MLB predictions Wed, Oct 7
Win probabilities, projected runs and totals for every MLB game, plus batter and pitcher projections. How it works →
4 games on this slate · model went 2–2 · 140–96 last 30 days →
Games
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
José Ramírez
|
0.15 | 1.14 | 1.85 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.03 | 0.58 | 0.27 |
Sam Antonacci
|
0.11 | 1.06 | 1.65 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.16 | 0.85 | – |
Jo Adell
|
0.14 | 1.03 | 1.62 | 0.63 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.09 |
Miguel Vargas
|
0.15 | 0.86 | 1.50 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 0.04 | 1.02 | 0.04 |
Chase Delauter
|
0.08 | 1.04 | 1.49 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.03 | 0.72 | – |
Angel Martínez
|
0.13 | 0.89 | 1.47 | 0.51 | 0.20 | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.05 |
Randal Grichuk
|
0.14 | 0.78 | 1.38 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 0.01 |
Tristan Peters
|
0.10 | 0.84 | 1.33 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.08 | 1.02 | – |
Braden Montgomery
|
0.09 | 0.82 | 1.31 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.05 | 0.87 | – |
Steven Kwan
|
0.04 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 0.36 | 0.61 | 0.05 | 0.45 | 0.09 |
Nathaniel Lowe
|
0.09 | 0.85 | 1.29 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 0.01 |
Patrick Bailey
|
0.08 | 0.80 | 1.22 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.02 | 1.01 | 0.01 |
Chase Meidroth
|
0.08 | 0.81 | 1.20 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.04 | 1.13 | 0.06 |
Brayan Rocchio
|
0.07 | 0.81 | 1.18 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.57 | 0.08 |
Travis Bazzana
|
0.08 | 0.75 | 1.17 | 0.37 | 0.49 | 0.05 | 0.83 | – |
Munetaka Murakami
|
0.15 | 0.59 | 1.15 | 0.41 | 0.70 | 0.04 | 1.72 | – |
Kyle Teel
|
0.10 | 0.61 | 1.06 | 0.41 | 0.64 | 0.11 | 1.55 | 0.03 |
Colson Montgomery
|
0.10 | 0.54 | 0.98 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.07 | 1.48 | 0.01 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Daniel Espino
|
100% | 3.99 | 17.1 | 5.3 | 1.82 | 3.26 | 0.27 | 1.68 |
Sean Newcomb
|
100% | 3.32 | 14.2 | 2.6 | 1.28 | 3.11 | 0.20 | 1.35 |
Cade Smith
|
33% | 0.96 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.40 | 0.74 | 0.06 | 0.36 |
Erik Sabrowski
|
73% | 0.93 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.06 | 0.37 |
Joey Cantillo
|
65% | 0.95 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.56 | 0.87 | 0.07 | 0.55 |
Tim Herrin
|
92% | 0.88 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.72 | 0.10 | 0.48 |
Sean Burke
|
13% | 0.98 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.53 | 0.90 | 0.04 | 0.57 |
Matt Festa
|
90% | 0.92 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.09 | 0.50 |
Shawn Armstrong
|
37% | 0.93 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.85 | 0.06 | 0.52 |
Grant Taylor
|
37% | 1.00 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.86 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
Hunter Gaddis
|
87% | 0.92 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.40 | 0.74 | 0.07 | 0.45 |
Hagen Smith
|
88% | 0.93 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.39 | 0.75 | 0.02 | 0.41 |
Jordan Hicks
|
90% | 0.91 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.57 | 0.97 | 0.07 | 0.63 |
Luisangel Acuña
|
14% | 0.98 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.34 | 0.81 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
David Sandlin
|
15% | 0.97 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.34 | 1.02 | 0.05 | 0.57 |
Austin Hedges
|
27% | 0.95 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.42 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.60 |
Noah Schultz
|
68% | 0.95 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.43 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 0.58 |
Tyler Davis
|
82% | 0.95 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.43 | 0.95 | 0.04 | 0.52 |
Davis Martin
|
43% | 0.98 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.38 | 1.02 | 0.09 | 0.58 |
Bryan Hudson
|
89% | 0.93 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.32 | 0.88 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
Anthony Kay
|
12% | 0.96 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.33 | 0.84 | 0.10 | 0.44 |
Erick Fedde
|
67% | 0.96 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 0.02 | 0.53 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | +3% | -7% | -3% | -4% | -2% |
| Weather | -2% | -1% | -1% | 0% | +1% |
| Umpire | +3% | -1% | |||
| Home field (CWS batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
CLE |
CWS |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Confirmed | Confirmed | |
| K% | 18.6% | 24.3% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | D. Espino | S. Newcomb | |
| K% | 29.6% | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 4.3 | 3.7 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | +4% | -3% | |
| BB% | -5% | +3% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Mookie Betts
|
0.17 | 1.14 | 1.87 | 0.51 | 0.37 | 0.01 | 0.56 | 0.06 |
Shohei Ohtani
|
0.19 | 0.95 | 1.76 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.02 | 1.24 | 0.15 |
Michael Harris
|
0.15 | 1.01 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 1.18 | 0.09 |
Freddie Freeman
|
0.13 | 1.06 | 1.68 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.03 | 0.95 | 0.06 |
Will Smith
|
0.14 | 1.03 | 1.63 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 0.04 | 0.84 | 0.02 |
Matt Olson
|
0.17 | 0.74 | 1.46 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.01 | 1.38 | 0.00 |
Max Muncy
|
0.14 | 0.77 | 1.38 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.04 | 1.20 | 0.02 |
Ozzie Albies
|
0.10 | 0.84 | 1.37 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.03 | 0.89 | 0.06 |
Ronald Acuña
|
0.11 | 0.83 | 1.35 | 0.35 | 0.50 | 0.04 | 1.27 | 0.16 |
Teoscar Hernández
|
0.11 | 0.86 | 1.35 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 1.38 | 0.04 |
Drake Baldwin
|
0.13 | 0.81 | 1.34 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.04 | 1.18 | 0.00 |
Kyle Tucker
|
0.09 | 0.82 | 1.27 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.01 | 0.73 | 0.11 |
Andy Pages
|
0.10 | 0.79 | 1.26 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.04 | 0.84 | 0.05 |
Mauricio Dubón
|
0.07 | 0.84 | 1.24 | 0.38 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 0.70 | 0.02 |
Enrique Hernández
|
0.09 | 0.78 | 1.22 | 0.42 | 0.20 | 0.01 | 1.20 | 0.01 |
Mike Yastrzemski
|
0.10 | 0.68 | 1.18 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.01 | 1.25 | 0.03 |
Austin Riley
|
0.10 | 0.61 | 1.09 | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.02 | 1.49 | 0.01 |
Sean Murphy
|
0.08 | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.24 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 1.29 | 0.00 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Tyler Glasnow
|
100% | 5.6 | 22.8 | 7.2 | 1.98 | 4.31 | 0.09 | 1.97 |
Tyler Mahle
|
100% | 5.3 | 22.6 | 5.3 | 2.18 | 4.96 | 0.10 | 2.45 |
Chris Sale
|
3% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.18 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
Edwin Díaz
|
12% | 0.9 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.56 |
Tanner Scott
|
31% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.29 | 0.73 | 0.01 | 0.34 |
Alex Vesia
|
70% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.40 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
Didier Fuentes
|
75% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.39 | 0.82 | 0.04 | 0.50 |
Raisel Iglesias
|
36% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.37 | 0.85 | 0.03 | 0.42 |
Evan Phillips
|
69% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0.02 | 0.44 |
Dylan Lee
|
38% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.28 | 0.82 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
Edgardo Henriquez
|
47% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.35 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.44 |
Dylan Dodd
|
31% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.29 | 0.77 | 0.03 | 0.41 |
Brock Stewart
|
67% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.31 | 0.83 | 0.03 | 0.45 |
Kris Bubic
|
37% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.89 | 0.06 | 0.50 |
Roki Sasaki
|
18% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.43 | 0.94 | 0.03 | 0.59 |
Ray Kerr
|
51% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.29 | 0.89 | 0.05 | 0.49 |
Victor Mederos
|
72% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.54 | 0.87 | 0.04 | 0.63 |
Brent Suter
|
14% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.30 | 0.88 | 0.04 | 0.49 |
Robert Suarez
|
36% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.29 | 0.84 | 0.01 | 0.46 |
Grant Holmes
|
15% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 0.01 | 0.41 |
Aj Smith-Shawver
|
50% | 0.9 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.57 | 0.96 | 0.04 | 0.65 |
Enrique Hernández
|
8% | 0.9 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.47 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 0.57 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | +2% | -1% | -8% | -3% | +6% |
| Weather | 0% | +3% | -2% | 0% | 0% |
| Umpire | -1% | 0% | |||
| Home field (ATL batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
LAD |
ATL |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Confirmed | Confirmed | |
| K% | 21.1% | 21.5% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | T. Glasnow | T. Mahle | |
| K% | 33.3% | 22.6% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 5.8 | 5.7 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | -2% | +1% | |
| BB% | +3% | -1% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Luis García
|
0.25 | 1.03 | 1.97 | 0.56 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 0.07 |
Ben Rice
|
0.27 | 0.91 | 1.91 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.04 | 0.86 | 0.02 |
Trent Grisham
|
0.21 | 0.88 | 1.72 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.59 | 0.03 |
Junior Caminero
|
0.20 | 0.95 | 1.68 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.02 | 0.81 | 0.04 |
Cody Bellinger
|
0.16 | 0.94 | 1.60 | 0.48 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.07 |
Yandy Díaz
|
0.13 | 1.05 | 1.60 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.03 | 0.61 | 0.01 |
George Lombard
|
0.14 | 0.83 | 1.42 | 0.38 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.73 | – |
Austin Wells
|
0.16 | 0.76 | 1.41 | 0.45 | 0.28 | 0.01 | 0.78 | 0.02 |
Ryan Vilade
|
0.11 | 0.82 | 1.32 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.02 | 1.01 | 0.02 |
Jonny Deluca
|
0.09 | 0.85 | 1.29 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0.86 | 0.13 |
Anthony Volpe
|
0.10 | 0.77 | 1.27 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 0.58 | 0.09 |
Spencer Jones
|
0.13 | 0.69 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.96 | – |
Jonathan Aranda
|
0.11 | 0.79 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.09 | 1.26 | 0.01 |
Nick Fortes
|
0.07 | 0.85 | 1.23 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.54 | 0.02 |
Jorge Mateo
|
0.09 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 0.37 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 1.07 | 0.18 |
José Caballero
|
0.10 | 0.60 | 1.03 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.58 | 0.16 |
Chandler Simpson
|
0.01 | 0.89 | 1.02 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 0.37 | 0.21 |
Taylor Walls
|
0.06 | 0.61 | 0.94 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.82 | 0.12 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Max Fried
|
100% | 5.7 | 23.3 | 4.64 | 1.59 | 4.8 | 0.14 | 1.99 |
Nick Martínez
|
100% | 5.5 | 22.5 | 3.36 | 1.14 | 5.1 | 0.09 | 2.58 |
Garrett Cleavinger
|
23% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.13 | 0.38 | 0.7 | 0.04 | 0.40 |
Ian Seymour
|
12% | 1.0 | 3.8 | 1.09 | 0.27 | 0.6 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
David Bednar
|
38% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 1.05 | 0.24 | 0.8 | 0.04 | 0.34 |
Bryan Baker
|
30% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.6 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
Brent Headrick
|
85% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 0.99 | 0.28 | 0.8 | 0.01 | 0.43 |
Cam Booser
|
42% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 0.94 | 0.27 | 0.6 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
Tyler Wells
|
46% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 0.84 | 0.34 | 0.6 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
Will Warren
|
30% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 0.84 | 0.33 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 0.43 |
Ryan Weathers
|
20% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 0.84 | 0.28 | 0.8 | 0.04 | 0.41 |
Cole Sulser
|
62% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.81 | 0.35 | 0.8 | 0.01 | 0.51 |
Kevin Kelly
|
71% | 0.9 | 3.5 | 0.79 | 0.18 | 0.7 | 0.04 | 0.43 |
Steven Matz
|
66% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 0.67 | 0.29 | 0.7 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
John Schreiber
|
56% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 0.64 | 0.30 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.42 |
Ryan Yarbrough
|
59% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.63 | 0.33 | 0.9 | 0.06 | 0.54 |
Paul Blackburn
|
85% | 0.9 | 3.5 | 0.62 | 0.27 | 0.7 | 0.02 | 0.36 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | -5% | -9% | +8% | +2% | -1% |
| Weather | 0% | 0% | -2% | +1% | 0% |
| Umpire | +2% | -1% | |||
| Home field (NYY batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
TB |
NYY |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Projected | Confirmed | |
| K% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | N. Martínez | M. Fried | |
| K% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 6.0 | 6.0 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | -2% | +2% | |
| BB% | +2% | -3% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Fernando Tatís
|
0.20 | 1.04 | 1.83 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 0.05 | 0.76 | 0.14 |
Jackson Chourio
|
0.17 | 1.05 | 1.74 | 0.52 | 0.35 | 0.03 | 1.10 | 0.11 |
William Contreras
|
0.13 | 1.08 | 1.67 | 0.62 | 0.45 | 0.02 | 0.60 | 0.04 |
Austin Hays
|
0.15 | 0.97 | 1.62 | 0.52 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 0.04 |
Manny Machado
|
0.18 | 0.89 | 1.60 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.01 | 0.82 | 0.05 |
Ty France
|
0.15 | 0.87 | 1.46 | 0.54 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.89 | 0.01 |
Jake Bauers
|
0.15 | 0.80 | 1.45 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.03 | 1.25 | 0.13 |
Cooper Pratt
|
0.10 | 0.94 | 1.40 | 0.47 | 0.42 | 0.04 | 0.70 | – |
Jackson Merrill
|
0.12 | 0.85 | 1.40 | 0.48 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.94 | 0.04 |
Xander Bogaerts
|
0.12 | 0.88 | 1.38 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.63 | 0.09 |
Brice Turang
|
0.09 | 0.89 | 1.37 | 0.38 | 0.65 | 0.01 | 1.16 | 0.18 |
Luis Lara
|
0.09 | 0.88 | 1.33 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.04 | 0.82 | – |
Christian Yelich
|
0.11 | 0.80 | 1.32 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.03 | 1.09 | 0.10 |
Garrett Mitchell
|
0.10 | 0.79 | 1.28 | 0.45 | 0.54 | 0.05 | 1.36 | 0.18 |
Joey Ortiz
|
0.10 | 0.84 | 1.26 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.66 | 0.08 |
Luis Campusano
|
0.12 | 0.76 | 1.25 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.04 | 0.72 | 0.00 |
Samad Taylor
|
0.09 | 0.73 | 1.11 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 0.90 | 0.13 |
Jake Cronenworth
|
0.06 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.10 | 0.73 | 0.02 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Robert Gasser
|
100% | 5.1 | 21.9 | 4.24 | 1.89 | 4.69 | 0.33 | 2.49 |
Walker Buehler
|
100% | 4.6 | 20.1 | 4.18 | 2.44 | 4.32 | 0.12 | 2.20 |
Adrián Morejón
|
91% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 1.15 | 0.30 | 0.75 | 0.02 | 0.41 |
Yuki Matsui
|
35% | 1.0 | 4.3 | 1.12 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 0.01 | 0.41 |
David Morgan
|
88% | 0.9 | 4.2 | 1.10 | 0.64 | 0.90 | 0.04 | 0.61 |
Joe Musgrove
|
36% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.06 | 0.28 | 0.94 | 0.07 | 0.46 |
Bradgley Rodriguez
|
74% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.03 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.47 |
Trevor Megill
|
28% | 1.0 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.76 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
Aaron Ashby
|
89% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 0.97 | 0.46 | 0.78 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
Abner Uribe
|
45% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.96 | 0.37 | 0.85 | 0.04 | 0.47 |
Andrew Vaughn
|
6% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.95 | 0.47 | 0.81 | 0.09 | 0.52 |
Kyle Harrison
|
16% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.94 | 0.27 | 0.87 | 0.05 | 0.46 |
Dl Hall
|
51% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.91 | 0.61 | 0.78 | 0.04 | 0.50 |
Jason Adam
|
54% | 1.0 | 4.2 | 0.88 | 0.43 | 0.87 | 0.05 | 0.52 |
Mike King
|
21% | 1.0 | 4.2 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 0.83 | 0.03 | 0.49 |
Shane Drohan
|
12% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.85 | 0.43 | 0.82 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
Jojo Romero
|
14% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.80 | 0.31 | 0.94 | 0.06 | 0.48 |
Chad Patrick
|
86% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.78 | 0.37 | 0.80 | 0.04 | 0.49 |
Wandy Peralta
|
85% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.78 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
Antonio Senzatela
|
50% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.77 | 0.40 | 0.97 | 0.03 | 0.59 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | -4% | -9% | +6% | +6% | -1% |
| Umpire | 0% | 0% | |||
| Home field (SD batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
MIL |
SD |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Projected | Projected | |
| K% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | R. Gasser | W. Buehler | |
| K% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 5.4 | 5.1 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | +2% | 0% | |
| BB% | -2% | 0% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Players
HR watch
- Ben Rice0.27 HR
- Luis García0.25 HR
- Trent Grisham0.21 HR
- Fernando Tatís0.20 HR
- Junior Caminero0.20 HR
Batters
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.19 | 0.95 | 1.76 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 1.24 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.15 | 1.14 | 1.85 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.27 | 0.03 | 0.58 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.15 | 0.80 | 1.45 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.13 | 0.03 | 1.25 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.20 | 1.04 | 1.83 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.76 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.17 | 1.05 | 1.74 | 0.52 | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 1.10 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.14 | 1.03 | 1.62 | 0.63 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1.00 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.27 | 0.91 | 1.91 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.86 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.13 | 1.06 | 1.68 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.95 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.10 | 0.79 | 1.28 | 0.45 | 0.54 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 1.36 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.15 | 0.59 | 1.15 | 0.41 | 0.70 | – | 0.04 | 1.72 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.14 | 1.03 | 1.63 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.84 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.15 | 1.01 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 1.18 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.15 | 0.86 | 1.50 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1.02 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.09 | 0.89 | 1.37 | 0.38 | 0.65 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 1.16 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.17 | 1.14 | 1.87 | 0.51 | 0.37 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.56 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.17 | 0.74 | 1.46 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.38 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.20 | 0.95 | 1.68 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.81 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.15 | 0.97 | 1.62 | 0.52 | 0.24 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.03 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.13 | 1.08 | 1.67 | 0.62 | 0.45 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.60 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.11 | 1.06 | 1.65 | 0.39 | 0.38 | – | 0.16 | 0.85 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.25 | 1.03 | 1.97 | 0.56 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.59 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.11 | 0.83 | 1.35 | 0.35 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 1.27 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.18 | 0.89 | 1.60 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.82 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.11 | 0.86 | 1.35 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.38 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.14 | 0.77 | 1.38 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 1.20 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.10 | 0.61 | 1.06 | 0.41 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 1.55 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.11 | 0.80 | 1.32 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 1.09 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.15 | 0.87 | 1.46 | 0.54 | 0.32 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.89 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.08 | 1.04 | 1.49 | 0.54 | 0.48 | – | 0.03 | 0.72 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.13 | 0.81 | 1.34 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1.18 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.11 | 0.79 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 1.26 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.13 | 0.89 | 1.47 | 0.51 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.92 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.21 | 0.88 | 1.72 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.59 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.08 | 0.81 | 1.20 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 1.13 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.09 | 0.85 | 1.29 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 1.03 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.13 | 1.05 | 1.60 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.61 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.10 | 0.84 | 1.33 | 0.44 | 0.32 | – | 0.08 | 1.02 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.11 | 0.82 | 1.32 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.01 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.12 | 0.85 | 1.40 | 0.48 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.94 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.10 | 0.94 | 1.40 | 0.47 | 0.42 | – | 0.04 | 0.70 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.14 | 0.78 | 1.38 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.03 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.10 | 0.84 | 1.37 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.89 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.10 | 0.68 | 1.18 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 1.25 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.16 | 0.94 | 1.60 | 0.48 | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.45 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.09 | 0.88 | 1.33 | 0.44 | 0.40 | – | 0.04 | 0.82 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.12 | 0.88 | 1.38 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 0.63 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.09 | 0.82 | 1.31 | 0.45 | 0.39 | – | 0.05 | 0.87 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.10 | 0.61 | 1.09 | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.49 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.08 | 0.80 | 1.22 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.01 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.09 | 0.78 | 1.22 | 0.42 | 0.20 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.20 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.04 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 0.36 | 0.61 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.45 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.09 | 0.82 | 1.27 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.73 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.16 | 0.76 | 1.41 | 0.45 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.78 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.09 | 0.85 | 1.29 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 0.86 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.09 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 0.37 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 1.07 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.10 | 0.54 | 0.98 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 1.48 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.09 | 0.73 | 1.11 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.90 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.12 | 0.76 | 1.25 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.72 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.08 | 0.75 | 1.17 | 0.37 | 0.49 | – | 0.05 | 0.83 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.10 | 0.79 | 1.26 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.84 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.10 | 0.84 | 1.26 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.66 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.14 | 0.83 | 1.42 | 0.38 | 0.18 | – | 0.02 | 0.73 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.13 | 0.69 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 0.20 | – | 0.02 | 0.96 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.07 | 0.84 | 1.24 | 0.38 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.70 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 0.07 | 0.81 | 1.18 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.57 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.10 | 0.77 | 1.27 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 0.58 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 0.08 | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.24 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.29 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 0.06 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.73 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.07 | 0.85 | 1.23 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.54 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.06 | 0.61 | 0.94 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 0.82 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.10 | 0.60 | 1.03 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 0.58 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 0.01 | 0.89 | 1.02 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.37 |
Pitchers
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 100.0% | 5.6 | 7.2 | 1.98 | 4.3 | 0.09 | 1.97 | 22.8 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 100.0% | 5.3 | 5.3 | 2.18 | 5.0 | 0.10 | 2.45 | 22.6 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 100.0% | 5.7 | 4.6 | 1.59 | 4.8 | 0.14 | 1.99 | 23.3 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 100.0% | 5.1 | 4.2 | 1.89 | 4.7 | 0.33 | 2.49 | 21.9 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 100.0% | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.14 | 5.1 | 0.09 | 2.58 | 22.5 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 100.0% | 4.6 | 4.2 | 2.44 | 4.3 | 0.12 | 2.20 | 20.1 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 100.0% | 4.0 | 5.3 | 1.82 | 3.3 | 0.27 | 1.68 | 17.1 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 100.0% | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.28 | 3.1 | 0.20 | 1.35 | 14.2 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 92.2% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.7 | 0.10 | 0.48 | 3.8 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 90.8% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.30 | 0.8 | 0.02 | 0.41 | 3.7 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 90.1% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.57 | 1.0 | 0.07 | 0.63 | 4.2 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 90.0% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 0.8 | 0.09 | 0.50 | 3.9 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 89.2% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.51 | 3.7 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 89.0% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.32 | 0.9 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 3.9 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 87.8% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.39 | 0.7 | 0.02 | 0.41 | 3.9 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 87.7% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.64 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 0.61 | 4.2 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 86.9% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.40 | 0.7 | 0.07 | 0.45 | 3.9 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 86.4% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.37 | 0.8 | 0.04 | 0.49 | 3.8 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 85.1% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.28 | 0.8 | 0.01 | 0.43 | 3.6 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 84.9% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.27 | 0.7 | 0.02 | 0.36 | 3.5 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 84.6% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.40 | 0.9 | 0.03 | 0.51 | 4.1 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 82.3% | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.43 | 1.0 | 0.04 | 0.52 | 4.2 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 75.2% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.39 | 0.8 | 0.04 | 0.50 | 3.8 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 73.5% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.39 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.47 | 3.9 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 73.4% | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.55 | 0.6 | 0.06 | 0.37 | 4.0 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 72.5% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.54 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 0.63 | 4.0 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 71.2% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.18 | 0.7 | 0.04 | 0.43 | 3.5 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 69.9% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.40 | 0.6 | 0.03 | 0.40 | 3.7 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 69.1% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.23 | 0.8 | 0.02 | 0.44 | 3.6 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 67.7% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.43 | 0.9 | 0.08 | 0.58 | 4.2 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 67.1% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.40 | 0.9 | 0.02 | 0.53 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 66.6% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.31 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.45 | 3.8 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 65.5% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.29 | 0.7 | 0.01 | 0.36 | 3.6 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 65.0% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.56 | 0.9 | 0.07 | 0.55 | 4.3 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 61.9% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.35 | 0.8 | 0.01 | 0.51 | 3.8 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 58.8% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.33 | 0.9 | 0.06 | 0.54 | 4.1 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 55.7% | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.30 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.42 | 3.9 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 53.5% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.43 | 0.9 | 0.05 | 0.52 | 4.2 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 51.1% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.29 | 0.9 | 0.05 | 0.49 | 4.0 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 50.9% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.61 | 0.8 | 0.04 | 0.50 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 50.1% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.57 | 1.0 | 0.04 | 0.65 | 4.3 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 49.8% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.40 | 1.0 | 0.03 | 0.59 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 47.4% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.35 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.44 | 3.8 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 45.5% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.34 | 0.6 | 0.01 | 0.42 | 3.6 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 45.4% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.37 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 0.47 | 3.9 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 43.1% | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.38 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.58 | 4.3 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 41.7% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.27 | 0.6 | 0.01 | 0.36 | 3.6 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 38.1% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.24 | 0.8 | 0.04 | 0.34 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 38.1% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.28 | 0.8 | 0.01 | 0.42 | 3.8 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 37.2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.9 | 0.03 | 0.40 | 4.2 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 37.2% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.8 | 0.06 | 0.52 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 37.2% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.9 | 0.06 | 0.50 | 4.0 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 35.9% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.37 | 0.9 | 0.03 | 0.42 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 35.8% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.29 | 0.8 | 0.01 | 0.46 | 3.8 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 35.5% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.28 | 0.9 | 0.07 | 0.46 | 4.0 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 35.4% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.64 | 0.7 | 0.01 | 0.41 | 4.3 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 32.6% | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.40 | 0.7 | 0.06 | 0.36 | 4.0 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 30.7% | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.29 | 0.7 | 0.01 | 0.34 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 30.6% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.29 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.41 | 3.8 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 30.3% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.33 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 0.43 | 4.1 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 30.1% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.6 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 3.8 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 27.6% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.27 | 0.8 | 0.01 | 0.36 | 3.8 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 27.0% | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.42 | 0.9 | 0.07 | 0.60 | 4.2 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 22.6% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.38 | 0.7 | 0.04 | 0.40 | 3.8 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 21.3% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.53 | 0.8 | 0.03 | 0.49 | 4.2 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 20.2% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.28 | 0.8 | 0.04 | 0.41 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 17.5% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.43 | 0.9 | 0.03 | 0.59 | 4.1 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 16.0% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.27 | 0.9 | 0.05 | 0.46 | 3.9 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 15.3% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.39 | 0.8 | 0.01 | 0.41 | 3.9 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 14.9% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.34 | 1.0 | 0.05 | 0.57 | 4.2 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 14.2% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.34 | 0.8 | 0.04 | 0.36 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 13.8% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.30 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 0.49 | 4.0 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 13.7% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.31 | 0.9 | 0.06 | 0.48 | 4.0 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 13.2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.53 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 0.57 | 4.4 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 12.5% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.43 | 0.8 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 4.0 |
|
|
CLE @ CWS | 12.5% | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.33 | 0.8 | 0.10 | 0.44 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 12.0% | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.45 | 1.0 | 0.08 | 0.56 | 4.2 |
|
|
TB @ NYY | 11.7% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.27 | 0.6 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 3.8 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 7.5% | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.47 | 1.0 | 0.01 | 0.57 | 4.3 |
|
|
MIL @ SD | 5.8% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.47 | 0.8 | 0.09 | 0.52 | 4.1 |
|
|
LAD @ ATL | 2.8% | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.18 | 0.8 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 3.9 |
Fantasy
Batters
Not yet included: Runs Scored
Estimated, not directly simulated: SB
| 1 | José Ramírez | CLE @ CWS | 8.7 | 1.85 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.27 | 0.03 |
| 2 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD @ ATL | 8.0 | 1.76 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| 3 | Fernando Tatís | MIL @ SD | 7.9 | 1.83 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| 4 | Jake Bauers | MIL @ SD | 7.5 | 1.45 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| 5 | Mookie Betts | LAD @ ATL | 7.1 | 1.87 | 0.51 | 0.37 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| 6 | Ben Rice | TB @ NYY | 7.1 | 1.91 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| 7 | Jackson Chourio | MIL @ SD | 7.0 | 1.74 | 0.52 | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| 8 | William Contreras | MIL @ SD | 6.9 | 1.67 | 0.62 | 0.45 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| 9 | Luis García | TB @ NYY | 6.8 | 1.97 | 0.56 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| 10 | Freddie Freeman | LAD @ ATL | 6.8 | 1.68 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| 11 | Jo Adell | CLE @ CWS | 6.8 | 1.62 | 0.63 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| 12 | Will Smith | LAD @ ATL | 6.7 | 1.63 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| 13 | Miguel Vargas | CLE @ CWS | 6.7 | 1.50 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| 14 | Manny Machado | MIL @ SD | 6.7 | 1.60 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.05 | 0.01 |
| 15 | Brice Turang | MIL @ SD | 6.7 | 1.37 | 0.38 | 0.65 | 0.18 | 0.01 |
| 16 | Junior Caminero | TB @ NYY | 6.7 | 1.68 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| 17 | Garrett Mitchell | MIL @ SD | 6.5 | 1.28 | 0.45 | 0.54 | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| 18 | Sam Antonacci | CLE @ CWS | 6.4 | 1.65 | 0.39 | 0.38 | – | 0.16 |
| 19 | Trent Grisham | TB @ NYY | 6.4 | 1.72 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| 20 | Ronald Acuña | LAD @ ATL | 6.2 | 1.35 | 0.35 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| 21 | Chase Delauter | CLE @ CWS | 6.2 | 1.49 | 0.54 | 0.48 | – | 0.03 |
| 22 | Cody Bellinger | TB @ NYY | 6.1 | 1.60 | 0.48 | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| 23 | Steven Kwan | CLE @ CWS | 6.1 | 1.29 | 0.36 | 0.61 | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| 24 | Christian Yelich | MIL @ SD | 6.1 | 1.32 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| 25 | Michael Harris | LAD @ ATL | 6.1 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.01 |
| 26 | Ty France | MIL @ SD | 6.1 | 1.46 | 0.54 | 0.32 | 0.01 | 0.15 |
| 27 | Austin Hays | MIL @ SD | 6.1 | 1.62 | 0.52 | 0.24 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| 28 | Xander Bogaerts | MIL @ SD | 6.0 | 1.38 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| 29 | Max Muncy | LAD @ ATL | 6.0 | 1.38 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| 30 | Yandy Díaz | TB @ NYY | 6.0 | 1.60 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| 31 | Matt Olson | LAD @ ATL | 5.9 | 1.46 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| 32 | Angel Martínez | CLE @ CWS | 5.7 | 1.47 | 0.51 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| 33 | Kyle Tucker | LAD @ ATL | 5.7 | 1.27 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.11 | 0.01 |
| 34 | Cooper Pratt | MIL @ SD | 5.7 | 1.40 | 0.47 | 0.42 | – | 0.04 |
| 35 | Munetaka Murakami | CLE @ CWS | 5.7 | 1.15 | 0.41 | 0.70 | – | 0.04 |
| 36 | Kyle Teel | CLE @ CWS | 5.6 | 1.06 | 0.41 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| 37 | Teoscar Hernández | LAD @ ATL | 5.6 | 1.35 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| 38 | Ozzie Albies | LAD @ ATL | 5.6 | 1.37 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| 39 | Chase Meidroth | CLE @ CWS | 5.5 | 1.20 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| 40 | Nathaniel Lowe | CLE @ CWS | 5.5 | 1.29 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| 41 | Drake Baldwin | LAD @ ATL | 5.4 | 1.34 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 42 | Luis Lara | MIL @ SD | 5.4 | 1.33 | 0.44 | 0.40 | – | 0.04 |
| 43 | Ryan Vilade | TB @ NYY | 5.4 | 1.32 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| 44 | Jackson Merrill | MIL @ SD | 5.4 | 1.40 | 0.48 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| 45 | Braden Montgomery | CLE @ CWS | 5.4 | 1.31 | 0.45 | 0.39 | – | 0.05 |
| 46 | Tristan Peters | CLE @ CWS | 5.4 | 1.33 | 0.44 | 0.32 | – | 0.08 |
| 47 | Austin Wells | TB @ NYY | 5.4 | 1.41 | 0.45 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| 48 | Joey Ortiz | MIL @ SD | 5.3 | 1.26 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 0.08 | 0.01 |
| 49 | Samad Taylor | MIL @ SD | 5.3 | 1.11 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| 50 | Luis Campusano | MIL @ SD | 5.3 | 1.25 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 51 | Jonathan Aranda | TB @ NYY | 5.2 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| 52 | Jonny Deluca | TB @ NYY | 5.2 | 1.29 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| 53 | Travis Bazzana | CLE @ CWS | 5.1 | 1.17 | 0.37 | 0.49 | – | 0.05 |
| 54 | Randal Grichuk | CLE @ CWS | 5.1 | 1.38 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| 55 | Brayan Rocchio | CLE @ CWS | 5.0 | 1.18 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| 56 | Patrick Bailey | CLE @ CWS | 5.0 | 1.22 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| 57 | Andy Pages | LAD @ ATL | 5.0 | 1.26 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| 58 | Mike Yastrzemski | LAD @ ATL | 5.0 | 1.18 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| 59 | Jorge Mateo | TB @ NYY | 5.0 | 1.17 | 0.37 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.01 |
| 60 | George Lombard | TB @ NYY | 4.9 | 1.42 | 0.38 | 0.18 | – | 0.02 |
| 61 | Anthony Volpe | TB @ NYY | 4.9 | 1.27 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| 62 | Mauricio Dubón | LAD @ ATL | 4.7 | 1.24 | 0.38 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| 63 | Enrique Hernández | LAD @ ATL | 4.6 | 1.22 | 0.42 | 0.20 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| 64 | Chandler Simpson | TB @ NYY | 4.5 | 1.02 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.01 |
| 65 | Jake Cronenworth | MIL @ SD | 4.5 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| 66 | Nick Fortes | TB @ NYY | 4.5 | 1.23 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| 67 | Spencer Jones | TB @ NYY | 4.5 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 0.20 | – | 0.02 |
| 68 | José Caballero | TB @ NYY | 4.4 | 1.03 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| 69 | Taylor Walls | TB @ NYY | 4.4 | 0.94 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.12 | 0.01 |
| 70 | Austin Riley | LAD @ ATL | 4.2 | 1.09 | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| 71 | Colson Montgomery | CLE @ CWS | 4.2 | 0.98 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0.07 |
| 72 | Sean Murphy | LAD @ ATL | 3.7 | 0.87 | 0.24 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
Pitchers
Not yet included: Wins, Losses, Saves
Points are expected points: the line if he pitches, times his chance to pitch.
| 1 | Tyler Glasnow | LAD @ ATL | 24.2 | 5.60 | 7.19 | 1.98 | 4.31 | 0.09 | 1.97 |
| 2 | Max Fried | TB @ NYY | 16.6 | 5.73 | 4.64 | 1.59 | 4.81 | 0.14 | 1.99 |
| 3 | Daniel Espino | CLE @ CWS | 16.0 | 3.99 | 5.35 | 1.82 | 3.26 | 0.27 | 1.68 |
| 4 | Tyler Mahle | LAD @ ATL | 15.2 | 5.32 | 5.32 | 2.18 | 4.96 | 0.10 | 2.45 |
| 5 | Robert Gasser | MIL @ SD | 11.6 | 5.13 | 4.24 | 1.89 | 4.69 | 0.33 | 2.49 |
| 6 | Walker Buehler | MIL @ SD | 10.8 | 4.61 | 4.18 | 2.44 | 4.32 | 0.12 | 2.20 |
| 7 | Nick Martínez | TB @ NYY | 10.7 | 5.53 | 3.36 | 1.14 | 5.11 | 0.09 | 2.58 |
| 8 | Sean Newcomb | CLE @ CWS | 7.8 | 3.32 | 2.60 | 1.28 | 3.11 | 0.20 | 1.35 |
| 9 | Erik Sabrowski | CLE @ CWS | 3.3 | 0.93 | 1.46 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.06 | 0.37 |
| 10 | Adrián Morejón | MIL @ SD | 3.2 | 0.89 | 1.15 | 0.30 | 0.75 | 0.02 | 0.41 |
| 11 | Hagen Smith | CLE @ CWS | 2.5 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 0.39 | 0.75 | 0.02 | 0.41 |
| 12 | Matt Festa | CLE @ CWS | 2.5 | 0.92 | 1.02 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.09 | 0.50 |
| 13 | Brent Headrick | TB @ NYY | 2.4 | 0.86 | 0.99 | 0.28 | 0.77 | 0.01 | 0.43 |
| 14 | Alex Vesia | LAD @ ATL | 2.4 | 0.88 | 1.14 | 0.40 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
| 15 | Tim Herrin | CLE @ CWS | 2.4 | 0.88 | 1.02 | 0.46 | 0.72 | 0.10 | 0.48 |
| 16 | Hunter Gaddis | CLE @ CWS | 2.4 | 0.92 | 0.98 | 0.40 | 0.74 | 0.07 | 0.45 |
| 17 | Evan Phillips | LAD @ ATL | 2.2 | 0.88 | 1.05 | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0.02 | 0.44 |
| 18 | Didier Fuentes | LAD @ ATL | 2.2 | 0.88 | 1.12 | 0.39 | 0.82 | 0.04 | 0.50 |
| 19 | Bradgley Rodriguez | MIL @ SD | 2.1 | 0.92 | 1.03 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.47 |
| 20 | Aaron Ashby | MIL @ SD | 2.1 | 0.86 | 0.97 | 0.46 | 0.78 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
| 21 | David Morgan | MIL @ SD | 1.9 | 0.91 | 1.10 | 0.64 | 0.90 | 0.04 | 0.61 |
| 22 | Brock Stewart | LAD @ ATL | 1.8 | 0.89 | 0.98 | 0.31 | 0.83 | 0.03 | 0.45 |
| 23 | Paul Blackburn | TB @ NYY | 1.8 | 0.87 | 0.62 | 0.27 | 0.71 | 0.02 | 0.36 |
| 24 | Kevin Kelly | TB @ NYY | 1.8 | 0.87 | 0.79 | 0.18 | 0.72 | 0.04 | 0.43 |
| 25 | Joey Cantillo | CLE @ CWS | 1.7 | 0.95 | 1.13 | 0.56 | 0.87 | 0.07 | 0.55 |
| 26 | Chad Patrick | MIL @ SD | 1.7 | 0.88 | 0.78 | 0.37 | 0.80 | 0.04 | 0.49 |
| 27 | Cade Smith | CLE @ CWS | 1.6 | 0.96 | 1.58 | 0.40 | 0.74 | 0.06 | 0.36 |
| 28 | Bryan Hudson | CLE @ CWS | 1.6 | 0.93 | 0.69 | 0.32 | 0.88 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| 29 | Wandy Peralta | MIL @ SD | 1.6 | 0.93 | 0.78 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
| 30 | Steven Matz | TB @ NYY | 1.5 | 0.89 | 0.67 | 0.29 | 0.71 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
| 31 | Edgardo Henriquez | LAD @ ATL | 1.4 | 0.89 | 1.05 | 0.35 | 0.80 | 0.03 | 0.44 |
| 32 | David Bednar | TB @ NYY | 1.4 | 0.97 | 1.05 | 0.24 | 0.78 | 0.04 | 0.34 |
| 33 | Cam Booser | TB @ NYY | 1.4 | 0.90 | 0.94 | 0.27 | 0.64 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
| 34 | Tanner Scott | LAD @ ATL | 1.3 | 0.96 | 1.26 | 0.29 | 0.73 | 0.01 | 0.34 |
| 35 | Tyler Davis | CLE @ CWS | 1.3 | 0.95 | 0.72 | 0.43 | 0.95 | 0.04 | 0.52 |
| 36 | Jordan Hicks | CLE @ CWS | 1.3 | 0.91 | 0.90 | 0.57 | 0.97 | 0.07 | 0.63 |
| 37 | Ray Kerr | LAD @ ATL | 1.3 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 0.29 | 0.89 | 0.05 | 0.49 |
| 38 | Cole Sulser | TB @ NYY | 1.3 | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.35 | 0.83 | 0.01 | 0.51 |
| 39 | Dylan Lee | LAD @ ATL | 1.2 | 0.93 | 1.05 | 0.28 | 0.82 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| 40 | Jason Adam | MIL @ SD | 1.2 | 0.98 | 0.88 | 0.43 | 0.87 | 0.05 | 0.52 |
| 41 | Tyler Wells | TB @ NYY | 1.2 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 0.34 | 0.65 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| 42 | Abner Uribe | MIL @ SD | 1.2 | 0.93 | 0.96 | 0.37 | 0.85 | 0.04 | 0.47 |
| 43 | Raisel Iglesias | LAD @ ATL | 1.2 | 0.97 | 1.09 | 0.37 | 0.85 | 0.03 | 0.42 |
| 44 | Yuki Matsui | MIL @ SD | 1.2 | 0.99 | 1.12 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 0.01 | 0.41 |
| 45 | John Schreiber | TB @ NYY | 1.2 | 0.96 | 0.64 | 0.30 | 0.78 | 0.03 | 0.42 |
| 46 | Grant Taylor | CLE @ CWS | 1.1 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.46 | 0.86 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
| 47 | Dl Hall | MIL @ SD | 1.1 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.61 | 0.78 | 0.04 | 0.50 |
| 48 | Victor Mederos | LAD @ ATL | 1.1 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.54 | 0.87 | 0.04 | 0.63 |
| 49 | Joe Musgrove | MIL @ SD | 1.1 | 0.96 | 1.06 | 0.28 | 0.94 | 0.07 | 0.46 |
| 50 | Bryan Baker | TB @ NYY | 1.0 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.61 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
| 51 | Noah Schultz | CLE @ CWS | 1.0 | 0.95 | 0.74 | 0.43 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 0.58 |
| 52 | Dylan Dodd | LAD @ ATL | 1.0 | 0.94 | 1.02 | 0.29 | 0.77 | 0.03 | 0.41 |
| 53 | Trevor Megill | MIL @ SD | 0.9 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.76 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
| 54 | Shawn Armstrong | CLE @ CWS | 0.9 | 0.93 | 1.01 | 0.46 | 0.85 | 0.06 | 0.52 |
| 55 | Kris Bubic | LAD @ ATL | 0.9 | 0.91 | 0.98 | 0.38 | 0.89 | 0.06 | 0.50 |
| 56 | Robert Suarez | LAD @ ATL | 0.9 | 0.93 | 0.85 | 0.29 | 0.84 | 0.01 | 0.46 |
| 57 | Ryan Yarbrough | TB @ NYY | 0.8 | 0.95 | 0.63 | 0.33 | 0.91 | 0.06 | 0.54 |
| 58 | Garrett Cleavinger | TB @ NYY | 0.8 | 0.90 | 1.13 | 0.38 | 0.65 | 0.04 | 0.40 |
| 59 | Erick Fedde | CLE @ CWS | 0.8 | 0.96 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 0.02 | 0.53 |
| 60 | Will Warren | TB @ NYY | 0.8 | 0.97 | 0.84 | 0.33 | 0.89 | 0.04 | 0.43 |
| 61 | Antonio Senzatela | MIL @ SD | 0.7 | 0.93 | 0.77 | 0.40 | 0.97 | 0.03 | 0.59 |
| 62 | Aj Smith-Shawver | LAD @ ATL | 0.6 | 0.94 | 0.80 | 0.57 | 0.96 | 0.04 | 0.65 |
| 63 | Davis Martin | CLE @ CWS | 0.6 | 0.98 | 0.71 | 0.38 | 1.02 | 0.09 | 0.58 |
| 64 | Ryan Weathers | TB @ NYY | 0.5 | 0.98 | 0.84 | 0.28 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.41 |
| 65 | Mike King | MIL @ SD | 0.5 | 0.97 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 0.83 | 0.03 | 0.49 |
| 66 | Ian Seymour | TB @ NYY | 0.5 | 0.98 | 1.09 | 0.27 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
| 67 | Kyle Harrison | MIL @ SD | 0.4 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.27 | 0.87 | 0.05 | 0.46 |
| 68 | Austin Hedges | CLE @ CWS | 0.4 | 0.95 | 0.74 | 0.42 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.60 |
| 69 | Luisangel Acuña | CLE @ CWS | 0.4 | 0.98 | 0.80 | 0.34 | 0.81 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
| 70 | Grant Holmes | LAD @ ATL | 0.4 | 0.92 | 0.83 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 0.01 | 0.41 |
| 71 | Roki Sasaki | LAD @ ATL | 0.4 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 0.43 | 0.94 | 0.03 | 0.59 |
| 72 | Edwin Díaz | LAD @ ATL | 0.3 | 0.92 | 1.27 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.56 |
| 73 | Brent Suter | LAD @ ATL | 0.3 | 0.96 | 0.86 | 0.30 | 0.88 | 0.04 | 0.49 |
| 74 | Sean Burke | CLE @ CWS | 0.3 | 0.98 | 1.02 | 0.53 | 0.90 | 0.04 | 0.57 |
| 75 | Jojo Romero | MIL @ SD | 0.3 | 0.93 | 0.80 | 0.31 | 0.94 | 0.06 | 0.48 |
| 76 | Shane Drohan | MIL @ SD | 0.3 | 0.93 | 0.85 | 0.43 | 0.82 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| 77 | David Sandlin | CLE @ CWS | 0.3 | 0.97 | 0.77 | 0.34 | 1.02 | 0.05 | 0.57 |
| 78 | Anthony Kay | CLE @ CWS | 0.2 | 0.96 | 0.66 | 0.33 | 0.84 | 0.10 | 0.44 |
| 79 | Andrew Vaughn | MIL @ SD | 0.1 | 0.93 | 0.95 | 0.47 | 0.81 | 0.09 | 0.52 |
| 80 | Chris Sale | LAD @ ATL | 0.1 | 0.99 | 1.32 | 0.18 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| 81 | Enrique Hernández | LAD @ ATL | 0.0 | 0.93 | 0.49 | 0.47 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 0.57 |