NHL predictions Mon, Oct 12
Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. How it works →
3 games on this slate · 56–30 last 30 days →
Games
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Tage Thompson
|
42% | 0.54 | 64% | 3.35 | 83% | 19:52 | 3:23 |
Sam Reinhart
|
34% | 0.42 | 60% | 2.65 | 73% | 20:53 | 5:23 |
Matthew Tkachuk
|
32% | 0.38 | 64% | 2.75 | 75% | 19:19 | 5:04 |
Brady Tkachuk
|
31% | 0.37 | 56% | 3.32 | 83% | 16:57 | 5:24 |
Jack Quinn
|
29% | 0.35 | 54% | 2.41 | 68% | 18:26 | 3:22 |
Sam Bennett
|
29% | 0.34 | 53% | 2.69 | 74% | 19:29 | 4:14 |
Carter Verhaeghe
|
26% | 0.30 | 50% | 2.48 | 70% | 18:18 | 3:29 |
Zach Benson
|
24% | 0.27 | 49% | 1.82 | 54% | 18:16 | 2:26 |
Josh Doan
|
24% | 0.27 | 44% | 1.78 | 53% | 15:39 | 2:04 |
Anton Lundell
|
22% | 0.25 | 47% | 2.24 | 64% | 18:41 | 3:26 |
Josh Norris
|
21% | 0.24 | 43% | 1.47 | 43% | 16:08 | 2:36 |
Noah Ostlund
|
21% | 0.23 | 44% | 1.56 | 46% | 16:59 | 2:06 |
Konsta Helenius
|
16% | 0.18 | 34% | 1.44 | 42% | 13:14 | 1:04 |
Ryan McLeod
|
16% | 0.17 | 43% | 1.11 | 30% | 16:27 | 1:48 |
Eetu Luostarinen
|
14% | 0.15 | 31% | 1.44 | 42% | 15:33 | 1:36 |
Peyton Krebs
|
13% | 0.14 | 35% | 1.16 | 32% | 14:40 | 0:15 |
Lars Eller
|
10% | 0.11 | 24% | 1.22 | 34% | 13:54 | 0:47 |
Sandis Vilmanis
|
10% | 0.11 | 22% | 1.15 | 32% | 11:42 | 0:22 |
Sam Carrick
|
9% | 0.09 | 18% | 0.87 | 22% | 9:19 | 0:01 |
Tyson Kozak
|
8% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.74 | 17% | 10:42 | 0:03 |
Beck Malenstyn
|
8% | 0.09 | 17% | 0.80 | 19% | 10:55 | 0:02 |
Sam Lafferty
|
6% | 0.06 | 13% | 0.70 | 16% | 9:14 | 0:00 |
Bokondji Imama
|
5% | 0.05 | 12% | 0.74 | 17% | 6:48 | 0:00 |
Garnet Hathaway
|
5% | 0.05 | 11% | 0.59 | 12% | 8:57 | 0:02 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Rasmus Dahlin
|
19% | 0.21 | 60% | 2.48 | 70% | 25:34 | 3:38 |
Seth Jones
|
12% | 0.13 | 44% | 1.98 | 58% | 24:56 | 4:51 |
Owen Power
|
10% | 0.10 | 38% | 1.49 | 44% | 24:26 | 0:58 |
Olen Zellweger
|
8% | 0.08 | 22% | 1.31 | 37% | 17:00 | 0:13 |
Aaron Ekblad
|
7% | 0.07 | 33% | 1.39 | 40% | 21:32 | 2:34 |
Mattias Samuelsson
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.14 | 32% | 21:06 | 0:01 |
Gustav Forsling
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.51 | 44% | 21:00 | 0:35 |
Louis Crevier
|
5% | 0.05 | 18% | 1.08 | 29% | 15:45 | 0:00 |
Niko Mikkola
|
5% | 0.05 | 17% | 1.12 | 31% | 19:22 | 0:07 |
Dmitry Kulikov
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.81 | 19% | 16:53 | 0:02 |
Zach Metsa
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.56 | 11% | 12:30 | 0:06 |
Radko Gudas
|
2% | 0.02 | 13% | 0.83 | 20% | 13:33 | 0:00 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
FLA
Aleksander BarkovFBrad MarchandFJonah GadjovichF
BUF
Jason ZuckerFConor TimminsD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
FLA- Rating
- +0.12
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
BUF- Rating
- -0.04
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 32.2%
- First line
- 30.0%
- Latest
- 30.0%
Chance to cover. BUF -1.5 +220 / FLA +1.5 -270 (vig removed)
- Model
- 53.5%
- First line
- 48.9%
- Latest
- 51.1%
Moneyline BUF -115 / FLA -105 (vig removed) · opened 48.9%
Totals are hidden once the game starts: they are a sealed forward test.
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 4:54 PM ET
- Latest
- Closing line · DraftKings · 12:53 PM ET · spread from 10:47 AM
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Jack Hughes
|
34% | 0.42 | 66% | 3.31 | 83% | 20:21 | 3:42 |
Tim Stützle
|
32% | 0.39 | 65% | 2.25 | 65% | 21:18 | 3:55 |
Drake Batherson
|
29% | 0.35 | 56% | 2.02 | 59% | 17:15 | 3:41 |
Dylan Cozens
|
29% | 0.34 | 53% | 2.39 | 68% | 18:14 | 3:36 |
Nico Hischier
|
28% | 0.33 | 52% | 2.26 | 65% | 19:43 | 3:34 |
Shane Pinto
|
28% | 0.33 | 49% | 2.07 | 60% | 19:37 | 2:23 |
Timo Meier
|
27% | 0.32 | 44% | 2.87 | 77% | 17:30 | 1:48 |
Jesper Bratt
|
23% | 0.26 | 57% | 2.07 | 60% | 17:41 | 3:23 |
Luke Evangelista
|
22% | 0.25 | 52% | 2.24 | 64% | 17:40 | 4:19 |
Ridly Greig
|
19% | 0.22 | 39% | 1.62 | 48% | 17:36 | 1:22 |
Claude Giroux
|
18% | 0.20 | 47% | 1.66 | 49% | 16:44 | 2:54 |
Fabian Zetterlund
|
17% | 0.18 | 32% | 1.46 | 43% | 12:15 | 1:36 |
Evan Rodrigues
|
17% | 0.18 | 33% | 1.72 | 51% | 14:57 | 2:01 |
Michael Amadio
|
16% | 0.18 | 34% | 1.30 | 37% | 16:34 | 0:04 |
Arseny Gritsyuk
|
16% | 0.18 | 34% | 1.87 | 55% | 14:16 | 1:22 |
Anthony Mantha
|
16% | 0.17 | 34% | 1.40 | 41% | 12:48 | 1:52 |
Dawson Mercer
|
15% | 0.17 | 29% | 1.56 | 46% | 15:33 | 0:40 |
Warren Foegele
|
15% | 0.16 | 27% | 1.31 | 38% | 11:18 | 0:36 |
Andre Burakovsky
|
13% | 0.14 | 32% | 1.06 | 29% | 12:49 | 2:04 |
Stephen Halliday
|
12% | 0.13 | 29% | 1.11 | 30% | 9:34 | 2:14 |
Cody Glass
|
11% | 0.12 | 22% | 1.21 | 34% | 12:36 | 0:22 |
Nick Cousins
|
10% | 0.11 | 23% | 1.00 | 27% | 10:45 | 0:03 |
Amadeus Lombardi
|
9% | 0.10 | 22% | 1.10 | 30% | 10:25 | 0:24 |
Jesper Boqvist
|
9% | 0.09 | 19% | 0.96 | 25% | 11:17 | 0:08 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Thomas Chabot
|
14% | 0.15 | 47% | 2.09 | 61% | 25:36 | 3:07 |
Dougie Hamilton
|
12% | 0.12 | 35% | 2.21 | 64% | 20:34 | 1:49 |
Luke Hughes
|
11% | 0.12 | 44% | 1.99 | 58% | 22:56 | 3:20 |
Jordan Spence
|
9% | 0.10 | 37% | 1.51 | 44% | 22:02 | 1:11 |
Carter Yakemchuk
|
7% | 0.08 | 32% | 1.29 | 37% | 16:31 | 2:49 |
Tyler Kleven
|
5% | 0.05 | 21% | 1.26 | 36% | 19:15 | 0:09 |
Brett Pesce
|
5% | 0.05 | 17% | 1.15 | 32% | 20:08 | 0:06 |
Nikolas Matinpalo
|
4% | 0.04 | 14% | 0.85 | 21% | 16:43 | 0:01 |
Jonas Siegenthaler
|
3% | 0.03 | 16% | 0.74 | 17% | 18:34 | 0:03 |
Declan Chisholm
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.74 | 17% | 13:58 | 0:13 |
Brenden Dillon
|
2% | 0.02 | 13% | 0.61 | 13% | 15:58 | 0:01 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
OTT
Kurtis MacDermidFWilliam EklundFArtem ZubDCameron CrottyDJake SandersonD
NJD
Connor BrownFNick BjugstadFSeamus CaseyD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
OTT- Rating
- +0.27
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
NJD- Rating
- -0.19
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 28.2%
- First line
- 33.6%
- Latest
- 33.6%
Chance to cover. NJD -1.5 +185 / OTT +1.5 -225 (vig removed)
- Model
- 53.0%
- First line
- 45.7%
- Latest
- 47.4%
Moneyline NJD -122 / OTT +102 (vig removed) · opened 45.7%
- Model
- 6.2
- First line
- 5.5
- Latest
- 5.5
Over -130 / Under +110
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 4:54 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 12:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Forwards
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Kirill Kaprizov
|
38% | 0.49 | 65% | 2.74 | 75% | 21:37 | 3:23 |
Matt Boldy
|
36% | 0.45 | 61% | 2.85 | 76% | 20:38 | 3:23 |
Jack Eichel
|
33% | 0.40 | 67% | 3.31 | 83% | 21:22 | 4:18 |
Joel Eriksson Ek
|
27% | 0.32 | 51% | 2.35 | 67% | 18:57 | 3:11 |
Mark Stone
|
27% | 0.32 | 58% | 2.21 | 64% | 19:08 | 3:55 |
Tomas Hertl
|
26% | 0.31 | 46% | 2.40 | 68% | 15:46 | 4:12 |
Mitch Marner
|
26% | 0.30 | 60% | 2.26 | 65% | 20:14 | 4:10 |
Blake Coleman
|
21% | 0.24 | 38% | 1.90 | 56% | 15:44 | 1:20 |
Ryan Hartman
|
20% | 0.22 | 36% | 1.64 | 48% | 14:37 | 1:08 |
William Karlsson
|
19% | 0.21 | 36% | 1.99 | 58% | 16:55 | 1:17 |
Maxim Shabanov
|
19% | 0.21 | 43% | 1.31 | 38% | 15:03 | 3:06 |
Trevor Connelly
|
18% | 0.20 | 35% | 1.95 | 57% | 12:57 | 2:51 |
Ivan Barbashev
|
18% | 0.20 | 40% | 1.62 | 48% | 16:32 | 1:02 |
Brett Howden
|
16% | 0.17 | 28% | 1.47 | 43% | 15:24 | 0:33 |
Danila Yurov
|
14% | 0.15 | 31% | 1.11 | 31% | 13:45 | 0:59 |
Braeden Bowman
|
14% | 0.15 | 30% | 1.34 | 39% | 13:01 | 1:31 |
Bobby Brink
|
14% | 0.15 | 32% | 1.21 | 34% | 12:43 | 1:26 |
Yakov Trenin
|
12% | 0.13 | 24% | 1.08 | 29% | 13:16 | 0:15 |
Michael McCarron
|
11% | 0.12 | 23% | 1.17 | 32% | 13:04 | 0:15 |
Raphael Lavoie
|
9% | 0.09 | 18% | 0.98 | 26% | 9:03 | 0:21 |
Nico Sturm
|
8% | 0.09 | 18% | 0.81 | 20% | 11:27 | 0:00 |
Marc Gatcomb
|
8% | 0.09 | 15% | 1.24 | 35% | 9:41 | 0:01 |
Nic Dowd
|
7% | 0.08 | 17% | 0.81 | 20% | 11:24 | 0:04 |
Rieger Lorenz
|
6% | 0.06 | 15% | 0.66 | 14% | 7:11 | 0:00 |
Defense
| Scoring | Shots | Usage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||||
Quinn Hughes
|
17% | 0.18 | 66% | 2.33 | 67% | 27:49 | 3:33 |
Rasmus Andersson
|
9% | 0.10 | 27% | 1.81 | 53% | 19:35 | 1:24 |
Shea Theodore
|
9% | 0.10 | 38% | 1.86 | 55% | 21:14 | 1:58 |
Noah Hanifin
|
7% | 0.07 | 24% | 1.66 | 49% | 20:51 | 0:31 |
Jared Spurgeon
|
6% | 0.06 | 27% | 1.09 | 30% | 21:06 | 1:00 |
Olli Maatta
|
5% | 0.05 | 25% | 0.84 | 20% | 21:20 | 0:03 |
Jonas Brodin
|
5% | 0.05 | 23% | 1.04 | 28% | 20:47 | 0:13 |
Brayden McNabb
|
4% | 0.05 | 17% | 1.14 | 32% | 19:14 | 0:03 |
Jeremy Lauzon
|
4% | 0.04 | 12% | 1.09 | 30% | 16:23 | 0:01 |
Zach Bogosian
|
3% | 0.03 | 14% | 0.80 | 19% | 15:27 | 0:01 |
Parker Wotherspoon
|
3% | 0.03 | 17% | 0.86 | 21% | 18:14 | 0:06 |
Daemon Hunt
|
3% | 0.03 | 15% | 0.60 | 12% | 12:30 | 0:14 |
No NHL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their share of the team's expected goals is spread across the dressed lineup.
VGK
Victor OlofssonF
MIN
Marcus FolignoFNick FolignoFBrock FaberD
Anytime Goal excludes shootout goals. Lineups are projected, so a late scratch can change them. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Goaltending
VGK- Rating
- -0.04
- DailyFaceoff
- Unconfirmed
MIN- Rating
- +0.28
- DailyFaceoff
- Confirmed
Rating: goals saved per game against a league-average goalie, reset each season. The model uses DailyFaceoff's starter once confirmed or likely, else its own pick.
Model vs market
- Model
- 31.4%
- First line
- 30.0%
- Latest
- 30.0%
Chance to cover. MIN -1.5 +220 / VGK +1.5 -270 (vig removed)
- Model
- 52.2%
- First line
- 51.7%
- Latest
- 50.4%
Moneyline MIN -112 / VGK -108 (vig removed) · opened 51.7%
- Model
- 6.0
- First line
- 5.5
- Latest
- 5.5
Over -135 / Under +114
- First line
- DraftKings · Sun 4:54 PM ET
- Latest
- DraftKings · as of 12:53 PM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Players
Anytime goal board
- Tage Thompson42%
- Kirill Kaprizov38%
- Matt Boldy36%
- Sam Reinhart34%
- Jack Hughes34%
Forwards
| VGK @ MIN | 33.2% | 0.40 | 66.7% | 30.1% | 50.1% | 3.31 | 82.7% | 62.8% | 21:22 | 4:18 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 34.3% | 0.42 | 60.1% | 23.4% | 39.2% | 2.65 | 72.8% | 48.6% | 20:53 | 5:23 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 38.5% | 0.49 | 65.0% | 28.2% | 43.1% | 2.74 | 74.5% | 50.9% | 21:37 | 3:23 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 34.1% | 0.42 | 66.3% | 29.6% | 48.8% | 3.31 | 82.7% | 62.9% | 20:21 | 3:42 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 32.2% | 0.39 | 64.5% | 27.7% | 47.6% | 2.25 | 64.6% | 38.7% | 21:18 | 3:55 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 31.6% | 0.38 | 63.8% | 27.0% | 47.0% | 2.75 | 74.7% | 51.2% | 19:19 | 5:04 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 41.6% | 0.54 | 64.0% | 27.2% | 38.3% | 3.35 | 83.2% | 63.6% | 19:52 | 3:23 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 36.0% | 0.45 | 61.4% | 24.6% | 39.6% | 2.85 | 76.4% | 53.4% | 20:38 | 3:23 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 25.6% | 0.30 | 60.1% | 23.5% | 46.5% | 2.26 | 65.0% | 39.2% | 20:14 | 4:10 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 29.0% | 0.34 | 52.8% | 17.4% | 33.6% | 2.69 | 73.5% | 49.6% | 19:29 | 4:14 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 30.8% | 0.37 | 56.3% | 20.1% | 36.8% | 3.32 | 82.9% | 63.0% | 16:57 | 5:24 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 28.0% | 0.33 | 52.4% | 17.1% | 33.9% | 2.26 | 65.0% | 39.2% | 19:43 | 3:34 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 27.2% | 0.32 | 58.4% | 21.9% | 42.8% | 2.21 | 63.8% | 37.9% | 19:08 | 3:55 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 27.3% | 0.32 | 51.2% | 16.2% | 32.8% | 2.35 | 66.8% | 41.2% | 18:57 | 3:11 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 29.3% | 0.35 | 54.3% | 18.5% | 35.4% | 2.41 | 68.1% | 42.8% | 18:26 | 3:22 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 28.7% | 0.34 | 53.3% | 17.7% | 34.5% | 2.39 | 67.7% | 42.3% | 18:14 | 3:36 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 26.0% | 0.30 | 50.3% | 15.6% | 32.9% | 2.48 | 69.6% | 44.6% | 18:18 | 3:29 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 22.4% | 0.25 | 52.0% | 16.8% | 38.1% | 2.24 | 64.5% | 38.6% | 17:40 | 4:19 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 22.4% | 0.25 | 47.1% | 13.4% | 31.8% | 2.24 | 64.3% | 38.4% | 18:41 | 3:26 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 27.8% | 0.33 | 49.4% | 14.9% | 29.9% | 2.07 | 60.3% | 34.1% | 19:37 | 2:23 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 22.7% | 0.26 | 56.5% | 20.3% | 43.7% | 2.07 | 60.2% | 34.0% | 17:41 | 3:23 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 29.4% | 0.35 | 56.0% | 19.9% | 37.6% | 2.02 | 59.0% | 32.8% | 17:15 | 3:41 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 26.5% | 0.31 | 45.7% | 12.6% | 26.2% | 2.40 | 68.0% | 42.7% | 15:46 | 4:12 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 27.3% | 0.32 | 44.0% | 11.6% | 23.1% | 2.87 | 76.6% | 53.7% | 17:30 | 1:48 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 23.9% | 0.27 | 49.0% | 14.7% | 33.0% | 1.82 | 53.7% | 27.7% | 18:16 | 2:26 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 17.9% | 0.20 | 47.1% | 13.4% | 35.6% | 1.66 | 48.8% | 23.4% | 16:44 | 2:54 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 20.8% | 0.23 | 43.8% | 11.4% | 29.0% | 1.56 | 45.7% | 20.8% | 16:59 | 2:06 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 19.4% | 0.22 | 39.0% | 8.9% | 24.4% | 1.62 | 47.6% | 22.4% | 17:36 | 1:22 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 18.8% | 0.21 | 36.2% | 7.5% | 21.4% | 1.99 | 58.2% | 32.0% | 16:55 | 1:17 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 21.1% | 0.24 | 43.1% | 11.0% | 28.0% | 1.47 | 43.0% | 18.8% | 16:08 | 2:36 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 23.6% | 0.27 | 43.6% | 11.3% | 26.2% | 1.78 | 52.6% | 26.7% | 15:39 | 2:04 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 18.5% | 0.21 | 42.9% | 10.9% | 29.9% | 1.31 | 37.5% | 14.9% | 15:03 | 3:06 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 18.0% | 0.20 | 40.0% | 9.3% | 26.8% | 1.62 | 47.6% | 22.4% | 16:32 | 1:02 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 15.7% | 0.17 | 43.3% | 11.2% | 32.8% | 1.11 | 30.4% | 10.5% | 16:27 | 1:48 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 21.2% | 0.24 | 37.6% | 8.2% | 20.8% | 1.90 | 55.8% | 29.6% | 15:44 | 1:20 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 16.6% | 0.18 | 33.0% | 6.2% | 19.7% | 1.72 | 50.5% | 24.9% | 14:57 | 2:01 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 13.5% | 0.15 | 31.1% | 5.4% | 20.3% | 1.44 | 41.7% | 17.9% | 15:33 | 1:36 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 18.1% | 0.20 | 35.1% | 7.0% | 20.8% | 1.95 | 57.3% | 31.1% | 12:57 | 2:51 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 16.4% | 0.18 | 34.0% | 6.6% | 21.1% | 1.30 | 37.0% | 14.6% | 16:34 | 0:04 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 16.2% | 0.18 | 33.6% | 6.4% | 20.8% | 1.87 | 55.1% | 29.0% | 14:16 | 1:22 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 15.5% | 0.17 | 29.3% | 4.8% | 16.3% | 1.56 | 45.7% | 20.9% | 15:33 | 0:40 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 19.7% | 0.22 | 36.4% | 7.6% | 20.8% | 1.64 | 48.3% | 23.0% | 14:37 | 1:08 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 15.7% | 0.17 | 28.3% | 4.5% | 15.0% | 1.47 | 42.7% | 18.6% | 15:24 | 0:33 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 15.8% | 0.17 | 34.0% | 6.6% | 21.6% | 1.40 | 40.6% | 17.0% | 12:48 | 1:52 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 13.0% | 0.14 | 34.8% | 6.9% | 25.0% | 1.16 | 32.1% | 11.5% | 14:40 | 0:15 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 16.1% | 0.18 | 34.3% | 6.7% | 21.7% | 1.44 | 41.9% | 18.0% | 13:14 | 1:04 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 14.0% | 0.15 | 30.3% | 5.1% | 19.0% | 1.34 | 38.6% | 15.7% | 13:01 | 1:31 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 13.0% | 0.14 | 32.1% | 5.8% | 22.0% | 1.06 | 28.5% | 9.4% | 12:49 | 2:04 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 14.3% | 0.15 | 30.6% | 5.3% | 19.1% | 1.11 | 30.5% | 10.6% | 13:45 | 0:59 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 10.3% | 0.11 | 24.1% | 3.2% | 15.3% | 1.22 | 34.3% | 12.8% | 13:54 | 0:47 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 16.8% | 0.18 | 31.9% | 5.7% | 18.1% | 1.46 | 42.6% | 18.5% | 12:15 | 1:36 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 13.9% | 0.15 | 31.9% | 5.7% | 20.9% | 1.21 | 34.0% | 12.7% | 12:43 | 1:26 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 12.0% | 0.13 | 24.1% | 3.2% | 13.7% | 1.08 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 13:16 | 0:15 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 11.3% | 0.12 | 23.1% | 2.9% | 13.3% | 1.17 | 32.5% | 11.7% | 13:04 | 0:15 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 11.3% | 0.12 | 21.8% | 2.6% | 11.9% | 1.21 | 34.0% | 12.6% | 12:36 | 0:22 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 15.2% | 0.16 | 27.3% | 4.1% | 14.3% | 1.31 | 37.6% | 15.0% | 11:18 | 0:36 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 10.2% | 0.11 | 22.4% | 2.7% | 13.6% | 1.15 | 31.7% | 11.3% | 11:42 | 0:22 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 12.5% | 0.13 | 28.9% | 4.7% | 18.8% | 1.11 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 9:34 | 2:14 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 8.6% | 0.09 | 18.7% | 1.9% | 11.0% | 0.96 | 25.1% | 7.7% | 11:17 | 0:08 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 8.4% | 0.09 | 17.9% | 1.7% | 10.4% | 0.81 | 19.7% | 5.2% | 11:27 | 0:00 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 7.3% | 0.08 | 17.4% | 1.6% | 10.9% | 0.81 | 19.7% | 5.2% | 11:24 | 0:04 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 9.2% | 0.10 | 22.2% | 2.7% | 14.3% | 1.10 | 29.9% | 10.2% | 10:25 | 0:24 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 10.3% | 0.11 | 22.9% | 2.8% | 14.1% | 1.00 | 26.5% | 8.4% | 10:45 | 0:03 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 8.3% | 0.09 | 17.3% | 1.6% | 9.9% | 0.80 | 19.3% | 5.0% | 10:55 | 0:02 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 8.3% | 0.09 | 18.8% | 1.9% | 11.4% | 0.74 | 17.2% | 4.2% | 10:42 | 0:03 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 8.4% | 0.09 | 15.4% | 1.2% | 7.7% | 1.24 | 34.9% | 13.2% | 9:41 | 0:01 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 8.6% | 0.09 | 17.6% | 1.6% | 9.8% | 0.98 | 25.6% | 7.9% | 9:03 | 0:21 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 8.6% | 0.09 | 17.7% | 1.7% | 10.0% | 0.87 | 21.8% | 6.1% | 9:19 | 0:01 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 5.8% | 0.06 | 13.4% | 0.9% | 8.0% | 0.70 | 15.6% | 3.6% | 9:14 | 0:00 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 4.8% | 0.05 | 10.9% | 0.6% | 6.4% | 0.59 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 8:57 | 0:02 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 6.1% | 0.06 | 15.1% | 1.2% | 9.5% | 0.66 | 14.3% | 3.1% | 7:11 | 0:00 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 4.9% | 0.05 | 11.9% | 0.7% | 7.4% | 0.74 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 6:48 | 0:00 |
Defense
| VGK @ MIN | 16.7% | 0.18 | 66.2% | 29.5% | 59.4% | 2.33 | 66.5% | 40.9% | 27:49 | 3:33 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 18.7% | 0.21 | 60.1% | 23.4% | 50.8% | 2.48 | 69.7% | 44.7% | 25:34 | 3:38 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 12.0% | 0.13 | 44.2% | 11.7% | 36.6% | 1.98 | 58.1% | 31.9% | 24:56 | 4:51 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 13.6% | 0.15 | 47.2% | 13.5% | 38.8% | 2.09 | 61.0% | 34.8% | 25:36 | 3:07 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 11.0% | 0.12 | 44.0% | 11.5% | 37.1% | 1.99 | 58.2% | 32.0% | 22:56 | 3:20 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 9.5% | 0.10 | 38.1% | 8.4% | 31.5% | 1.49 | 43.5% | 19.2% | 24:26 | 0:58 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 7.2% | 0.07 | 33.4% | 6.3% | 28.2% | 1.39 | 40.1% | 16.7% | 21:32 | 2:34 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 9.2% | 0.10 | 38.5% | 8.6% | 32.2% | 1.86 | 54.7% | 28.6% | 21:14 | 1:58 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 11.6% | 0.12 | 35.1% | 7.0% | 26.6% | 2.21 | 63.7% | 37.7% | 20:34 | 1:49 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 9.3% | 0.10 | 36.7% | 7.7% | 30.2% | 1.51 | 44.2% | 19.7% | 22:02 | 1:11 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 5.7% | 0.06 | 26.9% | 4.0% | 22.4% | 1.51 | 44.1% | 19.7% | 21:00 | 0:35 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 6.9% | 0.07 | 24.4% | 3.3% | 18.8% | 1.66 | 48.9% | 23.5% | 20:51 | 0:31 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 9.3% | 0.10 | 27.2% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 1.81 | 53.4% | 27.5% | 19:35 | 1:24 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 6.2% | 0.06 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 22.0% | 1.09 | 29.8% | 10.1% | 21:06 | 1:00 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 6.2% | 0.06 | 26.7% | 3.9% | 21.9% | 1.14 | 31.6% | 11.2% | 21:06 | 0:01 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 4.8% | 0.05 | 25.0% | 3.4% | 21.2% | 0.84 | 20.5% | 5.5% | 21:20 | 0:03 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 4.6% | 0.05 | 22.7% | 2.8% | 18.9% | 1.04 | 27.8% | 9.1% | 20:47 | 0:13 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 4.7% | 0.05 | 17.5% | 1.6% | 13.4% | 1.15 | 31.9% | 11.4% | 20:08 | 0:06 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 7.4% | 0.08 | 32.1% | 5.8% | 26.7% | 1.29 | 36.6% | 14.3% | 16:31 | 2:49 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 5.0% | 0.05 | 21.1% | 2.4% | 17.0% | 1.26 | 35.8% | 13.8% | 19:15 | 0:09 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 4.5% | 0.05 | 16.9% | 1.5% | 13.0% | 1.12 | 30.8% | 10.7% | 19:22 | 0:07 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 4.5% | 0.05 | 17.1% | 1.6% | 13.2% | 1.14 | 31.6% | 11.2% | 19:14 | 0:03 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 3.3% | 0.03 | 15.6% | 1.3% | 12.7% | 0.74 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 18:34 | 0:03 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 2.7% | 0.03 | 17.5% | 1.6% | 15.2% | 0.86 | 21.3% | 5.9% | 18:14 | 0:06 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 7.9% | 0.08 | 22.4% | 2.7% | 15.7% | 1.31 | 37.4% | 14.8% | 17:00 | 0:13 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 3.1% | 0.03 | 14.7% | 1.1% | 12.0% | 0.81 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 16:53 | 0:02 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 3.7% | 0.04 | 14.5% | 1.1% | 11.1% | 0.85 | 20.9% | 5.7% | 16:43 | 0:01 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 3.7% | 0.04 | 12.2% | 0.8% | 8.8% | 1.09 | 29.7% | 10.1% | 16:23 | 0:01 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 4.6% | 0.05 | 18.3% | 1.8% | 14.4% | 1.08 | 29.2% | 9.8% | 15:45 | 0:00 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 2.3% | 0.02 | 13.0% | 0.9% | 10.9% | 0.61 | 12.8% | 2.6% | 15:58 | 0:01 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 3.0% | 0.03 | 13.7% | 1.0% | 11.1% | 0.80 | 19.2% | 5.0% | 15:27 | 0:01 | |
| OTT @ NJD | 2.6% | 0.03 | 14.7% | 1.1% | 12.5% | 0.74 | 17.0% | 4.1% | 13:58 | 0:13 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 2.3% | 0.02 | 13.0% | 0.9% | 10.9% | 0.83 | 20.4% | 5.5% | 13:33 | 0:00 | |
| VGK @ MIN | 2.7% | 0.03 | 14.9% | 1.2% | 12.5% | 0.60 | 12.3% | 2.4% | 12:30 | 0:14 | |
| FLA @ BUF | 2.7% | 0.03 | 14.2% | 1.1% | 11.9% | 0.56 | 11.0% | 2.1% | 12:30 | 0:06 |
Tims Hockey Challenge
Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.76 expected scorers, 1.3% that all three score.
Group 1
-
Kirill Kaprizov
Best38%
-
Matt Boldy
36%
-
Sam Reinhart
34%
-
Jack Hughes
34%
-
Jack Eichel
33%
-
Matthew Tkachuk
32%
-
Brady Tkachuk
31%
-
Drake Batherson
29%
-
Jack Quinn
29%
-
Sam Bennett
29%
-
Dylan Cozens
29%
-
Nico Hischier
28%
-
Shane Pinto
28%
-
Joel Eriksson Ek
27%
-
Timo Meier
27%
-
Mark Stone
27%
-
Tomas Hertl
26%
-
Carter Verhaeghe
26%
-
Mitch Marner
26%
Group 2
-
Jesper Bratt
Best23%
-
Luke Evangelista
22%
-
Blake Coleman
21%
-
Ryan Hartman
20%
-
William Karlsson
19%
-
Trevor Connelly
18%
-
Ivan Barbashev
18%
-
Fabian Zetterlund
17%
-
Quinn Hughes
17%
-
Evan Rodrigues
17%
-
Konsta Helenius
16%
-
Anthony Mantha
16%
-
Brett Howden
16%
-
Dawson Mercer
15%
-
Bobby Brink
14%
-
Eetu Luostarinen
14%
-
Peyton Krebs
13%
-
Andre Burakovsky
13%
Group 3
-
Warren Foegele
Best15%
-
Braeden Bowman
14%
-
Yakov Trenin
12%
-
Seth Jones
12%
-
Dougie Hamilton
12%
-
Michael McCarron
11%
-
Luke Hughes
11%
-
Nick Cousins
10%
-
Sandis Vilmanis
10%
-
Rasmus Andersson
9%
-
Shea Theodore
9%
-
Amadeus Lombardi
9%
-
Raphael Lavoie
9%
-
Jesper Boqvist
9%
-
Sam Carrick
9%
-
Marc Gatcomb
8%
-
Tyson Kozak
8%
-
Nic Dowd
7%
-
Aaron Ekblad
7%
-
Jared Spurgeon
6%
Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.