NHL predictions Sun, Oct 11

Win probabilities, projected goals and totals for every NHL game, plus each skater's chance to score. How it works →

3 games on this slate · model went 2–1 · 56–30 last 30 days →

‹ ›

Updated 19h ago

✗ Favorite lost Final · Sun, Oct 11

Kraken

5 36.1% · proj 2.7

Capitals

3 63.9% · proj 3.6

ModelClose

WSH win 63.9% 64.5%

Total 6.3 –

First line SEA +180 ✓ Won

✓ Favorite won Final · Sun, Oct 11

Canucks

2 23.1% · proj 2.4

Rangers

6 76.9% · proj 4.3

ModelMarket

NYR win 76.9% 70.5%

Total 6.7 –

First line NYR -265 ✓ Won

✓ Favorite won Final · Sun, Oct 11

Hurricanes

4 68.1% · proj 3.9

Flyers

1 31.9% · proj 2.7

ModelClose

CAR win 68.1% 66.9%

Total 6.6 –

First line CAR -218 ✓ Won

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Alex Tuch	33%	0.39	56%	2.48	70%	18:53	2:08
Alex Ovechkin	30%	0.36	54%	2.66	73%	15:26	4:04
Tom Wilson	27%	0.32	53%	2.09	61%	19:19	2:19
Bobby McMann	25%	0.28	41%	2.55	71%	16:44	1:30
Pierre-Luc Dubois	22%	0.25	53%	1.72	51%	17:03	2:28
Aliaksei Protas	22%	0.25	47%	1.87	55%	16:53	0:05
Dylan Strome	22%	0.24	54%	1.76	52%	16:00	2:46
Ryan Leonard	22%	0.24	43%	2.03	59%	14:08	2:00
Jared McCann	21%	0.24	46%	2.16	63%	15:04	2:24
Jordan Eberle	21%	0.24	42%	1.84	54%	16:35	2:00
Mackie Samoskevich	21%	0.23	36%	1.96	57%	15:05	0:58
Matty Beniers	20%	0.22	40%	1.62	48%	17:27	2:09
Boone Jenner	20%	0.22	40%	1.95	57%	15:33	0:01
Jordan Kyrou	19%	0.22	42%	1.92	56%	12:51	1:54
Anthony Beauvillier	17%	0.19	30%	1.71	50%	13:41	0:04
Justin Sourdif	17%	0.19	38%	1.46	43%	14:38	1:08
Berkly Catton	17%	0.18	34%	1.52	45%	14:11	1:36
Shane Wright	16%	0.17	33%	1.30	37%	13:37	1:32
Ilya Protas	15%	0.17	39%	1.31	37%	12:34	1:51
Kaapo Kakko	15%	0.16	38%	1.30	37%	14:11	1:48
Chandler Stephenson	13%	0.14	40%	1.12	31%	17:42	1:57
Ryan Winterton	12%	0.13	28%	1.44	42%	13:06	0:01
Frederick Gaudreau	11%	0.12	26%	1.16	32%	15:28	0:02
Ben Meyers	11%	0.11	23%	1.15	32%	12:08	0:02

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Jakob Chychrun	21%	0.24	50%	2.58	72%	24:05	2:41
Brandon Montour	15%	0.16	37%	2.38	68%	22:56	1:51
Vince Dunn	10%	0.11	37%	1.83	54%	21:17	1:52
Cole Hutson	9%	0.10	38%	1.71	50%	18:06	2:05
Martin Fehervary	5%	0.06	28%	0.99	26%	20:47	0:04
Adam Larsson	5%	0.05	21%	1.28	36%	21:11	0:02
Timothy Liljegren	5%	0.05	20%	1.01	27%	18:07	0:04
Ryker Evans	4%	0.04	21%	0.89	23%	20:43	0:09
Ville Ottavainen	4%	0.04	17%	0.99	26%	14:29	0:00
Joshua Mahura	4%	0.04	17%	0.83	20%	15:06	0:02
Vincent Desharnais	3%	0.03	17%	0.75	18%	19:56	0:00
Dylan McIlrath	2%	0.02	11%	0.52	10%	9:01	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Pavel Dorofeyev	44%	0.58	64%	2.96	78%	17:21	3:25
Mika Zibanejad	42%	0.54	73%	2.64	73%	20:33	3:32
Alexis Lafrenière	39%	0.49	66%	2.34	67%	18:48	3:28
J.T. Miller	34%	0.42	69%	2.00	58%	18:48	3:00
Will Cuylle	27%	0.31	47%	1.93	57%	15:54	1:17
Gabriel Perreault	27%	0.31	50%	1.59	47%	15:45	1:18
Jake DeBrusk	24%	0.28	41%	2.47	69%	17:06	2:41
Brock Boeser	23%	0.26	44%	2.03	59%	18:32	3:21
Elias Pettersson	21%	0.24	50%	1.83	54%	19:16	3:10
Marco Rossi	20%	0.22	44%	1.64	48%	17:27	3:17
Eeli Tolvanen	19%	0.21	38%	1.52	45%	13:20	1:09
Linus Karlsson	17%	0.19	37%	1.71	50%	14:49	1:19
Drew O'Connor	17%	0.19	31%	1.66	49%	15:44	1:00
Oliver Bjorkstrand	17%	0.19	37%	1.30	37%	10:35	1:05
Tye Kartye	17%	0.19	37%	1.21	34%	14:35	0:03
Noah Laba	17%	0.18	36%	1.10	30%	14:08	0:12
Liam Ohgren	14%	0.15	31%	1.61	47%	15:34	1:02
Paul Cotter	14%	0.15	26%	1.25	35%	14:59	0:38
Cole Beaudoin	13%	0.14	30%	1.09	30%	10:29	0:06
Jonathan Lekkerimaki	12%	0.13	28%	1.21	34%	13:18	1:42
Jaroslav Chmelar	12%	0.13	25%	0.93	24%	9:02	0:08
Max Sasson	11%	0.11	21%	1.13	31%	12:57	0:05
Brendan Gallagher	10%	0.10	20%	1.21	34%	10:40	0:07
Arshdeep Bains	7%	0.07	17%	0.80	19%	10:43	0:07

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Adam Fox	17%	0.18	70%	1.61	47%	22:45	3:32
Vladislav Gavrikov	10%	0.11	37%	1.45	42%	22:14	0:31
Sean Durzi	10%	0.10	39%	1.25	35%	19:39	1:12
Filip Hronek	9%	0.09	45%	1.66	49%	24:48	3:05
Braden Schneider	6%	0.07	26%	1.22	34%	18:37	0:12
Zeev Buium	6%	0.06	25%	1.07	29%	22:27	1:31
Alberts Smits	6%	0.06	23%	0.76	18%	14:43	0:05
Marcus Pettersson	5%	0.06	29%	0.89	22%	19:42	0:08
Tom Willander	5%	0.05	27%	0.95	25%	20:18	1:12
Jamie Oleksiak	4%	0.04	15%	0.91	23%	17:57	0:00
Elias Nils Pettersson	3%	0.03	12%	0.80	19%	16:45	0:04
Luke Schenn	2%	0.02	11%	0.76	18%	13:39	0:04

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Sebastian Aho	37%	0.46	69%	2.49	70%	19:17	3:45
Andrei Svechnikov	34%	0.41	62%	2.50	70%	16:42	3:41
Jackson Blake	31%	0.37	57%	2.18	63%	16:42	3:22
Logan Stankoven	29%	0.34	50%	2.17	63%	16:31	1:37
Nikolaj Ehlers	27%	0.32	59%	2.21	64%	15:03	3:04
Owen Tippett	26%	0.30	45%	2.23	64%	17:11	1:51
Trevor Zegras	24%	0.27	51%	1.60	47%	18:51	2:59
Tyson Foerster	24%	0.27	39%	1.75	51%	17:54	2:32
Taylor Hall	23%	0.26	47%	1.75	51%	14:32	1:35
Matvei Michkov	22%	0.24	46%	1.70	50%	15:51	2:39
Jordan Staal	20%	0.23	40%	1.42	41%	15:43	1:15
Porter Martone	19%	0.21	40%	1.51	44%	15:02	1:49
Christian Dvorak	19%	0.21	42%	1.42	41%	17:51	1:27
Jordan Martinook	18%	0.20	36%	1.47	43%	14:51	0:03
Mark Jankowski	17%	0.18	31%	1.11	30%	12:49	0:36
Eric Robinson	16%	0.17	30%	1.25	36%	12:34	0:00
Michael Bunting	15%	0.16	31%	1.22	34%	12:34	1:17
Sean Couturier	15%	0.16	35%	1.26	36%	16:39	0:16
William Carrier	14%	0.15	29%	1.18	33%	11:40	0:00
Denver Barkey	13%	0.14	33%	0.96	25%	13:53	1:09
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	13%	0.14	31%	1.11	31%	12:26	0:16
Noah Cates	13%	0.14	31%	1.07	29%	13:44	1:00
Noel Acciari	12%	0.12	23%	1.01	27%	14:18	0:02
Garrett Wilson	9%	0.09	21%	0.82	20%	9:48	0:00

	Scoring	Shots	Usage
Shayne Gostisbehere	14%	0.15	55%	1.76	52%	18:30	3:28
Sean Walker	11%	0.12	34%	1.88	55%	21:28	0:41
K'Andre Miller	10%	0.10	39%	1.49	44%	22:06	1:09
Travis Sanheim	10%	0.10	34%	1.20	34%	25:49	0:25
Jalen Chatfield	8%	0.08	25%	1.38	40%	20:22	0:02
Jaccob Slavin	8%	0.08	31%	1.42	41%	21:12	0:03
Jamie Drysdale	8%	0.08	31%	1.09	30%	22:43	2:35
Mike Reilly	5%	0.05	22%	1.21	34%	14:30	0:00
David Jiricek	5%	0.05	25%	0.96	25%	17:25	1:38
Nick Seeler	4%	0.05	17%	0.92	24%	18:30	0:03
Helge Grans	3%	0.03	17%	0.73	17%	14:15	0:00
Simon Benoit	2%	0.02	10%	0.55	11%	14:42	0:00

Anytime goal board

Pavel Dorofeyev44%
Mika Zibanejad42%
Alexis Lafrenière39%
Sebastian Aho37%
J.T. Miller34%

Forwards

Rank by


VAN @ NYR	41.9%	0.54	73.2%	37.9%	53.8%	2.64	72.7%	48.5%	20:33	3:32
CAR @ PHI	37.0%	0.46	69.5%	33.3%	51.6%	2.49	69.7%	44.7%	19:17	3:45
VAN @ NYR	38.6%	0.49	65.8%	29.1%	44.4%	2.34	66.7%	41.2%	18:48	3:28
VAN @ NYR	44.1%	0.58	64.0%	27.2%	35.6%	2.96	78.0%	55.7%	17:21	3:25
VAN @ NYR	34.1%	0.42	69.2%	32.9%	53.2%	2.00	58.5%	32.3%	18:48	3:00
VAN @ NYR	21.2%	0.24	50.1%	15.4%	36.6%	1.83	53.8%	27.8%	19:16	3:10
SEA @ WSH	32.6%	0.39	56.3%	20.1%	35.2%	2.48	69.7%	44.6%	18:53	2:08
SEA @ WSH	27.3%	0.32	52.9%	17.4%	35.2%	2.09	60.9%	34.8%	19:19	2:19
VAN @ NYR	23.0%	0.26	44.3%	11.7%	27.7%	2.03	59.4%	33.2%	18:32	3:21
CAR @ PHI	33.9%	0.41	62.1%	25.4%	42.7%	2.50	70.1%	45.2%	16:42	3:41
CAR @ PHI	23.5%	0.27	51.0%	16.1%	36.0%	1.60	47.1%	22.0%	18:51	2:59
SEA @ WSH	30.5%	0.36	53.9%	18.2%	33.7%	2.66	73.1%	48.9%	15:26	4:04
CAR @ PHI	31.2%	0.37	57.4%	21.0%	38.1%	2.18	63.1%	37.1%	16:42	3:22
VAN @ NYR	24.4%	0.28	40.6%	9.6%	21.4%	2.47	69.5%	44.4%	17:06	2:41
VAN @ NYR	19.9%	0.22	43.8%	11.4%	29.8%	1.64	48.3%	23.0%	17:27	3:17
CAR @ PHI	23.5%	0.27	39.0%	8.9%	20.3%	1.75	51.5%	25.7%	17:54	2:32
CAR @ PHI	26.0%	0.30	44.9%	12.0%	25.5%	2.23	64.2%	38.3%	17:11	1:51
SEA @ WSH	22.1%	0.25	53.0%	17.5%	39.7%	1.72	50.5%	24.9%	17:03	2:28
SEA @ WSH	24.7%	0.28	40.5%	9.6%	21.0%	2.55	71.1%	46.4%	16:44	1:30
CAR @ PHI	27.1%	0.32	59.0%	22.4%	43.7%	2.21	63.8%	37.9%	15:03	3:04
SEA @ WSH	19.7%	0.22	40.3%	9.5%	25.6%	1.62	47.5%	22.3%	17:27	2:09
SEA @ WSH	21.6%	0.24	54.3%	18.5%	41.8%	1.76	51.8%	26.0%	16:00	2:46
CAR @ PHI	28.7%	0.34	49.9%	15.2%	29.6%	2.17	62.9%	36.9%	16:31	1:37
CAR @ PHI	18.7%	0.21	42.3%	10.6%	29.0%	1.42	41.0%	17.3%	17:51	1:27
SEA @ WSH	21.3%	0.24	42.4%	10.6%	26.8%	1.84	54.0%	28.0%	16:35	2:00
CAR @ PHI	21.6%	0.24	46.2%	12.8%	31.3%	1.70	50.1%	24.5%	15:51	2:39
SEA @ WSH	13.2%	0.14	40.3%	9.5%	31.2%	1.12	30.9%	10.8%	17:42	1:57
SEA @ WSH	21.4%	0.24	46.1%	12.8%	31.4%	2.16	62.6%	36.6%	15:04	2:24
VAN @ NYR	26.8%	0.31	47.4%	13.6%	28.2%	1.93	56.7%	30.5%	15:54	1:17
SEA @ WSH	21.9%	0.25	46.6%	13.1%	31.6%	1.87	55.0%	28.9%	16:53	0:05
VAN @ NYR	26.8%	0.31	50.2%	15.5%	32.0%	1.59	46.8%	21.8%	15:45	1:18
SEA @ WSH	21.6%	0.24	43.4%	11.2%	27.8%	2.03	59.3%	33.1%	14:08	2:00
CAR @ PHI	18.8%	0.21	40.1%	9.4%	26.3%	1.51	44.3%	19.8%	15:02	1:49
CAR @ PHI	20.4%	0.23	40.5%	9.6%	25.2%	1.42	41.2%	17.5%	15:43	1:15
CAR @ PHI	22.7%	0.26	47.1%	13.4%	31.6%	1.75	51.5%	25.7%	14:32	1:35
VAN @ NYR	17.1%	0.19	30.8%	5.3%	16.6%	1.66	48.7%	23.3%	15:44	1:00
SEA @ WSH	20.5%	0.23	36.0%	7.4%	19.5%	1.96	57.4%	31.2%	15:05	0:58
VAN @ NYR	14.3%	0.15	30.6%	5.3%	19.0%	1.61	47.3%	22.1%	15:34	1:02
VAN @ NYR	17.2%	0.19	36.5%	7.7%	23.4%	1.71	50.4%	24.7%	14:49	1:19
CAR @ PHI	14.5%	0.16	35.1%	7.0%	24.1%	1.26	35.6%	13.7%	16:39	0:16
SEA @ WSH	19.6%	0.22	40.0%	9.4%	25.4%	1.95	57.1%	30.9%	15:33	0:01
SEA @ WSH	17.3%	0.19	38.0%	8.3%	25.0%	1.46	42.5%	18.5%	14:38	1:08
SEA @ WSH	16.6%	0.18	33.5%	6.4%	20.3%	1.52	44.6%	20.0%	14:11	1:36
SEA @ WSH	14.7%	0.16	38.3%	8.5%	27.6%	1.30	37.0%	14.5%	14:11	1:48
SEA @ WSH	19.5%	0.22	42.0%	10.4%	28.0%	1.92	56.5%	30.3%	12:51	1:54
VAN @ NYR	14.2%	0.15	25.9%	3.7%	13.7%	1.25	35.3%	13.5%	14:59	0:38
CAR @ PHI	18.1%	0.20	36.2%	7.5%	22.1%	1.47	42.9%	18.7%	14:51	0:03
SEA @ WSH	16.0%	0.17	32.8%	6.1%	20.0%	1.30	37.0%	14.6%	13:37	1:32
SEA @ WSH	10.9%	0.12	25.6%	3.6%	16.6%	1.16	32.2%	11.5%	15:28	0:02
VAN @ NYR	19.3%	0.21	37.9%	8.3%	23.1%	1.52	44.5%	19.9%	13:20	1:09
VAN @ NYR	12.2%	0.13	27.7%	4.2%	17.6%	1.21	34.0%	12.6%	13:18	1:42
VAN @ NYR	16.9%	0.19	36.8%	7.8%	24.0%	1.21	33.9%	12.6%	14:35	0:03
SEA @ WSH	15.2%	0.17	38.6%	8.7%	27.6%	1.31	37.5%	14.9%	12:34	1:51
CAR @ PHI	13.2%	0.14	32.8%	6.1%	22.6%	0.96	24.9%	7.6%	13:53	1:09
SEA @ WSH	17.3%	0.19	30.2%	5.1%	15.6%	1.71	50.3%	24.7%	13:41	0:04
CAR @ PHI	13.1%	0.14	31.1%	5.4%	20.7%	1.07	29.1%	9.7%	13:44	1:00
VAN @ NYR	16.8%	0.18	35.9%	7.4%	22.9%	1.10	30.0%	10.2%	14:08	0:12
CAR @ PHI	14.9%	0.16	31.5%	5.6%	19.5%	1.22	34.4%	12.9%	12:34	1:17
CAR @ PHI	11.7%	0.12	23.1%	2.9%	12.9%	1.01	26.8%	8.5%	14:18	0:02
SEA @ WSH	11.9%	0.13	28.3%	4.4%	18.6%	1.44	41.8%	17.9%	13:06	0:01
CAR @ PHI	16.5%	0.18	30.7%	5.3%	17.0%	1.11	30.4%	10.5%	12:49	0:36
CAR @ PHI	15.7%	0.17	29.8%	5.0%	16.7%	1.25	35.5%	13.6%	12:34	0:00
VAN @ NYR	10.7%	0.11	21.0%	2.4%	11.5%	1.13	31.2%	10.9%	12:57	0:05
CAR @ PHI	13.1%	0.14	31.4%	5.6%	21.1%	1.11	30.5%	10.6%	12:26	0:16
VAN @ NYR	17.0%	0.19	36.6%	7.7%	23.6%	1.30	37.0%	14.6%	10:35	1:05
SEA @ WSH	10.7%	0.11	23.4%	3.0%	14.3%	1.15	31.7%	11.3%	12:08	0:02
CAR @ PHI	13.8%	0.15	28.5%	4.5%	17.1%	1.18	33.0%	12.0%	11:40	0:00
VAN @ NYR	9.8%	0.10	19.6%	2.1%	10.9%	1.21	34.1%	12.7%	10:40	0:07
VAN @ NYR	13.3%	0.14	29.6%	4.9%	18.7%	1.09	29.7%	10.1%	10:29	0:06
VAN @ NYR	7.1%	0.07	17.0%	1.5%	10.6%	0.80	19.3%	5.0%	10:43	0:07
CAR @ PHI	8.7%	0.09	20.5%	2.3%	13.0%	0.82	20.0%	5.3%	9:48	0:00
VAN @ NYR	12.0%	0.13	25.3%	3.5%	15.1%	0.93	23.8%	7.0%	9:02	0:08

Defense

Rank by


SEA @ WSH	21.3%	0.24	50.2%	15.5%	36.8%	2.58	71.6%	47.0%	24:05	2:41
VAN @ NYR	8.7%	0.09	45.2%	12.3%	40.0%	1.66	48.8%	23.4%	24:48	3:05
VAN @ NYR	16.6%	0.18	69.8%	33.6%	63.8%	1.61	47.2%	22.1%	22:45	3:32
SEA @ WSH	14.5%	0.16	37.2%	8.0%	26.6%	2.38	67.7%	42.2%	22:56	1:51
CAR @ PHI	9.6%	0.10	33.6%	6.4%	26.6%	1.20	33.6%	12.4%	25:49	0:25
CAR @ PHI	7.7%	0.08	30.8%	5.3%	25.0%	1.09	29.8%	10.1%	22:43	2:35
SEA @ WSH	10.0%	0.11	37.0%	7.9%	29.9%	1.83	54.0%	28.0%	21:17	1:52
CAR @ PHI	9.8%	0.10	38.8%	8.8%	32.1%	1.49	43.6%	19.2%	22:06	1:09
CAR @ PHI	14.3%	0.15	55.5%	19.5%	48.0%	1.76	51.8%	26.0%	18:30	3:28
VAN @ NYR	5.8%	0.06	25.3%	3.5%	20.7%	1.07	29.0%	9.7%	22:27	1:31
CAR @ PHI	11.0%	0.12	34.0%	6.6%	25.9%	1.88	55.2%	29.1%	21:28	0:41
VAN @ NYR	10.2%	0.11	37.2%	8.0%	30.1%	1.45	42.2%	18.2%	22:14	0:31
CAR @ PHI	7.8%	0.08	31.3%	5.5%	25.5%	1.42	41.2%	17.5%	21:12	0:03
SEA @ WSH	9.4%	0.10	37.7%	8.2%	31.2%	1.71	50.3%	24.7%	18:06	2:05
VAN @ NYR	9.9%	0.10	38.9%	8.8%	32.2%	1.25	35.2%	13.4%	19:39	1:12
SEA @ WSH	5.1%	0.05	21.3%	2.5%	17.1%	1.28	36.4%	14.1%	21:11	0:02
VAN @ NYR	5.1%	0.05	26.7%	3.9%	22.8%	0.95	24.7%	7.5%	20:18	1:12
CAR @ PHI	7.9%	0.08	25.5%	3.6%	19.1%	1.38	39.8%	16.5%	20:22	0:02
SEA @ WSH	5.4%	0.06	27.8%	4.3%	23.6%	0.99	26.2%	8.2%	20:47	0:04
SEA @ WSH	4.2%	0.04	21.1%	2.4%	17.6%	0.89	22.5%	6.4%	20:43	0:09
VAN @ NYR	5.4%	0.06	28.9%	4.6%	24.8%	0.89	22.3%	6.3%	19:42	0:08
SEA @ WSH	3.0%	0.03	16.9%	1.5%	14.3%	0.75	17.6%	4.3%	19:56	0:00
VAN @ NYR	6.4%	0.07	25.8%	3.7%	20.7%	1.22	34.1%	12.7%	18:37	0:12
CAR @ PHI	4.9%	0.05	25.3%	3.5%	21.5%	0.96	24.9%	7.5%	17:25	1:38
CAR @ PHI	4.4%	0.05	17.0%	1.5%	13.1%	0.92	23.7%	7.0%	18:30	0:03
SEA @ WSH	4.8%	0.05	20.2%	2.2%	16.2%	1.01	26.8%	8.5%	18:07	0:04
VAN @ NYR	3.6%	0.04	15.2%	1.2%	12.0%	0.91	23.3%	6.8%	17:57	0:00
VAN @ NYR	3.2%	0.03	12.3%	0.8%	9.4%	0.80	19.1%	4.9%	16:45	0:04
CAR @ PHI	5.2%	0.05	21.8%	2.6%	17.6%	1.21	33.9%	12.6%	14:30	0:00
SEA @ WSH	3.5%	0.04	17.4%	1.6%	14.4%	0.83	20.3%	5.4%	15:06	0:02
VAN @ NYR	5.7%	0.06	22.6%	2.8%	17.9%	0.76	17.7%	4.4%	14:43	0:05
SEA @ WSH	3.6%	0.04	17.4%	1.6%	14.3%	0.99	25.9%	8.1%	14:29	0:00
CAR @ PHI	2.2%	0.02	10.0%	0.5%	7.9%	0.55	10.6%	1.9%	14:42	0:00
CAR @ PHI	3.4%	0.03	17.0%	1.5%	14.1%	0.73	16.6%	3.9%	14:15	0:00
VAN @ NYR	2.4%	0.02	10.9%	0.6%	8.8%	0.76	17.9%	4.4%	13:39	0:04
SEA @ WSH	2.0%	0.02	10.6%	0.6%	8.7%	0.52	9.6%	1.7%	9:01	0:00

Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge: one pick per group, and each pick counts if that player scores. Every group is ranked by the model's chance to score. The three best picks: 0.91 expected scorers, 2.3% that all three score.

Group 1

Pavel Dorofeyev NYR vs VAN · 3.0 SOG · 17:21 TOI Best44%
Mika Zibanejad NYR vs VAN · 2.6 SOG · 20:33 TOI 42%
Alexis Lafreniere NYR vs VAN · 2.3 SOG · 18:48 TOI 39%
Sebastian Aho CAR @ PHI · 2.5 SOG · 19:17 TOI 37%
J.T. Miller NYR vs VAN · 2.0 SOG · 18:48 TOI 34%
Andrei Svechnikov CAR @ PHI · 2.5 SOG · 16:42 TOI 34%
Alex Tuch WSH vs SEA · 2.5 SOG · 18:53 TOI 33%
Jackson Blake CAR @ PHI · 2.2 SOG · 16:42 TOI 31%
Tom Wilson WSH vs SEA · 2.1 SOG · 19:19 TOI 27%
Nikolaj Ehlers CAR @ PHI · 2.2 SOG · 15:03 TOI 27%
Gabe Perreault NYR vs VAN · 1.6 SOG · 15:45 TOI 27%
Owen Tippett PHI vs CAR · 2.2 SOG · 17:11 TOI 26%
Jake DeBrusk VAN @ NYR · 2.5 SOG · 17:06 TOI 24%
Tyson Foerster PHI vs CAR · 1.7 SOG · 17:54 TOI 24%
Pierre-Luc Dubois WSH vs SEA · 1.7 SOG · 17:03 TOI 22%
Dylan Strome WSH vs SEA · 1.8 SOG · 16:00 TOI 22%
Jared McCann SEA @ WSH · 2.2 SOG · 15:04 TOI 21%

Group 2

Logan Stankoven CAR @ PHI · 2.2 SOG · 16:31 TOI Best29%
Will Cuylle NYR vs VAN · 1.9 SOG · 15:54 TOI 27%
Trevor Zegras PHI vs CAR · 1.6 SOG · 18:51 TOI 24%
Taylor Hall CAR @ PHI · 1.7 SOG · 14:32 TOI 23%
Aliaksei Protas WSH vs SEA · 1.9 SOG · 16:53 TOI 22%
Matvei Michkov PHI vs CAR · 1.7 SOG · 15:51 TOI 22%
Jordan Eberle SEA @ WSH · 1.8 SOG · 16:35 TOI 21%
Jordan Staal CAR @ PHI · 1.4 SOG · 15:43 TOI 20%
Marco Rossi VAN @ NYR · 1.6 SOG · 17:27 TOI 20%
Matty Beniers SEA @ WSH · 1.6 SOG · 17:27 TOI 20%
Boone Jenner WSH vs SEA · 1.9 SOG · 15:33 TOI 20%
Jordan Kyrou WSH vs SEA · 1.9 SOG · 12:51 TOI 19%
Eeli Tolvanen NYR vs VAN · 1.5 SOG · 13:20 TOI 19%
Porter Martone PHI vs CAR · 1.5 SOG · 15:02 TOI 19%
Christian Dvorak PHI vs CAR · 1.4 SOG · 17:51 TOI 19%
Linus Karlsson VAN @ NYR · 1.7 SOG · 14:49 TOI 17%
Tye Kartye NYR vs VAN · 1.2 SOG · 14:35 TOI 17%
Adam Fox NYR vs VAN · 1.6 SOG · 22:45 TOI 17%
Ilya Protas WSH vs SEA · 1.3 SOG · 12:34 TOI 15%
Shayne Gostisbehere CAR @ PHI · 1.8 SOG · 18:30 TOI 14%
William Carrier CAR @ PHI · 1.2 SOG · 11:40 TOI 14%
Chandler Stephenson SEA @ WSH · 1.1 SOG · 17:42 TOI 13%

Group 3

Jordan Martinook CAR @ PHI · 1.5 SOG · 14:51 TOI Best18%
Drew O'Connor VAN @ NYR · 1.7 SOG · 15:44 TOI 17%
Berkly Catton SEA @ WSH · 1.5 SOG · 14:11 TOI 17%
Mark Jankowski CAR @ PHI · 1.1 SOG · 12:49 TOI 17%
Eric Robinson CAR @ PHI · 1.3 SOG · 12:34 TOI 16%
Kaapo Kakko SEA @ WSH · 1.3 SOG · 14:11 TOI 15%
Sean Couturier PHI vs CAR · 1.3 SOG · 16:39 TOI 15%
Brandon Montour SEA @ WSH · 2.4 SOG · 22:56 TOI 15%
Paul Cotter VAN @ NYR · 1.2 SOG · 14:59 TOI 14%
Denver Barkey PHI vs CAR · 1.0 SOG · 13:53 TOI 13%
Jesperi Kotkaniemi CAR @ PHI · 1.1 SOG · 12:26 TOI 13%
Noah Cates PHI vs CAR · 1.1 SOG · 13:44 TOI 13%
Jaroslav Chmelar NYR vs VAN · 0.9 SOG · 9:02 TOI 12%
Ryan Winterton SEA @ WSH · 1.4 SOG · 13:06 TOI 12%
Sean Walker CAR @ PHI · 1.9 SOG · 21:28 TOI 11%
Freddy Gaudreau SEA @ WSH · 1.2 SOG · 15:28 TOI 11%
Ben Meyers SEA @ WSH · 1.1 SOG · 12:08 TOI 11%
Vladislav Gavrikov NYR vs VAN · 1.4 SOG · 22:14 TOI 10%
Sean Durzi NYR vs VAN · 1.2 SOG · 19:39 TOI 10%
K'Andre Miller CAR @ PHI · 1.5 SOG · 22:06 TOI 10%
Jamie Drysdale PHI vs CAR · 1.1 SOG · 22:43 TOI 8%
David Jiricek PHI vs CAR · 1.0 SOG · 17:25 TOI 5%

Groups via timnhlassist.com, refreshed hourly. Not affiliated with Tim Hortons. Percentages are model estimates, not betting lines.

NHL predictions Sun, Oct 11

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Against the first line

Model vs market

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Against the first line

Model vs market

Player props

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Against the first line

Model vs market

Anytime goal board

Forwards

Defense

Group 1

Group 2

Group 3

Games

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Against the first line

Model vs market

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Against the first line

Model vs market

Forwards

Defense

Ruled out

Goaltending

Against the first line

Model vs market

Players

Anytime goal board

Forwards

Defense

Tims Hockey Challenge

Group 1

Group 2

Group 3