MLB predictions Sun, Oct 4
Win probabilities, projected runs and totals for every MLB game, plus batter and pitcher projections. How it works →
2 games on this slate · model went 1–1 · 140–96 last 30 days →
Games
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Jackson Chourio
|
0.23 | 0.98 | 1.84 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 0.03 | 1.19 | 0.10 |
Fernando Tatís
|
0.21 | 0.98 | 1.77 | 0.48 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 1.18 | 0.11 |
Jackson Merrill
|
0.17 | 0.81 | 1.55 | 0.46 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 1.25 | 0.04 |
Dustin Harris
|
0.12 | 0.94 | 1.52 | 0.38 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 1.06 | 0.08 |
William Contreras
|
0.13 | 0.92 | 1.50 | 0.53 | 0.43 | 0.03 | 0.72 | 0.03 |
Manny Machado
|
0.15 | 0.84 | 1.46 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 1.23 | 0.04 |
Jake Bauers
|
0.17 | 0.73 | 1.39 | 0.49 | 0.78 | 0.05 | 1.26 | 0.11 |
Sal Frelick
|
0.08 | 0.86 | 1.29 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.03 | 0.42 | 0.08 |
Brice Turang
|
0.11 | 0.79 | 1.27 | 0.38 | 0.64 | 0.01 | 1.22 | 0.16 |
Christian Yelich
|
0.13 | 0.74 | 1.27 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.04 | 1.06 | 0.10 |
Ty France
|
0.11 | 0.78 | 1.27 | 0.36 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 1.30 | 0.01 |
Garrett Mitchell
|
0.13 | 0.69 | 1.24 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.06 | 1.42 | 0.15 |
Ethan Salas
|
0.11 | 0.72 | 1.23 | 0.35 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 1.20 | – |
Cooper Pratt
|
0.07 | 0.78 | 1.16 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.04 | 0.80 | – |
Luis Campusano
|
0.10 | 0.68 | 1.12 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
Xander Bogaerts
|
0.09 | 0.73 | 1.12 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.02 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
Jake Cronenworth
|
0.09 | 0.65 | 1.09 | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.03 | 1.06 | 0.02 |
David Hamilton
|
0.06 | 0.61 | 0.92 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.92 | 0.20 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Logan Henderson
|
100% | 5.6 | 22.1 | 6.7 | 1.23 | 4.19 | 0.18 | 1.91 |
Mike King
|
100% | 5.4 | 23.3 | 5.4 | 2.78 | 4.56 | 0.20 | 2.54 |
Mason Miller
|
30% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 0.01 | 0.33 |
Adrián Morejón
|
74% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.30 | 0.66 | 0.02 | 0.33 |
Aaron Ashby
|
48% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.42 | 0.73 | 0.05 | 0.37 |
Trevor Megill
|
38% | 1.0 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.22 | 0.81 | 0.04 | 0.39 |
Yuki Matsui
|
47% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.55 | 0.69 | 0.04 | 0.45 |
Bradgley Rodriguez
|
44% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.34 | 0.79 | 0.02 | 0.48 |
Kyle Harrison
|
31% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.29 | 0.84 | 0.02 | 0.45 |
Abner Uribe
|
29% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.33 | 0.84 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
Andrew Vaughn
|
6% | 1.0 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
Joe Musgrove
|
20% | 0.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.37 | 0.82 | 0.08 | 0.48 |
Dl Hall
|
31% | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 0.04 | 0.32 |
Robert Gasser
|
6% | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 0.82 | 0.09 | 0.40 |
Jojo Romero
|
69% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.28 | 0.68 | 0.06 | 0.35 |
David Morgan
|
86% | 0.8 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.62 | 0.80 | 0.05 | 0.64 |
Antonio Senzatela
|
50% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.33 | 1.05 | 0.05 | 0.59 |
Jason Adam
|
20% | 0.9 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.50 | 0.86 | 0.04 | 0.51 |
Shane Drohan
|
13% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.43 | 0.96 | 0.04 | 0.57 |
Chad Patrick
|
74% | 0.9 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.38 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.50 |
Randy Vásquez
|
38% | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.39 | 0.97 | 0.03 | 0.61 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | -8% | -5% | +8% | +3% | +9% |
| Weather | 0% | 0% | -1% | -1% | +1% |
| Umpire | -3% | +1% | |||
| Home field (MIL batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
SD |
MIL |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Confirmed | Confirmed | |
| K% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | M. King | L. Henderson | |
| K% | 21.7% | 29.7% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 5.9 | 5.6 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | 0% | +2% | |
| BB% | 0% | -2% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Player props
Batters
| Hitting | Discipline | Running | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Mookie Betts
|
0.19 | 1.05 | 1.85 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 0.47 | 0.06 |
Shohei Ohtani
|
0.24 | 0.89 | 1.78 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 0.07 | 1.16 | 0.12 |
Will Smith
|
0.21 | 0.96 | 1.76 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.75 | 0.02 |
Ronald Acuña
|
0.21 | 0.94 | 1.73 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.05 | 1.29 | 0.18 |
Michael Harris
|
0.16 | 0.97 | 1.63 | 0.54 | 0.23 | 0.02 | 1.11 | 0.09 |
Freddie Freeman
|
0.15 | 0.93 | 1.60 | 0.54 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.84 | 0.05 |
Ozzie Albies
|
0.15 | 0.95 | 1.58 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.87 | 0.07 |
Drake Baldwin
|
0.17 | 0.92 | 1.56 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.05 | 1.37 | 0.01 |
Matt Olson
|
0.18 | 0.78 | 1.51 | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.02 | 1.45 | 0.00 |
Andy Pages
|
0.15 | 0.84 | 1.46 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.07 | 0.79 | 0.05 |
Teoscar Hernández
|
0.16 | 0.80 | 1.44 | 0.51 | 0.28 | 0.04 | 1.19 | 0.04 |
Kyle Tucker
|
0.14 | 0.81 | 1.42 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.04 | 0.68 | 0.10 |
Mauricio Dubón
|
0.11 | 0.91 | 1.40 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.02 | 0.65 | 0.03 |
Miguel Rojas
|
0.11 | 0.87 | 1.40 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 0.03 | 0.40 | 0.05 |
Austin Riley
|
0.15 | 0.68 | 1.27 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 1.37 | 0.01 |
Lane Thomas
|
0.10 | 0.73 | 1.20 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 0.02 | 1.16 | 0.15 |
Tommy Edman
|
0.12 | 0.68 | 1.18 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.74 | 0.07 |
Ha-Seong Kim
|
0.07 | 0.65 | 0.97 | 0.31 | 0.45 | 0.01 | 0.95 | 0.12 |
Pitchers
| Workload | Results | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | ||||||||
Blake Snell
|
100% | 4.82 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 2.16 | 3.87 | 0.10 | 1.98 |
Ray Kerr
|
100% | 4.07 | 17.0 | 3.3 | 1.20 | 3.69 | 0.28 | 1.90 |
Edwin Díaz
|
85% | 0.93 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.42 | 0.87 | 0.08 | 0.54 |
Tanner Scott
|
37% | 0.99 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.29 | 0.82 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
Alex Vesia
|
62% | 0.96 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.48 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 0.46 |
Evan Phillips
|
60% | 0.94 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 0.90 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
Chris Sale
|
13% | 0.93 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.28 | 0.87 | 0.12 | 0.47 |
Roki Sasaki
|
21% | 0.98 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.41 | 0.90 | 0.02 | 0.51 |
Didier Fuentes
|
96% | 0.88 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.38 | 0.91 | 0.05 | 0.62 |
Raisel Iglesias
|
30% | 0.96 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.35 | 0.81 | 0.04 | 0.46 |
Edgardo Henriquez
|
91% | 0.84 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.33 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.54 |
Dylan Lee
|
95% | 0.89 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 0.02 | 0.49 |
Brock Stewart
|
26% | 0.97 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.39 | 0.90 | 0.04 | 0.53 |
Kris Bubic
|
81% | 0.94 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.42 | 0.86 | 0.02 | 0.50 |
Dylan Dodd
|
67% | 0.96 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.28 | 0.87 | 0.04 | 0.48 |
Victor Mederos
|
69% | 0.96 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.68 |
Brent Suter
|
29% | 0.97 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 0.02 | 0.49 |
Grant Holmes
|
23% | 0.96 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 0.81 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
Robert Suarez
|
63% | 0.95 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.28 | 0.85 | 0.03 | 0.43 |
Aj Smith-Shawver
|
18% | 0.93 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.58 | 1.07 | 0.08 | 0.74 |
Enrique Hernández
|
11% | 0.99 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.52 | 1.14 | 0.04 | 0.81 |
No MLB props for this team at this position.
Pitching lines assume the pitcher appears; App is the chance of appearing. Each number is the model's average projection for that player, not a betting line.
Game conditions
| 1B | 2B | HR | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park | -3% | -7% | +18% | -1% | -3% |
| Weather | +1% | +2% | +6% | -1% | -2% |
| Umpire | +2% | -1% | |||
| Home field (LAD batting) | 0% | +3% | +4% | +4% | -4% |
How much each one raises or lowers that outcome. 0% is no change; blank means the model doesn't adjust that outcome for it.
Matchup
ATL |
LAD |
League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitters | |||
| Lineup | Projected | Confirmed | |
| K% | 21.2% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Starting pitcher | |||
| Starter | R. Kerr | B. Snell | |
| K% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| HR% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% |
| Innings | 4.4 | 5.1 | |
| Catcher & defense: effect on opposing hitters | |||
| K% | +1% | -2% | |
| BB% | -1% | +3% | |
Each team's own rates per plate appearance against an average opponent; the simulation combines the two sides. Innings is how long the starter is expected to last. League is the 2023-25 average.
Players
HR watch
- Shohei Ohtani0.24 HR
- Jackson Chourio0.23 HR
- Ronald Acuña0.21 HR
- Will Smith0.21 HR
- Fernando Tatís0.21 HR
Batters
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.21 | 0.94 | 1.73 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 1.29 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.23 | 0.98 | 1.84 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 1.19 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.24 | 0.89 | 1.78 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 1.16 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.21 | 0.98 | 1.77 | 0.48 | 0.29 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 1.18 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.17 | 0.92 | 1.56 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 1.37 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.17 | 0.73 | 1.39 | 0.49 | 0.78 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 1.26 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.18 | 0.78 | 1.51 | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1.45 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.21 | 0.96 | 1.76 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.75 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.16 | 0.97 | 1.63 | 0.54 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 1.11 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.13 | 0.69 | 1.24 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 1.42 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.15 | 0.95 | 1.58 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.87 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.11 | 0.79 | 1.27 | 0.38 | 0.64 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 1.22 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.15 | 0.93 | 1.60 | 0.54 | 0.34 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.84 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.17 | 0.81 | 1.55 | 0.46 | 0.21 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 1.25 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.15 | 0.84 | 1.46 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1.23 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.12 | 0.94 | 1.52 | 0.38 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 1.06 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.16 | 0.80 | 1.44 | 0.51 | 0.28 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1.19 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.19 | 1.05 | 1.85 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.47 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.15 | 0.68 | 1.27 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 1.37 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.13 | 0.92 | 1.50 | 0.53 | 0.43 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.72 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.10 | 0.73 | 1.20 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 1.16 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.13 | 0.74 | 1.27 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 1.06 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.11 | 0.78 | 1.27 | 0.36 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 1.30 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.15 | 0.84 | 1.46 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.79 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.14 | 0.81 | 1.42 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.68 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.11 | 0.72 | 1.23 | 0.35 | 0.20 | – | 0.03 | 1.20 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.11 | 0.91 | 1.40 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.65 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.07 | 0.78 | 1.16 | 0.42 | 0.36 | – | 0.04 | 0.80 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.09 | 0.73 | 1.12 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.93 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.10 | 0.68 | 1.12 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1.00 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.08 | 0.86 | 1.29 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.42 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.09 | 0.65 | 1.09 | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 1.06 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.07 | 0.65 | 0.97 | 0.31 | 0.45 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 0.95 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.11 | 0.87 | 1.40 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 0.12 | 0.68 | 1.18 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.74 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 0.06 | 0.61 | 0.92 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 0.92 |
Pitchers
|
|
SD @ MIL | 100.0% | 5.4 | 5.4 | 2.78 | 4.56 | 0.20 | 2.54 | 23.3 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 100.0% | 5.6 | 6.7 | 1.23 | 4.19 | 0.18 | 1.91 | 22.1 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 100.0% | 4.8 | 5.9 | 2.16 | 3.87 | 0.10 | 1.98 | 20.3 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 100.0% | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.20 | 3.69 | 0.28 | 1.90 | 17.0 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 95.6% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.38 | 0.91 | 0.05 | 0.62 | 3.9 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 94.8% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 0.02 | 0.49 | 3.7 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 91.0% | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.33 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.54 | 3.6 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 85.8% | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.62 | 0.80 | 0.05 | 0.64 | 3.8 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 84.6% | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.42 | 0.87 | 0.08 | 0.54 | 4.1 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 81.2% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.42 | 0.86 | 0.02 | 0.50 | 4.0 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 74.3% | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.30 | 0.66 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 3.6 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 74.1% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.38 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.50 | 3.7 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 69.3% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.28 | 0.68 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 3.7 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 68.9% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.68 | 4.4 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 66.7% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.28 | 0.87 | 0.04 | 0.48 | 4.0 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 62.7% | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.28 | 0.85 | 0.03 | 0.43 | 3.9 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 61.5% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.48 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 0.46 | 4.0 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 59.7% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 0.90 | 0.03 | 0.51 | 4.0 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 50.2% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.33 | 1.05 | 0.05 | 0.59 | 4.1 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 47.5% | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.42 | 0.73 | 0.05 | 0.37 | 3.9 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 47.0% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.55 | 0.69 | 0.04 | 0.45 | 4.0 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 44.2% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.34 | 0.79 | 0.02 | 0.48 | 3.9 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 37.9% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.39 | 0.97 | 0.03 | 0.61 | 4.1 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 37.8% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.22 | 0.81 | 0.04 | 0.39 | 3.9 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 36.7% | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.29 | 0.82 | 0.04 | 0.36 | 4.0 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 31.3% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 0.04 | 0.32 | 3.9 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 30.9% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.29 | 0.84 | 0.02 | 0.45 | 3.8 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 29.7% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.35 | 0.81 | 0.04 | 0.46 | 4.0 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 29.6% | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 0.01 | 0.33 | 3.9 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 29.2% | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 0.02 | 0.49 | 4.1 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 28.8% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.33 | 0.84 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 3.9 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 26.2% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.39 | 0.90 | 0.04 | 0.53 | 4.1 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 23.4% | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 0.81 | 0.03 | 0.40 | 4.1 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 21.2% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.41 | 0.90 | 0.02 | 0.51 | 4.2 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 20.4% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.37 | 0.82 | 0.08 | 0.48 | 4.0 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 20.0% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.50 | 0.86 | 0.04 | 0.51 | 4.2 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 18.4% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.58 | 1.07 | 0.08 | 0.74 | 4.4 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 13.4% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.43 | 0.96 | 0.04 | 0.57 | 4.1 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 12.7% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.28 | 0.87 | 0.12 | 0.47 | 4.0 |
|
|
ATL @ LAD | 11.4% | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.52 | 1.14 | 0.04 | 0.81 | 4.6 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 5.8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 4.1 |
|
|
SD @ MIL | 5.7% | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 0.82 | 0.09 | 0.40 | 3.8 |
Fantasy
Batters
Not yet included: Runs Scored
Estimated, not directly simulated: SB
| 1 | Ronald Acuña | ATL @ LAD | 8.1 | 1.73 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| 2 | Shohei Ohtani | ATL @ LAD | 7.5 | 1.78 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| 3 | Jackson Chourio | SD @ MIL | 7.3 | 1.84 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| 4 | Will Smith | ATL @ LAD | 7.2 | 1.76 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| 5 | Jake Bauers | SD @ MIL | 7.2 | 1.39 | 0.49 | 0.78 | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| 6 | Mookie Betts | ATL @ LAD | 6.8 | 1.85 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| 7 | Fernando Tatís | SD @ MIL | 6.8 | 1.77 | 0.48 | 0.29 | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| 8 | Ozzie Albies | ATL @ LAD | 6.6 | 1.58 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| 9 | Freddie Freeman | ATL @ LAD | 6.4 | 1.60 | 0.54 | 0.34 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| 10 | Brice Turang | SD @ MIL | 6.4 | 1.27 | 0.38 | 0.64 | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| 11 | Drake Baldwin | ATL @ LAD | 6.3 | 1.56 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| 12 | Michael Harris | ATL @ LAD | 6.3 | 1.63 | 0.54 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| 13 | William Contreras | SD @ MIL | 6.3 | 1.50 | 0.53 | 0.43 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| 14 | Garrett Mitchell | SD @ MIL | 6.2 | 1.24 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| 15 | Matt Olson | ATL @ LAD | 6.1 | 1.51 | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| 16 | Kyle Tucker | ATL @ LAD | 6.0 | 1.42 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| 17 | Dustin Harris | SD @ MIL | 5.9 | 1.52 | 0.38 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| 18 | Christian Yelich | SD @ MIL | 5.9 | 1.27 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| 19 | Lane Thomas | ATL @ LAD | 5.9 | 1.20 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| 20 | Andy Pages | ATL @ LAD | 5.7 | 1.46 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| 21 | Teoscar Hernández | ATL @ LAD | 5.7 | 1.44 | 0.51 | 0.28 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| 22 | Jackson Merrill | SD @ MIL | 5.7 | 1.55 | 0.46 | 0.21 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| 23 | Manny Machado | SD @ MIL | 5.6 | 1.46 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| 24 | Sal Frelick | SD @ MIL | 5.5 | 1.29 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| 25 | Mauricio Dubón | ATL @ LAD | 5.3 | 1.40 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| 26 | Miguel Rojas | ATL @ LAD | 5.3 | 1.40 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| 27 | Austin Riley | ATL @ LAD | 5.2 | 1.27 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| 28 | Ty France | SD @ MIL | 4.9 | 1.27 | 0.36 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 0.10 |
| 29 | Cooper Pratt | SD @ MIL | 4.9 | 1.16 | 0.42 | 0.36 | – | 0.04 |
| 30 | David Hamilton | SD @ MIL | 4.8 | 0.92 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| 31 | Ha-Seong Kim | ATL @ LAD | 4.8 | 0.97 | 0.31 | 0.45 | 0.12 | 0.01 |
| 32 | Tommy Edman | ATL @ LAD | 4.8 | 1.18 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| 33 | Xander Bogaerts | SD @ MIL | 4.7 | 1.12 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| 34 | Luis Campusano | SD @ MIL | 4.5 | 1.12 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 35 | Ethan Salas | SD @ MIL | 4.5 | 1.23 | 0.35 | 0.20 | – | 0.03 |
| 36 | Jake Cronenworth | SD @ MIL | 4.3 | 1.09 | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
Pitchers
Not yet included: Wins, Losses, Saves
Points are expected points: the line if he pitches, times his chance to pitch.
| 1 | Logan Henderson | SD @ MIL | 23.8 | 5.60 | 6.66 | 1.23 | 4.19 | 0.18 | 1.91 |
| 2 | Blake Snell | ATL @ LAD | 18.4 | 4.82 | 5.95 | 2.16 | 3.87 | 0.10 | 1.98 |
| 3 | Mike King | SD @ MIL | 15.2 | 5.43 | 5.43 | 2.78 | 4.56 | 0.20 | 2.54 |
| 4 | Ray Kerr | ATL @ LAD | 9.6 | 4.07 | 3.26 | 1.20 | 3.69 | 0.28 | 1.90 |
| 5 | Adrián Morejón | SD @ MIL | 3.0 | 0.91 | 1.21 | 0.30 | 0.66 | 0.02 | 0.33 |
| 6 | Edwin Díaz | ATL @ LAD | 2.6 | 0.93 | 1.21 | 0.42 | 0.87 | 0.08 | 0.54 |
| 7 | Dylan Lee | ATL @ LAD | 2.3 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 0.02 | 0.49 |
| 8 | Jojo Romero | SD @ MIL | 2.2 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 0.28 | 0.68 | 0.06 | 0.35 |
| 9 | Alex Vesia | ATL @ LAD | 1.9 | 0.96 | 1.09 | 0.48 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 0.46 |
| 10 | Edgardo Henriquez | ATL @ LAD | 1.9 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 0.33 | 0.77 | 0.05 | 0.54 |
| 11 | Aaron Ashby | SD @ MIL | 1.8 | 0.94 | 1.20 | 0.42 | 0.73 | 0.05 | 0.37 |
| 12 | Kris Bubic | ATL @ LAD | 1.8 | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.42 | 0.86 | 0.02 | 0.50 |
| 13 | Didier Fuentes | ATL @ LAD | 1.7 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.38 | 0.91 | 0.05 | 0.62 |
| 14 | Mason Miller | SD @ MIL | 1.7 | 0.96 | 1.71 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 0.01 | 0.33 |
| 15 | Evan Phillips | ATL @ LAD | 1.6 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 0.25 | 0.90 | 0.03 | 0.51 |
| 16 | Yuki Matsui | SD @ MIL | 1.5 | 0.93 | 1.13 | 0.55 | 0.69 | 0.04 | 0.45 |
| 17 | Trevor Megill | SD @ MIL | 1.5 | 0.98 | 1.16 | 0.22 | 0.81 | 0.04 | 0.39 |
| 18 | Dylan Dodd | ATL @ LAD | 1.5 | 0.96 | 0.77 | 0.28 | 0.87 | 0.04 | 0.48 |
| 19 | Chad Patrick | SD @ MIL | 1.4 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.38 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 0.50 |
| 20 | Bradgley Rodriguez | SD @ MIL | 1.4 | 0.91 | 1.13 | 0.34 | 0.79 | 0.02 | 0.48 |
| 21 | Tanner Scott | ATL @ LAD | 1.4 | 0.99 | 1.12 | 0.29 | 0.82 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
| 22 | Robert Suarez | ATL @ LAD | 1.2 | 0.95 | 0.63 | 0.28 | 0.85 | 0.03 | 0.43 |
| 23 | David Morgan | SD @ MIL | 1.2 | 0.82 | 0.94 | 0.62 | 0.80 | 0.05 | 0.64 |
| 24 | Dl Hall | SD @ MIL | 1.0 | 0.92 | 1.03 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 0.04 | 0.32 |
| 25 | Kyle Harrison | SD @ MIL | 1.0 | 0.91 | 1.10 | 0.29 | 0.84 | 0.02 | 0.45 |
| 26 | Antonio Senzatela | SD @ MIL | 0.9 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 0.33 | 1.05 | 0.05 | 0.59 |
| 27 | Abner Uribe | SD @ MIL | 0.9 | 0.94 | 1.06 | 0.33 | 0.84 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| 28 | Raisel Iglesias | ATL @ LAD | 0.8 | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.35 | 0.81 | 0.04 | 0.46 |
| 29 | Victor Mederos | ATL @ LAD | 0.7 | 0.96 | 0.77 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.68 |
| 30 | Brent Suter | ATL @ LAD | 0.6 | 0.97 | 0.72 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 0.02 | 0.49 |
| 31 | Joe Musgrove | SD @ MIL | 0.6 | 0.93 | 1.03 | 0.37 | 0.82 | 0.08 | 0.48 |
| 32 | Brock Stewart | ATL @ LAD | 0.6 | 0.97 | 0.86 | 0.39 | 0.90 | 0.04 | 0.53 |
| 33 | Roki Sasaki | ATL @ LAD | 0.5 | 0.98 | 0.92 | 0.41 | 0.90 | 0.02 | 0.51 |
| 34 | Grant Holmes | ATL @ LAD | 0.4 | 0.96 | 0.64 | 0.48 | 0.81 | 0.03 | 0.40 |
| 35 | Jason Adam | SD @ MIL | 0.4 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 0.50 | 0.86 | 0.04 | 0.51 |
| 36 | Randy Vásquez | SD @ MIL | 0.4 | 0.91 | 0.64 | 0.39 | 0.97 | 0.03 | 0.61 |
| 37 | Chris Sale | ATL @ LAD | 0.3 | 0.93 | 0.96 | 0.28 | 0.87 | 0.12 | 0.47 |
| 38 | Shane Drohan | SD @ MIL | 0.2 | 0.94 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.96 | 0.04 | 0.57 |
| 39 | Robert Gasser | SD @ MIL | 0.2 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.82 | 0.09 | 0.40 |
| 40 | Andrew Vaughn | SD @ MIL | 0.2 | 0.95 | 1.03 | 0.43 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| 41 | Aj Smith-Shawver | ATL @ LAD | 0.0 | 0.93 | 0.61 | 0.58 | 1.07 | 0.08 | 0.74 |
| 42 | Enrique Hernández | ATL @ LAD | 0.0 | 0.99 | 0.58 | 0.52 | 1.14 | 0.04 | 0.81 |