NHL predictions Sun, Oct 25
Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →
5 games on this slate · model went 4–1 · 112–72 last 30 days →
Games
Set at line CHI 36.3% · model 42.9% · at the close
Set at line DAL 62.2% · model 66.3% · at the close
Set at line MTL 51.7% · model 55.7% · at the close
Set at line NSH 32.5% · model 39.2% · at the close
Set at line MIN 64.5% · model 66.4% · at the close
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Sam Reinhart
|
38% | 0.48 | 64% | 2.85 | 76% | 19:44 | 4:49 |
Brady Tkachuk
|
35% | 0.44 | 61% | 3.49 | 85% | 16:07 | 4:18 |
Connor Bedard
|
34% | 0.41 | 65% | 2.76 | 75% | 20:07 | 4:03 |
Matthew Tkachuk
|
33% | 0.40 | 70% | 2.69 | 74% | 17:59 | 4:46 |
Carter Verhaeghe
|
31% | 0.37 | 56% | 2.60 | 72% | 17:45 | 3:47 |
Sam Bennett
|
30% | 0.36 | 54% | 2.72 | 74% | 17:42 | 3:11 |
Patrick Kane
|
28% | 0.33 | 62% | 2.38 | 68% | 19:19 | 3:40 |
Tyler Bertuzzi
|
28% | 0.32 | 49% | 1.75 | 52% | 17:17 | 3:42 |
Roman Kantserov
|
26% | 0.30 | 47% | 1.78 | 52% | 18:33 | 3:43 |
Frank Nazar
|
24% | 0.27 | 46% | 1.82 | 54% | 17:35 | 2:23 |
Anton Lundell
|
23% | 0.26 | 47% | 2.22 | 64% | 17:46 | 2:26 |
Anton Frondell
|
21% | 0.24 | 47% | 1.87 | 55% | 16:06 | 2:08 |
Ryan Donato
|
16% | 0.17 | 32% | 1.34 | 39% | 12:50 | 1:23 |
Teuvo Teravainen
|
16% | 0.17 | 41% | 1.21 | 34% | 15:55 | 2:35 |
Eetu Luostarinen
|
16% | 0.17 | 34% | 1.54 | 45% | 16:21 | 1:37 |
Lars Eller
|
15% | 0.16 | 33% | 1.43 | 42% | 16:11 | 1:11 |
Ryan Greene
|
12% | 0.13 | 28% | 1.08 | 29% | 14:00 | 0:32 |
Sandis Vilmanis
|
12% | 0.13 | 27% | 1.19 | 33% | 12:28 | 0:18 |
Cole Schwindt
|
11% | 0.12 | 25% | 1.15 | 32% | 10:59 | 0:20 |
Jordan Greenway
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.11 | 31% | 12:49 | 0:02 |
Cole Smith
|
11% | 0.11 | 21% | 1.07 | 29% | 12:49 | 0:02 |
Andrew Mangiapane
|
10% | 0.10 | 22% | 0.89 | 22% | 10:08 | 0:00 |
Bokondji Imama
|
7% | 0.07 | 16% | 0.84 | 21% | 8:11 | 0:00 |
Garnet Hathaway
|
7% | 0.07 | 14% | 0.70 | 16% | 10:03 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Seth Jones
|
13% | 0.14 | 51% | 2.12 | 62% | 23:25 | 4:14 |
Aaron Ekblad
|
8% | 0.08 | 36% | 1.48 | 43% | 21:06 | 2:00 |
Sam Rinzel
|
7% | 0.07 | 27% | 1.32 | 38% | 17:30 | 1:30 |
Artyom Levshunov
|
7% | 0.07 | 28% | 1.20 | 33% | 20:14 | 0:51 |
Gustav Forsling
|
7% | 0.07 | 30% | 1.60 | 47% | 21:19 | 0:32 |
Niko Mikkola
|
5% | 0.05 | 19% | 1.18 | 33% | 19:49 | 0:05 |
Wyatt Kaiser
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 0.93 | 24% | 19:22 | 0:09 |
Alex Vlasic
|
4% | 0.04 | 21% | 0.89 | 22% | 20:26 | 0:06 |
Ian Cole
|
3% | 0.04 | 18% | 0.70 | 16% | 17:09 | 0:02 |
Kevin Korchinski
|
3% | 0.03 | 13% | 0.87 | 22% | 14:50 | 0:08 |
Dmitry Kulikov
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.77 | 18% | 15:53 | 0:01 |
Radko Gudas
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.89 | 22% | 14:11 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
FLA
Aleksander BarkovFBrad MarchandFJonah GadjovichF
CHI
Bowen ByramD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
FLA- Rating
- -0.26
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
CHI- Rating
- -0.24
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Panthers 3, Blackhawks 2
- Result
- CHI lost by 1
- Why
- Model 42.9%, first price 36.3%
Model vs market
- Model
- 57.1%
- First line
- 61.6%
- Close
- 63.7%
Moneyline CHI +164 / FLA -198 (vig removed) · opened 61.6%
- Model
- 6.5
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over +105 / Under -125
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 7 captures, first 61.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 10:47 AM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sun 2:52 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jason Robertson
|
39% | 0.50 | 68% | 3.21 | 82% | 21:23 | 3:59 |
Wyatt Johnston
|
36% | 0.45 | 62% | 2.56 | 71% | 20:23 | 3:50 |
Mikko Rantanen
|
32% | 0.39 | 67% | 2.25 | 65% | 20:57 | 4:13 |
Bo Horvat
|
29% | 0.34 | 50% | 2.87 | 77% | 21:21 | 3:39 |
Roope Hintz
|
26% | 0.30 | 53% | 2.09 | 61% | 17:10 | 2:59 |
Kyle Palmieri
|
20% | 0.23 | 40% | 1.95 | 57% | 17:16 | 3:38 |
Tyler Seguin
|
20% | 0.22 | 41% | 1.75 | 52% | 15:34 | 1:26 |
Brayden Schenn
|
18% | 0.20 | 40% | 1.66 | 49% | 17:03 | 3:25 |
Arttu Hyry
|
16% | 0.18 | 27% | 1.40 | 40% | 14:15 | 0:01 |
Simon Holmstrom
|
16% | 0.17 | 34% | 1.30 | 37% | 18:06 | 2:09 |
Emil Heineman
|
15% | 0.16 | 26% | 1.53 | 45% | 16:06 | 0:33 |
Justin Hryckowian
|
15% | 0.16 | 31% | 1.20 | 34% | 15:13 | 1:18 |
Jamie Benn
|
14% | 0.16 | 35% | 1.29 | 37% | 13:23 | 0:49 |
Victor Eklund
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.40 | 40% | 14:24 | 0:53 |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau
|
12% | 0.13 | 30% | 1.14 | 32% | 16:20 | 0:25 |
Dylan Hryckowian
|
11% | 0.12 | 27% | 1.22 | 34% | 11:23 | 0:49 |
Matthew Seminoff
|
11% | 0.12 | 27% | 1.22 | 34% | 11:23 | 0:49 |
Anthony Duclair
|
10% | 0.11 | 23% | 1.07 | 29% | 13:21 | 0:51 |
Joel Kiviranta
|
9% | 0.09 | 17% | 0.95 | 25% | 11:14 | 0:01 |
Ondrej Palat
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.98 | 26% | 13:09 | 0:09 |
Colin Blackwell
|
8% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.93 | 24% | 10:55 | 0:00 |
Casey Cizikas
|
8% | 0.09 | 17% | 0.93 | 24% | 12:01 | 0:03 |
Mitchell Chaffee
|
6% | 0.06 | 15% | 0.78 | 19% | 9:27 | 0:15 |
Kyle MacLean
|
6% | 0.06 | 14% | 0.70 | 16% | 9:45 | 0:02 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Matthew Schaefer
|
17% | 0.18 | 48% | 2.77 | 75% | 26:36 | 3:49 |
Miro Heiskanen
|
13% | 0.13 | 50% | 1.80 | 53% | 27:02 | 3:23 |
Thomas Harley
|
12% | 0.13 | 41% | 1.75 | 52% | 25:41 | 1:30 |
Tony DeAngelo
|
5% | 0.06 | 25% | 1.38 | 40% | 17:24 | 0:58 |
Adam Pelech
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.22 | 34% | 20:33 | 0:11 |
Logan Stanley
|
5% | 0.05 | 24% | 1.07 | 29% | 20:45 | 0:09 |
Nils Lundkvist
|
4% | 0.04 | 19% | 0.95 | 24% | 17:05 | 0:05 |
Tyler Myers
|
4% | 0.04 | 16% | 0.84 | 21% | 16:08 | 0:01 |
Ryan Pulock
|
3% | 0.03 | 18% | 0.90 | 23% | 19:42 | 0:03 |
Lian Bichsel
|
3% | 0.03 | 12% | 0.66 | 14% | 16:10 | 0:01 |
Kyle Capobianco
|
2% | 0.02 | 12% | 0.58 | 12% | 11:42 | 0:08 |
Matthew Kessel
|
2% | 0.02 | 11% | 0.74 | 17% | 13:40 | 0:04 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
NYI
Calum RitchieFMathew BarzalFMatias MaccelliFAlexander RomanovD
DAL
Matt DucheneFOskar BackFRadek FaksaFSam SteelFEsa LindellD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
NYI- Rating
- +0.34
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
DAL- Rating
- +0.41
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Islanders 3, Stars 6
- Result
- DAL won by 3
- Why
- Model 66.3%, first price 62.2%
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.3%
- First line
- 64.5%
- Close
- 62.2%
Moneyline DAL -185 / NYI +154 (vig removed) · opened 64.5%
- Model
- 5.4
- First line
- 5.5
- Close
- 5.5
Over +114 / Under -135
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 8 captures, first 64.5%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 10:47 AM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sun 5:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Cole Caufield
|
44% | 0.57 | 65% | 3.19 | 81% | 18:35 | 3:41 |
Kyle Connor
|
38% | 0.47 | 65% | 3.34 | 83% | 20:41 | 3:22 |
Juraj Slafkovsky
|
31% | 0.37 | 59% | 2.26 | 65% | 18:24 | 3:43 |
Mark Scheifele
|
29% | 0.34 | 64% | 2.08 | 61% | 20:35 | 3:25 |
Cole Perfetti
|
25% | 0.29 | 49% | 2.32 | 66% | 17:16 | 2:58 |
Gabriel Vilardi
|
24% | 0.28 | 51% | 1.83 | 54% | 17:33 | 3:21 |
Chris Kreider
|
22% | 0.25 | 42% | 1.56 | 46% | 14:24 | 2:25 |
Alex Newhook
|
20% | 0.22 | 37% | 1.44 | 42% | 15:40 | 1:19 |
Zack Bolduc
|
20% | 0.22 | 38% | 1.53 | 45% | 13:59 | 1:38 |
Oliver Kapanen
|
18% | 0.20 | 33% | 1.49 | 44% | 13:11 | 1:50 |
Josh Anderson
|
17% | 0.19 | 29% | 1.43 | 42% | 14:09 | 0:03 |
Alexandre Texier
|
16% | 0.17 | 35% | 1.45 | 42% | 13:31 | 1:20 |
Dawson Mercer
|
16% | 0.17 | 32% | 1.67 | 49% | 15:30 | 0:59 |
Phillip Danault
|
14% | 0.15 | 33% | 1.36 | 39% | 16:14 | 0:14 |
Viggo Björck
|
13% | 0.14 | 29% | 1.29 | 37% | 13:46 | 1:08 |
Alex Iafallo
|
13% | 0.14 | 27% | 1.36 | 39% | 14:00 | 0:33 |
Adam Lowry
|
13% | 0.14 | 30% | 1.13 | 31% | 14:53 | 0:04 |
Nino Niederreiter
|
13% | 0.14 | 26% | 1.36 | 39% | 12:00 | 1:12 |
Morgan Barron
|
13% | 0.14 | 25% | 1.38 | 40% | 12:57 | 0:01 |
Isak Rosen
|
12% | 0.13 | 26% | 1.26 | 36% | 12:41 | 1:08 |
Jake Evans
|
12% | 0.13 | 27% | 1.04 | 28% | 14:48 | 0:00 |
Kirby Dach
|
11% | 0.12 | 25% | 0.97 | 25% | 11:31 | 0:43 |
Cole Koepke
|
10% | 0.10 | 19% | 1.18 | 33% | 9:44 | 0:03 |
Florian Xhekaj
|
9% | 0.09 | 20% | 0.94 | 24% | 8:36 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Lane Hutson
|
13% | 0.14 | 65% | 1.64 | 48% | 24:53 | 3:49 |
Noah Dobson
|
11% | 0.12 | 40% | 1.89 | 55% | 21:25 | 1:27 |
Neal Pionk
|
9% | 0.10 | 39% | 2.01 | 59% | 24:00 | 2:38 |
Mike Matheson
|
8% | 0.08 | 33% | 1.51 | 44% | 23:07 | 0:29 |
Kaiden Guhle
|
7% | 0.07 | 27% | 1.23 | 35% | 21:44 | 0:06 |
Dylan Samberg
|
5% | 0.06 | 25% | 1.38 | 40% | 21:39 | 0:12 |
Alexandre Carrier
|
5% | 0.05 | 25% | 0.95 | 25% | 20:42 | 0:03 |
Elias Salomonsson
|
5% | 0.05 | 19% | 1.11 | 30% | 15:12 | 0:31 |
Mario Ferraro
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 1.13 | 31% | 19:03 | 0:00 |
Haydn Fleury
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.88 | 22% | 14:49 | 0:48 |
Dylan DeMelo
|
3% | 0.04 | 21% | 0.90 | 23% | 20:39 | 0:05 |
Arber Xhekaj
|
3% | 0.03 | 9% | 0.66 | 14% | 12:05 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
MTL
Ivan DemidovFSam Montembeault
WPG
Vladislav NamestnikovFJosh MorrisseyD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
MTL- Rating
- +0.11
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
WPG- Rating
- +0.11
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Canadiens 2, Jets 1
- Result
- MTL won by 1
- Why
- Model 55.7%, first price 51.7%
Model vs market
- Model
- 55.7%
- First line
- 51.1%
- Latest
- 51.7%
Moneyline WPG -102 / MTL -118 (vig removed) · opened 51.1%
- Model
- 6.1
- First line
- 5.5
- Latest
- 5.5
Over -130 / Under +110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 8 captures, first 51.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 10:47 AM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of Sun 5:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Nathan MacKinnon
|
44% | 0.58 | 79% | 4.22 | 91% | 21:09 | 4:01 |
Filip Forsberg
|
35% | 0.43 | 62% | 2.92 | 77% | 19:21 | 3:09 |
Martin Necas
|
32% | 0.39 | 65% | 2.56 | 71% | 19:36 | 3:19 |
Steven Stamkos
|
30% | 0.36 | 53% | 2.24 | 65% | 17:48 | 3:10 |
Nazem Kadri
|
30% | 0.35 | 56% | 2.95 | 78% | 18:45 | 3:35 |
Artturi Lehkonen
|
28% | 0.33 | 48% | 2.01 | 59% | 18:10 | 1:28 |
Brock Nelson
|
28% | 0.32 | 49% | 2.19 | 63% | 18:43 | 1:42 |
Ryan O'Reilly
|
26% | 0.30 | 56% | 1.91 | 56% | 19:51 | 2:56 |
Gabriel Landeskog
|
23% | 0.26 | 43% | 1.94 | 57% | 15:24 | 2:00 |
Jonathan Marchessault
|
22% | 0.25 | 44% | 2.04 | 60% | 16:12 | 2:44 |
T.J. Hughes
|
22% | 0.24 | 42% | 2.19 | 63% | 14:17 | 3:38 |
Jaden Schwartz
|
19% | 0.21 | 38% | 1.75 | 52% | 14:19 | 2:15 |
Mavrik Bourque
|
17% | 0.19 | 36% | 1.70 | 50% | 15:37 | 0:55 |
Matthew Wood
|
17% | 0.18 | 33% | 1.48 | 43% | 13:12 | 1:28 |
Ross Colton
|
16% | 0.17 | 32% | 1.69 | 50% | 12:51 | 0:31 |
Adam Edstrom
|
15% | 0.16 | 26% | 1.43 | 41% | 14:13 | 0:01 |
Alex Kerfoot
|
15% | 0.16 | 36% | 1.21 | 34% | 16:42 | 1:15 |
Jack Drury
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.35 | 39% | 16:39 | 0:03 |
Parker Kelly
|
12% | 0.13 | 25% | 1.31 | 37% | 13:03 | 0:00 |
Fedor Svechkov
|
12% | 0.13 | 28% | 1.20 | 34% | 13:20 | 0:04 |
Logan O'Connor
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.21 | 34% | 12:30 | 0:02 |
Nils Hoglander
|
11% | 0.11 | 23% | 1.06 | 28% | 10:32 | 0:26 |
Vitali Pinchuk
|
7% | 0.07 | 19% | 0.82 | 20% | 7:05 | 0:58 |
Taylor Makar
|
5% | 0.06 | 13% | 0.67 | 15% | 6:20 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Cale Makar
|
20% | 0.23 | 62% | 2.58 | 72% | 22:28 | 3:59 |
Roman Josi
|
18% | 0.20 | 57% | 2.46 | 69% | 25:27 | 3:15 |
Devon Toews
|
9% | 0.10 | 37% | 1.63 | 48% | 20:06 | 1:47 |
Sam Malinski
|
7% | 0.07 | 29% | 1.79 | 53% | 17:12 | 0:20 |
Brent Burns
|
7% | 0.07 | 24% | 1.68 | 50% | 16:43 | 0:08 |
Brady Skjei
|
6% | 0.07 | 27% | 1.25 | 36% | 20:01 | 0:46 |
Adam Wilsby
|
6% | 0.06 | 29% | 1.15 | 32% | 19:46 | 0:03 |
Josh Manson
|
5% | 0.05 | 24% | 1.34 | 39% | 16:02 | 0:00 |
Brett Kulak
|
5% | 0.05 | 20% | 1.24 | 35% | 18:52 | 0:01 |
Nicolas Hague
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.93 | 24% | 17:49 | 0:01 |
Nick Perbix
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 0.84 | 21% | 17:27 | 0:03 |
Jayden Struble
|
3% | 0.03 | 18% | 0.66 | 14% | 16:27 | 0:02 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
COL
Nicolas RoyFZachary L'HeureuxF
NSH
William TrudeauD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
COL- Rating
- -0.09
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
NSH- Rating
- -0.19
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Avalanche 2, Predators 6
- Result
- NSH won by 4
- Why
- Model 39.2%, first price 32.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- 60.8%
- First line
- 65.7%
- Close
- 67.5%
Moneyline NSH +195 / COL -238 (vig removed) · opened 65.7%
- Model
- 6.8
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over -110 / Under -110
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 9 captures, first 65.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 10:47 AM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sun 7:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Kirill Kaprizov
|
47% | 0.64 | 74% | 3.50 | 85% | 21:13 | 3:43 |
Matt Boldy
|
45% | 0.60 | 72% | 3.80 | 88% | 20:50 | 3:40 |
Joel Eriksson Ek
|
36% | 0.44 | 62% | 3.09 | 80% | 19:25 | 3:26 |
Jake DeBrusk
|
26% | 0.30 | 44% | 2.34 | 67% | 16:23 | 3:03 |
Blake Coleman
|
26% | 0.30 | 44% | 2.36 | 67% | 15:59 | 1:40 |
Brock Boeser
|
25% | 0.28 | 48% | 1.90 | 56% | 18:48 | 3:22 |
Elias Pettersson
|
23% | 0.26 | 54% | 1.74 | 51% | 19:25 | 3:15 |
Ryan Hartman
|
22% | 0.25 | 41% | 1.83 | 54% | 14:13 | 1:24 |
Filip Chytil
|
21% | 0.23 | 39% | 1.93 | 57% | 17:23 | 1:10 |
Danila Yurov
|
21% | 0.23 | 41% | 1.53 | 45% | 15:11 | 1:47 |
Maxim Shabanov
|
20% | 0.22 | 46% | 1.42 | 41% | 13:51 | 2:49 |
Marco Rossi
|
19% | 0.21 | 42% | 1.45 | 42% | 15:15 | 2:38 |
Linus Karlsson
|
18% | 0.20 | 38% | 1.64 | 48% | 14:20 | 1:15 |
Drew O'Connor
|
18% | 0.19 | 32% | 1.55 | 45% | 15:59 | 0:26 |
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
|
17% | 0.19 | 38% | 1.49 | 43% | 14:53 | 2:37 |
Bobby Brink
|
17% | 0.19 | 39% | 1.49 | 43% | 13:33 | 1:39 |
Paul Cotter
|
15% | 0.16 | 29% | 1.14 | 31% | 14:23 | 0:54 |
Liam Ohgren
|
15% | 0.16 | 31% | 1.41 | 41% | 14:06 | 1:07 |
Yakov Trenin
|
14% | 0.15 | 28% | 1.30 | 37% | 13:05 | 0:07 |
Michael McCarron
|
13% | 0.14 | 26% | 1.42 | 41% | 13:11 | 0:07 |
Max Sasson
|
11% | 0.12 | 22% | 1.10 | 30% | 12:41 | 0:03 |
Brendan Gallagher
|
11% | 0.12 | 22% | 1.22 | 34% | 10:29 | 0:03 |
Nico Sturm
|
9% | 0.10 | 21% | 0.90 | 23% | 10:35 | 0:00 |
Tyler Pitlick
|
8% | 0.09 | 16% | 0.98 | 26% | 7:41 | 0:01 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Quinn Hughes
|
19% | 0.22 | 75% | 2.79 | 75% | 26:53 | 4:00 |
Filip Hronek
|
9% | 0.10 | 49% | 1.53 | 45% | 25:52 | 3:11 |
Jared Spurgeon
|
7% | 0.08 | 32% | 1.37 | 39% | 20:40 | 1:03 |
Jonas Brodin
|
6% | 0.06 | 29% | 1.32 | 38% | 20:37 | 0:12 |
Zeev Buium
|
6% | 0.06 | 26% | 0.96 | 25% | 19:52 | 1:14 |
Olli Maatta
|
5% | 0.05 | 27% | 0.95 | 25% | 19:28 | 0:01 |
Tom Willander
|
5% | 0.05 | 26% | 0.94 | 24% | 19:33 | 0:46 |
Elias Nils Pettersson
|
5% | 0.05 | 16% | 0.91 | 23% | 18:53 | 0:02 |
Matt Kiersted
|
4% | 0.04 | 21% | 1.24 | 35% | 14:11 | 0:00 |
Guillaume Brisebois
|
4% | 0.04 | 18% | 1.09 | 30% | 15:07 | 0:02 |
Zach Bogosian
|
4% | 0.04 | 17% | 1.07 | 29% | 16:22 | 0:05 |
Luke Schenn
|
3% | 0.03 | 12% | 0.74 | 17% | 13:37 | 0:02 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
MIN
Marcus FolignoFNick FolignoFBrock FaberD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
MIN- Rating
- -0.20
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
VAN- Rating
- +0.04
- DailyFaceoff
- Likely
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Recommended bet
- Final
- Wild 4, Canucks 2
- Result
- MIN won by 2
- Why
- Model 66.4%, first price 64.5%
Model vs market
- Model
- 66.4%
- First line
- 60.4%
- Close
- 64.5%
Moneyline VAN +170 / MIN -205 (vig removed) · opened 60.4%
- Model
- 6.7
- First line
- 6.5
- Close
- 6.5
Over -115 / Under -105
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 10 captures, first 60.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sat 10:47 AM ET
- Close
- Closing line · DraftKings · Sun 9:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Players
Anytime goal board
- Kirill Kaprizov47%
- Matt Boldy45%
- Nathan MacKinnon44%
- Cole Caufield44%
- Jason Robertson39%
Forwards
| COL @ NSH | 43.8% | 0.58 | 78.6% | 45.6% | 61.9% | 4.22 | 90.9% | 77.2% | 21:09 | 4:01 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 47.3% | 0.64 | 74.5% | 39.6% | 51.6% | 3.50 | 84.9% | 66.3% | 21:13 | 3:43 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 45.0% | 0.60 | 72.0% | 36.4% | 49.1% | 3.80 | 87.8% | 71.4% | 20:50 | 3:40 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 39.1% | 0.50 | 68.0% | 31.6% | 47.6% | 3.21 | 81.5% | 61.0% | 21:23 | 3:59 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 37.7% | 0.47 | 64.8% | 28.0% | 43.4% | 3.34 | 83.1% | 63.4% | 20:41 | 3:22 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 38.0% | 0.48 | 63.9% | 27.1% | 41.8% | 2.85 | 76.3% | 53.3% | 19:44 | 4:49 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 29.0% | 0.34 | 50.4% | 15.6% | 30.2% | 2.87 | 76.6% | 53.7% | 21:21 | 3:39 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 32.1% | 0.39 | 67.4% | 30.8% | 52.0% | 2.25 | 64.8% | 38.9% | 20:57 | 4:13 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 33.5% | 0.41 | 65.3% | 28.5% | 47.8% | 2.76 | 74.8% | 51.3% | 20:07 | 4:03 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 36.0% | 0.45 | 61.6% | 24.9% | 40.0% | 2.56 | 71.2% | 46.6% | 20:23 | 3:50 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 35.5% | 0.44 | 62.4% | 25.6% | 41.6% | 3.09 | 79.9% | 58.5% | 19:25 | 3:26 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 43.7% | 0.57 | 64.9% | 28.1% | 37.6% | 3.19 | 81.2% | 60.5% | 18:35 | 3:41 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 28.7% | 0.34 | 63.5% | 26.7% | 48.9% | 2.08 | 60.7% | 34.5% | 20:35 | 3:25 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 32.8% | 0.40 | 70.2% | 34.1% | 55.6% | 2.69 | 73.7% | 49.7% | 17:59 | 4:46 | |
| COL @ NSH | 35.1% | 0.43 | 62.0% | 25.2% | 41.5% | 2.92 | 77.4% | 54.9% | 19:21 | 3:09 | |
| COL @ NSH | 32.2% | 0.39 | 65.3% | 28.6% | 48.8% | 2.56 | 71.2% | 46.5% | 19:36 | 3:19 | |
| COL @ NSH | 29.7% | 0.35 | 56.3% | 20.1% | 37.7% | 2.95 | 77.9% | 55.5% | 18:45 | 3:35 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 28.3% | 0.33 | 61.8% | 25.0% | 46.7% | 2.38 | 67.5% | 42.1% | 19:19 | 3:40 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 35.4% | 0.44 | 60.9% | 24.2% | 39.4% | 3.49 | 84.9% | 66.3% | 16:07 | 4:18 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 30.6% | 0.37 | 58.7% | 22.2% | 40.5% | 2.26 | 64.9% | 39.1% | 18:24 | 3:43 | |
| COL @ NSH | 25.9% | 0.30 | 56.0% | 19.9% | 40.6% | 1.91 | 56.1% | 30.0% | 19:51 | 2:56 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 31.0% | 0.37 | 56.1% | 19.9% | 36.4% | 2.60 | 72.0% | 47.5% | 17:45 | 3:47 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 23.2% | 0.26 | 53.9% | 18.2% | 39.9% | 1.74 | 51.2% | 25.5% | 19:25 | 3:15 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 30.3% | 0.36 | 53.5% | 17.9% | 33.4% | 2.72 | 74.1% | 50.3% | 17:42 | 3:11 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 24.8% | 0.28 | 48.1% | 14.1% | 31.1% | 1.90 | 55.9% | 29.8% | 18:48 | 3:22 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 25.7% | 0.30 | 47.4% | 13.6% | 29.2% | 1.78 | 52.3% | 26.5% | 18:33 | 3:43 | |
| COL @ NSH | 30.4% | 0.36 | 52.5% | 17.1% | 31.8% | 2.24 | 64.5% | 38.6% | 17:48 | 3:10 | |
| COL @ NSH | 27.7% | 0.32 | 49.0% | 14.6% | 29.5% | 2.19 | 63.3% | 37.3% | 18:43 | 1:42 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 25.3% | 0.29 | 48.6% | 14.4% | 31.2% | 2.32 | 66.3% | 40.7% | 17:16 | 2:58 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 24.5% | 0.28 | 50.6% | 15.8% | 34.6% | 1.83 | 54.0% | 28.0% | 17:33 | 3:21 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 27.6% | 0.32 | 49.5% | 15.0% | 30.2% | 1.75 | 51.6% | 25.8% | 17:17 | 3:42 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 20.3% | 0.23 | 39.6% | 9.1% | 24.2% | 1.95 | 57.1% | 30.9% | 17:16 | 3:38 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 22.8% | 0.26 | 46.8% | 13.2% | 31.0% | 2.22 | 64.0% | 38.1% | 17:46 | 2:26 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 25.9% | 0.30 | 52.5% | 17.2% | 35.9% | 2.09 | 60.8% | 34.7% | 17:10 | 2:59 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 25.9% | 0.30 | 43.8% | 11.4% | 24.2% | 2.34 | 66.6% | 41.0% | 16:23 | 3:03 | |
| COL @ NSH | 28.0% | 0.33 | 47.7% | 13.8% | 27.4% | 2.01 | 58.7% | 32.5% | 18:10 | 1:28 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 18.0% | 0.20 | 39.6% | 9.1% | 26.3% | 1.66 | 48.7% | 23.3% | 17:03 | 3:25 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 23.7% | 0.27 | 45.7% | 12.5% | 28.8% | 1.82 | 53.6% | 27.6% | 17:35 | 2:23 | |
| COL @ NSH | 21.8% | 0.25 | 43.6% | 11.3% | 27.9% | 2.04 | 59.7% | 33.5% | 16:12 | 2:44 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 15.8% | 0.17 | 34.3% | 6.7% | 22.0% | 1.30 | 36.9% | 14.5% | 18:06 | 2:09 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 20.9% | 0.23 | 39.4% | 9.0% | 23.4% | 1.93 | 56.6% | 30.4% | 17:23 | 1:10 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 25.8% | 0.30 | 44.5% | 11.8% | 25.2% | 2.36 | 67.2% | 41.7% | 15:59 | 1:40 | |
| COL @ NSH | 21.6% | 0.24 | 42.1% | 10.5% | 26.2% | 2.19 | 63.3% | 37.4% | 14:17 | 3:38 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 21.2% | 0.24 | 46.6% | 13.1% | 32.2% | 1.87 | 54.9% | 28.8% | 16:06 | 2:08 | |
| COL @ NSH | 22.8% | 0.26 | 43.4% | 11.2% | 26.7% | 1.94 | 56.9% | 30.7% | 15:24 | 2:00 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 15.7% | 0.17 | 41.0% | 9.9% | 30.0% | 1.21 | 34.0% | 12.6% | 15:55 | 2:35 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 18.7% | 0.21 | 42.5% | 10.7% | 29.2% | 1.45 | 42.3% | 18.3% | 15:15 | 2:38 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 15.6% | 0.17 | 34.4% | 6.8% | 22.4% | 1.54 | 45.1% | 20.4% | 16:21 | 1:37 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 19.8% | 0.22 | 41.1% | 9.9% | 26.5% | 1.75 | 51.6% | 25.8% | 15:34 | 1:26 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 17.5% | 0.19 | 38.3% | 8.5% | 25.2% | 1.49 | 43.4% | 19.1% | 14:53 | 2:37 | |
| COL @ NSH | 15.1% | 0.16 | 36.5% | 7.7% | 25.2% | 1.21 | 33.8% | 12.5% | 16:42 | 1:15 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 20.6% | 0.23 | 40.8% | 9.8% | 25.5% | 1.53 | 44.8% | 20.2% | 15:11 | 1:47 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 14.7% | 0.16 | 33.2% | 6.2% | 21.6% | 1.43 | 41.6% | 17.8% | 16:11 | 1:11 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 22.2% | 0.25 | 41.7% | 10.2% | 25.0% | 1.56 | 45.8% | 21.0% | 14:24 | 2:25 | |
| COL @ NSH | 18.8% | 0.21 | 37.5% | 8.1% | 23.1% | 1.75 | 51.5% | 25.7% | 14:19 | 2:15 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 19.8% | 0.22 | 37.4% | 8.1% | 21.9% | 1.44 | 41.9% | 18.0% | 15:40 | 1:19 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 19.6% | 0.22 | 46.2% | 12.9% | 33.1% | 1.42 | 41.1% | 17.4% | 13:51 | 2:49 | |
| COL @ NSH | 17.2% | 0.19 | 36.0% | 7.4% | 22.6% | 1.70 | 50.2% | 24.6% | 15:37 | 0:55 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 15.7% | 0.17 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 19.0% | 1.67 | 49.3% | 23.8% | 15:30 | 0:59 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 15.0% | 0.16 | 25.5% | 3.6% | 12.3% | 1.53 | 44.6% | 20.0% | 16:06 | 0:33 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 17.5% | 0.19 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 17.2% | 1.55 | 45.4% | 20.6% | 15:59 | 0:26 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 21.9% | 0.25 | 40.7% | 9.7% | 24.1% | 1.83 | 53.9% | 27.9% | 14:13 | 1:24 | |
| COL @ NSH | 14.0% | 0.15 | 30.5% | 5.2% | 19.2% | 1.35 | 38.8% | 15.8% | 16:39 | 0:03 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 13.6% | 0.15 | 33.3% | 6.3% | 22.8% | 1.36 | 39.3% | 16.1% | 16:14 | 0:14 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 11.9% | 0.13 | 30.2% | 5.1% | 20.7% | 1.14 | 31.5% | 11.1% | 16:20 | 0:25 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 14.6% | 0.16 | 31.0% | 5.4% | 19.2% | 1.20 | 33.7% | 12.4% | 15:13 | 1:18 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 18.1% | 0.20 | 38.2% | 8.5% | 24.6% | 1.64 | 48.2% | 22.9% | 14:20 | 1:15 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 19.7% | 0.22 | 38.0% | 8.4% | 22.9% | 1.53 | 44.9% | 20.2% | 13:59 | 1:38 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 17.1% | 0.19 | 39.3% | 9.0% | 26.7% | 1.49 | 43.4% | 19.1% | 13:33 | 1:39 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 17.9% | 0.20 | 33.4% | 6.3% | 18.9% | 1.49 | 43.6% | 19.3% | 13:11 | 1:50 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 14.6% | 0.16 | 31.0% | 5.4% | 19.2% | 1.41 | 40.9% | 17.3% | 14:06 | 1:07 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 14.3% | 0.15 | 30.0% | 5.0% | 18.3% | 1.40 | 40.5% | 17.0% | 14:24 | 0:53 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 16.0% | 0.17 | 34.6% | 6.8% | 22.2% | 1.45 | 42.0% | 18.1% | 13:31 | 1:20 | |
| COL @ NSH | 16.7% | 0.18 | 33.2% | 6.3% | 19.8% | 1.48 | 43.2% | 19.0% | 13:12 | 1:28 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 14.9% | 0.16 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 16.2% | 1.14 | 31.4% | 11.1% | 14:23 | 0:54 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 13.4% | 0.14 | 29.2% | 4.8% | 18.3% | 1.29 | 36.8% | 14.4% | 13:46 | 1:08 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 13.1% | 0.14 | 30.5% | 5.2% | 20.0% | 1.13 | 31.2% | 10.9% | 14:53 | 0:04 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 13.2% | 0.14 | 27.5% | 4.2% | 16.4% | 1.36 | 39.3% | 16.1% | 14:00 | 0:33 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 17.1% | 0.19 | 28.6% | 4.6% | 13.9% | 1.43 | 41.5% | 17.7% | 14:09 | 0:03 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 16.1% | 0.18 | 27.4% | 4.1% | 13.4% | 1.40 | 40.4% | 16.9% | 14:15 | 0:01 | |
| COL @ NSH | 15.2% | 0.16 | 26.2% | 3.8% | 13.0% | 1.43 | 41.4% | 17.6% | 14:13 | 0:01 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 15.9% | 0.17 | 32.2% | 5.8% | 19.3% | 1.34 | 38.5% | 15.6% | 12:50 | 1:23 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 14.5% | 0.16 | 34.6% | 6.8% | 23.5% | 1.29 | 36.7% | 14.3% | 13:23 | 0:49 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 11.9% | 0.13 | 27.1% | 4.1% | 17.3% | 1.04 | 28.0% | 9.1% | 14:48 | 0:00 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 12.4% | 0.13 | 27.9% | 4.3% | 17.7% | 1.08 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 14:00 | 0:32 | |
| COL @ NSH | 16.0% | 0.17 | 31.8% | 5.7% | 18.8% | 1.69 | 49.7% | 24.1% | 12:51 | 0:31 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 12.4% | 0.13 | 26.2% | 3.8% | 15.8% | 1.26 | 35.6% | 13.6% | 12:41 | 1:08 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 10.2% | 0.11 | 23.1% | 2.9% | 14.3% | 1.07 | 28.9% | 9.6% | 13:21 | 0:51 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 12.8% | 0.14 | 26.2% | 3.8% | 15.3% | 1.42 | 41.3% | 17.5% | 13:11 | 0:07 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 13.0% | 0.14 | 26.3% | 3.8% | 15.3% | 1.36 | 39.0% | 15.9% | 12:00 | 1:12 | |
| COL @ NSH | 11.8% | 0.13 | 27.5% | 4.2% | 17.8% | 1.20 | 33.5% | 12.4% | 13:20 | 0:04 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 13.8% | 0.15 | 28.1% | 4.4% | 16.6% | 1.30 | 37.1% | 14.6% | 13:05 | 0:07 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 12.7% | 0.14 | 25.3% | 3.5% | 14.4% | 1.38 | 40.0% | 16.6% | 12:57 | 0:01 | |
| COL @ NSH | 12.2% | 0.13 | 25.5% | 3.6% | 15.1% | 1.31 | 37.3% | 14.8% | 13:03 | 0:00 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 12.1% | 0.13 | 27.0% | 4.0% | 16.9% | 1.19 | 33.4% | 12.2% | 12:28 | 0:18 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 8.8% | 0.09 | 19.4% | 2.0% | 11.7% | 0.98 | 25.8% | 8.0% | 13:09 | 0:09 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 10.9% | 0.12 | 23.3% | 3.0% | 14.0% | 1.11 | 30.5% | 10.6% | 12:49 | 0:02 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 10.5% | 0.11 | 20.9% | 2.3% | 11.6% | 1.07 | 28.8% | 9.6% | 12:49 | 0:02 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 11.3% | 0.12 | 22.2% | 2.7% | 12.3% | 1.10 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 12:41 | 0:03 | |
| COL @ NSH | 11.2% | 0.12 | 22.7% | 2.8% | 12.9% | 1.21 | 34.0% | 12.6% | 12:30 | 0:02 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 11.4% | 0.12 | 26.5% | 3.9% | 17.1% | 1.22 | 34.2% | 12.8% | 11:23 | 0:49 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 11.4% | 0.12 | 26.5% | 3.9% | 17.1% | 1.22 | 34.2% | 12.8% | 11:23 | 0:49 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 11.5% | 0.12 | 24.6% | 3.3% | 14.9% | 0.97 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 11:31 | 0:43 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 8.3% | 0.09 | 17.2% | 1.6% | 9.7% | 0.93 | 23.7% | 7.0% | 12:01 | 0:03 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 11.1% | 0.12 | 24.9% | 3.4% | 15.5% | 1.15 | 31.7% | 11.2% | 10:59 | 0:20 | |
| COL @ NSH | 10.6% | 0.11 | 23.1% | 2.9% | 14.0% | 1.06 | 28.5% | 9.4% | 10:32 | 0:26 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 9.0% | 0.09 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 9.3% | 0.95 | 24.7% | 7.4% | 11:14 | 0:01 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 11.0% | 0.12 | 21.9% | 2.6% | 12.3% | 1.22 | 34.1% | 12.7% | 10:29 | 0:03 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 8.4% | 0.09 | 18.6% | 1.9% | 11.1% | 0.93 | 24.0% | 7.1% | 10:55 | 0:00 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 9.3% | 0.10 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 12.5% | 0.90 | 22.7% | 6.5% | 10:35 | 0:00 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 9.9% | 0.10 | 19.3% | 2.0% | 10.4% | 1.18 | 33.0% | 12.0% | 9:44 | 0:03 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 9.9% | 0.10 | 22.0% | 2.6% | 13.4% | 0.89 | 22.3% | 6.3% | 10:08 | 0:00 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 6.5% | 0.07 | 14.4% | 1.1% | 8.4% | 0.70 | 15.8% | 3.6% | 10:03 | 0:00 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 6.2% | 0.06 | 14.5% | 1.1% | 8.8% | 0.78 | 18.7% | 4.7% | 9:27 | 0:15 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 5.8% | 0.06 | 13.9% | 1.0% | 8.5% | 0.70 | 15.7% | 3.6% | 9:45 | 0:02 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 8.5% | 0.09 | 20.2% | 2.2% | 12.8% | 0.94 | 24.4% | 7.3% | 8:36 | 0:00 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 6.7% | 0.07 | 15.6% | 1.3% | 9.6% | 0.84 | 20.7% | 5.6% | 8:11 | 0:00 | |
| COL @ NSH | 7.2% | 0.07 | 19.5% | 2.0% | 13.2% | 0.82 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 7:05 | 0:58 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 8.3% | 0.09 | 16.5% | 1.4% | 8.9% | 0.98 | 25.6% | 7.9% | 7:41 | 0:01 | |
| COL @ NSH | 5.5% | 0.06 | 12.8% | 0.9% | 7.8% | 0.67 | 14.7% | 3.2% | 6:20 | 0:00 |
Defense
| MIN @ VAN | 19.4% | 0.22 | 74.7% | 40.0% | 68.7% | 2.79 | 75.3% | 51.9% | 26:53 | 4:00 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 16.8% | 0.18 | 48.4% | 14.2% | 37.9% | 2.77 | 75.0% | 51.6% | 26:36 | 3:49 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 12.5% | 0.13 | 49.8% | 15.2% | 42.6% | 1.80 | 53.1% | 27.1% | 27:02 | 3:23 | |
| COL @ NSH | 17.7% | 0.20 | 56.9% | 20.7% | 47.7% | 2.46 | 69.2% | 44.1% | 25:27 | 3:15 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 13.2% | 0.14 | 64.7% | 27.9% | 59.3% | 1.64 | 48.3% | 23.0% | 24:53 | 3:49 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 9.3% | 0.10 | 49.5% | 15.0% | 44.3% | 1.53 | 44.8% | 20.2% | 25:52 | 3:11 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 13.0% | 0.14 | 50.6% | 15.8% | 43.3% | 2.12 | 61.7% | 35.6% | 23:25 | 4:14 | |
| COL @ NSH | 20.2% | 0.23 | 61.5% | 24.8% | 51.8% | 2.58 | 71.6% | 47.0% | 22:28 | 3:59 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 11.8% | 0.13 | 40.8% | 9.8% | 32.9% | 1.75 | 51.7% | 25.9% | 25:41 | 1:30 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 9.4% | 0.10 | 38.7% | 8.7% | 32.3% | 2.01 | 58.8% | 32.6% | 24:00 | 2:38 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 11.0% | 0.12 | 40.4% | 9.6% | 33.1% | 1.89 | 55.4% | 29.3% | 21:25 | 1:27 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 7.8% | 0.08 | 32.9% | 6.1% | 27.3% | 1.51 | 44.1% | 19.6% | 23:07 | 0:29 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 8.0% | 0.08 | 35.6% | 7.3% | 30.0% | 1.48 | 43.1% | 18.9% | 21:06 | 2:00 | |
| COL @ NSH | 9.1% | 0.10 | 36.8% | 7.8% | 30.4% | 1.63 | 47.9% | 22.6% | 20:06 | 1:47 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 6.8% | 0.07 | 30.1% | 5.1% | 25.0% | 1.60 | 46.9% | 21.9% | 21:19 | 0:32 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 7.5% | 0.08 | 31.5% | 5.6% | 26.0% | 1.37 | 39.4% | 16.2% | 20:40 | 1:03 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 5.4% | 0.06 | 25.0% | 3.4% | 20.7% | 1.38 | 40.0% | 16.6% | 21:39 | 0:12 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 6.6% | 0.07 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 21.4% | 1.23 | 34.7% | 13.0% | 21:44 | 0:06 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 7.0% | 0.07 | 28.1% | 4.4% | 22.6% | 1.20 | 33.4% | 12.3% | 20:14 | 0:51 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 5.8% | 0.06 | 29.2% | 4.8% | 24.9% | 1.32 | 37.9% | 15.2% | 20:37 | 0:12 | |
| COL @ NSH | 6.3% | 0.07 | 26.9% | 4.0% | 22.0% | 1.25 | 35.5% | 13.6% | 20:01 | 0:46 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 5.6% | 0.06 | 25.7% | 3.6% | 21.3% | 0.96 | 25.0% | 7.6% | 19:52 | 1:14 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 4.8% | 0.05 | 23.9% | 3.1% | 20.0% | 1.07 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 20:45 | 0:09 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 4.9% | 0.05 | 19.9% | 2.1% | 15.8% | 1.22 | 34.5% | 12.9% | 20:33 | 0:11 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 4.9% | 0.05 | 25.2% | 3.5% | 21.3% | 0.95 | 24.7% | 7.5% | 20:42 | 0:03 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 3.5% | 0.04 | 21.0% | 2.4% | 18.1% | 0.90 | 22.8% | 6.5% | 20:39 | 0:05 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 5.0% | 0.05 | 26.3% | 3.8% | 22.5% | 0.94 | 24.1% | 7.2% | 19:33 | 0:46 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 3.8% | 0.04 | 20.8% | 2.3% | 17.7% | 0.89 | 22.3% | 6.3% | 20:26 | 0:06 | |
| COL @ NSH | 5.8% | 0.06 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 24.3% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.3% | 19:46 | 0:03 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 5.3% | 0.05 | 19.2% | 2.0% | 14.7% | 1.18 | 33.0% | 12.0% | 19:49 | 0:05 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 7.1% | 0.07 | 26.6% | 3.9% | 20.9% | 1.32 | 37.8% | 15.1% | 17:30 | 1:30 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 5.3% | 0.05 | 27.5% | 4.2% | 23.5% | 0.95 | 24.7% | 7.5% | 19:28 | 0:01 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 3.0% | 0.03 | 17.9% | 1.7% | 15.4% | 0.90 | 22.6% | 6.5% | 19:42 | 0:03 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 4.8% | 0.05 | 19.7% | 2.1% | 15.6% | 0.93 | 23.9% | 7.1% | 19:22 | 0:09 | |
| COL @ NSH | 4.5% | 0.05 | 19.9% | 2.1% | 16.1% | 1.24 | 34.9% | 13.2% | 18:52 | 0:01 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 4.2% | 0.04 | 17.7% | 1.7% | 14.1% | 1.13 | 30.9% | 10.8% | 19:03 | 0:00 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 5.5% | 0.06 | 25.5% | 3.6% | 21.1% | 1.38 | 40.0% | 16.6% | 17:24 | 0:58 | |
| COL @ NSH | 7.1% | 0.07 | 28.9% | 4.6% | 23.4% | 1.79 | 52.8% | 26.9% | 17:12 | 0:20 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 4.8% | 0.05 | 15.6% | 1.3% | 11.4% | 0.91 | 23.3% | 6.8% | 18:53 | 0:02 | |
| COL @ NSH | 6.6% | 0.07 | 23.8% | 3.1% | 18.4% | 1.68 | 49.5% | 24.0% | 16:43 | 0:08 | |
| COL @ NSH | 3.8% | 0.04 | 16.5% | 1.5% | 13.2% | 0.93 | 23.9% | 7.1% | 17:49 | 0:01 | |
| COL @ NSH | 3.8% | 0.04 | 17.5% | 1.6% | 14.3% | 0.84 | 20.6% | 5.5% | 17:27 | 0:03 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 4.2% | 0.04 | 19.4% | 2.0% | 15.9% | 0.95 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 17:05 | 0:05 | |
| COL @ NSH | 5.2% | 0.05 | 24.0% | 3.2% | 19.9% | 1.34 | 38.6% | 15.6% | 16:02 | 0:00 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 3.5% | 0.04 | 18.0% | 1.7% | 15.0% | 0.70 | 15.6% | 3.6% | 17:09 | 0:02 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 3.9% | 0.04 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 14.1% | 1.07 | 28.8% | 9.6% | 16:22 | 0:05 | |
| COL @ NSH | 3.2% | 0.03 | 18.3% | 1.8% | 15.6% | 0.66 | 14.2% | 3.1% | 16:27 | 0:02 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 4.9% | 0.05 | 19.2% | 2.0% | 15.0% | 1.11 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 15:12 | 0:31 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 3.6% | 0.04 | 15.7% | 1.3% | 12.6% | 0.84 | 20.5% | 5.5% | 16:08 | 0:01 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 2.9% | 0.03 | 12.1% | 0.8% | 9.5% | 0.66 | 14.5% | 3.2% | 16:10 | 0:01 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 3.3% | 0.03 | 15.9% | 1.3% | 13.1% | 0.77 | 18.2% | 4.6% | 15:53 | 0:01 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 3.7% | 0.04 | 16.7% | 1.5% | 13.5% | 0.88 | 22.2% | 6.3% | 14:49 | 0:48 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 4.2% | 0.04 | 17.9% | 1.7% | 14.3% | 1.09 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 15:07 | 0:02 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 3.3% | 0.03 | 13.4% | 0.9% | 10.4% | 0.87 | 21.8% | 6.1% | 14:50 | 0:08 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 4.4% | 0.04 | 20.6% | 2.3% | 16.9% | 1.24 | 35.0% | 13.2% | 14:11 | 0:00 | |
| FLA @ CHI | 2.8% | 0.03 | 15.2% | 1.2% | 12.7% | 0.89 | 22.3% | 6.3% | 14:11 | 0:00 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 2.3% | 0.02 | 11.0% | 0.6% | 8.9% | 0.74 | 17.0% | 4.1% | 13:40 | 0:04 | |
| MIN @ VAN | 2.6% | 0.03 | 11.7% | 0.7% | 9.4% | 0.74 | 17.2% | 4.2% | 13:37 | 0:02 | |
| MTL @ WPG | 2.6% | 0.03 | 9.5% | 0.5% | 7.1% | 0.66 | 14.4% | 3.1% | 12:05 | 0:01 | |
| NYI @ DAL | 2.5% | 0.02 | 12.1% | 0.8% | 9.8% | 0.58 | 11.8% | 2.3% | 11:42 | 0:08 |
Tims Hockey Challenge
Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.98 expected scorers, 2.8% that all three score.
Group 1
-
Matt Boldy
Best45%
-
Nathan MacKinnon
44%
-
Cole Caufield
44%
-
Jason Robertson
39%
-
Kyle Connor
38%
-
Wyatt Johnston
36%
-
Joel Eriksson Ek
36%
-
Connor Bedard
34%
-
Matthew Tkachuk
33%
-
Martin Necas
32%
-
Mikko Rantanen
32%
-
Carter Verhaeghe
31%
-
Steven Stamkos
30%
-
Sam Bennett
30%
-
Mark Scheifele
29%
-
Roope Hintz
26%
Group 2
-
Filip Forsberg
Best35%
-
Juraj SlafkovskÃÂý
31%
-
Nazem Kadri
30%
-
Artturi Lehkonen
28%
-
Brock Nelson
28%
-
Ryan O'Reilly
26%
-
Jake DeBrusk
26%
-
Blake Coleman
26%
-
Cole Perfetti
25%
-
Brock Boeser
25%
-
Gabriel Vilardi
24%
-
Anton Lundell
23%
-
Ryan Hartman
22%
-
Jonathan Marchessault
22%
-
Filip Chytil
21%
-
Quinn Hughes
19%
-
Jaden Schwartz
19%
Group 3
-
Brayden Schenn
Best18%
-
Bobby Brink
17%
-
Matthew Wood
17%
-
Arttu Hyry
16%
-
Ross Colton
16%
-
Alexandre Texier
16%
-
Teuvo Teravainen
16%
-
Eetu Luostarinen
16%
-
Emil Heineman
15%
-
Paul Cotter
15%
-
Justin Hryckowian
15%
-
Jamie Benn
14%
-
Morgan Barron
13%
-
Miro Heiskanen
13%
-
Jake Evans
12%
-
Tony DeAngelo
5%
Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.