NFL predictions Week 8, 2026
Win probabilities, projected scores and totals for every NFL game, plus player stat lines. Methodology →
14 games on this slate · 43–30 last 30 days →
Games
Panthers
Packers
Cardinals
Cowboys
Falcons
Buccaneers
Ravens
Bills
Browns
Steelers
Colts
Jaguars
Raiders
Jets
Vikings
Lions
Titans
Bengals
Chargers
Rams
Chiefs
Broncos
Patriots
Dolphins
Eagles
Commanders
Bears
Seahawks
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Jordan Love
|
31.9 | 20.6 | 251 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
|
Bryce Young
|
34.8 | 21.6 | 220 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Chuba Hubbard
|
12.9 | 52.1 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 18.5 | 37% |
|
Josh Jacobs
|
7.4 | 32.0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 17.3 | 29% |
|
MarShawn Lloyd
|
6.5 | 26.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 23% |
|
Kaleb Johnson
|
4.2 | 17.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 10% |
|
AJ Dillon
|
3.3 | 12.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 10% |
|
Pierre Strong
|
2.7 | 12.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 11.2 | 11% |
|
Trevor Etienne
|
2.4 | 9.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 8% |
|
Anthony Tyus III
|
1.1 | 4.5 | – | – | – | 4% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Tetairoa McMillan
|
8.6 | 5.2 | 70.0 | 34% |
|
Matthew Golden
|
8.7 | 5.1 | 69.4 | 30% |
|
Christian Watson
|
6.8 | 4.0 | 65.5 | 38% |
|
Jalen Coker
|
7.2 | 4.9 | 58.3 | 30% |
|
John Metchie III
|
3.8 | 2.4 | 25.6 | 15% |
|
Savion Williams
|
1.7 | 1.2 | 13.2 | 10% |
|
Bo Melton
|
1.5 | 0.8 | 11.1 | 6% |
|
Brycen Tremayne
|
1.4 | 0.9 | 10.9 | 6% |
|
David Moore
|
0.9 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 6% |
|
J. Michael Sturdivant
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1% |
|
Coleman Owen
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Tucker Kraft
|
5.3 | 3.8 | 45.6 | 29% |
|
Darren Waller
|
3.4 | 2.4 | 26.3 | 16% |
|
Tommy Tremble
|
3.1 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 16% |
|
Mitchell Evans
|
1.7 | 1.2 | 12.8 | 8% |
|
Ja'Tavion Sanders
|
1.1 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 5% |
|
Jonnu Smith
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 4% |
|
Mark Redman
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 2% |
|
Josh Whyle
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
CAR
Ahmani MarshallRBJonathon BrooksRBCasey WashingtonWRChris Brazzell IIWRIhmir Smith-MarsetteWRJa'Seem ReedWRXavier LegetteWR
GB
Chris BrooksRBDamon BankstonRBIsaiah NeyorWRJayden ReedWRQuincy Skinner Jr.WRSkyy MooreWRDrake DabneyTELuke MusgraveTEThomas YassminTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +5.0
- Special teams +1.0
- QB history +0.4
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +0.5
- Scoring output -1.0
- QB history +0.4
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- GB -8.5
- First line
- GB -3.0
- Latest
- GB -3.5
- Model
- 72.4%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Latest
- 63.1%
Moneyline GB -192 / CAR +160 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.1
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 47.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 58.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Dak Prescott
|
33.4 | 22.1 | 258 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
|
Jacoby Brissett
|
34.1 | 21.6 | 238 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Javonte Williams
|
17.4 | 73.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 9.0 | 45% |
|
Tyler Allgeier
|
11.0 | 47.3 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 16.8 | 31% |
|
Bam Knight
|
7.2 | 30.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 13.6 | 24% |
|
Tyler Goodson
|
3.5 | 15.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 10% |
|
Evan Hull
|
1.1 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3% |
|
Hunter Luepke
|
0.7 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 4% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
CeeDee Lamb
|
11.4 | 7.7 | 99.1 | 44% |
|
George Pickens
|
7.5 | 4.7 | 70.4 | 30% |
|
Michael Wilson
|
8.6 | 5.4 | 66.7 | 34% |
|
Kendrick Bourne
|
5.5 | 3.7 | 46.2 | 21% |
|
Ryan Flournoy
|
5.1 | 3.5 | 40.7 | 21% |
|
Reggie Virgil
|
2.1 | 1.3 | 16.4 | 9% |
|
Jonathan Mingo
|
1.2 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 4% |
|
Devin Duvernay
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Trey McBride
|
10.1 | 7.6 | 76.8 | 34% |
|
Elijah Higgins
|
2.3 | 1.8 | 19.5 | 10% |
|
Jake Ferguson
|
2.7 | 2.0 | 17.9 | 13% |
|
Brevyn Spann-Ford
|
2.0 | 1.4 | 15.2 | 8% |
|
Luke Schoonmaker
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1% |
|
Teagan Quitoriano
|
0.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
ARI
James ConnerRBJeremiyah LoveRBJerome FordRBTrey BensonRBHarrison Wallace IIIWRJalen BrooksWRShedrick JacksonWRHunter LongTEJameson GeersTEKenny YeboahTEShawn BowmanTETip ReimanTE
DAL
Emari DemercadoRBIsrael AbanikandaRBMalik DavisRBAnthony SmithWRJordan HudsonWRKaVontae TurpinWRParris CampbellWRDJ RogersTEJames MitchellTEMichael TriggTEPrinceton FantTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +1.9
- Special teamsTop 2% +1.9
- QB history +0.2
- League baseline 46.7
- Team ratingsTop 2% +2.1
- Scoring outputTop 4% +3.4
- QB history +0.4
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- DAL -6.1
- First line
- DAL -6.5
- Latest
- DAL -6.0
- Model
- 66.5%
- First line
- 72.6%
- Latest
- 71.4%
Moneyline DAL -290 / ARI +235 (vig removed)
- Model
- 52.7
- First line
- 51.5
- Latest
- 54.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 72.6%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Michael Penix Jr.
|
29.9 | 19.0 | 218 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
|
Baker Mayfield
|
27.6 | 17.9 | 196 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Bijan Robinson
|
18.0 | 83.2 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 31.8 | 51% |
|
Bucky Irving
|
16.0 | 68.1 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 20.7 | 42% |
|
Kenny Gainwell
|
4.7 | 19.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 20% |
|
Khalil Herbert
|
3.0 | 13.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 10% |
|
Sean Tucker
|
2.8 | 11.8 | – | – | 0.2 | 13% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Drake London
|
9.9 | 6.2 | 83.2 | 35% |
|
Chris Godwin Jr.
|
9.1 | 6.4 | 69.7 | 35% |
|
Jahan Dotson
|
4.0 | 2.3 | 30.4 | 19% |
|
Tez Johnson
|
3.6 | 2.2 | 28.2 | 19% |
|
Ted Hurst III
|
3.7 | 2.1 | 26.8 | 16% |
|
Zachariah Branch
|
2.0 | 1.3 | 14.2 | 9% |
|
David Sills
|
1.8 | 1.0 | 12.3 | 8% |
|
Chris Blair
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 2% |
|
Kameron Johnson
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Kyle Pitts
|
5.0 | 3.2 | 38.2 | 19% |
|
Cade Otton
|
3.7 | 2.5 | 25.8 | 14% |
|
Austin Hooper
|
1.5 | 1.1 | 11.1 | 7% |
|
Charlie Woerner
|
0.8 | 0.6 | 5.6 | 4% |
|
Nick Muse
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 3% |
|
Payne Durham
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1% |
|
Bauer Sharp
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
ATL
Brian RobinsonRBJam MillerRBTrey SermonRBAntwane Wells Jr.WRBeaux CollinsWRDylan DrummondWROlamide ZaccheausWRVinny Anthony IIWRJack VellingTE
TB
Josh WilliamsRBDean Patterson IVWREmeka EgbukaWREric Rivers Jr.WRGarrett GreeneWRJalen McMillanWRCJ DippreTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +0.7
- Special teamsTop 3% +1.6
- QB history -0.5
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -1.1
- Scoring output +0.3
- QB history +1.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- TB -3.9
- First line
- TB -1.5
- Latest
- TB -2.5
- Model
- 60.4%
- First line
- 51.7%
- Latest
- 54.3%
Moneyline TB -130 / ATL +110 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.3
- First line
- 44.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 51.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
00-0034857
|
27.9 | 18.4 | 219 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
|
Tyler Huntley
|
30.2 | 20.0 | 202 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Derrick Henry
|
17.7 | 86.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 9.8 | 57% |
|
Justice Hill
|
2.0 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 16.3 | 13% |
|
Rasheen Ali
|
1.2 | 5.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Zay Flowers
|
9.0 | 6.3 | 83.6 | 34% |
|
Ja'Kobi Lane
|
4.1 | 2.5 | 29.2 | 16% |
|
Rashod Bateman
|
3.2 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 15% |
|
Elijah Sarratt
|
2.0 | 1.2 | 14.9 | 9% |
|
Devontez Walker
|
1.2 | 0.7 | 9.4 | 7% |
|
LaJohntay Wester
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Mark Andrews
|
4.5 | 3.1 | 32.9 | 27% |
|
Josh Cuevas
|
2.1 | 1.5 | 16.8 | 10% |
|
Matthew Hibner
|
0.8 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 4% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
BAL
Adam RandallRBJonathan WardRBLucas ScottRBChris MooreWRGage LarvadainWRTy PezzaWRDurham SmytheTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +2.7
- Special teams +0.5
- QB historyTop 10% +1.2
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratingsTop 1% +3.0
- Scoring outputTop 2% +4.0
- QB history -1.3
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- BUF -6.6
- First line
- BUF -2.5
- Latest
- BUF -3.5
- Model
- 67.8%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Latest
- 62.2%
Moneyline BUF -185 / BAL +154 (vig removed)
- Model
- 49.8
- First line
- 52.5
- Latest
- 53.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 58.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Deshaun Watson
|
30.0 | 19.6 | 216 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
|
Aaron Rodgers
|
31.2 | 20.6 | 216 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Jaylen Warren
|
13.7 | 62.6 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 26.9 | 33% |
|
Quinshon Judkins
|
10.7 | 40.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 34% |
|
Rico Dowdle
|
7.0 | 30.0 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 22.0 | 24% |
|
Audric Estimé
|
5.4 | 21.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6.5 | 18% |
|
Dylan Sampson
|
2.8 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 12.3 | 12% |
|
Jaleel McLaughlin
|
1.6 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 8% |
|
Travis Homer
|
0.4 | 1.7 | – | – | – | 1% |
|
Lew Nichols III
|
0.2 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 1% |
|
Michael Burton
|
0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
DK Metcalf
|
7.6 | 4.6 | 59.2 | 36% |
|
Denzel Boston
|
5.8 | 3.2 | 46.9 | 25% |
|
KC Concepcion
|
6.3 | 4.1 | 46.5 | 25% |
|
Germie Bernard
|
5.9 | 4.0 | 41.6 | 23% |
|
Jerry Jeudy
|
3.7 | 2.1 | 27.6 | 11% |
|
Kaden Wetjen
|
3.1 | 2.0 | 22.8 | 14% |
|
Isaiah Bond
|
1.1 | 0.6 | 8.8 | 4% |
|
Brandon Smith
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 3% |
|
Tylan Wallace
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1% |
|
Brandon Johnson
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1% |
|
Malachi Corley
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Harold Fannin Jr.
|
5.2 | 3.5 | 37.2 | 24% |
|
Pat Freiermuth
|
4.1 | 3.0 | 30.4 | 22% |
|
Darnell Washington
|
2.7 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 12% |
|
Carsen Ryan
|
2.1 | 1.5 | 16.0 | 9% |
|
Blake Whiteheart
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2% |
|
Robert Tonyan
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
CLE
Jaret PattersonRBRaheim SandersRBBub MeansWRJimmy Horn Jr.WRDevin CulpTEJoe RoyerTEJohn FitzPatrickTE
PIT
Ben SkowronekWRCole BurgessWRIsaiah HodginsWRMarquez Valdes-ScantlingWRMax HurlemanWRMichael PittmanWRRoman WilsonWRLake McReeTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +3.8
- Special teams +0.9
- QB history -0.8
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratingsBottom 7% -1.9
- Scoring outputBottom 3% -3.5
- QB history +1.1
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- PIT -6.1
- First line
- PIT -4.5
- Latest
- PIT -3.5
- Model
- 65.9%
- First line
- 65.7%
- Latest
- 61.6%
Moneyline PIT -180 / CLE +150 (vig removed)
- Model
- 39.9
- First line
- 38.5
- Latest
- 39.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 5 captures, first 65.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
00-0036971
|
30.6 | 19.4 | 224 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
|
Daniel Jones
|
31.0 | 20.0 | 203 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Jonathan Taylor
|
14.2 | 64.8 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 22.3 | 52% |
|
Seth McGowan
|
4.3 | 17.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.1 | 13% |
|
DJ Giddens
|
1.7 | 6.9 | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 5% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Keenan Allen
|
6.4 | 4.4 | 43.7 | 24% |
|
Josh Downs
|
6.0 | 4.0 | 41.9 | 21% |
|
Laquon Treadwell
|
3.6 | 2.3 | 26.4 | 12% |
|
Ashton Dulin
|
1.8 | 1.0 | 12.9 | 8% |
|
Deion Burks
|
1.3 | 0.8 | 9.2 | 6% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Will Mallory
|
3.8 | 2.4 | 25.7 | 14% |
|
Mo Alie-Cox
|
2.2 | 1.4 | 15.2 | 13% |
|
Andrew Ogletree
|
1.7 | 1.0 | 11.8 | 8% |
|
Pharaoh Brown
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 2% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
IND
Davon BoothRBAlec PierceWRAnthony GouldWRD.J. MontgomeryWREli PancolWRMecole HardmanWRNick Westbrook-IkhineWRQuez WatkinsWRCarson TowtTETyler WarrenTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +5.7
- Special teams +0.2
- QB history +0.2
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +0.6
- Scoring output +1.8
- QB history 0.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- JAX -8.3
- First line
- JAX -7.5
- Latest
- JAX -7.5
- Model
- 72.3%
- First line
- 75.7%
- Latest
- 75.1%
Moneyline JAX -360 / IND +285 (vig removed)
- Model
- 46.5
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 75.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Kirk Cousins
|
32.9 | 21.9 | 255 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
|
Geno Smith
|
27.5 | 18.7 | 205 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Braelon Allen
|
21.6 | 89.1 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 19.6 | 50% |
|
Ashton Jeanty
|
13.1 | 49.3 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 33.9 | 40% |
|
Mike Washington Jr.
|
6.9 | 29.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 20% |
|
Isaiah Davis
|
2.9 | 12.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 8.8 | 12% |
|
Dylan Laube
|
1.1 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 5% |
|
Andrew Beck
|
0.5 | 2.0 | – | – | 0.3 | 2% |
|
Connor Heyward
|
0.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Tre Tucker
|
6.7 | 4.0 | 55.4 | 30% |
|
Garrett Wilson
|
5.9 | 3.6 | 44.7 | 21% |
|
Adonai Mitchell
|
4.4 | 2.1 | 30.9 | 14% |
|
Omar Cooper Jr.
|
3.3 | 2.3 | 30.7 | 16% |
|
Jalen Nailor
|
3.1 | 1.8 | 23.7 | 16% |
|
Cody White
|
2.4 | 1.5 | 18.8 | 12% |
|
Isaiah Williams
|
1.4 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 7% |
|
Tim Patrick
|
1.3 | 0.8 | 10.0 | 6% |
|
Malik Benson
|
1.2 | 0.7 | 8.5 | 6% |
|
Dareke Young
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Brock Bowers
|
7.6 | 5.5 | 62.5 | 31% |
|
Michael Mayer
|
4.3 | 3.1 | 32.0 | 15% |
|
Mason Taylor
|
4.0 | 2.8 | 28.1 | 16% |
|
Kenyon Sadiq
|
2.9 | 2.0 | 21.8 | 13% |
|
Jelani Woods
|
0.9 | 0.6 | 6.7 | 4% |
|
Ian Thomas
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 2% |
|
Jeremy Ruckert
|
0.5 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 2% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
LV
Chris CollierRBOwen WrightRBRoman HembyRBCorey RuckerWRDeven ThompkinsWRDont'e Thornton Jr.WRJack BechWRJamari ThrashWRPhillip DorsettWRTyler ScottWRCarter RunyonTEPatrick GurdTE
NYJ
Al-Jay HendersonRBBreece HallRBChip TrayanumRBKene NwangwuRBArian SmithWRJamaal PritchettWRSterling ShepardWR
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +0.6
- Special teamsTop 3% +1.6
- QB history +0.5
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -1.3
- Scoring output -0.9
- QB historyTop 8% +1.5
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- NYJ -4.9
- First line
- NYJ -1.5
- Latest
- LV -1.5
- Model
- 64.2%
- First line
- 50.4%
- Latest
- 49.6%
Moneyline NYJ -108 / LV -112 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.5
- First line
- 42.5
- Latest
- 45.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 50.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Jared Goff
|
30.5 | 21.0 | 217 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
|
Kyler Murray
|
28.8 | 19.9 | 213 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Jahmyr Gibbs
|
20.4 | 95.6 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 33.9 | 72% |
|
Aaron Jones
|
12.3 | 58.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 18.3 | 41% |
|
Jordan Mason
|
8.4 | 39.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 4.9 | 25% |
|
Sione Vaki
|
2.0 | 7.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 6% |
|
Demond Claiborne
|
0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4.9 | 5% |
|
DeeJay Dallas
|
0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 2% |
|
Max Bredeson
|
0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Amon-Ra St. Brown
|
10.1 | 7.4 | 75.8 | 45% |
|
Justin Jefferson
|
7.3 | 4.8 | 64.6 | 30% |
|
Jameson Williams
|
6.0 | 3.7 | 51.3 | 30% |
|
Jordan Addison
|
5.2 | 3.2 | 41.6 | 29% |
|
Isaac TeSlaa
|
2.7 | 1.6 | 19.7 | 14% |
|
Jauan Jennings
|
2.4 | 1.5 | 18.5 | 13% |
|
Tai Felton
|
1.4 | 0.9 | 10.5 | 6% |
|
Myles Price
|
1.2 | 0.8 | 8.9 | 6% |
|
Tay Martin
|
0.1 | – | 0.4 | 0% |
|
DeAndre Carter
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
T.J. Hockenson
|
5.3 | 3.7 | 39.2 | 21% |
|
Sam LaPorta
|
4.6 | 3.4 | 35.0 | 25% |
|
Gavin Bartholomew
|
1.8 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 8% |
|
Brock Wright
|
0.9 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 6% |
|
Tyler Conklin
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1% |
|
Ben Yurosek
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 1% |
|
Jackson Meeks
|
0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
MIN
C.J. HamRBAdam ThielenWRDillon BellWRJeshaun JonesWRMichael BriscoeWROdell Beckham Jr.WRCam GrandyTEJosh OliverTE
DET
Isiah PachecoRBJabari SmallRBDominic LovettWRKendrick LawWRLawrence KeysWRLucky JacksonWRTom KennedyWRMiles KitselmanTEThomas GordonTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +1.5
- Special teams +0.8
- QB history +0.1
- League baseline 46.7
- Team ratings -0.8
- Scoring output -0.2
- QB history -0.1
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- DET -4.4
- First line
- DET -2.5
- Latest
- DET -3.0
- Model
- 62.6%
- First line
- 58.3%
- Latest
- 58.3%
Moneyline DET -155 / MIN +130 (vig removed)
- Model
- 45.6
- First line
- 47.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 58.3%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Joe Burrow
|
32.5 | 22.1 | 252 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
|
Cam Ward
|
30.3 | 18.6 | 185 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Tony Pollard
|
16.4 | 73.7 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 16.3 | 40% |
|
Chase Brown
|
14.2 | 60.3 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 26.9 | 42% |
|
Samaje Perine
|
6.2 | 26.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7.6 | 17% |
|
Michael Carter
|
3.8 | 15.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 9.9 | 12% |
|
Nicholas Singleton
|
2.3 | 9.5 | – | – | – | 6% |
|
Tahj Brooks
|
1.2 | 5.2 | – | – | 0.1 | 4% |
|
Kalel Mullings
|
0.4 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Ja'Marr Chase
|
7.6 | 5.1 | 65.4 | 40% |
|
Carnell Tate
|
8.3 | 5.4 | 64.6 | 30% |
|
Tee Higgins
|
6.9 | 4.4 | 64.2 | 36% |
|
Wan'Dale Robinson
|
7.3 | 5.0 | 47.9 | 22% |
|
Elic Ayomanor
|
4.2 | 2.1 | 29.5 | 18% |
|
Dohnte Meyers
|
2.6 | 1.7 | 20.3 | 11% |
|
Mitchell Tinsley
|
1.2 | 0.6 | 8.7 | 6% |
|
Chimere Dike
|
1.0 | 0.7 | 7.1 | 5% |
|
K.J. Osborn
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 2% |
|
Colbie Young
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Jack Endries
|
2.7 | 1.8 | 20.7 | 12% |
|
Mike Gesicki
|
2.2 | 1.5 | 17.6 | 10% |
|
Erick All
|
2.2 | 1.7 | 16.9 | 9% |
|
Gunnar Helm
|
2.3 | 1.7 | 15.7 | 9% |
|
Daniel Bellinger
|
1.9 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 8% |
|
Drew Sample
|
1.5 | 1.1 | 10.6 | 6% |
|
Kylen Granson
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 2% |
|
David Martin-Robinson
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
TEN
Tyjae SpearsRBCalvin RidleyWRTyren MontgomeryWRXavier RestrepoWRJaren KanakTEJoel WilsonTE
CIN
Kendall MiltonRBKentrel BullockRBAndrei IosivasWRJordan MooreWRKe'Shawn WilliamsWRNoah ThomasWRJosh KattusTETanner HudsonTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsTop 4% +9.2
- Special teams +0.1
- QB history +0.7
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +0.3
- Scoring output +0.1
- QB history +0.6
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- CIN -12.1
- First line
- CIN -10.0
- Latest
- CIN -10.0
- Model
- 79.5%
- First line
- 81.7%
- Latest
- 82.7%
Moneyline CIN -625 / TEN +455 (vig removed)
- Model
- 45.1
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 81.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Matthew Stafford
|
33.4 | 21.9 | 242 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
|
00-0036355
|
28.9 | 19.4 | 204 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Kyren Williams
|
11.5 | 50.0 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 22.1 | 47% |
|
Blake Corum
|
8.1 | 34.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 25% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Puka Nacua
|
10.5 | 7.5 | 90.4 | 39% |
|
CJ Daniels
|
2.8 | 1.7 | 19.9 | 12% |
|
Konata Mumpfield
|
2.4 | 1.3 | 16.1 | 10% |
|
Tutu Atwell
|
0.7 | 0.4 | 5.8 | 3% |
|
Jordan Whittington
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1% |
|
Alex Bachman
|
– | – | 0.3 | 0% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Colby Parkinson
|
4.0 | 2.9 | 27.4 | 20% |
|
Tyler Higbee
|
3.4 | 2.4 | 24.7 | 15% |
|
Max Klare
|
2.7 | 1.9 | 19.5 | 12% |
|
Davis Allen
|
2.2 | 1.5 | 14.8 | 12% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
LA
Jordan WatersRBRonnie RiversRBBrennan PresleyWRDavante AdamsWRDan VillariTETerrance FergusonTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +6.4
- Special teams -0.5
- QB history 0.0
- League baseline 46.7
- Team ratings -1.1
- Scoring output -0.2
- QB history 0.0
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- LA -8.0
- First line
- LA -7.5
- Latest
- LA -6.5
- Model
- 71.9%
- First line
- 75.1%
- Latest
- 73.4%
Moneyline LA -325 / LAC +260 (vig removed)
- Model
- 45.4
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 44.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 75.1%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Patrick Mahomes
|
31.3 | 20.9 | 225 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
|
Bo Nix
|
30.3 | 19.4 | 194 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Kenneth Walker III
|
19.9 | 89.8 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 22.9 | 56% |
|
J.K. Dobbins
|
12.6 | 58.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 8.1 | 42% |
|
Jonah Coleman
|
5.3 | 22.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 19% |
|
RJ Harvey
|
5.0 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 24.4 | 29% |
|
Emmett Johnson
|
2.5 | 10.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 14.9 | 13% |
|
Adam Prentice
|
0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 1% |
|
Ben VanSumeren
|
– | – | 0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Jaylen Waddle
|
7.1 | 4.8 | 57.7 | 28% |
|
Xavier Worthy
|
7.2 | 4.4 | 49.1 | 27% |
|
Courtland Sutton
|
4.8 | 2.8 | 35.7 | 21% |
|
Marvin Mims Jr.
|
2.7 | 1.9 | 20.3 | 14% |
|
Andrew Armstrong
|
2.6 | 1.6 | 18.0 | 11% |
|
Jalen Royals
|
2.6 | 1.6 | 17.4 | 12% |
|
Cyrus Allen
|
1.7 | 1.1 | 12.5 | 8% |
|
Troy Franklin
|
1.7 | 1.0 | 11.8 | 8% |
|
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
|
1.1 | 0.7 | 7.9 | 6% |
|
Justin Watson
|
0.9 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 4% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Travis Kelce
|
6.3 | 4.5 | 48.2 | 29% |
|
Noah Gray
|
3.0 | 2.2 | 22.1 | 13% |
|
Evan Engram
|
3.3 | 2.2 | 22.0 | 11% |
|
Dallen Bentley
|
2.2 | 1.5 | 16.1 | 10% |
|
Adam Trautman
|
0.6 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 3% |
|
Jake Briningstool
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 2% |
|
Nate Adkins
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2% |
|
Jared Wiley
|
– | – | 0.3 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
KC
Brashard SmithRBNate CarterRBJeff CaldwellWRJimmy HolidayWROmari EvansWRRashee RiceWRTyquan ThorntonWRJohn Michael GyllenborgTEThomas OdukoyaTE
DEN
Cody SchraderRBTyler BadieRBCameron RossWRDane KeyWRKolbe KatsisWRMichael BandyWRPat BryantWRCaleb LohnerTELucas KrullTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +0.3
- Special teams -0.6
- QB history -0.3
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.3
- Scoring outputBottom 6% -3.0
- QB history +0.4
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- DEN -1.5
- First line
- KC -1.5
- Latest
- KC -1.5
- Model
- 53.6%
- First line
- 47.4%
- Latest
- 46.8%
Moneyline DEN +105 / KC -125 (vig removed)
- Model
- 41.3
- First line
- 42.5
- Latest
- 41.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 47.4%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Drake Maye
|
29.0 | 19.3 | 246 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
|
Malik Willis
|
26.0 | 16.5 | 197 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Ollie Gordon II
|
15.6 | 62.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 9.2 | 48% |
|
Rhamondre Stevenson
|
10.7 | 45.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 21.2 | 35% |
|
TreVeyon Henderson
|
7.2 | 32.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 27% |
|
Corey Kiner
|
5.9 | 25.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 14% |
|
Jaylen Wright
|
5.8 | 22.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 14% |
|
Kaytron Allen
|
2.6 | 10.6 | – | – | – | 7% |
|
DJ Herman
|
– | – | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
A.J. Brown
|
7.2 | 4.6 | 64.5 | 36% |
|
DeMario Douglas
|
5.2 | 3.5 | 42.4 | 20% |
|
Caleb Douglas
|
4.8 | 3.1 | 40.2 | 22% |
|
Malik Washington
|
5.4 | 3.7 | 36.3 | 22% |
|
Chris Bell
|
3.3 | 1.8 | 23.7 | 14% |
|
Kevin Coleman Jr.
|
3.2 | 1.6 | 20.3 | 14% |
|
Efton Chism III
|
2.2 | 1.4 | 18.0 | 11% |
|
Kyle Williams
|
1.7 | 1.0 | 15.1 | 9% |
|
Jalen Tolbert
|
1.3 | 0.8 | 9.2 | 6% |
|
Jared Wayne
|
0.8 | 0.4 | 5.6 | 3% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Hunter Henry
|
5.1 | 3.5 | 43.0 | 28% |
|
Greg Dulcich
|
3.9 | 2.6 | 30.9 | 14% |
|
Eli Raridon
|
3.0 | 2.1 | 25.1 | 14% |
|
Justin Joly
|
1.7 | 1.2 | 12.6 | 8% |
|
Will Kacmarek
|
1.0 | 0.7 | 7.5 | 5% |
|
Seydou Traore
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
NE
Lan LarisonRBMyles MontgomeryRBReggie GilliamRBCameron DornerWRChandler BrayboyWRJeremiah WebbWRKyle DixonWRMack HollinsWRRomeo DoubsWRRyan MillerWRJulian HillTETanner ConnerTE
MIA
Carlos WashingtonRBDe'Von AchaneRBLe'Veon MossRBA.J. HenningWRJalen ReagorWRWill SheppardWRCole TurnerTETre WatsonTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratingsBottom 6% -7.7
- Special teams -0.9
- QB history -0.2
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratingsTop 7% +1.5
- Scoring output -0.5
- QB history +0.1
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- NE -6.7
- First line
- NE -7.5
- Latest
- NE -7.5
- Model
- 67.8%
- First line
- 77.7%
- Latest
- 76.0%
Moneyline MIA +300 / NE -380 (vig removed)
- Model
- 45.3
- First line
- 44.5
- Latest
- 44.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 77.7%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Tanner McKee
|
32.3 | 20.6 | 224 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
|
00-0039910
|
29.6 | 19.2 | 209 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
Dameon Pierce
|
11.0 | 46.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 28% |
|
Saquon Barkley
|
8.1 | 38.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 12.7 | 27% |
|
Elijah Mitchell
|
1.8 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 9.9 | 10% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Makai Lemon
|
8.6 | 5.6 | 60.4 | 32% |
|
Darius Cooper
|
3.9 | 2.4 | 31.2 | 19% |
|
Marquise Brown
|
4.1 | 2.5 | 30.4 | 19% |
|
Elijah Moore
|
1.6 | 1.0 | 11.4 | 6% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Dallas Goedert
|
6.9 | 5.0 | 55.2 | 33% |
|
Eli Stowers
|
1.1 | 0.8 | 8.6 | 5% |
|
Grant Calcaterra
|
0.8 | 0.6 | 6.0 | 3% |
|
Johnny Mundt
|
0.7 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 3% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
PHI
Carson SteeleRBIan WheelerRBJaydon BlueRBTank BigsbyRBWill ShipleyRBBritain CoveyWRDeVonta SmithWRDontayvion WicksWRErik EzukanmaWRJohnny WilsonWRXavier GipsonWRE.J. JenkinsTEZach ErtzTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +0.2
- Special teams +0.1
- QB history -0.3
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings +0.2
- Scoring output -0.5
- QB history +0.5
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- WAS -2.1
- First line
- WAS -3.5
- Latest
- WAS -4.5
- Model
- 55.3%
- First line
- 62.2%
- Latest
- 62.2%
Moneyline WAS -185 / PHI +154 (vig removed)
- Model
- 44.3
- First line
- 41.5
- Latest
- 40.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 62.2%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Player props
Quarterbacks
| Passing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | |||||
|
Sam Darnold
|
28.9 | 18.7 | 220 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
|
Caleb Williams
|
31.0 | 19.2 | 193 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
Running backs
| Rushing | Receiving | Scoring | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||
|
D'Andre Swift
|
16.0 | 65.1 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 22.3 | 50% |
|
Emanuel Wilson
|
14.9 | 62.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 9.2 | 39% |
|
George Holani
|
4.2 | 17.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 17% |
|
Roschon Johnson
|
4.4 | 16.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 20% |
|
Velus Jones Jr.
|
1.9 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 6% |
|
Zavier Scott
|
0.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2% |
|
Brady Russell
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0% |
Receivers
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
|
11.1 | 7.9 | 104 | 46% |
|
Luther Burden III
|
6.2 | 4.5 | 53 | 26% |
|
Rome Odunze
|
5.6 | 3.1 | 42 | 22% |
|
Rashid Shaheed
|
4.1 | 2.5 | 30 | 18% |
|
Cooper Kupp
|
3.6 | 2.6 | 28 | 19% |
|
Kalif Raymond
|
3.1 | 2.3 | 25 | 12% |
|
Tory Horton
|
1.6 | 1.0 | 12 | 9% |
|
Zavion Thomas
|
0.8 | 0.6 | 6 | 4% |
|
Jahdae Walker
|
0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 2% |
|
Irvin Charles
|
0.2 | 0.1 | 2 | 1% |
Tight ends
| Receiving | Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||
|
Colston Loveland
|
9.1 | 6.2 | 63.8 | 38% |
|
AJ Barner
|
4.6 | 3.4 | 32.6 | 24% |
|
Eric Saubert
|
0.8 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 4% |
|
Sam Roush
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 2% |
|
Nick Kallerup
|
– | – | 0.1 | 0% |
No NFL props for this team at this position.
Ruled out
Their usage is already redistributed to teammates in these projections.
CHI
Brittain BrownRBKyle MonangaiRBSalvon AhmedRBJP RichardsonWRKaden DavisWRScott MillerWRSquirrel WhiteWRCole KmetTEHayden LargeTENikola KalinicTEQadir IsmailTEStephen CarlsonTE
SEA
Jacardia WrightRBJackson AckerRBJadarian PriceRBRobbie OuztsRBZach CharbonnetRBEmmanuel Henderson Jr.WRJake BoboWRMontorie Foster JrWRRicky White IIIWRElijah ArroyoTEJosiah DeguaraTE
Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Projection breakdown
- Home field +2.1
- Team ratings +2.3
- Special teams +0.8
- QB history -0.8
- League baseline 44.1
- Team ratings -0.9
- Scoring output -0.2
- QB history +0.8
QB history: this week's starters against the QBs behind each team's recent stats. Top and Bottom mark an input rare among the 2022-25 games the model learned from.
Model vs market
- Model
- SEA -4.5
- First line
- SEA -3.0
- Latest
- SEA -3.5
- Model
- 61.3%
- First line
- 60.0%
- Latest
- 60.4%
Moneyline SEA -170 / CHI +142 (vig removed)
- Model
- 43.9
- First line
- 46.5
- Latest
- 46.5
Movement
Market is the no-vig moneyline at each of 6 captures, first 60.0%.
- First line
- DraftKings · Tue 5:01 PM ET
- Latest
- Spread & total: nflverse consensus · moneyline: DraftKings · as of Mon 10:49 AM ET
Against closing lines in past seasons, these models showed no edge. Record against the line →
Players
Anytime TD board
- Jahmyr Gibbs72%
- Derrick Henry57%
- Kenneth Walker III56%
- Jonathan Taylor52%
- Bijan Robinson51%
Quarterbacks
| ARI @ DAL | 33.4 | 22.1 | 258 | 1.69 | 0.67 | |
| LV @ NYJ | 32.9 | 21.9 | 255 | 1.68 | 0.72 | |
| TEN @ CIN | 32.5 | 22.1 | 252 | 1.89 | 0.58 | |
| CAR @ GB | 31.9 | 20.6 | 251 | 1.69 | 0.64 | |
| LAC @ LA | 33.4 | 21.9 | 242 | 1.80 | 0.67 | |
| NE @ MIA | 29.0 | 19.3 | 246 | 1.58 | 0.70 | |
| ARI @ DAL | 34.1 | 21.6 | 238 | 1.28 | 0.59 | |
| KC @ DEN | 31.3 | 20.9 | 225 | 1.65 | 0.63 | |
| CAR @ GB | 34.8 | 21.6 | 220 | 1.43 | 0.75 | |
| PHI @ WAS | 32.3 | 20.6 | 224 | 1.34 | 0.63 | |
| IND @ JAX | 30.6 | 19.4 | 224 | 1.38 | 0.68 | |
| MIN @ DET | 30.5 | 21.0 | 217 | 1.67 | 0.54 | |
| CLE @ PIT | 31.2 | 20.6 | 216 | 1.70 | 0.50 | |
| CHI @ SEA | 28.9 | 18.7 | 220 | 1.40 | 0.84 | |
| ATL @ TB | 29.9 | 19.0 | 218 | 1.29 | 0.50 | |
| CLE @ PIT | 30.0 | 19.6 | 216 | 1.31 | 0.59 | |
| BAL @ BUF | 27.9 | 18.4 | 219 | 1.53 | 0.63 | |
| MIN @ DET | 28.8 | 19.9 | 213 | 1.17 | 0.60 | |
| PHI @ WAS | 29.6 | 19.2 | 209 | 1.38 | 0.50 | |
| IND @ JAX | 31.0 | 20.0 | 203 | 1.00 | 0.69 | |
| LAC @ LA | 28.9 | 19.4 | 204 | 1.34 | 0.60 | |
| BAL @ BUF | 30.2 | 20.0 | 202 | 1.00 | 0.55 | |
| LV @ NYJ | 27.5 | 18.7 | 205 | 1.19 | 0.65 | |
| KC @ DEN | 30.3 | 19.4 | 194 | 1.31 | 0.58 | |
| CHI @ SEA | 31.0 | 19.2 | 193 | 1.31 | 0.43 | |
| ATL @ TB | 27.6 | 17.9 | 196 | 1.38 | 0.66 | |
| NE @ MIA | 26.0 | 16.5 | 197 | 0.99 | 0.58 | |
| TEN @ CIN | 30.3 | 18.6 | 185 | 0.86 | 0.56 |
Running backs
| MIN @ DET | 20.4 | 95.6 | 5.9 | 4.70 | 33.9 | 71.8% | |
| ATL @ TB | 18.0 | 83.2 | 4.9 | 3.80 | 31.8 | 51.3% | |
| KC @ DEN | 19.9 | 89.8 | 4.0 | 3.20 | 22.9 | 56.2% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 21.6 | 89.1 | 3.5 | 2.60 | 19.6 | 50.5% | |
| BAL @ BUF | 17.7 | 86.2 | 1.6 | 1.20 | 9.8 | 56.7% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 16.4 | 73.7 | 3.1 | 2.40 | 16.3 | 40.3% | |
| ATL @ TB | 16.0 | 68.1 | 3.5 | 2.90 | 20.7 | 42.2% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 13.7 | 62.6 | 4.1 | 3.40 | 26.9 | 32.7% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 16.0 | 65.1 | 3.9 | 3.00 | 22.3 | 50.2% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 14.2 | 60.3 | 4.8 | 3.90 | 26.9 | 42.2% | |
| IND @ JAX | 14.2 | 64.8 | 3.7 | 2.90 | 22.3 | 51.9% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 13.1 | 49.3 | 5.6 | 4.20 | 33.9 | 40.1% | |
| ARI @ DAL | 17.4 | 73.0 | 1.8 | 1.40 | 9.0 | 44.7% | |
| MIN @ DET | 12.3 | 58.0 | 3.2 | 2.40 | 18.3 | 40.6% | |
| LAC @ LA | 11.5 | 50.0 | 4.1 | 3.10 | 22.1 | 46.8% | |
| NE @ MIA | 15.6 | 62.6 | 1.7 | 1.30 | 9.2 | 48.3% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 14.9 | 62.8 | 1.6 | 1.20 | 9.2 | 38.6% | |
| CAR @ GB | 12.9 | 52.1 | 3.4 | 2.70 | 18.5 | 37.4% | |
| NE @ MIA | 10.7 | 45.8 | 3.1 | 2.50 | 21.2 | 34.6% | |
| KC @ DEN | 12.6 | 58.6 | 1.6 | 1.30 | 8.1 | 41.7% | |
| ARI @ DAL | 11.0 | 47.3 | 2.7 | 2.30 | 16.8 | 31.0% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 10.7 | 40.0 | 3.1 | 2.40 | 17.4 | 33.6% | |
| PHI @ WAS | 11.0 | 46.3 | 2.0 | 1.50 | 11.0 | 27.8% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 7.0 | 30.0 | 3.9 | 3.10 | 22.0 | 24.3% | |
| PHI @ WAS | 8.1 | 38.0 | 2.2 | 1.60 | 12.7 | 26.9% | |
| CAR @ GB | 7.4 | 32.0 | 2.7 | 2.10 | 17.3 | 28.6% | |
| KC @ DEN | 5.0 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 3.20 | 24.4 | 29.4% | |
| ARI @ DAL | 7.2 | 30.3 | 2.3 | 1.80 | 13.6 | 23.6% | |
| MIN @ DET | 8.4 | 39.2 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 4.9 | 25.4% | |
| LAC @ LA | 8.1 | 34.7 | 1.5 | 1.10 | 8.2 | 25.1% | |
| NE @ MIA | 7.2 | 32.3 | 1.3 | 1.00 | 7.8 | 26.6% | |
| CAR @ GB | 6.5 | 26.7 | 1.9 | 1.40 | 10.7 | 23.4% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 6.9 | 29.3 | 0.8 | 0.60 | 4.4 | 20.5% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 6.2 | 26.0 | 1.2 | 1.00 | 7.6 | 17.1% | |
| ATL @ TB | 4.7 | 19.5 | 1.9 | 1.50 | 10.5 | 20.0% | |
| KC @ DEN | 5.3 | 22.0 | 1.4 | 1.10 | 8.3 | 19.4% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 5.4 | 21.9 | 1.1 | 0.90 | 6.5 | 17.9% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 4.2 | 17.0 | 1.9 | 1.50 | 11.0 | 16.9% | |
| NE @ MIA | 5.9 | 25.3 | 0.3 | 0.20 | 1.7 | 14.5% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 3.8 | 15.7 | 1.7 | 1.30 | 9.9 | 11.9% | |
| BAL @ BUF | 2.0 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 2.10 | 16.3 | 13.1% | |
| NE @ MIA | 5.8 | 22.9 | 0.5 | 0.30 | 2.7 | 13.6% | |
| KC @ DEN | 2.5 | 10.5 | 2.4 | 1.90 | 14.9 | 13.1% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 4.4 | 16.5 | 1.4 | 1.10 | 7.8 | 19.7% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 2.8 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.60 | 12.3 | 12.0% | |
| CAR @ GB | 2.7 | 12.2 | 1.9 | 1.40 | 11.2 | 11.3% | |
| IND @ JAX | 4.3 | 17.4 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.1 | 13.2% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 2.9 | 12.9 | 1.4 | 1.00 | 8.8 | 11.7% | |
| CAR @ GB | 4.2 | 17.5 | 0.2 | 0.10 | 1.2 | 10.1% | |
| PHI @ WAS | 1.8 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 1.30 | 9.9 | 9.7% | |
| ATL @ TB | 3.0 | 13.0 | 0.9 | 0.70 | 5.3 | 9.6% | |
| ARI @ DAL | 3.5 | 15.0 | 0.6 | 0.40 | 3.1 | 10.3% | |
| CAR @ GB | 3.3 | 12.8 | 0.6 | 0.50 | 3.4 | 9.8% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 1.6 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 1.10 | 7.0 | 8.1% | |
| CAR @ GB | 2.4 | 9.5 | 0.8 | 0.60 | 4.5 | 8.4% | |
| ATL @ TB | 2.8 | 11.8 | – | – | 0.2 | 12.7% | |
| NE @ MIA | 2.6 | 10.6 | – | – | – | 7.3% | |
| MIN @ DET | 2.0 | 7.7 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.3 | 6.4% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 2.3 | 9.5 | – | – | – | 6.5% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 1.9 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.8 | 6.2% | |
| MIN @ DET | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.60 | 4.9 | 5.2% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 1.1 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.50 | 3.5 | 5.2% | |
| IND @ JAX | 1.7 | 6.9 | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 4.8% | |
| ARI @ DAL | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.40 | 3.4 | 3.7% | |
| BAL @ BUF | 1.2 | 5.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.7 | 3.6% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 1.2 | 5.2 | – | – | 0.1 | 3.5% | |
| ARI @ DAL | 1.1 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.4 | 3.3% | |
| CAR @ GB | 1.1 | 4.5 | – | – | – | 3.8% | |
| MIN @ DET | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.40 | 3.2 | 2.3% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.20 | 2.0 | 2.4% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.0 | 1.6% | |
| MIN @ DET | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.30 | 2.2 | 1.4% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 1.6% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 0.5 | 2.0 | – | – | 0.3 | 1.9% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 0.4 | 1.7 | – | – | – | 0.9% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 0.4 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 1.1% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 0.2 | 0.20 | 1.3 | 0.7% | |
| KC @ DEN | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 0.7% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 0.2 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 0.7% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 0.1 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 0.4% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0.5 | 0.3% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% |
Receivers
| CHI @ SEA | 0.30 | 1.30 | 11.1 | 7.9 | 104 | 45.9% | |
| ARI @ DAL | 0.10 | 0.50 | 11.4 | 7.7 | 99 | 43.8% | |
| LAC @ LA | 0.80 | 3.60 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 90 | 39.0% | |
| BAL @ BUF | 0.30 | 1.60 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 84 | 33.8% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | 0.20 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 83 | 34.8% | |
| MIN @ DET | 0.20 | 0.80 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 76 | 45.3% | |
| ATL @ TB | 0.20 | 0.90 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 70 | 34.6% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 8.6 | 5.2 | 70 | 33.9% | |
| CAR @ GB | 0.10 | 0.40 | 8.7 | 5.1 | 69 | 29.9% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 7.5 | 4.7 | 70 | 29.8% | |
| ARI @ DAL | 0.30 | 1.40 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 67 | 33.8% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 8.3 | 5.4 | 65 | 29.5% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 7.6 | 5.1 | 65 | 39.5% | |
| MIN @ DET | 0.20 | 0.70 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 65 | 30.4% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 6.8 | 4.0 | 66 | 37.7% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 7.2 | 4.6 | 64 | 36.0% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 6.9 | 4.4 | 64 | 35.7% | |
| PHI @ WAS | – | 0.10 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 60 | 31.5% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 0.20 | 0.70 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 59 | 36.4% | |
| KC @ DEN | 0.20 | 1.00 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 58 | 28.5% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 7.2 | 4.9 | 58 | 29.6% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 0.40 | 1.80 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 55 | 29.8% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 0.80 | 3.10 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 53 | 25.7% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 1.00 | 4.20 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 46 | 24.6% | |
| KC @ DEN | 0.10 | 0.30 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 49 | 27.0% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 6.0 | 3.7 | 51 | 29.9% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 0.10 | 0.40 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 48 | 22.0% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 5.8 | 3.2 | 47 | 25.2% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 5.5 | 3.7 | 46 | 21.2% | |
| IND @ JAX | – | – | 6.4 | 4.4 | 44 | 24.5% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 5.9 | 3.6 | 45 | 20.7% | |
| IND @ JAX | 0.20 | 0.70 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 42 | 21.2% | |
| MIN @ DET | 0.40 | 2.00 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 42 | 28.6% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 0.20 | 0.70 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 42 | 23.1% | |
| NE @ MIA | 1.10 | 4.90 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 36 | 21.8% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | 0.10 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 42 | 19.5% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 5.6 | 3.1 | 42 | 21.6% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 5.1 | 3.5 | 41 | 20.9% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 4.8 | 3.1 | 40 | 21.9% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 4.8 | 2.8 | 36 | 20.8% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 0.20 | 1.10 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 30 | 17.5% | |
| PHI @ WAS | 0.20 | 0.80 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 30 | 19.3% | |
| PHI @ WAS | – | – | 3.9 | 2.4 | 31 | 19.4% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | 0.10 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 31 | 14.2% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 4.0 | 2.3 | 30 | 18.9% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 3.3 | 2.3 | 31 | 15.5% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 4.2 | 2.1 | 30 | 17.5% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | 4.1 | 2.5 | 29 | 16.5% | |
| ATL @ TB | 0.30 | 1.40 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 28 | 19.2% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 3.6 | 2.6 | 28 | 18.9% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 3.7 | 2.1 | 28 | 11.3% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 3.7 | 2.1 | 27 | 15.5% | |
| IND @ JAX | – | – | 3.6 | 2.3 | 26 | 12.5% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 3.8 | 2.4 | 26 | 14.6% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | 3.2 | 2.0 | 26 | 15.2% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 0.10 | 0.50 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 25 | 12.1% | |
| NE @ MIA | 0.10 | 0.60 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 24 | 13.7% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 3.1 | 1.8 | 24 | 16.5% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 3.1 | 2.0 | 23 | 13.5% | |
| KC @ DEN | 0.50 | 2.20 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 20 | 13.8% | |
| TEN @ CIN | 0.20 | 0.70 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 20 | 11.2% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 3.2 | 1.6 | 20 | 13.8% | |
| LAC @ LA | – | – | 2.8 | 1.7 | 20 | 12.0% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 2.7 | 1.6 | 20 | 14.5% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 2.4 | 1.5 | 19 | 12.3% | |
| NE @ MIA | 0.20 | 0.70 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 18 | 10.9% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 2.4 | 1.5 | 18 | 12.8% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 2.6 | 1.6 | 18 | 11.0% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 2.6 | 1.6 | 17 | 11.7% | |
| CAR @ GB | 1.00 | 4.50 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 13 | 10.4% | |
| LAC @ LA | – | – | 2.4 | 1.3 | 16 | 10.4% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 2.1 | 1.3 | 16 | 9.2% | |
| ATL @ TB | 0.20 | 0.80 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 14 | 9.1% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | 2.0 | 1.2 | 15 | 8.9% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | 0.10 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 15 | 9.0% | |
| IND @ JAX | – | 0.10 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 13 | 8.1% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 1.7 | 1.1 | 12 | 7.6% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 1.8 | 1.0 | 12 | 7.6% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 0.30 | 1.30 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 11 | 6.8% | |
| KC @ DEN | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 12 | 8.0% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 1.6 | 1.0 | 12 | 9.4% | |
| PHI @ WAS | – | 0.10 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 11 | 5.5% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | 0.10 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 11 | 6.4% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 1.4 | 0.9 | 11 | 5.6% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 1.4 | 0.9 | 10 | 6.1% | |
| IND @ JAX | 0.20 | 1.00 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 6.3% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 1.3 | 0.8 | 10 | 6.4% | |
| MIN @ DET | 0.10 | 0.50 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 9 | 5.8% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | 1.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 6.9% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 6.5% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5.5% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | 0.10 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4.4% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 1.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 5.5% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5.7% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 3.5% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | 0.10 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 4.8% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 0.9 | 0.5 | 7 | 4.5% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | 0.10 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 6 | 5.6% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 0.10 | 0.50 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 6 | 4.1% | |
| LAC @ LA | – | – | 0.7 | 0.4 | 6 | 2.8% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 0.8 | 0.4 | 6 | 3.4% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5 | 3.3% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 4 | 2.2% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3 | 2.0% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3 | 2.4% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3 | 1.5% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.4% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.3% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.6% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.2% | |
| LAC @ LA | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.0% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2 | 1.0% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2 | 1.2% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2 | 1.0% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | 0.20 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.6% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 0.1 | – | 0 | 0.2% | |
| LAC @ LA | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0.2% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0.1% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0.1% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% |
Tight ends
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 10.1 | 7.6 | 76.8 | 34.2% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 9.1 | 6.2 | 63.8 | 37.9% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 7.6 | 5.5 | 62.5 | 31.3% | |
| PHI @ WAS | – | – | 6.9 | 5.0 | 55.2 | 32.7% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 6.3 | 4.5 | 48.2 | 28.6% | |
| CAR @ GB | 0.20 | 0.90 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 45.6 | 29.2% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 5.1 | 3.5 | 43.0 | 27.8% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 5.3 | 3.7 | 39.2 | 20.6% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 5.0 | 3.2 | 38.2 | 19.1% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | 0.10 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 37.2 | 23.7% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 4.6 | 3.4 | 35.0 | 25.4% | |
| CHI @ SEA | 0.30 | 1.40 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 32.6 | 23.5% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | 4.5 | 3.1 | 32.9 | 26.8% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 4.3 | 3.1 | 32.0 | 15.2% | |
| CLE @ PIT | 0.30 | 1.20 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 30.4 | 22.2% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | 0.10 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 30.9 | 14.0% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 4.0 | 2.8 | 28.1 | 16.1% | |
| LAC @ LA | – | – | 4.0 | 2.9 | 27.4 | 20.2% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 3.4 | 2.4 | 26.3 | 15.8% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 3.7 | 2.5 | 25.8 | 13.5% | |
| IND @ JAX | – | – | 3.8 | 2.4 | 25.7 | 14.0% | |
| LAC @ LA | – | – | 3.4 | 2.4 | 24.7 | 14.8% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 3.0 | 2.1 | 25.1 | 14.1% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 3.3 | 2.2 | 22.0 | 11.2% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 3.0 | 2.2 | 22.1 | 13.3% | |
| LV @ NYJ | 0.10 | 0.30 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 21.8 | 12.7% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 3.1 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 15.9% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 2.7 | 1.8 | 20.7 | 11.6% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 2.7 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 12.0% | |
| LAC @ LA | – | – | 2.7 | 1.9 | 19.5 | 11.8% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 2.3 | 1.8 | 19.5 | 10.1% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 2.7 | 2.0 | 17.9 | 12.6% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 2.2 | 1.5 | 17.6 | 10.5% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 2.2 | 1.7 | 16.9 | 8.7% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | 2.1 | 1.5 | 16.8 | 9.8% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 2.2 | 1.5 | 16.1 | 9.7% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 2.3 | 1.7 | 15.7 | 9.1% | |
| LAC @ LA | 0.20 | 0.90 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 14.8 | 12.0% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 2.1 | 1.5 | 16.0 | 9.4% | |
| IND @ JAX | – | – | 2.2 | 1.4 | 15.2 | 12.8% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 2.0 | 1.4 | 15.2 | 8.5% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 1.9 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 7.9% | |
| CAR @ GB | 0.10 | 0.60 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 12.8 | 8.2% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 1.8 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 7.6% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 1.7 | 1.2 | 12.6 | 7.6% | |
| IND @ JAX | – | – | 1.7 | 1.0 | 11.8 | 8.5% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 1.5 | 1.1 | 11.1 | 7.1% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 1.5 | 1.1 | 10.6 | 6.2% | |
| PHI @ WAS | – | – | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8.6 | 5.1% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 4.7% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7.5 | 4.6% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.7 | 4.2% | |
| ATL @ TB | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 5.6 | 3.8% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | 0.8 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 3.9% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 5.6% | |
| PHI @ WAS | – | – | 0.8 | 0.6 | 6.0 | 3.3% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | 0.20 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 4.0% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3.5% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 2.3% | |
| PHI @ WAS | – | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 2.8% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 2.3% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 3.0% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 2.9% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 2.1% | |
| LV @ NYJ | – | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 1.8% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.1% | |
| IND @ JAX | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 1.6% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 1.8% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 1.7% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.4% | |
| KC @ DEN | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2.1% | |
| NE @ MIA | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.6% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 1.4% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.3% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.3% | |
| ARI @ DAL | – | – | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.3% | |
| MIN @ DET | – | – | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.0% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.7% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4% | |
| TEN @ CIN | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4% | |
| CLE @ PIT | – | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5% | |
| KC @ DEN | – | – | – | – | 0.3 | 0.2% | |
| CHI @ SEA | – | – | – | – | 0.1 | 0.0% | |
| CAR @ GB | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| ATL @ TB | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | |
| BAL @ BUF | – | – | – | – | – | 0.0% |