MLB predictions Mon, Oct 5
Win probabilities, projected runs and totals for every MLB game, plus batter and pitcher projections. How it works →
2 games on this slate · model went 0–2 · 140–96 last 30 days →
Games
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Jo Adell
|
0.17 | 1.06 | 1.79 | 0.75 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.89 | 0.10 |
José Ramírez
|
0.15 | 1.09 | 1.78 | 0.59 | 0.57 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 0.26 |
Chase Delauter
|
0.10 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 0.58 | 0.51 | 0.04 | 0.62 | – |
Angel Martínez
|
0.13 | 0.90 | 1.51 | 0.56 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.78 | 0.06 |
Sam Antonacci
|
0.11 | 0.95 | 1.49 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 1.10 | – |
Miguel Vargas
|
0.15 | 0.78 | 1.42 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 0.05 | 1.25 | 0.04 |
Nathaniel Lowe
|
0.10 | 0.86 | 1.33 | 0.55 | 0.44 | 0.04 | 0.97 | 0.01 |
Steven Kwan
|
0.05 | 0.98 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.58 | 0.06 | 0.40 | 0.08 |
Andrew Benintendi
|
0.11 | 0.77 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 0.02 | 1.44 | 0.02 |
Tristan Peters
|
0.09 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.41 | 0.32 | 0.06 | 1.18 | – |
Patrick Bailey
|
0.08 | 0.80 | 1.22 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.02 | 0.90 | 0.01 |
Braden Montgomery
|
0.08 | 0.76 | 1.21 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.03 | 1.11 | – |
Travis Bazzana
|
0.08 | 0.80 | 1.21 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.76 | – |
Brayan Rocchio
|
0.06 | 0.78 | 1.12 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.11 | 0.52 | 0.08 |
Munetaka Murakami
|
0.14 | 0.56 | 1.07 | 0.40 | 0.56 | 0.04 | 1.98 | – |
Kyle Teel
|
0.10 | 0.59 | 1.02 | 0.31 | 0.56 | 0.07 | 2.01 | 0.03 |
Chase Meidroth
|
0.06 | 0.67 | 0.97 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.05 | 1.18 | 0.06 |
Colson Montgomery
|
0.10 | 0.48 | 0.90 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.06 | 1.68 | 0.00 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Gavin Williams
|
100% | 5.7 | 23.2 | 8.8 | 2.28 | 3.81 | 0.27 | 1.86 |
Anthony Kay
|
100% | 4.6 | 20.9 | 3.2 | 1.99 | 4.88 | 0.51 | 2.65 |
Erik Sabrowski
|
49% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.07 | 0.34 |
Cade Smith
|
38% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.35 | 0.67 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
Daniel Espino
|
18% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 0.47 |
Joey Cantillo
|
17% | 1.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.05 | 0.39 |
Tim Herrin
|
48% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.15 | 0.41 |
Shawn Armstrong
|
33% | 1.0 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.51 | 0.87 | 0.10 | 0.56 |
Grant Taylor
|
28% | 1.0 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.49 | 0.87 | 0.02 | 0.48 |
Matt Festa
|
84% | 0.8 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.29 | 0.70 | 0.07 | 0.44 |
Hunter Gaddis
|
84% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.37 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 0.51 |
Hagen Smith
|
40% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 0.04 | 0.39 |
Jordan Hicks
|
60% | 0.9 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.64 | 0.95 | 0.09 | 0.62 |
Austin Hedges
|
8% | 1.0 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.41 | 0.90 | 0.02 | 0.49 |
Sean Burke
|
9% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.36 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
Tyler Davis
|
62% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.42 | 0.87 | 0.03 | 0.52 |
David Sandlin
|
8% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.35 | 0.88 | 0.01 | 0.50 |
Noah Schultz
|
34% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.43 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 0.62 |
Luisangel Acuña
|
9% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.38 | 0.98 | 0.04 | 0.60 |
Bryan Hudson
|
63% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.31 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.51 |
Sean Newcomb
|
74% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.41 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
Davis Martin
|
9% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.30 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 0.47 |
Erick Fedde
|
35% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.39 | 0.95 | 0.03 | 0.61 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | 0% | +1% | -2% | +3% | +5% |
| Weather | 0% | -2% | -1% | -1% | 0% |
| Umpire | -3% | +2% | |||
| Home field (CLE batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
CWS |
CLE |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Confirmed | Confirmed | |
| K% | 24.5% | 18.6% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | A. Kay | G. Williams | |
| K% | 18.4% | 32.0% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 5.3 | 5.9 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | -3% | +4% | |
| BB% | +3% | -5% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Luis García
|
0.18 | 1.05 | 1.83 | 0.57 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.83 | 0.09 |
Ben Rice
|
0.17 | 0.86 | 1.57 | 0.43 | 0.59 | 0.06 | 1.17 | 0.03 |
Cody Bellinger
|
0.14 | 0.92 | 1.54 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.01 | 0.75 | 0.08 |
Junior Caminero
|
0.16 | 0.87 | 1.54 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.03 | 1.02 | 0.04 |
Yandy Díaz
|
0.10 | 0.99 | 1.48 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.05 | 0.92 | 0.01 |
Jonathan Aranda
|
0.16 | 0.82 | 1.46 | 0.45 | 0.38 | 0.07 | 1.37 | 0.01 |
Spencer Jones
|
0.14 | 0.83 | 1.45 | 0.50 | 0.36 | 0.03 | 1.49 | – |
George Lombard
|
0.14 | 0.81 | 1.40 | 0.42 | 0.24 | 0.05 | 1.20 | – |
Victor Mesa
|
0.15 | 0.75 | 1.38 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.03 |
Trent Grisham
|
0.12 | 0.75 | 1.31 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.01 | 0.78 | 0.03 |
Liam Hicks
|
0.11 | 0.80 | 1.28 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.09 | 0.64 | 0.01 |
Jazz Chisholm
|
0.13 | 0.72 | 1.26 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.01 | 1.22 | 0.19 |
Jonny Deluca
|
0.09 | 0.75 | 1.19 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 0.12 |
Austin Wells
|
0.11 | 0.66 | 1.15 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.04 | 1.05 | 0.03 |
Chandler Simpson
|
0.01 | 0.92 | 1.13 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0.45 | 0.21 |
Richie Palacios
|
0.08 | 0.69 | 1.10 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.82 | 0.10 |
Ryan Mcmahon
|
0.10 | 0.63 | 1.10 | 0.39 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 1.10 | 0.02 |
Taylor Walls
|
0.06 | 0.60 | 0.97 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 0.12 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Cam Schlittler
|
100% | 5.7 | 23.2 | 6.0 | 1.78 | 4.55 | 0.23 | 2.09 |
Freddy Peralta
|
100% | 5.2 | 22.3 | 5.4 | 2.34 | 4.50 | 0.13 | 2.55 |
Garrett Cleavinger
|
37% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.43 | 0.74 | 0.05 | 0.33 |
Ian Seymour
|
30% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.23 | 0.62 | 0.02 | 0.33 |
Bryan Baker
|
36% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.36 | 0.73 | 0.02 | 0.39 |
Tyler Wells
|
40% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.27 | 0.67 | 0.01 | 0.37 |
Cam Booser
|
77% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.25 | 0.66 | 0.02 | 0.37 |
Cole Sulser
|
47% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.35 | 0.78 | 0.03 | 0.44 |
Brent Headrick
|
71% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.31 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.41 |
David Bednar
|
34% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.30 | 0.88 | 0.06 | 0.38 |
Ryan Weathers
|
11% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.24 | 0.75 | 0.06 | 0.33 |
Kevin Kelly
|
82% | 0.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.19 | 0.68 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
Will Warren
|
26% | 1.0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.37 | 1.07 | 0.03 | 0.61 |
Steven Matz
|
75% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.25 | 0.69 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
Paul Blackburn
|
69% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.34 | 0.94 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
Ryan Yarbrough
|
39% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.33 | 0.78 | 0.08 | 0.37 |
John Schreiber
|
91% | 0.7 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.35 | 0.70 | 0.02 | 0.47 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | -4% | -1% | -5% | -1% | +4% |
| Weather | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Umpire | -2% | +1% | |||
| Home field (TB batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
NYY |
TB |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Projected | Confirmed | |
| K% | 24.4% | 17.3% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | C. Schlittler | F. Peralta | |
| K% | 31.0% | 21.6% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 6.0 | 5.5 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | +2% | -2% | |
| BB% | -3% | +2% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Players
HR watch
- Luis García0.18 HR
- Ben Rice0.17 HR
- Jo Adell0.17 HR
- Junior Caminero0.16 HR
- Jonathan Aranda0.16 HR
Batters
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.17 | 1.06 | 1.79 | 0.75 | 0.31 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.89 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.15 | 1.09 | 1.78 | 0.59 | 0.57 | 0.26 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.17 | 0.86 | 1.57 | 0.43 | 0.59 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 1.17 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.14 | 0.83 | 1.45 | 0.50 | 0.36 | – | 0.03 | 1.49 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.18 | 1.05 | 1.83 | 0.57 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.83 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.14 | 0.56 | 1.07 | 0.40 | 0.56 | – | 0.04 | 1.98 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.16 | 0.82 | 1.46 | 0.45 | 0.38 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 1.37 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.15 | 0.78 | 1.42 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1.25 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.10 | 0.59 | 1.02 | 0.31 | 0.56 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 2.01 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.10 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 0.58 | 0.51 | – | 0.04 | 0.62 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.11 | 0.95 | 1.49 | 0.36 | 0.32 | – | 0.15 | 1.10 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.16 | 0.87 | 1.54 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.02 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.11 | 0.77 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.44 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.13 | 0.72 | 1.26 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 1.22 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.14 | 0.92 | 1.54 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.75 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.10 | 0.86 | 1.33 | 0.55 | 0.44 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.97 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.14 | 0.81 | 1.40 | 0.42 | 0.24 | – | 0.05 | 1.20 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.13 | 0.90 | 1.51 | 0.56 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.78 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.10 | 0.99 | 1.48 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.92 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.15 | 0.75 | 1.38 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.98 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.09 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.41 | 0.32 | – | 0.06 | 1.18 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.08 | 0.76 | 1.21 | 0.34 | 0.39 | – | 0.03 | 1.11 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.12 | 0.75 | 1.31 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.78 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.05 | 0.98 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.58 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.40 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.08 | 0.80 | 1.22 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.90 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.10 | 0.48 | 0.90 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1.68 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.11 | 0.66 | 1.15 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1.05 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.08 | 0.80 | 1.21 | 0.40 | 0.42 | – | 0.10 | 0.76 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.11 | 0.80 | 1.28 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.64 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.09 | 0.75 | 1.19 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 1.03 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.06 | 0.67 | 0.97 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1.18 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.10 | 0.63 | 1.10 | 0.39 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.10 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.08 | 0.69 | 1.10 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.82 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.06 | 0.60 | 0.97 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 1.03 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 0.06 | 0.78 | 1.12 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.52 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 0.01 | 0.92 | 1.13 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.45 |
Pitchers
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 100.0% | 5.7 | 8.8 | 2.28 | 3.81 | 0.27 | 1.86 | 23.2 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 100.0% | 5.7 | 6.0 | 1.78 | 4.55 | 0.23 | 2.09 | 23.2 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 100.0% | 5.2 | 5.4 | 2.34 | 4.50 | 0.13 | 2.55 | 22.3 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 100.0% | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.99 | 4.88 | 0.51 | 2.65 | 20.9 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 91.1% | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.35 | 0.70 | 0.02 | 0.47 | 3.2 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 84.2% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.29 | 0.70 | 0.07 | 0.44 | 3.5 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 84.0% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.37 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 0.51 | 3.8 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 82.1% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.19 | 0.68 | 0.03 | 0.37 | 3.5 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 76.8% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.25 | 0.66 | 0.02 | 0.37 | 3.6 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 75.3% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.25 | 0.69 | 0.03 | 0.37 | 3.7 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 73.8% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.41 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 3.8 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 70.7% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.31 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.41 | 3.9 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 68.9% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.34 | 0.94 | 0.03 | 0.51 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 63.3% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.31 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.51 | 3.9 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 62.2% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.42 | 0.87 | 0.03 | 0.52 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 59.6% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.64 | 0.95 | 0.09 | 0.62 | 4.3 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 48.6% | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.07 | 0.34 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 48.2% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.15 | 0.41 | 4.0 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 47.1% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.35 | 0.78 | 0.03 | 0.44 | 3.9 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 39.9% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.27 | 0.67 | 0.01 | 0.37 | 3.7 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 39.6% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 0.04 | 0.39 | 3.8 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 38.8% | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.33 | 0.78 | 0.08 | 0.37 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 37.9% | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.35 | 0.67 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 4.0 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 37.1% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.43 | 0.74 | 0.05 | 0.33 | 4.0 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 36.2% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.36 | 0.73 | 0.02 | 0.39 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 35.4% | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.39 | 0.95 | 0.03 | 0.61 | 4.1 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 34.5% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.30 | 0.88 | 0.06 | 0.38 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 34.3% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.43 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 0.62 | 4.1 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 33.4% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.51 | 0.87 | 0.10 | 0.56 | 4.3 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 30.0% | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.23 | 0.62 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 3.7 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 27.8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.49 | 0.87 | 0.02 | 0.48 | 4.2 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 25.6% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.37 | 1.07 | 0.03 | 0.61 | 4.3 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 17.9% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 0.47 | 4.1 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 17.4% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.05 | 0.39 | 4.2 |
|
|
NYY @ TB | 10.9% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.24 | 0.75 | 0.06 | 0.33 | 3.9 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 9.2% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.30 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 0.47 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 8.9% | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.38 | 0.98 | 0.04 | 0.60 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 8.6% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.36 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 4.0 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 8.3% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.41 | 0.90 | 0.02 | 0.49 | 4.2 |
|
|
CWS @ CLE | 8.0% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.35 | 0.88 | 0.01 | 0.50 | 4.0 |
Fantasy
Batters
Not yet included: Runs Scored
Estimated, not directly simulated: SB
| 1 | José Ramírez | CWS @ CLE | 8.4 | 1.78 | 0.59 | 0.57 | 0.26 | 0.05 |
| 2 | Jo Adell | CWS @ CLE | 7.7 | 1.79 | 0.75 | 0.31 | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| 3 | Luis García | NYY @ TB | 6.8 | 1.83 | 0.57 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.00 |
| 4 | Ben Rice | NYY @ TB | 6.7 | 1.57 | 0.43 | 0.59 | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| 5 | Chase Delauter | CWS @ CLE | 6.6 | 1.58 | 0.58 | 0.51 | – | 0.04 |
| 6 | Cody Bellinger | NYY @ TB | 6.4 | 1.54 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.08 | 0.01 |
| 7 | Miguel Vargas | CWS @ CLE | 6.3 | 1.42 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| 8 | Steven Kwan | CWS @ CLE | 6.2 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.58 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| 9 | Junior Caminero | NYY @ TB | 6.1 | 1.54 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| 10 | Angel Martínez | CWS @ CLE | 6.0 | 1.51 | 0.56 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| 11 | Jazz Chisholm | NYY @ TB | 6.0 | 1.26 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.01 |
| 12 | Jonathan Aranda | NYY @ TB | 5.9 | 1.46 | 0.45 | 0.38 | 0.01 | 0.07 |
| 13 | Sam Antonacci | CWS @ CLE | 5.8 | 1.49 | 0.36 | 0.32 | – | 0.15 |
| 14 | Nathaniel Lowe | CWS @ CLE | 5.8 | 1.33 | 0.55 | 0.44 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| 15 | Spencer Jones | NYY @ TB | 5.7 | 1.45 | 0.50 | 0.36 | – | 0.03 |
| 16 | Trent Grisham | NYY @ TB | 5.6 | 1.31 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| 17 | Yandy Díaz | NYY @ TB | 5.5 | 1.48 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| 18 | Victor Mesa | NYY @ TB | 5.5 | 1.38 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| 19 | Liam Hicks | NYY @ TB | 5.5 | 1.28 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| 20 | Travis Bazzana | CWS @ CLE | 5.3 | 1.21 | 0.40 | 0.42 | – | 0.10 |
| 21 | Andrew Benintendi | CWS @ CLE | 5.2 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| 22 | George Lombard | NYY @ TB | 5.2 | 1.40 | 0.42 | 0.24 | – | 0.05 |
| 23 | Munetaka Murakami | CWS @ CLE | 5.1 | 1.07 | 0.40 | 0.56 | – | 0.04 |
| 24 | Patrick Bailey | CWS @ CLE | 5.1 | 1.22 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| 25 | Brayan Rocchio | CWS @ CLE | 5.0 | 1.12 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| 26 | Tristan Peters | CWS @ CLE | 5.0 | 1.25 | 0.41 | 0.32 | – | 0.06 |
| 27 | Kyle Teel | CWS @ CLE | 5.0 | 1.02 | 0.31 | 0.56 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| 28 | Chandler Simpson | NYY @ TB | 4.9 | 1.13 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.01 |
| 29 | Richie Palacios | NYY @ TB | 4.9 | 1.10 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| 30 | Austin Wells | NYY @ TB | 4.9 | 1.15 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| 31 | Braden Montgomery | CWS @ CLE | 4.9 | 1.21 | 0.34 | 0.39 | – | 0.03 |
| 32 | Jonny Deluca | NYY @ TB | 4.7 | 1.19 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| 33 | Taylor Walls | NYY @ TB | 4.5 | 0.97 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| 34 | Ryan Mcmahon | NYY @ TB | 4.5 | 1.10 | 0.39 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| 35 | Chase Meidroth | CWS @ CLE | 4.5 | 0.97 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| 36 | Colson Montgomery | CWS @ CLE | 3.8 | 0.90 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
Pitchers
Not yet included: Wins, Losses, Saves
Points are expected points: the line if he pitches, times his chance to pitch.
| 1 | Gavin Williams | CWS @ CLE | 29.5 | 5.69 | 8.76 | 2.28 | 3.81 | 0.27 | 1.86 |
| 2 | Cam Schlittler | NYY @ TB | 20.2 | 5.68 | 5.97 | 1.78 | 4.55 | 0.23 | 2.09 |
| 3 | Freddy Peralta | NYY @ TB | 15.0 | 5.22 | 5.36 | 2.34 | 4.50 | 0.13 | 2.55 |
| 4 | Anthony Kay | CWS @ CLE | 5.9 | 4.63 | 3.18 | 1.99 | 4.88 | 0.51 | 2.65 |
| 5 | Cam Booser | NYY @ TB | 2.9 | 0.90 | 1.12 | 0.25 | 0.66 | 0.02 | 0.37 |
| 6 | Kevin Kelly | NYY @ TB | 2.6 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.19 | 0.68 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
| 7 | Erik Sabrowski | CWS @ CLE | 2.5 | 0.94 | 1.64 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.07 | 0.34 |
| 8 | Matt Festa | CWS @ CLE | 2.4 | 0.84 | 1.02 | 0.29 | 0.70 | 0.07 | 0.44 |
| 9 | Hunter Gaddis | CWS @ CLE | 2.2 | 0.89 | 1.02 | 0.37 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 0.51 |
| 10 | Steven Matz | NYY @ TB | 2.2 | 0.92 | 0.82 | 0.25 | 0.69 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
| 11 | Brent Headrick | NYY @ TB | 2.1 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 0.31 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.41 |
| 12 | Cade Smith | CWS @ CLE | 2.1 | 0.98 | 1.64 | 0.35 | 0.67 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
| 13 | Garrett Cleavinger | NYY @ TB | 1.7 | 0.95 | 1.46 | 0.43 | 0.74 | 0.05 | 0.33 |
| 14 | Tim Herrin | CWS @ CLE | 1.7 | 0.95 | 1.17 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.15 | 0.41 |
| 15 | Tyler Wells | NYY @ TB | 1.5 | 0.95 | 1.13 | 0.27 | 0.67 | 0.01 | 0.37 |
| 16 | Cole Sulser | NYY @ TB | 1.5 | 0.93 | 1.06 | 0.35 | 0.78 | 0.03 | 0.44 |
| 17 | Bryan Baker | NYY @ TB | 1.4 | 0.99 | 1.19 | 0.36 | 0.73 | 0.02 | 0.39 |
| 18 | Ian Seymour | NYY @ TB | 1.4 | 0.95 | 1.28 | 0.23 | 0.62 | 0.02 | 0.33 |
| 19 | Sean Newcomb | CWS @ CLE | 1.3 | 0.89 | 0.72 | 0.41 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| 20 | Hagen Smith | CWS @ CLE | 1.2 | 0.90 | 0.99 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 0.04 | 0.39 |
| 21 | Tyler Davis | CWS @ CLE | 1.2 | 0.92 | 0.79 | 0.42 | 0.87 | 0.03 | 0.52 |
| 22 | Bryan Hudson | CWS @ CLE | 1.1 | 0.91 | 0.74 | 0.31 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.51 |
| 23 | Paul Blackburn | NYY @ TB | 1.1 | 0.94 | 0.67 | 0.34 | 0.94 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
| 24 | David Bednar | NYY @ TB | 1.0 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.30 | 0.88 | 0.06 | 0.38 |
| 25 | Jordan Hicks | CWS @ CLE | 0.9 | 0.91 | 0.95 | 0.64 | 0.95 | 0.09 | 0.62 |
| 26 | Shawn Armstrong | CWS @ CLE | 0.9 | 0.98 | 1.13 | 0.51 | 0.87 | 0.10 | 0.56 |
| 27 | John Schreiber | NYY @ TB | 0.8 | 0.74 | 0.48 | 0.35 | 0.70 | 0.02 | 0.47 |
| 28 | Daniel Espino | CWS @ CLE | 0.8 | 0.96 | 1.49 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 0.47 |
| 29 | Grant Taylor | CWS @ CLE | 0.8 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 0.49 | 0.87 | 0.02 | 0.48 |
| 30 | Ryan Yarbrough | NYY @ TB | 0.8 | 0.95 | 0.59 | 0.33 | 0.78 | 0.08 | 0.37 |
| 31 | Joey Cantillo | CWS @ CLE | 0.6 | 0.96 | 1.24 | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.05 | 0.39 |
| 32 | Noah Schultz | CWS @ CLE | 0.5 | 0.94 | 0.75 | 0.43 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 0.62 |
| 33 | Will Warren | NYY @ TB | 0.4 | 0.96 | 0.86 | 0.37 | 1.07 | 0.03 | 0.61 |
| 34 | Ryan Weathers | NYY @ TB | 0.4 | 0.96 | 0.94 | 0.24 | 0.75 | 0.06 | 0.33 |
| 35 | Erick Fedde | CWS @ CLE | 0.3 | 0.93 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.95 | 0.03 | 0.61 |
| 36 | Austin Hedges | CWS @ CLE | 0.2 | 0.98 | 0.90 | 0.41 | 0.90 | 0.02 | 0.49 |
| 37 | Sean Burke | CWS @ CLE | 0.2 | 0.90 | 0.84 | 0.36 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| 38 | Davis Martin | CWS @ CLE | 0.2 | 0.92 | 0.72 | 0.30 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 0.47 |
| 39 | David Sandlin | CWS @ CLE | 0.2 | 0.93 | 0.78 | 0.35 | 0.88 | 0.01 | 0.50 |
| 40 | Luisangel Acuña | CWS @ CLE | 0.1 | 0.91 | 0.74 | 0.38 | 0.98 | 0.04 | 0.60 |