NHL predictions Mon, Oct 26
Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →
3 games on this slate · 112–72 last 30 days →
Games
Set at line NYR 54.3% · model 58.1% · at the close
Set at line CGY 44.9% · model 51.5% · at the close
Set at line DET 38.4% · model 51.6% · at the close
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Pavel Dorofeyev
|
36% | 0.45 | 54% | 2.82 | 76% | 17:41 | 3:00 |
Mika Zibanejad
|
34% | 0.41 | 63% | 2.42 | 68% | 20:51 | 3:22 |
Artemi Panarin
|
33% | 0.40 | 66% | 2.94 | 78% | 21:29 | 3:15 |
Adrian Kempe
|
32% | 0.39 | 59% | 2.86 | 77% | 20:16 | 2:48 |
Alexis Lafrenière
|
32% | 0.38 | 57% | 2.24 | 64% | 18:48 | 3:19 |
Alex Laferriere
|
28% | 0.33 | 49% | 2.59 | 72% | 20:16 | 2:24 |
J.T. Miller
|
27% | 0.32 | 60% | 1.80 | 53% | 18:40 | 3:09 |
Gabriel Perreault
|
24% | 0.27 | 44% | 1.77 | 52% | 16:40 | 1:27 |
Quinton Byfield
|
23% | 0.27 | 46% | 2.10 | 61% | 17:27 | 2:26 |
Will Cuylle
|
23% | 0.26 | 40% | 1.86 | 55% | 16:28 | 1:11 |
Trevor Moore
|
19% | 0.22 | 38% | 2.16 | 63% | 16:38 | 0:40 |
Erik Haula
|
16% | 0.18 | 34% | 1.64 | 48% | 16:22 | 1:08 |
Tye Kartye
|
15% | 0.16 | 33% | 1.31 | 37% | 15:02 | 0:03 |
Scott Laughton
|
14% | 0.15 | 28% | 1.56 | 46% | 14:55 | 0:14 |
Noah Laba
|
14% | 0.15 | 31% | 1.08 | 29% | 14:50 | 0:10 |
Eeli Tolvanen
|
14% | 0.15 | 28% | 1.32 | 38% | 12:27 | 0:58 |
Oliver Bjorkstrand
|
13% | 0.14 | 29% | 1.20 | 34% | 10:30 | 1:02 |
Corey Perry
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.21 | 34% | 11:32 | 1:09 |
Joel Armia
|
12% | 0.12 | 25% | 1.29 | 37% | 13:48 | 0:10 |
Andre Lee
|
10% | 0.11 | 24% | 1.03 | 27% | 11:38 | 0:17 |
Taylor Raddysh
|
9% | 0.10 | 21% | 0.82 | 20% | 9:24 | 0:29 |
Taylor Ward
|
7% | 0.07 | 16% | 0.83 | 20% | 7:54 | 0:07 |
Samuel Helenius
|
7% | 0.07 | 14% | 0.80 | 19% | 8:55 | 0:00 |
Luke Glendening
|
6% | 0.06 | 12% | 0.65 | 14% | 8:26 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Adam Fox
|
12% | 0.13 | 61% | 1.46 | 43% | 22:54 | 3:20 |
Brandt Clarke
|
9% | 0.10 | 40% | 1.92 | 56% | 20:04 | 2:38 |
Sean Durzi
|
8% | 0.08 | 32% | 1.17 | 33% | 19:42 | 1:10 |
Vladislav Gavrikov
|
7% | 0.08 | 29% | 1.33 | 38% | 22:04 | 0:15 |
Erik Gustafsson
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.17 | 32% | 19:12 | 1:16 |
Drew Doughty
|
5% | 0.05 | 26% | 1.23 | 34% | 22:19 | 1:02 |
Braden Schneider
|
4% | 0.05 | 19% | 1.11 | 31% | 17:35 | 0:06 |
Joel Edmundson
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 1.17 | 32% | 18:08 | 0:02 |
Marcus Pettersson
|
4% | 0.04 | 24% | 0.84 | 21% | 20:59 | 0:06 |
Alberts Smits
|
4% | 0.04 | 15% | 0.60 | 12% | 13:58 | 0:02 |
Mikey Anderson
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.80 | 19% | 19:10 | 0:05 |
Brian Dumoulin
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.76 | 18% | 16:57 | 0:02 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
LAK
Alex TurcotteFKevin FialaFMats ZuccarelloF
NYR
Adam SykoraFJoe VelenoF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
LAK- Rating
- -0.10
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
NYR- Rating
- League avg
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 58.1%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Close
- 54.3%
Moneyline NYR -130 / LAK +110 (vig removed) · opened 56.3%
- Model
- 6.1
- First line
- 5.5
- Close
- 5.5
Over -118 / Under -102
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 56.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 2:52 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 6:54 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Auston Matthews
|
40% | 0.51 | 65% | 3.57 | 86% | 19:51 | 3:20 |
William Nylander
|
34% | 0.42 | 65% | 2.90 | 77% | 19:30 | 3:12 |
Kirill Marchenko
|
29% | 0.34 | 56% | 2.77 | 75% | 18:05 | 3:18 |
Matt Coronato
|
28% | 0.33 | 54% | 2.61 | 72% | 17:18 | 2:27 |
Joel Farabee
|
27% | 0.31 | 51% | 2.27 | 65% | 18:33 | 2:05 |
Matvei Gridin
|
24% | 0.28 | 52% | 2.17 | 63% | 15:46 | 2:22 |
Morgan Frost
|
23% | 0.26 | 47% | 1.94 | 57% | 14:53 | 2:25 |
Mikael Backlund
|
23% | 0.26 | 44% | 2.46 | 69% | 17:44 | 0:16 |
Jack Roslovic
|
23% | 0.26 | 42% | 2.34 | 67% | 16:17 | 1:04 |
Yegor Sharangovich
|
21% | 0.24 | 39% | 1.84 | 54% | 15:49 | 1:02 |
Aydar Suniev
|
18% | 0.20 | 39% | 1.58 | 46% | 12:33 | 1:16 |
Ryan Strome
|
18% | 0.20 | 42% | 1.65 | 49% | 14:20 | 1:08 |
Easton Cowan
|
17% | 0.19 | 40% | 1.87 | 55% | 15:39 | 1:04 |
Gavin McKenna
|
16% | 0.18 | 38% | 1.73 | 51% | 12:50 | 2:32 |
Nick Paul
|
16% | 0.18 | 32% | 1.54 | 45% | 16:34 | 0:25 |
Jonathan Castagna
|
15% | 0.17 | 35% | 1.29 | 37% | 14:38 | 0:00 |
Adam Klapka
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.35 | 39% | 11:35 | 0:26 |
Martin Pospisil
|
13% | 0.14 | 31% | 1.45 | 42% | 13:37 | 0:03 |
Brennan Othmann
|
13% | 0.14 | 27% | 1.22 | 34% | 11:28 | 0:13 |
Colton Sissons
|
13% | 0.14 | 25% | 1.39 | 40% | 15:28 | 0:05 |
Vinni Lettieri
|
12% | 0.12 | 24% | 1.43 | 41% | 10:28 | 1:01 |
Teddy Blueger
|
10% | 0.11 | 25% | 1.24 | 35% | 14:07 | 0:01 |
Brandon Duhaime
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.98 | 26% | 12:33 | 0:02 |
Zack MacEwen
|
7% | 0.07 | 15% | 0.91 | 23% | 7:25 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Darren Raddysh
|
14% | 0.16 | 52% | 2.61 | 72% | 23:38 | 3:25 |
Simon Nemec
|
11% | 0.12 | 37% | 1.70 | 50% | 21:34 | 1:05 |
Zayne Parekh
|
11% | 0.12 | 35% | 1.65 | 49% | 17:05 | 2:30 |
Morgan Rielly
|
8% | 0.08 | 35% | 1.61 | 47% | 20:20 | 1:03 |
Jacob Middleton
|
6% | 0.06 | 23% | 1.09 | 30% | 18:13 | 0:00 |
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
|
5% | 0.05 | 25% | 1.17 | 33% | 19:25 | 0:42 |
Kevin Bahl
|
5% | 0.05 | 25% | 1.03 | 28% | 22:45 | 0:05 |
Yan Kuznetsov
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.19 | 33% | 17:55 | 0:01 |
Zach Whitecloud
|
5% | 0.05 | 22% | 1.05 | 28% | 21:14 | 0:02 |
Troy Stecher
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 1.11 | 30% | 21:09 | 0:06 |
Jake McCabe
|
4% | 0.04 | 22% | 1.03 | 27% | 20:06 | 0:07 |
Dakota Mermis
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.80 | 19% | 13:35 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
TOR
Dakota JoshuaFJohn TavaresFMax DomiFChris TanevDMarshall RifaiD
CGY
Jonathan HuberdeauFSamuel HonzekF
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
TOR- Rating
- +0.03
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
CGY- Rating
- -0.04
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 51.5%
- First line
- 40.7%
- Close
- 44.9%
Moneyline CGY +114 / TOR -135 (vig removed) · opened 40.7%
- Model
- 6.2
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over -120 / Under +100
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 40.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 2:52 PM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Alex DeBrincat
|
41% | 0.53 | 67% | 3.31 | 83% | 19:32 | 3:30 |
Leon Draisaitl
|
40% | 0.51 | 71% | 2.95 | 78% | 21:08 | 3:35 |
Connor McDavid
|
40% | 0.50 | 79% | 3.16 | 81% | 22:51 | 3:29 |
Dylan Larkin
|
35% | 0.43 | 62% | 2.87 | 77% | 20:33 | 3:27 |
Zach Hyman
|
35% | 0.43 | 50% | 2.54 | 71% | 19:04 | 3:32 |
Viktor Arvidsson
|
34% | 0.42 | 59% | 2.67 | 73% | 18:28 | 3:27 |
Lucas Raymond
|
31% | 0.37 | 66% | 2.35 | 67% | 19:44 | 3:37 |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
|
24% | 0.27 | 49% | 1.96 | 57% | 18:48 | 3:30 |
Vasily Podkolzin
|
23% | 0.26 | 43% | 2.13 | 62% | 17:10 | 2:18 |
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
|
22% | 0.25 | 44% | 1.98 | 58% | 15:12 | 1:25 |
Emmitt Finnie
|
21% | 0.24 | 40% | 1.70 | 50% | 16:59 | 1:26 |
Andrew Copp
|
19% | 0.20 | 43% | 1.59 | 47% | 16:40 | 1:35 |
Kasperi Kapanen
|
17% | 0.18 | 32% | 1.61 | 47% | 16:20 | 1:28 |
Michael Rasmussen
|
15% | 0.17 | 32% | 1.23 | 35% | 14:33 | 1:10 |
J.T. Compher
|
13% | 0.14 | 32% | 1.14 | 32% | 15:03 | 0:20 |
Alex Formenton
|
11% | 0.12 | 26% | 1.18 | 33% | 13:01 | 0:06 |
Colton Dach
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.17 | 33% | 11:55 | 0:36 |
Mathieu Joseph
|
11% | 0.11 | 25% | 1.05 | 28% | 13:08 | 0:07 |
Nate Danielson
|
11% | 0.11 | 26% | 0.95 | 25% | 10:55 | 0:38 |
Owen Michaels
|
10% | 0.11 | 24% | 1.03 | 27% | 12:51 | 0:08 |
Isaac Howard
|
10% | 0.10 | 21% | 1.06 | 29% | 9:32 | 1:03 |
Trent Frederic
|
9% | 0.09 | 17% | 1.01 | 27% | 9:37 | 0:43 |
Keegan Kolesar
|
8% | 0.08 | 19% | 0.72 | 16% | 10:01 | 0:08 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Evan Bouchard
|
19% | 0.21 | 62% | 2.76 | 75% | 25:38 | 3:37 |
Moritz Seider
|
12% | 0.12 | 52% | 2.01 | 59% | 25:18 | 3:41 |
Justin Faulk
|
8% | 0.09 | 33% | 1.50 | 44% | 19:29 | 1:30 |
Ryan Shea
|
7% | 0.07 | 31% | 1.12 | 31% | 23:34 | 1:06 |
Jake Walman
|
6% | 0.06 | 21% | 1.38 | 40% | 15:37 | 0:40 |
Ben Chiarot
|
5% | 0.05 | 18% | 1.12 | 31% | 20:07 | 0:15 |
Connor Murphy
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 1.05 | 28% | 20:07 | 0:03 |
Anton Johansson
|
4% | 0.04 | 20% | 0.85 | 21% | 13:34 | 0:03 |
William Wallinder
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.88 | 22% | 13:43 | 0:00 |
Albert Johansson
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.81 | 20% | 15:03 | 0:07 |
Shakir Mukhamadullin
|
3% | 0.03 | 12% | 0.74 | 17% | 13:39 | 0:11 |
Andreas Englund
|
2% | 0.02 | 11% | 0.63 | 13% | 12:05 | 0:00 |
Ty Emberson
|
2% | 0.02 | 11% | 0.64 | 14% | 12:58 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
DET
Marco KasperFMason AppletonFSimon EdvinssonD
EDM
Jason DickinsonFMatthew SavoieFMattias JanmarkFAlec RegulaDMattias EkholmD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
DET- Rating
- +0.02
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
EDM- Rating
- -0.41
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 51.6%
- First line
- 37.8%
- Latest
- 38.4%
Moneyline EDM -180 / DET +150 (vig removed) · opened 37.8%
- Model
- 6.7
- First line
- 6.5
- Latest
- 6.5
Over -130 / Under +110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 37.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 2:52 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 8:24 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Players
Anytime goal board
- Alex DeBrincat41%
- Auston Matthews40%
- Leon Draisaitl40%
- Connor McDavid40%
- Pavel Dorofeyev36%
Forwards
| DET @ EDM | 39.6% | 0.50 | 79.3% | 46.8% | 65.8% | 3.16 | 80.9% | 60.0% | 22:51 | 3:29 | |
| DET @ EDM | 39.7% | 0.51 | 70.6% | 34.7% | 51.3% | 2.95 | 78.0% | 55.6% | 21:08 | 3:35 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 32.9% | 0.40 | 66.2% | 29.5% | 49.6% | 2.94 | 77.7% | 55.3% | 21:29 | 3:15 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 40.2% | 0.51 | 65.0% | 28.3% | 41.5% | 3.57 | 85.7% | 67.6% | 19:51 | 3:20 | |
| DET @ EDM | 35.2% | 0.43 | 61.8% | 25.0% | 41.0% | 2.87 | 76.6% | 53.7% | 20:33 | 3:27 | |
| DET @ EDM | 41.3% | 0.53 | 66.5% | 29.9% | 42.9% | 3.31 | 82.7% | 62.8% | 19:32 | 3:30 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 33.6% | 0.41 | 63.5% | 26.7% | 45.0% | 2.42 | 68.3% | 43.1% | 20:51 | 3:22 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 32.2% | 0.39 | 58.8% | 22.3% | 39.3% | 2.86 | 76.5% | 53.6% | 20:16 | 2:48 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 34.1% | 0.42 | 65.2% | 28.5% | 47.2% | 2.90 | 77.1% | 54.4% | 19:30 | 3:12 | |
| DET @ EDM | 30.9% | 0.37 | 65.8% | 29.1% | 50.4% | 2.35 | 66.8% | 41.3% | 19:44 | 3:37 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 28.2% | 0.33 | 49.4% | 15.0% | 29.6% | 2.59 | 71.7% | 47.2% | 20:16 | 2:24 | |
| DET @ EDM | 35.1% | 0.43 | 50.2% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 2.54 | 70.8% | 46.0% | 19:04 | 3:32 | |
| DET @ EDM | 34.4% | 0.42 | 59.1% | 22.5% | 37.6% | 2.67 | 73.3% | 49.2% | 18:28 | 3:27 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 31.9% | 0.38 | 57.0% | 20.7% | 36.8% | 2.24 | 64.4% | 38.5% | 18:48 | 3:19 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 28.9% | 0.34 | 56.3% | 20.1% | 38.5% | 2.77 | 75.1% | 51.6% | 18:05 | 3:18 | |
| DET @ EDM | 23.7% | 0.27 | 49.5% | 15.0% | 33.7% | 1.96 | 57.4% | 31.2% | 18:48 | 3:30 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 36.1% | 0.45 | 54.1% | 18.3% | 28.2% | 2.82 | 75.8% | 52.7% | 17:41 | 3:00 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 27.3% | 0.32 | 60.1% | 23.5% | 45.2% | 1.80 | 53.0% | 27.1% | 18:40 | 3:09 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 26.5% | 0.31 | 50.9% | 16.0% | 33.2% | 2.27 | 65.2% | 39.4% | 18:33 | 2:05 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 27.9% | 0.33 | 53.9% | 18.2% | 36.0% | 2.61 | 72.1% | 47.7% | 17:18 | 2:27 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 23.5% | 0.27 | 46.1% | 12.8% | 29.5% | 2.10 | 61.0% | 34.8% | 17:27 | 2:26 | |
| DET @ EDM | 23.0% | 0.26 | 43.0% | 10.9% | 26.0% | 2.13 | 61.9% | 35.8% | 17:10 | 2:18 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 22.9% | 0.26 | 43.8% | 11.4% | 27.2% | 2.46 | 69.2% | 44.1% | 17:44 | 0:16 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 24.3% | 0.28 | 51.8% | 16.6% | 36.3% | 2.17 | 62.8% | 36.7% | 15:46 | 2:22 | |
| DET @ EDM | 21.0% | 0.24 | 40.1% | 9.4% | 24.3% | 1.70 | 49.9% | 24.4% | 16:59 | 1:26 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 22.6% | 0.26 | 41.8% | 10.3% | 24.8% | 2.34 | 66.6% | 41.0% | 16:17 | 1:04 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 23.8% | 0.27 | 43.6% | 11.3% | 25.9% | 1.77 | 52.3% | 26.4% | 16:40 | 1:27 | |
| DET @ EDM | 18.5% | 0.20 | 43.0% | 11.0% | 30.1% | 1.59 | 46.7% | 21.7% | 16:40 | 1:35 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 19.4% | 0.22 | 38.0% | 8.4% | 23.1% | 2.16 | 62.5% | 36.5% | 16:38 | 0:40 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 22.7% | 0.26 | 39.9% | 9.3% | 22.2% | 1.86 | 54.6% | 28.6% | 16:28 | 1:11 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 23.0% | 0.26 | 47.1% | 13.4% | 31.2% | 1.94 | 56.9% | 30.7% | 14:53 | 2:25 | |
| DET @ EDM | 16.5% | 0.18 | 32.2% | 5.9% | 18.8% | 1.61 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 16:20 | 1:28 | |
| DET @ EDM | 21.7% | 0.25 | 44.3% | 11.7% | 28.9% | 1.98 | 58.1% | 31.9% | 15:12 | 1:25 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 16.2% | 0.18 | 33.8% | 6.5% | 21.1% | 1.64 | 48.2% | 22.9% | 16:22 | 1:08 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 21.2% | 0.24 | 39.2% | 9.0% | 22.9% | 1.84 | 54.0% | 28.0% | 15:49 | 1:02 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 17.3% | 0.19 | 39.5% | 9.1% | 26.8% | 1.87 | 55.0% | 28.9% | 15:39 | 1:04 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 16.2% | 0.18 | 31.7% | 5.6% | 18.4% | 1.54 | 45.2% | 20.4% | 16:34 | 0:25 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 17.7% | 0.20 | 42.0% | 10.4% | 29.5% | 1.65 | 48.5% | 23.2% | 14:20 | 1:08 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 16.5% | 0.18 | 37.8% | 8.3% | 25.6% | 1.73 | 50.8% | 25.1% | 12:50 | 2:32 | |
| DET @ EDM | 15.5% | 0.17 | 31.8% | 5.7% | 19.3% | 1.23 | 34.5% | 13.0% | 14:33 | 1:10 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 12.7% | 0.14 | 25.4% | 3.5% | 14.5% | 1.39 | 40.1% | 16.7% | 15:28 | 0:05 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 14.0% | 0.15 | 28.3% | 4.4% | 16.6% | 1.56 | 45.8% | 21.0% | 14:55 | 0:14 | |
| DET @ EDM | 13.1% | 0.14 | 32.5% | 6.0% | 22.3% | 1.14 | 31.6% | 11.2% | 15:03 | 0:20 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 14.8% | 0.16 | 32.8% | 6.1% | 21.1% | 1.31 | 37.4% | 14.8% | 15:02 | 0:03 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 15.4% | 0.17 | 34.7% | 6.9% | 22.8% | 1.29 | 36.8% | 14.4% | 14:38 | 0:00 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 13.7% | 0.15 | 31.1% | 5.4% | 20.1% | 1.08 | 29.3% | 9.9% | 14:50 | 0:10 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 18.0% | 0.20 | 38.5% | 8.6% | 25.0% | 1.58 | 46.4% | 21.5% | 12:33 | 1:16 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 13.4% | 0.14 | 31.3% | 5.5% | 20.7% | 1.45 | 42.3% | 18.3% | 13:37 | 0:03 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 10.4% | 0.11 | 24.8% | 3.4% | 16.1% | 1.24 | 34.9% | 13.2% | 14:07 | 0:01 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 11.6% | 0.12 | 25.0% | 3.4% | 15.2% | 1.29 | 36.8% | 14.4% | 13:48 | 0:10 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 13.6% | 0.15 | 28.1% | 4.4% | 16.8% | 1.32 | 37.8% | 15.1% | 12:27 | 0:58 | |
| DET @ EDM | 11.5% | 0.12 | 25.7% | 3.6% | 16.1% | 1.18 | 32.9% | 12.0% | 13:01 | 0:06 | |
| DET @ EDM | 10.6% | 0.11 | 25.2% | 3.5% | 16.4% | 1.05 | 28.3% | 9.3% | 13:08 | 0:07 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 12.0% | 0.13 | 25.3% | 3.5% | 15.1% | 1.21 | 33.8% | 12.5% | 11:32 | 1:09 | |
| DET @ EDM | 10.0% | 0.11 | 23.5% | 3.0% | 15.1% | 1.03 | 27.3% | 8.8% | 12:51 | 0:08 | |
| DET @ EDM | 11.5% | 0.12 | 22.9% | 2.8% | 12.9% | 1.17 | 32.6% | 11.8% | 11:55 | 0:36 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 14.0% | 0.15 | 30.2% | 5.1% | 18.8% | 1.35 | 38.9% | 15.9% | 11:35 | 0:26 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 8.7% | 0.09 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 10.9% | 0.98 | 25.7% | 7.9% | 12:33 | 0:02 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 11.6% | 0.12 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 13.8% | 1.43 | 41.5% | 17.7% | 10:28 | 1:01 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 12.9% | 0.14 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 16.0% | 1.22 | 34.2% | 12.8% | 11:28 | 0:13 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 13.4% | 0.14 | 28.9% | 4.6% | 17.9% | 1.20 | 33.6% | 12.4% | 10:30 | 1:02 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 10.4% | 0.11 | 23.7% | 3.1% | 14.9% | 1.03 | 27.4% | 8.8% | 11:38 | 0:17 | |
| DET @ EDM | 10.6% | 0.11 | 25.7% | 3.6% | 16.9% | 0.95 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 10:55 | 0:38 | |
| DET @ EDM | 9.7% | 0.10 | 21.5% | 2.5% | 13.0% | 1.06 | 28.5% | 9.4% | 9:32 | 1:03 | |
| DET @ EDM | 9.0% | 0.09 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 9.2% | 1.01 | 26.9% | 8.6% | 9:37 | 0:43 | |
| DET @ EDM | 7.6% | 0.08 | 18.8% | 1.9% | 12.1% | 0.72 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 10:01 | 0:08 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 9.2% | 0.10 | 21.4% | 2.5% | 13.4% | 0.82 | 19.9% | 5.2% | 9:24 | 0:29 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 6.5% | 0.07 | 14.3% | 1.1% | 8.3% | 0.80 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 8:55 | 0:00 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 6.2% | 0.06 | 12.4% | 0.8% | 6.6% | 0.65 | 13.8% | 2.9% | 8:26 | 0:00 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 7.1% | 0.07 | 16.3% | 1.4% | 9.9% | 0.83 | 20.2% | 5.4% | 7:54 | 0:07 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 6.7% | 0.07 | 15.4% | 1.2% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 23.2% | 6.7% | 7:25 | 0:00 |
Defense
| DET @ EDM | 19.1% | 0.21 | 62.1% | 25.3% | 53.1% | 2.76 | 74.9% | 51.3% | 25:38 | 3:37 | |
| DET @ EDM | 11.6% | 0.12 | 51.9% | 16.7% | 45.6% | 2.01 | 58.7% | 32.5% | 25:18 | 3:41 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 14.4% | 0.16 | 51.9% | 16.7% | 43.8% | 2.61 | 72.2% | 47.8% | 23:38 | 3:25 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 12.4% | 0.13 | 61.0% | 24.3% | 55.4% | 1.46 | 42.6% | 18.5% | 22:54 | 3:20 | |
| DET @ EDM | 6.8% | 0.07 | 31.1% | 5.4% | 26.1% | 1.12 | 30.7% | 10.6% | 23:34 | 1:06 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 9.3% | 0.10 | 39.9% | 9.3% | 33.7% | 1.92 | 56.5% | 30.3% | 20:04 | 2:38 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 11.3% | 0.12 | 36.9% | 7.9% | 28.9% | 1.70 | 50.1% | 24.5% | 21:34 | 1:05 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 5.1% | 0.05 | 26.2% | 3.8% | 22.2% | 1.23 | 34.5% | 12.9% | 22:19 | 1:02 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 7.3% | 0.08 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 23.1% | 1.33 | 38.0% | 15.3% | 22:04 | 0:15 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 4.9% | 0.05 | 24.9% | 3.4% | 21.0% | 1.03 | 27.6% | 8.9% | 22:45 | 0:05 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 7.9% | 0.08 | 34.6% | 6.8% | 29.0% | 1.61 | 47.2% | 22.1% | 20:20 | 1:03 | |
| DET @ EDM | 8.3% | 0.09 | 32.6% | 6.0% | 26.5% | 1.50 | 44.0% | 19.5% | 19:29 | 1:30 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 7.6% | 0.08 | 31.6% | 5.6% | 25.9% | 1.17 | 32.7% | 11.8% | 19:42 | 1:10 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 4.5% | 0.05 | 22.2% | 2.7% | 18.5% | 1.05 | 28.2% | 9.3% | 21:14 | 0:02 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 4.4% | 0.04 | 16.7% | 1.5% | 12.9% | 1.11 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 21:09 | 0:06 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 11.1% | 0.12 | 34.9% | 7.0% | 26.8% | 1.65 | 48.6% | 23.2% | 17:05 | 2:30 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 4.2% | 0.04 | 24.2% | 3.2% | 20.9% | 0.84 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 20:59 | 0:06 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 6.0% | 0.06 | 27.4% | 4.2% | 22.8% | 1.17 | 32.5% | 11.7% | 19:12 | 1:16 | |
| DET @ EDM | 5.1% | 0.05 | 18.2% | 1.8% | 13.8% | 1.12 | 30.8% | 10.7% | 20:07 | 0:15 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 5.2% | 0.05 | 25.5% | 3.6% | 21.4% | 1.17 | 32.5% | 11.7% | 19:25 | 0:42 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 3.7% | 0.04 | 22.0% | 2.6% | 18.9% | 1.03 | 27.4% | 8.8% | 20:06 | 0:07 | |
| DET @ EDM | 3.8% | 0.04 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 14.6% | 1.05 | 28.3% | 9.3% | 20:07 | 0:03 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 3.6% | 0.04 | 19.2% | 2.0% | 16.1% | 0.80 | 19.1% | 4.9% | 19:10 | 0:05 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 5.6% | 0.06 | 23.1% | 2.9% | 18.6% | 1.09 | 29.6% | 10.1% | 18:13 | 0:00 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 4.3% | 0.04 | 17.7% | 1.7% | 14.0% | 1.17 | 32.4% | 11.6% | 18:08 | 0:02 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 4.6% | 0.05 | 19.9% | 2.1% | 16.1% | 1.19 | 33.3% | 12.2% | 17:55 | 0:01 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 4.5% | 0.05 | 19.1% | 2.0% | 15.3% | 1.11 | 30.5% | 10.6% | 17:35 | 0:06 | |
| DET @ EDM | 5.8% | 0.06 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 15.7% | 1.38 | 39.7% | 16.4% | 15:37 | 0:40 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 3.1% | 0.03 | 16.4% | 1.4% | 13.8% | 0.76 | 17.7% | 4.3% | 16:57 | 0:02 | |
| DET @ EDM | 3.3% | 0.03 | 13.4% | 0.9% | 10.4% | 0.81 | 19.5% | 5.1% | 15:03 | 0:07 | |
| DET @ EDM | 3.7% | 0.04 | 17.2% | 1.6% | 14.1% | 0.88 | 22.0% | 6.2% | 13:43 | 0:00 | |
| DET @ EDM | 3.7% | 0.04 | 19.5% | 2.0% | 16.4% | 0.85 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 13:34 | 0:03 | |
| LAK @ NYR | 3.6% | 0.04 | 14.8% | 1.1% | 11.5% | 0.60 | 12.2% | 2.4% | 13:58 | 0:02 | |
| DET @ EDM | 2.8% | 0.03 | 12.5% | 0.8% | 9.9% | 0.74 | 16.9% | 4.1% | 13:39 | 0:11 | |
| TOR @ CGY | 3.0% | 0.03 | 13.4% | 0.9% | 10.6% | 0.80 | 19.2% | 4.9% | 13:35 | 0:00 | |
| DET @ EDM | 1.9% | 0.02 | 11.3% | 0.7% | 9.6% | 0.64 | 13.8% | 2.9% | 12:58 | 0:00 | |
| DET @ EDM | 2.2% | 0.02 | 11.2% | 0.6% | 9.2% | 0.63 | 13.3% | 2.8% | 12:05 | 0:00 |
Tims Hockey Challenge
Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.95 expected scorers, 2.7% that all three score.
Group 1
-
Alex DeBrincat
Best41%
-
Auston Matthews
40%
-
Leon Draisaitl
40%
-
Connor McDavid
40%
-
Pavel Dorofeyev
36%
-
Zach Hyman
35%
-
William Nylander
34%
-
Mika Zibanejad
34%
-
Artemi Panarin
33%
-
Adrian Kempe
32%
-
Alexis Lafreniere
32%
-
Kirill Marchenko
29%
Group 2
-
Dylan Larkin
Best35%
-
Viktor Arvidsson
34%
-
Lucas Raymond
31%
-
Alex Laferriere
28%
-
J.T. Miller
27%
-
Joel Farabee
27%
-
Gabe Perreault
24%
-
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
24%
-
Morgan Frost
23%
-
Vasily Podkolzin
23%
-
Will Cuylle
23%
-
Jack Roslovic
23%
-
Michael Brandsegg-NygÃÂÃÂ¥rd
22%
-
Emmitt Finnie
21%
-
Aydar Suniev
18%
-
Easton Cowan
17%
-
Gavin McKenna
16%
-
Mats Zuccarello
Ruled out
Group 3
-
Andrew Copp
Best19%
-
Ryan Strome
18%
-
Tye Kartye
15%
-
Darren Raddysh
14%
-
Adam Klapka
14%
-
Eeli Tolvanen
14%
-
Martin Pospisil
13%
-
Oliver Bjorkstrand
13%
-
Adam Fox
12%
-
Corey Perry
12%
-
Joel Armia
12%
-
Moritz Seider
12%
-
Colton Dach
11%
-
Teddy Blueger
10%
-
Andre Lee
10%
-
Brandt Clarke
9%
Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.