
|
24% | 0.28 | 62% | 2.10 | 61% | 18:55 | 3:35 |
Elias Lindholm
|
22% | 0.25 | 46% | 1.57 | 46% | 17:24 | 3:00 |
Trevor Connelly
|
21% | 0.23 | 41% | 1.82 | 53% | 15:03 | 2:25 |
William Karlsson
|
20% | 0.22 | 38% | 1.90 | 56% | 16:50 | 0:56 |
Fraser Minten
|
20% | 0.22 | 38% | 1.60 | 47% | 16:06 | 1:39 |
Ivan Barbashev
|
19% | 0.21 | 43% | 1.57 | 46% | 16:14 | 0:51 |
James Hagens
|
19% | 0.21 | 39% | 1.52 | 44% | 13:14 | 1:47 |
Brett Howden
|
16% | 0.18 | 29% | 1.41 | 41% | 14:47 | 0:10 |
Braeden Bowman
|
16% | 0.17 | 33% | 1.34 | 38% | 13:38 | 1:03 |
Casey Mittelstadt
|
16% | 0.17 | 37% | 1.13 | 31% | 14:27 | 1:34 |
Marat Khusnutdinov
|
11% | 0.11 | 24% | 0.85 | 21% | 13:31 | 0:02 |
Marc Gatcomb
|
10% | 0.11 | 19% | 1.40 | 41% | 11:05 | 0:01 |
Mark Kastelic
|
10% | 0.11 | 20% | 0.99 | 26% | 10:21 | 0:06 |
Sean Kuraly
|
10% | 0.11 | 22% | 1.18 | 33% | 11:57 | 0:02 |
Jonas Rondbjerg
|
10% | 0.11 | 21% | 1.12 | 31% | 11:00 | 0:00 |
Tanner Jeannot
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.76 | 18% | 10:00 | 0:07 |
Nic Dowd
|
8% | 0.08 | 20% | 0.76 | 18% | 11:38 | 0:02 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Charlie McAvoy
|
14% | 0.15 | 51% | 1.61 | 47% | 24:36 | 3:17 |
Shea Theodore
|
10% | 0.10 | 38% | 1.85 | 55% | 21:31 | 1:12 |
Rasmus Andersson
|
10% | 0.10 | 29% | 1.78 | 52% | 20:30 | 0:55 |
Noah Hanifin
|
7% | 0.08 | 27% | 1.64 | 48% | 21:15 | 0:13 |
Mason Lohrei
|
7% | 0.07 | 27% | 0.92 | 23% | 16:59 | 1:21 |
Hampus Lindholm
|
6% | 0.07 | 26% | 1.23 | 35% | 21:00 | 0:31 |
Brayden McNabb
|
5% | 0.05 | 21% | 1.20 | 34% | 19:48 | 0:01 |
Nikita Zadorov
|
5% | 0.05 | 22% | 1.02 | 27% | 18:20 | 0:05 |
Jonathan Aspirot
|
4% | 0.05 | 17% | 0.83 | 20% | 16:11 | 0:02 |
Dylan Coghlan
|
4% | 0.05 | 16% | 1.28 | 36% | 15:09 | 0:02 |
Jeremy Lauzon
|
4% | 0.04 | 14% | 1.23 | 35% | 17:16 | 0:02 |
Will Borgen
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.86 | 21% | 18:34 | 0:04 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
VGK
Victor OlofssonFParker WotherspoonD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
VGK- Rating
- -0.21
- DailyFaceoff
- C. HartUnconfirmed
BOS- Rating
- +0.17
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 52.0%
- First line
- 49.6%
- Latest
- 49.6%
Moneyline BOS -108 / VGK -112 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.2
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +105 / Under -125
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 49.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 12:54 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sun 7:50 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 VGK +0.27
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals VGK +0.17
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net VGK +0.07
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it BOS +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances BOS +0.38
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score VGK +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.09
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.22
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.86
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.02
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.04
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.01
Team comparison
VGK |
BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.307th of 32 | 0.1611th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.649th of 32 | 2.6410th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.234th of 32 | 2.5519th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.3410th of 32 | 7.1618th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.446th of 32 | 7.1912th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.2129th of 32 | 0.176th of 32 |
Goaltending
| VGK | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Adin Hill | Jeremy Swayman |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.21 (#29) | +0.17 (#6) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winBOS 40%, VGK 36%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutBOS 12%, VGK 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (VGK)No
- Back-to-back (BOS)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelBOS 2 days, VGK 3 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Alex DeBrincat
|
39% | 0.49 | 64% | 3.16 | 81% | 19:42 | 3:21 |
Sam Reinhart
|
38% | 0.48 | 64% | 2.54 | 71% | 19:58 | 4:41 |
Brady Tkachuk
|
35% | 0.43 | 61% | 3.05 | 79% | 15:54 | 4:09 |
Viktor Arvidsson
|
34% | 0.42 | 58% | 2.67 | 73% | 19:06 | 3:18 |
Matthew Tkachuk
|
32% | 0.39 | 70% | 2.34 | 67% | 17:51 | 4:37 |
Carter Verhaeghe
|
32% | 0.39 | 57% | 2.35 | 67% | 18:16 | 3:47 |
Lucas Raymond
|
30% | 0.36 | 64% | 2.31 | 66% | 20:11 | 3:26 |
Sam Bennett
|
28% | 0.33 | 50% | 2.31 | 66% | 16:49 | 2:31 |
Anton Lundell
|
23% | 0.26 | 45% | 2.06 | 60% | 17:26 | 2:03 |
Emmitt Finnie
|
23% | 0.26 | 42% | 1.85 | 54% | 18:36 | 1:53 |
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
|
21% | 0.23 | 42% | 1.78 | 53% | 15:35 | 1:34 |
Andrew Copp
|
19% | 0.21 | 42% | 1.59 | 47% | 18:27 | 1:43 |
Michael Rasmussen
|
16% | 0.17 | 32% | 1.30 | 37% | 15:32 | 1:26 |
Lars Eller
|
15% | 0.16 | 33% | 1.29 | 37% | 16:11 | 1:00 |
Eetu Luostarinen
|
15% | 0.16 | 34% | 1.33 | 38% | 16:13 | 1:21 |
Sandis Vilmanis
|
14% | 0.15 | 28% | 1.26 | 36% | 13:09 | 0:14 |
J.T. Compher
|
12% | 0.13 | 30% | 1.13 | 31% | 15:19 | 0:16 |
Nate Danielson
|
10% | 0.11 | 25% | 0.89 | 22% | 11:50 | 0:52 |
Cole Schwindt
|
10% | 0.10 | 22% | 0.93 | 24% | 9:47 | 0:15 |
Carter Mazur
|
9% | 0.09 | 21% | 0.92 | 23% | 9:06 | 0:06 |
Sheldon Dries
|
8% | 0.08 | 18% | 0.80 | 19% | 9:50 | 0:04 |
Keegan Kolesar
|
7% | 0.08 | 18% | 0.69 | 16% | 10:30 | 0:08 |
Garnet Hathaway
|
7% | 0.07 | 15% | 0.63 | 13% | 10:31 | 0:02 |
Bokondji Imama
|
6% | 0.07 | 15% | 0.70 | 16% | 7:48 | 0:04 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Seth Jones
|
13% | 0.14 | 53% | 1.95 | 57% | 24:14 | 4:05 |
Moritz Seider
|
11% | 0.12 | 50% | 1.98 | 58% | 26:21 | 3:31 |
Justin Faulk
|
8% | 0.09 | 33% | 1.49 | 44% | 21:06 | 1:39 |
Aaron Ekblad
|
8% | 0.08 | 35% | 1.29 | 37% | 21:21 | 1:49 |
Gustav Forsling
|
7% | 0.07 | 29% | 1.41 | 41% | 21:09 | 0:25 |
Niko Mikkola
|
6% | 0.06 | 20% | 1.12 | 31% | 20:02 | 0:07 |
Ben Chiarot
|
5% | 0.05 | 17% | 1.10 | 30% | 21:07 | 0:14 |
William Wallinder
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 0.97 | 25% | 16:58 | 0:02 |
Anton Johansson
|
3% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.88 | 22% | 14:03 | 0:02 |
Dmitry Kulikov
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.66 | 14% | 16:00 | 0:02 |
Radko Gudas
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.83 | 20% | 14:21 | 0:02 |
Andreas Englund
|
2% | 0.02 | 11% | 0.58 | 12% | 13:41 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
DET
Dylan LarkinFMarco KasperFMason AppletonFSimon EdvinssonD
FLA
Aleksander BarkovFBrad MarchandFJonah GadjovichF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
DET- Rating
- -0.17
- DailyFaceoff
- D. TarasovUnconfirmed
FLA- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 56.8%
- First line
- 60.9%
- Latest
- 60.9%
Moneyline FLA -175 / DET +145 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.5
- First line
- 5.5
- Latest
- 5.5
Over -125 / Under +105
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 60.9%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 12:54 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sun 7:50 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 DET +0.02
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals FLA +0.23
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net DET +0.13
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it FLA +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances FLA +0.09
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score DET +0.03
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.68
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.71
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.84
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.26
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
DET |
FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.0314th of 32 | 0.1512th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.5314th of 32 | 2.4221st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.339th of 32 | 2.256th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.615th of 32 | 9.123rd of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.8920th of 32 | 6.285th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.1725th of 32 | -0.0917th of 32 |
Goaltending
| DET | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | John Gibson | Akira Schmid |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.17 (#25) | -0.09 (#17) |
Who is out
- Jacob Markstrom FLA Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winFLA 45%, DET 32%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutFLA 12%, DET 11%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (DET)No
- Back-to-back (FLA)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelFLA 3 days, DET 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Nathan MacKinnon
|
43% | 0.57 | 78% | 4.03 | 90% | 20:40 | 3:58 |
Martin Necas
|
33% | 0.39 | 66% | 2.51 | 70% | 20:08 | 3:23 |
Connor Bedard
|
32% | 0.38 | 63% | 2.83 | 76% | 20:39 | 3:59 |
Nazem Kadri
|
30% | 0.35 | 56% | 2.85 | 76% | 18:21 | 3:43 |
Artturi Lehkonen
|
29% | 0.34 | 48% | 2.07 | 60% | 17:56 | 1:24 |
Brock Nelson
|
27% | 0.32 | 47% | 2.11 | 61% | 17:33 | 1:43 |
Roman Kantserov
|
24% | 0.28 | 45% | 1.76 | 52% | 18:31 | 3:43 |
Tyler Bertuzzi
|
24% | 0.27 | 45% | 1.67 | 49% | 16:36 | 3:36 |
Patrick Kane
|
23% | 0.27 | 56% | 2.14 | 62% | 17:19 | 3:39 |
T.J. Hughes
|
23% | 0.26 | 43% | 2.16 | 63% | 15:12 | 3:45 |
Gabriel Landeskog
|
22% | 0.25 | 42% | 1.79 | 53% | 15:16 | 1:50 |
Anton Frondell
|
20% | 0.22 | 42% | 1.96 | 58% | 16:25 | 1:52 |
Frank Nazar
|
20% | 0.22 | 40% | 1.68 | 49% | 16:49 | 1:45 |
Jaden Schwartz
|
19% | 0.21 | 37% | 1.74 | 51% | 14:01 | 2:08 |
Ryan Donato
|
15% | 0.16 | 30% | 1.32 | 38% | 13:17 | 1:09 |
Parker Kelly
|
13% | 0.14 | 26% | 1.30 | 37% | 13:06 | 0:00 |
Nicolas Roy
|
12% | 0.13 | 29% | 1.14 | 31% | 12:23 | 0:36 |
Ryan Greene
|
12% | 0.12 | 26% | 1.09 | 30% | 14:44 | 0:38 |
Fedor Svechkov
|
11% | 0.12 | 27% | 1.10 | 30% | 12:57 | 0:04 |
Oliver Moore
|
11% | 0.12 | 27% | 1.20 | 33% | 11:40 | 1:02 |
Cole Smith
|
10% | 0.10 | 20% | 1.11 | 30% | 13:45 | 0:03 |
Jordan Greenway
|
10% | 0.10 | 21% | 1.03 | 28% | 13:17 | 0:03 |
Andrew Mangiapane
|
9% | 0.10 | 21% | 0.89 | 23% | 10:43 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Cale Makar
|
21% | 0.24 | 64% | 2.68 | 74% | 23:51 | 3:59 |
Devon Toews
|
10% | 0.10 | 39% | 1.67 | 49% | 21:24 | 1:42 |
Sam Malinski
|
7% | 0.08 | 31% | 1.84 | 54% | 18:36 | 0:14 |
Brent Burns
|
7% | 0.07 | 25% | 1.71 | 50% | 16:57 | 0:05 |
Artyom Levshunov
|
6% | 0.07 | 25% | 1.23 | 35% | 21:01 | 0:44 |
Sam Rinzel
|
6% | 0.06 | 22% | 1.15 | 32% | 16:08 | 0:54 |
Brett Kulak
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.32 | 38% | 19:44 | 0:01 |
Wyatt Kaiser
|
5% | 0.05 | 19% | 0.96 | 25% | 20:30 | 0:06 |
Alex Vlasic
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 1.02 | 27% | 21:16 | 0:11 |
Ian Cole
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.78 | 19% | 20:17 | 0:04 |
Ethan Del Mastro
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.89 | 23% | 14:05 | 0:00 |
Noah Juulsen
|
2% | 0.02 | 11% | 0.54 | 11% | 11:23 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
COL
Zachary L'HeureuxFJosh MansonD
CHI
Bowen ByramD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
COL- Rating
- -0.02
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
CHI- Rating
- -0.03
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.0%
- First line
- 66.9%
- Latest
- 66.9%
Moneyline CHI +190 / COL -230 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.4
- First line
- 5.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +105 / Under -125 · opened 5.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 66.9%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 12:54 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sun 7:50 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 COL +1.05
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals COL +0.15
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net COL +0.11
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it CHI +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances COL +0.01
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score CHI +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.43
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.19
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.74
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.05
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.05
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
COL |
CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.623rd of 32 | -0.6931st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.862nd of 32 | 2.1830th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.3913th of 32 | 2.9631st of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 7.5215th of 32 | 6.6827th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.577th of 32 | 7.2513th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.9 | 4.6 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0212th of 32 | -0.0314th of 32 |
Goaltending
| COL | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Mackenzie Blackwood | Spencer Knight |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.02 (#12) | -0.03 (#14) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winCHI 24%, COL 54%
- Goes to overtime22%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout9%
- Win in OT or shootoutCHI 10%, COL 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (COL)No
- Back-to-back (CHI)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelCHI 2 days, COL 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Macklin Celebrini
|
44% | 0.58 | 77% | 3.82 | 88% | 22:05 | 4:00 |
Will Smith
|
32% | 0.39 | 59% | 2.55 | 71% | 18:17 | 3:50 |
Joel Farabee
|
27% | 0.31 | 51% | 2.14 | 62% | 17:56 | 2:07 |
Matt Coronato
|
26% | 0.31 | 53% | 2.38 | 68% | 16:38 | 2:17 |
Mason Marchment
|
26% | 0.30 | 50% | 1.89 | 55% | 15:55 | 3:12 |
Matvei Gridin
|
26% | 0.30 | 53% | 2.25 | 65% | 16:08 | 2:15 |
Ivar Stenberg
|
24% | 0.27 | 53% | 1.68 | 50% | 16:46 | 3:50 |
Mikael Backlund
|
23% | 0.26 | 44% | 2.37 | 67% | 18:20 | 0:11 |
Morgan Frost
|
22% | 0.25 | 46% | 1.79 | 53% | 15:13 | 2:17 |
Kiefer Sherwood
|
22% | 0.25 | 41% | 2.06 | 60% | 15:35 | 1:14 |
Tyler Toffoli
|
22% | 0.24 | 41% | 2.03 | 59% | 13:33 | 2:01 |
Yegor Sharangovich
|
21% | 0.23 | 38% | 1.70 | 50% | 16:14 | 0:49 |
Aydar Suniev
|
19% | 0.21 | 38% | 1.69 | 50% | 13:43 | 0:57 |
Michael Misa
|
18% | 0.20 | 40% | 1.40 | 40% | 13:45 | 1:45 |
Ryan Strome
|
18% | 0.20 | 42% | 1.70 | 50% | 14:23 | 0:56 |
Collin Graf
|
18% | 0.20 | 35% | 1.45 | 42% | 15:52 | 0:06 |
Filip Bystedt
|
17% | 0.19 | 37% | 1.61 | 47% | 13:09 | 1:30 |
Adam Klapka
|
14% | 0.16 | 31% | 1.35 | 39% | 11:48 | 0:29 |
Martin Pospisil
|
14% | 0.15 | 33% | 1.49 | 43% | 13:35 | 0:03 |
Jonathan Castagna
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.13 | 31% | 12:51 | 0:00 |
Maxim Tsyplakov
|
12% | 0.13 | 29% | 1.07 | 29% | 10:56 | 0:37 |
Ty Dellandrea
|
11% | 0.12 | 26% | 1.07 | 29% | 13:39 | 0:07 |
Zack Ostapchuk
|
9% | 0.09 | 17% | 0.90 | 23% | 11:02 | 0:05 |
Barclay Goodrow
|
8% | 0.09 | 17% | 0.92 | 24% | 11:53 | 0:03 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Zayne Parekh
|
11% | 0.12 | 35% | 1.59 | 47% | 17:40 | 2:20 |
Simon Nemec
|
11% | 0.12 | 37% | 1.60 | 47% | 22:09 | 0:52 |
Jacob Trouba
|
10% | 0.11 | 38% | 1.92 | 56% | 23:06 | 1:26 |
Darnell Nurse
|
9% | 0.10 | 29% | 1.99 | 58% | 21:49 | 0:05 |
Dmitry Orlov
|
8% | 0.08 | 42% | 1.22 | 34% | 18:31 | 3:15 |
Michael Kesselring
|
7% | 0.07 | 26% | 1.55 | 46% | 19:00 | 0:20 |
Sam Dickinson
|
5% | 0.06 | 23% | 1.05 | 28% | 17:59 | 0:10 |
Jacob Middleton
|
5% | 0.06 | 22% | 0.99 | 26% | 18:15 | 0:01 |
Kevin Bahl
|
5% | 0.05 | 24% | 0.94 | 24% | 22:26 | 0:05 |
Nolan Allan
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.88 | 22% | 15:04 | 0:01 |
Yan Kuznetsov
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 1.07 | 29% | 18:08 | 0:01 |
Zach Whitecloud
|
4% | 0.04 | 21% | 0.97 | 25% | 20:37 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
CGY
Brennan OthmannFJonathan HuberdeauFSamuel HonzekF
SJS
Alexander WennbergFIgor ChernyshovF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
CGY- Rating
- -0.28
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
SJS- Rating
- +0.01
- DailyFaceoff
- Y. AskarovUnconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 54.6%
- First line
- 55.1%
- Latest
- 55.1%
Moneyline SJS -135 / CGY +114 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.6
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -102 / Under -118
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 55.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 12:54 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sun 7:50 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 CGY +0.21
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals SJS +0.02
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net CGY +0.07
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it SJS +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances SJS +0.29
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score CGY +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.17
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.31
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.82
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.26
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.01
Team comparison
CGY |
SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.6629th of 32 | -0.6830th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.3922nd of 32 | 2.2827th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.6827th of 32 | 2.8330th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.4630th of 32 | 6.7526th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.6517th of 32 | 8.9230th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.2831st of 32 | 0.0110th of 32 |
Goaltending
| CGY | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Dustin Wolf | Alex Nedeljkovic |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.28 (#31) | +0.01 (#10) |
Who is out
- Kyle Keyser SJS Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Devin Cooley CGY Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winSJS 43%, CGY 34%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutSJS 12%, CGY 11%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (CGY)No
- Back-to-back (SJS)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelSJS 2 days, CGY 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
Players
Anytime goal board
- Macklin Celebrini44%
- Nathan MacKinnon43%
- David Pastrnak40%
- Alex DeBrincat39%
- Sam Reinhart38%
Forwards
| CGY @ SJS | 44.1% | 0.58 | 76.8% | 42.8% | 58.4% | 3.82 | 88.0% | 71.7% | 22:05 | 4:00 | |
| COL @ CHI | 43.3% | 0.57 | 77.8% | 44.5% | 60.9% | 4.03 | 89.7% | 74.8% | 20:40 | 3:58 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 39.9% | 0.51 | 73.0% | 37.7% | 55.2% | 3.14 | 80.7% | 59.6% | 21:04 | 3:43 | |
| COL @ CHI | 31.9% | 0.38 | 63.1% | 26.3% | 45.8% | 2.83 | 76.0% | 52.8% | 20:39 | 3:59 | |
| DET @ FLA | 38.3% | 0.48 | 64.1% | 27.3% | 41.8% | 2.54 | 70.9% | 46.1% | 19:58 | 4:41 | |
| DET @ FLA | 38.6% | 0.49 | 63.7% | 26.9% | 40.9% | 3.16 | 80.8% | 59.9% | 19:42 | 3:21 | |
| COL @ CHI | 32.5% | 0.39 | 65.9% | 29.2% | 49.5% | 2.51 | 70.2% | 45.3% | 20:08 | 3:23 | |
| DET @ FLA | 30.0% | 0.36 | 63.7% | 26.9% | 48.1% | 2.31 | 66.0% | 40.3% | 20:11 | 3:26 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 30.7% | 0.37 | 63.1% | 26.3% | 46.8% | 2.90 | 77.2% | 54.5% | 19:11 | 3:00 | |
| DET @ FLA | 34.3% | 0.42 | 57.9% | 21.5% | 36.0% | 2.67 | 73.3% | 49.3% | 19:06 | 3:18 | |
| DET @ FLA | 32.2% | 0.39 | 70.2% | 34.1% | 56.0% | 2.34 | 66.7% | 41.1% | 17:51 | 4:37 | |
| COL @ CHI | 29.6% | 0.35 | 56.4% | 20.2% | 38.0% | 2.85 | 76.3% | 53.3% | 18:21 | 3:43 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 32.4% | 0.39 | 59.5% | 22.9% | 40.0% | 2.55 | 71.1% | 46.4% | 18:17 | 3:50 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 24.4% | 0.28 | 61.8% | 25.0% | 49.4% | 2.10 | 61.2% | 35.0% | 18:55 | 3:35 | |
| DET @ FLA | 32.1% | 0.39 | 57.4% | 21.0% | 37.2% | 2.35 | 67.0% | 41.4% | 18:16 | 3:47 | |
| DET @ FLA | 34.9% | 0.43 | 60.9% | 24.2% | 39.9% | 3.05 | 79.3% | 57.6% | 15:54 | 4:09 | |
| COL @ CHI | 24.1% | 0.28 | 45.5% | 12.4% | 28.1% | 1.76 | 51.8% | 26.0% | 18:31 | 3:43 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 25.9% | 0.30 | 52.6% | 17.2% | 36.0% | 1.67 | 49.3% | 23.8% | 18:54 | 3:06 | |
| COL @ CHI | 23.4% | 0.27 | 55.8% | 19.7% | 42.3% | 2.14 | 61.9% | 35.8% | 17:19 | 3:39 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 26.9% | 0.31 | 56.9% | 20.6% | 41.0% | 1.99 | 58.3% | 32.1% | 18:01 | 2:46 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 26.6% | 0.31 | 51.4% | 16.3% | 33.8% | 2.14 | 62.0% | 36.0% | 17:56 | 2:07 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 23.9% | 0.27 | 52.5% | 17.2% | 37.6% | 1.68 | 49.6% | 24.1% | 16:46 | 3:50 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 26.6% | 0.31 | 48.9% | 14.6% | 30.4% | 1.97 | 57.8% | 31.6% | 18:03 | 2:02 | |
| DET @ FLA | 22.7% | 0.26 | 42.1% | 10.5% | 25.1% | 1.85 | 54.3% | 28.3% | 18:36 | 1:53 | |
| DET @ FLA | 27.9% | 0.33 | 50.1% | 15.4% | 30.9% | 2.31 | 66.0% | 40.3% | 16:49 | 2:31 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 26.4% | 0.31 | 53.3% | 17.7% | 36.5% | 2.38 | 67.5% | 42.1% | 16:38 | 2:17 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 21.8% | 0.25 | 46.1% | 12.8% | 31.1% | 1.57 | 46.0% | 21.1% | 17:24 | 3:00 | |
| COL @ CHI | 23.9% | 0.27 | 44.6% | 11.9% | 27.2% | 1.67 | 49.2% | 23.7% | 16:36 | 3:36 | |
| COL @ CHI | 29.0% | 0.34 | 48.4% | 14.3% | 27.3% | 2.07 | 60.3% | 34.1% | 17:56 | 1:24 | |
| DET @ FLA | 23.2% | 0.26 | 45.5% | 12.4% | 29.0% | 2.06 | 60.2% | 34.0% | 17:26 | 2:03 | |
| COL @ CHI | 27.1% | 0.32 | 47.5% | 13.6% | 27.9% | 2.11 | 61.3% | 35.2% | 17:33 | 1:43 | |
| DET @ FLA | 18.5% | 0.21 | 42.5% | 10.7% | 29.4% | 1.59 | 46.6% | 21.6% | 18:27 | 1:43 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 27.4% | 0.32 | 49.3% | 14.9% | 30.2% | 1.73 | 51.0% | 25.3% | 16:18 | 3:18 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 25.7% | 0.30 | 50.5% | 15.7% | 33.3% | 1.89 | 55.4% | 29.3% | 15:55 | 3:12 | |
| COL @ CHI | 23.1% | 0.26 | 43.0% | 11.0% | 25.8% | 2.16 | 62.5% | 36.5% | 15:12 | 3:45 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 22.9% | 0.26 | 44.2% | 11.7% | 27.7% | 2.37 | 67.3% | 41.8% | 18:20 | 0:11 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 25.6% | 0.30 | 52.8% | 17.4% | 36.6% | 2.25 | 64.6% | 38.7% | 16:08 | 2:15 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 24.8% | 0.29 | 43.9% | 11.5% | 25.4% | 2.16 | 62.6% | 36.5% | 15:05 | 2:52 | |
| COL @ CHI | 20.0% | 0.22 | 42.3% | 10.6% | 27.9% | 1.96 | 57.5% | 31.3% | 16:25 | 1:52 | |
| COL @ CHI | 19.8% | 0.22 | 39.5% | 9.1% | 24.6% | 1.68 | 49.4% | 23.9% | 16:49 | 1:45 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 19.9% | 0.22 | 37.9% | 8.3% | 22.5% | 1.90 | 55.9% | 29.7% | 16:50 | 0:56 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 22.3% | 0.25 | 45.7% | 12.6% | 30.1% | 1.79 | 52.7% | 26.7% | 15:13 | 2:17 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 20.9% | 0.23 | 40.5% | 9.6% | 24.8% | 1.82 | 53.5% | 27.5% | 15:03 | 2:25 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 19.9% | 0.22 | 37.9% | 8.3% | 22.6% | 1.60 | 46.9% | 21.8% | 16:06 | 1:39 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 22.3% | 0.25 | 41.0% | 9.9% | 24.1% | 2.06 | 60.1% | 33.9% | 15:35 | 1:14 | |
| COL @ CHI | 21.8% | 0.25 | 42.2% | 10.5% | 26.1% | 1.79 | 52.8% | 26.9% | 15:16 | 1:50 | |
| DET @ FLA | 20.6% | 0.23 | 41.7% | 10.2% | 26.6% | 1.78 | 52.5% | 26.6% | 15:35 | 1:34 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 20.6% | 0.23 | 37.7% | 8.2% | 21.5% | 1.70 | 50.2% | 24.6% | 16:14 | 0:49 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 19.1% | 0.21 | 43.3% | 11.1% | 29.9% | 1.57 | 46.2% | 21.2% | 16:14 | 0:51 | |
| DET @ FLA | 14.9% | 0.16 | 34.2% | 6.6% | 22.6% | 1.33 | 38.1% | 15.3% | 16:13 | 1:21 | |
| DET @ FLA | 15.1% | 0.16 | 33.4% | 6.3% | 21.6% | 1.29 | 36.8% | 14.4% | 16:11 | 1:00 | |
| COL @ CHI | 18.9% | 0.21 | 37.5% | 8.1% | 22.9% | 1.74 | 51.2% | 25.5% | 14:01 | 2:08 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 21.5% | 0.24 | 41.4% | 10.1% | 25.4% | 2.03 | 59.3% | 33.1% | 13:33 | 2:01 | |
| DET @ FLA | 15.9% | 0.17 | 32.4% | 5.9% | 19.6% | 1.30 | 37.1% | 14.7% | 15:32 | 1:26 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 17.8% | 0.20 | 35.0% | 7.0% | 21.0% | 1.45 | 42.3% | 18.3% | 15:52 | 0:06 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 17.8% | 0.20 | 41.6% | 10.2% | 28.9% | 1.70 | 50.0% | 24.4% | 14:23 | 0:56 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 15.6% | 0.17 | 36.8% | 7.8% | 25.2% | 1.13 | 31.1% | 10.9% | 14:27 | 1:34 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 18.2% | 0.20 | 39.8% | 9.2% | 26.4% | 1.40 | 40.4% | 16.9% | 13:45 | 1:45 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 18.7% | 0.21 | 39.1% | 8.9% | 25.1% | 1.52 | 44.5% | 19.9% | 13:14 | 1:47 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 19.2% | 0.21 | 38.3% | 8.5% | 23.6% | 1.69 | 49.6% | 24.1% | 13:43 | 0:57 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 17.4% | 0.19 | 36.9% | 7.9% | 23.7% | 1.61 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 13:09 | 1:30 | |
| DET @ FLA | 12.3% | 0.13 | 30.3% | 5.1% | 20.5% | 1.13 | 31.2% | 10.9% | 15:19 | 0:16 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 16.1% | 0.18 | 28.9% | 4.7% | 15.3% | 1.41 | 40.8% | 17.2% | 14:47 | 0:10 | |
| COL @ CHI | 11.7% | 0.12 | 26.1% | 3.7% | 16.3% | 1.09 | 29.6% | 10.0% | 14:44 | 0:38 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 15.8% | 0.17 | 33.0% | 6.2% | 20.5% | 1.34 | 38.4% | 15.5% | 13:38 | 1:03 | |
| COL @ CHI | 14.7% | 0.16 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 18.1% | 1.32 | 37.7% | 15.0% | 13:17 | 1:09 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 14.0% | 0.15 | 32.8% | 6.1% | 21.9% | 1.49 | 43.3% | 19.0% | 13:35 | 0:03 | |
| DET @ FLA | 13.9% | 0.15 | 28.4% | 4.5% | 16.9% | 1.26 | 35.8% | 13.8% | 13:09 | 0:14 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 11.1% | 0.12 | 25.6% | 3.6% | 16.3% | 1.07 | 28.9% | 9.6% | 13:39 | 0:07 | |
| COL @ CHI | 9.8% | 0.10 | 19.6% | 2.1% | 10.8% | 1.11 | 30.3% | 10.5% | 13:45 | 0:03 | |
| COL @ CHI | 12.6% | 0.14 | 25.8% | 3.7% | 15.1% | 1.30 | 36.9% | 14.5% | 13:06 | 0:00 | |
| COL @ CHI | 12.1% | 0.13 | 29.1% | 4.7% | 19.3% | 1.14 | 31.5% | 11.1% | 12:23 | 0:36 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 10.8% | 0.11 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 14.6% | 0.85 | 21.0% | 5.7% | 13:31 | 0:02 | |
| COL @ CHI | 9.7% | 0.10 | 21.0% | 2.4% | 12.5% | 1.03 | 27.6% | 8.9% | 13:17 | 0:03 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 13.5% | 0.15 | 30.4% | 5.2% | 19.5% | 1.13 | 31.2% | 10.9% | 12:51 | 0:00 | |
| COL @ CHI | 11.3% | 0.12 | 27.1% | 4.1% | 17.8% | 1.10 | 30.0% | 10.2% | 12:57 | 0:04 | |
| COL @ CHI | 11.3% | 0.12 | 27.4% | 4.2% | 18.2% | 1.20 | 33.5% | 12.3% | 11:40 | 1:02 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 14.4% | 0.16 | 30.5% | 5.2% | 18.8% | 1.35 | 38.8% | 15.8% | 11:48 | 0:29 | |
| DET @ FLA | 10.5% | 0.11 | 25.4% | 3.5% | 16.7% | 0.89 | 22.4% | 6.3% | 11:50 | 0:52 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 10.2% | 0.11 | 22.3% | 2.7% | 13.5% | 1.18 | 32.8% | 11.9% | 11:57 | 0:02 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 12.5% | 0.13 | 29.1% | 4.7% | 18.9% | 1.07 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 10:56 | 0:37 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 8.3% | 0.09 | 16.9% | 1.5% | 9.3% | 0.92 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 11:53 | 0:03 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 10.5% | 0.11 | 18.9% | 1.9% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 40.5% | 17.0% | 11:05 | 0:01 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 8.0% | 0.08 | 19.7% | 2.1% | 12.8% | 0.76 | 17.6% | 4.3% | 11:38 | 0:02 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 10.1% | 0.11 | 20.9% | 2.3% | 12.0% | 1.12 | 30.7% | 10.7% | 11:00 | 0:00 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 8.5% | 0.09 | 16.8% | 1.5% | 9.1% | 0.90 | 22.7% | 6.5% | 11:02 | 0:05 | |
| COL @ CHI | 9.1% | 0.10 | 21.3% | 2.4% | 13.4% | 0.89 | 22.6% | 6.5% | 10:43 | 0:00 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 10.4% | 0.11 | 20.5% | 2.3% | 11.3% | 0.99 | 25.9% | 8.1% | 10:21 | 0:06 | |
| DET @ FLA | 7.3% | 0.08 | 17.6% | 1.7% | 11.1% | 0.69 | 15.5% | 3.5% | 10:30 | 0:08 | |
| DET @ FLA | 9.7% | 0.10 | 22.1% | 2.6% | 13.7% | 0.93 | 23.8% | 7.0% | 9:47 | 0:15 | |
| DET @ FLA | 6.8% | 0.07 | 14.9% | 1.2% | 8.7% | 0.63 | 13.3% | 2.7% | 10:31 | 0:02 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 8.9% | 0.09 | 19.4% | 2.0% | 11.6% | 0.76 | 17.9% | 4.4% | 10:00 | 0:07 | |
| DET @ FLA | 8.1% | 0.08 | 17.7% | 1.7% | 10.4% | 0.80 | 19.0% | 4.9% | 9:50 | 0:04 | |
| DET @ FLA | 8.9% | 0.09 | 20.7% | 2.3% | 13.0% | 0.92 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 9:06 | 0:06 | |
| DET @ FLA | 6.4% | 0.07 | 15.1% | 1.2% | 9.2% | 0.70 | 15.8% | 3.6% | 7:48 | 0:04 |
Defense
| DET @ FLA | 11.0% | 0.12 | 49.9% | 15.3% | 43.7% | 1.98 | 58.1% | 31.9% | 26:21 | 3:31 | |
| COL @ CHI | 21.3% | 0.24 | 63.8% | 27.0% | 53.9% | 2.68 | 73.5% | 49.5% | 23:51 | 3:59 | |
| DET @ FLA | 13.5% | 0.14 | 53.2% | 17.7% | 46.0% | 1.95 | 57.3% | 31.1% | 24:14 | 4:05 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 13.7% | 0.15 | 51.0% | 16.1% | 43.3% | 1.61 | 47.2% | 22.1% | 24:36 | 3:17 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 10.1% | 0.11 | 37.6% | 8.1% | 30.5% | 1.92 | 56.4% | 30.2% | 23:06 | 1:26 | |
| COL @ CHI | 9.8% | 0.10 | 38.7% | 8.7% | 32.0% | 1.67 | 49.1% | 23.6% | 21:24 | 1:42 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 9.9% | 0.10 | 37.8% | 8.3% | 30.9% | 1.85 | 54.5% | 28.5% | 21:31 | 1:12 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 11.0% | 0.12 | 36.8% | 7.8% | 29.0% | 1.60 | 47.0% | 21.9% | 22:09 | 0:52 | |
| DET @ FLA | 7.8% | 0.08 | 34.9% | 7.0% | 29.4% | 1.29 | 36.7% | 14.4% | 21:21 | 1:49 | |
| DET @ FLA | 8.3% | 0.09 | 32.5% | 6.0% | 26.5% | 1.49 | 43.6% | 19.3% | 21:06 | 1:39 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 9.4% | 0.10 | 28.8% | 4.6% | 21.4% | 1.99 | 58.4% | 32.2% | 21:49 | 0:05 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 9.8% | 0.10 | 28.6% | 4.6% | 20.9% | 1.78 | 52.4% | 26.5% | 20:30 | 0:55 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 7.6% | 0.08 | 42.1% | 10.5% | 37.3% | 1.22 | 34.4% | 12.9% | 18:31 | 3:15 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 7.5% | 0.08 | 26.5% | 3.9% | 20.6% | 1.64 | 48.4% | 23.0% | 21:15 | 0:13 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 5.0% | 0.05 | 24.3% | 3.2% | 20.3% | 0.94 | 24.2% | 7.2% | 22:26 | 0:05 | |
| DET @ FLA | 6.5% | 0.07 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 23.7% | 1.41 | 40.7% | 17.1% | 21:09 | 0:25 | |
| COL @ CHI | 6.5% | 0.07 | 25.4% | 3.5% | 20.3% | 1.23 | 34.6% | 13.0% | 21:01 | 0:44 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 6.3% | 0.07 | 26.3% | 3.8% | 21.3% | 1.23 | 34.6% | 13.0% | 21:00 | 0:31 | |
| COL @ CHI | 3.8% | 0.04 | 19.9% | 2.1% | 16.8% | 1.02 | 27.1% | 8.7% | 21:16 | 0:11 | |
| DET @ FLA | 4.9% | 0.05 | 17.1% | 1.5% | 12.8% | 1.10 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 21:07 | 0:14 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 11.2% | 0.12 | 35.1% | 7.0% | 26.9% | 1.59 | 46.7% | 21.7% | 17:40 | 2:20 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 4.2% | 0.04 | 21.3% | 2.4% | 17.9% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 20:37 | 0:01 | |
| COL @ CHI | 4.6% | 0.05 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 14.7% | 0.96 | 25.0% | 7.6% | 20:30 | 0:06 | |
| COL @ CHI | 7.4% | 0.08 | 30.8% | 5.3% | 25.2% | 1.84 | 54.2% | 28.1% | 18:36 | 0:14 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 7.0% | 0.07 | 26.5% | 3.9% | 20.9% | 1.55 | 45.6% | 20.8% | 19:00 | 0:20 | |
| DET @ FLA | 5.7% | 0.06 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 15.4% | 1.12 | 30.7% | 10.7% | 20:02 | 0:07 | |
| COL @ CHI | 4.8% | 0.05 | 20.3% | 2.2% | 16.2% | 1.32 | 37.6% | 15.0% | 19:44 | 0:01 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 5.2% | 0.05 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 16.2% | 1.20 | 33.5% | 12.3% | 19:48 | 0:01 | |
| COL @ CHI | 3.7% | 0.04 | 18.8% | 1.9% | 15.7% | 0.78 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 20:17 | 0:04 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 4.7% | 0.05 | 21.6% | 2.5% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 27.2% | 8.7% | 18:20 | 0:05 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 6.6% | 0.07 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 21.5% | 0.92 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 16:59 | 1:21 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 3.7% | 0.04 | 17.0% | 1.5% | 13.9% | 0.86 | 21.3% | 5.9% | 18:34 | 0:04 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 5.4% | 0.06 | 22.4% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 0.99 | 26.0% | 8.1% | 18:15 | 0:01 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 5.5% | 0.06 | 23.0% | 2.9% | 18.5% | 1.05 | 28.1% | 9.2% | 17:59 | 0:10 | |
| COL @ CHI | 6.7% | 0.07 | 24.9% | 3.4% | 19.4% | 1.71 | 50.3% | 24.7% | 16:57 | 0:05 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 4.4% | 0.04 | 19.7% | 2.1% | 16.0% | 1.07 | 29.1% | 9.7% | 18:08 | 0:01 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 4.4% | 0.04 | 14.3% | 1.1% | 10.3% | 1.23 | 34.6% | 13.0% | 17:16 | 0:02 | |
| COL @ CHI | 5.5% | 0.06 | 21.6% | 2.5% | 17.0% | 1.15 | 31.8% | 11.3% | 16:08 | 0:54 | |
| DET @ FLA | 4.2% | 0.04 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 16.7% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 16:58 | 0:02 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 4.4% | 0.05 | 16.9% | 1.5% | 13.1% | 0.83 | 20.1% | 5.4% | 16:11 | 0:02 | |
| VGK @ BOS | 4.4% | 0.05 | 16.1% | 1.4% | 12.2% | 1.28 | 36.3% | 14.1% | 15:09 | 0:02 | |
| DET @ FLA | 3.2% | 0.03 | 15.5% | 1.3% | 12.7% | 0.66 | 14.4% | 3.1% | 16:00 | 0:02 | |
| CGY @ SJS | 4.4% | 0.04 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 15.0% | 0.88 | 22.2% | 6.3% | 15:04 | 0:01 | |
| DET @ FLA | 2.9% | 0.03 | 15.7% | 1.3% | 13.2% | 0.83 | 20.3% | 5.4% | 14:21 | 0:02 | |
| DET @ FLA | 3.5% | 0.04 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 14.4% | 0.88 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 14:03 | 0:02 | |
| COL @ CHI | 3.2% | 0.03 | 13.1% | 0.9% | 10.2% | 0.89 | 22.6% | 6.5% | 14:05 | 0:00 | |
| DET @ FLA | 2.2% | 0.02 | 11.0% | 0.6% | 9.0% | 0.58 | 11.8% | 2.3% | 13:41 | 0:00 | |
| COL @ CHI | 1.9% | 0.02 | 11.1% | 0.6% | 9.3% | 0.54 | 10.5% | 1.9% | 11:23 | 0:01 |