NFL predictions Week 9, 2026
Win probabilities, projected scores and totals for every NFL game, plus player stat lines. Methodology →
15 games on this slate · 44–26 last 30 days →
Games
#2
Jaguars
#31
Ravens
Biggest factor: Rating gap · JAX +5.1 pts
#12
Bengals
#23
Falcons
Biggest factor: Rating gap · CIN +2.6 pts
#28
Browns
#27
Saints
Biggest factor: Rating gap · NO +1.3 pts
#17
Cowboys
#25
Colts
Biggest factor: Rating gap · DAL +1.6 pts
#11
Broncos
#22
Panthers
Biggest factor: Rating gap · DEN +5.2 pts
#8
Lions
#30
Dolphins
Biggest factor: Rating gap · DET +7.0 pts
#6
Rams
#18
Commanders
Biggest factor: Rating gap · LA +6.5 pts
#19
Giants
#20
Eagles
Biggest factor: Rating gap · NYG +1.0 pts
#24
Jets
#10
Chiefs
Biggest factor: Rating gap · KC +7.0 pts
#16
Texans
#26
Chargers
Biggest factor: Rating gap · HOU +3.2 pts
#29
Raiders
#3
49ers
Biggest factor: Rating gap · SF +9.8 pts
#21
Cardinals
#4
Seahawks
Biggest factor: Rating gap · SEA +5.6 pts
#9
Packers
#7
Patriots
Biggest factor: Special teams · NE +0.5 pts
#13
Buccaneers
#5
Bears
Biggest factor: Rating gap · CHI +1.8 pts
#1
Bills
#14
Vikings
Biggest factor: Rating gap · BUF +5.1 pts
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Trevor Lawrence
|
28.2 | 18.0 | 206 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
|
Tyler Huntley
|
32.2 | 21.4 | 197 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Derrick Henry
|
15.0 | 67.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 10.7 | 52% |
|
Bhayshul Tuten
|
14.7 | 59.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 16.3 | 47% |
|
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
|
6.8 | 28.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 27% |
|
Justice Hill
|
2.4 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 25.9 | 19% |
|
Ameer Abdullah
|
2.1 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6% |
|
Rasheen Ali
|
1.5 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4% |
|
LeQuint Allen Jr.
|
0.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 3% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Zay Flowers
|
8.6 | 5.9 | 70.8 | 32% |
|
Parker Washington
|
5.4 | 3.4 | 44.9 | 27% |
|
Jakobi Meyers
|
4.7 | 3.2 | 37.8 | 17% |
|
Rashod Bateman
|
3.5 | 2.1 | 25.6 | 16% |
|
Ja'Kobi Lane
|
3.4 | 2.2 | 22.4 | 14% |
|
Brian Thomas Jr.
|
2.7 | 1.6 | 21.1 | 13% |
|
C.J. Williams
|
2.1 | 1.3 | 16.0 | 10% |
|
Elijah Sarratt
|
2.2 | 1.3 | 14.4 | 10% |
|
Josh Cameron
|
1.8 | 1.1 | 14.0 | 9% |
|
Travis Hunter
|
1.5 | 1.0 | 11.2 | 8% |
|
Devontez Walker
|
0.9 | 0.5 | 6.4 | 5% |
|
LaJohntay Wester
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Brenton Strange
|
4.6 | 3.5 | 38.2 | 19% |
|
Mark Andrews
|
4.9 | 3.4 | 31.7 | 28% |
|
Josh Cuevas
|
2.4 | 1.7 | 16.5 | 11% |
|
Nate Boerkircher
|
1.5 | 1.0 | 11.1 | 7% |
|
Matthew Hibner
|
1.0 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 5% |
|
Tanner Koziol
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 2% |
|
Quintin Morris
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
JAX
J'Mari TaylorRBAlex BullockWRAustin TrammellWRMichael WorthamWRTim JonesWRTrebor PenaWRBrenden BatesTE
BAL
Adam RandallRBJonathan WardRBLucas ScottRBChris MooreWRGage LarvadainWRTy PezzaWRDurham SmytheTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -5.1
- Special teams -0.6
- QB changeBottom 1% -3.2
- QB historyBottom 2% -3.1
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +0.6
- Scoring output +0.8
- QB historyBottom 5% -3.3
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- JAX -9.8
- First line
- BAL -2.5
- Latest
- JAX -8.5
- Model
- 74.7%
- First line
- 42.8%
- Latest
- 77.2%
Moneyline BAL +320 / JAX -410 (vig removed)
- Model
- 42.2
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 42.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 42.8%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play JAX +5.1
- Home field BAL +2.1
- QB changeBottom 1%starter vs the QB behind the ratings JAX +3.2
- QB historyBottom 2%this week's QBs vs those behind recent stats JAX +3.1
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams JAX +0.6
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 BAL +0.1
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses +0.6
- Points scoredrecent points for and against +0.8
- QB history -3.3
Team comparison
|
JAX |
BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 6.22nd of 32 | 0.516th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | 0.0714th of 32 | 0.02212th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | -0.0544th of 32 | 0.00919th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.0697th of 32 | 0.00021st of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.2653rd of 32 | -0.26632nd of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| JAX | BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | T. Lawrence | T. Huntley |
| QB ratingranks 32 and 3 of 32 | +0.265 | -0.266 |
Conditions
- VenueM&T Bank Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelJAX 4, BAL 4not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model680 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Joe Burrow
|
34.9 | 24.0 | 254 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
|
Michael Penix Jr.
|
29.5 | 18.5 | 226 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Bijan Robinson
|
14.7 | 70.9 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 22.3 | 43% |
|
Chase Brown
|
13.5 | 54.7 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 31.1 | 43% |
|
Brian Robinson
|
5.4 | 22.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6.7 | 18% |
|
Samaje Perine
|
5.4 | 21.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 15% |
|
Khalil Herbert
|
2.6 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 9% |
|
Tahj Brooks
|
0.8 | 3.2 | – | – | 0.1 | 2% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Ja'Marr Chase
|
9.7 | 6.6 | 79.3 | 47% |
|
Drake London
|
8.9 | 5.5 | 75.0 | 32% |
|
Tee Higgins
|
8.0 | 5.1 | 72.0 | 41% |
|
Jahan Dotson
|
4.6 | 2.6 | 37.5 | 21% |
|
Dohnte Meyers
|
2.8 | 1.8 | 20.6 | 11% |
|
Olamide Zaccheaus
|
2.3 | 1.4 | 15.4 | 10% |
|
Mitchell Tinsley
|
1.3 | 0.7 | 9.3 | 6% |
|
Chris Blair
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 1% |
|
Colbie Young
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Kyle Pitts
|
5.3 | 3.4 | 40.5 | 20% |
|
Mike Gesicki
|
4.1 | 2.7 | 31.4 | 19% |
|
Austin Hooper
|
1.4 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 7% |
|
Drew Sample
|
1.5 | 1.1 | 9.9 | 6% |
|
Charlie Woerner
|
1.3 | 0.9 | 9.2 | 6% |
|
Nick Muse
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 2% |
|
Cam Grandy
|
0.3 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 2% |
|
Jack Endries
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
CIN
Kendall MiltonRBKentrel BullockRBAndrei IosivasWRJordan MooreWRKe'Shawn WilliamsWRNoah ThomasWRCaden PrieskornTEErick AllTEJosh KattusTETanner HudsonTE
ATL
Jam MillerRBTrey SermonRBAntwane Wells Jr.WRBeaux CollinsWRDylan DrummondWRVinny Anthony IIWRZachariah BranchWRE.J. JenkinsTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +1.1
- Team ratings -2.6
- Special teamsBottom 7% -1.4
- QB history -0.8
- League baseline 45.4
- Team ratings +0.2
- Scoring output +1.9
- QB history +0.5
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- CIN -3.7
- First line
- CIN -3.0
- Latest
- CIN -3.0
- Model
- 60.8%
- First line
- 60.0%
- Latest
- 60.0%
Moneyline ATL +140 / CIN -166 (vig removed)
- Model
- 47.9
- First line
- 49.5
- Latest
- 52.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 60.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play CIN +2.59
- Home fieldneutral site: half the usual edge ATL +1.06
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats CIN +0.81
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit CIN +0.02
- Special teamsBottom 7% CIN +1.36
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof45.4
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses +0.2
- Points scoredrecent points for and against +1.9
- QB history +0.5
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 -0.1
Team comparison
|
CIN |
ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 1.412th of 32 | -2.522nd of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | 0.0587th of 32 | -0.05327th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | 0.03223rd of 32 | -0.02110th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.03612th of 32 | -0.11330th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.2662nd of 32 | -0.04125th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| CIN | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | J. Burrow | M. Penix Jr. |
| QB ratingranks 25 and 2 of 32 | +0.266 | -0.041 |
Conditions
- VenueBernabeuneutral site: half home edge
- Rest days Not in the modelCIN 7, ATL 7not in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Deshaun Watson
|
30.7 | 20.1 | 230 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
|
Tyler Shough
|
31.2 | 20.6 | 210 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Kendre Miller
|
12.0 | 47.9 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 11.8 | 33% |
|
Quinshon Judkins
|
11.8 | 47.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 14.8 | 34% |
|
Alvin Kamara
|
8.0 | 34.4 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 23.4 | 34% |
|
Audric Estimé
|
5.4 | 23.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 18% |
|
CJ Donaldson
|
2.8 | 12.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 10% |
|
Dylan Sampson
|
2.4 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 20.2 | 14% |
|
Jaleel McLaughlin
|
1.1 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 6% |
|
Michael Burton
|
0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Chris Olave
|
8.2 | 5.3 | 65.2 | 29% |
|
Denzel Boston
|
6.8 | 3.7 | 52.8 | 28% |
|
KC Concepcion
|
5.6 | 3.6 | 42.2 | 21% |
|
Devaughn Vele
|
5.6 | 3.8 | 41.8 | 24% |
|
Jerry Jeudy
|
2.9 | 1.7 | 22.5 | 9% |
|
Bryce Lance
|
2.9 | 1.6 | 18.6 | 12% |
|
Barion Brown
|
1.0 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 5% |
|
Isaiah Bond
|
0.8 | 0.4 | 6.6 | 3% |
|
Cedric Tillman
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2% |
|
Tylan Wallace
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2% |
|
Malachi Corley
|
0.1 | – | 0.6 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Harold Fannin Jr.
|
6.5 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 28% |
|
Juwan Johnson
|
3.9 | 2.7 | 29.4 | 20% |
|
Carsen Ryan
|
2.1 | 1.5 | 16.3 | 9% |
|
Noah Fant
|
1.6 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 7% |
|
Oscar Delp
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.3 | 4% |
|
Blake Whiteheart
|
0.5 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 3% |
|
Treyton Welch
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
CLE
Jaret PattersonRBRaheim SandersRBBub MeansWRJimmy Horn Jr.WRJoe RoyerTEJohn FitzPatrickTE
NO
Jarquez HunterRBTravis EtienneRBTy ChandlerRBZamir WhiteRBJa'Lynn PolkWRJalen CropperWRJordyn TysonWRKevin Austin Jr.WRKyrese RowanWRMason TiptonWRMoliki MatavaoTEStone SmarttTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +1.3
- Special teams +0.5
- QB history -0.6
- League baseline 46.7
- Team ratingsBottom 6% -2.0
- Scoring outputBottom 7% -2.7
- QB history +1.1
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- NO -3.2
- First line
- NO -2.5
- Latest
- NO -2.5
- Model
- 59.7%
- First line
- 55.1%
- Latest
- 56.3%
Moneyline NO -142 / CLE +120 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.0
- First line
- 42.5
- Latest
- 43.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 55.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play NO +1.3
- Home field NO +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats CLE +0.6
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams NO +0.5
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 CLE +0.1
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof46.7
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses -2.0
- Points scoredrecent points for and against -2.7
- QB history +1.1
Team comparison
|
CLE |
NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | -5.329th of 32 | -3.526th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | -0.12632nd of 32 | -0.05125th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | -0.01911th of 32 | 0.02721st of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | -0.03926th of 32 | 0.01618th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | -0.06927th of 32 | -0.03022nd of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| CLE | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | D. Watson | T. Shough |
| QB ratingranks 22 and 27 of 32 | -0.069 | -0.030 |
Conditions
- VenueCaesars Superdomehome field in the margin
- RoofDomeindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelCLE 7, NO 14not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model930 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Dak Prescott
|
32.8 | 21.9 | 251 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
|
Daniel Jones
|
30.3 | 19.6 | 221 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Javonte Williams
|
16.8 | 72.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 9.4 | 43% |
|
Jonathan Taylor
|
13.6 | 67.0 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 24.8 | 51% |
|
Seth McGowan
|
4.9 | 21.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 14% |
|
Tyler Goodson
|
3.8 | 16.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 12% |
|
DJ Giddens
|
3.2 | 14.2 | – | – | 0.3 | 8% |
|
Hunter Luepke
|
0.5 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
CeeDee Lamb
|
11.5 | 7.8 | 97.1 | 44% |
|
George Pickens
|
6.4 | 4.0 | 59.3 | 26% |
|
Keenan Allen
|
6.2 | 4.2 | 45.6 | 24% |
|
Josh Downs
|
5.4 | 3.5 | 39.7 | 20% |
|
Ryan Flournoy
|
4.8 | 3.3 | 38.0 | 21% |
|
Laquon Treadwell
|
2.9 | 1.8 | 23.0 | 10% |
|
Ashton Dulin
|
1.1 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 6% |
|
Deion Burks
|
1.1 | 0.7 | 8.6 | 5% |
|
KaVontae Turpin
|
1.0 | 0.7 | 8.4 | 6% |
|
Jonathan Mingo
|
0.8 | 0.4 | 5.0 | 2% |
|
Anthony Gould
|
– | – | 0.3 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Tyler Warren
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 50.8 | 28% |
|
Brevyn Spann-Ford
|
3.2 | 2.2 | 23.0 | 13% |
|
Will Mallory
|
1.7 | 1.1 | 12.2 | 6% |
|
Jake Ferguson
|
1.8 | 1.3 | 11.9 | 9% |
|
Mo Alie-Cox
|
1.0 | 0.6 | 7.2 | 6% |
|
Andrew Ogletree
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 4% |
|
Luke Schoonmaker
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1% |
|
Pharaoh Brown
|
0.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1% |
|
James Mitchell
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
DAL
Emari DemercadoRBIsrael AbanikandaRBMalik DavisRBAnthony SmithWRJordan HudsonWRParris CampbellWRDJ RogersTEMichael TriggTEPrinceton FantTE
IND
Davon BoothRBAlec PierceWRD.J. MontgomeryWRMecole HardmanWRNick Westbrook-IkhineWRQuez WatkinsWRCarson TowtTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -1.6
- Special teams -0.5
- QB history -0.5
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratingsTop 7% +1.5
- Scoring outputTop 2% +4.3
- QB history 0.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- DAL -0.5
- First line
- DAL -3.0
- Latest
- DAL -6.0
- Model
- 51.5%
- First line
- 61.6%
- Latest
- 66.4%
Moneyline IND +185 / DAL -225 (vig removed)
- Model
- 49.9
- First line
- 50.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 61.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Sun 9:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play DAL +1.6
- Home field IND +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats DAL +0.5
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams DAL +0.5
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses +1.5
- Points scoredrecent points for and against +4.3
- QB history +0.0
Team comparison
|
DAL |
IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | -0.518th of 32 | -2.623rd of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | 0.0518th of 32 | -0.03823rd of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | 0.08432nd of 32 | 0.03022nd of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.1134th of 32 | 0.06010th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.14611th of 32 | -0.18630th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| DAL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | D. Prescott | D. Jones |
| QB ratingranks 30 and 11 of 32 | +0.146 | -0.186 |
Conditions
- VenueLucas Oil Stadiumhome field in the margin
- Rest days Not in the modelDAL 7, IND 7not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model780 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Bo Nix
|
30.9 | 19.7 | 208 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
|
Bryce Young
|
33.4 | 20.8 | 206 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Chuba Hubbard
|
14.6 | 62.0 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 24.6 | 43% |
|
J.K. Dobbins
|
12.8 | 61.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 42% |
|
Jonah Coleman
|
8.6 | 37.7 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 34% |
|
AJ Dillon
|
3.1 | 12.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 9% |
|
Trevor Etienne
|
1.8 | 7.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 6% |
|
Anthony Tyus III
|
0.7 | 3.2 | – | – | – | 3% |
|
Cody Schrader
|
0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2% |
|
Adam Prentice
|
0.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 2% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Tetairoa McMillan
|
8.9 | 5.4 | 70.2 | 34% |
|
Jaylen Waddle
|
7.0 | 4.7 | 59.0 | 28% |
|
Jalen Coker
|
6.2 | 4.2 | 49.6 | 27% |
|
Courtland Sutton
|
4.7 | 2.8 | 37.0 | 20% |
|
John Metchie III
|
3.4 | 2.2 | 22.4 | 13% |
|
Marvin Mims Jr.
|
2.9 | 2.0 | 22.4 | 16% |
|
Troy Franklin
|
1.9 | 1.1 | 13.2 | 9% |
|
Brycen Tremayne
|
1.2 | 0.8 | 9.4 | 5% |
|
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
|
1.1 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 6% |
|
David Moore
|
0.6 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 4% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Evan Engram
|
3.3 | 2.2 | 22.7 | 11% |
|
Darren Waller
|
2.9 | 2.0 | 21.9 | 14% |
|
Tommy Tremble
|
3.0 | 2.0 | 20.2 | 15% |
|
Dallen Bentley
|
2.2 | 1.5 | 16.4 | 10% |
|
Mitchell Evans
|
1.7 | 1.3 | 12.9 | 8% |
|
Adam Trautman
|
1.1 | 0.7 | 8.1 | 5% |
|
Ja'Tavion Sanders
|
1.1 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 4% |
|
Nate Adkins
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 5% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
DEN
RJ HarveyRBTyler BadieRBCameron RossWRDane KeyWREli PancolWRKolbe KatsisWRMichael BandyWRPat BryantWRCaleb LohnerTELucas KrullTE
CAR
Ahmani MarshallRBJonathon BrooksRBCasey WashingtonWRChris Brazzell IIWRIhmir Smith-MarsetteWRJa'Seem ReedWRXavier LegetteWR
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -5.2
- Special teams +0.2
- QB history 0.0
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.2
- Scoring output -0.6
- QB history 0.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- DEN -3.0
- First line
- DEN -2.5
- Latest
- DEN -3.0
- Model
- 58.0%
- First line
- 55.1%
- Latest
- 58.3%
Moneyline CAR +130 / DEN -155 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.4
- First line
- 44.5
- Latest
- 43.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 55.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play DEN +5.2
- Home field CAR +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats 0.0
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams CAR +0.2
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 DEN +0.1
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses -0.2
- Points scoredrecent points for and against -0.6
- QB history +0.0
Team comparison
|
DEN |
CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 2.311th of 32 | -2.724th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | 0.01613th of 32 | -0.02220th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | -0.0417th of 32 | 0.03524th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | -0.02324th of 32 | 0.00120th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.01815th of 32 | -0.04024th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| DEN | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | B. Nix | B. Young |
| QB ratingranks 24 and 15 of 32 | +0.018 | -0.040 |
Conditions
- VenueBank of America Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelDEN 7, CAR 10not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model1,360 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Jared Goff
|
29.8 | 20.4 | 252 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
|
Malik Willis
|
27.5 | 17.5 | 212 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Jahmyr Gibbs
|
19.6 | 97.6 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 35.5 | 70% |
|
Ollie Gordon II
|
16.6 | 66.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 8.5 | 48% |
|
Jaylen Wright
|
4.2 | 16.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 11% |
|
Sione Vaki
|
3.7 | 15.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 11% |
|
Kaytron Allen
|
1.5 | 6.4 | – | – | – | 4% |
|
DJ Herman
|
– | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Amon-Ra St. Brown
|
9.8 | 7.1 | 82.9 | 44% |
|
Jameson Williams
|
6.3 | 3.8 | 61.3 | 32% |
|
Caleb Douglas
|
5.2 | 3.3 | 44.1 | 23% |
|
Malik Washington
|
5.6 | 3.9 | 38.9 | 22% |
|
Chris Bell
|
3.8 | 2.2 | 27.7 | 16% |
|
Kevin Coleman Jr.
|
3.2 | 1.7 | 21.7 | 15% |
|
Isaac TeSlaa
|
1.8 | 1.0 | 15.1 | 10% |
|
Jalen Tolbert
|
1.2 | 0.7 | 9.1 | 6% |
|
Jared Wayne
|
0.8 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 4% |
|
Tay Martin
|
– | – | 0.3 | 0% |
|
DeAndre Carter
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Sam LaPorta
|
5.0 | 3.6 | 42.6 | 27% |
|
Greg Dulcich
|
4.5 | 3.0 | 36.6 | 16% |
|
Justin Joly
|
1.8 | 1.2 | 13.6 | 8% |
|
Will Kacmarek
|
1.0 | 0.7 | 7.6 | 5% |
|
Tyler Conklin
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 2% |
|
Brock Wright
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 4% |
|
Seydou Traore
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1% |
|
Jackson Meeks
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
DET
Isiah PachecoRBJabari SmallRBDominic LovettWRKendrick LawWRLawrence KeysWRLucky JacksonWRTom KennedyWRMiles KitselmanTEThomas GordonTE
MIA
Carlos WashingtonRBDe'Von AchaneRBLe'Veon MossRBA.J. HenningWRJalen ReagorWRWill SheppardWRCole TurnerTETre WatsonTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsBottom 8% -7.0
- Special teamsBottom 2% -1.8
- QB history +0.1
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratingsTop 2% +2.0
- Scoring output +2.1
- QB history +0.1
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- DET -6.6
- First line
- DET -7.0
- Latest
- DET -7.0
- Model
- 68.0%
- First line
- 76.0%
- Latest
- 75.7%
Moneyline MIA +295 / DET -375 (vig removed)
- Model
- 48.4
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 50.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 76.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play DET +7.0
- Home field MIA +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats MIA +0.1
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teamsBottom 2% DET +1.8
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses +2.0
- Points scoredrecent points for and against +2.1
- QB history +0.1
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 +0.1
Team comparison
|
DET |
MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 3.48th of 32 | -5.430th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | 0.0853rd of 32 | -0.02921st of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | 0.03525th of 32 | 0.07531st of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.1353rd of 32 | -0.06529th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.1965th of 32 | -0.00817th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| DET | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | J. Goff | M. Willis |
| QB ratingranks 17 and 5 of 32 | +0.196 | -0.008 |
Conditions
- VenueHard Rock Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelDET 7, MIA 7not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model1,140 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Matthew Stafford
|
34.8 | 22.8 | 272 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
|
Jayden Daniels
|
30.5 | 19.6 | 202 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Rachaad White
|
14.7 | 56.0 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 19.3 | 38% |
|
Kyren Williams
|
10.6 | 49.7 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 18.3 | 43% |
|
Blake Corum
|
7.4 | 34.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 8.1 | 24% |
|
Austin Ekeler
|
8.2 | 33.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 31% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Puka Nacua
|
12.1 | 8.7 | 109 | 43% |
|
Stefon Diggs
|
6.9 | 4.8 | 53 | 32% |
|
Antonio Williams
|
5.7 | 3.7 | 41 | 22% |
|
Treylon Burks
|
4.9 | 2.8 | 36 | 18% |
|
CJ Daniels
|
2.7 | 1.7 | 20 | 12% |
|
Tutu Atwell
|
2.1 | 1.3 | 18 | 8% |
|
Konata Mumpfield
|
2.4 | 1.3 | 17 | 11% |
|
Van Jefferson
|
1.5 | 0.9 | 10 | 7% |
|
Dyami Brown
|
1.5 | 0.9 | 10 | 6% |
|
Jordan Whittington
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4 | 2% |
|
Luke McCaffrey
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 4 | 2% |
|
Alex Bachman
|
– | – | 0 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Chig Okonkwo
|
4.8 | 3.4 | 34.0 | 16% |
|
Colby Parkinson
|
4.0 | 2.8 | 28.7 | 20% |
|
Tyler Higbee
|
3.1 | 2.1 | 23.7 | 14% |
|
Max Klare
|
2.7 | 1.9 | 20.7 | 12% |
|
Davis Allen
|
2.3 | 1.6 | 16.0 | 12% |
|
John Bates
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 2% |
|
Colson Yankoff
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1% |
|
Ben Sinnott
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
LA
Jordan WatersRBRonnie RiversRBBrennan PresleyWRDavante AdamsWRDan VillariTETerrance FergusonTE
WAS
Craig ReynoldsRBDevin NealRBJacory Croskey-MerrittRBJeremy McNicholsRBJaden BradleyWRJaylin LaneWRNick DeGennaroWRTerry McLaurinWRJack WestoverTEQuentin MooreTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsBottom 10% -6.5
- Special teamsTop 1% +2.0
- QB history 0.0
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +0.5
- Scoring output +1.4
- QB history 0.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- LA -2.4
- First line
- LA -5.5
- Latest
- LA -5.5
- Model
- 56.7%
- First line
- 66.4%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline WAS +180 / LA -218 (vig removed)
- Model
- 46.0
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 47.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 66.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play LA +6.5
- Home field WAS +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats 0.0
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teamsTop 1% WAS +2.0
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses +0.5
- Points scoredrecent points for and against +1.4
- QB history +0.0
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 -0.1
Team comparison
|
LA |
WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 3.86th of 32 | -0.719th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | 0.0596th of 32 | 0.00514th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | -0.0545th of 32 | 0.03627th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | -0.13332nd of 32 | 0.0825th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.07014th of 32 | -0.01718th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| LA | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | M. Stafford | J. Daniels |
| QB ratingranks 18 and 14 of 32 | +0.070 | -0.017 |
Conditions
- VenueNorthwest Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelLA 7, WAS 7not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model2,310 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
J.J. McCarthy
|
29.6 | 18.3 | 217 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
|
Tanner McKee
|
30.9 | 19.8 | 207 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Cam Skattebo
|
16.4 | 70.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 10.4 | 45% |
|
Saquon Barkley
|
12.0 | 57.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 34% |
|
Devin Singletary
|
7.2 | 31.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 13.6 | 22% |
|
Elijah Mitchell
|
5.4 | 25.3 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 15.1 | 21% |
|
Jaydon Blue
|
4.5 | 19.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 14% |
|
Patrick Ricard
|
– | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Malik Nabers
|
9.1 | 5.8 | 71.2 | 32% |
|
DeVonta Smith
|
7.3 | 5.0 | 62.0 | 32% |
|
Makai Lemon
|
5.7 | 3.7 | 38.8 | 22% |
|
Malachi Fields
|
4.3 | 2.5 | 33.1 | 18% |
|
Dontayvion Wicks
|
4.0 | 2.4 | 30.2 | 18% |
|
Darius Cooper
|
3.0 | 1.8 | 23.0 | 15% |
|
Darnell Mooney
|
2.9 | 1.6 | 21.1 | 11% |
|
Marquise Brown
|
2.1 | 1.3 | 15.6 | 11% |
|
Jalin Hyatt
|
0.8 | 0.4 | 5.6 | 3% |
|
Elijah Moore
|
0.7 | 0.4 | 4.5 | 2% |
|
Charlie Jones
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 2% |
|
Britain Covey
|
0.1 | – | 0.4 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Isaiah Likely
|
6.8 | 4.6 | 50.0 | 34% |
|
Dallas Goedert
|
4.4 | 3.2 | 34.3 | 23% |
|
Theo Johnson
|
1.8 | 1.1 | 13.0 | 8% |
|
Eli Stowers
|
1.3 | 0.9 | 10.1 | 6% |
|
Grant Calcaterra
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 2% |
|
Thomas Fidone II
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2% |
|
Johnny Mundt
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1% |
|
Chris Manhertz
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
NYG
Grant FinleyRBNajee HarrisRBPhil MafahRBTyrone Tracy Jr.RBBraxton BerriosWRCalvin Austin IIIWRDalen CambreWRDontae FlemingWRGunner OlszewskiWRJason BrownleeWR
PHI
Carson SteeleRBDameon PierceRBTank BigsbyRBWill ShipleyRBErik EzukanmaWRJohnny WilsonWRQuentin SkinnerWRXavier GipsonWRZach ErtzTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -1.0
- Special teams -0.4
- QB history -0.1
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.5
- Scoring output -1.6
- QB history +0.4
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- PHI -0.6
- First line
- NYG -1.5
- Latest
- NYG -3.5
- Model
- 52.5%
- First line
- 47.4%
- Latest
- 41.7%
Moneyline PHI +130 / NYG -155 (vig removed)
- Model
- 42.4
- First line
- 40.5
- Latest
- 40.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 47.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play NYG +1.0
- Home field PHI +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats NYG +0.1
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams NYG +0.4
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses -0.5
- Points scoredrecent points for and against -1.6
- QB history +0.4
Team comparison
|
NYG |
PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | -1.220th of 32 | -2.521st of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | -0.01818th of 32 | -0.05226th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | 0.02120th of 32 | 0.00818th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.0696th of 32 | 0.02913th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | -0.02320th of 32 | -0.02521st of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| NYG | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | J. McCarthy | T. McKee |
| QB ratingranks 21 and 20 of 32 | -0.023 | -0.025 |
Conditions
- VenueLincoln Financial Fieldhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelNYG 14, PHI 7not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model90 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Patrick Mahomes
|
31.5 | 20.9 | 249 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
|
Geno Smith
|
30.0 | 20.2 | 216 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Kenneth Walker III
|
21.3 | 93.5 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 23.3 | 58% |
|
Braelon Allen
|
11.3 | 47.6 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 16.7 | 34% |
|
Breece Hall
|
9.1 | 38.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 15.4 | 26% |
|
Emmett Johnson
|
2.1 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 21.6 | 14% |
|
Isaiah Davis
|
1.9 | 8.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 8% |
|
Kene Nwangwu
|
0.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | – | 0.3 | 1% |
|
Andrew Beck
|
0.2 | 0.7 | – | – | 0.2 | 1% |
|
Ben VanSumeren
|
– | – | 0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Garrett Wilson
|
7.4 | 4.5 | 55.3 | 25% |
|
Rashee Rice
|
5.6 | 4.1 | 46.7 | 27% |
|
Xavier Worthy
|
5.8 | 3.5 | 41.1 | 22% |
|
Adonai Mitchell
|
5.6 | 2.8 | 40.9 | 18% |
|
Omar Cooper Jr.
|
2.4 | 1.6 | 21.7 | 12% |
|
Cyrus Allen
|
1.8 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8% |
|
Jalen Royals
|
1.8 | 1.1 | 12.7 | 8% |
|
Andrew Armstrong
|
1.5 | 0.9 | 11.3 | 7% |
|
Tim Patrick
|
1.3 | 0.8 | 10.1 | 7% |
|
Isaiah Williams
|
1.3 | 0.9 | 9.9 | 6% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Travis Kelce
|
5.9 | 4.2 | 48.4 | 27% |
|
Mason Taylor
|
4.2 | 2.9 | 28.6 | 17% |
|
Kenyon Sadiq
|
2.6 | 1.8 | 19.5 | 11% |
|
Noah Gray
|
2.5 | 1.8 | 19.4 | 11% |
|
Jelani Woods
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 3% |
|
Jake Briningstool
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 2% |
|
Jeremy Ruckert
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 1% |
|
Jared Wiley
|
– | – | 0.2 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
NYJ
Al-Jay HendersonRBChip TrayanumRBArian SmithWRJamaal PritchettWRSterling ShepardWR
KC
Brashard SmithRBNate CarterRBJeff CaldwellWRJimmy HolidayWRJustin WatsonWROmari EvansWRTyquan ThorntonWRJohn Michael GyllenborgTEThomas OdukoyaTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsTop 9% +7.0
- Special teams -0.4
- QB history -0.8
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +0.5
- Scoring output -1.9
- QB historyTop 7% +1.6
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- KC -7.9
- First line
- KC -9.5
- Latest
- KC -9.5
- Model
- 71.2%
- First line
- 80.0%
- Latest
- 80.0%
Moneyline KC -500 / NYJ +380 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.3
- First line
- 43.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 80.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play KC +7.0
- Home field KC +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats NYJ +0.8
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams NYJ +0.4
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses +0.5
- Points scoredrecent points for and against -1.9
- QB history +1.6
Team comparison
|
NYJ |
KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | -3.928th of 32 | 2.710th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | -0.04724th of 32 | 0.04610th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | 0.05129th of 32 | -0.01114th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.05711th of 32 | 0.01817th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.09113th of 32 | 0.10412th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| NYJ | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | G. Smith | P. Mahomes |
| QB ratingranks 12 and 13 of 32 | +0.091 | +0.105 |
Conditions
- VenueGEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelNYJ 7, KC 7not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model1,090 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
C.J. Stroud
|
31.5 | 20.1 | 221 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
|
Justin Herbert
|
27.4 | 18.4 | 196 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Omarion Hampton
|
11.9 | 48.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 12.0 | 36% |
|
Woody Marks
|
12.7 | 47.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 30% |
|
David Montgomery
|
8.3 | 32.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 29% |
|
Kimani Vidal
|
7.1 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 11.3 | 22% |
|
Keaton Mitchell
|
5.2 | 24.1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 19% |
|
Dare Ogunbowale
|
0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1% |
|
Scott Matlock
|
– | – | 0.1 | – | 0.3 | 0% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Nico Collins
|
6.3 | 4.0 | 55.0 | 28% |
|
Xavier Hutchinson
|
5.5 | 3.0 | 37.0 | 21% |
|
Tre Harris
|
3.9 | 2.6 | 29.7 | 14% |
|
Ladd McConkey
|
3.4 | 2.3 | 27.9 | 16% |
|
Marvin Harrison Jr.
|
3.7 | 2.0 | 27.2 | 19% |
|
Kayshon Boutte
|
3.2 | 2.1 | 26.7 | 16% |
|
Quentin Johnston
|
3.4 | 2.0 | 25.7 | 18% |
|
Theo Wease Jr.
|
2.1 | 1.3 | 16.6 | 10% |
|
Tank Dell
|
1.9 | 1.2 | 15.2 | 10% |
|
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
|
1.8 | 1.0 | 11.9 | 8% |
|
Brenen Thompson
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.7 | 4% |
|
Derius Davis
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Dalton Schultz
|
5.2 | 3.7 | 36.7 | 21% |
|
Oronde Gadsden II
|
3.6 | 2.5 | 27.1 | 15% |
|
Charlie Kolar
|
3.2 | 2.2 | 23.4 | 15% |
|
Foster Moreau
|
1.5 | 1.1 | 10.6 | 10% |
|
Cade Stover
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 4% |
|
Brevin Jordan
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 2% |
|
Marlin Klein
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2% |
|
Hayden Rucci
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
HOU
British BrooksRBDeuce VaughnRBJawhar JordanRBNoah WhittingtonRBBryce OliverWRJayden HigginsWRJaylin NoelWRJosh KellyWRLewis BondWRZaire Mitchell-PadenTE
LAC
Alec IngoldRBAmar JohnsonRBGregory DesrosiersRBGary JenningsWRLuke GrimmWRTejhaun PalmerWRDavid NjokuTEEvan SvobodaTEPatrick HerbertTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -3.2
- Special teams -0.1
- QB history -0.3
- League baseline 46.7
- Team ratingsBottom 4% -2.3
- Scoring output -2.1
- QB history +0.3
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- HOU -1.5
- First line
- HOU -3.0
- Latest
- HOU -4.5
- Model
- 54.1%
- First line
- 59.3%
- Latest
- 65.7%
Moneyline LAC +180 / HOU -218 (vig removed)
- Model
- 42.7
- First line
- 42.5
- Latest
- 40.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 59.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play HOU +3.2
- Home field LAC +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats HOU +0.3
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams HOU +0.1
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof46.7
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses -2.3
- Points scoredrecent points for and against -2.1
- QB history +0.3
Team comparison
|
HOU |
LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 0.117th of 32 | -3.225th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | -0.01216th of 32 | -0.10431st of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | -0.0258th of 32 | -0.0476th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | -0.05527th of 32 | -0.06228th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.1589th of 32 | -0.23631st of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| HOU | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | C. Stroud | J. Herbert |
| QB ratingranks 31 and 9 of 32 | +0.158 | -0.236 |
Conditions
- VenueSoFi Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofDomeindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelHOU 14, LAC 7not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model1,370 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Brock Purdy
|
29.0 | 19.6 | 252 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
|
Kirk Cousins
|
32.8 | 21.7 | 245 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Christian McCaffrey
|
12.2 | 55.2 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 35.1 | 50% |
|
Kaelon Black
|
9.8 | 41.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 26% |
|
Mike Washington Jr.
|
9.9 | 40.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 25% |
|
Ashton Jeanty
|
9.0 | 33.0 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 31.4 | 33% |
|
Jordan James
|
0.7 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3% |
|
Dylan Laube
|
0.7 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 3% |
|
Connor Heyward
|
0.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2% |
|
Kyle Juszczyk
|
– | – | 1.7 | 1.3 | 11.4 | 7% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | Rushing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Mike Evans
|
6.0 | 3.6 | 51.5 | 35% | – | – |
|
Tre Tucker
|
4.6 | 2.8 | 37.3 | 22% | 0.3 | 1.2 |
|
Deebo Samuel Sr.
|
3.6 | 2.4 | 28.5 | 24% | 1.6 | 8.1 |
|
Jalen Nailor
|
3.4 | 2.0 | 26.1 | 19% | – | – |
|
Cody White
|
2.2 | 1.3 | 16.7 | 11% | – | – |
|
Jordan Watkins
|
1.6 | 1.0 | 13.6 | 7% | – | – |
|
Brandin Cooks
|
1.7 | 1.1 | 13.0 | 8% | – | – |
|
Jacob Cowing
|
1.5 | 0.9 | 11.4 | 8% | 0.4 | 1.7 |
|
Christian Kirk
|
1.3 | 0.8 | 9.7 | 6% | – | – |
|
Jack Bech
|
1.3 | 0.8 | 9.6 | 5% | – | – |
|
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
|
1.2 | 0.6 | 8.1 | 5% | – | – |
|
Malik Benson
|
1.1 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 5% | 0.1 | 0.3 |
|
Dareke Young
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1% | – | – |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Brock Bowers
|
8.6 | 6.2 | 69.5 | 36% |
|
George Kittle
|
6.1 | 4.5 | 57.8 | 32% |
|
Michael Mayer
|
5.0 | 3.6 | 36.7 | 17% |
|
Luke Farrell
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 2% |
|
Ian Thomas
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
LV
Chris CollierRBOwen WrightRBRoman HembyRBDeven ThompkinsWRJamari ThrashWRPhillip DorsettWRCarter RunyonTEPatrick GurdTE
SF
Isaac GuerendoRBSincere McCormickRBDe'Zhaun StriblingWRDemarcus RobinsonWRMalik TurnerWRRicky PearsallWRWesley GrimesWRWill PaulingWRXavier SmithWRJack StollTEJake TongesTEKhalil DinkinsTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsTop 4% +9.8
- Special teams +0.5
- QB history -0.4
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +0.8
- Scoring output +2.0
- QB history +0.9
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- SF -12.0
- First line
- SF -9.5
- Latest
- SF -10.0
- Model
- 79.2%
- First line
- 80.4%
- Latest
- 80.0%
Moneyline SF -500 / LV +380 (vig removed)
- Model
- 47.8
- First line
- 48.5
- Latest
- 51.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 80.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play SF +9.8
- Home field SF +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats LV +0.4
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams SF +0.5
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses +0.8
- Points scoredrecent points for and against +2.0
- QB history +0.9
Team comparison
|
LV |
SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | -5.531st of 32 | 4.84th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | -0.07728th of 32 | 0.1052nd of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | 0.03626th of 32 | 0.00216th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | -0.03325th of 32 | 0.02715th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.15110th of 32 | 0.2194th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| LV | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | K. Cousins | B. Purdy |
| QB ratingranks 4 and 10 of 32 | +0.151 | +0.219 |
Conditions
- VenueLevi's Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelLV 7, SF 14not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model390 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Sam Darnold
|
29.1 | 18.6 | 227 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
|
Gardner Minshew
|
32.4 | 20.7 | 205 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Jeremiyah Love
|
9.4 | 36.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 26% |
|
Jadarian Price
|
7.6 | 31.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 24% |
|
Emanuel Wilson
|
6.9 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 21% |
|
Tyler Allgeier
|
6.6 | 26.3 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 15.7 | 23% |
|
Zach Charbonnet
|
5.1 | 21.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 12.6 | 24% |
|
Bam Knight
|
3.4 | 13.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 9.4 | 14% |
|
George Holani
|
2.2 | 9.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 8.5 | 10% |
|
Velus Jones Jr.
|
1.3 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4% |
|
Evan Hull
|
0.6 | 2.4 | 0.1 | – | 0.3 | 2% |
|
Brady Russell
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
|
9.7 | 6.9 | 93.9 | 42% |
|
Michael Wilson
|
11.3 | 7.0 | 78.7 | 42% |
|
Rashid Shaheed
|
3.7 | 2.3 | 28.2 | 16% |
|
Cooper Kupp
|
3.0 | 2.1 | 24.0 | 16% |
|
Tory Horton
|
2.5 | 1.5 | 18.1 | 14% |
|
Reggie Virgil
|
2.2 | 1.3 | 15.3 | 10% |
|
Devin Duvernay
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 3% |
|
Simi Fehoko
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2% |
|
Irvin Charles
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Trey McBride
|
8.8 | 6.6 | 60.5 | 31% |
|
AJ Barner
|
4.0 | 2.9 | 29.0 | 21% |
|
Elijah Higgins
|
2.6 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 11% |
|
Eric Saubert
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2% |
|
Kenny Yeboah
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 2% |
|
Teagan Quitoriano
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
ARI
James ConnerRBJerome FordRBTrey BensonRBHarrison Wallace IIIWRJalen BrooksWRKendrick BourneWRShedrick JacksonWRZay JonesWRHunter LongTEJameson GeersTEShawn BowmanTETip ReimanTE
SEA
Jacardia WrightRBJackson AckerRBRobbie OuztsRBRobert Henry Jr.RBEmmanuel Henderson Jr.WRJake BoboWRMalick MeigaWRRicky White IIIWRBen SimsTEElijah ArroyoTEJosiah DeguaraTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +5.6
- Special teamsTop 1% +3.2
- QB changeBottom 8% -0.6
- QB history -0.8
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.9
- Scoring output +0.7
- QB history +0.6
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- SEA -9.4
- First line
- SEA -10.5
- Latest
- SEA -11.5
- Model
- 74.2%
- First line
- 83.2%
- Latest
- 84.0%
Moneyline SEA -700 / ARI +500 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.6
- First line
- 44.5
- Latest
- 44.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 83.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play SEA +5.6
- Home field SEA +2.1
- QB changeBottom 8%starter vs the QB behind the ratings ARI +0.6
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats ARI +0.8
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teamsTop 1% SEA +3.2
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses -0.9
- Points scoredrecent points for and against +0.7
- QB history +0.6
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 +0.1
Team comparison
|
ARI |
SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | -3.727th of 32 | 5.03rd of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | -0.01819th of 32 | -0.01517th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | 0.03928th of 32 | -0.0822nd of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | -0.12231st of 32 | 0.2271st of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | -0.03923rd of 32 | -0.00716th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| ARI | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | G. Minshew II | S. Darnold |
| QB ratingranks 16 and 23 of 32 | -0.039 | -0.007 |
Conditions
- VenueLumen Fieldhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelARI 7, SEA 6not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model1,100 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Jordan Love
|
33.3 | 21.6 | 253 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
|
Drake Maye
|
28.4 | 19.1 | 222 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Rhamondre Stevenson
|
11.4 | 47.1 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 19.9 | 36% |
|
Josh Jacobs
|
8.7 | 35.4 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 21.7 | 34% |
|
TreVeyon Henderson
|
6.6 | 28.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6.4 | 25% |
|
Corey Kiner
|
5.5 | 22.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 13% |
|
MarShawn Lloyd
|
4.6 | 17.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 9.2 | 18% |
|
Kaleb Johnson
|
3.7 | 14.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 9% |
|
Pierre Strong
|
1.9 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8% |
|
Lan Larison
|
0.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6.9 | 5% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Matthew Golden
|
9.6 | 5.6 | 73.1 | 33% |
|
Christian Watson
|
7.4 | 4.4 | 70.4 | 40% |
|
A.J. Brown
|
6.3 | 4.0 | 52.4 | 32% |
|
DeMario Douglas
|
4.5 | 3.1 | 35.7 | 18% |
|
Efton Chism III
|
3.6 | 2.5 | 27.5 | 17% |
|
Savion Williams
|
1.7 | 1.2 | 13.0 | 10% |
|
Kyle Williams
|
1.5 | 0.9 | 12.8 | 8% |
|
Bo Melton
|
1.1 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 5% |
|
J. Michael Sturdivant
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2% |
|
Ryan Miller
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 2% |
|
Coleman Owen
|
0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Tucker Kraft
|
5.5 | 4.0 | 45.9 | 30% |
|
Hunter Henry
|
4.4 | 3.1 | 34.7 | 24% |
|
Eli Raridon
|
3.5 | 2.4 | 26.7 | 16% |
|
Jonnu Smith
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 4% |
|
Mark Redman
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2% |
|
Josh Whyle
|
0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
GB
Chris BrooksRBIsaiah NeyorWRJayden ReedWRQuincy Skinner Jr.WRSkyy MooreWRDrake DabneyTELuke MusgraveTEThomas YassminTE
NE
Myles MontgomeryRBReggie GilliamRBCameron DornerWRChandler BrayboyWRKyle DixonWRMack HollinsWRRomeo DoubsWRJulian HillTETanner ConnerTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +0.2
- Special teams +0.5
- QB history -0.2
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +1.1
- Scoring output -1.1
- QB history +0.6
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- NE -2.7
- First line
- NE -3.0
- Latest
- NE -3.0
- Model
- 56.8%
- First line
- 60.9%
- Latest
- 57.2%
Moneyline NE -148 / GB +124 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.7
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 60.9%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play NE +0.2
- Home field NE +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats GB +0.2
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams NE +0.5
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 NE +0.1
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses +1.1
- Points scoredrecent points for and against -1.1
- QB history +0.6
Team comparison
|
GB |
NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 2.99th of 32 | 3.67th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | 0.04011th of 32 | 0.0705th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | -0.0249th of 32 | 0.00317th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.00719th of 32 | 0.0639th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.1757th of 32 | 0.2861st of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| GB | NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | J. Love | D. Maye |
| QB ratingranks 1 and 7 of 32 | +0.175 | +0.286 |
Conditions
- VenueGillette Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelGB 10, NE 7not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model860 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Caleb Williams
|
29.9 | 18.4 | 193 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
|
Baker Mayfield
|
24.7 | 16.3 | 179 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Bucky Irving
|
14.9 | 66.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 11.3 | 38% |
|
D'Andre Swift
|
11.7 | 49.0 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 19.1 | 41% |
|
Kyle Monangai
|
7.1 | 30.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6.7 | 23% |
|
Kenny Gainwell
|
6.9 | 29.9 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 18.5 | 28% |
|
Roschon Johnson
|
2.8 | 10.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6.7 | 13% |
|
Sean Tucker
|
2.0 | 8.4 | – | – | 0.1 | 9% |
|
Zavier Scott
|
0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Luther Burden III
|
6.4 | 4.6 | 55.2 | 26% |
|
Chris Godwin Jr.
|
6.4 | 4.5 | 49.0 | 26% |
|
Emeka Egbuka
|
6.5 | 3.5 | 43.9 | 26% |
|
Rome Odunze
|
5.2 | 2.9 | 40.6 | 20% |
|
Ted Hurst III
|
4.0 | 2.2 | 28.9 | 17% |
|
Kalif Raymond
|
2.8 | 2.0 | 22.3 | 11% |
|
Tez Johnson
|
1.6 | 1.0 | 12.7 | 9% |
|
Zavion Thomas
|
1.3 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 6% |
|
David Sills
|
0.8 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 4% |
|
Jahdae Walker
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1% |
|
Kameron Johnson
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Colston Loveland
|
8.5 | 5.8 | 60.8 | 35% |
|
Cade Otton
|
2.0 | 1.4 | 14.1 | 8% |
|
Sam Roush
|
0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1% |
|
Payne Durham
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1% |
|
Bauer Sharp
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0% |
|
Stephen Carlson
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
TB
Barika KpeenuRBJosh WilliamsRBDean Patterson IVWREric Rivers Jr.WRGarrett GreeneWRJalen McMillanWRCJ DippreTE
CHI
Brittain BrownRBSalvon AhmedRBJP RichardsonWRKaden DavisWRScott MillerWRSquirrel WhiteWRCole KmetTEHayden LargeTENikola KalinicTEQadir IsmailTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +1.8
- Special teams +1.0
- QB history +0.5
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.6
- Scoring output -0.4
- QB history +1.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- CHI -5.5
- First line
- CHI -6.0
- Latest
- CHI -6.0
- Model
- 64.7%
- First line
- 69.6%
- Latest
- 67.5%
Moneyline CHI -238 / TB +195 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.1
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 69.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play CHI +1.8
- Home field CHI +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats CHI +0.5
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams CHI +1.0
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 CHI +0.1
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof44.1
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses -0.6
- Points scoredrecent points for and against -0.4
- QB history +1.0
Team comparison
|
TB |
CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 1.313th of 32 | 4.15th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | -0.03222nd of 32 | 0.0499th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | -0.0563rd of 32 | -0.01312th of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.02814th of 32 | 0.1412nd of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | -0.02119th of 32 | 0.1776th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| TB | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | B. Mayfield | C. Williams |
| QB ratingranks 6 and 19 of 32 | -0.021 | +0.177 |
Conditions
- VenueSoldier Fieldhome field in the margin
- RoofOutdoorsindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelTB 7, CHI 6not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model1,000 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
How we got this
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Kyler Murray
|
29.7 | 20.3 | 210 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
|
Josh Allen
|
27.1 | 18.0 | 188 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
James Cook
|
20.4 | 95.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 12.3 | 58% |
|
Aaron Jones
|
10.8 | 51.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 16.5 | 37% |
|
Jordan Mason
|
9.2 | 43.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 27% |
|
Ray Davis
|
2.6 | 10.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 8% |
|
Ty Johnson
|
2.0 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 17.0 | 14% |
|
Demond Claiborne
|
0.9 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 5% |
|
DeeJay Dallas
|
0.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 3% |
|
Max Bredeson
|
0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Justin Jefferson
|
8.1 | 5.4 | 69.4 | 34% |
|
Jordan Addison
|
6.3 | 3.8 | 49.6 | 33% |
|
Khalil Shakir
|
4.8 | 3.6 | 35.9 | 19% |
|
DJ Moore
|
4.4 | 2.7 | 32.4 | 19% |
|
Keon Coleman
|
3.4 | 2.1 | 25.8 | 18% |
|
Jauan Jennings
|
2.4 | 1.5 | 17.8 | 13% |
|
Skyler Bell
|
2.3 | 1.3 | 14.9 | 10% |
|
Josh Palmer
|
1.6 | 1.0 | 11.6 | 6% |
|
Tai Felton
|
1.0 | 0.6 | 7.4 | 4% |
|
Myles Price
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.3 | 4% |
|
Greg Dortch
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
T.J. Hockenson
|
5.4 | 3.8 | 39.6 | 21% |
|
Dalton Kincaid
|
4.4 | 3.2 | 35.0 | 18% |
|
Dawson Knox
|
1.8 | 1.2 | 12.5 | 11% |
|
Gavin Bartholomew
|
1.3 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 6% |
|
Ben Yurosek
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.5 | 4% |
|
Jackson Hawes
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 3% |
|
Keleki Latu
|
0.1 | – | 0.4 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
BUF
Brock LampeRBFrank Gore Jr.RBJa'Mori MaclinWRStephen GosnellWRTrent SherfieldWRTyrell ShaversWR
MIN
C.J. HamRBAdam ThielenWRDillon BellWRJeshaun JonesWRMichael BriscoeWROdell Beckham Jr.WRBryson NesbitTEDevin CulpTEJosh OliverTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings -5.1
- Special teams -0.3
- QB history 0.0
- League baseline 46.7
- Team ratings -0.8
- Scoring output -0.6
- QB history 0.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- BUF -3.4
- First line
- BUF -2.5
- Latest
- BUF -3.5
- Model
- 59.4%
- First line
- 56.3%
- Latest
- 58.3%
Moneyline MIN +130 / BUF -155 (vig removed)
- Model
- 45.4
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 45.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 56.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 4:23 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 9:48 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
How the numbers are built
- Rating gapoffense and defense EPA per play BUF +5.1
- Home field MIN +2.1
- QB historythis week's QBs vs those behind recent stats 0.0
- Injury baselinefixed term of the injury fit 0.0
- Special teams BUF +0.3
- League baselineleague scoring level and roof46.7
- Team EPAboth offenses vs both defenses -0.8
- Points scoredrecent points for and against -0.6
- QB history +0.0
- Roundingpublished scores are rounded to 0.1 +0.1
Team comparison
|
BUF |
MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Powerpts vs avg | 6.31st of 32 | 0.914th of 32 |
| OffenseEPA/play | 0.1301st of 32 | -0.09230th of 32 |
| DefenseEPA/play allowed | 0.00115th of 32 | -0.1071st of 32 |
| Special teamsEPA/play | 0.0638th of 32 | 0.02716th of 32 |
| Starting QBQB rating | 0.1748th of 32 | -0.07728th of 32 |
Quarterbacks
| BUF | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | J. Allen | K. Murray |
| QB ratingranks 28 and 8 of 32 | +0.174 | -0.077 |
Conditions
- VenueU.S. Bank Stadiumhome field in the margin
- RoofDomeindoor games in the total
- Rest days Not in the modelBUF 8, MIN 8not in the game margin
- Away travel Not in the model740 minot in the game margin
Model nfl-abb623a4de5b · data as of · Sources: nflverse play-by-play, nflverse schedules, ESPN injuries, NFL injury reports, Team depth charts. How the models work →
Players
Anytime TD board
- Jahmyr Gibbs70%
- James Cook58%
- Kenneth Walker III58%
- Derrick Henry52%
- Jonathan Taylor51%
Quarterbacks
| LA @ WAS | 34.8 | 22.8 | 272 | 1.87 | 0.70 | |
| CIN @ ATL | 34.9 | 24.0 | 254 | 2.08 | 0.67 | |
| GB @ NE | 33.3 | 21.6 | 253 | 1.79 | 0.68 | |
| DAL @ IND | 32.8 | 21.9 | 251 | 1.67 | 0.65 | |
| DET @ MIA | 29.8 | 20.4 | 252 | 1.61 | 0.53 | |
| NYJ @ KC | 31.5 | 20.9 | 249 | 1.66 | 0.62 | |
| LV @ SF | 29.0 | 19.6 | 252 | 1.78 | 0.74 | |
| LV @ SF | 32.8 | 21.7 | 245 | 1.69 | 0.70 | |
| CLE @ NO | 30.7 | 20.1 | 230 | 1.30 | 0.59 | |
| ARI @ SEA | 29.1 | 18.6 | 227 | 1.41 | 0.84 | |
| CIN @ ATL | 29.5 | 18.5 | 226 | 1.22 | 0.64 | |
| HOU @ LAC | 31.5 | 20.1 | 221 | 1.35 | 0.52 | |
| DAL @ IND | 30.3 | 19.6 | 221 | 0.99 | 0.70 | |
| GB @ NE | 28.4 | 19.1 | 222 | 1.59 | 0.68 | |
| NYJ @ KC | 30.0 | 20.2 | 216 | 1.30 | 0.71 | |
| NYG @ PHI | 29.6 | 18.3 | 217 | 1.23 | 0.96 | |
| CLE @ NO | 31.2 | 20.6 | 210 | 1.26 | 0.66 | |
| DEN @ CAR | 33.4 | 20.8 | 206 | 1.36 | 0.72 | |
| BUF @ MIN | 29.7 | 20.3 | 210 | 1.22 | 0.62 | |
| DEN @ CAR | 30.9 | 19.7 | 208 | 1.34 | 0.58 | |
| ARI @ SEA | 32.4 | 20.7 | 205 | 1.28 | 0.73 | |
| DET @ MIA | 27.5 | 17.5 | 212 | 1.09 | 0.63 | |
| NYG @ PHI | 30.9 | 19.8 | 207 | 1.14 | 0.63 | |
| JAX @ BAL | 28.2 | 18.0 | 206 | 1.32 | 0.63 | |
| LA @ WAS | 30.5 | 19.6 | 202 | 1.41 | 0.50 | |
| JAX @ BAL | 32.2 | 21.4 | 197 | 1.07 | 0.59 | |
| HOU @ LAC | 27.4 | 18.4 | 196 | 1.24 | 0.58 | |
| TB @ CHI | 29.9 | 18.4 | 193 | 1.24 | 0.40 | |
| BUF @ MIN | 27.1 | 18.0 | 188 | 1.50 | 0.62 | |
| TB @ CHI | 24.7 | 16.3 | 179 | 1.26 | 0.60 |
Running backs
| DET @ MIA | 19.6 | 97.6 | 5.4 | 4.30 | 35.5 | 70.1% | |
| NYJ @ KC | 21.3 | 93.5 | 3.9 | 3.10 | 23.3 | 57.6% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 20.4 | 95.4 | 2.1 | 1.60 | 12.3 | 57.8% | |
| CIN @ ATL | 14.7 | 70.9 | 3.4 | 2.60 | 22.3 | 42.7% | |
| DAL @ IND | 13.6 | 67.0 | 3.9 | 3.00 | 24.8 | 50.6% | |
| LV @ SF | 12.2 | 55.2 | 5.3 | 4.20 | 35.1 | 50.1% | |
| CIN @ ATL | 13.5 | 54.7 | 5.9 | 4.80 | 31.1 | 43.1% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 14.6 | 62.0 | 4.6 | 3.70 | 24.6 | 42.7% | |
| DAL @ IND | 16.8 | 72.1 | 1.9 | 1.50 | 9.4 | 43.3% | |
| NYG @ PHI | 16.4 | 70.7 | 1.7 | 1.30 | 10.4 | 45.1% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 15.0 | 67.5 | 1.9 | 1.50 | 10.7 | 51.6% | |
| LA @ WAS | 14.7 | 56.0 | 3.4 | 3.00 | 19.3 | 38.0% | |
| TB @ CHI | 14.9 | 66.6 | 1.9 | 1.60 | 11.3 | 37.9% | |
| DET @ MIA | 16.6 | 66.9 | 1.5 | 1.20 | 8.5 | 48.3% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 14.7 | 59.1 | 2.4 | 1.90 | 16.3 | 47.3% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 12.8 | 61.6 | 1.6 | 1.30 | 8.5 | 41.8% | |
| TB @ CHI | 11.7 | 49.0 | 3.3 | 2.60 | 19.1 | 41.4% | |
| LA @ WAS | 10.6 | 49.7 | 3.2 | 2.40 | 18.3 | 43.2% | |
| GB @ NE | 11.4 | 47.1 | 3.2 | 2.50 | 19.9 | 35.9% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 10.8 | 51.4 | 3.0 | 2.20 | 16.5 | 36.9% | |
| LV @ SF | 9.0 | 33.0 | 5.1 | 3.80 | 31.4 | 33.0% | |
| NYG @ PHI | 12.0 | 57.8 | 1.6 | 1.20 | 9.1 | 34.0% | |
| NYJ @ KC | 11.3 | 47.6 | 3.0 | 2.30 | 16.7 | 33.9% | |
| CLE @ NO | 11.8 | 47.0 | 2.5 | 2.00 | 14.8 | 34.5% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 12.7 | 47.6 | 2.3 | 1.70 | 13.0 | 29.6% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 8.6 | 37.7 | 3.7 | 3.00 | 24.0 | 34.2% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 11.9 | 48.2 | 2.2 | 1.80 | 12.0 | 35.9% | |
| CLE @ NO | 12.0 | 47.9 | 2.2 | 1.70 | 11.8 | 33.4% | |
| CLE @ NO | 8.0 | 34.4 | 4.2 | 3.30 | 23.4 | 34.5% | |
| GB @ NE | 8.7 | 35.4 | 3.5 | 2.80 | 21.7 | 33.7% | |
| NYJ @ KC | 9.1 | 38.7 | 2.3 | 1.80 | 15.4 | 26.1% | |
| TB @ CHI | 6.9 | 29.9 | 3.4 | 2.60 | 18.5 | 28.3% | |
| LV @ SF | 9.8 | 41.2 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.4 | 26.1% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 7.6 | 31.8 | 2.5 | 1.80 | 13.8 | 23.7% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 9.2 | 43.3 | 0.6 | 0.50 | 3.4 | 26.6% | |
| NYG @ PHI | 7.2 | 31.9 | 2.3 | 1.80 | 13.6 | 22.0% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 9.4 | 36.3 | 1.6 | 1.20 | 8.2 | 25.7% | |
| LV @ SF | 9.9 | 40.4 | 0.5 | 0.40 | 2.7 | 24.6% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 6.6 | 26.3 | 2.7 | 2.30 | 15.7 | 23.3% | |
| LA @ WAS | 8.2 | 33.9 | 1.4 | 1.10 | 8.3 | 31.0% | |
| LA @ WAS | 7.4 | 34.7 | 1.4 | 1.00 | 8.1 | 24.2% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 7.1 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 1.50 | 11.3 | 21.5% | |
| NYG @ PHI | 5.4 | 25.3 | 2.8 | 2.20 | 15.1 | 20.7% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 8.3 | 32.9 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.6 | 29.2% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 5.2 | 24.1 | 2.5 | 2.00 | 14.0 | 18.7% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 2.4 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.80 | 25.9 | 19.4% | |
| TB @ CHI | 7.1 | 30.8 | 1.2 | 0.80 | 6.7 | 23.4% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 6.9 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 0.80 | 6.0 | 21.0% | |
| GB @ NE | 6.6 | 28.4 | 1.2 | 0.90 | 6.4 | 24.6% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 5.1 | 21.2 | 2.2 | 1.70 | 12.6 | 23.9% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 6.8 | 28.6 | 0.8 | 0.60 | 4.7 | 27.2% | |
| CLE @ NO | 2.4 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 2.50 | 20.2 | 14.1% | |
| NYJ @ KC | 2.1 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 2.30 | 21.6 | 13.9% | |
| CLE @ NO | 5.4 | 23.3 | 1.0 | 0.80 | 6.4 | 17.8% | |
| CIN @ ATL | 5.4 | 22.7 | 1.1 | 0.90 | 6.7 | 18.1% | |
| CIN @ ATL | 5.4 | 21.6 | 1.2 | 1.00 | 7.1 | 15.4% | |
| GB @ NE | 4.6 | 17.7 | 1.6 | 1.30 | 9.2 | 17.9% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 2.0 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 1.90 | 17.0 | 13.7% | |
| DAL @ IND | 4.9 | 21.8 | 0.6 | 0.50 | 3.5 | 13.5% | |
| GB @ NE | 5.5 | 22.6 | 0.2 | 0.10 | 1.0 | 12.9% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 3.4 | 13.0 | 1.7 | 1.30 | 9.4 | 13.5% | |
| DAL @ IND | 3.8 | 16.7 | 1.1 | 0.80 | 6.1 | 12.2% | |
| NYG @ PHI | 4.5 | 19.8 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.2 | 13.6% | |
| DET @ MIA | 4.2 | 16.9 | 0.6 | 0.40 | 3.6 | 10.8% | |
| DET @ MIA | 3.7 | 15.9 | 0.6 | 0.50 | 4.2 | 11.1% | |
| TB @ CHI | 2.8 | 10.9 | 1.2 | 0.90 | 6.7 | 13.4% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 2.2 | 9.0 | 1.4 | 1.10 | 8.5 | 10.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | 2.6 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.70 | 5.5 | 8.8% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 3.1 | 12.9 | 0.6 | 0.40 | 3.2 | 9.3% | |
| GB @ NE | 1.9 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 1.00 | 8.0 | 8.1% | |
| CLE @ NO | 2.8 | 12.1 | 0.7 | 0.50 | 3.9 | 9.7% | |
| GB @ NE | 3.7 | 14.4 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 9.1% | |
| NYJ @ KC | 1.9 | 8.4 | 1.0 | 0.70 | 6.3 | 8.0% | |
| DAL @ IND | 3.2 | 14.2 | – | – | 0.3 | 8.3% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 2.6 | 10.3 | 0.6 | 0.40 | 3.3 | 8.2% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 1.7 | 1.30 | 11.4 | 7.0% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 1.8 | 7.9 | 0.5 | 0.40 | 3.0 | 6.4% | |
| CLE @ NO | 1.1 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 4.8 | 5.6% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 2.1 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 0.20 | 1.5 | 5.5% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.0 | 5.3% | |
| GB @ NE | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.90 | 6.9 | 5.0% | |
| TB @ CHI | 2.0 | 8.4 | – | – | 0.1 | 8.9% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.0 | 3.4% | |
| DET @ MIA | 1.5 | 6.4 | – | – | – | 4.4% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 1.3 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.7 | 4.3% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 1.5 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.4 | 4.3% | |
| LV @ SF | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.2 | 3.4% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.2 | 2.9% | |
| DAL @ IND | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.3 | 2.5% | |
| LV @ SF | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 2.6% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.40 | 3.1 | 1.8% | |
| CIN @ ATL | 0.8 | 3.2 | – | – | 0.1 | 2.3% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 0.7 | 3.2 | – | – | – | 2.6% | |
| LV @ SF | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 2.3% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.1 | – | 0.3 | 1.9% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 1.4 | 1.6% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.20 | 1.5 | 1.1% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 0.3 | 0.20 | 1.9 | 1.5% | |
| CLE @ NO | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 1.4 | 1.1% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 1.3 | 0.9% | |
| NYJ @ KC | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | – | 0.3 | 1.1% | |
| TB @ CHI | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.6 | 0.8% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 0.2 | 0.10 | 1.0 | 0.5% | |
| NYJ @ KC | 0.2 | 0.7 | – | – | 0.2 | 0.7% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.6 | 0.3% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0.3% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.3 | 0.2% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% |
Receivers
| LA @ WAS | 0.50 | 2.4 | 12.1 | 8.7 | 109 | 42.7% | |
| DAL @ IND | 0.10 | 0.4 | 11.5 | 7.8 | 97 | 43.5% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 0.20 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 6.9 | 94 | 41.8% | |
| DET @ MIA | 0.30 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 7.1 | 83 | 44.1% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 0.40 | 1.6 | 11.3 | 7.0 | 79 | 42.0% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 9.7 | 6.6 | 79 | 47.4% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | 0.2 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 75 | 31.7% | |
| GB @ NE | 0.10 | 0.2 | 9.6 | 5.6 | 73 | 32.9% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 0.20 | 0.9 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 71 | 32.1% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 9.1 | 5.8 | 71 | 32.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 8.0 | 5.1 | 72 | 40.8% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 8.9 | 5.4 | 70 | 34.3% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 69 | 33.5% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 7.4 | 4.4 | 70 | 39.8% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 8.2 | 5.3 | 65 | 29.2% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 7.3 | 5.0 | 62 | 31.9% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 6.3 | 3.8 | 61 | 31.5% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 0.10 | 0.6 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 59 | 28.4% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 6.4 | 4.0 | 59 | 25.8% | |
| TB @ CHI | 0.50 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 55 | 26.3% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 7.4 | 4.5 | 55 | 25.0% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 0.20 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 55 | 28.5% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 6.9 | 4.8 | 53 | 31.9% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 6.8 | 3.7 | 53 | 27.8% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 6.3 | 4.0 | 52 | 32.2% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.30 | 1.4 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 50 | 32.7% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 6.0 | 3.6 | 52 | 34.7% | |
| TB @ CHI | 0.10 | 0.7 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 49 | 25.9% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 6.2 | 4.2 | 50 | 27.2% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | 0.2 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 47 | 27.2% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 6.2 | 4.2 | 46 | 23.6% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 0.40 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 45 | 26.7% | |
| CLE @ NO | 0.70 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 42 | 21.3% | |
| TB @ CHI | 0.20 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 44 | 26.5% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 5.2 | 3.3 | 44 | 23.0% | |
| DET @ MIA | 0.70 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 39 | 22.1% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 5.6 | 3.8 | 42 | 24.5% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | 0.2 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 41 | 21.9% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 5.7 | 3.7 | 41 | 22.3% | |
| DAL @ IND | 0.10 | 0.6 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 40 | 19.6% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 5.6 | 2.8 | 41 | 18.3% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 5.2 | 2.9 | 41 | 19.8% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 0.50 | 2.4 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 37 | 21.0% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | 0.1 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 39 | 21.6% | |
| DAL @ IND | 0.10 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 38 | 21.0% | |
| LV @ SF | 0.30 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 37 | 21.5% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 0.10 | 0.2 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 38 | 16.6% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 4.6 | 2.6 | 38 | 21.3% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 4.7 | 2.8 | 37 | 20.5% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 4.8 | 3.6 | 36 | 18.8% | |
| LV @ SF | 1.60 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 28 | 23.8% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 4.9 | 2.8 | 36 | 17.9% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.70 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 32 | 19.3% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 4.5 | 3.1 | 36 | 17.9% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 4.3 | 2.5 | 33 | 17.6% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 4.0 | 2.4 | 30 | 18.2% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | 0.1 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 30 | 14.3% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 0.30 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 28 | 16.2% | |
| DET @ MIA | 0.30 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 28 | 15.9% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 4.0 | 2.2 | 29 | 16.7% | |
| GB @ NE | 0.10 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 28 | 16.7% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 3.4 | 2.3 | 28 | 15.9% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 3.7 | 2.0 | 27 | 18.6% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 0.90 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 22 | 15.8% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 0.20 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 26 | 18.0% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 3.2 | 2.1 | 27 | 15.5% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 3.4 | 2.0 | 26 | 18.7% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 3.4 | 2.1 | 26 | 17.9% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 3.5 | 2.1 | 26 | 16.4% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 3.0 | 2.1 | 24 | 16.1% | |
| TB @ CHI | 0.20 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 22 | 11.2% | |
| NYG @ PHI | 0.50 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 21 | 11.3% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 3.4 | 2.2 | 22 | 14.0% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 3.4 | 2.2 | 22 | 13.1% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 3.0 | 1.8 | 23 | 15.3% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 2.9 | 1.8 | 23 | 10.2% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 2.9 | 1.7 | 22 | 9.1% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 3.2 | 1.7 | 22 | 14.6% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 2.4 | 1.6 | 22 | 11.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | 0.10 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 21 | 11.4% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 2.7 | 1.6 | 21 | 12.9% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 2.7 | 1.7 | 20 | 11.7% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 2.9 | 1.6 | 19 | 12.4% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 2.5 | 1.5 | 18 | 13.9% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 2.4 | 1.5 | 18 | 12.6% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 2.1 | 1.3 | 18 | 7.9% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 2.4 | 1.3 | 17 | 10.6% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 2.2 | 1.3 | 17 | 11.2% | |
| GB @ NE | 0.80 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 13 | 9.9% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 2.1 | 1.3 | 17 | 9.7% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 0.30 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 15 | 10.5% | |
| NYG @ PHI | 0.10 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 16 | 10.7% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 2.1 | 1.3 | 16 | 9.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 2.3 | 1.4 | 15 | 10.3% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 2.2 | 1.3 | 15 | 9.6% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 2.3 | 1.3 | 15 | 9.9% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 1.8 | 1.0 | 15 | 10.0% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 2.2 | 1.3 | 14 | 9.5% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 1.8 | 1.1 | 14 | 9.0% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 1.8 | 1.1 | 14 | 7.6% | |
| TB @ CHI | 0.20 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 13 | 9.4% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 13 | 8.6% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 1.6 | 1.0 | 14 | 6.9% | |
| LV @ SF | 0.40 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 11 | 7.7% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 1.7 | 1.1 | 13 | 8.4% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 1.8 | 1.1 | 13 | 8.1% | |
| JAX @ BAL | 0.30 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 11 | 7.5% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 1.5 | 0.9 | 13 | 8.4% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 1.8 | 1.0 | 12 | 7.9% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 1.6 | 1.0 | 12 | 6.2% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 1.5 | 0.9 | 11 | 6.6% | |
| NYJ @ KC | 0.20 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 10 | 6.2% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 1.5 | 0.9 | 10 | 6.6% | |
| DAL @ IND | 0.30 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 6.2% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 1.5 | 0.9 | 10 | 5.9% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 1.3 | 0.8 | 10 | 6.6% | |
| TB @ CHI | 0.10 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 9 | 6.1% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 1.3 | 0.8 | 10 | 5.6% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 1.3 | 0.8 | 10 | 5.4% | |
| DAL @ IND | 0.20 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 5.4% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 1.2 | 0.8 | 9 | 4.9% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 6.2% | |
| DAL @ IND | 0.20 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 5.7% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 1.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 6.2% | |
| CLE @ NO | 0.20 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 5.1% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5.7% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 4.7% | |
| LV @ SF | 0.10 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 5.0% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 4.6% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4.4% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.10 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6 | 4.2% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 0.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 4.2% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 7 | 3.3% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 0.9 | 0.5 | 6 | 5.3% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 0.8 | 0.5 | 6 | 3.6% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 0.8 | 0.5 | 6 | 3.5% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 0.8 | 0.4 | 6 | 2.9% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 0.8 | 0.4 | 5 | 2.3% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 4 | 2.3% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4 | 2.2% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4 | 2.6% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 4 | 3.8% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 4 | 2.3% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 4 | 2.0% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3 | 2.1% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3 | 2.0% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3 | 2.0% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 0.30 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1 | 1.8% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3 | 1.9% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.5% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.4% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.2% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1 | 1.0% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.10 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.8% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.6% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.6% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.6% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | 1 | 0.4% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0 | 0.3% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0 | 0.2% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0.2% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0.2% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0.1% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0.0% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% |
Tight ends
| LV @ SF | – | – | 8.6 | 6.2 | 69.5 | 35.9% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 8.8 | 6.6 | 60.5 | 31.0% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 8.5 | 5.8 | 60.8 | 35.0% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 6.1 | 4.5 | 57.8 | 31.7% | |
| DAL @ IND | 0.40 | 1.70 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 50.8 | 27.6% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 6.8 | 4.6 | 50.0 | 34.2% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | 0.10 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 28.0% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 5.9 | 4.2 | 48.4 | 26.8% | |
| GB @ NE | 0.10 | 0.50 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 45.9 | 30.2% | |
| DET @ MIA | 0.20 | 0.70 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 42.6 | 27.2% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 5.3 | 3.4 | 40.5 | 19.9% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 5.4 | 3.8 | 39.6 | 21.4% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 4.6 | 3.5 | 38.2 | 19.1% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 5.2 | 3.7 | 36.7 | 20.6% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 5.0 | 3.6 | 36.7 | 17.1% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 4.5 | 3.0 | 36.6 | 15.8% | |
| NYG @ PHI | 0.10 | 0.60 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 34.3 | 22.6% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 4.4 | 3.2 | 35.0 | 18.1% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 4.4 | 3.1 | 34.7 | 24.5% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 4.8 | 3.4 | 34.0 | 16.0% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 4.9 | 3.4 | 31.7 | 28.4% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 4.1 | 2.7 | 31.4 | 18.9% | |
| ARI @ SEA | 0.30 | 1.20 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 29.0 | 20.7% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 3.9 | 2.7 | 29.4 | 20.0% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 4.2 | 2.9 | 28.6 | 16.6% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 4.0 | 2.8 | 28.7 | 20.1% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 0.10 | 0.40 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 27.1 | 15.1% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 3.5 | 2.4 | 26.7 | 16.2% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 3.1 | 2.1 | 23.7 | 13.5% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 3.2 | 2.2 | 23.4 | 14.7% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 3.2 | 2.2 | 23.0 | 12.6% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 3.3 | 2.2 | 22.7 | 11.3% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 2.9 | 2.0 | 21.9 | 13.6% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 2.7 | 1.9 | 20.7 | 11.9% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | 20.2 | 15.2% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | 0.20 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 19.5 | 11.4% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 2.5 | 1.8 | 19.4 | 11.4% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 2.6 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 11.0% | |
| LA @ WAS | 0.10 | 0.60 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 16.0 | 12.0% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 2.4 | 1.7 | 16.5 | 10.6% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 2.2 | 1.5 | 16.4 | 9.5% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 2.1 | 1.5 | 16.3 | 9.4% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 2.0 | 1.4 | 14.1 | 7.7% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 1.8 | 1.2 | 13.6 | 8.0% | |
| DEN @ CAR | 0.10 | 0.40 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 12.9 | 8.2% | |
| BUF @ MIN | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 12.5 | 11.3% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 1.8 | 1.1 | 13.0 | 8.4% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 1.8 | 1.3 | 11.9 | 8.6% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 1.7 | 1.1 | 12.2 | 6.5% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 1.6 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 6.9% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 1.5 | 1.0 | 11.1 | 7.3% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 1.5 | 1.1 | 10.6 | 9.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 1.4 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 6.6% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 1.5 | 1.1 | 9.9 | 6.2% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 1.3 | 0.9 | 10.1 | 5.7% | |
| CIN @ ATL | 0.10 | 0.70 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 9.2 | 5.6% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 1.3 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 5.5% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8.1 | 5.3% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 4.5% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7.6 | 4.6% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7.2 | 5.8% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 4.6% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.5 | 3.9% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | 0.10 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 5.4% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.3 | 3.9% | |
| HOU @ LAC | 0.50 | 2.10 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 4.1% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 3.8% | |
| GB @ NE | – | 0.20 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 4.1% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 3.0% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 2.2% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 3.8% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 2.5% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 3.1% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 0.5 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 2.6% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 2.2% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 2.2% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 2.0% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2.1% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 2.2% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 1.9% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 1.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 1.9% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 1.7% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 1.8% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 1.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.5% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.5% | |
| CIN @ ATL | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 1.6% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 1.3% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.4% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.3% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.2% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.2% | |
| LA @ WAS | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.4% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.0% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.1% | |
| DET @ MIA | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.0% | |
| HOU @ LAC | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.9% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.9% | |
| DAL @ IND | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.6% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.8% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.7% | |
| CLE @ NO | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.5% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4% | |
| GB @ NE | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0.3% | |
| BUF @ MIN | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 0.3% | |
| NYJ @ KC | – | – | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1% | |
| NYG @ PHI | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1% | |
| LV @ SF | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| DEN @ CAR | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| TB @ CHI | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| ARI @ SEA | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| JAX @ BAL | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% |