NHL predictions Sun, Oct 18

Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. Methodology →

2 games on this slate · model went 1–1 · 112–72 last 30 days →

‹ ›

Updated 8d ago

✓ Favorite won Final · Sun, Oct 18

Blue Jackets

1 33.0% · proj 2.6

Wild

2 67.0% · proj 3.7

ModelClose

MIN win 67.0% 63.1%

Total 6.4 6.5

Our bet MIN -192 ✓ Won

Set at line MIN 63.1% · model 67.0% · at the close

✗ Favorite lost Final · Sun, Oct 18

Hurricanes

2 65.0% · proj 3.8

Flames

3 35.0% · proj 2.8

ModelClose

CAR win 65.0% 66.4%

Total 6.6 6.5

Our bet CGY +180 ✓ Won

Set at line CGY 34.3% · model 35.0% · at the close

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Kirill Kaprizov	45%	0.61	73%	3.05	79%	22:24	3:19
Matt Boldy	44%	0.59	71%	3.26	82%	22:24	3:20
Joel Eriksson Ek	33%	0.40	60%	2.67	73%	20:43	3:10
Adam Fantilli	29%	0.35	52%	2.75	75%	20:24	3:04
Blake Coleman	26%	0.30	45%	2.13	62%	16:56	1:34
Ryan Hartman	23%	0.26	42%	1.75	51%	15:33	1:15
Matthew Knies	23%	0.26	49%	1.85	55%	18:36	2:49
Maxim Shabanov	22%	0.24	49%	1.41	41%	15:28	3:07
Valeri Nichushkin	21%	0.24	42%	2.00	58%	16:44	1:34
Charlie Coyle	21%	0.24	47%	1.81	53%	18:56	2:57
Danila Yurov	18%	0.20	38%	1.27	36%	14:25	1:18
Sean Monahan	18%	0.20	39%	1.70	50%	17:05	1:26
Kent Johnson	17%	0.19	37%	1.80	53%	15:45	2:16
Bobby Brink	17%	0.18	39%	1.35	39%	13:53	1:33
Cole Sillinger	14%	0.16	34%	1.66	49%	15:17	0:18
Yakov Trenin	14%	0.15	29%	1.20	34%	13:33	0:12
Mathieu Olivier	14%	0.15	25%	1.44	42%	13:44	0:01
Conor Garland	14%	0.15	30%	1.47	43%	13:17	1:14
Michael McCarron	13%	0.14	28%	1.28	36%	14:02	0:11
Danton Heinen	10%	0.10	22%	1.02	27%	10:57	0:00
Rieger Lorenz	10%	0.10	24%	0.78	18%	9:07	0:01
Tyler Pitlick	8%	0.09	17%	0.85	21%	8:06	0:01
Luca Del Bel Belluz	8%	0.08	20%	0.92	24%	9:19	0:24
Ryan Lomberg	7%	0.07	14%	0.96	25%	8:24	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Zach Werenski	23%	0.27	64%	3.35	83%	28:33	3:24
Quinn Hughes	19%	0.21	74%	2.49	70%	28:01	3:30
Denton Mateychuk	8%	0.08	28%	1.46	43%	21:27	1:04
Jonas Brodin	6%	0.06	28%	1.19	33%	22:04	0:13
David Spacek	4%	0.05	22%	1.01	27%	14:18	0:49
Matt Kiersted	4%	0.04	20%	0.79	19%	15:44	0:00
Zach Bogosian	4%	0.04	17%	0.87	22%	16:29	0:06
Daemon Hunt	4%	0.04	18%	0.67	15%	13:50	0:09
Erik Gudbranson	3%	0.03	16%	0.94	24%	18:04	0:01
Emil Andrae	2%	0.02	10%	0.49	9%	10:27	0:04
Jake Christiansen	2%	0.02	9%	0.62	13%	11:36	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Sebastian Aho	37%	0.46	70%	2.70	74%	19:57	4:04
Andrei Svechnikov	36%	0.44	64%	2.83	76%	17:53	4:04
Jackson Blake	32%	0.39	58%	2.52	70%	18:03	3:49
Nikolaj Ehlers	29%	0.34	61%	2.48	70%	16:30	3:42
Logan Stankoven	27%	0.32	48%	2.37	67%	16:37	1:36
Matt Coronato	26%	0.30	49%	2.00	59%	17:34	2:07
Joel Farabee	23%	0.26	45%	1.74	51%	18:50	1:32
Morgan Frost	22%	0.25	44%	1.55	45%	16:08	2:08
Mikael Backlund	22%	0.25	42%	1.98	58%	19:01	0:18
Matvei Gridin	21%	0.24	46%	1.59	47%	15:12	2:00
Yegor Sharangovich	19%	0.22	37%	1.42	41%	16:17	0:55
Bradly Nadeau	19%	0.21	37%	1.53	45%	14:26	1:05
Mark Jankowski	18%	0.20	33%	1.35	39%	13:27	0:51
Aydar Suniev	18%	0.20	38%	1.34	38%	13:26	1:22
Jordan Martinook	17%	0.18	34%	1.54	45%	14:28	0:02
Ryan Strome	16%	0.18	40%	1.31	37%	14:26	1:07
Eric Robinson	16%	0.17	30%	1.41	41%	12:23	0:09
William Carrier	15%	0.16	31%	1.37	39%	12:27	0:00
Felix Unger Sorum	14%	0.15	33%	1.37	39%	11:45	0:51
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	12%	0.13	29%	1.18	33%	11:38	0:16
Martin Pospisil	12%	0.13	28%	1.13	31%	12:48	0:02
Brennan Othmann	12%	0.12	25%	0.93	24%	10:58	0:28
Adam Klapka	12%	0.12	25%	0.93	24%	10:49	0:05
Jonathan Castagna	11%	0.11	26%	0.87	22%	10:30	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Shayne Gostisbehere	14%	0.16	56%	1.96	57%	18:06	3:55
Sean Walker	11%	0.11	34%	2.04	60%	21:54	0:44
Zayne Parekh	10%	0.11	32%	1.31	37%	18:08	2:14
K'Andre Miller	10%	0.11	38%	1.68	49%	22:34	1:16
Simon Nemec	10%	0.10	34%	1.33	38%	21:23	0:57
Jalen Chatfield	8%	0.08	25%	1.52	45%	20:18	0:04
Jaccob Slavin	7%	0.08	29%	1.60	47%	21:18	0:02
Jacob Middleton	5%	0.05	21%	0.83	20%	18:01	0:00
Mike Reilly	5%	0.05	20%	1.26	36%	13:14	0:02
Yan Kuznetsov	5%	0.05	20%	0.98	26%	19:17	0:02
Zach Whitecloud	4%	0.04	21%	0.82	20%	22:03	0:01
Kevin Bahl	4%	0.04	22%	0.76	18%	22:10	0:05

Anytime goal board

Kirill Kaprizov45%
Matt Boldy44%
Sebastian Aho37%
Andrei Svechnikov36%
Joel Eriksson Ek33%

Forwards

Rank by


CBJ @ MIN	44.4%	0.59	70.8%	34.9%	47.5%	3.26	82.2%	61.9%	22:24	3:20
CBJ @ MIN	45.4%	0.61	73.3%	38.1%	51.1%	3.05	79.3%	57.6%	22:24	3:19
CAR @ CGY	36.9%	0.46	69.8%	33.6%	52.1%	2.70	73.8%	49.9%	19:57	4:04
CBJ @ MIN	33.0%	0.40	60.4%	23.7%	40.8%	2.67	73.3%	49.2%	20:43	3:10
CBJ @ MIN	29.5%	0.35	51.7%	16.6%	31.6%	2.75	74.6%	51.0%	20:24	3:04
CAR @ CGY	35.7%	0.44	63.8%	27.0%	43.7%	2.83	76.0%	52.9%	17:53	4:04
CAR @ CGY	32.2%	0.39	58.5%	22.0%	38.8%	2.52	70.4%	45.6%	18:03	3:49
CBJ @ MIN	21.2%	0.24	47.3%	13.5%	33.1%	1.81	53.4%	27.4%	18:56	2:57
CAR @ CGY	28.7%	0.34	61.2%	24.5%	45.5%	2.48	69.6%	44.6%	16:30	3:42
CBJ @ MIN	22.8%	0.26	49.3%	14.8%	34.3%	1.85	54.6%	28.5%	18:36	2:49
CAR @ CGY	23.2%	0.26	44.9%	12.0%	28.2%	1.74	51.3%	25.6%	18:50	1:32
CAR @ CGY	25.7%	0.30	48.8%	14.6%	31.2%	2.00	58.5%	32.3%	17:34	2:07
CAR @ CGY	22.0%	0.25	42.4%	10.6%	26.3%	1.98	58.0%	31.8%	19:01	0:18
CAR @ CGY	27.4%	0.32	48.0%	14.0%	28.4%	2.37	67.4%	42.0%	16:37	1:36
CBJ @ MIN	25.9%	0.30	45.1%	12.2%	26.0%	2.13	61.9%	35.8%	16:56	1:34
CBJ @ MIN	21.3%	0.24	42.4%	10.6%	26.8%	2.00	58.5%	32.3%	16:44	1:34
CBJ @ MIN	18.0%	0.20	39.3%	9.0%	26.0%	1.70	50.1%	24.5%	17:05	1:26
CBJ @ MIN	21.6%	0.24	49.3%	14.8%	35.3%	1.41	40.9%	17.3%	15:28	3:07
CAR @ CGY	22.1%	0.25	44.1%	11.6%	28.2%	1.55	45.3%	20.6%	16:08	2:08
CBJ @ MIN	17.4%	0.19	36.7%	7.8%	23.4%	1.80	53.0%	27.0%	15:45	2:16
CAR @ CGY	21.0%	0.24	46.4%	13.0%	32.2%	1.59	46.7%	21.6%	15:12	2:00
CBJ @ MIN	23.0%	0.26	42.2%	10.5%	24.9%	1.75	51.4%	25.7%	15:33	1:15
CAR @ CGY	19.4%	0.22	36.9%	7.9%	21.7%	1.42	41.1%	17.4%	16:17	0:55
CBJ @ MIN	14.5%	0.16	33.6%	6.4%	22.4%	1.66	48.9%	23.5%	15:17	0:18
CAR @ CGY	18.9%	0.21	37.2%	8.0%	22.5%	1.53	44.9%	20.2%	14:26	1:05
CBJ @ MIN	18.1%	0.20	37.6%	8.2%	23.8%	1.27	36.2%	14.0%	14:25	1:18
CAR @ CGY	16.2%	0.18	39.6%	9.1%	27.9%	1.31	37.3%	14.8%	14:26	1:07
CBJ @ MIN	16.9%	0.18	38.6%	8.6%	26.1%	1.35	38.9%	15.8%	13:53	1:33
CAR @ CGY	17.9%	0.20	38.5%	8.6%	25.1%	1.34	38.3%	15.4%	13:26	1:22
CAR @ CGY	16.8%	0.18	34.4%	6.7%	21.1%	1.54	45.2%	20.5%	14:28	0:02
CBJ @ MIN	13.5%	0.15	30.0%	5.0%	19.1%	1.47	43.0%	18.8%	13:17	1:14
CAR @ CGY	18.1%	0.20	32.6%	6.0%	17.7%	1.35	38.9%	15.9%	13:27	0:51
CBJ @ MIN	13.3%	0.14	27.7%	4.2%	16.6%	1.28	36.5%	14.2%	14:02	0:11
CBJ @ MIN	13.8%	0.15	25.4%	3.5%	13.5%	1.44	41.7%	17.9%	13:44	0:01
CBJ @ MIN	14.1%	0.15	28.6%	4.6%	16.9%	1.20	33.6%	12.4%	13:33	0:12
CAR @ CGY	14.3%	0.15	32.7%	6.0%	21.5%	1.37	39.4%	16.2%	11:45	0:51
CAR @ CGY	15.5%	0.17	29.9%	5.0%	17.0%	1.41	40.9%	17.3%	12:23	0:09
CAR @ CGY	14.6%	0.16	31.3%	5.5%	19.6%	1.37	39.5%	16.3%	12:27	0:00
CAR @ CGY	11.8%	0.13	27.8%	4.3%	18.2%	1.13	30.9%	10.8%	12:48	0:02
CAR @ CGY	12.1%	0.13	28.9%	4.6%	19.1%	1.18	32.8%	11.9%	11:38	0:16
CAR @ CGY	11.6%	0.12	25.3%	3.5%	15.6%	0.93	23.9%	7.1%	10:58	0:28
CBJ @ MIN	9.7%	0.10	22.1%	2.7%	13.7%	1.02	27.0%	8.6%	10:57	0:00
CAR @ CGY	11.5%	0.12	24.6%	3.3%	14.8%	0.93	23.7%	7.0%	10:49	0:05
CAR @ CGY	10.8%	0.11	25.9%	3.7%	17.0%	0.87	21.6%	6.0%	10:30	0:00
CBJ @ MIN	7.8%	0.08	19.5%	2.0%	12.7%	0.92	23.6%	6.9%	9:19	0:24
CBJ @ MIN	9.7%	0.10	23.5%	3.0%	15.3%	0.78	18.4%	4.6%	9:07	0:01
CBJ @ MIN	6.8%	0.07	14.1%	1.0%	7.9%	0.96	25.1%	7.6%	8:24	0:00
CBJ @ MIN	8.5%	0.09	17.2%	1.6%	9.6%	0.85	21.2%	5.8%	8:06	0:01

Defense

Rank by


CBJ @ MIN	23.3%	0.27	64.2%	27.4%	53.3%	3.35	83.2%	63.6%	28:33	3:24
CBJ @ MIN	18.9%	0.21	73.8%	38.7%	67.7%	2.49	69.9%	44.9%	28:01	3:30
CAR @ CGY	10.0%	0.11	38.1%	8.4%	31.2%	1.68	49.4%	23.9%	22:34	1:16
CAR @ CGY	10.7%	0.11	34.3%	6.7%	26.4%	2.04	59.5%	33.3%	21:54	0:44
CAR @ CGY	14.4%	0.16	55.8%	19.7%	48.4%	1.96	57.4%	31.2%	18:06	3:55
CBJ @ MIN	7.7%	0.08	28.3%	4.4%	22.3%	1.46	42.6%	18.5%	21:27	1:04
CAR @ CGY	10.0%	0.10	34.1%	6.6%	26.8%	1.33	38.2%	15.4%	21:23	0:57
CBJ @ MIN	5.7%	0.06	28.4%	4.5%	24.1%	1.19	33.1%	12.1%	22:04	0:13
CAR @ CGY	7.4%	0.08	29.5%	4.9%	23.8%	1.60	47.0%	21.9%	21:18	0:02
CAR @ CGY	4.3%	0.04	22.0%	2.6%	18.5%	0.76	17.6%	4.3%	22:10	0:05
CAR @ CGY	4.3%	0.04	21.4%	2.5%	17.9%	0.82	19.8%	5.2%	22:03	0:01
CAR @ CGY	7.6%	0.08	25.0%	3.4%	18.8%	1.52	44.6%	20.0%	20:18	0:04
CAR @ CGY	10.2%	0.11	32.0%	5.8%	24.3%	1.31	37.4%	14.8%	18:08	2:14
CAR @ CGY	4.5%	0.05	20.2%	2.2%	16.4%	0.98	25.9%	8.0%	19:17	0:02
CBJ @ MIN	3.2%	0.03	15.9%	1.3%	13.2%	0.94	24.3%	7.2%	18:04	0:01
CAR @ CGY	5.0%	0.05	20.9%	2.4%	16.8%	0.83	20.3%	5.4%	18:01	0:00
CBJ @ MIN	3.7%	0.04	17.4%	1.6%	14.2%	0.87	21.7%	6.0%	16:29	0:06
CBJ @ MIN	3.9%	0.04	20.0%	2.2%	16.8%	0.79	18.8%	4.8%	15:44	0:00
CBJ @ MIN	4.5%	0.05	21.8%	2.6%	18.1%	1.01	26.9%	8.6%	14:18	0:49
CAR @ CGY	4.7%	0.05	19.7%	2.1%	15.8%	1.26	35.7%	13.7%	13:14	0:02
CBJ @ MIN	3.5%	0.04	18.2%	1.8%	15.2%	0.67	14.8%	3.3%	13:50	0:09
CBJ @ MIN	1.9%	0.02	9.3%	0.4%	7.5%	0.62	13.1%	2.7%	11:36	0:00
CBJ @ MIN	2.1%	0.02	10.4%	0.6%	8.5%	0.49	9.0%	1.5%	10:27	0:04

Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.92 expected scorers, 2.5% that all three score.

Group 1

Matt Boldy MIN vs CBJ · 3.3 SOG · 22:24 TOI Best44%
Sebastian Aho CAR @ CGY · 2.7 SOG · 19:57 TOI 37%
Andrei Svechnikov CAR @ CGY · 2.8 SOG · 17:53 TOI 36%
Joel Eriksson Ek MIN vs CBJ · 2.7 SOG · 20:43 TOI 33%
Jackson Blake CAR @ CGY · 2.5 SOG · 18:03 TOI 32%
Adam Fantilli CBJ @ MIN · 2.7 SOG · 20:24 TOI 29%
Nikolaj Ehlers CAR @ CGY · 2.5 SOG · 16:30 TOI 29%
Logan Stankoven CAR @ CGY · 2.4 SOG · 16:37 TOI 27%

Group 2

Blake Coleman MIN vs CBJ · 2.1 SOG · 16:56 TOI Best26%
Joel Farabee CGY vs CAR · 1.7 SOG · 18:50 TOI 23%
Ryan Hartman MIN vs CBJ · 1.7 SOG · 15:33 TOI 23%
Matthew Knies CBJ @ MIN · 1.9 SOG · 18:36 TOI 23%
Morgan Frost CGY vs CAR · 1.5 SOG · 16:08 TOI 22%
Valeri Nichushkin CBJ @ MIN · 2.0 SOG · 16:44 TOI 21%
Matvei Gridin CGY vs CAR · 1.6 SOG · 15:12 TOI 21%
Yegor Sharangovich CGY vs CAR · 1.4 SOG · 16:17 TOI 19%
Bradly Nadeau CAR @ CGY · 1.5 SOG · 14:26 TOI 19%
Quinn Hughes MIN vs CBJ · 2.5 SOG · 28:01 TOI 19%
Mark Jankowski CAR @ CGY · 1.4 SOG · 13:27 TOI 18%
Sean Monahan CBJ @ MIN · 1.7 SOG · 17:05 TOI 18%
Aydar Suniev CGY vs CAR · 1.3 SOG · 13:26 TOI 18%
Kent Johnson CBJ @ MIN · 1.8 SOG · 15:45 TOI 17%
Jordan Martinook CAR @ CGY · 1.5 SOG · 14:28 TOI 17%
William Carrier CAR @ CGY · 1.4 SOG · 12:27 TOI 15%
Shayne Gostisbehere CAR @ CGY · 2.0 SOG · 18:06 TOI 14%

Group 3

Mikael Backlund CGY vs CAR · 2.0 SOG · 19:01 TOI Best22%
Bobby Brink MIN vs CBJ · 1.4 SOG · 13:53 TOI 17%
Ryan Strome CGY vs CAR · 1.3 SOG · 14:26 TOI 16%
Eric Robinson CAR @ CGY · 1.4 SOG · 12:23 TOI 16%
Cole Sillinger CBJ @ MIN · 1.7 SOG · 15:17 TOI 14%
Yakov Trenin MIN vs CBJ · 1.2 SOG · 13:33 TOI 14%
Mathieu Olivier CBJ @ MIN · 1.4 SOG · 13:44 TOI 14%
Conor Garland CBJ @ MIN · 1.5 SOG · 13:17 TOI 14%
Michael McCarron MIN vs CBJ · 1.3 SOG · 14:02 TOI 13%
Jesperi Kotkaniemi CAR @ CGY · 1.2 SOG · 11:38 TOI 12%
Martin Pospisil CGY vs CAR · 1.1 SOG · 12:48 TOI 12%
Adam Klapka CGY vs CAR · 0.9 SOG · 10:49 TOI 12%
Sean Walker CAR @ CGY · 2.0 SOG · 21:54 TOI 11%
Zayne Parekh CGY vs CAR · 1.3 SOG · 18:08 TOI 10%
K'Andre Miller CAR @ CGY · 1.7 SOG · 22:34 TOI 10%
Dmitri Voronkov CBJ @ MIN Not in projected lineup
Maxim Tsyplakov CGY vs CAR Not in projected lineup

Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.

NHL predictions Sun, Oct 18

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Anytime goal board

Forwards

Defense

Group 1

Group 2

Group 3

Games

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Recommended bet

Model vs market

Movement

Players

Anytime goal board

Forwards

Defense

Tims Hockey Challenge

Group 1

Group 2

Group 3