NHL predictions Mon, Oct 19

Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →

4 games on this slate · model went 3–1 · 112–72 last 30 days →

‹ ›

Updated 7d ago

✓ Favorite won Final · Mon, Oct 19

Ducks

2 41.0% · proj 2.8

Rangers

5 59.0% · proj 3.4

ModelClose

NYR win 59.0% 58.3%

Total 6.2 6.5

Our bet NYR -155 ✓ Won

Set at line NYR 58.3% · model 59.0% · at the close

✗ Favorite lost Final · Mon, Oct 19

Avalanche

2 63.6% · proj 3.5

Flyers

3 36.4% · proj 2.7

ModelClose

COL win 63.6% 68.5%

Total 6.2 6.5

Our bet PHI +205 ✓ Won

Set at line PHI 31.5% · model 36.4% · at the close

✓ Favorite won Final · Mon, Oct 19

Sharks

1 39.1% · proj 3.2

Maple Leafs

3 60.9% · proj 3.9

ModelClose

TOR win 60.9% 55.1%

Total 7.1 6.5

Our bet TOR -135 ✓ Won

Set at line TOR 55.1% · model 60.9% · at the close

✓ Favorite won Final · Mon, Oct 19

Penguins

4 35.5% · proj 2.9

Mammoth

5 64.5% · proj 3.9

ModelClose

UTA win 64.5% 62.2%

Total 6.8 6.5

Our bet UTA -185 ✓ Won

Set at line UTA 62.2% · model 64.5% · at the close

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Pavel Dorofeyev	37%	0.46	55%	2.83	76%	17:54	3:27
Mika Zibanejad	35%	0.43	65%	2.49	70%	21:16	3:53
Alexis Lafrenière	32%	0.39	58%	2.17	63%	18:57	3:50
Beckett Sennecke	32%	0.39	58%	2.59	72%	20:11	3:51
Cutter Gauthier	32%	0.39	53%	3.23	82%	16:31	3:48
Leo Carlsson	29%	0.34	57%	2.29	66%	19:50	4:11
J.T. Miller	28%	0.33	62%	1.84	54%	19:09	3:34
Mikael Granlund	24%	0.28	55%	2.05	60%	19:49	3:49
Gabriel Perreault	24%	0.27	45%	1.69	50%	16:49	1:39
Will Cuylle	22%	0.25	39%	1.83	54%	15:43	1:22
Alex Killorn	18%	0.19	34%	1.79	53%	16:44	1:33
Nikita Klepov	16%	0.17	36%	1.39	40%	14:08	2:40
Eeli Tolvanen	15%	0.16	30%	1.38	40%	12:41	1:13
Tye Kartye	14%	0.16	32%	1.22	34%	15:01	0:02
Judd Caulfield	14%	0.15	34%	1.24	35%	12:57	2:10
Noah Laba	14%	0.15	30%	1.06	28%	14:31	0:11
Frank Vatrano	13%	0.14	25%	1.49	44%	11:47	1:01
A.J. Greer	13%	0.14	26%	1.38	40%	11:51	0:14
Oliver Bjorkstrand	13%	0.13	28%	1.16	32%	10:01	1:13
Tim Washe	11%	0.12	24%	1.04	28%	13:43	0:13
Taylor Raddysh	11%	0.11	24%	0.89	22%	10:13	0:43
Jeff Malott	9%	0.10	20%	1.01	27%	9:45	0:01
Justin Dowling	7%	0.07	16%	0.67	14%	7:36	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Jackson Lacombe	13%	0.14	50%	1.74	51%	25:11	4:03
Adam Fox	13%	0.14	60%	1.55	45%	22:05	3:49
Sean Durzi	8%	0.08	33%	1.16	32%	20:18	1:22
Vladislav Gavrikov	7%	0.08	28%	1.28	36%	21:22	0:21
Pavel Mintyukov	6%	0.06	21%	1.03	28%	18:26	0:19
Tristan Luneau	6%	0.06	25%	0.97	25%	19:04	0:47
Braden Schneider	5%	0.05	20%	1.12	31%	18:23	0:09
Alberts Smits	4%	0.04	17%	0.72	16%	14:53	0:04
Marcus Pettersson	4%	0.04	24%	0.82	20%	20:08	0:05
Noah Warren	4%	0.04	21%	1.04	28%	17:40	0:01
Tyson Hinds	4%	0.04	14%	1.14	31%	14:36	0:00
Nick Jensen	3%	0.04	20%	0.80	19%	18:02	0:01

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Nathan MacKinnon	43%	0.56	77%	4.03	90%	21:37	4:33
Martin Necas	34%	0.42	67%	2.61	72%	21:03	4:24
Nazem Kadri	29%	0.34	55%	2.84	76%	19:21	3:59
Brock Nelson	28%	0.33	49%	2.15	62%	19:10	2:15
Artturi Lehkonen	27%	0.31	45%	1.92	56%	18:26	1:51
Trevor Zegras	26%	0.30	52%	1.81	53%	19:29	2:56
Matvei Michkov	23%	0.26	46%	1.73	51%	15:18	2:40
Gabriel Landeskog	23%	0.26	43%	1.90	56%	15:50	2:39
Christian Dvorak	21%	0.24	45%	1.54	45%	19:30	1:35
T.J. Hughes	20%	0.22	39%	1.89	56%	13:37	4:12
Porter Martone	20%	0.22	40%	1.57	46%	14:28	2:04
Jaden Schwartz	17%	0.18	33%	1.55	45%	13:05	2:09
Sean Couturier	17%	0.18	37%	1.39	40%	17:48	0:14
Michael Bunting	17%	0.18	34%	1.34	39%	12:26	1:55
Alex Bump	15%	0.17	32%	1.24	35%	12:56	0:46
Denver Barkey	15%	0.17	37%	1.06	29%	15:07	1:45
Noah Cates	14%	0.15	31%	1.14	31%	14:39	0:35
Cole Knuble	12%	0.13	28%	1.19	33%	11:39	0:49
Noel Acciari	12%	0.12	22%	1.01	27%	13:51	0:01
Fedor Svechkov	11%	0.12	25%	1.14	31%	13:08	0:07
Parker Kelly	11%	0.12	23%	1.13	31%	11:57	0:01
Garrett Wilson	9%	0.09	20%	0.81	19%	9:25	0:00
Gavin Brindley	8%	0.08	17%	0.92	24%	8:00	0:44

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Cale Makar	20%	0.22	60%	2.41	68%	22:21	4:25
Travis Sanheim	11%	0.12	35%	1.34	38%	26:36	0:19
Devon Toews	9%	0.10	37%	1.62	47%	21:42	2:28
Jamie Drysdale	9%	0.09	31%	1.18	33%	23:07	2:31
Oliver Bonk	8%	0.09	30%	1.16	32%	19:34	0:51
Sam Malinski	7%	0.07	28%	1.73	51%	16:54	0:30
Brent Burns	6%	0.07	23%	1.60	47%	16:13	0:12
Nick Seeler	5%	0.05	19%	1.07	29%	20:08	0:02
Josh Manson	5%	0.05	24%	1.30	37%	15:52	0:01
David Jiricek	5%	0.05	25%	0.88	22%	15:47	2:08
Brett Kulak	4%	0.04	18%	1.15	32%	18:14	0:02
Simon Benoit	3%	0.03	10%	0.63	13%	15:12	0:00
Noah Juulsen	2%	0.02	10%	0.51	9%	10:28	0:02

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Auston Matthews	48%	0.66	75%	3.57	86%	20:58	3:45
William Nylander	42%	0.54	75%	2.91	77%	20:34	3:36
Macklin Celebrini	40%	0.52	73%	3.92	89%	21:47	3:53
Kirill Marchenko	35%	0.43	66%	2.72	74%	18:14	3:50
Will Smith	30%	0.36	57%	2.72	74%	19:21	3:45
Jack Roslovic	28%	0.32	49%	2.31	66%	16:44	1:12
Ivar Stenberg	22%	0.25	48%	1.87	55%	15:37	3:38
Mason Marchment	22%	0.25	44%	1.96	57%	15:33	1:54
Gavin McKenna	22%	0.25	47%	1.79	53%	14:16	2:28
Easton Cowan	20%	0.23	45%	1.75	51%	15:33	1:10
Vinni Lettieri	20%	0.23	39%	1.74	51%	13:04	1:08
Kiefer Sherwood	20%	0.22	35%	2.09	61%	15:13	0:46
Tyler Toffoli	19%	0.21	37%	2.13	62%	12:51	1:54
Alexander Wennberg	19%	0.21	46%	1.54	45%	20:08	3:52
Nick Paul	19%	0.21	37%	1.43	41%	15:29	0:42
Igor Chernyshov	17%	0.19	37%	1.56	46%	13:33	1:24
Colton Sissons	15%	0.17	29%	1.30	37%	15:17	0:05
Collin Graf	15%	0.16	30%	1.42	41%	14:34	0:05
Michael Misa	14%	0.15	33%	1.33	38%	12:27	1:11
Teddy Blueger	11%	0.12	28%	1.13	31%	13:05	0:02
Brandon Duhaime	9%	0.09	19%	0.83	20%	11:12	0:02
Zack Ostapchuk	8%	0.09	16%	0.99	26%	10:16	0:05
Barclay Goodrow	8%	0.08	15%	1.01	27%	11:14	0:04
Zack MacEwen	7%	0.08	17%	0.74	17%	7:11	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Darren Raddysh	19%	0.21	63%	2.61	72%	24:06	4:07
Morgan Rielly	9%	0.10	39%	1.47	43%	19:05	1:10
Darnell Nurse	8%	0.09	25%	2.08	61%	20:13	0:01
Luca Cagnoni	8%	0.08	32%	1.59	47%	17:15	2:59
Jacob Trouba	8%	0.08	29%	1.94	57%	21:29	0:42
Dmitry Orlov	7%	0.07	35%	1.29	37%	18:59	2:13
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	6%	0.06	30%	1.08	29%	18:27	0:41
Nick Blankenburg	6%	0.06	22%	0.98	26%	14:03	0:26
Michael Kesselring	6%	0.06	23%	1.56	46%	18:32	0:03
Sam Dickinson	5%	0.05	22%	1.15	32%	17:55	0:13
Jake McCabe	5%	0.05	27%	0.93	24%	21:13	0:10
Troy Stecher	4%	0.04	18%	0.91	23%	18:28	0:02

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Dylan Guenther	41%	0.52	65%	2.86	76%	16:46	4:02
Nick Schmaltz	34%	0.42	63%	2.37	67%	18:35	3:47
Clayton Keller	33%	0.39	70%	2.47	69%	17:46	3:56
Logan Cooley	31%	0.37	61%	1.77	52%	17:44	3:50
Rickard Rakell	28%	0.33	50%	2.38	68%	19:08	3:20
Sidney Crosby	28%	0.33	58%	2.28	65%	18:58	3:23
Bryan Rust	27%	0.32	49%	2.10	61%	18:35	2:22
Anders Lee	26%	0.30	44%	1.96	57%	13:49	1:22
Evgeni Malkin	23%	0.26	51%	2.11	61%	16:44	3:08
Vincent Trocheck	22%	0.25	49%	1.48	43%	16:15	1:35
Lawson Crouse	22%	0.25	38%	1.65	48%	15:22	0:25
Egor Chinakhov	21%	0.24	40%	1.99	58%	15:37	2:03
Ben Kindel	20%	0.22	37%	1.93	57%	15:40	2:39
Barrett Hayton	19%	0.22	39%	1.55	45%	14:21	1:19
Tommy Novak	18%	0.20	38%	1.64	48%	14:36	1:51
Kailer Yamamoto	17%	0.19	35%	1.36	39%	13:40	0:33
Daniil But	15%	0.17	30%	1.20	34%	11:29	0:40
Jack McBain	15%	0.16	31%	1.17	32%	12:43	0:09
Nicholas Robertson	13%	0.14	23%	1.42	41%	11:52	0:04
Andrei Kuzmenko	12%	0.13	27%	1.07	29%	12:20	1:33
Ville Koivunen	12%	0.12	27%	1.13	31%	13:13	1:06
Kevin Stenlund	11%	0.12	26%	0.96	25%	13:56	0:06
Connor Dewar	11%	0.12	23%	1.28	36%	13:05	0:01
Blake Lizotte	9%	0.09	22%	0.96	25%	13:08	0:02

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Mikhail Sergachev	14%	0.15	56%	1.92	56%	23:04	3:36
Erik Karlsson	12%	0.13	49%	1.99	58%	22:16	3:30
MacKenzie Weegar	9%	0.10	31%	1.64	48%	21:12	0:29
Kris Letang	7%	0.07	31%	1.45	42%	19:57	1:38
Nate Schmidt	6%	0.06	24%	1.04	28%	19:34	0:09
John Marino	6%	0.06	40%	0.88	22%	20:11	1:17
Declan Carlile	5%	0.05	16%	1.09	30%	18:58	0:00
Dmitri Simashev	5%	0.05	18%	0.96	25%	14:44	0:01
Samuel Girard	4%	0.04	24%	0.92	24%	17:26	0:11
Andrew Peeke	4%	0.04	18%	0.87	22%	15:47	0:02
Kaedan Korczak	4%	0.04	20%	0.89	23%	18:51	0:02
Spencer Stastney	3%	0.03	14%	0.88	22%	16:36	0:00

Anytime goal board

Auston Matthews48%
Nathan MacKinnon43%
William Nylander42%
Dylan Guenther41%
Macklin Celebrini40%

Forwards

Rank by


COL @ PHI	42.7%	0.56	76.9%	43.1%	59.7%	4.03	89.6%	74.8%	21:37	4:33
SJS @ TOR	40.4%	0.52	72.6%	37.1%	54.0%	3.92	88.8%	73.2%	21:47	3:53
SJS @ TOR	48.4%	0.66	74.5%	39.7%	50.6%	3.57	85.7%	67.7%	20:58	3:45
COL @ PHI	34.0%	0.42	66.6%	30.0%	49.4%	2.61	72.2%	47.9%	21:03	4:24
SJS @ TOR	41.9%	0.54	75.2%	40.6%	57.4%	2.91	77.3%	54.8%	20:34	3:36
ANA @ NYR	35.1%	0.43	65.1%	28.4%	46.3%	2.49	69.7%	44.7%	21:16	3:53
ANA @ NYR	32.2%	0.39	58.2%	21.8%	38.4%	2.59	71.8%	47.3%	20:11	3:51
COL @ PHI	28.8%	0.34	54.6%	18.8%	36.3%	2.84	76.2%	53.2%	19:21	3:59
ANA @ NYR	29.0%	0.34	57.5%	21.1%	40.1%	2.29	65.6%	39.9%	19:50	4:11
SJS @ TOR	30.2%	0.36	57.0%	20.7%	38.4%	2.72	74.1%	50.3%	19:21	3:45
ANA @ NYR	24.2%	0.28	54.6%	18.7%	40.0%	2.05	59.8%	33.6%	19:49	3:49
SJS @ TOR	35.2%	0.43	65.7%	29.0%	47.0%	2.72	74.1%	50.3%	18:14	3:50
PIT @ UTA	34.3%	0.42	63.0%	26.2%	43.7%	2.37	67.4%	41.9%	18:35	3:47
ANA @ NYR	32.4%	0.39	57.5%	21.1%	37.1%	2.17	62.8%	36.8%	18:57	3:50
PIT @ UTA	32.6%	0.39	70.5%	34.4%	56.2%	2.47	69.5%	44.4%	17:46	3:56
SJS @ TOR	19.0%	0.21	46.2%	12.8%	33.5%	1.54	45.2%	20.5%	20:08	3:52
PIT @ UTA	28.2%	0.33	49.5%	15.0%	29.7%	2.38	67.5%	42.1%	19:08	3:20
PIT @ UTA	27.9%	0.33	57.8%	21.4%	41.5%	2.28	65.3%	39.5%	18:58	3:23
ANA @ NYR	27.9%	0.33	61.7%	25.0%	46.9%	1.84	54.3%	28.3%	19:09	3:34
ANA @ NYR	36.8%	0.46	54.9%	19.0%	28.6%	2.83	76.0%	52.9%	17:54	3:27
PIT @ UTA	40.6%	0.52	65.2%	28.5%	41.5%	2.86	76.5%	53.5%	16:46	4:02
ANA @ NYR	32.1%	0.39	52.8%	17.4%	30.6%	3.23	81.8%	61.4%	16:31	3:48
COL @ PHI	26.0%	0.30	52.0%	16.8%	35.1%	1.81	53.2%	27.3%	19:29	2:56
PIT @ UTA	30.8%	0.37	60.9%	24.2%	43.5%	1.77	52.0%	26.2%	17:44	3:50
COL @ PHI	27.9%	0.33	48.8%	14.5%	29.0%	2.15	62.3%	36.2%	19:10	2:15
PIT @ UTA	27.1%	0.32	48.6%	14.4%	29.5%	2.10	61.1%	35.0%	18:35	2:22
COL @ PHI	21.4%	0.24	44.7%	12.0%	29.7%	1.54	45.0%	20.4%	19:30	1:35
PIT @ UTA	23.1%	0.26	51.5%	16.4%	36.9%	2.11	61.3%	35.1%	16:44	3:08
COL @ PHI	26.5%	0.31	45.2%	12.2%	25.5%	1.92	56.4%	30.2%	18:26	1:51
SJS @ TOR	22.4%	0.25	48.5%	14.3%	33.5%	1.87	55.1%	29.0%	15:37	3:38
SJS @ TOR	27.6%	0.32	48.6%	14.4%	28.9%	2.31	66.0%	40.4%	16:44	1:12
COL @ PHI	22.7%	0.26	42.9%	10.9%	26.2%	1.90	55.8%	29.6%	15:50	2:39
ANA @ NYR	23.6%	0.27	44.7%	11.9%	27.6%	1.69	49.8%	24.3%	16:49	1:39
PIT @ UTA	19.9%	0.22	37.3%	8.0%	21.7%	1.93	56.7%	30.5%	15:40	2:39
ANA @ NYR	17.6%	0.19	34.0%	6.6%	19.9%	1.79	52.8%	26.9%	16:44	1:33
COL @ PHI	23.1%	0.26	46.3%	12.9%	30.1%	1.73	50.9%	25.2%	15:18	2:40
PIT @ UTA	21.3%	0.24	39.8%	9.3%	23.5%	1.99	58.3%	32.1%	15:37	2:03
COL @ PHI	20.1%	0.22	39.4%	9.0%	24.1%	1.89	55.7%	29.6%	13:37	4:12
SJS @ TOR	22.4%	0.25	44.4%	11.8%	28.4%	1.96	57.4%	31.2%	15:33	1:54
PIT @ UTA	22.3%	0.25	48.8%	14.5%	34.1%	1.48	43.0%	18.8%	16:15	1:35
COL @ PHI	16.5%	0.18	37.5%	8.1%	25.1%	1.39	40.1%	16.7%	17:48	0:14
ANA @ NYR	22.3%	0.25	39.4%	9.1%	22.1%	1.83	53.8%	27.8%	15:43	1:22
SJS @ TOR	22.1%	0.25	46.7%	13.1%	31.5%	1.79	52.9%	26.9%	14:16	2:28
SJS @ TOR	20.2%	0.23	45.1%	12.2%	31.2%	1.75	51.4%	25.7%	15:33	1:10
SJS @ TOR	20.0%	0.22	35.1%	7.0%	18.9%	2.09	60.9%	34.7%	15:13	0:46
COL @ PHI	19.8%	0.22	40.2%	9.4%	25.4%	1.57	46.1%	21.2%	14:28	2:04
PIT @ UTA	18.2%	0.20	38.3%	8.5%	24.5%	1.64	48.3%	23.0%	14:36	1:51
ANA @ NYR	16.0%	0.17	36.4%	7.6%	24.3%	1.39	40.0%	16.6%	14:08	2:40
PIT @ UTA	26.2%	0.30	43.7%	11.4%	23.7%	1.96	57.5%	31.3%	13:49	1:22
COL @ PHI	15.2%	0.17	36.6%	7.7%	25.1%	1.06	28.5%	9.4%	15:07	1:45
PIT @ UTA	21.8%	0.25	37.5%	8.1%	20.0%	1.65	48.5%	23.1%	15:22	0:25
SJS @ TOR	18.8%	0.21	37.3%	8.0%	22.7%	1.43	41.4%	17.6%	15:29	0:42
PIT @ UTA	19.4%	0.22	38.9%	8.8%	24.2%	1.55	45.3%	20.6%	14:21	1:19
SJS @ TOR	19.3%	0.21	37.2%	8.0%	22.2%	2.13	61.9%	35.8%	12:51	1:54
COL @ PHI	16.5%	0.18	33.1%	6.2%	19.8%	1.55	45.5%	20.7%	13:05	2:09
SJS @ TOR	17.4%	0.19	37.3%	8.0%	24.2%	1.56	45.8%	21.0%	13:33	1:24
SJS @ TOR	15.3%	0.17	29.5%	4.8%	16.7%	1.30	37.1%	14.6%	15:17	0:05
SJS @ TOR	20.2%	0.23	38.9%	8.8%	23.4%	1.74	51.4%	25.6%	13:04	1:08
ANA @ NYR	14.2%	0.15	33.6%	6.4%	22.6%	1.24	34.9%	13.2%	12:57	2:10
COL @ PHI	13.9%	0.15	30.8%	5.3%	19.6%	1.14	31.5%	11.1%	14:39	0:35
ANA @ NYR	14.4%	0.16	32.1%	5.8%	20.7%	1.22	34.5%	12.9%	15:01	0:02
SJS @ TOR	14.7%	0.16	30.1%	5.1%	18.1%	1.42	41.2%	17.4%	14:34	0:05
COL @ PHI	16.5%	0.18	33.7%	6.4%	20.5%	1.34	38.5%	15.6%	12:26	1:55
PIT @ UTA	17.5%	0.19	34.7%	6.9%	20.8%	1.36	39.0%	15.9%	13:40	0:33
ANA @ NYR	13.8%	0.15	30.0%	5.0%	18.7%	1.06	28.5%	9.4%	14:31	0:11
ANA @ NYR	14.5%	0.16	30.0%	5.0%	18.1%	1.38	39.7%	16.4%	12:41	1:13
PIT @ UTA	11.6%	0.12	27.2%	4.1%	17.7%	1.13	31.0%	10.8%	13:13	1:06
SJS @ TOR	14.0%	0.15	33.3%	6.3%	22.5%	1.33	38.1%	15.3%	12:27	1:11
COL @ PHI	15.3%	0.17	31.7%	5.6%	19.3%	1.24	35.2%	13.4%	12:56	0:46
PIT @ UTA	12.0%	0.13	27.2%	4.1%	17.3%	1.07	29.0%	9.7%	12:20	1:33
PIT @ UTA	11.0%	0.12	26.3%	3.8%	17.2%	0.96	24.8%	7.5%	13:56	0:06
ANA @ NYR	11.2%	0.12	24.4%	3.2%	14.8%	1.04	27.7%	9.0%	13:43	0:13
COL @ PHI	11.6%	0.12	21.8%	2.6%	11.5%	1.01	26.8%	8.5%	13:51	0:01
ANA @ NYR	12.9%	0.14	24.5%	3.3%	13.4%	1.49	43.6%	19.2%	11:47	1:01
PIT @ UTA	11.0%	0.12	22.8%	2.8%	13.3%	1.28	36.2%	14.1%	13:05	0:01
COL @ PHI	11.0%	0.12	24.8%	3.4%	15.5%	1.14	31.4%	11.1%	13:08	0:07
SJS @ TOR	11.5%	0.12	27.7%	4.3%	18.3%	1.13	31.1%	10.9%	13:05	0:02
PIT @ UTA	14.9%	0.16	31.1%	5.4%	19.0%	1.17	32.5%	11.7%	12:43	0:09
PIT @ UTA	8.8%	0.09	21.9%	2.6%	14.4%	0.96	24.9%	7.6%	13:08	0:02
COL @ PHI	12.4%	0.13	28.4%	4.5%	18.2%	1.19	33.2%	12.1%	11:39	0:49
ANA @ NYR	12.7%	0.14	26.3%	3.8%	15.5%	1.38	39.8%	16.5%	11:51	0:14
PIT @ UTA	15.3%	0.17	29.5%	4.9%	16.8%	1.20	33.7%	12.5%	11:29	0:40
PIT @ UTA	13.0%	0.14	23.5%	3.0%	12.1%	1.42	41.3%	17.5%	11:52	0:04
COL @ PHI	10.9%	0.12	23.1%	2.9%	13.7%	1.13	31.1%	10.9%	11:57	0:01
ANA @ NYR	12.6%	0.13	28.0%	4.3%	17.6%	1.16	32.1%	11.5%	10:01	1:13
SJS @ TOR	7.7%	0.08	14.8%	1.2%	7.7%	1.01	26.8%	8.5%	11:14	0:04
SJS @ TOR	8.9%	0.09	18.8%	1.9%	10.8%	0.83	20.1%	5.4%	11:12	0:02
ANA @ NYR	10.6%	0.11	23.7%	3.1%	14.7%	0.89	22.3%	6.3%	10:13	0:43
SJS @ TOR	8.2%	0.09	15.8%	1.3%	8.2%	0.99	26.1%	8.2%	10:16	0:05
ANA @ NYR	9.4%	0.10	20.2%	2.2%	11.9%	1.01	26.8%	8.5%	9:45	0:01
COL @ PHI	8.8%	0.09	19.9%	2.1%	12.2%	0.81	19.4%	5.1%	9:25	0:00
COL @ PHI	7.9%	0.08	17.4%	1.6%	10.3%	0.92	23.7%	7.0%	8:00	0:44
ANA @ NYR	7.1%	0.07	15.9%	1.3%	9.5%	0.67	14.5%	3.2%	7:36	0:00
SJS @ TOR	7.5%	0.08	16.6%	1.5%	9.9%	0.74	17.2%	4.2%	7:11	0:00

Defense

Rank by


SJS @ TOR	18.8%	0.21	62.7%	25.9%	54.1%	2.61	72.1%	47.7%	24:06	4:07
ANA @ NYR	13.4%	0.14	49.8%	15.2%	42.1%	1.74	51.3%	25.6%	25:11	4:03
COL @ PHI	19.6%	0.22	60.1%	23.5%	50.4%	2.41	68.1%	42.8%	22:21	4:25
PIT @ UTA	13.6%	0.15	56.4%	20.2%	49.5%	1.92	56.3%	30.2%	23:04	3:36
PIT @ UTA	11.9%	0.13	48.8%	14.5%	41.8%	1.99	58.3%	32.1%	22:16	3:30
ANA @ NYR	12.8%	0.14	60.5%	23.8%	54.7%	1.55	45.4%	20.6%	22:05	3:49
COL @ PHI	11.2%	0.12	34.7%	6.9%	26.5%	1.34	38.4%	15.5%	26:36	0:19
COL @ PHI	8.6%	0.09	30.6%	5.3%	24.2%	1.18	32.9%	12.0%	23:07	2:31
COL @ PHI	9.4%	0.10	37.3%	8.0%	30.8%	1.62	47.5%	22.3%	21:42	2:28
SJS @ TOR	7.6%	0.08	28.5%	4.5%	22.6%	1.94	57.0%	30.8%	21:29	0:42
PIT @ UTA	9.3%	0.10	30.8%	5.3%	23.7%	1.64	48.1%	22.9%	21:12	0:29
PIT @ UTA	6.7%	0.07	31.5%	5.6%	26.5%	1.45	42.1%	18.2%	19:57	1:38
ANA @ NYR	7.3%	0.08	28.4%	4.5%	22.8%	1.28	36.3%	14.1%	21:22	0:21
ANA @ NYR	7.9%	0.08	33.2%	6.2%	27.4%	1.16	32.2%	11.5%	20:18	1:22
SJS @ TOR	8.3%	0.09	25.0%	3.4%	18.3%	2.08	60.6%	34.4%	20:13	0:01
SJS @ TOR	6.8%	0.07	35.2%	7.1%	30.4%	1.29	36.7%	14.4%	18:59	2:13
PIT @ UTA	5.8%	0.06	39.7%	9.2%	36.0%	0.88	22.0%	6.2%	20:11	1:17
SJS @ TOR	9.3%	0.10	38.7%	8.7%	32.5%	1.47	43.0%	18.8%	19:05	1:10
SJS @ TOR	8.1%	0.08	31.8%	5.7%	25.8%	1.59	46.7%	21.7%	17:15	2:59
SJS @ TOR	4.8%	0.05	27.3%	4.1%	23.6%	0.93	24.0%	7.1%	21:13	0:10
COL @ PHI	8.4%	0.09	30.4%	5.2%	24.1%	1.16	32.3%	11.6%	19:34	0:51
COL @ PHI	5.3%	0.05	18.6%	1.9%	14.1%	1.07	28.9%	9.7%	20:08	0:02
ANA @ NYR	4.1%	0.04	23.9%	3.1%	20.6%	0.82	20.0%	5.3%	20:08	0:05
ANA @ NYR	5.6%	0.06	25.1%	3.5%	20.7%	0.97	25.2%	7.7%	19:04	0:47
PIT @ UTA	6.0%	0.06	23.7%	3.1%	18.8%	1.04	27.9%	9.1%	19:34	0:09
SJS @ TOR	5.9%	0.06	22.8%	2.8%	17.9%	1.56	45.6%	20.8%	18:32	0:03
SJS @ TOR	6.2%	0.06	30.3%	5.1%	25.7%	1.08	29.4%	9.9%	18:27	0:41
PIT @ UTA	4.8%	0.05	15.9%	1.3%	11.7%	1.09	29.6%	10.0%	18:58	0:00
ANA @ NYR	5.8%	0.06	21.4%	2.5%	16.6%	1.03	27.6%	8.9%	18:26	0:19
COL @ PHI	7.1%	0.07	28.0%	4.3%	22.5%	1.73	51.1%	25.4%	16:54	0:30
ANA @ NYR	4.7%	0.05	19.9%	2.1%	15.9%	1.12	30.9%	10.8%	18:23	0:09
PIT @ UTA	3.7%	0.04	20.3%	2.2%	17.3%	0.89	22.5%	6.4%	18:51	0:02
COL @ PHI	4.2%	0.04	18.5%	1.8%	14.9%	1.15	31.6%	11.2%	18:14	0:02
SJS @ TOR	5.2%	0.05	21.7%	2.5%	17.4%	1.15	31.8%	11.3%	17:55	0:13
SJS @ TOR	4.3%	0.04	18.2%	1.8%	14.5%	0.91	23.2%	6.7%	18:28	0:02
COL @ PHI	5.1%	0.05	25.0%	3.4%	21.0%	0.88	22.1%	6.2%	15:47	2:08
ANA @ NYR	4.0%	0.04	21.5%	2.5%	18.2%	1.04	27.8%	9.0%	17:40	0:01
ANA @ NYR	3.5%	0.04	20.0%	2.1%	17.1%	0.80	19.3%	5.0%	18:02	0:01
PIT @ UTA	4.2%	0.04	24.0%	3.1%	20.6%	0.92	23.6%	6.9%	17:26	0:11
COL @ PHI	6.4%	0.07	23.1%	2.9%	17.8%	1.60	46.9%	21.9%	16:13	0:12
COL @ PHI	5.2%	0.05	23.6%	3.0%	19.4%	1.30	37.1%	14.6%	15:52	0:01
PIT @ UTA	3.1%	0.03	13.8%	1.0%	11.0%	0.88	22.1%	6.2%	16:36	0:00
PIT @ UTA	3.7%	0.04	17.5%	1.6%	14.4%	0.87	21.8%	6.1%	15:47	0:02
ANA @ NYR	3.5%	0.04	13.9%	1.0%	10.8%	1.14	31.3%	11.0%	14:36	0:00
PIT @ UTA	4.6%	0.05	17.5%	1.6%	13.5%	0.96	24.9%	7.5%	14:44	0:01
SJS @ TOR	6.0%	0.06	21.9%	2.6%	17.0%	0.98	25.8%	8.0%	14:03	0:26
ANA @ NYR	4.3%	0.04	16.7%	1.5%	13.0%	0.72	16.2%	3.8%	14:53	0:04
COL @ PHI	2.5%	0.03	10.0%	0.5%	7.7%	0.63	13.2%	2.7%	15:12	0:00
COL @ PHI	1.8%	0.02	10.2%	0.5%	8.6%	0.51	9.4%	1.6%	10:28	0:02

Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.96 expected scorers, 2.6% that all three score.

Group 1

Auston Matthews TOR vs SJS · 3.6 SOG · 20:58 TOI Best48%
Nathan MacKinnon COL @ PHI · 4.0 SOG · 21:37 TOI 43%
William Nylander TOR vs SJS · 2.9 SOG · 20:34 TOI 42%
Dylan Guenther UTA vs PIT · 2.9 SOG · 16:46 TOI 41%
Macklin Celebrini SJS @ TOR · 3.9 SOG · 21:47 TOI 40%
Pavel Dorofeyev NYR vs ANA · 2.8 SOG · 17:54 TOI 37%
Kirill Marchenko TOR vs SJS · 2.7 SOG · 18:14 TOI 35%
Mika Zibanejad NYR vs ANA · 2.5 SOG · 21:16 TOI 35%
Nick Schmaltz UTA vs PIT · 2.4 SOG · 18:35 TOI 34%
Martin Necas COL @ PHI · 2.6 SOG · 21:03 TOI 34%
Clayton Keller UTA vs PIT · 2.5 SOG · 17:46 TOI 33%
Alexis Lafreniere NYR vs ANA · 2.2 SOG · 18:57 TOI 32%
Cutter Gauthier ANA @ NYR · 3.2 SOG · 16:31 TOI 32%
Sidney Crosby PIT @ UTA · 2.3 SOG · 18:58 TOI 28%
Bryan Rust PIT @ UTA · 2.1 SOG · 18:35 TOI 27%
Artturi Lehkonen COL @ PHI · 1.9 SOG · 18:26 TOI 27%

Group 2

Leo Carlsson ANA @ NYR · 2.3 SOG · 19:50 TOI Best29%
Nazem Kadri COL @ PHI · 2.8 SOG · 19:21 TOI 29%
Rickard Rakell PIT @ UTA · 2.4 SOG · 19:08 TOI 28%
Brock Nelson COL @ PHI · 2.1 SOG · 19:10 TOI 28%
Jack Roslovic TOR vs SJS · 2.3 SOG · 16:44 TOI 28%
Anders Lee UTA vs PIT · 2.0 SOG · 13:49 TOI 26%
Trevor Zegras PHI vs COL · 1.8 SOG · 19:29 TOI 26%
Matvei Michkov PHI vs COL · 1.7 SOG · 15:18 TOI 23%
Easton Cowan TOR vs SJS · 1.7 SOG · 15:33 TOI 20%
Cale Makar COL @ PHI · 2.4 SOG · 22:21 TOI 20%
Barrett Hayton UTA vs PIT · 1.5 SOG · 14:21 TOI 19%
Alex Killorn ANA @ NYR · 1.8 SOG · 16:44 TOI 18%
Kailer Yamamoto UTA vs PIT · 1.4 SOG · 13:40 TOI 17%
Igor Chernyshov SJS @ TOR · 1.6 SOG · 13:33 TOI 17%
Jaden Schwartz COL @ PHI · 1.6 SOG · 13:05 TOI 17%
Tye Kartye NYR vs ANA · 1.2 SOG · 15:01 TOI 14%

Group 3

Darren Raddysh TOR vs SJS · 2.6 SOG · 24:06 TOI Best19%
Colton Sissons TOR vs SJS · 1.3 SOG · 15:17 TOI 15%
Mikhail Sergachev UTA vs PIT · 1.9 SOG · 23:04 TOI 14%
Jackson LaCombe ANA @ NYR · 1.7 SOG · 25:11 TOI 13%
Adam Fox NYR vs ANA · 1.5 SOG · 22:05 TOI 13%
A.J. Greer ANA @ NYR · 1.4 SOG · 11:51 TOI 13%
Noel Acciari PHI vs COL · 1.0 SOG · 13:51 TOI 12%
Ville Koivunen PIT @ UTA · 1.1 SOG · 13:13 TOI 12%
Kevin Stenlund UTA vs PIT · 1.0 SOG · 13:56 TOI 11%
Connor Dewar PIT @ UTA · 1.3 SOG · 13:05 TOI 11%
Parker Kelly COL @ PHI · 1.1 SOG · 11:57 TOI 11%
Devon Toews COL @ PHI · 1.6 SOG · 21:42 TOI 9%
MacKenzie Weegar UTA vs PIT · 1.6 SOG · 21:12 TOI 9%
Jamie Drysdale PHI vs COL · 1.2 SOG · 23:07 TOI 9%
Zack Ostapchuk SJS @ TOR · 1.0 SOG · 10:16 TOI 8%
Sam Malinski COL @ PHI · 1.7 SOG · 16:54 TOI 7%

Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.

NHL predictions Mon, Oct 19

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Anytime goal board

Forwards

Defense

Group 1

Group 2

Group 3

Games

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Players

Anytime goal board

Forwards

Defense

Tims Hockey Challenge

Group 1

Group 2

Group 3