NHL predictions Sun, Nov 1
Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →
5 games on this slate · 7–5 since Oct 30 (model V3) →
Games
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play (CAR) · CAR +0.9 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice (WSH) · WSH +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play (UTA) · UTA +0.9 goals
Biggest factor: Home ice (NYR) · NYR +0.3 goals
Biggest factor: 5-on-5 play (OTT) · OTT +0.4 goals
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Sebastian Aho
|
37% | 0.46 | 71% | 2.53 | 71% | 19:25 | 3:31 |
Andrei Svechnikov
|
35% | 0.42 | 63% | 2.58 | 72% | 17:36 | 3:32 |
Seth Jarvis
|
32% | 0.39 | 58% | 2.51 | 70% | 17:20 | 2:07 |
Jackson Blake
|
32% | 0.39 | 60% | 2.38 | 68% | 17:16 | 3:22 |
Kyle Connor
|
32% | 0.39 | 57% | 2.90 | 77% | 21:01 | 3:34 |
Logan Stankoven
|
30% | 0.36 | 51% | 2.40 | 68% | 16:32 | 1:29 |
Nikolaj Ehlers
|
29% | 0.35 | 62% | 2.33 | 66% | 16:17 | 3:12 |
Mark Scheifele
|
24% | 0.28 | 56% | 1.88 | 55% | 21:23 | 3:37 |
Cole Perfetti
|
22% | 0.24 | 42% | 2.11 | 61% | 17:47 | 3:16 |
Gabriel Vilardi
|
20% | 0.23 | 43% | 1.59 | 47% | 18:07 | 3:29 |
Mark Jankowski
|
20% | 0.22 | 36% | 1.34 | 38% | 14:33 | 1:02 |
Jordan Martinook
|
18% | 0.20 | 37% | 1.50 | 44% | 15:23 | 0:01 |
William Carrier
|
17% | 0.18 | 36% | 1.52 | 44% | 12:59 | 0:00 |
Eric Robinson
|
15% | 0.16 | 30% | 1.29 | 37% | 11:49 | 0:05 |
Dawson Mercer
|
14% | 0.15 | 28% | 1.55 | 45% | 16:12 | 1:34 |
Jesperi Kotkaniemi
|
13% | 0.14 | 32% | 1.18 | 33% | 11:39 | 0:49 |
Adam Lowry
|
11% | 0.11 | 24% | 0.95 | 25% | 14:53 | 0:09 |
Alex Iafallo
|
10% | 0.11 | 21% | 1.13 | 31% | 14:07 | 0:35 |
Morgan Barron
|
10% | 0.11 | 20% | 1.17 | 33% | 13:27 | 0:04 |
Isak Rosen
|
10% | 0.11 | 21% | 1.05 | 28% | 12:20 | 1:12 |
Viggo Björck
|
10% | 0.10 | 22% | 0.95 | 25% | 13:31 | 1:08 |
Nicolas Deslauriers
|
9% | 0.09 | 18% | 0.78 | 19% | 8:52 | 0:01 |
Cole Koepke
|
7% | 0.08 | 15% | 0.93 | 24% | 9:54 | 0:02 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Shayne Gostisbehere
|
13% | 0.14 | 54% | 1.72 | 51% | 17:08 | 3:28 |
Sean Walker
|
11% | 0.11 | 33% | 1.95 | 57% | 20:47 | 0:21 |
K'Andre Miller
|
10% | 0.10 | 38% | 1.55 | 45% | 22:24 | 0:53 |
Neal Pionk
|
8% | 0.09 | 32% | 1.81 | 53% | 23:15 | 2:57 |
Jalen Chatfield
|
8% | 0.08 | 27% | 1.47 | 43% | 21:02 | 0:05 |
Jaccob Slavin
|
8% | 0.08 | 32% | 1.66 | 49% | 21:59 | 0:05 |
Juuso Valimaki
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 0.91 | 23% | 13:59 | 0:41 |
Elias Salomonsson
|
4% | 0.05 | 17% | 1.08 | 29% | 17:19 | 1:04 |
Dylan Samberg
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 1.14 | 32% | 21:27 | 0:16 |
Mario Ferraro
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.96 | 25% | 19:19 | 0:02 |
Haydn Fleury
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.75 | 17% | 15:12 | 0:31 |
Dylan DeMelo
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.77 | 18% | 19:39 | 0:07 |
Tyrel Bauer
|
1% | 0.01 | 7% | 0.46 | 8% | 8:05 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
WPG
Vladislav NamestnikovFJosh MorrisseyDNick Bjugstad
CAR
Jordan StaalFTaylor HallF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
WPG- Rating
- -0.01
- DailyFaceoff
- N. DawsUnconfirmed
CAR- Rating
- +0.20
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 76.8%
- First line
- 70.0%
- Latest
- 70.5%
Moneyline CAR -278 / WPG +225 (vig removed) · opened 70.0%
- Model
- 6.2
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +110 / Under -130
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 69.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:51 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 9:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 CAR +0.88
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals CAR +0.30
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net CAR +0.16
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it CAR +0.30
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances CAR +0.21
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score WPG +0.07
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.19
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.46
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.71
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it +0.07
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances -0.19
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.05
Team comparison
WPG |
CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.4324th of 32 | 1.131st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.2926th of 32 | 3.041st of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.5720th of 32 | 2.233rd of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 7.5314th of 32 | 7.9211th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 9.3531st of 32 | 6.284th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.0113th of 32 | 0.203rd of 32 |
Goaltending
| WPG | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Stuart Skinner | Pyotr Kochetkov |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.01 (#13) | +0.20 (#3) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winCAR 66%, WPG 15%
- Goes to overtime19%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout8%
- Win in OT or shootoutCAR 11%, WPG 8%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (WPG)No
- Back-to-back (CAR)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelCAR 3 days, WPG 2 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Kirill Kaprizov
|
45% | 0.59 | 72% | 3.36 | 83% | 22:22 | 4:28 |
Matt Boldy
|
41% | 0.53 | 68% | 3.58 | 86% | 21:34 | 4:24 |
Joel Eriksson Ek
|
32% | 0.39 | 58% | 2.94 | 78% | 19:38 | 4:01 |
Alex Tuch
|
30% | 0.35 | 50% | 2.36 | 67% | 18:37 | 2:12 |
Tom Wilson
|
22% | 0.25 | 43% | 1.94 | 57% | 18:21 | 2:24 |
Alex Ovechkin
|
22% | 0.25 | 41% | 2.15 | 62% | 13:39 | 3:25 |
Blake Coleman
|
22% | 0.25 | 38% | 2.18 | 63% | 16:05 | 1:30 |
Dylan Strome
|
20% | 0.23 | 50% | 1.80 | 53% | 17:05 | 2:46 |
Jordan Kyrou
|
20% | 0.22 | 42% | 2.06 | 60% | 14:27 | 2:16 |
Ryan Leonard
|
19% | 0.22 | 39% | 2.05 | 60% | 14:16 | 2:16 |
Maxim Shabanov
|
19% | 0.21 | 46% | 1.37 | 40% | 15:17 | 3:47 |
Ryan Hartman
|
18% | 0.20 | 35% | 1.66 | 49% | 14:13 | 1:24 |
Aliaksei Protas
|
18% | 0.20 | 39% | 1.70 | 50% | 16:57 | 0:02 |
Pierre-Luc Dubois
|
18% | 0.20 | 45% | 1.58 | 46% | 16:16 | 2:19 |
Boone Jenner
|
18% | 0.19 | 34% | 1.87 | 55% | 15:52 | 0:02 |
Danila Yurov
|
17% | 0.19 | 35% | 1.40 | 41% | 15:17 | 1:33 |
Bobby Brink
|
15% | 0.16 | 35% | 1.37 | 40% | 13:54 | 1:39 |
Justin Sourdif
|
13% | 0.14 | 29% | 1.24 | 35% | 14:05 | 0:31 |
Ilya Protas
|
12% | 0.13 | 32% | 1.19 | 33% | 11:49 | 1:54 |
Yakov Trenin
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.18 | 33% | 13:36 | 0:04 |
Anthony Beauvillier
|
12% | 0.12 | 21% | 1.33 | 38% | 11:58 | 0:06 |
Michael McCarron
|
11% | 0.12 | 24% | 1.41 | 41% | 13:21 | 0:04 |
Nico Sturm
|
8% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.85 | 21% | 10:58 | 0:00 |
Tyler Pitlick
|
7% | 0.07 | 14% | 0.87 | 22% | 7:38 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Quinn Hughes
|
19% | 0.21 | 73% | 2.70 | 74% | 29:09 | 4:41 |
Jakob Chychrun
|
18% | 0.20 | 44% | 2.56 | 71% | 23:05 | 2:45 |
Cole Hutson
|
10% | 0.11 | 33% | 1.75 | 51% | 18:39 | 2:02 |
Jonas Brodin
|
5% | 0.05 | 27% | 1.24 | 35% | 21:44 | 0:16 |
Matt Roy
|
5% | 0.05 | 22% | 1.12 | 31% | 20:25 | 0:04 |
Martin Fehervary
|
5% | 0.05 | 24% | 0.93 | 24% | 20:41 | 0:06 |
Olli Maatta
|
4% | 0.05 | 24% | 0.84 | 21% | 20:06 | 0:01 |
Timothy Liljegren
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.79 | 19% | 16:35 | 0:01 |
David Spacek
|
3% | 0.03 | 17% | 0.92 | 24% | 12:29 | 0:44 |
Zach Bogosian
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.96 | 25% | 16:13 | 0:03 |
Matt Kiersted
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.92 | 24% | 13:24 | 0:00 |
Jack St. Ivany
|
3% | 0.03 | 20% | 0.68 | 15% | 14:12 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
MIN
Marcus FolignoFNick FolignoFBrock FaberDJared SpurgeonD
WSH
Rasmus SandinDVincent DesharnaisD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
MIN- Rating
- +0.21
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
WSH- Rating
- +0.19
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 56.4%
- First line
- 49.6%
- Latest
- 49.6%
Moneyline WSH -112 / MIN -108 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.4
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +110 / Under -130
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 50.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:51 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 9:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 MIN +0.20
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals MIN +0.27
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net MIN +0.22
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it WSH +0.32
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances MIN +0.02
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score 0.00
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.40
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.44
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.96
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.03
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances -0.40
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.00
Team comparison
MIN |
WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.952nd of 32 | 0.259th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.697th of 32 | 2.824th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.308th of 32 | 2.6423rd of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.576th of 32 | 6.5828th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 6.9910th of 32 | 8.2925th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.212nd of 32 | 0.194th of 32 |
Goaltending
| MIN | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Jesper Wallstedt | Logan Thompson |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.21 (#2) | +0.19 (#4) |
Who is out
- Filip Gustavsson MIN Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winWSH 32%, MIN 44%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutWSH 11%, MIN 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (MIN)No
- Back-to-back (WSH)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelWSH 3 days, MIN 3 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Dylan Guenther
|
38% | 0.48 | 62% | 2.79 | 75% | 17:46 | 3:24 |
Logan Cooley
|
31% | 0.37 | 60% | 1.83 | 54% | 18:19 | 3:21 |
Clayton Keller
|
30% | 0.36 | 68% | 2.41 | 68% | 18:41 | 3:20 |
Nick Schmaltz
|
29% | 0.35 | 58% | 2.17 | 63% | 17:42 | 3:16 |
Matvei Michkov
|
27% | 0.31 | 50% | 1.95 | 57% | 16:47 | 3:32 |
Trevor Zegras
|
26% | 0.31 | 54% | 2.02 | 59% | 19:07 | 3:37 |
Tyson Foerster
|
24% | 0.28 | 39% | 1.98 | 58% | 17:49 | 2:31 |
Travis Konecny
|
24% | 0.28 | 53% | 1.93 | 57% | 17:50 | 3:00 |
Anders Lee
|
24% | 0.27 | 41% | 1.90 | 56% | 13:47 | 0:53 |
Vincent Trocheck
|
22% | 0.24 | 48% | 1.57 | 46% | 17:38 | 1:06 |
Porter Martone
|
20% | 0.23 | 42% | 1.67 | 49% | 15:06 | 3:00 |
Christian Dvorak
|
20% | 0.22 | 42% | 1.55 | 45% | 18:24 | 1:32 |
Lawson Crouse
|
19% | 0.21 | 34% | 1.52 | 44% | 15:13 | 0:13 |
Barrett Hayton
|
19% | 0.21 | 39% | 1.66 | 49% | 14:49 | 0:58 |
Kailer Yamamoto
|
18% | 0.20 | 35% | 1.47 | 43% | 13:39 | 0:37 |
Alex Bump
|
16% | 0.18 | 32% | 1.63 | 48% | 13:17 | 1:09 |
Sean Couturier
|
16% | 0.17 | 36% | 1.42 | 41% | 16:37 | 0:18 |
Denver Barkey
|
15% | 0.16 | 39% | 1.07 | 29% | 14:30 | 2:51 |
Michael Bunting
|
14% | 0.15 | 29% | 1.28 | 36% | 11:30 | 1:23 |
Jack McBain
|
13% | 0.14 | 28% | 1.06 | 29% | 12:18 | 0:05 |
Noah Cates
|
13% | 0.13 | 29% | 1.10 | 30% | 14:02 | 0:23 |
Kevin Stenlund
|
10% | 0.11 | 25% | 0.92 | 24% | 13:32 | 0:03 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Mikhail Sergachev
|
13% | 0.14 | 56% | 1.96 | 57% | 24:42 | 3:04 |
Travis Sanheim
|
11% | 0.12 | 35% | 1.43 | 41% | 24:41 | 0:59 |
MacKenzie Weegar
|
10% | 0.10 | 33% | 1.79 | 53% | 22:29 | 0:44 |
Jamie Drysdale
|
9% | 0.10 | 33% | 1.32 | 38% | 23:19 | 3:16 |
Oliver Bonk
|
7% | 0.07 | 35% | 1.15 | 32% | 18:43 | 1:21 |
Cam York
|
7% | 0.07 | 24% | 1.04 | 28% | 21:02 | 0:38 |
Nate Schmidt
|
6% | 0.06 | 23% | 1.00 | 26% | 20:03 | 0:07 |
Dmitri Simashev
|
5% | 0.05 | 17% | 0.97 | 25% | 14:38 | 0:01 |
Nick Seeler
|
5% | 0.05 | 18% | 1.01 | 27% | 18:07 | 0:02 |
Andrew Peeke
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 0.96 | 25% | 18:21 | 0:01 |
Simon Benoit
|
2% | 0.02 | 9% | 0.63 | 13% | 14:24 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
UTA
Michael CarconeFJohn MarinoD
PHI
Nikita GrebenkinFOwen TippettFRasmus RistolainenD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
UTA- Rating
- -0.19
- DailyFaceoff
- S. CossaUnconfirmed
PHI- Rating
- +0.03
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.0%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Latest
- 59.3%
Moneyline PHI +136 / UTA -162 (vig removed) · opened 58.3%
- Model
- 6.3
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over +114 / Under -135
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 60.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:51 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 9:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 UTA +0.87
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals UTA +0.03
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net UTA +0.10
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it PHI +0.28
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances PHI +0.22
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score 0.00
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.99
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.44
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.73
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.04
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.15
- Back-to-back centringevery game: a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects +0.00
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.01
Team comparison
UTA |
PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.327th of 32 | -0.4826th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.823rd of 32 | 2.1032nd of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.287th of 32 | 2.6626th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 8.398th of 32 | 7.3416th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 8.1022nd of 32 | 6.838th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.1927th of 32 | 0.039th of 32 |
Goaltending
| UTA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Karel Vejmelka | Dan Vladar |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.19 (#27) | +0.03 (#9) |
What moves this game
- Regulation winPHI 31%, UTA 45%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutPHI 11%, UTA 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (UTA)No
- Back-to-back (PHI)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelPHI 4 days, UTA 3 daysbeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Leon Draisaitl
|
39% | 0.49 | 68% | 3.02 | 79% | 20:55 | 3:57 |
Connor McDavid
|
38% | 0.48 | 76% | 3.21 | 82% | 22:43 | 3:56 |
Pavel Dorofeyev
|
35% | 0.43 | 53% | 2.61 | 72% | 17:22 | 2:37 |
Mika Zibanejad
|
32% | 0.39 | 62% | 2.25 | 65% | 20:34 | 2:59 |
Alexis Lafrenière
|
31% | 0.37 | 56% | 2.12 | 61% | 18:42 | 2:57 |
J.T. Miller
|
28% | 0.33 | 60% | 1.80 | 53% | 19:05 | 2:46 |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
|
25% | 0.28 | 49% | 2.10 | 61% | 19:04 | 3:54 |
Gabriel Perreault
|
23% | 0.27 | 43% | 1.69 | 50% | 16:44 | 1:17 |
Will Cuylle
|
22% | 0.25 | 39% | 1.79 | 53% | 16:21 | 1:02 |
Vasily Podkolzin
|
22% | 0.25 | 39% | 2.09 | 61% | 16:51 | 2:15 |
Kasperi Kapanen
|
17% | 0.19 | 33% | 1.73 | 51% | 17:09 | 2:09 |
Tye Kartye
|
16% | 0.17 | 34% | 1.30 | 37% | 15:33 | 0:03 |
Oliver Bjorkstrand
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.21 | 34% | 11:43 | 0:53 |
Noah Laba
|
13% | 0.14 | 30% | 1.00 | 26% | 14:31 | 0:08 |
Colton Dach
|
13% | 0.13 | 24% | 1.35 | 39% | 13:29 | 0:51 |
Eeli Tolvanen
|
13% | 0.13 | 26% | 1.19 | 33% | 11:45 | 0:49 |
Alex Formenton
|
11% | 0.11 | 22% | 1.16 | 32% | 13:02 | 0:05 |
Mathieu Joseph
|
10% | 0.11 | 23% | 1.05 | 28% | 13:17 | 0:06 |
Jason Dickinson
|
9% | 0.10 | 19% | 1.06 | 29% | 13:22 | 0:04 |
Owen Michaels
|
9% | 0.09 | 20% | 1.00 | 27% | 12:41 | 0:05 |
Taylor Raddysh
|
9% | 0.09 | 20% | 0.74 | 17% | 8:56 | 0:25 |
Trent Frederic
|
9% | 0.09 | 16% | 1.00 | 26% | 9:50 | 0:56 |
Isaac Howard
|
8% | 0.08 | 17% | 0.96 | 25% | 7:55 | 0:51 |
Luke Glendening
|
6% | 0.06 | 12% | 0.59 | 12% | 8:04 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Evan Bouchard
|
19% | 0.21 | 58% | 2.83 | 76% | 24:53 | 4:04 |
Adam Fox
|
12% | 0.13 | 60% | 1.44 | 42% | 23:12 | 2:57 |
Mattias Ekholm
|
7% | 0.08 | 28% | 1.48 | 43% | 19:45 | 0:34 |
Vladislav Gavrikov
|
7% | 0.08 | 29% | 1.27 | 36% | 22:09 | 0:13 |
Sean Durzi
|
7% | 0.07 | 31% | 1.09 | 30% | 18:47 | 0:59 |
Ryan Shea
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.05 | 28% | 22:55 | 1:10 |
Braden Schneider
|
5% | 0.05 | 19% | 1.08 | 29% | 18:19 | 0:05 |
Marcus Pettersson
|
4% | 0.04 | 24% | 0.80 | 19% | 21:12 | 0:05 |
Connor Murphy
|
4% | 0.04 | 16% | 1.13 | 31% | 20:32 | 0:04 |
Alberts Smits
|
4% | 0.04 | 14% | 0.59 | 12% | 14:01 | 0:02 |
Shakir Mukhamadullin
|
3% | 0.03 | 12% | 0.86 | 21% | 15:35 | 0:11 |
Ty Emberson
|
2% | 0.02 | 10% | 0.65 | 14% | 13:01 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
EDM
Matthew SavoieFMattias JanmarkFZach HymanFAlec RegulaD
NYR
Adam SykoraFJoe VelenoF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
EDM- Rating
- League avg
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
NYR- Rating
- +0.02
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 55.5%
- First line
- 53.2%
- Latest
- 53.2%
Moneyline NYR -125 / EDM +105 (vig removed)
- Model
- 6.1
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -112 / Under -108
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 53.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:51 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 9:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 0.00
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals NYR +0.02
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net EDM +0.19
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it NYR +0.28
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances NYR +0.02
- Back-to-back (EDM)EDM played yesterday NYR +0.22
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score EDM +0.02
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals3.74
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.50
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.91
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.00
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances -0.02
- Back-to-backEDM played yesterday, plus a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects -0.01
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score +0.02
Team comparison
EDM |
NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | 0.1911th of 32 | 0.0315th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.3723rd of 32 | 2.4420th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.3711th of 32 | 2.4414th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 9.291st of 32 | 8.704th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 8.3127th of 32 | 6.869th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | 0.0012th of 32 | 0.0210th of 32 |
Goaltending
| EDM | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Matt Tomkins | Dylan Garand |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Confirmed | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | +0.00 (#12) | +0.02 (#10) |
Who is out
- Igor Shesterkin NYR Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Joonas Korpisalo NYR Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Devon Levi EDM Out goalie left out of the starter pick
- Frederik Andersen EDM Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winNYR 43%, EDM 33%
- Goes to overtime24%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutNYR 12%, EDM 12%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (EDM)Yes-0.12 goals to EDM
- Back-to-back (NYR)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelNYR 6 days, EDM 1 daybeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
How we got this
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Cutter Gauthier
|
39% | 0.49 | 62% | 3.28 | 82% | 18:11 | 3:18 |
Beckett Sennecke
|
36% | 0.45 | 63% | 2.33 | 66% | 19:33 | 3:07 |
Tim Stützle
|
36% | 0.44 | 68% | 2.34 | 67% | 21:12 | 3:58 |
Drake Batherson
|
34% | 0.41 | 61% | 2.16 | 63% | 17:19 | 3:42 |
Leo Carlsson
|
32% | 0.39 | 64% | 2.08 | 61% | 19:29 | 3:27 |
Dylan Cozens
|
30% | 0.36 | 54% | 2.33 | 66% | 17:17 | 3:20 |
Shane Pinto
|
30% | 0.35 | 51% | 2.09 | 61% | 19:37 | 1:52 |
Mikael Granlund
|
28% | 0.33 | 60% | 1.88 | 55% | 20:59 | 3:21 |
Ridly Greig
|
21% | 0.23 | 39% | 1.61 | 47% | 17:44 | 0:55 |
Fabian Zetterlund
|
20% | 0.23 | 37% | 1.77 | 52% | 13:32 | 1:28 |
Claude Giroux
|
19% | 0.22 | 49% | 1.63 | 48% | 16:16 | 2:43 |
Alex Killorn
|
19% | 0.21 | 37% | 1.56 | 46% | 16:09 | 1:02 |
Judd Caulfield
|
17% | 0.19 | 38% | 1.18 | 33% | 13:24 | 1:30 |
A.J. Greer
|
17% | 0.19 | 33% | 1.37 | 40% | 13:01 | 0:07 |
Stephen Halliday
|
17% | 0.19 | 35% | 1.44 | 42% | 10:37 | 2:47 |
Michael Amadio
|
16% | 0.18 | 34% | 1.26 | 36% | 16:19 | 0:02 |
Tim Washe
|
15% | 0.17 | 31% | 1.10 | 30% | 15:14 | 0:12 |
Frank Vatrano
|
15% | 0.16 | 29% | 1.42 | 41% | 11:59 | 0:40 |
Roger McQueen
|
14% | 0.15 | 29% | 1.15 | 32% | 11:22 | 0:35 |
Sam Colangelo
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.16 | 32% | 11:48 | 0:37 |
Jeff Malott
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.01 | 27% | 10:22 | 0:00 |
Nick Cousins
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.86 | 21% | 9:41 | 0:06 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jackson Lacombe
|
15% | 0.16 | 58% | 1.51 | 44% | 26:37 | 3:26 |
Jake Sanderson
|
14% | 0.16 | 51% | 2.01 | 59% | 24:24 | 3:00 |
Thomas Chabot
|
13% | 0.14 | 44% | 1.89 | 56% | 22:12 | 2:36 |
Jordan Spence
|
9% | 0.10 | 34% | 1.32 | 38% | 19:49 | 0:40 |
Tristan Luneau
|
8% | 0.08 | 34% | 1.11 | 30% | 20:00 | 0:42 |
Pavel Mintyukov
|
6% | 0.06 | 24% | 0.89 | 22% | 17:12 | 0:15 |
Tyler Kleven
|
6% | 0.06 | 21% | 1.31 | 37% | 18:56 | 0:10 |
Artem Zub
|
5% | 0.05 | 27% | 1.07 | 29% | 20:08 | 0:04 |
Travis Mitchell
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.74 | 17% | 16:45 | 0:04 |
Drew Helleson
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 0.77 | 18% | 17:30 | 0:00 |
Nikolas Matinpalo
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.78 | 18% | 15:21 | 0:00 |
Noah Warren
|
4% | 0.04 | 24% | 0.77 | 18% | 17:21 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
OTT
Andre BurakovskyFHayden HodgsonFWarren FoegeleFWilliam EklundF
ANA
Ryan PoehlingFTroy TerryFIan MooreD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
OTT- Rating
- -0.33
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
ANA- Rating
- -0.21
- DailyFaceoff
- L. BrossoitConfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 53.0%
- First line
- 50.4%
- Latest
- 48.3%
Moneyline ANA -102 / OTT -118 (vig removed) · opened 50.4%
- Model
- 6.8
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -130 / Under +110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 50.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 12:51 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sat 9:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- 5-on-5 playexpected goals for minus against at 5-on-5 OTT +0.37
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals OTT +0.04
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net OTT +0.02
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it ANA +0.29
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances ANA +0.12
- Back-to-back (OTT)OTT played yesterday ANA +0.22
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score OTT +0.01
- 5-on-5 playboth teams' 5-on-5 expected goals4.04
- Power play and killpower-play chances and PP time, shorthanded goals +1.44
- Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, empty net +0.81
- Home icehome goals x1.047, away divided by it -0.01
- Goaltendingstarters' GSAx ratings vs the opponent's chances +0.54
- Back-to-backOTT played yesterday, plus a credit offsetting the average back-to-back effects -0.01
- Overtime and shootoutscore grid: regulation, tie calibration, OT/shootout winner; reconciles to the published score -0.02
Team comparison
OTT |
ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| Power ratinggoals/gm | -0.1517th of 32 | -0.4625th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 offensexGF/60 | 2.4618th of 32 | 2.5414th of 32 |
| 5-on-5 defensexGA/60 | 2.232nd of 32 | 2.7629th of 32 |
| Power playxGF/60 | 6.9220th of 32 | 7.5313th of 32 |
| Penalty killxGA/60 | 7.6317th of 32 | 7.9320th of 32 |
| Power-play minutesmin | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| Starting goalieGSAx/gm | -0.3332nd of 32 | -0.2129th of 32 |
Goaltending
| OTT | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Samuel Ersson | Lukas Dostal |
| StatusProjected = our pick: most starts in his team's last 10 | Projected | Projected |
| Rating (GSAx/gm)0 = league average; this season blended with his last | -0.33 (#32) | -0.21 (#29) |
Who is out
- Linus Ullmark OTT Out goalie left out of the starter pick
What moves this game
- Regulation winANA 41%, OTT 36%
- Goes to overtime23%tied after 60 minutes
- Decided in a shootout10%
- Win in OT or shootoutANA 12%, OTT 11%
Conditions
- Home ice+4.7% home goalsaway goals divided by the same factor
- Back-to-back (OTT)Yes-0.12 goals to OTT
- Back-to-back (ANA)No
- Days since last game Not in the modelANA 3 days, OTT 1 daybeyond back-to-backs, rest is not modelled
- Skater injuries Not in the modelNot in game modelgoalie injuries change the starter; props use lineups
Model V3 · data as of · Sources: NHL API (schedule, results), MoneyPuck (expected goals, GSAx), DailyFaceoff (starting goalies), RotoWire (injuries), ESPN (goalie injuries). How the models work →
Players
Anytime goal board
- Kirill Kaprizov45%
- Matt Boldy41%
- Leon Draisaitl39%
- Cutter Gauthier39%
- Dylan Guenther38%
Forwards
| MIN @ WSH | 44.7% | 0.59 | 71.7% | 36.0% | 48.8% | 3.36 | 83.4% | 63.9% | 22:22 | 4:28 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 37.9% | 0.48 | 76.3% | 42.1% | 61.7% | 3.21 | 81.5% | 60.9% | 22:43 | 3:56 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 41.1% | 0.53 | 68.3% | 31.9% | 46.2% | 3.58 | 85.7% | 67.8% | 21:34 | 4:24 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 39.0% | 0.49 | 67.9% | 31.4% | 47.4% | 3.02 | 79.0% | 57.1% | 20:55 | 3:57 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 35.7% | 0.44 | 68.4% | 32.0% | 50.8% | 2.34 | 66.6% | 41.0% | 21:12 | 3:58 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 32.1% | 0.39 | 56.5% | 20.3% | 36.0% | 2.90 | 77.2% | 54.5% | 21:01 | 3:34 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 32.5% | 0.39 | 58.0% | 21.6% | 37.8% | 2.94 | 77.8% | 55.4% | 19:38 | 4:01 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 24.3% | 0.28 | 56.3% | 20.2% | 42.3% | 1.88 | 55.3% | 29.2% | 21:23 | 3:37 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 37.2% | 0.46 | 70.6% | 34.6% | 53.2% | 2.53 | 70.7% | 45.9% | 19:25 | 3:31 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 28.2% | 0.33 | 60.2% | 23.5% | 44.5% | 1.88 | 55.3% | 29.2% | 20:59 | 3:21 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 32.2% | 0.39 | 61.7% | 24.9% | 43.5% | 2.25 | 64.7% | 38.9% | 20:34 | 2:59 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 38.9% | 0.49 | 61.5% | 24.8% | 37.0% | 3.28 | 82.4% | 62.2% | 18:11 | 3:18 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 35.9% | 0.45 | 62.6% | 25.8% | 41.6% | 2.33 | 66.4% | 40.8% | 19:33 | 3:07 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 32.1% | 0.39 | 63.8% | 27.1% | 46.7% | 2.08 | 60.7% | 34.5% | 19:29 | 3:27 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 30.3% | 0.36 | 68.3% | 31.9% | 54.5% | 2.41 | 68.2% | 42.8% | 18:41 | 3:20 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 24.5% | 0.28 | 48.7% | 14.5% | 32.1% | 2.10 | 61.2% | 35.0% | 19:04 | 3:54 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 38.2% | 0.48 | 62.2% | 25.4% | 38.8% | 2.79 | 75.3% | 52.0% | 17:46 | 3:24 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 26.4% | 0.31 | 54.3% | 18.5% | 38.0% | 2.02 | 59.0% | 32.8% | 19:07 | 3:37 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 34.6% | 0.42 | 63.5% | 26.7% | 44.2% | 2.58 | 71.5% | 46.9% | 17:36 | 3:32 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 30.9% | 0.37 | 56.2% | 20.1% | 36.6% | 2.12 | 61.5% | 35.3% | 18:42 | 2:57 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 27.8% | 0.33 | 59.8% | 23.1% | 44.3% | 1.80 | 53.0% | 27.1% | 19:05 | 2:46 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 31.2% | 0.37 | 59.7% | 23.1% | 41.5% | 1.83 | 53.8% | 27.8% | 18:19 | 3:21 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 33.9% | 0.41 | 60.7% | 24.0% | 40.5% | 2.16 | 62.6% | 36.6% | 17:19 | 3:42 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 29.8% | 0.35 | 51.1% | 16.1% | 30.3% | 2.09 | 60.7% | 34.6% | 19:37 | 1:52 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 32.1% | 0.39 | 59.9% | 23.2% | 40.9% | 2.38 | 67.5% | 42.1% | 17:16 | 3:22 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 29.4% | 0.35 | 58.3% | 21.8% | 40.9% | 2.17 | 62.8% | 36.8% | 17:42 | 3:16 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 29.6% | 0.35 | 50.4% | 15.6% | 29.5% | 2.36 | 67.2% | 41.7% | 18:37 | 2:12 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 30.2% | 0.36 | 54.3% | 18.5% | 34.6% | 2.33 | 66.5% | 40.9% | 17:17 | 3:20 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 34.7% | 0.43 | 52.6% | 17.2% | 27.5% | 2.61 | 72.1% | 47.7% | 17:22 | 2:37 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 21.5% | 0.24 | 42.3% | 10.6% | 26.4% | 2.11 | 61.4% | 35.3% | 17:47 | 3:16 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 24.2% | 0.28 | 52.9% | 17.4% | 37.8% | 1.93 | 56.7% | 30.6% | 17:50 | 3:00 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 20.3% | 0.23 | 42.9% | 10.9% | 28.4% | 1.59 | 46.7% | 21.7% | 18:07 | 3:29 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 32.4% | 0.39 | 58.1% | 21.6% | 38.0% | 2.51 | 70.2% | 45.3% | 17:20 | 2:07 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 22.1% | 0.25 | 43.5% | 11.2% | 27.5% | 1.94 | 57.0% | 30.8% | 18:21 | 2:24 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 29.3% | 0.35 | 62.2% | 25.4% | 46.5% | 2.33 | 66.5% | 40.9% | 16:17 | 3:12 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 26.6% | 0.31 | 50.1% | 15.4% | 32.0% | 1.95 | 57.3% | 31.1% | 16:47 | 3:32 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 24.2% | 0.28 | 38.8% | 8.8% | 19.3% | 1.98 | 57.9% | 31.7% | 17:49 | 2:31 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 20.3% | 0.23 | 50.1% | 15.4% | 37.4% | 1.80 | 53.1% | 27.2% | 17:05 | 2:46 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 19.6% | 0.22 | 42.0% | 10.4% | 27.8% | 1.55 | 45.4% | 20.7% | 18:24 | 1:32 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 22.2% | 0.25 | 39.3% | 9.0% | 22.0% | 2.09 | 60.8% | 34.7% | 16:51 | 2:15 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 30.1% | 0.36 | 50.8% | 15.9% | 29.6% | 2.40 | 67.9% | 42.5% | 16:32 | 1:29 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 17.4% | 0.19 | 33.0% | 6.2% | 18.9% | 1.73 | 51.0% | 25.3% | 17:09 | 2:09 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 19.4% | 0.22 | 48.6% | 14.4% | 36.2% | 1.63 | 48.1% | 22.8% | 16:16 | 2:43 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 21.6% | 0.24 | 48.3% | 14.2% | 34.1% | 1.57 | 46.1% | 21.2% | 17:38 | 1:06 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 19.3% | 0.21 | 45.9% | 12.7% | 33.0% | 1.37 | 39.7% | 16.4% | 15:17 | 3:47 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 17.9% | 0.20 | 45.4% | 12.4% | 33.6% | 1.58 | 46.4% | 21.4% | 16:16 | 2:19 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 20.8% | 0.23 | 39.4% | 9.0% | 23.5% | 1.61 | 47.2% | 22.1% | 17:44 | 0:55 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 21.8% | 0.25 | 38.4% | 8.5% | 21.2% | 2.18 | 63.0% | 37.0% | 16:05 | 1:30 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 20.4% | 0.23 | 42.4% | 10.6% | 27.6% | 1.67 | 49.3% | 23.8% | 15:06 | 3:00 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 23.4% | 0.27 | 42.6% | 10.7% | 25.1% | 1.69 | 49.6% | 24.1% | 16:44 | 1:17 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 21.8% | 0.25 | 40.9% | 9.8% | 24.4% | 2.15 | 62.3% | 36.2% | 13:39 | 3:25 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 22.3% | 0.25 | 39.1% | 8.9% | 21.6% | 1.79 | 52.6% | 26.7% | 16:21 | 1:02 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 19.8% | 0.22 | 42.1% | 10.5% | 27.8% | 2.06 | 60.1% | 34.0% | 14:27 | 2:16 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 13.6% | 0.15 | 28.1% | 4.4% | 16.8% | 1.55 | 45.3% | 20.5% | 16:12 | 1:34 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 19.5% | 0.22 | 39.0% | 8.9% | 24.3% | 2.05 | 59.7% | 33.5% | 14:16 | 2:16 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 17.9% | 0.20 | 39.4% | 9.0% | 26.2% | 1.70 | 50.0% | 24.4% | 16:57 | 0:02 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 19.0% | 0.21 | 36.9% | 7.8% | 22.1% | 1.56 | 45.7% | 20.9% | 16:09 | 1:02 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 15.6% | 0.17 | 35.6% | 7.2% | 23.7% | 1.42 | 41.3% | 17.5% | 16:37 | 0:18 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 15.1% | 0.16 | 38.9% | 8.8% | 28.1% | 1.07 | 28.8% | 9.6% | 14:30 | 2:51 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 17.5% | 0.19 | 34.9% | 7.0% | 21.1% | 1.40 | 40.6% | 17.1% | 15:17 | 1:33 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 17.7% | 0.19 | 34.5% | 6.8% | 20.4% | 1.87 | 55.0% | 28.9% | 15:52 | 0:02 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 18.6% | 0.21 | 39.1% | 8.9% | 25.2% | 1.66 | 48.9% | 23.4% | 14:49 | 0:58 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 16.5% | 0.18 | 33.7% | 6.5% | 20.6% | 1.26 | 35.6% | 13.7% | 16:19 | 0:02 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 18.1% | 0.20 | 34.9% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 1.66 | 48.9% | 23.5% | 14:13 | 1:24 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 23.9% | 0.27 | 40.9% | 9.8% | 22.3% | 1.90 | 55.9% | 29.8% | 13:47 | 0:53 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 20.1% | 0.23 | 36.6% | 7.7% | 20.5% | 1.77 | 52.1% | 26.3% | 13:32 | 1:28 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 18.8% | 0.21 | 34.5% | 6.8% | 19.3% | 1.52 | 44.4% | 19.8% | 15:13 | 0:13 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 17.8% | 0.20 | 37.5% | 8.1% | 24.0% | 1.50 | 43.8% | 19.4% | 15:23 | 0:01 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 20.1% | 0.22 | 36.2% | 7.5% | 20.1% | 1.34 | 38.3% | 15.4% | 14:33 | 1:02 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 15.2% | 0.16 | 34.7% | 6.9% | 23.0% | 1.37 | 39.6% | 16.3% | 13:54 | 1:39 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 15.7% | 0.17 | 34.4% | 6.8% | 22.3% | 1.30 | 37.1% | 14.6% | 15:33 | 0:03 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 15.3% | 0.17 | 31.3% | 5.5% | 18.9% | 1.10 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 15:14 | 0:12 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 16.1% | 0.18 | 31.8% | 5.7% | 18.7% | 1.63 | 47.9% | 22.7% | 13:17 | 1:09 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 17.4% | 0.19 | 38.5% | 8.6% | 25.6% | 1.18 | 33.0% | 12.0% | 13:24 | 1:30 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 18.1% | 0.20 | 35.0% | 7.0% | 20.7% | 1.47 | 42.8% | 18.7% | 13:39 | 0:37 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 12.7% | 0.14 | 29.1% | 4.7% | 18.7% | 1.24 | 35.1% | 13.3% | 14:05 | 0:31 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 10.5% | 0.11 | 24.4% | 3.2% | 15.5% | 0.95 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 14:53 | 0:09 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 12.6% | 0.13 | 23.7% | 3.1% | 12.7% | 1.35 | 38.9% | 15.8% | 13:29 | 0:51 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 13.2% | 0.14 | 30.4% | 5.2% | 19.7% | 1.00 | 26.4% | 8.3% | 14:31 | 0:08 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 10.2% | 0.11 | 21.4% | 2.5% | 12.5% | 1.13 | 31.1% | 10.9% | 14:07 | 0:35 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 12.5% | 0.13 | 28.9% | 4.7% | 18.7% | 1.10 | 30.0% | 10.2% | 14:02 | 0:23 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 9.6% | 0.10 | 21.7% | 2.6% | 13.4% | 0.95 | 24.6% | 7.4% | 13:31 | 1:08 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 16.9% | 0.19 | 35.5% | 7.2% | 22.4% | 1.44 | 41.8% | 17.9% | 10:37 | 2:47 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 12.0% | 0.13 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 22.4% | 1.19 | 33.4% | 12.2% | 11:49 | 1:54 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 16.8% | 0.18 | 36.2% | 7.5% | 23.3% | 1.52 | 44.5% | 19.9% | 12:59 | 0:00 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 11.4% | 0.12 | 23.7% | 3.0% | 13.8% | 1.41 | 41.0% | 17.3% | 13:21 | 0:04 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 17.0% | 0.19 | 33.2% | 6.2% | 19.5% | 1.37 | 39.5% | 16.3% | 13:01 | 0:07 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 11.9% | 0.13 | 24.6% | 3.3% | 14.5% | 1.18 | 32.9% | 12.0% | 13:36 | 0:04 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 10.2% | 0.11 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 11.1% | 1.17 | 32.5% | 11.7% | 13:27 | 0:04 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 10.1% | 0.11 | 20.9% | 2.4% | 12.1% | 1.05 | 28.4% | 9.4% | 12:20 | 1:12 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 14.2% | 0.15 | 29.3% | 4.8% | 17.6% | 1.28 | 36.4% | 14.1% | 11:30 | 1:23 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 15.2% | 0.16 | 29.0% | 4.7% | 16.3% | 1.42 | 41.1% | 17.4% | 11:59 | 0:40 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 10.0% | 0.11 | 24.6% | 3.3% | 16.2% | 0.92 | 23.7% | 7.0% | 13:32 | 0:03 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 10.0% | 0.11 | 22.6% | 2.8% | 14.0% | 1.05 | 28.2% | 9.3% | 13:17 | 0:06 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 9.4% | 0.10 | 19.1% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 1.06 | 28.7% | 9.6% | 13:22 | 0:04 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 10.6% | 0.11 | 22.2% | 2.7% | 13.1% | 1.16 | 32.1% | 11.5% | 13:02 | 0:05 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 14.3% | 0.15 | 30.4% | 5.2% | 18.8% | 1.21 | 34.1% | 12.7% | 11:43 | 0:53 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 13.4% | 0.14 | 31.8% | 5.7% | 21.3% | 1.18 | 32.8% | 11.9% | 11:39 | 0:49 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 12.6% | 0.13 | 26.1% | 3.8% | 15.5% | 1.19 | 33.3% | 12.2% | 11:45 | 0:49 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 13.7% | 0.15 | 30.4% | 5.2% | 19.3% | 1.16 | 32.1% | 11.5% | 11:48 | 0:37 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 8.9% | 0.09 | 19.8% | 2.1% | 11.9% | 1.00 | 26.5% | 8.4% | 12:41 | 0:05 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 12.7% | 0.14 | 28.0% | 4.3% | 17.5% | 1.06 | 28.6% | 9.5% | 12:18 | 0:05 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 15.1% | 0.16 | 29.6% | 4.9% | 17.2% | 1.29 | 36.9% | 14.5% | 11:49 | 0:05 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 11.5% | 0.12 | 21.1% | 2.4% | 10.8% | 1.33 | 38.0% | 15.2% | 11:58 | 0:06 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 14.0% | 0.15 | 29.3% | 4.8% | 17.7% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.3% | 11:22 | 0:35 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 8.3% | 0.09 | 18.5% | 1.8% | 11.1% | 0.85 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 10:58 | 0:00 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 8.5% | 0.09 | 16.0% | 1.4% | 8.1% | 1.00 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 9:50 | 0:56 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 11.8% | 0.13 | 25.4% | 3.5% | 15.4% | 1.01 | 26.7% | 8.5% | 10:22 | 0:00 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 7.4% | 0.08 | 14.7% | 1.1% | 7.9% | 0.93 | 23.8% | 7.0% | 9:54 | 0:02 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 8.8% | 0.09 | 19.5% | 2.0% | 11.7% | 0.86 | 21.3% | 5.9% | 9:41 | 0:06 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 8.6% | 0.09 | 20.1% | 2.2% | 12.6% | 0.74 | 17.0% | 4.1% | 8:56 | 0:25 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 8.0% | 0.08 | 16.8% | 1.5% | 9.5% | 0.96 | 25.0% | 7.6% | 7:55 | 0:51 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 8.6% | 0.09 | 18.4% | 1.8% | 10.8% | 0.78 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 8:52 | 0:01 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 7.0% | 0.07 | 13.8% | 1.0% | 7.3% | 0.87 | 21.7% | 6.1% | 7:38 | 0:00 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 5.7% | 0.06 | 11.5% | 0.7% | 6.2% | 0.59 | 11.9% | 2.3% | 8:04 | 0:00 |
Defense
| MIN @ WSH | 18.6% | 0.21 | 72.8% | 37.3% | 66.5% | 2.70 | 73.9% | 50.0% | 29:09 | 4:41 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 18.6% | 0.21 | 58.5% | 22.0% | 49.0% | 2.83 | 75.9% | 52.8% | 24:53 | 4:04 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 15.1% | 0.16 | 58.1% | 21.6% | 50.6% | 1.51 | 44.3% | 19.8% | 26:37 | 3:26 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 13.4% | 0.14 | 55.8% | 19.7% | 48.9% | 1.96 | 57.4% | 31.2% | 24:42 | 3:04 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 14.4% | 0.16 | 50.9% | 16.0% | 42.7% | 2.01 | 58.8% | 32.6% | 24:24 | 3:00 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 18.0% | 0.20 | 44.3% | 11.7% | 32.0% | 2.56 | 71.2% | 46.5% | 23:05 | 2:45 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 12.4% | 0.13 | 59.8% | 23.1% | 54.1% | 1.44 | 41.8% | 17.9% | 23:12 | 2:57 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 8.3% | 0.09 | 32.4% | 5.9% | 26.3% | 1.81 | 53.3% | 27.3% | 23:15 | 2:57 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 9.1% | 0.10 | 32.6% | 6.0% | 25.9% | 1.32 | 37.7% | 15.0% | 23:19 | 3:16 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 12.8% | 0.14 | 44.5% | 11.8% | 36.4% | 1.89 | 55.6% | 29.5% | 22:12 | 2:36 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 11.4% | 0.12 | 35.2% | 7.1% | 26.9% | 1.43 | 41.4% | 17.7% | 24:41 | 0:59 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 9.7% | 0.10 | 33.5% | 6.4% | 26.3% | 1.79 | 52.6% | 26.7% | 22:29 | 0:44 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 9.8% | 0.10 | 38.3% | 8.5% | 31.5% | 1.55 | 45.4% | 20.6% | 22:24 | 0:53 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 6.1% | 0.06 | 27.3% | 4.1% | 22.5% | 1.05 | 28.3% | 9.3% | 22:55 | 1:10 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 7.9% | 0.08 | 32.3% | 5.9% | 26.5% | 1.66 | 48.9% | 23.5% | 21:59 | 0:05 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 7.3% | 0.08 | 28.6% | 4.5% | 23.0% | 1.27 | 36.2% | 14.0% | 22:09 | 0:13 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 10.9% | 0.11 | 33.3% | 6.3% | 25.2% | 1.95 | 57.3% | 31.1% | 20:47 | 0:21 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 13.1% | 0.14 | 53.9% | 18.2% | 46.9% | 1.72 | 50.5% | 24.9% | 17:08 | 3:28 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 5.1% | 0.05 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 22.8% | 1.24 | 35.1% | 13.3% | 21:44 | 0:16 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 10.1% | 0.11 | 33.2% | 6.3% | 25.7% | 1.75 | 51.4% | 25.7% | 18:39 | 2:02 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 8.1% | 0.08 | 27.2% | 4.1% | 20.8% | 1.47 | 42.7% | 18.6% | 21:02 | 0:05 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 4.3% | 0.04 | 19.9% | 2.1% | 16.4% | 1.14 | 31.6% | 11.2% | 21:27 | 0:16 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 7.1% | 0.07 | 23.9% | 3.1% | 18.1% | 1.04 | 27.8% | 9.0% | 21:02 | 0:38 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 9.1% | 0.10 | 33.7% | 6.4% | 27.1% | 1.32 | 37.6% | 15.0% | 19:49 | 0:40 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 7.3% | 0.08 | 27.8% | 4.3% | 22.1% | 1.48 | 43.2% | 19.0% | 19:45 | 0:34 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 7.9% | 0.08 | 34.0% | 6.6% | 28.4% | 1.11 | 30.5% | 10.5% | 20:00 | 0:42 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 4.2% | 0.04 | 24.1% | 3.2% | 20.8% | 0.80 | 19.3% | 5.0% | 21:12 | 0:05 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 4.6% | 0.05 | 24.5% | 3.3% | 20.8% | 0.93 | 24.0% | 7.1% | 20:41 | 0:06 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 4.6% | 0.05 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 18.1% | 1.12 | 30.8% | 10.7% | 20:25 | 0:04 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 3.7% | 0.04 | 15.6% | 1.3% | 12.4% | 1.13 | 31.1% | 10.9% | 20:32 | 0:04 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 7.2% | 0.07 | 34.7% | 6.8% | 29.6% | 1.15 | 31.7% | 11.2% | 18:43 | 1:21 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 5.0% | 0.05 | 27.2% | 4.1% | 23.3% | 1.07 | 28.8% | 9.6% | 20:08 | 0:04 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 5.7% | 0.06 | 23.3% | 3.0% | 18.7% | 1.00 | 26.4% | 8.3% | 20:03 | 0:07 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 7.1% | 0.07 | 30.6% | 5.2% | 25.3% | 1.09 | 29.6% | 10.0% | 18:47 | 0:59 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 4.5% | 0.05 | 24.1% | 3.2% | 20.5% | 0.84 | 20.7% | 5.6% | 20:06 | 0:01 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 6.0% | 0.06 | 21.0% | 2.4% | 15.9% | 1.31 | 37.3% | 14.7% | 18:56 | 0:10 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 2.6% | 0.03 | 16.2% | 1.4% | 14.0% | 0.77 | 18.1% | 4.5% | 19:39 | 0:07 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 3.3% | 0.03 | 13.9% | 1.0% | 10.9% | 0.96 | 25.1% | 7.7% | 19:19 | 0:02 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 4.6% | 0.05 | 19.4% | 2.0% | 15.6% | 1.08 | 29.2% | 9.8% | 18:19 | 0:05 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 4.5% | 0.05 | 17.2% | 1.6% | 13.4% | 1.08 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 17:19 | 1:04 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 4.0% | 0.04 | 20.4% | 2.2% | 17.1% | 0.96 | 25.1% | 7.7% | 18:21 | 0:01 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 4.5% | 0.05 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 13.9% | 1.01 | 26.8% | 8.5% | 18:07 | 0:02 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 6.3% | 0.06 | 24.2% | 3.2% | 19.1% | 0.89 | 22.5% | 6.4% | 17:12 | 0:15 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 4.1% | 0.04 | 20.5% | 2.3% | 17.1% | 0.77 | 18.1% | 4.5% | 17:30 | 0:00 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 3.7% | 0.04 | 23.9% | 3.1% | 21.0% | 0.77 | 18.2% | 4.6% | 17:21 | 0:01 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 4.4% | 0.04 | 19.5% | 2.0% | 15.8% | 0.74 | 17.0% | 4.1% | 16:45 | 0:04 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 3.4% | 0.03 | 14.5% | 1.1% | 11.5% | 0.79 | 18.7% | 4.8% | 16:35 | 0:01 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 3.2% | 0.03 | 14.6% | 1.1% | 11.8% | 0.96 | 25.1% | 7.7% | 16:13 | 0:03 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 3.2% | 0.03 | 12.2% | 0.8% | 9.3% | 0.86 | 21.2% | 5.8% | 15:35 | 0:11 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 2.9% | 0.03 | 13.3% | 0.9% | 10.7% | 0.75 | 17.4% | 4.2% | 15:12 | 0:31 | |
| OTT @ ANA | 3.8% | 0.04 | 15.2% | 1.2% | 11.9% | 0.78 | 18.4% | 4.6% | 15:21 | 0:00 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 4.8% | 0.05 | 20.4% | 2.2% | 16.4% | 0.91 | 23.3% | 6.8% | 13:59 | 0:41 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 5.1% | 0.05 | 16.8% | 1.5% | 12.4% | 0.97 | 25.5% | 7.9% | 14:38 | 0:01 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 2.8% | 0.03 | 19.7% | 2.1% | 17.4% | 0.68 | 15.1% | 3.4% | 14:12 | 0:00 | |
| UTA @ PHI | 2.3% | 0.02 | 9.3% | 0.4% | 7.1% | 0.63 | 13.5% | 2.8% | 14:24 | 0:00 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 3.6% | 0.04 | 14.5% | 1.1% | 11.2% | 0.59 | 11.9% | 2.3% | 14:01 | 0:02 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 3.1% | 0.03 | 15.7% | 1.3% | 13.0% | 0.92 | 23.7% | 7.0% | 13:24 | 0:00 | |
| MIN @ WSH | 3.3% | 0.03 | 16.5% | 1.4% | 13.7% | 0.92 | 23.7% | 7.0% | 12:29 | 0:44 | |
| EDM @ NYR | 1.8% | 0.02 | 9.8% | 0.5% | 8.1% | 0.65 | 13.9% | 3.0% | 13:01 | 0:01 | |
| WPG @ CAR | 1.3% | 0.01 | 6.7% | 0.2% | 5.5% | 0.46 | 8.0% | 1.2% | 8:05 | 0:00 |